Microeconomis Chapter 1

7/31/2019 Microeconomis Chapter 1

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McGraw-Hill/Irwin 2009 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved

Chapter 1

A Brief Economic History of theUnited States


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1-22009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Learning Objectives

In this chapter youll learn:1. How we grew from a primarily agricultural nation of 4

million people to an industrial power of more than 300million.

2. How the Civil War, WWI, and WWII affected our economy.3. The effects of the Great Depression and the New Deal.

4. How our nation was shaped by suburbanization after WWII.

5. What major factors affected our economic growth decadeby decade from the 1920s into the new millennium.

6. What the new economy is and how does it differ from the

old economy.


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Introduction: A Study in Contrast(The United States)

Wealth

Expanding technologies

Losing the trade war

22 million+ new jobssince 19901991

Baby boomers better offthan previous

generations

Poverty

Dying industries

Won the Cold War

Thousands of collegegraduates looking forjobs in 2002 & 2003

Todays generation is

generally worse off thanparents


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The Downside of the Worlds Largest Economy& One of the Highest Standards of Living

The federal budget deficit is at a record high.

The U.S. trade deficit is at a record high.

The federal government is borrowing $2 billion aday from foreigners to finance the budget & trade

deficits.

Social Security & Medicare trust funds will run outof money well before most of you reach retirementage.


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The Downside of the Worlds Largest Economy& One of the Highest Standards of Living

When you graduate, you may not be able to get adecent job.

The savings rate in the U.S. is close to zero.

The real hourly wage (adjusted for inflation) of theaverage worker is lower today than it was in 1973.


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Questions for Thought and Discussion

How have the above mentioned features of oureconomy impacted your personal life?

How serious are trade deficits, budget deficits, andlow savings rates for the health of our economy?


7/381-72009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

How Did We Get Where We Are?

The American Economy in the Nineteenth Century Agricultural Development

Development of Transnational Railroad Network

The Emergence of Industrial Capitalism

The American Economy in the Twentieth and EarlyTwenty First Centuries

Industrial Development and the Rise of Manufacturing

Growth and Crisis

Global Dominance and the Challenges of a Global Economy



Agricultural Development

At the start of the American Revolution, America hadan almost limitless supply of land.

Nine out of ten Americans lived on a farm.

One hundred years later, fewer than one in two lived on afarm.

Today, fewer than two in one hundred are able to feed usand export huge surpluses to the rest of the world.

The abundance of land was the most influential factorin U.S. economic development in the 19th centurybecause

It brought millions of immigrants to the U.S. It encouraged large families.

It encouraged rapid technological development.



Economic Foundations of the Civil War

The Northern manufacturing industries benefited fromhigh protective tariffs.

Public sentiment in the North opposed slavery.

Southerners were forced to pay higher prices formanufacturing goods than they would have paid ifthey could trade with England or France without atariff.

The Southern plantation economy was based uponslavery, an institution threatened by Northern publicopinion.



Economic Consequences of theCivil War

From 18501890, the U.S. increased miles of railroadtrack from 10,000 to 164,000 (the South was largelyexcluded from this transportation network).

The expansion of railroad networks led to greater

economic integration of the country (with the notableexception of the South) facilitating mass production,mass marketing, and mass consumption.

The latter part of the 19th century would witness the

emergence of great industrial capitalists in steel(Carnegie), chemical (DuPont), farm equipment(McCormick), oil (Rockefeller), and meat packing(Swift).




What role did protective tariffs play in the economicdevelopment of the U.S.?

How would our economic history have beendifferent without these tariffs?

How did the placement of railroad networks impactthe economic development of the country?

Would alternative placement of networks been

beneficial for the country?



The American Economy in the Early20th Century

By the turn of the 20th century, America was primarily an industrial economy.

Fewer than 4 of 10 people lived on farms.

The U.S. was among the world leaders in production of steel,

coal, steamships, textiles, apparel, chemicals, and agriculturalmachinery.

Americas trade balance was positive.

America exported most of her agricultural surpluses.

America began to export manufactured goods.



The U.S. Emergence as the Worlds LeadingIndustrial Power by the end of WWI

Besides strengths in previously mentioned industries,the U.S. emerged as the worlds leading industrial

power at the end of WWI because it possessed: The technological know-how necessary to develop cutting

edge industries such as the automobile and airplaneindustries.

A large agricultural surplus emerging from a productive andrelatively efficient agricultural sector.

The worlds first universal public education system.

