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Milk Production and Marketing in Organized Smallholder Dairy Value Chains: A Case Study of Dairy Development Programme Schemes in Zimbabwe By Tafireyi Chamboko Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension Faculty of Agriculture University of Zimbabwe A Thesis Submitted in Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Agriculture, Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Zimbabwe June 2019
Transcript

Milk Production and Marketing in Organized Smallholder Dairy Value Chains:

A Case Study of Dairy Development Programme Schemes in Zimbabwe

By

Tafireyi Chamboko

Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension

Faculty of Agriculture

University of Zimbabwe

A Thesis Submitted in Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of

Philosophy in Agriculture, Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension, Faculty of

Agriculture, University of Zimbabwe

June 2019

ii

Dedication

This Thesis is dedicated to my mother, the late Kupurai Respina Chamboko. I pray to God

that her soul rests in eternal peace.

iii

Acknowledgements

There are a number of people who assisted in various ways to make this study possible.

Unfortunately, space does not allow to thank all of them individually. Firstly, I would like to

thank my main supervisor, Dr. Emmanuel Mwakiwa for his academic guidance and

encouragement throughout the course of study. I also want to thank my associate supervisors

Professors Prisca Mugabe and Mandivamba Rukuni. Professor Rukuni provided insightful

ideas and comments in earlier stages of the research. My thanks also go to my initial

supervisors Professor N.T. Ngongoni and Augustine Zvinavashe during the early stages of the

study before the changes in the supervisory team.

My thanks also go to the Department of Livestock and Veterinary Services, in particular the

Division of Livestock Production and Development which facilitated data collection in the

smallholder dairy schemes through introductions in the specific areas. The International

Livestock Research Institute (ILRI) Southern Africa Regional office in Zimbabwe is

acknowledged for providing relevant literature. My research assistants Hazel Sethaunyane in

Chikwaka, Mirandah Jena in Nharira-Lancashire, Mathew Madzimbamuto in Marirangwe

and Manuel Mujaji in Rusitu in Chipinge provided support in data collection in the survey

areas and maintaining rapport with the communities in the survey sites. I would also like to

thank all the participating smallholder dairy producers in the respective schemes for providing

the data during the interviews.

I would also like to thank all my colleagues in the Department of Agricultural Economics and

Extension for providing insightful comments during the course of the study. Finally, I would

like to acknowledge the support and encouragement throughout the study from my wife Gloria

Miriam Changundega, and my children Chiratidzo Respina, Kudakwashe Leo Tafireyi and

Tanyaradzwa Michelle.

This study would not have been possible without financial support. A PhD thesis grant from

the Africa Economic Research Consortium (AERC) based in Nairobi, Kenya is greatly

acknowledged.

iv

Milk Production and Marketing in Organized Smallholder Dairy Value Chains: A Case

Study of Dairy Development Programme Schemes in Zimbabwe

Abstract

At the attainment of Zimbabwe’s independence, the government of Zimbabwe established the

smallholder dairy development programme to encourage smallholder farmers to participate in

organized value chains. Although now more than three decades since the government

established this programme, smallholder contribution to formal markets remains very low at

5%. The objectives of this study were to (1) analyze the trends in smallholder milk production

and marketing including the effect of policies since the introduction of the smallholder dairy

development programme in 1983 (2) determine the main factors influencing milk production

in the smallholder dairy value chain (3) analyze the factors affecting milk market participation

(4) determine ex-ante the potential effect of introducing an animal production and forage

centre (APFC), and (5) assess the role of farmers’ cooperatives in the commercialization of

milk in the smallholder dairy value chain. Four dairy schemes were purposively selected and

185 farmers selected through simple random sampling were interviewed using a pretested

structured questionnaire. The analysis of variance results indicate that policies had an effect

on national and smallholder milk production. The results indicate that the Milk Collection

Centre (MCC) is the main market for milk produced in the organized smallholder dairy value

chains. Multiple linear regression analysis showed independent variables that were significant

in influencing milk production were household size, age and dairy farming experience of the

head of household, number of milking cows, and cost of concentrates. The first-stage

Heckman model showed determinants of milk market participation to be total number of dairy

cows owned, educational level and age of household head, household size, access to

information and extension services, and agro-ecological region. The second-stage Heckman

model indicates the determinants of volume of milk sales to the MCC to be the total number

of dairy cows owned, distance to the MCC, age of household head, land holding size, access

to extension services and agro-ecological region. Ex-ante benefit cost analysis of the APFC

indicate that such a centre would be profitable with a benefit cost ratio of 5.4:1. Farmers’

organization through the milk collection centres was found to be essential in making farmers’

access to information and lucrative milk markets. The Tobit model indicates access to

information, distance to the MCC and producer price of milk paid by the MCC were the major

determinants of the commercialization of milk sold to the MCC. The study recommends that

policies to improve milk production should include interventions that target the provision of

appropriate and adequate training in milk production. Policy interventions also need to target

increasing the number of dairy cows for smallholder dairy producers, targeting young and

educated farmers located in high potential agro-ecological regions I and II, and ensuring

market access. These should be provided with adequate and appropriate information and

extension packages in order to enhance milk market participation and volume of sales. The

APFC is a new concept for the smallholder organized dairy value chains, and policy

interventions should be directed at piloting the concept in order to assess its feasibility and

contribution to milk production. Establishing sub-centre MCC within easy reach of farmers

would enhance commercialization of the milk if favourable market and price policies are

developed and implemented.

Keywords: dairy development, organized, smallholder, value chains

v

Table of Contents

Dedication ................................................................................................................................. ii

Acknowledgements ................................................................................................................ iii

Abstract .................................................................................................................................... iv

List of Tables ............................................................................................................................ x

List of Figures ....................................................................................................................... xiii

List of Appendices ................................................................................................................. xiv

List of Abbreviations and Acronyms ................................................................................... xv

CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION .................................................................................... 1

1.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 1

1.2 Background ........................................................................................................................ 2

1.3 Statement of the Problem .................................................................................................. 7

1.4 Research Focus ................................................................................................................... 8

1.4.1 Objectives of the Study .......................................................................................... 8

1.4.2 Research Questions ................................................................................................ 9

1.4.3 Study Hypotheses ............................................................................................... 9

1.5 Justification ...................................................................................................................... 10

1.6 Organisation of the Study ............................................................................................... 11

CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW ..................................................................... 13

2.1 Introduction ...................................................................................................................... 13

2.2 Value Chains and Value Chain Analysis ....................................................................... 13

2.3 Empirical Studies on Smallholder Dairy Production and Marketing ........................ 17

2.3.1 Factors Influencing Dairy Production ............................................................... 18

2.3.2 Feed Resources and Smallholder Dairy Production ......................................... 21

2.3.3 Factors Affecting Milk Marketing Participation and Volume of Sales .......... 26

2.3.4 Farmers’ Organization and Commercialization of Smallholder Dairying .... 34

2.4 Dairy Value Chain in Zimbabwe .................................................................................... 38

2.5 Conceptual Framework for this Study .......................................................................... 42

2.6 Summary of Insights from the Literature ..................................................................... 44

CHAPTER THREE: RESEARCH METHODS ................................................................. 48

3.1 Introduction ...................................................................................................................... 48

3.2 Data Sources ..................................................................................................................... 48

vi

3.3 Selection of Study Sites .................................................................................................... 49

3.4 Location and Description of Study Sites ........................................................................ 50

3.4.1 Chikwaka Smallholder Dairy Scheme ............................................................... 50

3.4.2 Nharira-Lancashire Smallholder Dairy Scheme............................................... 51

3.4.3 Marirangwe Smallholder Dairy Scheme ........................................................... 51

3.4.4 Rusitu Smallholder Dairy Scheme ..................................................................... 51

3.5 Primary Data Collection Methods and Tools ................................................................ 52

3.6 Secondary Sources of Data and Types of Data Collected ............................................ 52

3.7 Sampling Procedures ....................................................................................................... 53

3.8 Limitations of Data Collection Methods Used............................................................... 53

3.9 Analytical Framework ..................................................................................................... 54

3.10 Analysis and Econometric Models used in the Study ................................................. 57

3.11 Data Entry and Analysis ............................................................................................... 67

3.12 Study Contribution to the Body of Knowledge ........................................................... 68

CHAPTER FOUR: A REVIEW OF SMALLHOLDER DAIRY DEVELOPMENT IN

ZIMBABWE 1983 TO 2013: THE EFFECT OF POLICIES ................................... 70

4.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................... 70

4.2 Review of the Developments in Milk Production in Zimbabwe .................................. 70

4.2.1 Large Scale Commercial Dairying ..................................................................... 71

4.2.2 Why smallholder dairying after independence? ............................................... 72

4.2.3 Evolution of Smallholder Dairying .................................................................... 73

4.2.4 The First Communal Farming Area Dairy Scheme ......................................... 73

4.2.5 The First Small Scale Commercial Farming Area Dairy Scheme ................... 75

4.2.6 Major Policies during the Period 1980 to 2013 ................................................. 76

4.3 Analysis of Milk Intake ................................................................................................... 78

4.3.1 Trends in National Milk Intake .......................................................................... 78

4.3.2 Effect of Policies on National Milk Intake ......................................................... 79

4.3.3 Trends in Smallholder Milk Intake .................................................................... 80

4.3.4 Effect of Policies on Smallholder Milk Intake ................................................... 81

4.4 Effects of Polices on Milk Intake of Selected Smallholder Dairy Schemes ................ 82

4.5 Discussion.......................................................................................................................... 84

4.5.1 Effect of Policies on National Milk Intake ......................................................... 84

4.5.2 Effect of Policies in the Different Policy Periods on Smallholder Milk Intake86

4.6 Constraints to Smallholder Dairy Development ........................................................... 88

4.7 Potential for Smallholder Dairy Development .............................................................. 90

vii

4.8 Summary ........................................................................................................................... 95

CHAPTER FIVE: FACTORS INFLUENCING MILK PRODUCTION IN THE

SMALLHOLDER DAIRY VALUE CHAIN.............................................................. 97

5.1 Introduction ...................................................................................................................... 97

5.2 The Structure of the Smallholder Dairy Value Chain in the Four Study Sites.......... 97

5.2.1 Description of the Semi-Formal Smallholder Dairy Value Chain (Chikwaka

and Nharira-Lancashire study sites) ........................................................................... 98

5.2.2 Description of formal smallholder dairy value chain (Marirangwe and Rusitu

study sites).................................................................................................................... 100

5.3 Characteristics of Smallholder Dairy Producers in the Schemes Studied................ 101

5.3.1 Characterization of the Smallholder dairy schemes ....................................... 101

5.3.2 Household Demographics .................................................................................. 102

5.3.3 Occupation and Agricultural Training of Head of Household ...................... 104

5.4 General Livestock Ownership and Investments in Dairy Infrastructure and

Equipment ............................................................................................................................ 105

5.4.1 General Livestock and Dairy Cattle Ownership ............................................. 106

5.4.2 Dairy Infrastructure and Investments ............................................................. 106

5.5 Dairy Herd Composition ............................................................................................... 107

5.6 Types of Breeds .............................................................................................................. 108

5.7 Access to Artificial Insemination (AI) and Cost.......................................................... 109

5.8 Reproductive Performance Parameters of Dairy Cattle in the Study Sites ............. 110

5.8.1 Reproductive Performance of Mashona Breeds ............................................. 110

5.8.2 Reproductive Performance of Pure Breeds ..................................................... 111

5.8.3 Reproductive Performance of Cross Breeds ................................................... 112

5.9 Milk Production in the Smallholder Dairy Schemes .................................................. 114

5.10 Access to credit by smallholder dairy farmers for the period 2011 to 2015 ........... 114

5.11 Access to Dairy Extension Services ............................................................................ 118

5.12 Analysis of Factors Influencing Milk Production in the Smallholder Dairy Value

Chain ..................................................................................................................................... 120

5.12.1 Multiple Regression Analysis Model Diagnostics ......................................... 120

5.12.2 Multiple Regression Analysis Results ............................................................ 123

5.13 Discussion...................................................................................................................... 124

5.13.1 Characteristics of Smallholder Dairy Producers in the Study Sites ........... 124

5.13.2 Factors Influencing Milk Production in the Smallholder Dairy Value

Chain ............................................................................................................................ 132

5.14 Summary ....................................................................................................................... 134

viii

CHAPTER SIX: DETERMINANTS OF MARKET PARTICIPATION AND

VOLUME OF MILK SOLD TO MILK COLLECTION CENTRES ................... 136

6.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................... 136

6.2 Milk Marketing Outlets in the Smallholder Dairy Schemes ...................................... 137

6.2.1 Milk Marketing Outlets Used by Farmers ...................................................... 137

6.2.2 Quantity of Milk Sold and Prices ..................................................................... 137

6.2.3 Reasons for Selling to the Specific Market Outlets......................................... 138

6.2.4 Reasons for not Delivering Milk to the Milk Collection Centre .................... 140

6.3 Sources of Agricultural and Market Information ...................................................... 140

6.3.1 Major Source of Agricultural Information ..................................................... 141

6.3.2 Source of Information on Market Prices of Milk and Milk Products .......... 141

6.3.3 Use of Mobile Phones for Dairy Enterprise Information ............................... 142

6.4 Major Constraints in Transporting Milk to the Market ............................................ 143

6.5 Summary of Socio-Economic and Demographic Characteristics of Milk Market

Participants and Non-Participants ..................................................................................... 144

6.6 Factors Affecting Milk Market Participation and Volume of Milk Sales to the MCC

of the Smallholder Dairy Value Chain ............................................................................... 145

6.6.1 Results of the First-Stage Heckman Model ..................................................... 146

6.6.2 Results of the Second-Stage Heckman Model ................................................. 146

6.7 Discussion........................................................................................................................ 147

6.7.1 Milk Marketing Outlets ..................................................................................... 148

6.7.2 Agricultural Information .................................................................................. 149

6.7.3 Constraints in Transporting Milk to the Market............................................ 150

6.7.4 Socio-economic Characteristics of Milk Market Participants and Non-

Participants .................................................................................................................. 150

6.7.5 Determinants of Milk Market Participation and Volume of Sales to the MCC

of the Smallholder Dairy Value Chain ...................................................................... 153

6.8 Summary ......................................................................................................................... 161

CHAPTER SEVEN: ANALYSIS OF ANIMAL PRODUCTION AND FORAGE

CENTRE INTERVENTION IN THE SMALLHOLDER DAIRY VALUE

CHAIN ......................................................................................................................... 163

7.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................... 163

7.2 Feed Resources in Smallholder Dairy Schemes .......................................................... 164

7.2.1 Types of Feeding Systems used for Dairy Cattle............................................. 164

7.2.2 Sources of Dairy Feed ........................................................................................ 165

7.2.3 Types of Grazing Used....................................................................................... 165

ix

7.2.4 Types of Feeds .................................................................................................... 166

7.2.5 Improved Pastures ............................................................................................. 167

7.2.6 Fodder Production ............................................................................................. 168

7.3 Costs of Production and Viability of Dairy Production ............................................. 172

7.4 Animal Production and Forage Centre........................................................................ 174

7.4.1 Farmer Perceptions on the Animal Production and Forage Centre ............. 174

7.4.2 Willingness to Pay for Construction and Services of the Animal Production

and Forage Centre ...................................................................................................... 176

7.4.3 Advantages of the APFC to the Dairy Enterprise and other Services the

Centre should provide ................................................................................................ 180

7.5 Main Characteristics for Smallholder Dairy Schemes Supplying the Semi-formal

and Formal Value Chains ................................................................................................... 182

7.6 Ex-ante Analysis of the Benefits and Costs of the Animal Production and Forage

Centre .................................................................................................................................... 185

7.7 Discussion........................................................................................................................ 187

7.7.1 Feed Resources in Smallholder Dairy Schemes .............................................. 187

7.7.2 Cost of Production and Viability of Dairy Production ................................... 192

7.7.3 Animal Production and Forage Centre............................................................ 194

7.8 Summary ......................................................................................................................... 198

CHAPTER EIGHT: ROLE OF FARMER ORGANISATION IN THE

SMALLHOLDER DAIRY VALUE CHAIN..................................................................... 200

8.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................... 200

8.2 Major Reasons for Membership of Milk Collection Centres..................................... 200

8.3 Services Provided by the Milk Marketing Cooperatives through the MCC ............ 204

8.4 Access to Services Provided by the Milk Marketing Cooperative over the Years... 205

8.5 Ranking of Production Constraints ............................................................................. 206

8.6 Ranking of Marketing Constraints .............................................................................. 210

8.7 Determinants of Milk Commercialization through the MCC of the Smallholder

Dairy Value Chain ............................................................................................................... 213

8.8 Role of Farmer Cooperatives in the Dairy Value Chain ............................................ 215

8.9 Summary ......................................................................................................................... 217

CHAPTER NINE: CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ............................ 220

9.1 Conclusions ..................................................................................................................... 220

9.1.1 Factors Influencing Milk Production in the Dairy Value Chain ................... 220

9.1.2 Determinants of Milk Marketing Participation and Volume of Sales in the

Smallholder Dairy Value Chain ................................................................................ 220

x

9.1.3 Animal Production and Forage Centre............................................................ 221

9.1.4 Role of Farmers’ Organization through Milk Marketing Cooperatives in the

Smallholder Dairy Value Chain ................................................................................ 222

9.2 Recommendations .......................................................................................................... 222

9.3 Areas for Further Study ................................................................................................ 224

References ............................................................................................................................. 226

List of Tables

Table 3.1: Characteristics of smallholder dairy schemes selected for the study, 2015 ........... 50

Table 3.2: Analytical framework of the study ......................................................................... 55

Table 3.3: Description of variables used in the model and expected sign ............................... 60

Table 3.4: Description of dependent and independent variables used in Heckman two-step

selection model ........................................................................................................................ 63

Table 3.5: Description of variables used in the Tobit model ................................................... 67

Table 4.1: Summary examples of empirical research studies highlighting the fodder/feed

constraint in smallholder dairy schemes .................................................................................. 93

Table 5.1: Characteristics of smallholder dairy producers by study site, 2015 ..................... 102

Table 5.2: Household demographic characteristics by study site, 2015 ................................ 104

Table 5.3: Occupation and agricultural training of household head by study site, 2015 ....... 105

Table 5.4: General livestock ownership by study site, 2015 ................................................. 106

Table 5.5: Farmers’ investments in dairy infrastructure by study site, 2015 ......................... 107

Table 5.6: Composition of the dairy herd by study site, 2015 ............................................... 108

Table 5.7: Main types of cow breeds milked by study site, 2015 .......................................... 109

Table 5.8: Access to artificial insemination services and cost by study site, 2015 .............. 110

Table 5.9: Mashona breed average lactation length, calving, weaning, mortalities and

purchases by study site, 2015................................................................................................. 111

Table 5.10: Pure bred average lactation length, calving, weaning, mortalities and purchases

by study site, 2015 ................................................................................................................ 112

Table 5.11: Cross bred average lactation length, calving, weaning, mortalities and purchases

by study site, 2015 ................................................................................................................. 113

Table 5.12: Milk production by study site, 2015 ................................................................... 114

xi

Table 5.13: Percentage of farmers accessing credit facilities by study site, 2015 ................. 115

Table 5.14: Credit obtained during the period 2011 to 2015 by study site, 2015 ................. 116

Table 5.15: Use of credit obtained during the period 2011 to 2015 by smallholder dairy

farmers, 2015 ......................................................................................................................... 117

Table 5.16: Reasons some smallholder dairy farmers did not access credit during the period

2011 to 2015, 2015 ................................................................................................................ 118

Table 5.17: Access to extension services by study site, 2015 ............................................... 119

Table 5.18: Characteristics of smallholder dairy producers delivering milk to semi-formal

and formal dairy value chains ................................................................................................ 120

Table 5.19: Link tests results of the model ............................................................................ 121

Table 5.20: Collinearity diagnostics ...................................................................................... 122

Table 5.21: Multiple linear regression of factors influencing milk production ..................... 124

Table 6.1: Farmers selling milk to the MCC and other market outlets by study site, 2015 .. 137

Table 6.2: Quantity of milk sold and prices by study site, 2015 ........................................... 138

Table 6.3: Reasons for selling to the MCC by study site, 2015............................................. 139

Table 6.4: Reasons for not delivering milk to the MCC by study site, 2015......................... 140

Table 6.5: Major source of agricultural information by study site, 2015 .............................. 141

Table 6.6: Source of information on market prices of milk and milk products by study site,

2015........................................................................................................................................ 142

Table 6.7: Cellphone ownership and type of information received by study site, 2015........ 143

Table 6.8: Major constraints in transporting milk to the market by study site, 2015 ............ 144

Table 6.9: Socio-economic and demographic characteristics of milk market participants and

non-participants...................................................................................................................... 145

Table 6.10: Estimated parameters of the binary probit model for factors determining market

participation ........................................................................................................................... 146

Table 6.11: Results of second stage Heckman selection of factors affecting volume of sales

to the MCC ............................................................................................................................. 147

Table 7.1: Percentage reporting type of feeding system used for dairy cattle by study site,

2015........................................................................................................................................ 164

Table 7.2: Percentage of farmers reporting source of dairy feed by study site, 2015 ........... 165

Table 7.3: Percentage of farmers reporting type of grazing used for dairy animals by study

site, 2015 ................................................................................................................................ 166

xii

Table 7.4: Percentage of farmers reporting type of feeds used for dairy animals by study

site, 2015 ................................................................................................................................ 167

Table 7.5: Planted pastures by study site, 2015 ..................................................................... 168

Table 7.6: Fodder production by study site, 2015 ................................................................. 169

Table 7.7: Quantity of maize grain and fodder crops harvested by study site, 2015 ............. 170

Table 7.8: Quantity of fodder crops harvested and fed as green material (kg) by study site,

2015........................................................................................................................................ 171

Table 7.9: Quantity processed into fodder (kg) by study site, 2015 ...................................... 171

Table 7.10: Cost of production and income for milk production by study site (USD) .......... 173

Table 7.11: Costs of milk production as percent of total variable costs by study site, 2015 174

Table 7.12: Farmers willing to buy feed and fodder from the animal production and forage

centre by study site, 2015....................................................................................................... 175

Table 7.13: Willingness to construct and responsibility for construction of animal

production and forage centre by study site ............................................................................ 178

Table 7.14: Amount farmers are willing to contribute for the construction of the animal

production and forage centre by study site ............................................................................ 179

Table 7.15: Willingness to pay for AI services provided by the animal production and forage

centre by study site................................................................................................................. 180

Table 7.16: Farmers perceptions of advantages such a centre would provide to the dairy

enterprise by study site, 2015................................................................................................ 181

Table 7.17: Farmers perceptions of other services to be provided by the animal production

and forage centre if established by study site, 2015 .............................................................. 182

Table 7.18: Feed characteristics of semi-formal and formal value chains, 2015 ................. 184

Table 7.19: Comparison of Benefit Cost ratios of the APFC Scenarios, with and without the

APFC, 2015............................................................................................................................ 187

Table 8.1: Reasons for being a member of the MCC by study site, 2015 ............................. 202

Table 8.2: Percentage of farmers reporting services provided by the milk marketing

cooperatives through the MCC by study site, 2015 ............................................................... 205

Table 8.3: Farmer perceptions on whether membership of the farmer cooperative improved

access to services by study site, 2015 .................................................................................... 206

Table 8.4: Ranking of production constraints in all the study sites, 2015 ............................. 208

Table 8.5: Ranking of marketing constraints in all the study sites, 2015 .............................. 211

xiii

List of Figures

Figure 2.1: Flow diagram of the smallholder value chain and the location of the animal

production and forage centre at the milk collection centre ...................................................... 43

Figure 4.1:Zimbabwe national milk intake from 1980 to 2012 ............................................... 79

Figure 4.2: Mean (±95% CL) national milk intake (million litres) for different policy periods

interactive bars. Numbers in bars are subgroups in descending order based on multiple

comparison tests ....................................................................................................................... 80

Figure 4.3: Smallholder milk intake (million litres) 1988 - 2012 ............................................ 81

Figure 4.4: Mean (±95% CL) smallholder milk intake in litres for different policy periods .. 82

interactive bars. Numbers in bars are subgroups based on multiple comparison tests. ........... 82

Figure 4.5: Mean (±95% CL) Rusitu dairy scheme milk intake in litres for different policy . 83

periods interactive bars. Numbers in bars are subgroups based on multiple comparison tests.

