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Methanol Institute
Methanol Transportation Methanol Transportation Methanol Transportation Methanol Transportation Methanol Transportation Methanol Transportation Methanol Transportation Methanol Transportation
Fuels: From U.S. to ChinaFuels: From U.S. to ChinaFuels: From U.S. to ChinaFuels: From U.S. to ChinaFuels: From U.S. to ChinaFuels: From U.S. to ChinaFuels: From U.S. to ChinaFuels: From U.S. to China
Gregory DolanVice President
IAGS BriefingU.S. House of Representatives
April 16, 2008
4100 N. Fairfax Drive, Suite 740, Arlington, VA 22203 – (703) 248-3636 – www.methanol.org
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Methanol Institute
Methanol InstituteMethanol InstituteMethanol InstituteMethanol InstituteMethanol InstituteMethanol InstituteMethanol InstituteMethanol Institute
• MI Established in 1989
• Serves as the trade association for the Global Methanol Industry
• Directs Product Stewardship Activities
• Initiates Market Development Efforts
• The Voice of the Global Methanol Industry
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Methanol Institute
2008 Members2008 Members2008 Members2008 Members2008 Members2008 Members2008 Members2008 Members
METOR
Shanghai Coking
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Methanol Institute
World Methanol DemandWorld Methanol DemandWorld Methanol DemandWorld Methanol DemandWorld Methanol DemandWorld Methanol DemandWorld Methanol DemandWorld Methanol Demand40 Million Metric Tons = 13.3 Billion Gallons40 Million Metric Tons = 13.3 Billion Gallons40 Million Metric Tons = 13.3 Billion Gallons40 Million Metric Tons = 13.3 Billion Gallons40 Million Metric Tons = 13.3 Billion Gallons40 Million Metric Tons = 13.3 Billion Gallons40 Million Metric Tons = 13.3 Billion Gallons40 Million Metric Tons = 13.3 Billion Gallons
World Methanol Demand
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
50000
55000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
(000) Tonnes per Year
Formaldehyde MTBE Acetic Acid MMA/DMT Fuels Other
JJ & A
Op Rate
83 %
CAPACITY
100 %
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Methanol Institute
Methanol: Essential Methanol: Essential Methanol: Essential Methanol: Essential Methanol: Essential Methanol: Essential Methanol: Essential Methanol: Essential
Chemical Building BlockChemical Building BlockChemical Building BlockChemical Building BlockChemical Building BlockChemical Building BlockChemical Building BlockChemical Building Block
Source: Methanex
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Methanol Institute
Global MarketGlobal MarketGlobal MarketGlobal MarketGlobal MarketGlobal MarketGlobal MarketGlobal Market
Methanol Use - World vs Asia
Asia World
2012E
53.80
million
metric
tons
2007E
37.87
million
metric
tons
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Methanol Institute
China Developing New China Developing New China Developing New China Developing New China Developing New China Developing New China Developing New China Developing New
Methanol MarketsMethanol MarketsMethanol MarketsMethanol MarketsMethanol MarketsMethanol MarketsMethanol MarketsMethanol Markets
Methanol Use in AsiaBy Country
China Japan Taiwan South Korea
Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Australia
New Zealand Other SEA India Other South Asia
2012E
32.66
million
metric
tons
2007E
18.61
million
metric
tons
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Methanol Institute
Shifting Global Methanol Shifting Global Methanol Shifting Global Methanol Shifting Global Methanol Shifting Global Methanol Shifting Global Methanol Shifting Global Methanol Shifting Global Methanol
ProductionProductionProductionProductionProductionProductionProductionProduction
REGIONAL SUPPLY 2000 - 2007
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
2000 2004 2007
(000)
MT
North America West Europe Far East & Asia
South America Africa Central
Middle East CIS & Baltic States
Source: MHTL
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Methanol Institute
China Has More Methanol Production China Has More Methanol Production China Has More Methanol Production China Has More Methanol Production China Has More Methanol Production China Has More Methanol Production China Has More Methanol Production China Has More Methanol Production
Capacity Than The Middle EastCapacity Than The Middle EastCapacity Than The Middle EastCapacity Than The Middle EastCapacity Than The Middle EastCapacity Than The Middle EastCapacity Than The Middle EastCapacity Than The Middle East
Supply Capacity for Methanol by Region 2002 - 2012E
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E
-000- to
nnes
Asia North America South America Europe Rest of World Middle East
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Methanol Institute
Methanol Production: Methanol Production: Methanol Production: Methanol Production: Methanol Production: Methanol Production: Methanol Production: Methanol Production:
Natural GasNatural GasNatural GasNatural GasNatural GasNatural GasNatural GasNatural Gas
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Methanol Institute
Trinidad
8.00-10.00USA
6.00-8.00Europe
2.00-3.00Chile
1.50-2.00Trinidad/
Venezuela
0.25-1.00Middle East
$/MM BTU$/MM BTU$/MM BTU$/MM BTURegion/CountryRegion/CountryRegion/CountryRegion/Country
MegaMegaMegaMegaMegaMegaMegaMega--------Methanol Plants and Methanol Plants and Methanol Plants and Methanol Plants and Methanol Plants and Methanol Plants and Methanol Plants and Methanol Plants and
Natural Gas PricesNatural Gas PricesNatural Gas PricesNatural Gas PricesNatural Gas PricesNatural Gas PricesNatural Gas PricesNatural Gas Prices
2004-2007: Seven-mega plants started up with combined capacity of 10 million metric tons or 25% of current global demand.