A large pool of entrepreneurial talent. An undamaged infrastructure and workforce during WWI.


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The Roaring Twenties: Began and Ended withDepressions

In early 1920, the country had a brief depression.

Between 1921 and 1929 national output rose by 50%

and most Americans thought prosperity would lastforever.

However, the stock market crashed in 1929the

Great Depression had arrived.


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The Great Depression

The Great Depression began with the August 1929recession.

Had the stock market not crashed and the federalgovernment acted more quickly, this could have been a fairlyshort recession.

The economy hit bottom in March of 1933. National output was one-third what it was in 1929.

Official unemployment was 25%.

16 million Americans were out of work.

The population was less than its present size.


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Recovery and Hope A lot of credit goes to Franklin D. Roosevelts New

Deal administration for the 19331937 expansion: Banks were reopened.

The Government confiscated Americas gold.

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) came intobeing.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Commission (FDIC) was setup.

An unemployment insurance benefit program was started.

The Social Security System was started (this was the mostsignificant reform).


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Recovery Stalled

Recession reignited by actions of the Fed and theRoosevelt Administration in the recession of 19371938.

The Federal Reserve greatly tightened credit.

This reduced the money supply. The Roosevelt administration suddenly got the urge

to balance the budget. This would have made sense during an economic boom, but

not when the unemployment rate was 12%.

This caused

Industrial production to fall by 30%.

Five million more people to be put out of work.


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What led the U.S. to go from boom to bust?

What could have prevented the Great Depression?

How did Roosevelt try to restart the economy?

Was his strategy successful?

What caused the Recession of 19371938?


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What Finally Brought the U.S. out of theGreat Depression?

In April 1938, the Federal Reserve and theRoosevelt Administration reversed course.

War broke out in Europe.

America mobilized in 19401941 and then enteredthe war on December 7, 1941.

What massive federal government spending wasneeded to prepare for and fight WWII?

This was deficit spending (borrowed money). In otherwords, the federal budget ran a deficit.


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The 1940s: World War II and PeacetimeProsperity

WWII required a total national effort. It consumed nearly half of the nations output.

It mobilized 12 million men and women. The unemployment rate fell below 2%.

19391944 Output of goods and services doubled. Government spending rose more than 400% (mainly for

defense).

The economy grew 1011% a year.

The government instituted wage and price controls and issued

ration coupons for meat, butter, gasoline, and other staples. Businesses and workers strove to produce goods of the highest

quality possible, believing it a prerequisite to win the war.


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The End World War II

The country that emerged from WWII was verydifferent from what it had been four years earlier.

Prosperity had replaced depression.

Inflation was now the number one economic problem.

The U.S. accounted for of the worlds manufacturing

output, with just 7% of the worlds population. The U.S. and the Soviet Union were the only superpowers

left standing.


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The End of World War II (Continued)

The U.S. spent tens of billions of dollars to prop up theeconomies of Western Europe and Japan.

It spent hundreds of billions more for their defense.

Since WWII

The U.S. has expended 6% of national output on defense. The Soviet Union expended at least 18% of national output on

defense which contributed to its collapse in 1990.


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The Suburbanization of America After WWII

Twelve million men and several hundred thousandwomen returned to civilian lives.

There was a tremendous shortage of housing.

The V.A. offered affordable mortgages:

1% interest and nothing down. The FHA supplemented this need.

The only place to build was outside cities.

This required roads and cars.

The Federal Government subsidized an interstate highway

network along with state freeways, state highways, roads, andlocal streets.


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1940s and 1950s

These decades were one big construction boom.

The automobile industry prospered. It supplied Americas pent up demand and the U.S. became

the worlds leading exporter of cars.

Birth rates shot up.

Congress passed the G.I. Bill of Rights (1944). The Bill of Rights provided loans for home mortgages,

business, and education.


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The 1950s: The Eisenhower Years

The advent of television and the Korean Warstimulated the economy.

The Eisenhower administration Ended the Korean War and inflation.

Made no attempt to undo the legacies of the New Deal. The role of the federal government as a major economic

player became a permanent one.


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How did WWII impact the American economy? Why was the war followed by inflation? Is war a good

solution for an economic crisis? Why did the Sovietsultimately lose the Cold War if they spent a higher proportionof their GDP on defense?

What were the impacts of suburbanization on theU.S. economy?


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The Soaring Sixties: The Years of Kennedyand Johnson

The country was in recession when Kennedy waselected.

He was assassinated and replaced by Johnson in 1963.