.................................................................................................................................................. 83

Figure 4.6: Mean (±95% CL) Marirangwe dairy scheme milk intake in litres for different ... 83

policy periods interactive bars. Numbers in bars are subgroups based on multiple ................ 83

comparison tests. ...................................................................................................................... 83

Figure 5.1: Diagrammatic presentation of the semi-formal smallholder dairy value chain

(Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire smallholder dairy schemes) ............................................ 99

Figure 5.2: Diagrammatic presentation of the formal smallholder dairy value chain

(Marirangwe and Rusitu smallholder dairy schemes) ........................................................... 101

Figure 5.3: Kernel density estimate ....................................................................................... 123

Figure 7.1: Reasons for prioritizing cows in milk for feeding with feed from the centre

(n=185) ................................................................................................................................... 176

xiv

List of Appendices

Appendices ............................................................................................................................ 241

Annex 1: Information on smallholder dairy development schemes ...................................... 241

Table 1: The Distribution of Dairy Development Programme Smallholder Dairy Projects .. 241

Table 2: Grouping of Smallholder Dairy Projects According to Performance/Status ........... 242

Table 3: Smallholder Dairy Scheme Members, Current and Potential, Zimbabwe 2015 ...... 243

Annex 2: Questionnaires and Interview Guides .................................................................... 243

Questionnaire 1: Household Questionnaire ........................................................................... 243

Interview Guide 1: Focus Group Discussion Guide .............................................................. 256

Interview Guide 2: Key Informant Interviews Guide Milk Collection Centre ...................... 258

Interview Guide 3: Key Informant Guide Stakeholders ........................................................ 262

Item 4: Letter to facilitate data collection .............................................................................. 266

Annex 3: Benefit-Cost Analysis of Animal Production and Forage Centre .......................... 267

Table 1: Parameters used with and without animal production and forage centre benefit-cost

analysis ................................................................................................................................... 267

Table 2: Benefit and Cost Streams of the Present Value of Costs and Benefits .................... 267

Table 3: Cost of setting up the hypothetical APFC ............................................................... 268

Table 4: Sensitivity Analysis of the Present Value of Costs and Benefits ............................ 268

Annex 4: Publications ............................................................................................................ 269

Paper 1: T Chamboko and E Mwakiwa. 2016. A review of smallholder dairy development in

Zimbabwe 1983 to 2013: the effect of policies. LRRD 28 (6) .............................................. 269

Paper 2: T. Chamboko, E. Mwakiwa and P.H. Mugabe. 2017. Determinants of Milk Market

Participation and Volume of Sales to Milk Collection Centres of the Smallholder Dairy

Value Chain in Zimbabwe ..................................................................................................... 284

Paper 3: Ex-ante benefit-cost analysis of an animal production and forage centre for a

smallholder dairy value chain in Zimbabwe .......................................................................... 300

xv

List of Abbreviations and Acronyms

Agritex Department of Agricultural Technical and Extension Services

AI Artificial Insemination

AMA Agricultural Marketing Authority

ANOVA Analysis of Variance

ARDA Agricultural and Rural Development Authority

APFC Animal Production and Forage Centre

BCR Benefit Cost Ratio

CBS Competitive Brand Shapers

CsPro Census and Survey Processing Programme

DDP Dairy Development Programme

DMB Dairy Marketing Board

DVS Department of Veterinary Services

DZL Dairibord Zimbabwe Limited

EEC European Economic Community

ESAP Economic Structural Adjustment Programme

FTLRR Fast Track Land Reform and Redistribution programme

FV Future Value

EU European Union

FGD Focus Group Discussion

GDP Gross Domestic Product

GoZ Government of Zimbabwe

Ha Hectare

ICT Information and Communication Technologies

LMAC Livestock and Meat Advisory Council

LSC Large scale commercial farmers

xvi

LPD Division of Livestock Production and Development

MAMID Ministry of Agriculture, Mechanization and Irrigation

Development

MC Milk collection centre

NADF National Association of Dairy Farmers

NDC National Dairy Cooperative

NGO Non-Governmental Organization

NORAD Norwegian Agency for Development Cooperation

NOK Norwegian Krone

NR Natural region

Kg Kilograms

Km Kilometers

ODA Overseas Development Association

PSIP Public Sector Investment Programme

PV Present Value

SD Standard Deviation

SH Smallholder

SNV Netherlands Development Organisation

SPSS Statistical Package for Social Sciences

UHT Ultra high temperature

USADF United States African Development Fund

USAID United States Agency for International Development

USD United States Dollar

VIF Variance Inflation Factor

ZADF Zimbabwe Association of Dairy Farmers

ZDIT Zimbabwe Dairy Industry Trust

ZimStats Zimbabwe Statistical Agency

ZWD Zimbabwe Dollar

1

CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION

1.1 Introduction

The agricultural sector in Zimbabwe supports the livelihoods of approximately 70% of the

population, and contributes approximately 18% of GDP (ZimStats, 2013). It contributes more

than 60% of inputs to the manufacturing sector (RBZ, 2016). The dairy subsector is an important

component of the agricultural sector, with dairy produce contributing about 3% of the value of

agricultural production at 2012 prices (ZimStats, 2013). Most of the contribution of the dairy

subsector comes from large scale commercial farms. In the smallholder areas, in addition to

income from the sale of milk, dairying contributes to poverty reduction and the food security for

rural households.

Dairying is a specialized activity which has traditionally developed around the major urban

centres in Zimbabwe. Most of the large scale dairy farms are found within the peri-urban areas

of the major cities such as Harare, Gweru, Mutare, and Bulawayo. This is mainly because the

urban areas provide the main consumption centres for the dairy products and have access to cold

chain facilities, with the rural areas getting the residual supply from the urban centres. Milk

processing plants are mainly located in the main urban centres to cater for the needs of the urban

population. As a result, consumption of milk and milk products has mainly been focused on

these areas. Although statistics are no longer available, it was previously estimated that urban

milk consumption was approximately 68 litres per capita compared to 19 litres per capita in the

rural areas (Mutukumira et al., 1996). With the development of rural service centres or growth

points after the country’s independence in 1980, and the evolution of smallholder dairying, the

structure of the dairy industry in Zimbabwe has largely remained unchanged, with the dairy

value chains focused on supplying the major urban centres. The rural growth points provide

potential for the growth of the dairy industry, but this potential has largely remained untapped.

2

Trends in national milk production have largely determined the consumption patterns of milk in

both the rural and urban areas. According to MAMID (2014), national milk production has

steadily declined from a peak of 260 million litres in 1991 to 54 million litres in 2014.

According to FAOSTAT (2018) per capita milk consumption in Zimbabwe, in 2013 was

reported to be 26 kg per year compared to regional countries such as South Africa with 36 kg

per year. The Poverty, Income, Consumption and Expenditure Survey of 2011-2012 showed that

the levels of consumption of animal protein in Zimbabwe are very low. An average person in

Zimbabwe was reported to consume less than 22 litres of milk per annum against a world average

of 105 litres. The consumption levels are particularly low in rural areas where the majority of

the population resides. The Government over the years has implemented a number of policies,

some supportive of dairy production, while others have had the opposite effect. One of the major

policies was to broaden the milk supply base through the creation of the smallholder dairy

development programme that offered opportunities and allowed participation of smallholder

farmers in dairy production and marketing.

1.2 Background

Dairying, like many other agricultural enterprises in pre-independent Zimbabwe, was

predominantly a large scale commercial farmer activity (Dube, 2008). Small scale commercial,

resettled and communal farmers produced milk for mainly subsistence purposes. This dualism

in the economy characterized agricultural commodity production and marketing, whereby large

scale commercial farmers dominated the formal markets, while small scale commercial, resettled

and communal farmers produced for subsistence purposes. The dual nature of the economy

persisted into post-independent Zimbabwe. After independence, the government of Zimbabwe

sought to bring these disadvantaged subsectors into the mainstream economy through efforts to

improve their productivity and participation in formal markets. This was in line with the

3

government’s pursuit of the objective of growth with equity adopted soon after independence.

The new government stressed its commitment to improving conditions in communal and other

groups by encouraging farmers to increase their participation in the market (Muir-Leresche,

2006).

Farmers’ participation in the market was facilitated through several instruments such as

production and marketing incentives. State control of the provision of subsidized inputs and

maintenance of a single channel marketing system for the major agricultural commodities in the

first decade of independence also facilitated participation. Throughout the 1980s, government

maintained a highly centralized agricultural marketing and control system (Muir-Leresche and

Muchopa, 2006). This centralized marketing and control was effected through marketing boards.

The Dairy Marketing Board (DMB) had monopoly in domestic and external trade of all dairy

products. The 1990s saw the introduction of structural adjustment programmes that sought to

liberalize marketing of agricultural commodities, including dairy. The DMB was initially

commercialized in 1993 and then fully privatized in 1996 (Muir-Leresche and Muchopa, 2006).

The government then removed price controls and allowed private companies and cooperatives

to enter the milk industry and compete with the DMB. The liberalization of markets opened

opportunities for wider participation by communal farmers in urban markets and a movement

from the hub and spoke system that predominated (Muir-Leresche and Muchopa, 2006). The

liberalization created opportunities for farmers to participate in emerging value chains including

dairy that were previously dominated by large scale commercial farmers. However, there are

other factors that limited participation in value chains like dairy. These included the capital

intensive nature of the dairy value chain. For smallholder dairy farmers, this was mainly to be

achieved through the smallholder Dairy Development Programme (DDP).

4

Within the context of the smallholder DDP, it may be necessary to define a smallholder farmer.

This is necessary given the current agrarian structure post the fast track land reform and

distribution programme implemented from the year 2000. The large scale commercial, small

scale commercial, old resettlement and communal were the main farming systems based on

tenure in the first two decades of independence. The fast track land reform and redistribution

programme in the 2000s resulted in two additional forms of farming systems, the A1 and A2

models. The A1 model is basically similar to the communal, while the A2 model resembles the

large scale farming system. Dube (2006) defines smallholder dairy farmer as any farmer in the

small scale commercial, resettlement or communal area with interest and capacity to undertake

market oriented dairy production. In this study, smallholder dairy farmer refers to market

oriented dairy farmers located in the small scale commercial, old resettlement and communal

areas, particularly where there have been dairy schemes meant to mobilize the milk for marketing

within the context of DDP.

The DDP was started by government in 1983 with the mandate to spearhead the development of

organized smallholder dairy value chains in communal, small-scale commercial, and

resettlement areas. The objective of the programme was to improve the incomes and living

standards of rural communities. This was to be achieved using milk as a tool for development

(DDP, 2010).

The main thrust of the DDP was to develop dairy value chain marketing infrastructure through

setting up milk collection centres (MCC) and to train and advise smallholder dairy farmers. The

programme sought to improve the dairy value chain within the existing farms and socio-

economic systems of the smallholder farming systems. Pilot DDP schemes and MCC were

established at Marirangwe Small Scale Commercial Area in 1983 and Chikwaka Communal

Area in 1985, respectively. Over the years, the number of schemes has grown to the total of 28

5

located throughout the country. About four of the diary schemes supply milk to private

processors, while the rest process the milk into various products sold to the local communities

(DDP, 2007). This implies that four of the smallholder dairy schemes are linked to the modern

high value chains that supply the main urban and export markets, while the rest are linked to

informal and semi-formal value chains that primarily supply local markets.

As part of the development of the smallholder dairy schemes, farmers were required to organize

and constitute themselves into formal bodies for purposes of being accountable to their group

members, Dairy Board and to Government (DMB, 1988). Farmers initially organized themselves

as farmer associations. The associations were to be registered with the Dairy Marketing Board

(DMB) as a single producer (DMB, 1988). However, in order to access funding from donors and

financial institutions required that the farmers organized themselves along business lines. As a

result, the associations transformed to form farmer organized and managed milk marketing

cooperatives. The role of the marketing cooperatives are to collect the milk produced by

individual farmers in the dairy scheme for delivery to processors, or participate in the processing

of the milk at the milk collection centre and selling the products to consumers. The milk

marketing cooperatives are managed by a management committee selected by member farmers.

Some of the schemes have been financially weaned off in terms of management of operations

by DDP and are now managed fully by farmer organized milk marketing cooperatives. There

are some schemes that are financially self-sustaining, while others still rely on DDP for financial

assistance. DDP in turn has received most of the funding for its activities from the government

and donors. However, given the limited government financial resources and competition from

other projects and programmes, the DDP has received less funding from government through

the public sector investment programme (Munangi, 2010). Donors on the other hand have

reduced or scaled down funding for smallholder dairy. Although the DDP has over the years

6

received funding from various donors such as the European Union, Africa Now, Norwegian

Agency for Development Cooperation (NORAD) and others, some of the schemes have failed

to be financially sustainable without donor or government support yet there are requests to DDP

for more schemes to be formed nationwide. The failure of the schemes to financially sustain

themselves raises major questions on the sustainability of the dairy value chains developed

within the context of the smallholder farming system.

The study focuses on the production and marketing components of the organized smallholder

dairy value chains in Zimbabwe. It will contribute to the formulation of new economic models

of smallholder dairy development given advances in new farming techniques and technologies

to enhance the contribution of the subsector to national economic development. The study

investigates scenarios for smallholder dairy production and marketing through simulation

modeling. In particular, the concept of animal production and forage research centres (Titterton

and Maasdorp, (1997), as cited by Ngongoni (2012)), and its potential contribution to organized

smallholder dairy value chains will be assessed, but with modifications. The animal production

and forage centre will cater for two constraints that have been identified as limiting smallholder

dairy; feed resources and management (Ngongoni et al., 2006; Cain et al., 2007;

Chinogaramombe et al., 2008; Kabirizi et al., 2009). The objective of the centre will be to

improve management of smallholder dairy production in terms of nutrition and animal

management, respectively. The concept will be introduced at the milk collection centre. The

objective of the forage section of the centre will be to develop a centre where forage is produced

and conserved under management. An ex-ante assessment and evaluation of the model will be

performed and if proved viable, will constitute a new model for smallholder dairy development

in Zimbabwe and the whole of the Southern Africa region.

7

1.3 Statement of the Problem

In Zimbabwe milk mainly moves from producers to consumers through various value chains that

vary depending on production system. Generally, the large scale commercial farmers participate

in the more modern and lucrative value chains that link producers with urban markets, while

smallholder farmers participate in informal and semi-formal value chains that primarily serve

local markets. In order to correct this dualism in the dairy industry, and promote the growth with

equity objective, the new post-independence government established the smallholder dairy

development programme in 1983 (Government of Zimbabwe, 1987). This was meant to

encourage smallholder black producers to participate in the formal value chains that were

previously dominated by white large scale commercial farmers. However, it is now 31 years

since the establishment of the first smallholder dairy scheme, but smallholder dairy value chains

have failed to make significant impact and only contribute 5% of the milk entering the formal

value chains. This is in contrast to countries like Kenya where 80% of the milk entering formal

markets comes from smallholder farmers (Moll et al., 2007).

Khombe and Sibanda (2006) contend that most of the initial research in smallholder dairy

focused on gaining an understanding of constraints and potential opportunities since smallholder

dairying was a new production system. Over the years feed has been identified as one of the

most important constraints limiting smallholder dairy production (Hanyani-Mlambo et al., 1998;

Mupeta, 2000; Francis and Sibanda, 2001; Ngongoni et al., 2006; Chinogaramombe et al., 2008).

Hanyani-Mlambo et al., (1998) performed one of the few studies on the socio-economic aspects

of smallholder dairying in Zimbabwe. The study used gross margin analysis at farm level to

show that smallholder dairying was hardly economically viable. However, Mupeta (2000) study

showed the opposite that smallholder dairy was economically viable. The studies showed the

effects of problems arising from limited markets, narrow product base, recurrent droughts and

stringent economic reforms. One can infer that the effect of these identified constraints has been

the low participation of smallholder farmers in the formal value chains for milk and dairy

8

products. Jaffee et al., (2011) recognizes the importance of production costs as one, but not the

only element influencing the participation of small scale producers in value chains to high value

markets. In the context of the value chains, it is important to therefore consider the range of

services and activities that are required to bring a service or product from initial conception to

sell in formal markets whether these are local, national, regional or international. The value chain

approach can therefore play a significant role in characterizing complex networks, relationships

and incentives that exist in a livestock system (Singh and Meena, 2012).

The failure of smallholder dairy production and marketing in Zimbabwe to make any meaningful

contribution to national milk output is the main motivation of this study. Given current trends

on hygiene and quality issues in food and the environment in local, regional and international

markets, there are concerns that smallholder farmers may be excluded from participation in the

globalised value chains. There is therefore need for a comprehensive and detailed study on

organized smallholder dairy value chains in Zimbabwe in order to understand why this sector

has failed to make significant impact and meaningful contribution to milk entering the organized

value chains.

1.4 Research Focus

This section gives the focus of the research in terms of objectives, research questions, and

hypotheses.

1.4.1 Objectives of the Study

The overall objective of the study was to determine factors influencing milk production and

marketing in the organized smallholder dairy value chains.

The specific objectives were to:

1. Analyze the trends in smallholder milk production and marketing including the effect of

policies since the introduction of the smallholder dairy development programme in 1983;

9

2. Determine the main factors influencing milk production in the smallholder dairy value

chain;

3. Analyze the factors affecting milk market participation in the smallholder dairy value

chain;

4. Determine ex-ante the potential effect of introducing an animal production and forage

centre in the smallholder dairy value chain; and

5. Assess the role of farmers’ cooperatives in the commercialization of milk in the

smallholder dairy value chain.

1.4.2 Research Questions

The study answers the following research questions:

1. What are the trends and the effect of policies in smallholder milk production and

marketing since the introduction of the smallholder dairy programme in 1983?

2. What are the main factors influencing milk production in the smallholder dairy value

chain?

3. What are the factors affecting milk market participation?

4. What is the ex-ante potential effect in the value chain of introducing an animal production

and forage centre in the smallholder dairy value chain?

5. What is the role of farmers’ organization through milk marketing cooperatives in the

smallholder dairy value chain?

1.4.3 Study Hypotheses

The following hypotheses guide the study:

1. Household socio-economic factors such as age, sex, dairy farming experience and

agricultural training of the head of household, distance to the milk collection centre, total

size of arable land available to the household, cost of concentrates, household size,

10

number of milking cows and the type of value chain the farmer is supplying do not

influence milk production in the smallholder dairy value chain;

2. Socio-economic factors such as total number of dairy cows owned by the household,

distance to the milk collection centre, educational level, age and sex of the head of

household, household size, dairy farming experience, size of land holding of the

household, access to information and extension, income from other sources, occupation

of the farmer, agricultural training of the head of household and the agro-ecological

region location of the smallholder dairy scheme do not affect milk marketing

participation and volume of sales to the milk collection centres of the smallholder dairy

value chain;

3. The animal production and forage centre is not a profitable intervention to milk

marketing cooperatives in the smallholder dairy value chain; and

4. Commercialization of milk sold through milk collection centres is not influenced by

participation in activities of farmers’ organization through the milk marketing

cooperatives, access to credit, producer price of milk, access to information and access

to markets by smallholder farmers through the farmer milk marketing cooperatives.

1.5 Justification

Demand for milk and milk products in Zimbabwe are estimated at 120 million litres per annum

(National Association of Dairy Farmers, 2011). About 50% of this is met through local

production, with smallholder farmers contributing about 5% (DDP, 2010). The country is

currently importing milk to meet the growing demand for milk and milk products, yet the

potential exists to increase production and marketing from the smallholder sector. In Kenya, for

example, more than 600,000 smallholder farmers with one and three cows produce 80% of

Kenya’s milk (New Agriculturist, 2004). This shows that other countries in sub-Saharan Africa

that share the same historical background with Zimbabwe have managed to develop smallholder

11

dairy alongside large scale dairying. This therefore calls for a comprehensive value chain

analysis/study to gain an understanding of why the smallholder dairy value chain has failed to

grow. Abdulai and Birachi (2008) noted that in sub-Saharan Africa, structural adjustments

programs have resulted in reduced levels of intervention by the state in food markets to improve

efficiency and marketing services. However, they noted that smallholder farmers still find it

difficult to participate in markets because of a range of constraints and barriers that reduce

incentives for participation. These constraints include accessibility of markets, access to

improved genetics, inputs and others, to mention but a few.

This study is important to many of the stakeholders who have an interest in the smallholder dairy

value chain. These include the smallholder farmers, government, processors and all support

services including input suppliers, finance, extension and training. The study is particularly

important to smallholder farmers as the results can facilitate improvements that are necessary

for enhanced market participation and increased volumes supplied to the market. The study is

important to government as the results would give an indication of the policies that can be

enacted to enhance participation of smallholder farmers in the dairy value chain. The study is

important to processors as it can give an indication in terms of the support the private sector can

give in order to improve milk intake from the smallholder farmers.

1.6 Organisation of the Study

This study is organized into nine chapters. Chapter One introduces the study and presents the

statement of the problem, objectives and hypotheses of the study. Chapter Two reviews the

literature on value chains and empirical studies on production and marketing, while Chapter

Three outlines the research methods. Chapter Four outlines the development of smallholder dairy

during the period 1983 to 2013 and assesses the effects of policies during the period. Chapter

Five presents the results and discussion of factors influencing milk production within the context

12

of the overall smallholder dairy value chain. Chapter Six presents results and discussion of

factors affecting milk marketing participation and volume of milk sales to the Milk Collection

Centres (MCC) of the smallholder dairy value chain, while Chapter seven presents results and

discussion of the proposed animal production and forage centre in terms of willingness to pay

for the construction of the centre and services provided by the centre and assesses the benefit

cost of such a centre. Chapter Eight highlights the role of the farmer milk marketing cooperatives

in the smallholder (SH) dairy value chain, farmer perceptions of production and marketing

constraints and the contribution of the cooperatives to milk marketing. Chapter Nine summarises

the main results of the study, conclusions and recommendations.

13

CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW

2.1 Introduction

The literature review firstly deals with the definitions of value chains and describe what value

chain analysis encompasses. This gives an understanding of the context of value chain in which

milk production and marketing in organized smallholder dairy value chains has been studied.

This is followed by empirical studies of milk production and marketing that have been performed

around the world, studies from Africa and the sub-region and lastly the literature on Zimbabwe.

2.2 Value Chains and Value Chain Analysis

According to Weber and Labaste (2010) chains composed of companies (or individuals) that

interact to supply goods and services are variously referred to as productive chains, value chains,

filieres, marketing chains, supply chains or distribution chains. These concepts are said to vary

in their focus on specific products or target markets or in the activity that is emphasized and the

way they have been applied. Although there may be some differences in the concepts such as

supply and value chains, it is important to note that what these have in common is that they seek

to capture and describe the complex interaction needed to deliver value to end users (Weber and

Labaste, 2010). The livestock value chain has been described as the full range of activities

required to bring a product (e.g. live animals, meat, milk, eggs, leather, fiber, manure) to final

consumers passing through the various phases of production, processing, and delivery (The

Donor Committee on Enterprise Development , 2007) . The Donor Committee on Enterprise

Development (2007) further adds that value chain can also be defined as a market focused

collaboration among different stakeholders who produce and market value-added products.

