MICROGRIDS & VPPS - Guidehouseguidehouse.com/-/media/www/site/events/2016/pdfs/pasmus--amo-1… ·...

/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED1

MICROGRIDS & VPPS

NOVEMBER 3, 2016

ASSOCIATION OF

MUNICIPALITIES OF ONTARIO

/ ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED2 / ©2016 NAVIGANT CONSULTING, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED2

• Emerging infrastructure is far more integrated, dynamic, and complex

DISTRIBUTED GENERATION (DG)

Includes the generation of electricity from many small energy sources, including renewables; typically mass-produced, small, and site-specific

MICROGRIDS AND VIRTUAL POWER PLANTS

Applications or groupings of distributed energy resources (DER) that operate either connected or independent from a traditional centralized grid

ENERGY STORAGE

Devices or physical media that store energy to perform useful operation at a later time; balance the supply and demand of energy; improve power quality

DIGITALIZATION OF THE GRID:

• Smart inverters• Smart meters• Advanced sensors, controls,

and operation systems• Behind-the-meter (BTM)

technologies and solutions• Demand response (DR)

BUILDING ENERGY MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS

Digital control systems installed in buildings; enables energy efficiency, DR, and automated DR

ENERGY CLOUD IS MADE UP OF A DIVERSE SUITE OF

DISTRIBUTED ENERGY RESOURCES (DER) TECHNOLOGIES

(Source: Navigant Consulting)


NANOGRIDS, MICROGRIDS AND VPPS:

EMERGING ENERNET LANDSCAPE

Enernet Links Up Nanogrids to Microgrids to VPPs

(Sources: EMERGE Alliance, Navigant Research)


ROLE OF UTILITY AS MICROGRID GATEKEEPER

Mapping Utility Microgrid Strategies

(Source: Navigant Consulting)

(Source: DONG Energy)

Supportive

Active

Obstructive

Passive

Competing

Product/

Service

Impact

Policy

Product/

Service

Offering

Impact

Policy

Impede

Interconnect

Requests

Develop

Pilot

Engage

Interconnect

Requests

Wait and

See


MICROGRIDS IN

NORTH AMERICA


MICROGRIDS CAPACITY FORECAST: NORTH AMERICA

Microgrid Capacity by Segment, North America: 2015-2024

(Source: Navigant Research)

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

(MW

)

Remote Utility DistributionStationary Base Military Community ResilienceCommunity Commercial & IndustrialCampus/Institutional


REMOTE MICROGRIDS IN THE LEAD IN CANADA*

Annual Microgrid Capacity by Segment,

Canada: 2015-2020


-

5

10

15

20

25

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

(MW

)

Grid-Tied Microgrids Remote Microgrids

*Proposed 100 MW in SSM, Ontario could

radically alter this assumption.


PUBLIC VS. PRIVATE UTILITY

MICROGRID DEPLOYMENT TRENDS IN THE U.S.

Annual UDM Capacity & Implementation Revenue,

United States: 2015-2020


-

100.00

200.00

300.00

400.00

500.00

600.00

700.00

800.00

900.00

1,000.00

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

($ M

illi

on

s)

(MW

)

Public Power

IOU

Revenue


GLOBAL

MICROGRIDS

GROWTH

TRENDS


CANADA RANKS IN TOP 10 COUNTRIES FOR MICROGRIDS

Total Microgrid Capacity Market Share by Country,

World Markets: 2Q 2016


United States41%

China30%

Russia6%

Canada6%

Australia5%

Indonesia4%

India2%

Denmark2%

France2%

Haiti2%


NORTH AMERICA IS BEST OVERALL MICROGRID MARKET

Total Microgrid Power Capacity Market Share by

Region, World Markets: 2Q 2016

North America42%

Europe12%

Asia Pacific39%

Latin America4%

Middle East & Africa3%

Antarctica0%



REMOTE MICROGRIDS CLEAR GLOBAL SEGMENT LEADER

Total Microgrid Power Capacity Market Share by

Segment, World Markets: 2Q 2016


Commercial and Industrial6%

Community11%

Utility Distribution15%

Institutional/Campus10%

Military5%

Remote53%

Direct Current0%


VIRTUAL POWER

PLANTS


THREE CLASSES OF VIRTUAL POWER PLANTS


Classes Description Strength Weakness

DR VPP• Traditional DR markets

• Software aggregation• Low cost, flexible

•Uneven markets

• Policy uncertainty

Supply-side

VPP

•Renewable generation

• Smart grid enabled

• Software aggregation

• Large, stable vendors•Niche markets (EU)

• Few projects

Mixed-asset

VPP

•Unites DG + DR

•Resource flexibility

• Enhanced by storage

• Large pool of solar

PV+ES nanogrid

assets

• IT innovation

•New business models

•Controls standards

• Immature AS

markets

Mixed-asset VPPs enhanced by battery energy storage assets are poised to become clear VPP market leader


POWERHOUSE VPP BY POWERSTREAM & SUNVERGE

VPP Customer Acquisition Strategy

(Source: Powerstream)


MARKET FORECAST:

TELEMETRY, DEVICE CONTROLS & SOFTWARE

(Source: Navigant Research, Virtual Power Plant Enabling Technologies Report, 3Q 2016)

Total Annual VPP Capacity & Implementation Spending by Region,

World Markets: 2016-2025

$-

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

($ M

illio

ns)

(MW

)

North America

Europe

Asia Pacific

Latin America

Middle East & Africa

Implementation Spending Total


CONTACT US

MAIN OFFICE

1320 Pearl Street, Suite 300

Boulder, CO 80302

+1.303.997.7609

WORLDWIDE OFFICES

United States: Boulder, Colorado

Chicago, Illinois

San Francisco,

California

Washington, D.C.

Europe: Copenhagen,

Denmark

London,

United Kingdom

Asia Pacific: Seoul, South Korea

PETER ASMUS

Principal Research Analyst

+1.415.399.2137

[email protected]

mailto:[email protected]

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