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Methanol Institute
Methanol Production: CoalMethanol Production: CoalMethanol Production: CoalMethanol Production: CoalMethanol Production: CoalMethanol Production: CoalMethanol Production: CoalMethanol Production: Coal
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Methanol Institute
Methanol from WoodMethanol from WoodMethanol from WoodMethanol from WoodMethanol from WoodMethanol from WoodMethanol from WoodMethanol from Wood
• Methanol can be produced from the gasification of wood and other biomass resources.
• Mature Gasifier technologies: bubbling fluid-bed; indirectly-heated fluid bed; entrained-bed.
• Highly efficient, with energy efficiencies in the 60-70% range.
• One ton of wood produces 165-185 gallons of methanol (625-700 liters).
• Large Resource: U.S. generates 240 million tons waste wood per year.
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Methanol Institute
Methanol from Black Methanol from Black Methanol from Black Methanol from Black Methanol from Black Methanol from Black Methanol from Black Methanol from Black
LiquorLiquorLiquorLiquorLiquorLiquorLiquorLiquor
• In Sweden, a pilot-scale reactor is producing methanol from black liquor, a sludge byproduct of paper pulping.
• If every paper mill in the U.S. used this process, could produce 28 million tons of methanol per year (9.3 billion gallons).
Raw gas
Green liquor
Condensate
Black liquor
GAS COOLER
REACTOR
QUENCH
White liquor
Boiler feed
water*
LP-
steam*
MP-
steam*
Weakwash
GASIFICATIONGASIFICATION
SEPARATIONOF GAS AND
SMELT
SEPARATIONOF GAS AND
SMELT
PARTICULATE
REMOVAL AND
GAS COOLING
Oxygen
Atomisingmedium
Cooling water
SULPHUR CLEAN-UP
SHORT-TIMECONTACTORS
Purified and cooled syngas
(to flare)
* Cooling water in DP1
© Chemrec AB 2005
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Methanol Institute
Methanol Flexible Fuel Methanol Flexible Fuel Methanol Flexible Fuel Methanol Flexible Fuel Methanol Flexible Fuel Methanol Flexible Fuel Methanol Flexible Fuel Methanol Flexible Fuel
VehiclesVehiclesVehiclesVehiclesVehiclesVehiclesVehiclesVehicles
• Between 1985 and 1999, over 15,000 methanol FFVs and hundreds of transit buses and school buses sold in U.S.
• CA established network of 60 public retail stations and 45 private fleet stations, dozens fueling stations in other states.
• By 1993, California consumed 12 million gallons of methanol per year.
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Methanol Institute
Methanol FFV ComponentsMethanol FFV ComponentsMethanol FFV ComponentsMethanol FFV ComponentsMethanol FFV ComponentsMethanol FFV ComponentsMethanol FFV ComponentsMethanol FFV Components
• Alcohol sensor monitors fuel mixture and signals on-board computer to adjust fuel flow and timing.
• Larger fuel injectors.
• Stainless steel fuel system.
• Larger fuel tank.
• Block heater.
• Optimized cylinder head combustion chamber.
• Wear-resistant piston rings.
• Exhaust valve seat inserts.