Kitaw et al. (2012) describe a market chain as referring to the system that consists of actors,

organizations, relations, functions and product, cash and value flows that make possible the

transfer of goods and services from the producer to the final consumer. The value chain concept

was first introduced by Porter (1985) in the book “Competitive Advantage: Creating and

14

Sustaining Superior Performance”. Since then, the concept has been applied in diverse fields,

including agriculture. Value chains therefore invariably include direct actors who are

commercially involved in the chain (producers, traders, retailers, consumers) and indirect actors

who provide services or support the functioning of the chain. The value chain can either be

simple when producers sell directly to consumers and complex when actors play roles in buying,

processing and selling to the end user (Kitaw et al., 20102).

According to Bellu (2013), depending on the scope of the study the focus of the study can be

activities or on the agents since the term value chain refers both to a set of interdependent

activities and to a group of vertically linked economic agents. This study focusses on the

activities of producers, within the context of the organized value chains the producers participate

in. A value chain includes all the economic activities undertaken between the production and

consumption phases such as processing, delivery, wholesaling and retailing, starting with the

production of the primary commodity and ending with the consumption of the final product

(Bellu, 2013). According to Kitaw et al., (2012) farmers may choose to supply a specific segment

and produce the crop or animal product that is tailored to that segment. It is within this context

that smallholder dairy producers may also produce milk to supply specific segments of the value

chain, or depending on circumstances, may participate in organized value chains that supply

specific segments of the value chain.

Value chain analysis, on the other hand, examines the full range of activities required to bring a

product or service from its conception to its end use, the firms that perform these activities in a

vertical chain and the final consumers (The Donor Committee on Enterprise Development,

2007). According to Porter (1985) value chain analysis describes the activities within and around

an organization and relates them to an analysis of the competitive strength of the organization.

Therefore, it evaluates which value each particular activity adds to the organization products or

15

services (Porter 1985). Porter (1985) further distinguishes between primary and support services.

Kaplinsky and Morris (2000) state that in its simplest level, value chain analysis plots the flow

of goods and services up and down the chain , and between different chains. The value chain

analysis framework has therefore been used by governments and donors to devise intervention

strategies that benefit the whole value chain. According to Weber and Labaste (2010) value chain

analysis can shed light on the size of the firms participating in each link, how they are

participating or could participate in the chain, and opportunities to facilitate or improve those

linkages. Weber and Labaste (2010) further note that value chain analysis is particularly critical

in agriculture where governments and aid agencies are confronted with challenge of including

small farmers in modern value chains so that they can benefit from globalization of markets.

Bellu (2013) indicates that value chain analysis is the assessment of a portion of an economic

system where upstream agents in production and distribution processes are linked to downstream

partners by technical, economic, territorial, institutional and social relationships.

This study considers the value chain framework within the context of how smallholder farmers

can benefit from participating in the chains. IFAD (2010) notes that value chain analysis is

essential for markets, their relationships, the participation of different actors and the critical

constraints that limit the growth of livestock production and consequently the competitiveness

of smallholder farmers. According to Bellu (2013) the effects of policies targeting specific

production processes extend their primary impacts in the economic system according to the same

path as the main inputs and outputs. In smallholder dairy, policies can be targeted at production

and marketing processes, which are key to smallholder participation in various value chains.

Bellu (2013) further notes that analyzing impacts of policy options through value chains provides

decision makers and other stakeholders with anticipated evidence on likely changes directly

induced by policies. In this study, it is therefore critical to analyse the determinants of

smallholder participation in organized value chains in order to understand the constraints and

16

opportunities that exist, and identify interventions in order to upgrade the value chains so that

they can significantly benefit smallholder farmers. According to Rich et al., (2009) the value

chain approach provides basic understanding needed in designing and implementing appropriate

development programs to support smallholder market participation.

Kaplinsky and Morris (2000) highlight that in order to perform value chain analysis it is

important to identify the entry points. These points of entry can vary depending on primary area

of research interest. If the primary area of research interest is the agricultural producers, then the

point of entry can be the farm, and the value chain mapping can be performed forwards to

processors, buyers and their customers and backwards to inputs suppliers. Kaplinsky and Morris

(2000) also highlight that the key elements of value chain analysis are the barriers to entry and

rent, governance and the different types of value chains. In terms of the different types of value

chains they distinguish between buyer-driven chains and producer-driven chains. GTZ (2008)

groups the different methods comprising value chain analysis into three basic tasks of value

chain mapping, quantifying and describing value chains in detail and economic analysis of value

chains and benchmarking. According to GTZ (2008) the most important essential method and

core of any analysis is value chain mapping. Building on a value chain map, additional analysis

may become necessary, depending on the information needs. This study focuses on milk

production and marketing within the context of organized value chains in Zimbabwe. The

literature review on value chains and value chains analysis therefore provide the framework of

the various issues that the study needs to take into consideration. According to McDemott et al.,

(2010b) value chains are a useful way of holistically assessing the potential market opportunities

that exist for smallholders as well as highlighting the various technical, economic and

institutional constraints that public policy may need to address.

17

Kitaw et al., (2012) describe the value chain as consisting of producers at one end, that is, the

farmers who grow the crops and raise the animals. At the other end are consumers who eat, drink

and wear the final products. In the middle are many individuals and firms each performing one

small step in the chain; transporting, processing, storing, selling, buying, packaging, checking,

monitoring and making decisions. Kitaw et al., (2012) further indicate that the value chains

include a range of services needed to maintain its function including technical support

(extension), business enabling and financial services, innovation and communication, and

information brokering. Kaplinsky and Morris (2000) point out that value chains are complex,

particularly in the middle tiers because individual firms may feed into a variety of chains. They

indicate which chain(s) are to be the subjects of enquiry therefore very much depends on the

point of entry for the research inquiry. Further, the point of entry defines which links and which

activities in the chain are to be the subjects of special enquiry. This context is important in the

consideration of empirical studies. Following on these observations, the literature on smallholder

dairying is dominated by studies on participation in the market. This is important because

without participation in the market, smallholder farmers cannot benefit from the organized value

chains. Participation is also important as there are concerns about the exclusion of smallholder

farmers from the value chains. According to Mendoza and Thelen (2008) there are concerns that

smallholder producers are often excluded from participation in value chains since they usually

lack access to credit, make limited investments in their human capital (including skills and

entrepreneurship training) and are isolated by distance from the market. It is because of these

observations therefore, that most of the studies on smallholder dairy production and marketing

have focused on various parts of the links of smallholder farmers in the value chains.

2.3 Empirical Studies on Smallholder Dairy Production and Marketing

This section presents the literature review on smallholder dairy production, in terms of factors

influencing milk production in organized smallholder dairy value chains. Empirical studies are

18

also reviewed on factors affecting milk market participation and volume of sales, feed resources

and smallholder dairy production, and farmer organization and commercialization of

smallholder dairy.

2.3.1 Factors Influencing Dairy Production

Throughout the world, a number of studies have been performed focusing on several aspects of

the smallholder dairy value chain. The following section gives studies that focused on production

aspects particularly from Asia and Latin America. Some of the studies assessing constraints to

production used participatory methodologies. Gomez et al. (2007) performed a study with the

objective of characterizing a group of smallholder dairy producers in central Peru to determine

the most limiting factors affecting animal productivity. They used participatory rural appraisal

methodologies and collected information on biological and socio-economic factors. The study

results showed that observed inappropriate nutrition, animal health and reproduction in the study

sites were the major factors affecting productivity. The study also observed that the feeding

programme for lactating and growing cows using forage that was exchanged for labour and

purchased concentrates did not theoretically or practically meet the needs of the cows.

Shamsuddin et al., (2007) also used participatory rural appraisal tools such as social mapping,

semi-structured interviews, activity profiles, seasonal calendar, pie charts, mobility diagram,

matrix ranking, preference ranking and scoring, systems analysis and focus group discussions.

These were used to assess the resources, challenges and prospects for dairy enterprises. The

results showed that fodder availability increased milk production and decreased incidences of

disease. Friesian crossbred cows were ranked best as dairy cattle and utilization of veterinary

and artificial insemination (AI) services were ranked highly. The studies by Gomez et al., (2007)

and Shamsuddin et al., (2007) while appropriate in the study of smallholder dairy enterprises

only offered qualitative information in the identification of the constraints. They did not include

quantitative analysis of the factors influencing dairy production.

19

Quantitative analysis is necessary to identify factors influencing milk production in smallholder

dairy value chains. Unlike the large scale commercial farms where the major determinant of milk

production is the profitability of the enterprise, production in the smallholder farms is influenced

by various socio-economic factors that affect production decisions. In a study in Bangladesh,

Sultana et al., (2016) used general linear model to understand the socio-economic determinants

of milk production. The socio-economic predictors included in the model were the age of the

household head, farming experience, training and off-farm income. The general linear model

results showed that age of the farmer, off-farm income and training had a negative influence,

whereas farming experience had a positive impact on milk production (Sultana et al., 2016).

Wanjala et al., (2014) performed a study to assess variables influencing milk production in

Butula and Butere districts in Western Kenya. They used multiple regression analysis to assess

the value chain predictors of milk production on smallholder dairy farms using data collected

from a sample of 400 smallholder dairy farms. The results show that the most important

predictors explaining the variations in milk production were fodder, dairy meal, research

technologies, credit, group membership, artificial insemination and policy. They conclude that

the results obtained suggest that multiple regression analysis may provide a rigorous and

quantitative tool in selecting important variables ex ante in an upgrading strategy since it goes a

step further beyond the current qualitative approaches. Tanwar et al., (2015) used multiple linear

regression and the results showed that concentrate and green fodder were the main significant

variables which were affecting the returns from milk.

Birthal et al., (2016) collected survey data from 612 households in Punjab state in India to

evaluate farmers’ choice of dairy value chains and their financing mechanisms. The determinants

on farmers’ choice of value chains and their impact on farm performance were assessed using a

multinomial treatment effect model. The results of the first stage multinomial treatment effects

20

model indicated the coefficient of herd size was positive, indicating that relative to those engaged

in direct sales to consumers, the probability of associating with formal value chains was higher

for large dairy farmers. The results also showed that farmers with smaller herds tend to sell milk

to consumers than formal buyers. Households with larger landholdings also had relatively higher

probability of being associated with formal value chains. The findings implied that modern value

chains – cooperative, multinational corporations and private domestic processors tend to source

milk from those who have a larger endowment of land, as well as animals, or resources-rich

farmers (Birthal et al., 2016). While this study did not directly measure the determinants of milk

production to supply specific value chains, the analysis implies choice of value chain was

indirectly based on volumes of milk produced since formal value chains were associated with

resource-rich farmers. Farmers with larger herd sizes had higher probability of associating with

formal value chains, which implies a higher milk production from the cow herd size. The number

of milking cows therefore can be considered a factor that affects milk production and choice of

value chain in this case.

Mumba et al., (2012) performed an econometric analysis of socio-economic factors affecting the

profitability of smallholder dairy in Zambia. They used multiple regression analysis with data

from a cross sectional survey of 157 farmers. The findings indicated that the level of education,

dairy cow herd size and distance to the market significantly affected profitability of smallholder

dairying in Zambia. Although this study focused on determinants of profitability, the profitability

is a function of the level of production and the costs of production incurred by farmers. The

factors affecting profitability can also affect the production of the enterprise. Kabirizi et al.

(2009) performed a study in Uganda to assess the profitability of improved forage technologies

and factors affecting use of improved forage technologies among smallholder farmers in Soroti

district. The study was performed through participatory on farm trials. The study used regression

analysis and the results indicated that the number of cows kept, input costs, age of household

21

head, and distance to market were key factors influencing profitability levels obtained by farmers

using improved forage technologies and those not using improved forage technologies. The

results also showed that profitability and improved cattle breeds had complimentary effects on

the decision to use improved technologies. While this study was not specifically meant to assess

the factors that affect milk production, it shows some of the factors that influence milk

production in smallholder dairy such as improved cattle breeds, the costs of inputs, access to

improved forages and socio-economic characteristics of households such as the age of household

head.

The various studies reviewed indicate a number of socio-economic factors that can affect milk

production in the smallholder dairy value chains, although they used different analytical

approaches. Following on Wanjala et al., (2014), this study hypothesizes that the main factors

influencing milk production in the smallholder dairy value chain are the characteristics of the

head of household (such as age, agricultural training and experience), size of landholding owned

by the household, number of milking cows, access to markets (as indicated by the distance to

market), and the type of value chain supplied by the farmer (formal or semi-formal value chain).

2.3.2 Feed Resources and Smallholder Dairy Production

Alejandrino et al., (1999) in a study to identify constraints to productivity at the smallholder

level in the Philippines used survey data collected for dairy cattle production gathered in two

sites. Crossbred cows were monitored for milk production, feed intake and availability,

reproduction and health status. The results showed that a long calving interval (CI=>400 days)

was the major constraint to productivity on smallholder farms. The study also highlighted the

importance of estrus detection, good breeding management, and use of a strategic nutritional

supplementation particularly during stressful periods in the cow’s reproductive life. Suzuki et

al., (2006) described the productivity and socio-economic profile of dairy farmers in northern

22

Vietnam taking into account regional differences in rural smallholder communities which had

been targeted by a government dairy development policy through a questionnaire field survey.

They used two stage clusters sampling in order to select households for the study. The analysis

performed mainly focused on descriptive statistics to explain the differences between the three

farming household groups. The results indicated that there were differences in relation to basic

management practices such as effective utilization of agricultural byproducts for feeding and

hygiene practices.

These studies (Alejandrino et al., 1999; Suzuki et al., 2006) illustrate the major constraints cited

as having a strong effect on smallholder dairy. Feed resources or feeding regimes are cited as

one of the major constraints. The question that arises in the context of smallholder dairy value

chain is how feed and forage resources can be made available to farmers in order to improve the

viability of smallholder dairy. In a study to assess the critical factors affecting the viability of

small scale dairy in the Punjab region of Pakistan Cain et al., (2007) showed the effect of

widening access to credit on uptake of new technology and poor livestock management. This

was done using linear programming to investigate the profitability of alleviating these

constraints. The results showed the synergies between using better, well managed dairy

livestock, increasing uptake of simple technological improvements and widening access to

credit. In Australia Chapman et al., (2010) used farm system simulation modeling to study dairy

systems that rely on pasture to supply between 50 to 70% of total herd feed requirements

annually. They concluded that agronomic research for the Southern Australia industry should

focus on low cost ways of supplying grazeable feed in summer, since current forage species for

this time of the year are limited.

Feed is one of the most important components of smallholder dairy production. Access and

availability of year round feed is critical for the success of the dairy enterprise, and determining

23

the viability of smallholder dairying. According to Devendra (2001) the major constraints to

dairy production includes choice of species, breeds and availability of animals, feed resources

and improved feeding systems, improved breeding, reproduction and animal health care,

organized marketing and market outlets. The FAO (2017a) indicates that smallholder dairy

production can vary significantly according to the location, agro-ecological zone and socio-

economic conditions. These factors determine production and whether dairying can be viable for

smallholder dairy producers.

Mburu et al., (2007) performed a cost benefit analysis of smallholder dairy cattle in different

agro-ecological zones in the Kenyan highlands. The study was carried out in three agro-

ecological zones and the survey showed that the dairy enterprise was the most important income

generating activity in 96% of the households in the Kenyan highlands. A one way analysis of

variance performed showed there were no significant differences between the arithmetic means

of the costs of production for the three agro-ecological zones. However, the arithmetic means of

unit profit were significantly different between the lower and upper highlands, and this was

attributed to milk prices offered by traders. Hussain et al., (2014) performed a study on the

economics of major breeds of dairy cows in Pakistan, in which shares of different feed resources

in total feeding were determined and cost benefit analysis of milk production by ecological zone

was conducted. Concentrate feeding was the main cost item for cow milk production in irrigated

areas of Sindh, and constituted more than half (54%) of the total feeding cost per annum while

in the Azad Jammu Kashmir wheat straw was the major cost item constituting 51 to 58% of

feeding costs per annum. Cow milk production was a profitable farming activity in the irrigated

areas of Sindh and the mountainous Azad Jammu Kashmir with benefit cost ratios of 1.5 and

1.4, respectively. Somda et al., (2005) study in the Gambia also showed that milk production

was viable, but constraints to increased productivity included lack of improved technology at

farm level and weak institutional support. A study by Mdoe and Wiggins (1997) in Tanzania

24

used a herd model and carried out a benefit cost analysis of dairying. The study showed that

there was no difference in returns gained by larger scale farmers who had grade cattle and

managed them intensively compared to those who were using less intensive systems with

potential stock. According to Chamberlain and Wilkinson (2002) milk production is determined

by the genetic potential of the cow, her nutrition and her state of health. Chamberlain and

Wilkinson (2002) further highlight that of these three factors, nutrition is the most important: it

is within the direct control of the farmer, it has profound influence on production in the health

animal, it is easy to change and it represents the largest single variable cost.

The studies reviewed show that although smallholder dairying is viable and profitable, feed

resources remain one of the most important constraints constituting more than 50% of the total

cost of producing milk. Improved forage technologies are one way to improve the nutritional

status and milk production in smallholder areas. Studies have been performed to assess the

profitability of improved forage technologies (Kabirizi et al., 20090. Gwiriri et al., (2016) study

in Zimbabwe concluded that use of forages can be a cost effective feed level intervention to

optimize income in small scale dairy by reducing the cost of producing a litre of milk. Kavana

and Msangi (2005) performed a study to evaluate the potential feed resources in smallholder

dairying in eastern zone of Tanzania. The results indicated that pasture and forage plants

available could support milk production at a level of five to six litres per cow per day. However,

it was envisaged that seasonal decrease in milk production was caused by the low availability of

forage (< 30kg/cow/day) during scarcity periods. Kavana and Msangi (2005) recommended that

there was need to develop supplementary feeding strategies to increase smallholder milk

production and consequently reduce the gap between actual and potential milk produced by

crossbred dairy cows.

25

The question that arises in the context of smallholder dairy value chains is how feed and forage

resources can be made available to farmers in order to improve milk production and the viability

of smallholder dairy. The concept of animal production and forage centre has been suggested

(Titterton and Maasdorp, 1997; Ngongoni, Personal Communication, 2012). According to

Devendra (2001) improved feeding systems that ensure optimum performance, efficient and low

cost milk production need to consider the following components: feed availability and feeding

systems; seasonality of production; basal roughage resource; access to these feeds; and extent of

use of feed resource from the farm. Devendra (2001) indicates that the principal aim should

therefore be to address improved breeding and nutrition in which the objective is maximum use

of available feed resources, notably crop residues and low quality roughages, and also maximize

use of leguminous forages as supplements. While it might be difficult to get an improved system

that caters for all the components suggested by Devendra (2001), the animal production and

forage centre includes a forage section that specifically aims to provide improved forages to

smallholder dairy farmers. A study by Mugabe et al., (2016) shows that bagged silage had the

potential to last for at least a year without deterioration in quality, and farmers showed a

willingness to buy the bagged silage if available in the market. The forage section of the animal

production and forage centre can therefore make the silage available to farmers throughout the

year in order to increase milk production in the smallholder dairy sector.

The animal production section of the animal production and forage centre can also explore ways

of improving breeds through improved use of artificial insemination technologies in smallholder

dairying. McDermott et al., (2010a) report that combining genetic and feed improvement has led

to productivity gains of up to 300% in smallholder systems in sub-Saharan Africa. Bebe et al.,

(2008) also report that interventions on feeding and breeding have to be packaged together

holistically if intensification is to enhance productivity. The concept of the animal production

and forage centre integrates the provision of improved breeding services through the animal

26

production section and improved feeding and forages through the forage section of the centre.

An appropriate institutional setting has to be identified to provide these services. According to

McDemott et al., (2010b) improved input supply linkage to knowledge, financial and market

services, and integrating these services into the initial assembly and distribution services has

been important in the development of smallholder dairy sector in South Asia, East Africa and

Latin America. The original models under which these services have been provided have varied

from cooperatives through to contract farming arrangements with multinational companies

(McDermott et al., 2010b). There is therefore potential to integrate the animal production and

forage centre with farmer oganisations in Southern Africa in order to realize the benefits of

improved breeding and forage resources in smallholder dairying.

This study therefore hypothesizes introducing an animal production and forage centre to be

located near to primary producers at the milk collection centre. This centre will commercially

produce forage for sale to farmers under the forage section. The animal production and forage

centre overall is expected to improve profitability of the smallholder dairy through making

available improved feed and forage, extension and artificial insemination services.

2.3.3 Factors Affecting Milk Marketing Participation and Volume of Sales

Studies on smallholder dairy marketing highlight the importance of various marketing channels

used by farmers and factors influencing the choice of market outlet. Sharma et al., (2009) studied

the dairy industry in India in response to structural transformations that were taking place in the

Indian dairy sector mainly in the processing segment. They examined determinants of market

channel choices based on a survey of households. Data were analyzed using a two stage

multinomial logit model employed to investigate determinants and effects of market choice of

milk producers. Results of this study showed that while modern marketing channels have

emerged in the Indian dairy sector, the traditional sector is still dominant. The dominance of the

27

traditional channel was explained as an indication of very competitive and cost-effective

traditional market in linking producers and consumers. The results of the first stage showed

household socio-economic variables (herd size, age, and education) were important determinants

of marketing choice in the case of the modern private sector. In addition, marketing infrastructure

such as roads, provision of veterinary services, distance from milk collection centre and price

risks were found to have a significant effect on famers’ marketing choices. The second stage

results of the Heckman model showed that education, membership of producer associations,

cooperatives, provision of veterinary services and herd size had significant impact on

cooperative marketing channel farmers’ income while in the case of the modern private sector,

education and price risk had significant impact on income. However, the results also showed

that small dairy farmers and the poor were mostly excluded from organized modern private

sector channels.

In another study in India, Birthal et al., (2008) generated information through field surveys in

the western state of Rajasthan. The study was an empirical assessment of benefit and costs of

contract farming and vertical coordination in the agri-food supply chain in smallholder dairy

farms. Birthal et al., (2008) used a standard treatment effects model in the study. In the first step,

a logit model was estimated to identify the factors that influence a producer’s decision whether

to participate or not in contract farming. Producers’ experience, educational attainment,

endowments of land, dairy stock, and access to non-farm income sources were considered to be

important factors influencing the decision to participate in contract farming. In the second step,

a standard effects model was estimated using predicted probabilities from the logit model as an

instrumental variable, with profit per unit of output as the dependent variable. Besides

participation in contract farming, it was also expected that education, as well as the ratios of

fixed capital per animal and labor availability per animal could be important determinants of

farm profits. The results showed contract farming was found to be more profitable than

28

independent production, and that the major benefits came from reduction in marketing and

transaction costs, which were otherwise much higher in the open markets.