Johnson enacted a tax cut planned by Kennedy.

The tax cut and the spending on the Vietnam war ended therecession.

The federal budget deficit and the money supplygrew (inflation began and lasted until the mid-80s).

Johnson created three entitlement programs:Medicare, Medicaid, and food stamps that wouldhave profound fiscal impact.


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The Sagging Seventies: The StagflationDecade (Stagnation + Inflation = Stagflation)

Nixon became President in 1968. The decade began with the problems of inflation and

ending the Vietnam war. Wage and price controls were initiated.

Ford became President when Nixon resigned. 1973 Economic disaster began.

OPEC quadrupled oil prices.

The U.S. was hit by the worst recession since the 1930s.

The U.S. faced double digit inflation.

The U.S. experienced stagflation. Economic stagnation + inflation

The Sagging Seventies: The Stagflation


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The Sagging Seventies: The StagflationDecade (Continued)

Jimmy Carter became President in 1976.

He presided over mounting budget deficits. The money supply grew rapidly.

Inflation rose almost to double digit levels.

He faced the Iranian revolution in 1979.

Gasoline prices went through the ceiling.

In October, 1979 the Fed stopped the growth of the moneysupply.

By January 1980, the country was in recession.

The inflation rate was 18%.

The nations productivity growth was at 1%, one third the

postwar rate.


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The 1980s: The Age of Reagan

Supply-Side vs. Keynesian economics

The objective of both is to stimulate output. Keynesian economics

The government should spend more money.

This would give business the incentive to produce more.

Supply-Side economics The government should cut tax rates.

Consumers would then have

More incentive to work.

More of their own money to spend and business would

produce more.


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The 1980s: The Age of Reagan (Continued)

The country was in a severe recession 1981.

It was the worst since WWII. Unemployment reached nearly 11% in 1982.

Inflation had been brought under control.

Unemployment rates began falling. They seemed to stick around 6%.

Deficits were a problem: $79 billion in 1981 and $290 billion in1992.

Personal income taxes were cut.

Bush won the election of 1988 with a pledge not toraise taxes.

Two years later, he agreed to a major tax increase. This was supposedly to reduce the deficit, but the deficit

continued to rise.

A recession began in early 1992 and ended in late 1992.

Bush failed in his bid for reelection.


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What led to the stagflation of the seventies? What eventually pulled our economy out of recession?

How did supply side economics differ from Keynesian

economics? Did supply side economics work?


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Case StudyState of American Agriculture

American agriculture has increased its productivity

tremendously over the past 200 years. In 1820, onefarmer could feed 4.5 people. Today, one farmer canfeed 500 people.

Despite heavy subsidization, the family farm has

disappeared. Big agribusiness dominates the field and European

and American governments spend billions of dollarsto subsidize agriculture to compete against one

another, leading to the overproduction of food whilemillions go hungry.


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The New Economy of the Nineties

It was a decade of major technological change. Marked by low inflation, low unemployment, and rapidly

growing productivity.

The Federal Government experienced small surpluses.

One of the most prosperous decades ever.

The stock market soared.

The length of the economic expansion ended in March 2001 (aperiod of 120 months); an all-time record.


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The New Economy of the Nineties(Continued)

The last two decades our economy has becomeincreasingly integrated with the global economy.

This has resulted in An exodus of jobs making shoes, electronics, toys, and

clothing to developing countries.

Service work like writing software code and processing creditcard receipts shifted to low-wage countries.

White collar jobs now moving offshore.

Routine service and engineering tasks are now going to

India, China, and Russia. Educated workers are paid a fraction of what their American

counterparts earn.


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The American Economy in the NewMillennium

2001 was not a good year for America. March 2001 the 10-year economic expansion ended (a

recession started).

The stock market started going down.

Unemployment began to creep up.

9/11 occurred. Unbridled optimism gave way to uncertainty.

In 2003 the war with Iraq began.

The U.S. possesses the worlds largest economy andhas developed greater military capabilities than anynation on earth, yet, there are troubling trends on thehorizon.


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Tomorrows Concerns

Rising budget deficits

Trade deficits

Weakening dollar

Low savings rates

Housing bubble Rising oil and resource prices

Concerns about our ability to preserve social security,Medicare, and other valued governmental programs

Extensive and expensive military commitmentsaround the globe


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How do present trends threaten your ability to live alife that is as comfortable as the life your parentslived?

Are there lessons from history that can guide U.S.decision makers on how to manage the economythrough its present challenges?

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Microeconomis Chapter 1

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