• Incremental costs: $50Incremental costs: $50Incremental costs: $50Incremental costs: $50----$150$150$150$150
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Methanol Institute
Methanol Fuel CostsMethanol Fuel CostsMethanol Fuel CostsMethanol Fuel CostsMethanol Fuel CostsMethanol Fuel CostsMethanol Fuel CostsMethanol Fuel Costs
• 10¢ Regional Distribution
• 4¢ Local Distribution
• 5 ¢ Retail Mark-up
• 9.15 ¢ Federal Tax
• 9 ¢ State Tax (CA)
• $1.00 Wholesale Methanol Cost
• Pump Price of $1.37 per gallon
• Consumer Cost = $2.03 per gasoline equivalent gallon
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Methanol Institute
Methanol Greenhouse Gas Methanol Greenhouse Gas Methanol Greenhouse Gas Methanol Greenhouse Gas Methanol Greenhouse Gas Methanol Greenhouse Gas Methanol Greenhouse Gas Methanol Greenhouse Gas
Emissions Relative to GasolineEmissions Relative to GasolineEmissions Relative to GasolineEmissions Relative to GasolineEmissions Relative to GasolineEmissions Relative to GasolineEmissions Relative to GasolineEmissions Relative to Gasoline
Source: Prepared for Methanex by Richard Bechtold, Alliance Technical Services
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Methanol Institute
EPA Developing Highly EPA Developing Highly EPA Developing Highly EPA Developing Highly EPA Developing Highly EPA Developing Highly EPA Developing Highly EPA Developing Highly
Efficient Alcohol EnginesEfficient Alcohol EnginesEfficient Alcohol EnginesEfficient Alcohol EnginesEfficient Alcohol EnginesEfficient Alcohol EnginesEfficient Alcohol EnginesEfficient Alcohol Engines
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Methanol Institute
Methanol Fuel BlendingMethanol Fuel BlendingMethanol Fuel BlendingMethanol Fuel BlendingMethanol Fuel BlendingMethanol Fuel BlendingMethanol Fuel BlendingMethanol Fuel Blending
+++XMultiple Feedstocks
++▬Environment
+ (M-15)- (m-100)
▬Use Current Engines
+++▬Safety
+▬Emissions
MethanolGasoline
+ (M-15)- (m-100)
▬Use Existing Stations
+++▬Fuel Costs Key
▬ Baseline
X Not
Applicable
+ Positive
- Negative
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Methanol Institute
U.S. Methanol ChallengesU.S. Methanol ChallengesU.S. Methanol ChallengesU.S. Methanol ChallengesU.S. Methanol ChallengesU.S. Methanol ChallengesU.S. Methanol ChallengesU.S. Methanol Challenges
• Automobile Industry
• Fueling Industry
• Automakers
• Vehicle Operators
• Methanol Industry
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Methanol Institute
China ContrastsChina ContrastsChina ContrastsChina ContrastsChina ContrastsChina ContrastsChina ContrastsChina Contrasts
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Methanol Institute
MI Delegation to ChinaMI Delegation to ChinaMI Delegation to ChinaMI Delegation to ChinaMI Delegation to ChinaMI Delegation to ChinaMI Delegation to ChinaMI Delegation to China
• In December 2007, the Methanol Institute took delegation to China at invitation of Chinese Association of Alcohol and Clean Ether Fuels and Automobiles.
• Delegates: Methanol Holdings Trinidad; Methanex; SABIC; Johnson Matthey; Mitsubishi Gas Chemical; MAN Ferrostaal; Helm
• Visited Shanghai, Shanxi Province (Changzhi, Jinzhong, and Taiyuan), and Beijing
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Methanol Institute
China PolygenerationChina PolygenerationChina PolygenerationChina PolygenerationChina PolygenerationChina PolygenerationChina PolygenerationChina Polygeneration
Natural Gas
Coal
Biomass
Synthesis Gas
Methanol
Methanol
GasolineFuels
DME
Chemicals Formaldehyde
Acetic Acid
Olefins
Chemicals
MTBE
Fuels
Players:General Electric ShellConocoPhillips BPSiemens SasolLurgi DowCelanese DuPont
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Methanol Institute
China Methanol ProductionChina Methanol ProductionChina Methanol ProductionChina Methanol ProductionChina Methanol ProductionChina Methanol ProductionChina Methanol ProductionChina Methanol Production
• China now world’s largest methanol producer and consumer.
• China has over 130 methanol plants, mostly small and inefficient.
• Curtailing natural gas-based production.
• Huge growth coal-based production.
10 Billion30,000,0002015
6.7 Billion20,000,0002010
3.7 Billion11,000,0002007
2 Billion6,000,0002005
GallonsTonsYear
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Methanol Institute
China Methanol Fuel BlendingChina Methanol Fuel BlendingChina Methanol Fuel BlendingChina Methanol Fuel BlendingChina Methanol Fuel BlendingChina Methanol Fuel BlendingChina Methanol Fuel BlendingChina Methanol Fuel Blending
• According to MMSA: 2.71 million metric tons (900 million gallons) of methanol blended in gasoline in 2007
• An additional 800,000 tons of demand growth expected in 2008.
• Provincial “official” trials and “unofficial” blending.
• Methanol sells for RMB$2,500 (US$350) per ton, wholesale gasoline sells for RMB$7,000 (US$965) per ton.
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Methanol Institute
Shanxi Provincial TrialsShanxi Provincial TrialsShanxi Provincial TrialsShanxi Provincial TrialsShanxi Provincial TrialsShanxi Provincial TrialsShanxi Provincial TrialsShanxi Provincial Trials
• 11 cities with a total population of 33 million.
• 260 billion tonnes known coal deposits, 1/3 China’s total.
• 200 buses and 1,000 taxis operating on M-100.