In another study in India, Staal et al., (2006) used a two-step analysis to explain milk market

participation and conditioned on participation, milk market choice and their determinants in

Gujarati. These steps included a simple probit model to assess market participation, followed by

the application of McFadden choice model using conditional (fixed-effects) logit. This was

performed to analyze data from a survey of households who reported selling milk to one of three

market channels which were individual customers, private traders and dairy cooperatives or

processors. The results of the probit analysis showed that variables that were positively

associated with the choice to sell milk were households who were non-tribal and were located in

a Bharatiya Agro Industries Foundation supported village, better agro climate, numbers of

buffalos and availability of milk collection centres locally. Variables not statistically significant

were sex of household head, human capital, household composition and land size. The results of

conditional (fixed-effects) logit which evaluated famers’ choice of milk marketing channel

indicated that farmers were less likely to select private traders when there was an option of selling

to individual customers. They also found that households were less likely to select the

cooperative or private processor channel compared to the individual customer channel, though

this was not statistically significant. The higher the number of adults in the household, the more

likely that private trader channel and cooperative/private processor channel would be selected

than individual customers. These results indicate some of the factors that may need consideration

in analyzing why farmers sell to organized value chains. Variables such as land size, agro climate

and availability of milk collection centres would be taken into account in this study.

An important issue that needs consideration in smallholder dairying is that of transaction costs.

According to Fabe et al., (2009) transaction costs are another factor for the integration of small

29

scale farmers to value chains. These have the ability to limit access to markets for smallholder

farmers beyond locally available markets. Fabe et al., (2009) highlight that specialization and

fragmentation of production and processing activities imply that transaction costs will gain more

and more importance as part of the total costs of companies. Thus considering transaction costs

is essential to get a better understanding of value chains activities and international operations.

In Africa, a number of transaction cost studies have been performed but these have invariably

focused on market channel choices and participation in the markets.

Staal et al., (1997) used data from a survey of dairy cooperatives in Kenya and of dairy producers

in Ethiopia to document the importance of transaction costs. In the markets studied, different

producers faced different levels of transaction costs, depending on assets and information levels,

season and location. They responded to these deferential transaction costs by different sales

strategies. The model used regressed a given market outlet price against farm characteristics such

as dummy variables for season and location of farm, continuous variables for farm size, annual

rental value for land operated by the producer, and daily hours typically required for milk

delivery from the farm. Other variables included transaction characteristics such as typical

cash cost of marketing milk to this outlet, average daily milk sales to this type, and a dummy

typical cash cost of marketing milk to this outlet, average daily milk sales to this type, and a

dummy variable whether this outlet is a regular consumer of the farmer. Besides the daily cash

cost of milk marketing and daily hours of milk delivery variables that tended to be collinear and

were therefore dropped from the analysis, almost all other coefficients were statistically

significant at 10% or better. The study concluded that the size of the dairy operation and its

proximity to urban markets influence the products and market channels used by producers to

market dairy products.

30

Holloway et al., (1999) explored the impact of household level transaction costs and the choice

of production technique on the decision of farmers to sell liquid milk to marketing cooperatives

using a sample of observations from the Ethiopian Highlands. Data were collected through

surveys, and the sample was stratified by whether household owned crossbred cows, participated

in the group activities, and their distance to the group or other local market where dairy products

could be sold. Covariates representing factors affecting production, consumption and marketable

surplus were assessed in order to determine the extent to which they influence the milk marketing

decision. The set of factors the study focused on were a modern production practice (cross bred

cow use), a traditional production practice (indigenous cow use), three intellectual capital

forming variables (experience, education, extension) and the provision of infrastructure (as

measured by time taken to transport milk to market). They computed estimates from a Tobit

specification of marketable surplus and used the estimates to draw policy conclusions. They

concluded that policy relevant variables having greatest impact on participation in fluid markets

are cow numbers, time taken to transport milk to the milk group, and visits by an extension agent.

Holloway et al., (2004) in a further article presents a revised Tobit procedure for mitigating bias

in the presence of non-zero censoring with an application to milk-market participation in the

Ethiopian highlands. The study concludes by questioning the conventional practice of assuming

zero to be the true point of censoring in Tobit regression. It further concludes that in devising

policy prescriptions, restricting the true point of censoring to zero may significantly overstate

the resources that are required for production. Although these studies analyzed the participation

of smallholder farmers in the milk market, they were not necessarily performed within the

context of organized value chains. This is an important aspect of this current study.

The Tobit model has also been used in other studies of market participation (Somda et al.,

(2005); Bellemare and Barrett, 2006). Somda et al., (2005) used the Tobit model study

transaction costs and the marketable surplus of milk in smallholder dairy farming systems of the

31

Gambia. The factors affecting the amount of milk sold in the model included the farm’s

household socio-economic and demographic characteristics and regarding access to market that

had an implication for the transaction costs. The results indicated that the number of local cows,

access to market at the farm gate, and the distance to the nearest city increased the likelihood of

market participation by producers and the marketing of surplus of dairy products. The Tobit

model has mainly been used to study the marketed surplus which probably assumes that the

major goal of the household is first to meet its consumption requirements and sell the surplus. In

the case of the Zimbabwean smallholder dairy, the dairy schemes were set up specifically to

commercialize milk production. The major goal of the households’ participating in the organized

value chains is therefore to benefit from commercial milk production. A number of studies,

though not focusing specifically on milk, have provided evidence of smallholder market

participation and the role of transaction costs, and interventions that can facilitate smallholder

market participation (Key et al., 2000; Hollway et al., 2000; Barett, 2008).

A number of studies have also used the multinomial logit regression model to analyse factors

influencing choice of dairy market outlet by smallholder farmers, and multivariate regression

models to assess the level of market participation (Bardhan et al., 2012; Sharma, 2015; Mutura

et al., 2015). Others have also used the logit model (Kumar et al., 2011). Bardhan et al., (2012)

used multivariate regression model to study market participation behavior of smallholder dairy

farmers in Uttarakland. The results showed that milk production and extension contact were the

two most important variables favourably influencing intensity of market participation, while

distance to market negatively influenced likelihood of producers’ market participation. Sharma

(2015) used multinomial logit model to study determinants of small milk producers’

participation in organized value chains in India. The results indicated that small producers are

not excluded from cooperatives but are excluded from the modern private sector. Mutura et al.,

(2015) used multinomial logit regression to analyse determinants of market channel choice

32

among smallholder farmers in lower central Kenya. The results indicated that level of education,

milk output, access to information and transaction costs influenced the choice of marketing

channel. There was also a positive relationship between choice of farm gate market over

cooperative societies and farmers’ training.

Abdulai and Birachi (2008) analyzed data collected from a survey of market participants in

Kenya. They used a multinomial logit model to estimate how the market agents’ choice of a

coordination mechanism can be predicted by the milk and marketing characteristics. The

empirical results from the estimation showed that the transaction costs component play a major

role in market agent’s choice of coordination mechanism in the fresh milk supply chain. In

particular, the results indicated longer distances to buyers and longer periods to sell milk

significantly favored the use of verbal and written contracts in producer transactions. The

findings suggested that state interventions that contribute to improvement in both physical and

economic infrastructure would be important in reducing transaction costs and facilitating trade

in the country. The studies reviewed indicate variables that need to be taken into account when

analyzing choice of market outlets and intensity of market participation. However, the structure

of the dairy value chains are different from those found in Zimbabwe. Smallholder dairy

producers in Zimbabwe mainly participate in organized dairy value chains through the

smallholder dairy schemes that were set up under the government supported dairy development

programme. Milk in these value chains is either processed at the milk collection centre or

delivered to main urban area based established processors. In terms of the farmers participating

in these value chains, there is limited choice of market outlet unless the farmer participates in

informal markets.

There are a number of studies that have used the Heckman two stage model to analyse factors

affecting milk market participation and volume of sales for milk, milk value addition and volume

33

of milk value added ( Nga et al., 2012; Demissie, 2014; Kuma et al., 2014; Mamo et al., 2014;

Balirwa et al., 2016). Nga et al., (2012) used Heckman two stage model to analyze the situation

of milk production and marketing in Phu Dong, northern Vietnam. The results indicated that age

of the head of household, educational level, experience in dairy production, distance from milk

market and number of milking cows were significant in explaining the probability of the

household participating in milk markets. Factors that were significant in affecting milk sales

volume were number of milking cows, educational level of the head of household, and non-dairy

source of financial income. Kuma et al., (2014) study included 12 variables comprising

characteristics of the head of household (age, sex, educational level, dairy farming experience),

household characteristics (household size, number of children under six years), access to market

information and extension services, milk output, milk cow ownership, distance to the nearest

urban centre, and landholding size. Out of the 12 explanatory variables, the factors that

significantly explained probability of milk market participation were the age of the household

head, milk yield per day, milk cow ownership, and dairy farming experience and landholding

size. Factors that significantly explained volume of milk supply in the second stage selection

model were household size, milk yield per day and dairy farming experience (Kuma et al., 2014).

In Mamo et al., (2014) study, characteristics of the head of household (gender, age, educational

level), distance to market, number of local milking cows and quantity of milk production

positively affected the probability of participation in milk value addition in the first stage

Heckman model. In the second step, sex of the head of household, income from non-dairy source,

distance to market, number of local milking cows and quantity of annual milk production

affected the value of milk value added positively, whereas number of children less than six years

of age and number of crossbred milking cows had a negative influence. Studies by Demissie et

al., (204) and Balirwa et al., (2016) also included characteristics of the household head (such as

age, sex, educational level) and variables such as number of milking cows, distance to market,

34

number of children and landholding size, among others in the analysis of factors affecting milk

market participation and volume of sales.

The studies reviewed in this section indicate the various analytical approaches that have been

used to study market participation and volume of sales. These include logit models, multinomial

logit regression models and Heckman two stage models, among others. The Heckman model,

compared to studies that used the multinomial logit models, would be more appropriate for use

in this study. This is mainly because of the nature of the smallholder dairy value chain in

Zimbabwe where participation in organized value chains is mainly through the milk collection

centres in the smallholder dairy schemes. The Heckman model is also more appropriate because

it takes into account limitations of the other models than can be used to study participation and

volume of sales. In the first stage of the Heckman model, the analysis uses the binary probit

(participation) equations which captures factors affecting participation decisions. The first stage

is also used to construct a selectivity term known as the inverse Mills ratio which is then added

to the second stage outcome equation that identifies factors that affect volume of sales to

markets. The inverse Mills ratio variable is used for controlling bias due to sample selection.

2.3.4 Farmers’ Organization and Commercialization of Smallholder Dairying

Farmer organization may take different forms. According to Stockbridge et al., (2003) these may

include farmer groups, farmer associations, federations, unions or in some cases agricultural

cooperatives owned and controlled by members. These operate at various levels depending on

the nature and purpose of the farmer organization. Stockbridge et al., (2003) define a farmer

organization as an organization that requires its membership to meet certain formal criteria, such

as payment of regular membership fees and participation in certain activities. The definition

stresses the importance of membership, and the function of the farmer organization is to provide

services to its members, which are the key incentives for farmers to become members. According

to the FAO (2017b), milk producers can organize themselves into producer groups or

35

organizations to increase profitability, efficiency and strengthening of their capacity on milk

collection, transport, processing and marketing.

Theoretically, agricultural cooperatives are based on the economic theories (bargaining power,

economies of scale and transaction economics) and institutional theory. According to Bijman

(2018) farmers organize themselves in collective action in order to build up countervailing power

to solve their weak bargaining position. Cooperatives give farmers better bargaining position

and can also generate benefits by organizing processing activities on behalf of farmers. Besides

processing, economies of scale can also be gained in research and development, and in

marketing. In terms of transaction cost economics, the cooperative is often presented as an

organizational solution in situations of high transaction costs (Bijman, 2018). Bijman (2018)

also highlight that in terms of institutional theory, microeconomic theories are built on the

assumption of rationality and organization like cooperatives are mechanisms to enhance the

efficiency of economic activities, in this case the production, processing and marketing of milk.

Farmers join a marketing cooperative to gain more control in marketing their products so they

can increase the price they receive for their products, reduce the costs of marketing for their

products, for obtaining agricultural inputs such as seed and fertilizer, and make the market for

their goods more secure (Tsehay, cited by Gobena, 2016).

Agricultural cooperatives have been one way farmers have organized themselves in the

smallholder dairy value chains in order to participate effectively and improve market access in

dairy production and marketing. According to Stockbridge et al., (2003) acting collectively

smallholder farmers may be in a better position to reduce transaction costs of accessing inputs,

obtain the necessary market information, secure access to new technologies, and tap into high

value markets, allowing them to compete with large farmers and agribusiness. This means that

through farmer organizations such as cooperatives, farmers can participate more effectively in

36

dairy value chains. Markelova et al., (2009) indicate that value chain actors (including farmers)

require certain conditions and services from other enterprises and support organizations to

effectively participate in the market. This support can be provided through farmer cooperatives.

Farmer organization through cooperatives have also been used as a way of commercialization of

milk production and marketing, particularly in East Africa. Negassa (2009) performed a survey

in Arsi Zone, Ethiopia to generate data to assess opportunities, constraints and challenges of

collective action in commercialization of smallholder dairy production and prospects of scaling

up. The study concluded that membership of milk marketing cooperatives was the key

determinant to sell and for the quantities of milk and butter sold by dairy producers. In terms of

commercialization, it may be important to note that there are problems of the measurement of

commercialization in smallholder agriculture. Jaleta et al., (2009) discuss the issues of

smallholder commercialization in terms of processes, determinants and impact. Generally, they

argue that although there are various indicators and indexes that have been developed, there is

no well accepted and comprehensive definition that could give a multidimensional view to

smallholder commercialization concept so that one can easily judge to what extent a given farm

household is commercialized in its overall production, marketing and consumption decisions

(Jaleta et al., 2009). Besides problems in conceptualization, studies have been performed to

assess the commercialization of smallholder agriculture making use of various indices such as

the household commercialization index, among others.

Bardhan et al., (2012) performed a study to identify factors determining choice of market

channel and what degree the market choice influenced the level of commercialization. The study

used a multivariate regression model and showed that given the right institutional incentives and

market infrastructure, marginal and small scale landholders are capable of scaling up milk

production and hence commercialize their dairy enterprises. Studies by Nkwasibwe et al., (2015)

37

and Willy and Gemechu (2016) used Tobit regression models to assess the efficiency of the dairy

value chain in Uganda and determinants of participation and financial profitability of

smallholder dairy in Ethiopia, respectively. Nkwasibwe et al., (2015) study showed that the most

significant determinants of formal marketing choice and the total milk proportions sold to formal

channel were household size, total volume of milk produced, payment period, source of

information, milk selling price and distance to the milk collection centres. A study by Willy and

Gemechu (2016) showed that households’ market participation was affected by household

demographic and socio-economic characteristics and transaction costs. Willy and Gemechu

(2016) noted that with the aim of reducing transactions cost, adequate marketing link should be

established between the rural producer and urban consumer through institutional arrangements

such as dairy cooperatives. A study by Chagwiza et al., (2016) assessed the impact of

cooperative membership among dairy producers in Selale, Ethiopia. The study used propensity

score matching technique and the empirical analysis showed that cooperatives were strong in

facilitating technological transformations and commercialization but weak in offering better

prices. The study concluded that cooperatives can be efficient business institutions to foster rural

development and food security. Although it was not a dairy study, Martey et al., (2012) analysed

factors influencing intensity of commercialization by farm households in maize and cassava

using the Tobit regression analysis in Ghana. The study, which used the household

commercialization index, observed that output price, farm size, household with access to

extension services and distance to market and market information determined the extent of

commercialization.

The various studies reviewed indicate that farmer organization through cooperatives can be an

important element in commercialization of smallholder dairy in organized value chains.

Markelova et al., (2009) indicated that most successful farmer organization marketed high value

agricultural products in situations where farmers faced high transaction costs. The study showed

38

that there were greater incentives for collective action to obtain access to transport, equipment,

cold chains, technical expertise and market knowledge to enable smallholders to market

perishable horticultural and livestock products. This shows that farmer organization through

cooperatives enables reduction in transaction costs enabling smallholder farmers to effectively

participate and commercialize. Holloway et al., (1999) indicate that producer marketing

cooperatives that effectively reduce transaction costs may enhance participation. Sonan et al.,

(2012) concluded that if groups are able to increase the volume of milk collection, there exists

potential for an improved and well-functioning market that will enable smallholder dairy farmers

to derive greater benefits from their marketing activities.

Most of the studies reviewed in this section have used the Tobit model to assess the degree of

commercialization, although other analytical techniques have been used as well. This study will

use the Tobit model to assess the role of farmer organization in the commercialization of milk

in the smallholder dairy value chains in Zimbabwe. This study hypothesizes that

commercialization of milk sold through the milk collection centres is not influenced by

participation in activities of farmer milk marketing cooperatives, access to credit, producer price,

access to information and access to markets by smallholder farmers through the farmer organized

milk marketing cooperatives.

2.4 Dairy Value Chain in Zimbabwe

The major players in the dairy industry in Zimbabwe are input suppliers, producers, processors,

retailers and consumers. According to Sukume and Maleni (2012) the dairy industry is becoming

more vertically integrated with many dairy producers emerging as processors and retailers after

the 2008 severe food shortages caused by price controls, foreign exchange shortages and

drought. The Ministry of Agriculture, Mechanization and Irrigation Development (MAMID)

(2014) reports that milk production in 2014 was 54 million litres per annum against a national

39

requirement of 120 million litres per annum. This milk production comes from both large scale

commercial and smallholder farmers. Sukume and Maleni (2012) report that estimates by Dairy

Services are that there are 233 large scale milk producers with an average of 100 dairy cattle, 44

of which are in milk at any given time. This implies there are a total of 23,000 dairy cattle in the

large scale commercial farms with an estimated 10,200 milking cows. LMAC (2012) estimated

that the number of large scale commercial producers was reduced from 314 in the year 2000 to

135 in the year 2011 as a result of the fast track reform and redistribution programme which

entailed compulsory acquisition of large scale farms. It is estimated that 77% of the large scale

farms produce milk to supply to six major processors in the country (Sukume Maleni, 2012).

The rest process milk on farm and sell directly to retailers and institutional buyers.

There are about 3,000 registered smallholder producers (communal, small scale commercial and

resettlement farmers) with an average of three dairy cattle half of which are in milk at any given

time (Sukume and Maleni, 2012). According to the DDP (2007) the 3,000 smallholder dairy

producers are organized as associations. Sukume and Maleni (2012) also report that the

Zimbabwe Association of Dairy farmers estimate that about 900 of the smallholder dairy

producers deliver milk to 28 milk collection centers throughout the country. The rest of the

producers supply milk directly to neighbors and local markets and do not supply milk to the six

processing companies. In addition, there are an estimated 10,000 non-commercial farmers that

have cows to supply food for the household, many of which also distribute surplus milk to

neighbors.

At the national level, the supply of milk reached a peak of 260 million litres per annum in 1992,

of which 240 million litres were consumed locally in the form of fresh milk and dairy products

(USAID, 2010). The number of dairy animals at peak production was estimated at 200,000

(DZL, 2009). According to LMAC (2012) the number of female dairy cattle were reduced from

40

70,000 in the year 2000 to about 23,000 in the year 2011. Reasons given for the decline from

peak production in the 1990s and the subsequent decline in the 2000s include the effects of

hyperinflation during the period 2000 to 2008, which led to the introduction of multicurrency in

2009. During this period, farmers were forced to barter milk for stock feeds. The fast track land

reform and redistribution programme also had an effect on milk production as some of the

producers whose farms had been acquired by the government sent their animals for slaughter.

This, coupled with droughts, resulted in overall reduction in milk production in the country.

Rukuni (2006) highlights some of the prime movers that were responsible for increased

production and marketing for crops in the first decade of independence. These included

investments and improvements in new technology, performance of institutions such as

marketing, credit, research and extension. In dairying, most of these investments were directed

at the large scale commercial farms, with little investments at the smallholder level. In order to

encourage smallholder farmers to enter into dairying, government created the dairy development

programme. The dairy development programme was started by the government in 1983 with the

mandate to spearhead smallholder dairy development in Zimbabwe’s communal, small scale

commercial and resettlement areas in a bid to raise the living standard of rural people through

increased incomes, provision of nutritious food (milk), improved people health and skills

development (DDP, 2007). One of the most important infrastructural developments undertaken

by the dairy development programme in the smallholder dairy schemes was the milk collection

centres. The centres provided milk bulking, cooling and marketing services. The milk collection

centres are run by farmer-organized milk marketing cooperatives. According to the DDDP

(2007), there were a total of 28 rural dairy projects in Zimbabwe, of which four delivered fresh

milk to Dairibord Zimbabwe Limited (DZL) and 22 processed the milk into Amasi (cultured

milk), yoghurts, and naturally sour milk. In this study, smallholder dairy schemes that process

milk at the milk collection centre are regarded as participating in the semi-formal value chain

41

while those that deliver the milk to established processors such as DZL (which is the successor

of the government owned Dairy Marketing Board) are regarded as participating on the formal

value chain. The semi-formal and formal value chains constitute the organized value chains

through which smallholder farmers in Zimbabwe can participate in milk production and

marketing.

Dairy production and marketing is affected by a number of factors at the micro-economic level,

including research, extension, inputs and other socio-economic factors. In terms of research,

prior to independence, most of the dairy research and development was targeted at large scale

commercial farmers (Sibanda and Khombe, 2006). Research into smallholder dairy only

commenced in support of government projects and programmes after independence (Mupeta,

2000). Sibanda and Khombe (2006) notes that since smallholder dairy was a new production

system introduced after independence, most of the research initially focused on gaining an

understanding of constraints and potential opportunities. Ngongoni et al., (2006) contend that

the major factors affecting dairy production in the smallholder sector were low levels of nutrition

and management practices responsible for the poor milk yields performance, low calving

intervals, late age at first calving and long intervals. Shortage of feed and transport are the major

constraints faced by smallholder dairy producers in the semi-arid areas (Chinogaramombe et al.,

2008). Francis and Sibanda (2001) and Ngongoni et al. (2006) highlight problems identified as

limiting dairy production. They further contend that age of calving of heifers, low productivity

due to inadequate availability and poor quality of feeds, expensive commercial feeds, heavy tick

infestation and high incidence of tick-borne diseases, excessive calf mortality and inadequate

knowledge on appropriate livestock management practices further limited dairy production.

Mupeta (2000) also documented the constraints facing smallholder production, with particular

reference to feed resources.

42

Muriuki and Thorpe (2002) indicated that in Eastern and Southern Africa, with the exception of

Zimbabwe and South Africa, most of the dairy in all countries is dominated by smallholder

farmers. The FAO (2017a) indicates that organized small scale dairy systems with improved

productivity and access to markets can compete successfully with large scale, specialized, capital

intensive high technology dairies. This study therefore focusses on milk production and

marketing in organized smallholder dairy value chains under the dairy development programme

schemes.

2.5 Conceptual Framework for this Study

In this study, milk production and marketing is studied in the context of organized smallholder

dairy value chains under the Dairy Development Programme (DDP) smallholder dairy schemes.

The small commercialized milk output from the smallholder farmers (estimated at 5%) that

enters the formal value chains is hypothesized to be limited by a number of constraints inherent

in parts of the links of the smallholder value chains particularly at the farm and milk collection

centre levels. The entry points for this research are the farm and milk collection centre levels of

the value chain and the primary area of research interest are the smallholder dairy producers.

Since feed has been identified as one of the main factors limiting milk production, this study

hypothesizes that introducing a value chain intervention of an animal production and forage

centre at the milk collection centre will enable farmers to access feed and improved breeding

services. This improves milk production and the economic viability of smallholder dairy value

chain at the production stage and therefore leads to improved commercialized output. Figure 2.1

presents the flow diagram of the conceptual framework.

