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Middle Powers During Great Power Middle Powers During Great Power Transitions: China’s Rise and the Transitions: China’s Rise and the Future of Canada-U.S. RelationsFuture of Canada-U.S. Relations
Bruce Gilley, Portland State UniversityBruce Gilley, Portland State University
China’s Rising PowerChina’s Rising Power
Relative Shares of World GDP (%)
CHINA
CHINA
CANADA
Power vs. PurposePower vs. Purpose
Power Transitions• China seeks to expand its
global influence using military, economic, cultural, and political power
• Canada-U.S. conflict
Purpose Transitions• China seeks to revise
dominant global liberal norms in security, governance, and trade
• Canada-U.S. cooperation
Power Transition in East AsiaPower Transition in East Asia
Investment to/from Canada (China Investment to/from Canada (China as % of Japan)as % of Japan)
China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan-born China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan-born population (% total population)population (% total population)
Similarity of UN VotingSimilarity of UN Voting
CANADA-U.S.
CANADA-CHINA