• M-15 first used in 2003 in four cities, now used in all 11 cities across the province in stations operated by PetroChina and Sinopec.
• Shanxi adopted four provincial methanol specifications in 2008.
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Methanol Institute
China Automakers Lead China Automakers Lead China Automakers Lead China Automakers Lead China Automakers Lead China Automakers Lead China Automakers Lead China Automakers Lead
the Waythe Waythe Waythe Waythe Waythe Waythe Waythe Way
• Chery Automobile completed demonstration of 20 methanol FFVs, now ready for full-scale production.
• Shanghai Maple Automotive building 50,000 methanol cars in 2008.
• Chang’an introduced methanol Ben-Ben car.
• Greely Automotive put Haifeng methanol car into production.
• Huapa Automotive built methanol cars.
• Shanghai Automotive Industry Corporation developing methanol cars.
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Methanol Institute
Clock is TickingClock is TickingClock is TickingClock is TickingClock is TickingClock is TickingClock is TickingClock is Ticking
• In 2007, China imported 47% of its oil, and this year may pass Japan as world’s second largest oil importer.
• China banned use of grain for ethanol production to ensure food supplies.
• China is world’s largest coal producer and consumer.
Prof. Ni Weidou, Tsinghua University-BP Clean
Energy Center: “The clock
is ticking, and China
needs to start adopting alternative fuels now in order to lessen its dependency.”
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Methanol Institute
Methanol Strategic Fuel Methanol Strategic Fuel Methanol Strategic Fuel Methanol Strategic Fuel Methanol Strategic Fuel Methanol Strategic Fuel Methanol Strategic Fuel Methanol Strategic Fuel
For ChinaFor ChinaFor ChinaFor ChinaFor ChinaFor ChinaFor ChinaFor China
• In September 2006, eight leaders provided report to Chinese President Hu Jintaotitled “Suggestion on Promoting Methanol Fuels to Replace Gasoline and Diesel Fuel.”
• President Hu approved this “Suggestion” and directed China’s powerful National Development and Reform Commission considers coal-based methanol to be a strategic transportation fuel.
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Methanol Institute
National Methanol National Methanol National Methanol National Methanol National Methanol National Methanol National Methanol National Methanol
StandardsStandardsStandardsStandardsStandardsStandardsStandardsStandards
• In March 2007, China’s Committee on Standardization requested three methanol standards.
• High Proportion – M-70-M-85, now in final approval.
• Low Proportion – M-15, to be completed by June.
• Convertible Methanol Fuel – M-100 used in fuel blending, to be completed by June.
Sinopec: “The standards
will surely facilitate supervision over the
current methanol market,
and will define the way of methanol development in
the future.”
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Methanol Institute
DME: An Emerging Global DME: An Emerging Global DME: An Emerging Global DME: An Emerging Global DME: An Emerging Global DME: An Emerging Global DME: An Emerging Global DME: An Emerging Global
FuelFuelFuelFuelFuelFuelFuelFuel
• Dimethyl ether (CH3OCH3) is the simplest ether
• Burns like natural gas
• Handles like LPG (Liquefied Petroleum Gas)
• Made from methanol
• Very large market potential as synthetic LPG, diesel alternative and fuel for power generation
Overview
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Methanol Institute
DME: Clean and GreenDME: Clean and GreenDME: Clean and GreenDME: Clean and GreenDME: Clean and GreenDME: Clean and GreenDME: Clean and GreenDME: Clean and Green
• HEALTH: – Used as propellant in personal care products for decades
– Low acute and chronic toxicity
– No human hazard relative to carcinogenicity, mutagenicity or teratogenicity within exposure limits
• SAFETY– Thermally stable
– No tendency to peroxide formation found
– Flammable gas
– Compatible with all common metals
– Consider elastomer and plastic parts carefully– Grounding and bonding procedures and equipment for
dissipating static charge needs to be maintained
• ENVIRONMENT– Does not deplete ozone
– Minimal impact on land/water due to volatility
– Low emission fuel (Diesel, LPG, Power) Visit www.aboutdme.org
Extensive section on Health, Safety and Environment
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Methanol Institute
DME Transportation FuelsDME Transportation FuelsDME Transportation FuelsDME Transportation FuelsDME Transportation FuelsDME Transportation FuelsDME Transportation FuelsDME Transportation Fuels
• China plans to build 20 million tons of DME production capacity by 2020.
• Demonstrating DME-fueled buses, with fueling station in Shanghai.
• In Europe, Volvo has grant from Swedish government to build and demonstrate 19 DME-fueled trucks.
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Methanol Institute
For More InformationFor More InformationFor More InformationFor More InformationFor More InformationFor More InformationFor More InformationFor More Information
• www.methanol.orgwww.methanol.orgwww.methanol.orgwww.methanol.org
• 1-888-275-0768
• (703) 248-3636