43

Source: Author Compilation (2014)

Figure 2.1: Flow diagram of the smallholder value chain and the location of the animal

production and forage centre at the milk collection centre

The flow diagram shows that milk is produced by smallholder farmers and delivered to the milk

collection centre. Some of the milk may be sold informally direct to consumers such as neighbors

and other consumers in the production areas. Some of the milk collection centres process the

milk to produce various products, mainly fermented milk, yoghurts, and dairy beverages (semi-

formal value chain). These products are sold to consumers at the milk collection centre, and also

wholesaled from the milk collection centre to retailers at rural service centres and nearby urban

areas. Some of the milk collection centres bulk the milk from producers for delivery to

established urban based processors (formal value chain) which processes the milk into produce

44

various products such as Ultra High Temperature (UHT) milk, cheeses, dairy beverages,

yoghurts and other dairy related products. The urban based processors mainly supply the

products to predominantly urban consumers, through wholesalers and retailing direct to

consumers. At the production and marketing stages, the flow diagram shows the socio-economic

factors that influence production and affect market participation of households.

As shown in Figure 2.1, the proposed hypothetical value chain intervention of an animal

production and forage centre will be located at the milk collection centre site. This will be

responsible for commercially producing forage and feed for selling to farmers. This is expected

to result in a reduction of costs related to access to forage and feed. As a result, producers would

be able to access high quality forage and feed and increase milk production which they can

deliver to the milk collection centre. The milk collection centre on the other hand, would work

closely with the animal production and forage centre and deduct the money owed by producers

to the animal production and forage centre when producers deliver milk to the centre. Farmers

are organized through milk marketing cooperatives at the milk collection centers which are run

by a management committee elected by members.

2.6 Summary of Insights from the Literature

The literature review has defined and discussed the concepts of value chain and value chain

analysis to provide the framework and context in which organized value chains in Zimbabwe are

studied. Smallholder value chains in Zimbabwe are organized under the smallholder dairy

schemes set up under the Dairy Development Programme (DDP). In this study the smallholder

dairy value chains are categorized as semi-formal (where milk is processed at the milk collection

centre) and formal (where milk is delivered to established processors in the main urban centres)

which constitute the overall smallholder organized value chains for commercial market oriented

milk production and marketing. This study follows on the observations of Kaplinsky and Morris

45

(2010). Kaplinsky and Morris (2010) indicate that which value chain or chains are to be subjects

of enquiry very much depends on the point of entry of the research enquiry. Kaplinsky and

Morris (2010) further highlight that the point of entry defines which links and activities in the

chain are to be subjects of special enquiry. This study considers the weak links in the organized

smallholder dairy value chains to be on the producers in terms of their production and marketing

activities and marketing of milk at the milk collection centres and this is the focus of the research

for this study. These weak links have been defined on the basis of the low output and volume

delivered to markets (5%) from the smallholder dairy schemes. These are the entry points of the

research and are the subjects of the research enquiry. The study therefore focusses on milk

production in the organized smallholder dairy value chains, market participation and volume of

milk sales to milk collection centres, which are an important institution in the smallholder dairy

value chains.

In order to identify analytical models appropriate to study determinants of milk production,

participation in the market and volume of sales, a number of studies were reviewed. The

reviewed literature on factors influencing milk production indicates the studies have mainly used

general linear and multiple regression models. Given that in smallholder areas, unlike in large

scale commercial production where the major determinant of production is the profitability of

the enterprise, socio-economic factors are important in the decision making processes of

households. The multiple linear regression model was thus considered appropriate to assess

factors influencing milk production in the overall smallholder organized value chains.

The reviewed literature on market participation and volume of sales is mainly dominated by

selectivity models. The literature reviewed indicates the empirical studies have used logit

models, multinomial logit models, multivariate regression analysis, Tobit models and the

Heckman two stage models, among others. The Heckman two stage model was considered

46

appropriate for this study from the selectivity models. In the selectivity models, the decision to

participate in the market can be seen as a sequential two stage decision making process due to

the influence of various types of transaction costs on household market participation. In this

study, the milk collection centre, which is run by farmer organized milk marketing cooperatives

forms an important infrastructural set up to provide bulking, cooling, transportation, and in some

dairy schemes processing of the milk in the smallholder dairy value chains. The milk collection

centre is assumed to reduce transaction costs and facilitate smallholder production and market

participation in the value chains. Participation in production and marketing in the organized

value chains is therefore assessed on the basis relating to the milk collection centre since a farmer

needs to be a member of the farmer organized milk marketing cooperative to participate and

benefit from the milk produced individually and marketed collectively through the milk

collection centre.

The second stage of the selectivity model posits that conditional on the decision to enter into the

market, households then make continuous decisions on the level of participation in the market,

for example, how much to milk to sell. In this study, this would represent how much milk to sell

to the milk collection centre. The Heckman model was found appropriate for this study as it uses

the standard probit model to analyse household discrete decision to enter into the market in the

first stage. The second stage then uses a censored regression with correction for selection bias to

model the effects of variables influencing the level of market participation in terms of quantities

of milk sold. This is different from some of the models which are appropriate for modelling

choice of market outlets for farmers, which is not appropriate in the context of organized

smallholder dairy value chains in Zimbabwe.

The literature reviewed on feed resources and other constraints indicates the need to come up

with interventions that provide solutions to feed resources and improved breeding that are critical

47

constraints to smallholder dairying. McDemott et al., (2010b) indicates that combining genetic

and feed improvement has led to productivity gains of up to 300% in smallholder systems in

sub-Saharan Africa. Within the context of the value chain framework, this study proposes

introducing a hypothetical and evaluates ex ante the value chain intervention of an animal

production and forage centre that can benefit all farmers and can lead to upgrading of the whole

chain in terms of production and marketing. The intervention targets the weak links in the chain,

that is, the low volumes produced and marketed by smallholder farmers in Zimbabwe. The value

chain intervention would be assessed on the basis of benefit cost analysis and bio-economic

modeling.

The literature reviewed on farmer organization indicates the importance and role cooperatives

can play in smallholder dairy commercialization in organized value chains. Most of the studies

on commercialization have used the Tobit model to assess the intensity or degree of

commercialization using various indictors or indexes of commercialization (Martey et al., 2012;

Willy and Gemechu, 2016). The Tobit model was also considered appropriate to assess the

degree of milk commercialization through the milk collection centres of organized value chains

in Zimbabwe. The Tobit model is considered appropriate compared to other analytical

techniques because of its key aspect in the use of latent quantities of marketable surplus of non-

participating households (Willy and Gemechu, 2016). The dependent variables takes on positive

and zero values. The sales quantities in the model therefore are left censored at zero, and the

Tobit model is also known as a censored model (Gujarati, 2004). The model was used to assess

the degree of commercialization of milk in the organized smallholder dairy value chains through

the milk collection centre run by the farmer organized milk marketing cooperatives.

48

CHAPTER THREE: RESEARCH METHODS

3.1 Introduction

This chapter describes the data sources, selection of study sites, and the location and description

of study survey sites. Primary data collection methods, sampling procedures and a brief

discussion of the limitations of data collection methods used are covered in the chapter. The

chapter also presents the analytical framework, models to be used in data analysis, data entry

and analysis, and the contribution of the study to the body of knowledge.

3.2 Data Sources

The sources of data were both secondary and primary. Secondary sources included the

Zimbabwe National Statistics Agency (ZimStats), Ministry of Agriculture Economics and

Markets Department, Farmer Unions, Dairy processors such as Dairibord Zimbabwe limited

(DZL), Kefalos and the Milk Collection Centres (MCC) under the smallholder dairy

development programme. Secondary data were also collected from Dairy Services which

regulates the dairy industry, Zimbabwe Association of Dairy Farmers (ZADF), and the

Zimbabwe Dairy Industry Trust (ZDIT).

Primary sources of data included interviews with key informants, focus group discussions and a

household survey of farmers participating in commercial milk production under the Dairy

Development Programme (DDP). Key informant interviews mainly targeted the major

stakeholders in the dairy industry and these included private processors, government institutions,

and experienced farmers from the target smallholder dairy schemes. One focus group discussion

per smallholder dairy scheme was held with representatives of smallholder dairy farmers.

49

3.3 Selection of Study Sites

The locations of the study sites were four smallholder DDP dairy schemes of Chikwaka, Nharira-

Lancashire, Marirangwe and Rusitu. These schemes were purposively selected on the basis of

the type of production system (communal farming area, resettlement area, and small scale

commercial farming area), agro-ecological location, and performance in terms of average daily

milk delivered to the Milk Collection Centre (MCC), and linkages to formal modern processors

or processing of the milk at the MCC. According to Munangi (2010), the smallholder dairy

schemes across the country can be ranked based on performance in terms of milk production and

the status of the project. On the basis of performance or status, the schemes can be grouped into

four (Annex 1, Table 2). According to DDP (2013), Wedza, Sadza, Shurugwi, Guruve, Dowa,

Kanyongo and Umzingwane smallholder dairy schemes remained constrained in their dairy

activities and membership leading to low milk production. Mount Darwin, Murombedzi and

Mhondoro schemes were closed due to low milk production although Mhondoro was making

efforts to resume production (DDP, 2013). It was on the basis of the above criteria and taking

into account the status of some of the schemes that the four smallholder dairy schemes were

purposively selected.

In summary, the four smallholder dairy schemes under the DDP were purposively selected on

the basis of whether there was milk collection centre processing (semi-formal value chain),

linkages with established urban based processors (formal value chain), agro-ecological region

location of the scheme, and performance in terms of daily deliveries of milk to the milk collection

centre. Two schemes participating in the semi-formal value chain selected were Chikwaka and

Nharira-Lancashire, and two supplying the formal value chain were Marirangwe and Rusitu. The

characteristics of the selected study sites are summarized in Table 3.1.

50

Table 3.1: Characteristics of smallholder dairy schemes selected for the study, 2015

Smallholder Dairy

Scheme

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu

Value Chain Participates

in semi-

formal

Participates

in semi-

formal

Supplies

Formal

value chain

Supplies Formal value

chain

Milk Processing Milk

collection

centre

processing

Milk

collection

centre

processing

Delivered to

processors

(based in the

capital city

of Harare)

Delivered to Dairibord

Zimbabwe limited

(privatised company of

the former state run

Dairy Marketing

Board)

Agro-ecological

location of the

scheme or natural

region (NR)

NR II NR III NR II NR I

Farming system Communal Encompasses

both

Communal

and Small

scale

commercial

Small scale

commercial

Old resettlement area

Total milk

deliveries to milk

collection centre

Average

200

litres/day

Average 200

litres/day

Average 400

litres/day

Average 600 litres/day

Source: Author Compilation based on literature

3.4 Location and Description of Study Sites

The following section gives the location and description of the study sites.

3.4.1 Chikwaka Smallholder Dairy Scheme

Chikwaka smallholder dairy scheme is located about 50 km to the East of the capital city, Harare.

Chikwaka smallholder dairy scheme is located in a communal farming area and was the first to

be established by the government in 1983. The scheme is located in Mashonaland East province

in Goromonzi district. The scheme is in the category of schemes delivering less than 200 litres

milk per day to the MCC. It lies in agro-ecological region II which is considered suitable for

dairy production and receives 700 to 1050 mm rainfall per annum.

51

3.4.2 Nharira-Lancashire Smallholder Dairy Scheme

Nharira-Lancashire is located about 172 km to the south of the capital city, Harare. The scheme

encompasses both communal and small scale commercial production systems and is located in

Chikomba district in Mashonaland East province. It lies in agro-ecological III which receives

500 to 700 mm rainfall per annum. The area is subject to mid-season droughts. The main farming

systems found in the area, in conformity with the natural conditioning factors are based on

livestock production, assisted by the production of fodder crops and cash crops.

3.4.3 Marirangwe Smallholder Dairy Scheme

Marirangwe smallholder dairy scheme was established in 1984 and is located in a small scale

commercial farming area about 50 km to the south of the capital city Harare, in Seke District of

Mashonaland East province. The scheme produces more than 200 litres of milk per day. It is

located in agro-ecological region II and receives between 700 to 1000 mm of rainfall per annum

which is mainly confined to the summer months. The region is suitable for intensive systems of

farming based on crops and livestock production.

3.4.4 Rusitu Smallholder Dairy Scheme

Rusitu smallholder dairy scheme was established in 1990 and is located in Eastern part of

Zimbabwe in Manicaland province, Chipinge district and is approximately 485 km from the

capital city of Harare. The scheme is located in an old resettlement area. The farmers were

resettled after independence in 1980 under the government’s old resettlement programme which

was different from the fast track land resettlement programme implemented after the year 2000.

The scheme produces more than 600 litres of milk per day. The scheme falls in agro-ecological

region I, which is a specialized and diversified farming region. The rainfall in this region is high

(more than 1000 mm per annum in areas lying below 1700m altitude and 900mm per annum at

greater altitudes). The area normally gets some precipitation in all months of the year. The

52

temperatures in this region are comparatively low and the rainfall is highly effective enabling

afforestation, fruit and intensive livestock production to be practiced. Plantation crops such as

tea, coffee, and macadamia nuts are grown in this region.

3.5 Primary Data Collection Methods and Tools

The study used two main methods to collect primary data. The first method was a pre-tested

structured questionnaire to collect primary data at the household level. The second method was

key informant interviews targeted at the smallholder dairy scheme leadership, MCC staff and

extension personnel at the District and scheme level using a pre-tested semi-structured

questionnaire.

The questionnaire used to collect primary data in the survey was a single visit, once-off

questionnaire designed to last approximately one hour administered by a trained enumerator.

The questionnaire consisted of both pre-coded and open ended questions. This was

complemented by key informant interviews conducted by the researcher to get an overall picture

and views on smallholder dairy production and marketing (The detailed questionnaires are given

in Annex 2).

3.6 Secondary Sources of Data and Types of Data Collected

Secondary data were collected on the following variables:

i. Time series data on quantities produced and quantities marketed from smallholder

dairy schemes since 1983;

ii. Government policies towards the smallholder dairy sector since the introduction of

the smallholder dairy development programme (DDP) in 1983;

iii. Raw milk prices paid to farmers since 1983;

iv. Credit facilities and finance available for smallholder dairy farmers over the years

from 1983;

53

v. Projects supporting smallholder dairy since the introduction of the programme in

1983;

vi. Prices and supply of inputs to smallholder dairy schemes;

vii. Prices of dairy equipment; and

viii. Constraints and opportunities.

3.7 Sampling Procedures

The target population for the study were all smallholder dairy farmers under the DDP dairy

schemes in the target study sites. The lists of all members of the smallholder dairy schemes were

obtained from the MCC. The list included producers who were delivering milk at the time of the

study and those who were not delivering milk at the time of the study. The list for each respective

smallholder dairy scheme formed the sampling frame for the sample survey for that dairy

scheme. The sampling frames were comprised of 125 producers in Nharira-Lancashire, 65

producers in Chikwaka, 35 in Marirangwe and 245 in Rusitu. The aim in the survey was to

interview at least 50 producers from each smallholder dairy scheme within the limits of the

available research resources. Simple random sampling was used to select the sample of

smallholder dairy producers included in the study. In Marirangwe, the sample of farmers

included in the study were all the producers in the sampling frame since the sampling frame for

the smallholder dairy scheme was less than 50. The total number of households interviewed in

the four smallholder dairy schemes was therefore 185 farmers. This sample provides a cross

section of farmers in order to understand the organized smallholder dairy value chains under

different farming systems, agro-ecological potentials and scheme performance levels.

3.8 Limitations of Data Collection Methods Used

Limitations in data collection methods used in the survey include enumerator bias, recall

problems and subjectivity of some of the questions and types of data collected. The main possible

54

sources of this bias are the differences in the ability of enumerators. This affects interpretation

of questions by enumerators and inconsistencies in interviewing. However, attempts were made

to keep this to a minimum so as to have consistency in the data collected. This was done through

rigorous training sessions to ensure the enumerator understood all aspects in the questionnaire

before actual implementation. The enumerators also administered a minimum of three

questionnaires in the presence of the Principal Researcher in order to ensure data consistency.

A single visit survey also encounters problems of recall. Since dairying is a daily activity and

most of the farmers do not keep records, recall problems were encountered on dairy herd

structure, cost of production and quantities of milk sold and consumed by the household. In order

to get accurate data where recall was a problem, different probing strategies were used. For

example, instead of only relying on the head of household, other household members directly

involved in the activity were questioned directly where they were better placed to provide the

data. If the farmer had records, data were cross checked against the records particularly for sales

and costs of production. Overall, the limitations of the data collection do not invalidate the

results.

3.9 Analytical Framework

Table 3.2 shows the analytical framework of the study.

55

Table 3.2: Analytical framework of the study Hypotheses Data requirements Methods of analyses

Household socio-economic factors such as age, sex, dairy farming

experience and agricultural training of the household head, distance to

the MCC, total size of arable land available to the household, cost of

concentrates, household size, number of milking cows and the type of

value chain the farmer is supplying do not influence milk production in

the smallholder dairy value chain.

Age, sex, agricultural training and , dairy farming experience of the

head of household, total size of arable land available to the

household, cost of concentrates, and number of milking cows. Data

on total milk production (consumed and sold by the household)

Descriptive statistics to

summarize data.

Multiple linear regression

analysis.

Socio-economic factors such as total number of dairy cows owned by the

household, distance to the milk collection centre, educational level, age

and sex of the head of household, household size, dairy farming

experience, size of land holding of the household, access to information

and extension, income from other sources, occupation of the farmer,

agricultural training of the head of household and the agro-ecological

region location of the smallholder dairy scheme do not affect milk market

participation and volume of sales to the milk collection centres of the

smallholder dairy value chain.

Total number of dairy cows owned by the household, distance to

the milk collection centre, educational level, age and sex of the head

of household, household size, dairy farming experience, size of land

holding of the household, access to information and extension,

income from other sources, occupation of the farmer, agricultural

training of the head of household and the agro-ecological region

location of the smallholder dairy scheme of the household.

Type of market outlet used

Quantity of milk produced and consumed by the household.

Descriptive statistics

Heckman two stage

regression model

56

Quantity of milk sold.

The animal production and forage centre is not a profitable intervention

to milk marketing cooperatives in the smallholder dairy value chain.

Costs of setting up the forage and animal production centre such as

housing and offices, storerooms infrastructure, basic equipment for

AI, and cost of staff for the centre.

Current costs of production for farmers in terms cost of labour,

dipping, veterinary drugs and medicines, concentrates, pasture

production and transport.

Descriptive statistics

Benefit cost analysis

Commercialization of milk sold through milk collection centres is not

influenced by participation in activities of farmer milk marketing

cooperatives, access to credit, producer price of milk, access to

information and access to markets by smallholder farmers through the

farmer milk marketing cooperatives.

Participation in farmer marketing cooperative activities, access to

credit, access to information, distance to the market, and price of

milk paid to farmers.

Descriptive statistics

Tobit model

57

3.10 Analysis and Econometric Models used in the Study

1. In order to answer the first objective of the study which is to analyze the trends in smallholder

milk production and marketing including the effect of policies since the introduction of the

smallholder dairy development programme (DDP) in 1983, the study initially presents an overall

trend analysis of national milk intake (large and small farmers) and for the smallholder intake

levels. In addition to the trend analysis of national milk intake, analysis of group differences was

performed for the period 1980 to 2013, and this was done within the context of the policy

framework periods in order to assess the effects of the policies on milk production intake. The

major policies were classified into four distinct periods. The period 1980 to 1990 was classified

as the single channel marketing period in which the DMB held monopoly in the purchase,

processing, distribution, and trade in dairy products. The period 1990 to 1999 was classified as

the period when the government implemented the economic structural adjustment programme

(ESAP) that led to the privatization of the DMB in 1993, and the participation of other private

players. In the year 2000 government implemented the fast track land reform and redistribution

programme that was accompanied by contraction of the economy, eventually leading to

hyperinflation during the years 2007 to 2008. The dairy sub-sector remained deregulated during

this period. The last class period is from 2009 to 2013 when the government introduced the

multiple currency systems or dollarization. Statistics on volumes of milk delivered to markets

(milk intake) for the period 1980 to 2013 were collected from secondary sources. The analysis

used one way analysis of variance (ANOVA) and interactive bar graphs to analyse the average

volumes of milk delivered during the different policy periods. A one way analysis of variance is

a statistical method used to compare the means of more than two sets of data to see if they are

statistically different from each other. If the ANOVA was significant, multiple comparison tests

using the Tukey post-hoc multiple comparison tests were performed to check for significant

differences between policy periods, and to show which policy periods differed significantly from

each other in influencing milk production. The ANOVA methodology was used for analysis of

58

the milk production at the national level, smallholder level and for selected smallholder dairy

schemes. Due to differential data availability, there was limited analysis in terms of policy

periods for smallholder milk production and some of the schemes analyzed.

It is important in the interpretation of results to take into account the advantages and limitations

of ANOVA. The main advantages of ANOVA is that it can control the overall Type I error rate

and also because it is a parametric test that is more powerful if normality assumptions hold true.

The main limitations of ANOVA are mainly related to its main assumptions which include

homogeneity of variances, normality and independence of observations.

2. The second objective was to determine the main factors influencing milk production in the

smallholder dairy value chain. Following on Wanjala et al., (2014), the hypothesis associated

with this objective was that household socio-economic factors such as age, sex, agricultural

training and dairy farming experience of the head of household, distance to the MCC, total size

of arable land available to the household, cost of concentrates, household size, number of milking

cows and the type of value chain the farmer is supplying do not influence milk production and

was tested using multiple linear regression model.

The multiple linear regression model was stated as follows:

𝑌 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1Χ1 + 𝛽2Χ2 + 𝛽3Χ3 + 𝛽4Χ4 + 𝛽5Χ5 + 𝛽6Χ6 + 𝛽7Χ7 + 𝛽8Χ8 + 𝛽9Χ9 +

𝛽10Χ10 + 𝜇 (1)

Where Y – Quantity of milk produced per month (litres)

0 - Intercept (constant)

𝛽1 𝑡𝑜 𝛽10 - Regression coefficients

59

1X – Distance to the MCC

2X – Age of the head of household

3X – Dairy farming experience

4X – Agricultural training

5X – Total size of arable land available to the household

6X – Cost of concentrates

7X – Sex of the household head

8X – Household size

Χ9 – Number of milking cows

Χ10 - Type of value chain the farmer is supplying

µ - error term

The description of the variables, values and the expected sign are given in Table 3.3.

60

Table 3.3: Description of variables used in the model and expected sign

Variable Description Values,

Expected sign

Distance to the MCC Distance of the farmers homestead to the

MCC

km, -

Age of the head of

household

Age of the head of household Years, -

Dairy farming experience Dairy farming experience of the head of

household

Years, +

Agricultural training Agricultural training of the household head

(Dummy, 1=Some training in agriculture,

0=Otherwise)

+

Total size of arable land Total size of arable land available to the

household

Ha, +

Cost of concentrates feed Cost of concentrate feed, $/kg $/kg, -/+

Sex Sex of the head of household (Dummy,

1=male, 0=female)

+

Household size Number of household members staying with

the head of household

+

Number of milking cows Number of milking cows owned by the

household

+

Type of value chain

supplied by the farmer

Value chain supplied by the farmer

(Dummy, 1=formal value chain, 0 = semi-

formal value chain)

+

Dependent variable –

milk production

Quantity of milk produced in litres litres

Diagnostics tests were performed to assess the assumptions of multiple linear regression

analysis. Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was performed to assess if the dependent variable was

normally distributed. The kernel density estimate was then used to assess the normality of the

distribution. The Breusch-Pagan/Cook-Weiseberg test was used to test for heteroskedasticity.

The link test was performed to assess the specification of the model. Tolerance and variance

inflation factor were used to assess multicollinearity.

61

3. The third objective of the study was to analyze the factors affecting milk market participation

and the hypothesis associated with this objective was on market participation and volume of

sales. The Heckman two-step selection econometric models were used to analyse the hypothesis

of the determinants of milk market participation and volume of sales to the milk collection

centre. The specification of the econometric models used to analyze market participation and

volume of sales in this study followed literature on empirical studies of selectivity models

(Goetz, 1992; Key et al., 2000; Holloway et al., 2004; Bellemare and Barrett, 2006). The

Heckman two-step is part of the selectivity models which specify that the decision to participate

in milk markets can be seen as a sequential two-stage decision making process. In the first stage,

households are considered to make a discrete choice on whether to participate or not to

participate in milk markets (that is, whether to deliver milk to the milk collection centre or not).

In the second stage, conditional on their decision to participate, households then make

continuous decisions on volume of milk sales to the milk collection centre. In the first stage, the

standard probit model which follows random utility model and specified as Wooldridge (2002)

is used:

y* = z’α + ε1 (2)

y = 1, if y* > 0

y = 0 if y* ≤ 0.

Where, y* is a latent (unobservable) variable representing the household discrete decision to

participate or not participate in the milk market. Z’ is a vector of independent variables that are

hypothesized to affect the household decision to participate in milk market. α is a vector of

parameters to be estimated which measures the effects of the explanatory variables on

household’s decision. ε1 is normally distributed disturbance with mean (0) and standard deviation

of Ϭ1 and captures all unmeasured variables. Y is a dependent variable which takes on the value

of 1 if a household participates in milk market and 0 otherwise. Conditional on milk market

62

participation, variables affecting the volume of milk sales to the milk collection centre were then

modeled using the second-stage Heckman selection model (Heckman, 1979). The Heckman

selection equation is specified as follows:

Zi* = wi α + ε2 (3)

Zi = zi* if zi* > 0

Zi = 0 if zi* ≤ 0

Where Zi* is the latent variable representing optimal volume of milk sales to the milk collection

centre, which is observed if zi* > 0 and unobserved otherwise. Zi is the observed volume of milk

sold to the market, Wi is the vector of covariates for unit i for selection equation which is a subset

of z’, α is the vector of coefficients for selection equation and ε2 is the random disturbance for

unit i for selection equation. One of the problems with the two equations (1) and (2) is that the

two-stage decision making processes are not separable due to unmeasured household variables

affecting both discrete and continuous decisions thereby leading to errors of the equations. If the

two errors are correlated, the estimated parameter values on variables affecting volume of milk

sales would be biased (Wooldridge, 2002). Thus the model that corrects selectivity while

estimating volume of milk sales needs to be specified. For this purpose, in the first-step, Mills

ratio is created using probability values obtained from the first-stage probit regression of milk

market participation. Then in the second-step, the Mills ratio is then included as one of the

independent variables in volume of milk sales regression. Thus volume of milk sales equation

with correction for sample selection bias becomes:

V = wα + λ[ϕ (wiα)

Ф(wiα)] + ε3 (4)

Where, ф (.)/Ф (.) is the Mills ratio, λ is the coefficient on the Mills ratio, ф denotes standard

normal probability density function, Ф denotes the standard cumulative distribution function and

ε3 is normally distributed disturbance term with zero mean and standard deviation of Ϭ3, and ε3

63

is not correlated with ε1 and ε2 and other independent variables. Under the null hypothesis of no

sample selection bias, λ is not significantly different from zero. In this study, V is volume of

milk sales in litres.

The independent variables were identified based on economic theories and empirical studies as

follows (Table 3.4).

Table 3.4: Description of dependent and independent variables used in Heckman two-step

selection model

Variable Description Values, Expected Sign

Age Age of household head in years Number of years, ±

Educational level Educational level of head of household Number of years in

school, +

Sex Sex of household head (Dummy: 1=male;

0=female)

+

Household size Number of household members Number, +

Distance to market Distance to the milk collection centre km, -

Access to

extension

Access to extension services in the dairy

schemes (Dummy: 1=yes; 0=no)

+

Access to

information

Access to dairy enterprise information

(Dummy: 1=yes; 0=no)

+

Dairy farming

experience

Dairy farming experience of the head of

household

Number of years, +

Total land holding

of the household

Total size of land holding of the household Hectares, +

Total number of

dairy cows

Total number of dairy cows owned by the

household

Number, +

Income from other

sources

Income from other sources USD, +

Farmer occupation Occupation of the farmer (Dummy:

1=fulltime farmer; 0=otherwise)

+

Agricultural

training

Agricultural training of the head of

household (Dummy: 1=Received some

training in agriculture; 0=otherwise)

+

Agro-ecological or

natural region

Agro-ecological location of the smallholder

dairy scheme of the household (Dummy:

1=Natural region I or II; 0=otherwise)

±

Milk sold Volume of milk sales to the milk collection

centre

Litres/month

Market

Participation

Farmers producing and selling milk to the

milk collection centre (Dummy: 1=yes;

0=no)

64

4. The fourth objective was to determine ex-ante the potential effect of introducing an animal

production and forage centre in the smallholder dairy value chain. The hypothesis was that the

animal production and forage centre is not a profitable intervention to milk marketing

cooperatives in the smallholder dairy value chain was tested using a benefit cost analysis and

bio-economic modeling. The main scenarios assessed was the baseline scenario, which was the

current situation and milk production levels by smallholder farmers. Data for the baseline

scenario came from the survey. The baseline scenario was compared to the hypothesized

intervention of the animal production and forage centre that was to be introduced at the milk

collection centre of the smallholder dairy value chain. The intervention of the animal production

and forage centre was expected to offer additional benefits to farmers through increased milk

yields if it is finally operationalized. Farmers participating in the animal production and forage

centre are expected to optimally feed their animals (as per expert research recommendations) in

order to realize optimum milk yields and benefits from smallholder dairying. The centre will be

expected to produce bagged and ensiled forage that is then sold to farmers at the lowest cost

possible. The centre will be manned by qualified personnel, trained up-to diploma level. The

animal production section of the centre will also be manned by qualified personnel to provide

correct synchronization of the animals on heat and artificial insemination for the benefits to be

realized. Repayment of forage purchased by farmers will be through deductions factored into the

milk sold to the milk collection centre. In terms of marketing, milk will be sold in the rural areas,

with the surplus processed into sour milk depending on the requirements of the community. The

upgrading of feed and animal management is likely to improve viability for smallholder farmers,

constituting a new model for smallholder dairy development.

The benefit-cost methodology (Gittinger, 1992) was used to assess the investment in the animal

production and forage centre. The hypothesized animal production and forage centre was

65

assessed (ex-ante) on basis of the cost and benefits of putting up such a centre and discounting

the costs and benefits over a ten year period. The present worth of the benefits and costs were

calculated using the following formula:

𝑃𝑉 =𝐹𝑉

(1+𝑖)𝑛 (5)

Where PV = present value, FV = future value, i = interest rate, and n = number of years.

The benefit cost ratio (BCR) was calculated using the following formula:

𝐵𝐶𝑅 = ∑

𝐵𝑡

(1+𝑖)𝑡𝑡=𝑛𝑡=1

∑𝐶𝑡

(1+𝑖)𝑡𝑡=𝑛𝑡=1

(6)

Where Bt = benefit in each year;

Ct = cost in each year;

t = 1, 2,………, n;

n = number of years; and

i = interest (discount) rate.

Scenarios assessed were the “with” the animal production and forage centre and the “without”

animal production and forage centre (which is the baseline). In addition, the cost of production

of the smallholder dairy enterprise was calculated and gross margin analysis performed. The

gross margin is simply the gross output of the enterprise less the variable costs and was used to

indicate the economic viability of the dairy enterprise. If the benefit cost ratio is more than one,

then animal production and forage centre is considered to be profitable to the milk marketing

cooperatives of the smallholder dairy value chain. It is important to note and take into account

the advantages and limitations of the benefit cost methodology. The main advantages are

comparability, transparency and ignorance revelation. The main disadvantages of the

methodology include the potential inaccuracies in identifying and quantifying costs and benefits,

increased subjectivity for intangible costs and benefits, and inaccurate calculations of present

value resulting in misleading analyses.

66

5. The fifth objective was to assess the role of farmers’ cooperatives in the commercialization of

milk in the smallholder dairy value chain. The hypothesis was that commercialization of milk

through the MCC is not influenced by participation in activities of farmer milk marketing

cooperatives, access to credit, access to information, distance to the market (representing access

to markets through the farmer marketing cooperatives), and the price of milk delivered to the

MCC and was tested using the Tobit model. The key aspect of using the Tobit model is use of

latent quantities of the commercialized milk output of non-participating households. Smallholder

dairy producers in this study are divided into two groups, those who actually sell milk to the

MCC, on which information is available on the regressand (commercialized milk output) and

the regressors, and another group where information is only available on the regressors’, but not

the regressand. The regressand or dependent variable takes on positive and zero values. When a

zero value is observed, it is assumed the household in question, rather than possessing an excess

of the marketable product (commercialized milk in this case), actually has the demand for the

commodity (that is negative supply) Laper et al., (2002), cited in Willy and Gemechu, (2016).

Hence the quantity sold (commercialized milk output) is left censored at 0 and the Tobit model

is also known as a censored regression model. According to Gujarati (2004) statistically the

Tobit model can be expressed as:

Y𝑖 = 𝛽1 + 𝛽2𝑋2 + 𝜇𝑖 (7)

if Right Hand Side (RHS) > 0, or = 0, otherwise.

The model used in this study is expressed as follows:

𝑌 = 𝛽1 + 𝛽2Χ1 + 𝛽3Χ2 + 𝛽4Χ3 + 𝛽5Χ4 + 𝛽6Χ5 + 𝜇 (8)

Where Y – commercialization index (expressed as percentage of quantity sold divided by total

quantity produced multiplied by 100).

ꞵ2 to ꞵ5, - regression coefficients

67

X1 – participation in milk marketing cooperative activities.

X2– access to credit.

X3 – access to information.

X4 – distance to the MCC (representing access to market)

X5 – Price of milk delivered to the MCC

µ - error term.

The independent variables were identified based on economic theories and empirical studies as

follows (Table 3.5).

Table 3.5: Description of variables used in the Tobit model

Variable Description Values, Expected

sign

Participation in milk marketing

cooperative activities

Whether farmer participates in

activities or not (Dummy

1=participates, 0=otherwise)

+

Access to credit Dummy (1=access, 0=otherwise) +

Access to information Access to information from the

MCC through the mobile phone,

Dummy (1=yes, 0=no)

+

Distance to MCC Distance to MCC representing

access to market

km, ±

Price of milk Continuous variable USD, +

Commercialization index Commercialized output of the milk

produced

3.11 Data Entry and Analysis

After completion of data collection, data cleaning was performed by the researcher. Open ended

questions were post coded before data entry. Data were entered using the Census and Survey

Processing Programme (CSPro) version 6.1. The main advantage of using CSPro in data entry

is that the data entry forms can be designed to look like the questionnaire used in the survey, and

68

range checks and data entry options to minimize data entry errors can be specified. Data were

transferred to and analysed using Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) version 16

and STATA. Preliminary data analyses and cleaning was performed using SPSS. The SPSS data

files were saved as STATA files. This was done to facilitate analysis of data that could not be

performed in SPSS such as Tobit analysis. Descriptive statistics were used to summarize the data

while regressions were used to assess relationships between dependent and independent

variables. Microsoft Excel was used to perform benefit cost analysis and simulations for the ex-

ante assessment of the animal production and forage centre.

3.12 Study Contribution to the Body of Knowledge

According to Wanjala et al. (2015), there is limited information regarding empirical evidence

for selecting interventions based on quantitative information and demonstration of what the

impact of such interventions would be in value chain upgrading. This study therefore contributes

to the body of knowledge on value chain analysis in smallholder dairies and how value chains

can be upgraded for the benefit of smallholder farmers in order to significantly contribute to

formal chains for the enhancement of smallholder incomes.

This study hypothesizes introducing a value chain intervention of an animal production and

forage centre. The study performed an ex-ante analysis of the impact of this on the profitability

of the intervention to the farmer milk marketing cooperatives. The ex-ante assessment and

evaluation of the model was performed and if proved economically viable, will constitute a new

model for smallholder dairy development in Zimbabwe and the whole of the Southern African

region.

There is a paucity of literature on smallholder dairy in Southern Africa. The study also

contributes to knowledge and literature through the comprehensive analysis on the effect of

69

policies on the performance of the dairy sector since independence. In addition, the study also

contributes to micro-level policies that are needed to boost milk production and increase

commercialization by smallholder farmers who are now the main drivers of dairying in

Zimbabwe post the Fast Track Land Reform and Redistribution (FTLRR) programme

implemented from the year 2000. According to Ogutu et al., (2014) information asymmetry has

traditionally constrained smallholder farmers’ access to markets and consequently limiting their

adoption of modern technologies and farm productivity. Improved smallholder farmers’ access

to markets via the recent information and communication technologies platforms has the

potential to reverse this scenario (Ogutu et al., 2014). The study also shows the role of

information and communication technologies (ICT) in terms of the use of mobile phones in the

provision of information in smallholder farming.

In this study, smallholder is defined to include small scale commercial, communal and old

resettlement areas, which have different land tenure systems giving farmers differential access

and rights to the land. According to the Commission of Inquiry into Appropriate Agricultural

Land Tenure Systems (1994) small scale commercial farms have freehold tenure, while in the

communal the land is state owned under traditional rights to the land while in the old resettlement

the state owns the land with farmers granted rights through a permit issued by the Minister

responsible for agriculture. This study contributes to the understanding of the relationships

between milk production and tenure systems in Zimbabwe in the context of smallholder

agriculture.

The study further contributes to the literature on the role of farmer organization in general and

milk marketing in particular. The study shows the role and contribution of farmers’ organization

to commercialization of smallholder agriculture.

70

CHAPTER FOUR: A REVIEW OF SMALLHOLDER DAIRY DEVELOPMENT IN

ZIMBABWE 1983 TO 2013: THE EFFECT OF POLICIES1

4.1 Introduction

This chapter reviews dairy development in Zimbabwe from 1983 to 2013 in order to answer the

first objective of the study which is to analyze trends in smallholder milk production and

marketing including the effect of policies since the introduction of the smallholder dairy

development programme in 1983. The chapter reviews literature and analyses of published,

unpublished reports and documents, and statistics in order to assess the effect of policies and

identify constraints in the smallholder dairy value chain. The policy periods were grouped, with

the first group being the “single market channel” covering the years 1980 to 1989; the second

group being the “ESAP era” covering the years 1990 to 1999; the third group being the “Land

Reform era” covering the years 2000 to 2008; and finally the fourth group was the “Dollarization

era” covering 2009 to 2013. This chapter therefore examines smallholder dairy development

within the context of the policy frameworks since 1980, analysis of trends and comparative

analysis of smallholder within the context of national milk intake and trends.

4.2 Review of the Developments in Milk Production in Zimbabwe

Dairying in Zimbabwe has long been the preserve of Large Scale Commercial (LSC) farmers.

At independence in 1980, LSC farmers supplied all the milk entering the formal marketing

channels. Although milk was also produced in the communal areas, this was mainly for

subsistence purposes (Chavhunduka, 1982). The major distinction between the LSC farms and

the smallholder farms that comprises communal, small scale commercial and resettlement areas

was that large scale commercial farmers mainly kept exotic dairy breeds which produce better

1 This Chapter is based on a paper published in Livestock Research for Rural Development (LRRD) by

Chamboko T and Mwakiwa E. 2016. A review of smallholder dairy development in Zimbabwe 1983 to 2013: the

effect of policies. Livestock Research for Rural Development. Volume 28, Article #113. Available at

http://www.lrrd.org/lrrd28/6/cham28113.html. (Full Paper in Annex 4, Paper 1).

71

milk yields compared to smallholder farms where indigenous breeds with low milk yields were

kept (Chavhunduka, 1982).

4.2.1 Large Scale Commercial Dairying

Large scale commercial dairy farming in Zimbabwe dates back to 1910 when the colonial

government took steps to stimulate dairying as an enterprise (Muzuva, 1989; Mupeta, 2000).

The government at that time put in place extension and training in milk production for the

farmers2. Over the years milk production expanded and the first milk processing plant was

established in Gweru in 1912. Milk was then mainly handled by producer cooperatives. In 1947,

the government introduced the Milk Subsidy Committee to enable consumers to access milk.

However, by 1949, the producer cooperatives were facing financial difficulties. The financial

difficulties facing the cooperatives led to disruptions in the handling and distribution of milk and

milk products and seasonal shortages. As a result, white urban consumers gave pressure to the

colonial government to improve on availability of milk. The white urban consumers also queried

the introduction of the Milk Subsidy Committee since consumers could not get the milk. This

forced the colonial government, under pressure from the predominantly white farming

electorate, to set up a Milk Marketing Committee. The main purpose of the committee was to

purchase milk directly from producers for resell to distributors. The government in 1952, in order

to improve on the availability of milk and milk products to consumers, set up the Dairy

Marketing Board (DMB) to purchase all milk and dairy products, process, distribute and import,

as well as to construct and operate milk processing plants (Muzuva, 1989).

According to Muzuva (1989) milk supply and demand problems in the 1960s period necessitated

the government to set up a Commission of Inquiry into the dairy industry. The commission in

its 1961 report concluded that the post war economic climate in the country necessitated the

2 Most of the materials in this section is drawn from Muzuva (1989).

72

official policy to stimulate milk production. Government was also forced to come up with

alternative marketing strategies since the supply in the 1960s was growing faster than demand.

One of the strategies was to stimulate milk consumption by the urban black population.

Skimmed milk derived from butter manufactured for the urban white consumers was therefore

used to produce lacto (dairy “sawa”) for provision to welfare schemes for black children

attending nursery schools. In addition, a network of depots was set up in the high density areas

where predominantly the black population resided. These measures resulted in a high off take of

milk and milk products.

At independence in 1980, the new majority government administration inherited the milk and

milk products production and marketing that was dominated by white large scale commercial

farms and marketed through the DMB. However, the government faced a situation similar to the

colonial government post second world war situation of improved purchasing power and

increased access to milk by outlying areas (Muzuva, 1989). In order to accommodate the increase

in domestic milk sales, exports sales were interrupted. It should be noted, however, that the

increased demand was based on uneconomically low consumer prices due to the subsidies policy

that was maintained by the government in early years of independence (Muir-Leresche and

Muchopa, 2006).

4.2.2 Why smallholder dairying after independence?

The Government of Zimbabwe adopted the growth with equity objective at independence in

1980 (Zimbabwe Government, 1981). In order to fulfill this objective, the Government of

Zimbabwe in 1980 embarked on a programme to support and promote the participation of

previously disadvantaged groups in formal markets (Muir, 1994). Previously, dairy production

and marketing was dominated by LSC farmers with little participation of communal and small

scale commercial farmers. A 1982 commission of Enquiry into the Agricultural Industry

73

indicated that milk production in the communal areas was mainly for subsistence purposes, and

exotic breeds were not kept and the yields were very low (Chavhunduka, 1982).

4.2.3 Evolution of Smallholder Dairying

The analysis of smallholder dairying cannot be separated from the development of the Dairy

Development Programme (DDP). The DDP started as the Peasant Sector Development

Programme (PSDP) in 1983 under the DMB following a directive from the government on all

parastatals to promote the participation of indigenous Zimbabweans in sectors which had

previously been dominated by white large scale commercial interests (DDP, 1997). This created

an opportunity for DMB to establish strong linkages between the board and its primary producers

in order to add value to the primary milk product. DMB also saw this as an opportunity to expand

the raw milk production supply base and secure increased supplies due to demand increase for

milk in both rural and urban areas after independence. The increased demand in both the rural

and urban areas was not matched by an increase in the production base. The production base

inherited at independence comprised of approximately 500 LSC dairy producers which was no

longer able to cope with the increased national milk demand.

4.2.4 The First Communal Farming Area Dairy Scheme

Following the government directive, DMB initiated a feasibility study to consider the potential

for a milk collection scheme in Chikwaka in 1983 (DMB, 1988). Chikwaka was selected because

of its proximity to the capital city of Harare, and its location in agro-ecological region IIa which

receives 800 to 1000 mm of rainfall per annum and was therefore considered suitable for

intensive systems of crop and livestock production. Although the initial objective was to produce

milk only, several other constraints that hindered the attainment of this objective were identified.

The major constraints identified were (1) lack of properly managed and controlled grazing (2)

the cattle dips were too far (3) water shortages (4) poor sanitary facilities (5) lack of knowledge

74

of dairying and (6) low milk yields produced by indigenous stock. The constraints needed to be

overcome before smallholder dairying could be introduced to the communal area.

A planning committee encompassing all government departments and different groups and

associations was formed to coordinate and plan the activities in order to overcome these

constraints. A socio-economic study performed in the area showed that smallholder dairying

could not be considered in isolation, but as an integral part of the farming systems pertaining to

many communal areas of Zimbabwe. The DMB, as a result, was forced to collaborate and work

with other Ministries, agencies and farmer associations in developing smallholder dairy

production and marketing. The DMB as the lead institution appointed a project officer and three

liaison officers to work with farmers and maintain and links with the board. The Rural District

Council donated a 10 hectare plot for the construction of the milk collection centre and for

establishing a demonstration plot for training services to farmers. Other donors also intervened,

and the European Economic Community (EEC) funded the Kawoyo grazing scheme with

farmers contributing labour to the project. The Dutch Embassy provided building materials for

the construction of a dip tank, while DMB sourced and sold building materials at cost price for

the construction of latrines. The DMB also purchased a rig in order to help the community drill

boreholes. On the 22nd December 1987, a total of 13 farmers altogether brought a total of 136

litres of milk to the collection centre (DMB, 1988). The Chikwaka milk collection centre became

a reality and thus became the first to be established in a communal area as part of a broad based

development programme centred on milk production (DDP 1995). The centre was then

registered by Dairy Services as a producer-retailer in line with changes to accommodate the

smallholder areas.

75

4.2.5 The First Small Scale Commercial Farming Area Dairy Scheme

The DMB’s second pilot study to establish another smallholder dairy scheme was undertaken in

Marirangwe small scale commercial farms. This was in response to a group of farmers from

Marirangwe who had approached the Board in mid-1983 to express their interest in entering the

commercial dairy industry. Following on this expression of interest, a decision was then made

to perform a study to assess the technical capacity of the farmers in the area. The organizational

aspects of the milk collection centre that was to be eventually established were left to the

community. The study was then facilitated by the Department of Agricultural Technical and

Extension Services (Agritex) at both local and provincial levels. According to DMB (1984), the

list of farmers’ submitted by the local extension worker indicated a total of 21 farmers were

interested to participate in the milk production and marketing project.

Following on the completion of the assessment of the community resource base and profile, the

DMB concluded that a smallholder dairy project had a good chance of success. There were

several factors considered in the assessment that were in favour of such a smallholder dairy

scheme (DMB 1988). Firstly, farmers from Marirangwe had previously expressed interest in

dairying before Zimbabwe’s war of liberation. Secondly, farmers in the area were aware of the

potential benefits such a scheme would bring to the community. Farmers needed to earn an

income from one of their major assets (cattle). Thirdly, farmers in the small scale commercial

farming area were sufficiently motivated to form committees to run the scheme and appoint the

necessary staff. Fourthly, Agritex reported that 75% of farmers in the area were receptive and

could easily adopt new ideas and lastly, the farming area was close to some of the big LSC dairy

producers who were prepared to offer advice, bull service and possibly heifers (or crossbreds)

for sale to the new smallholder dairy schemes producers.

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However, before the milk collection scheme could be established, it was realized there were

factors that militated against the successful establishment of the scheme. These included training

and extension services for farmers, the types of milking sheds to be constructed, issues to do

with dairy herd improvement and transport for those farmers who were fairly distant from the

milk collection centre (maximum of 10 km). The Dairy Act and Regulations that were enacted

during the colonial era were another major constraint in the implementation of the project in

Marirangwe (DMB 1984). According to DMB (1984) the cost of constructing the type of milking

facility that was prescribed in the Dairy Act was not feasible nor essential for smallholder

farmers. The DMB therefore recommended that possible changes to the Act could be requested

after using Marirangwe as an experimental project. This would enable the research team to assess

problems likely to be encountered and changes to the Act that could be safely requested. Some

of the requirements of the Dairy Act were finally waived in order to enable smallholder farmers

to participate in milk production and marketing. During the early implementation of Marirangwe

smallholder dairy project, the research team collected crucial experience based data on

smallholder milk quality, optimal milk carrying distances, appropriate milk testing procedures,

sterilizing equipment, frequency of milk collection, seasonality of milk supply and others. This

enabled the Marirangwe milk collection centre to be established and it was envisaged the scheme

would be handed over to farmers after two years. The milk collection centre (MCC) initially

catered for the local community’s fresh milk requirements and the surplus was marketed at the

DMB Harare Dairy.

4.2.6 Major Policies during the Period 1980 to 2013

The 1980 to 2013 period has seen the Zimbabwean economy undergoing major policy shifts.

The first ten years (1980 to 1990) were characterized by a single channel marketing system under

which statutory parastatal organizations operated for most of the major agricultural commodities,

including dairy (Muir, 1994). The statutory parastatal organization responsible for dairy was the

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Dairy Marketing Board (DMB), formed in 1952. The DMB had monopoly in the purchase,

processing, distribution and external trade of all dairy products. Government administered

producer prices, and also set both wholesale and retail prices. Prices were established pan-

territorially, and pan-seasonally. However, milk producer prices were not set pan-seasonally as

these were adjusted to take into account changes in farmer feeding costs. According to Chidzero

(1994), the major policy thrust in the first decade of independence was to bring about social

transformation which would positively redress the socio-economic imbalances which existed

prior to independence. Government therefore introduced or reinforced price controls as part of

the principle of growth with equity. However, one of the implications of these price controls was

the continued subsidization of marketing boards. As a result the government between 1980 and

1990 paid the DMB an average of about USD4 million per annum (ZWD34 million at 1994

exchange rates) in direct consumer subsidies (Muir, 1994).

The problems with the subsidies in the first decade of independence was that they were not

targeted at particular groups of people, and therefore did not benefit the intended beneficiaries.

The price controls at the same time also discouraged investors. Government in 1990 then

launched the Economic Structural Adjustment Programme (ESAP) which was aimed at

stimulating investment and economic activity. The policy reforms envisaged under ESAP

entailed moving away from a highly regulated to an economy where market forces were expected

to play a greater role within the context of government objectives (Chidzero, 1994). As part of

the reforms, the DMB was initially commercialized and later privatized in 1993, and the

company turned from losses to profits in the same year. However, although the company

achieved profits, this was achieved against low producer prices which were reflected in the

steady decline in the LSC herd from 115,000 in 1993 to 82,000 head in 1999 (Muir, 1994).

The fast track land redistribution programme was launched in the year 2000. This period was

characterised by massive land occupations and economic decline and crisis (Moyo, 2006). The

key elements of the fast track land reform and redistribution programme were speeding up of

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identification and compulsory acquisition of land for resettlement, accelerating planning and

demarcation of acquired land and settler emplacement on the land, and providing basic

infrastructure and farmer support services. The effects of the fast track land redistribution

programme, coupled with droughts, resulted in dairy animals being sent for slaughter. Overall

production in all sectors of the economy declined during the period 2000 to 2008, including the

dairy industry. During this period, dairy farmers were forced by the economic situation to barter

milk for stock feeds. The introduction of the government of national unity in 2009, coupled with

the introduction of the multicurrency regime enabled the economy to slowly rebuild.

4.3 Analysis of Milk Intake

4.3.1 Trends in National Milk Intake

The trends for national milk production shows that milk production steadily increased in the

period 1980 to 1990, reaching a peak in 1991, and steadily declined from 1991 up to 2009, when

it started slowly going up (Figure 4.1). The peak production period was achieved in 1991 at 260

million litres. Since then, milk production has steadily declined, reaching as low as 37 million

litres in 2009. Although the decline started during the period the government implemented the

ESAP in the early 1990s, the fast track land reform and redistribution programme also led to

further decline in dairy production in terms of milk production, number of producers and the

total dairy herd (Figure 4.1).

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Figure 4.1:Zimbabwe national milk intake from 1980 to 2012

Source: Dairy Services (2012)

4.3.2 Effect of Policies on National Milk Intake

Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) results of national milk intake on policy periods shows that

policy periods had significant effects on milk production (p<0.1; F3, 28 =24.10; at 1%; and N=31).

This shows that the policies had an effect on national milk intake. The multiple comparison using

Tukey post hoc multiple comparison tests show that there were significant differences in national

milk intake between the single channel market period and ESAP, and between ESAP and the

land reform and dollarization periods. These results are summarized in Figure 4.2 and show the

interactive bar graphs and the results of the multiple comparison tests.

0

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Figure 4.2: Mean (±95% CL) national milk intake (million litres) for different policy periods

interactive bars. Numbers in bars are subgroups in descending order based on multiple comparison

tests Source: Dairy Services (2012)

4.3.3 Trends in Smallholder Milk Intake

The trends in smallholder milk intake show that it reached a peak in the year 1995 with about

3.6 million litres, and steadily declined up to the year 2000, when about 1.4 million litres of milk

were produced. From 2000 onwards, milk intake fluctuated and dropped significantly in 2008

when about 78 thousand litres were produced possibly due to economic challenges faced by

farmers and the effects hyperinflation in the economy. The trend started showing a steady

upwards movement from the year 2009 with the introduction of the multi-currency system or

dollarization (Figure 4.3).

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Figure 4.3: Smallholder milk intake (million litres) 1988 - 2012

Source: DDP (2012)

4.3.4 Effect of Policies on Smallholder Milk Intake

The ANOVA produced the following results (p< 0.1; F 3, 21 = 9.47 at 1%; N=24). These results

show that policies had an effect on smallholder total milk intake. Multiple comparison using the

Tukey post-hoc multiple comparison tests also show a significant difference between the single

channel market period and ESAP, ESAP and land reform period, and ESAP and dollarization,

while there were no significant differences between the policy periods land reform and single

channel market. There were also no significant differences between the policy periods

dollarization and single market and dollarization and land reform. These results are summarized

in Figure 4.4.

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Figure 4.4: Mean (±95% CL) smallholder milk intake in litres for different policy periods

interactive bars. Numbers in bars are subgroups based on multiple comparison tests.

Source: DDP (2012)

4.4 Effects of Polices on Milk Intake of Selected Smallholder Dairy Schemes

In order to understand the effects of the policy frameworks periods on smallholder dairy scheme

level milk intake, interactive bar graphs and ANOVA were performed for two smallholder dairy

schemes of Rusitu and Marirangwe for which data were available. These schemes form some

part of the early development of organized smallholder dairying in the resettlement and small

scale commercial areas, respectively. The results are shown in Figures 4.5 and 4.6 respectively.

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Figure 4.5: Mean (±95% CL) Rusitu dairy scheme milk intake in litres for different policy

periods interactive bars. Numbers in bars are subgroups based on multiple comparison tests.

Source: DDP (2012)

Figure 4.6: Mean (±95% CL) Marirangwe dairy scheme milk intake in litres for different

policy periods interactive bars. Numbers in bars are subgroups based on multiple

comparison tests.

Source: DDP (2012)

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ANOVA results for Rusitu (p=0.05; F 3,19 = 3.128; N=22) and Marirangwe (p=0.08; F 3,18 = 2.65;

N = 22) smallholder dairy schemes indicate that there were no significant differences in the

policy periods at 1%. Multiple comparison using the Tukey multiple comparison tests for both

Rusitu and Marirangwe show that there were no significant differences in the four policy periods

of single channel market, ESAP, land reform and dollarization.

4.5 Discussion

4.5.1 Effect of Policies on National Milk Intake

These results explain some of the major policies and investments that have gone into dairy

production over the period. Although the analysis assumes that policies implemented by

government were the major drivers of milk production and the trends observed, it is important

to note that there are possibly other factors that were not controlled for that can contribute to the

observed trends in milk production. During the period 1980 to 1990, the Government of

Zimbabwe (GoZ) in February 1983 through an agreement with Norway received a donation of

bulk milk tanks, which led to the creation of the bulk milk collection scheme. The aim was to

modernize and stimulate milk production from the LSC producers (AMA, 1987). According to

the AMA (1987) the bulk milk collection scheme signaled a significant investment in the dairy

sub-sector and played a major role in encouraging new farmers to enter the industry. By the end

of June 1987, a total of 318 tanks were operational and 70% of milk intake was collected through

the bulk milk collection scheme. Due to the success of the scheme, a further agreement was

signed between the GoZ and Norway in 1987. The agreement was for the supply of an additional

200 milk collection tanks. With the supply of the additional 200 farm tanks, it was expected that

95% of the milk would be handled through the bulk tank milk collection scheme. Large Scale

Commercial farmers participating in the bulk milk scheme leased the bulk farm tanks from the

DMB and paid rental charges. The rentals income generated from the scheme was channeled to

developing the smallholder dairy industry (in small scale commercial and communal farming

areas), and the rentals were supposed to be over a 15 year period. The bulk milk tanks rentals

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were instrumental in financing the early development of the smallholder dairy schemes and were

supposed to generate USD 2.3 million (ZWD$12.6 million at 1992 exchange rates) over the 15

year period (NORAD, 1992). Cumulatively, for the period 1984 to 1991, USD0.7 million (Z$3.4

million at 1991 exchange rates) of counterpart funds had been used to finance the development

of smallholder dairy, with USD0.9 million (ZWD$4.6 million) from Norwegian Agency for

Development Cooperation (NORAD), government USD185, 882 (ZWD$948,000), other donors

USD29, 803 (Z$152,000) and farmers USD135, 490 (Z$ 691,000).

According to the AMA (1987), the improvements in the dairy industry led the DMB in the

1986/87 season purchasing 224 million litres of milk from producers which exerted severe

pressure on the DMB’s handling capacity. This could possibly explain that the policies such as

the bulk milk collection scheme were having a positive impact on milk production. During this

period, DMB had monopoly in milk trading and the prices were controlled by government. This

possibly indicates the price incentives that were implemented by government to stimulate milk

production. The AMA (1987) also reported that while the urban markets were well supplied with

milk, there was an estimated shortage of milk in rural areas of about 145 million litres per annum.

This prompted government to task the then Dairy Coordinating Committee within the Ministry

of Lands, Agriculture and Rural Resettlement to develop a strategy for the dairy industry which

incorporated the peasant sector (smallholders) as part of the productive base. The smallholder

sector then had only two operational schemes of Marirangwe in the small scale commercial and

Chikwaka in the communal farming areas. This led to further developments in the smallholder

dairy development programme and by 1987; there were several other smallholder dairy projects

at various stages of development. These were located at Nharira, Tsonzo, Lancashire, Guruve,

Zvimba, and Chitomborwizi. Each project involved research, pasture and forage management

on a demonstration plot aimed at improving dairy production, installation of milking sheds and

milk collection centres (AMA, 1988).

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During the ESAP period, a number of dairy producers and cooperatives were registered and these

competed directly with the privatized Dairibord Zimbabwe Limited (DZL). However, overall

milk production continued to decline as efforts were continued to build the smallholder dairy

sector. During the fast track land reform and land redistribution programme that started in 2000,

the number of registered large scale commercial dairy producers were reduced from 314 in 2000

to 135 in 2011 (LMAC, 2012). The numbers of female dairy cattle were reduced from about

70,000 in 2000 to about 23,000 in 2011. This is in contrast to the number of dairy animals at

peak milk production, which was estimated at 200,000 (DZL, 2009). According to USAID

(2007), during the period 2000 to 2008 when the country was experiencing economic problems,

GDP in constant prices over the five years to 2006 contracted at an annual rate of 5.8%, which

was among the world’s worst performance. This decline in the economy continued to the year

2008, which was characterized by hyperinflation.

4.5.2 Effect of Policies in the Different Policy Periods on Smallholder Milk Intake

These results show the effects of policy on dairy production during the 1980 to 2013 period in

the smallholder areas. Since the results show that there were no significant differences, this

indicates that there may be other factors other than policies that affect milk production at the

smallholder dairy scheme level. According to Dube (2008) it is important to note that in the

smallholder areas, milk intake does not reflect production as approximately 30 to 40% of milk

produced by farmers is assumed retained for home consumption and calf rearing needs.

Smallholder dairy only started in 1983 with financing from funds generated from the bulk milk

tank collection scheme introduced in the same year, hence the birth of the DDP. The DDP acted

as the implementing body of the smallholder dairy development projects in communal,

resettlement, and small scale commercial farming areas (AMA 1988). The role of the DDP since

its formation has been to facilitate the infrastructural development and training needs of the

farmers. In April 1989, the DDP was transferred from the DMB to the Agricultural and Rural

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Development Authority (ARDA). According to the DDP Phase II strategy (July 1988 to October

2003), the transfer of the DDP was necessitated by the redefinition of the mandates of parastatals

in preparation for the Economic Structural Adjustment Programme (ESAP), which was launched

in 1990. The transfer to ARDA, which is a development organization was necessitated since

DMB was regarded a milk processing organization. ULG Consultants (1994a) cited the

concentration of DMB on the commercial side of its operations as necessitating the transfer.

Also, the fact that ARDA had been operating the Rusitu small scale dairy resettlement scheme

since 1983 with assistance from the Overseas Development Association (ODA) made it a

suitable home for DDP. DDP (1989) further proposed the integration of Rusitu into DDP because

both schemes dealt with smallholder milk production. The integration of Rusitu brought the

number of dairy schemes under ARDA to 10. In addition there was Nyarungu Training Centre

dairy scheme which catered specifically for the training needs of smallholder farmers.

When DDP was transferred to ARDA, there were successful negotiations which led to NORAD

directly funding DDP to the tune of NOK 25 million (about USD1.2 million at 1998 exchange

rates) for the period 1990 to 1997. According to ULG Consultants (1994b), the development

model used by DDP had been tried and tested in other countries and adapted to the Zimbabwe

situation. The model used has the following characteristics:

(1) At the request of the local community, DDP moves into an area to assess the potential

for milk production and the interest of the community to come together as a group to

produce and sell milk;

(2) DDP then uses the team approach to organize participants into a group, then mobilizes

the input supplies (including finance and dairy animals), services and milk collecting

infrastructure required to produce and market milk surplus to domestic needs through the

group milk collection centre (which is usually a bulk milk tank and feed store in a small

building);

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(3) The support also includes assistance to manage the group, to construct milking sheds, to

rent a bulk milk tank from the National Dairy Cooperative (NDC) and if appropriate to

acquire other processing equipment;

(4) The Ministry of Agriculture Dairy Services licensing has also been modified to

accommodate such small scale groups treating the group as one producer-retailer;

(5) Each member producer has to have a small milking shed or parlour, or access to a shed

or parlour for milking the cows. The required milking parlour specifications have also

been modified by Dairy Services to accommodate smallholder dairying.

According to ULG (1994b), members have a say in how the group is organized. DDP usually

would first encourage members to form an association, which would give the group legal status.

DDP, with assistance from Agritex would then train the members in milk production and farm

management, and provide extension services during the start-up phase. Initially, members would

start with indigenous cows, progressing to crosses and pure breeds as they gain management

experience.

The development model used by ARDA has largely been followed, although there were no new

dairy schemes established during the period 2000 to 2008. There are currently a total of 20

smallholder dairy schemes countrywide (excluding Nyarungu Training Centre dairy scheme).

An additional eight potential dairy schemes have been identified but these are not yet operational

because there has been no infrastructural development for the dairy schemes.

4.6 Constraints to Smallholder Dairy Development

Having considered the effects of policies on smallholder milk intake, it is thus necessary to assess

the empirical research performed in the smallholder areas to understand some of the constraints

hindering the development of this sector. The DDP (1989) indicates that although the key to the

dairy programme is appropriate technical skills and the establishment of a milk marketing

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infrastructure (especially the multi-purpose milk centres for handling milk, etc.), the DDP is a

broad based programme designed to develop people through the initiation of a development

process rather than purely the development of cows. This broad based approach could possibly

explain why there have been various factors constraining the development of smallholder

dairying in Zimbabwe. This is mainly because the main focus of DDP is not 100% dairy

development, but focusing on a multifaceted development programme. The development

projects that have been piloted by the DDP in all the provinces are supposed to be centres

realizing the potential for sustainable multifaceted development programmes (DDP 1989). The

DDP (2007) reports that the main challenges facing smallholder dairy development include the

following:

(1) Inadequate funding;

(2) Inadequate feed availability on the farm which is the most limiting factor to increased

milk production;

(3) High costs of inputs (feed and drugs) relative to producer prices;

(4) High animal mortalities;

(5) Ineffective marketing strategies of dairy products;

(6) Lack of dairy husbandry skills and business/entrepreneurial skills which are important in

dairy projects;

(7) Shortage of appropriate dairy breeds; and

(8) Limited involvement of women and youth.

Despite the constraints, a number of schemes have been developed over the years. These have

been supported both by government and the donors. In one of the mid-term evaluation of Africa

Now’s commercial cultured milk production, there was an indication that on average, three cows

were being milked by smallholder farmers (Jordan, 2002). These produced 10.3 litres in the

morning while an average of 6.2 litres were produced during the evening, giving a total

production of 16.5 litres and an average production of 5.5 litres a day per cow being milked.

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Jordan (2002) concluded that most small scale farmers did not consider dairying as a business

although young farmers in schemes such as Marirangwe had the potential to approach this as a

business. Holness et al., (2008) also conducted an impact assessment and report for Africa Now’s

DDP supported projects for the period 2006 to 2008. They concluded that the potential for milk

production is large throughout the country. However, Holness et al. (2008) also noted that the

main reason for the low milk production was lack of feed on a 12 month basis particularly

insufficient quantities and quality of fodder. This clearly demonstrates the need to come up with

alternative and innovative strategies for providing feed and fodder that is accessible to farmers.

4.7 Potential for Smallholder Dairy Development

The potential for smallholder dairy development lies in overcoming the constraints identified.

Since the programme started in 1983, research was also initiated by universities and other

research institutions. Mupeta (2000) contend that research into smallholder dairy only

commenced in support of government projects and programmes after independence. Sibanda

and Khombe (2006) notes that since smallholder dairy was a new production system introduced

after independence, most of the research initially focused on gaining an understanding of

constraints and potential opportunities. Prior to independence, most of the dairy research and

development was targeted at large scale commercial farmers (Sibanda and Khombe, 2006).

Rukuni (2006) highlights some of the prime movers that were responsible for increased

production and marketing for crops in the first decade of independence. These included

investments and improvements in new technology, performance of institutions such as

marketing, credit, research and extension. In dairying, most of these investments were directed

at the large scale commercial farms, with little investments at the smallholder level.

Most of the research initially carried out in Zimbabwe was in response to the challenges

experienced as dairy development progressed (Sibanda and Khombe, 2006). There were issues

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related to both production and marketing. The main production issue centres on fodder

production. This issue in turn also affected the nutrition of the dairy cows. The DDP (1998/99)

questioned whether after 17 years of assistance farmers were sufficiently empowered to take

over the operations of the schemes. This was because the analysis of DDP as they moved from

the Phase I projects to Phase II projects showed that there was a decline in milk production from

the schemes where DDP had left the management in the hands of the community, with minimal

supervision. The analysis showed that the decline was attributed to the following reasons:

(1) Reduction in the number of active farmers as a result of high dry cow percentage due to

fertility problems as a result of low nutrition;

(2) Insufficient feed resources produced and conserved by farmers;

(3) Exorbitant prices of commercial feeds;

(4) Productive stock too old as the rate of replacement was low and the absence of proper

culling procedures due to lack of replacement heifers;

(5) Cost of purchasing heifers from commercial dairies was prohibitive;

(6) Calf management practices was still an area of concern as generally calf mortality was

high resulting in reduced replacement stock from the existing herd;

(7) Farmers did not have sufficient know-how to process and market all produce, as the

initial thrust was on boosting production without putting the necessary instruments for

processing in place. As a result, most projects could not process and sell all milk giving

rise to low pay out rates. This dampened farmer morale and most farmers started to side

market.

The DDP 1998/99 Annual report highlighted there seemed to be an over reliance in the

smallholder dairy schemes on grazing and brought-in feeds, a position that was considered not

profitable and unsustainable. The DDP Report (1998/99) also assessed and situation of Gokwe

smallholder dairy scheme which was financially stable due the high adoption of fodder

production which increased productivity and benefits of low cost feeds to farmers. The position

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of home produced fodder is also supported in another report (ULG Consultants 1994b). ULG

Consultants (1994b) concluded that one of the key success factors of smallholder dairying was

for the programme to encourage milk production in areas where it was economically viable,

based largely on home produced fodder and easy access to remunerative markets.

Empirical research conducted by Ngongoni et al. (2006) show that the major factors affecting

dairy production in the smallholder sector were low levels of nutrition and management practices

responsible for the poor milk yields performance, low calving intervals, late age at first calving

and long intervals. Shortage of feed and transport are cited as the major constraints faced by

smallholder dairy farmers in the semi-arid areas (Chinogaramombe et al., 2008). Francis and

Sibanda (2001) and Ngongoni et al. (2006) highlight problems identified as limiting dairy

production. They further contend that age of calving of heifers, low productivity due to

inadequate availability and poor quality of feeds, expensive commercial feeds, heavy tick

infestation and high incidence of tick-borne diseases, excessive calf mortality and inadequate

knowledge on appropriate livestock management practices further limited dairy production.

Mupeta (2000) also documented the constraints facing smallholder production, with particular

reference to feed resources. Mutukumira et al. (1996) study showed that only 14% of the

households in the smallholder dairy schemes grew more than one hectare of fodder and these

were located mostly in the small scale commercial farming areas and Rusitu resettlement

scheme. Over 63% of the households grew less than 0.4 hectares with 43% growing less than

0.2 hectares in the communal areas (Ngongoni et al., 2006). Francis and Sibanda (2001) carried

out a participatory action research in Nharira-Lancashire and concluded that the poor

reproductive performance, low productivity and inadequate availability and poor quality of feed,

inadequate knowledge on appropriate management of cattle, high cost of commercially produced

feeds, high mortalities, high incidence of tick borne diseases, and excessive calf mortalities were

the major problems facing smallholder dairy farming in integrated crop-livestock systems.

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Masama et al., (2005) also conducted a study in order to develop an inventory of feed resources

available on farm, with the main purpose to eventually develop relatively cheaper home-made

feeds for dairy cows. Their results showed that farmers kept feeds of poor nutritional quality and

inadequate amounts to feed the dairy cows throughout the year. The research findings

highlighted the need for innovative, cheaper feed resource management systems that are

developed to ensure sustainable viability of smallholder dairying (Masama et al., 2005). Table

4.1 summarises some of these studies.

Table 4.1: Summary examples of empirical research studies highlighting the

fodder/feed constraint in smallholder dairy schemes

Year Authors Findings

1996 Mutukumira et al. Only 14% of the households in smallholder dairy

schemes grow more than one hectare of fodder.

2001 Francis and Sibanda Inadequate availability and poor quality of feed

identified as one of the major problems facing

smallholder dairy.

2005 Masama et al. Results showed that farmers kept inadequate amounts

of poor nutritional quality for feeding dairy cows year

round.

2006 Ngongoni et al. Major factors affecting dairy production include low

levels of nutrition and management practices

responsible for the poor milk yields.

2008 Chinogaramombe et al. Shortage of feed and transport cited as the major

constraints in semi-arid areas.

Source: Author Compilation (2014)

There were many marketing issues that also evolved as the smallholder dairy programme was

implemented. In the early schemes such as Chikwaka, a number of marketing options were

initially tried. The options included use of mobile vendors selling milk on bicycles and use of

donkey carts (Chikwaka Dairy Committee, 1987). A review of these options in 1992 showed

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that although bicycle vendors were able to cover a radius of 13km, there were problems in the

recruitment of the vendors where initial preference was given to members’ children, constant

breakdown of the bicycles due to improper handling and the rough roads, customers unable to

buy due to lack of money and cash shortages on the part of vendors in relation to the milk taken.

The vendors were paid on commission and this depended on the volume of milk at the centre,

condition of bicycles, season and the buying power of consumers. The donkey carts, on the other

hand, were found to be unsuitable due to the rather slow movement from village to village and

the distance covered was limited (10km). The slow movement also meant prolonged delivery

time resulting in some of the milk turning bad. People also felt the continual opening of the milk

cans contaminated the milk from the furs of the donkeys and dust. This necessitated the opening

of sub-centres where milk could be sold to the community with one for Chikwaka being opened

at Juru Growth point. The main problems at the sub centre were that the market was

unpredictable, milk was not delivered on time and there was no provision for containers for

selling the milk to passers-by buyers/consumers. Marirangwe initially focused on supplying the

local market. Rugube (1988) reports that the small quantities of milk produced did not justify

the delivery of the milk to Harare dairy. Therefore, the milk was mainly marketed locally to

schools, local business centres and nearby communal areas. It is reported that interestingly,

people from Harare also drove to buy milk from Marirangwe. However, by the mid-1985, the

immediate local market was saturated and the association tried to hire a private transporter to

carry the milk to Harare dairy, which proved to be too expensive. The association then negotiated

for a much bigger tank for cooling the milk and later selling to the market. The DDP (1991/92)

indicates that although 49% of the milk from the five schemes marketing milk at the time

(Marirangwe, Chikwaka, Nharira, Honde Valley and Tsonzo) was sold to the DMB, the main

reason for selling to DMB was the less hustles farmers encountered compared to local marketing.

However, it is also reported that the returns were higher with locally marketed milk compared

to DMB (DDP, 1991/92 Annual Report).

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Hanyani-Mlambo et al. (1998) performed one of the few studies on the socio-economic aspects

of smallholder dairying in Zimbabwe. The study used gross margin analysis at farm level to

show that smallholder dairying was hardly economically viable. Mupeta (2000) study, however,

showed the opposite. A number of other studies (Francis and Sibanda 2001; Zvinorova et al.,

2012) have also shown smallholder dairy production to be economically viable. The viability of

smallholder dairy therefore is influenced by a number of factors. The study by Hanyani-Mlambo

et al., (1998) showed identified constraints to production as labour bottlenecks, inadequate feed

and production inefficiencies, among others. Zvinorova et al. (2012) also indicated that milk

production was influenced by access to resources and markets. The studies by Hanyani-Mlambo

et al., (1998) and Zvinorova et al., (2012) show the effects of problems arising from limited

markets, narrow product base, recurrent droughts and stringent economic reforms. One can infer

that the effect of these identified problems has been the low participation of smallholder farmers

in the production and markets for dairy products. Muriuki and Thorpe (2002) indicated that in

Eastern and Southern Africa, with the exception of Zimbabwe and South Africa, most of the

dairy in all countries is dominated by smallholder farmers. This shows the need for a detailed

study in the smallholder dairy farming areas in order to understand why this subsector has failed

to have a significant impact on national milk production yet government and donors have been

putting resources to support smallholder dairy.

4.8 Summary

The key finding from this analysis is that milk production has been decreasing over time.

Although during the ESAP period, national milk production increased, it decreased during the

subsequent periods due to unwholesome package dedicated to its development and inconsistence

in policies. There is therefore need to implement policies that support dairy development and

provide conducive environment for its development. In addition there is need to capacitate both

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the LSC and smallholder farmers in order for them to increase dairy production. This could be

achieved through dairy production incentives. Although there are now a total of 20 smallholder

dairy schemes countrywide, some are currently not functional due to a number of constraints.

This calls into question the DDP’s smallholder dairy development model. The DDP’s

smallholder development model is broad based, suitable for multifaceted rural development and

may therefore not be suitable for effective targeting dairy development in the short to medium

term. While research has been carried out which indicates the need for farm feed resources as

one of the key elements for the success of smallholder dairy, coupled with an effective marketing

strategy for dairy products, smallholder dairy has not made a significant impact in terms of its

contribution to national milk intake, and therefore contribution to the national economy due to

constraints in accessing resources. There is need therefore, to reassess the development of

smallholder dairying and value chain development in order to unpack the potential contribution

of this subsector to the national economy.

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CHAPTER FIVE: FACTORS INFLUENCING MILK PRODUCTION IN THE

SMALLHOLDER DAIRY VALUE CHAIN

5.1 Introduction

Chapter Four reviewed the development of smallholder dairy in Zimbabwe for the period 1983

to 2013. The Chapter basically traces how organized smallholder dairy developed in Zimbabwe

under the Dairy Development Programme. In order to understand factors influencing milk

production in the smallholder dairy value chains, this chapter first describes the distinction

between the semi-formal and formal value chains in the context of the four smallholder dairy

schemes studied. The chapter then presents results of descriptive statistics of characteristics of

smallholder dairy producers in the four dairy schemes studied, the general ownership of

livestock, investments in dairy infrastructure and equipment, the dairy herd composition and the

main types of dairy breeds kept by farmers. The chapter also presents results on access to services

such as Artificial Insemination (AI) and the cost of such services, access to credit and extension

services, reproductive performance parameters of dairy cattle in the smallholder dairy schemes

as reported by farmers in the survey and milk production in the four schemes studied. The chapter

concludes with the presentation of and discussion of the results of the multiple regression

analysis of factors influencing milk production in the smallholder dairy value chain.

5.2 The Structure of the Smallholder Dairy Value Chain in the Four Study Sites

In order to understand the value chains in the four smallholder dairy schemes studied, this section

describes the smallholder dairy value chains of the four study sites based on interviews with

farmers and key informants. The dominant value chains studied are defined as the semi-formal

value chain and the formal value chain. The distinction between the two value chains is that the

semi-formal value chain supplies milk and dairy products predominantly to consumers in the

emerging rural service and growth centres, local community and low income groups in nearby

urban centres, while the formal value chains supplies milk to urban based processors that produce

a variety of dairy products to supply consumers predominantly in the urban centres of the

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country. The quality considerations of the two value chains are different, with the semi-formal

value chain being less stringent in terms of milk quality and value addition processes compared

to the formal value chains. Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire process the milk locally at the

dairy processing unit located at the MCC, to supply largely the semi-formal value chain while

for Marirangwe and Rusitu, the milk is delivered or collected by processors based in urban

centres for further processing to supply the formal dairy value chain. The semi-formal and the

formal value chains constitute the overall smallholder dairy value chains in the smallholder dairy

schemes in the country. The two value chains are described below.

5.2.1 Description of the Semi-Formal Smallholder Dairy Value Chain (Chikwaka and

Nharira-Lancashire study sites)

As already indicated, Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire smallholder dairy schemes that process

the milk at the MCC are considered to be the semi-formal value chains in this study. Chikwaka

smallholder dairy was registered with the Ministry of Small and Medium Enterprises as a Dairy

Cooperative in 2014. Previously, the smallholder dairy scheme operated as a farmer association

from its inception in 1983. The dairy scheme has a main centre MCC located near Juru growth

point, and a satellite MCC at Murewa 44, and some farmers located in Mwanza Ward which is

more than 10 km from the MCC. The market channels for the milk are relatively short. The milk

delivered by members is processed at the MCC. The centre processes the milk to produce mainly

yoghurt and Amasi (fermented milk). The products are mainly sold directly to consumers in the

local community, at Juru growth point, Shamva rural service centre, Mutoko growth point, and

Norton on the outskirts of the capital city, Harare. The scheme has benefited from a number of

donor funded projects previously, and was at the time of the research a recipient of a USD100,

000.00 grant from the United States African Development Fund (USADF). The scheme had

applied part of the funds to purchase a tri-cycle that is used to make product deliveries to

consumers in the growth points.

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Similar to Chikwaka the market channels for milk originating from Nharira-Lancashire is

relatively short. The milk delivered to the MCC comes from member farmers in the small scale

commercial area of Lancashire and Nharira communal area. The farmers mainly from the

communal area deliver milk to the main MCC on foot or using bicycles (distances of ±5km),

while the milk from some of the small scale commercial farming areas is collected using a truck

from the MCC (distances of ±10km). Farmers from the small scale commercial farms mainly

bulk the milk through sub-centre MCC from where it is collected to the main MCC for

processing. Nharira-Lancashire smallholder dairy scheme processes the milk delivered by

members at the MCC. The centre mainly produces yoghurt and Amasi. Some of the milk is sold

as raw milk. However, due to packaging constraints, individual customers intending to buy raw

milk need to bring their own containers. The products are mainly sold to the local community

(villagers, Nharira rural service centre and sales to local boarding schools), at Murambinda

growth point, Chivhu and Masvingo urban centres. The semi-formal smallholder dairy value

chain is presented diagrammatically in Figure 5.1.

Figure 5.1: Diagrammatic presentation of the semi-formal smallholder dairy value chain

(Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire smallholder dairy schemes)

Source: Author Compilation Based on Key Informant Interviews (2015)

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5.2.2 Description of formal smallholder dairy value chain (Marirangwe and Rusitu study

sites)

As alluded to earlier on, Marirangwe and Rusitu smallholder dairy schemes in this study are

considered as representing the formal value chains. According to key informants, milk is

delivered to Marirangwe MCC from the surrounding small scale commercial farms and from

some farmers located in the nearby communal area of Mhondoro who are into dairying. There

is no MCC processing. Until January 2015, Marirangwe smallholder dairy used to deliver the

milk to Kefalos, a private milk processor which is located about 12 km from the Marirangwe

MCC. Kefalos is one of the major dairy processors in the country, specializing in producing

mainly cheese and yoghurts for the formal markets in the country. At the time of the study, the

MCC was no longer delivering milk to Kefalos and key informants indicated this was mainly

due to the lower volumes of milk produced. The MCC was now mainly supplying milk to

processors from Harare who mainly collected the milk from the centre. The main buyers were

Milk Zim, which is a processor based in Harare. Two farmers who are producing milk on

medium to large scale basis from the Marirangwe smallholder dairy supplied directly to

processors in Harare. The two mainly supplied Competitive Brand Shapers (CBS) located in the

capital Harare. At Rusitu smallholder dairy scheme, the milk produced is collected by Dairibord

Zimbabwe Limited (DZL), a private company which is the successor of the former state owned

Dairy Marketing Board (DMB). DZL produces a variety of products, including Ultra high

temperature (UHT) milk, cheese, yoghurts and dairy related beverages for sale to consumers

predominantly in the urban areas of the country. Figure 5.2 gives a diagrammatic presentation

of the formal smallholder dairy value chain.

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Figure 5.2: Diagrammatic presentation of the formal smallholder dairy value chain (Marirangwe

and Rusitu smallholder dairy schemes)

Source: Author Compilation Based on Key Informant Interviews (2015)

5.3 Characteristics of Smallholder Dairy Producers in the Schemes Studied

This section presents the characterization of the smallholder dairy schemes, household

demographics, occupation and agricultural training of the head of household.

5.3.1 Characterization of the Smallholder dairy schemes

The total number of households interviewed in the four organized smallholder dairy schemes

was 185. In terms of the classification of settlement, Chikwaka smallholder dairy scheme is

located in a communal area, while Nharira-Lancashire smallholder dairy scheme encompasses a

communal area and small scale commercial farming area, Marirangwe smallholder dairy scheme

is located in a small scale commercial farming area, while Rusitu is in an old resettlement area.

Most of the smallholder dairy producers in the schemes had paid their membership fees and were

members of the dairy scheme (almost 100% in all the four schemes). The majority (about 74%)

in all the schemes were males, with 76% and 58% in Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire

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respectively compared to about 83% in Marirangwe and 82% in Rusitu. Most of the heads of

households were married (about 77% in all the four schemes), with 74% in Chikwaka and 70%

in Nharira-Lancashire compared with 80% in Marirangwe and 86% in Rusitu (Table 5.1).

Table 5.1: Characteristics of smallholder dairy producers by study site, 2015

Characteristic Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

Total number of households

interviewed

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Classification of settlement of

households interviewed (%):

Small Scale Commercial 0 48.0 88.6 0 29.7

Old Resettlement 0 0 0 100 27.0

Communal Area 100 52.0 2.9 0 41.6

New Resettlement 0 0 8.6 0 1.6

Registered Member of Dairy

Scheme: Registered and paid joining

fees (%)

100 100 97.1 100 99.5

Gender of household head (%):

Males 76.0 58.0 82.9 82.0 74.1

Females 24.0 42.0 17.1 18.0 25.9

Marital Status of household

Head (%):

Married 74.0 70.0 80.0 86.0 77.3

Single 0 4.0 5.7 2.0 2.7

Widowed 26.0 22.0 14.3 12.0 8.9

Divorced 0 2.0 0 0 0.5

Separated 0 2.0 0 0 0.5

Note: hh - household

Source: Smallholder Dairy Survey (2015)

5.3.2 Household Demographics

Table 5.2 summarises the household demographics in the four smallholder dairy schemes

studied. The household demographics show that the average age of the household head was about

61 years in Chikwaka, Nharira-Lancashire (57 years), Marirangwe (54 years), Rusitu (55 years)

and the aggregate average for the four schemes was about 57 years (Table 5.2). Most of the head

of household had spent an average of about 9 years in school in the four study sites, with heads

in Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire having spent an average of about 8 and 9 years respectively

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while Marirangwe had the highest number of years of formal education of the head of household

at about 11 years and Rusitu at about 8 years. Heads of household have been involved in

smallholder dairying for varying numbers of years, with Chikwaka (16 years), Nharira-

Lancashire (16 years), Marirangwe (9 years) and Rusitu (23 years). The aggregate average of

dairying experience for the four schemes is about 17 years. The average age reflects the year the

smallholder dairy scheme was started although for Marirangwe, this indicates that the farmers

are now dominantly a new generation compared to the original participants when the scheme

was established in 1983. The average number of household members staying with the household

head was generally about 6 members in the four schemes, with an average of about 3 children

below the age of 18 years. Each household had access to an average of about 8 hectares arable

land, although the average was higher in Marirangwe (about 27 ha) since this is a small scale

commercial area compared to Chikwaka (about 2 ha) which is a communal area. The aggregate

average distance to the Milk Collection Centre (MCC) from the farmer’s homestead was about

5 km in the four study sites, with about 5 km in Chikwaka, about 9 km in Nharira-Lancashire,

and about 4 km and 2 km in Marirangwe and Rusitu, respectively (Table 5.2).

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Table 5.2: Household demographic characteristics by study site, 2015 Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 n=185

Mean Mean Mean Mean Mean

Hh head age (years) 60.8 (12.4) 56.7 (13.8) 54.2 (17.1) 55.3 (11.1) 57.0 (13.5)

Formal education for hh

head (years)

7.5 (3.1) 9.2 (3.6) 11.4 (3.7) 8.3 (3.5) 8.8 (3.7)

Period dairying (years) 16.1 (11.2) 16.3 (9.6) 9.1 (8.8) 23.0 (8.1) 16.8 (10.6)

Hh sizea 5.5 (2.5) 5.9 (3.0) 5.7 (2.8) 7.5 (4.1) 6.2 (3.3)

Adults (>18 years)

staying with the hh head

3.2 (1.5) 4.1 (1.8) 3.1 (1.5) 3.9 (1.9) 3.6 (1.7)

Children (<18 years)

staying with the hh head

2.3 (1.8) 1.8 (1.8) 2.6 (2.4) 3.7 (3.0) 2.6 (2.4)

Total arable land owned

by the hh (Ha)

2.1 (1.3) 1.5 (1.6) 27.2 (28.1) 3.9 (0.5) 7.5 (15.9)

Homestead to MCC

distance (km)

5.2 (4.2) 9.3 (8.6) 4.4 (3.2) 2.4 (1.6) 5.4 (5.8)

Note: hh – household

Numbers in brackets are standard deviations

aThis was defined as the number of members staying with the hh head

Source: Smallholder Dairy Survey (2015)

5.3.3 Occupation and Agricultural Training of Head of Household

The nature of employment of the head of household is important as it determines whether the

head is able to devote full time into the dairy enterprise on the farm. The survey results show

that 81% of farmers in the four study sites are full time farmers, with 80% and 76% in Chikwaka

and Nharira-Lancashire respectively and about 77% and 90% in Marirangwe and Rusitu

respectively (Table 5.3). Very few farmers (about 10%) in all the four study sites are employed

off farm. In terms of agricultural training of the head of household, the results show that about

44% in the four study sites do not have any training in agriculture, with the highest percentage

in Chikwaka (68%), followed by Marirangwe (about 54%), Nharira-Lancashire (32%) and

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Rusitu (26%). A number of farmers have also received training in agriculture through the Master

Farmer Training programme, which is a programme of improved farming methods and livestock

husbandry run by the local extension service Department of Agricultural Technical and

Extension Services (Agritex). About 48% of farmers in Nharira-Lancashire are Master Farmer

trained, 66% in Rusitu, 30% in Chikwaka and about 14% in Marirangwe. In all the four study

sites, about 42% of the farmers in the survey indicated they are Master Farmer trained (Table

5.3).

Table 5.3: Occupation and agricultural training of household head by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Occupation (%):

Full-time farmer

80.0

76.0

76.5

90.0

81.0

Employed off-farm 6.0 10.0 14.7 10.0 9.8

Pensioner 8.0 10.0 2.9 0 5.4

Other 6.0 4.0 5.8 0 3.7

Missing 0 0 2.9 0 0.5

Agricultural training of

household head (%)

None 68.0 32.0 54.3 26.0 44.3

Master Farmer 30.0 48.0 14.3 66.0 41.6

Agricultural Certificate 0 14.0 20.0 2.0 8.1

Diploma 0 4.0 0 4.0 2.2

Degree 0 2.0 8.6 2.0 2.7

Other 2.0 0 2.9 0 1.0

Source: Smallholder Dairy Survey (2015)

5.4 General Livestock Ownership and Investments in Dairy Infrastructure and Equipment

This section presents general livestock and dairy cattle ownership, and the dairy infrastructure

and investments by smallholder dairy farmers.

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5.4.1 General Livestock and Dairy Cattle Ownership

The main types of livestock owned by farmers were dairy cattle, beef cattle, sheep and goats.

The average number of cattle owned by households were about 3 dairy animals in Chikwaka,

about 2 dairy animals in Nharira-Lancashire, about 9 dairy cattle in Marirangwe, and about 6

dairy cattle in Rusitu (Table 5.4). The aggregate average number owned in the four study sites

was 4 dairy cattle per household. Farmers owned more beef cattle compared to dairy, with the

aggregate average for the four survey sites at about 8 beef cattle per household (Table 5.4).

Table 5.4: General livestock ownership by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

Mean Mean Mean Mean Mean

Dairy cattle 2.5 (2.2) 2.3 (3.6) 8.5 (15.3) 5.7 (3.9) 4.4 (7.6)

Beef cattle 3.7 (3.6) 18.8 (11.7) 9.8 (12) 1 (2.7) 8.2 (10.9)

Sheep 0 (0.4) 0.4 (1.6) 1.4 (4.1) 0 (0.4) 0.4 (2.0)

Goats 2.4 (4.4) 4 (4.8) 4.2 (6.8) 2.4 (4.1) 3.2 (5.0)

Note: The numbers in brackets are standard deviations

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

5.4.2 Dairy Infrastructure and Investments

Smallholder dairy farmers in the survey were requested to indicate their investments on the farms

in terms of cattle handling facilities, facilities used for milking, utensils used for milking and the

type of milking used on farm. In the four study sites, about 61% of the farmers had invested in

calf pens, while 62% had cattle handling facilities, 63% had invested in paddocking their grazing

lands, while about 91% had a cattle kraal on the farm (Table 5.5). About 48% of the farmers in

the four study sites had water and feeding facilities on farm, 45% had a hay shed and about 47%

had a silage pit.

In terms of facilities used for milking, about 90% of the farmers in the four study sites had

invested in milking parlours, while about 6% used the cattle kraal for milking, with very few

(about 3%) of the farmers milking their cattle under the tree, where there are no basic milking

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parlour facilities. The majority of farmers in the four study sites (about 82%) used stainless steel

buckets for milking, while about 48% used milking cans for delivering milk to the MCC. Most

of the farmers (about 97%) in the four study sites used hand milking with the remaining few

having access to milking machines (Table 5.5).

Table 5.5: Farmers’ investments in dairy infrastructure by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Infrastructure

% of producers who have:

Calf Pens 20.0 92.0 80.0 56.0 60.5

Cattle handling

facilities

48.0 86.0 68.6 48.0 62.2

Paddocks 64.0 82.0 60.0 44.0 62.7

Cattle Kraal 90.0 100.0 91.4 84.0 91.4

Water and feeding

facilities

38.0 82.0 40.0 30.0 48.1

Hay Shed 60.0 76.0 17.1 20.0 45.4

Silage Pit 60.0 58.0 28.6 34.0 46.5

Facilities used for milking

% of producers using:

Milking Parlour 92.0 98.0 74.3 92.0 90.3

Milking in Cattle Kraal 4.0 0 20.0 4.0 5.9

Milking Under tree 2.0 2.0 2.9 4.0 2.7

Missing 2.0 0 2.9 0 1.1

Utensils used for milking

% of producers using:

Stainless steel bucket 74.0 74.0 85.7 94.0 81.6

Plastic bucket 4.0 20.0 8.6 6.0 9.7

Using Can for

delivering milk

8.0 40.0 88.6 68.0 48.1

Type of milking used

% of producers using:

Hand milking 96.0 98.0 94.3 98.0 96.8

Machine milking 4.0 2.0 2.9 2.0 2.7

Source: Smallholder Dairy Survey (2015)

5.5 Dairy Herd Composition

Table 5.6 gives the results of the composition of the dairy herd in terms of cows in milk, dry

cows, calves and bulls. The aggregate average number of milking cows at the time of the survey

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was about 2 cows per household in all the four survey sites, with about one cow in Chikwaka,

two cows in Nharira-Lancashire and Rusitu, and about 4 cows in Marirangwe study site. Very

few households in the survey kept dairy bulls. The aggregate average number of dry cows and

heifers in the four study sites were also about 2 per household, while the number of calves was

about one per household surveyed (Table 5.6).

Table 5.6: Composition of the dairy herd by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Cows in milk 1.0 (0.8) 2.2 (2.4) 3.6 (4.6) 2.0 (1.2) 2.0 (2.7)

Dry Cows 1.5 (1.4) 4.1 (2.7) 2.1 (2.6) 1.1 (1.2) 2.2 (2.3)

Heifers 1.5 (1.4) 3.1 (2.7) 2.0 (3.1) 1.4 (1.0) 2.0 (2.2)

Dairy Steers 0.2 (0.4) 3.5 (4.2) 1.2 (2.9) 1.0 (1.3) 1.4 (2.9)

Male Calves 0.2 (0.8) 1.3 (1.8) 1.7 (3.2) 1.0 (0.9) 1.0 (1.9)

Female Calves 0.1 (0.4) 1.3 (1.5) 1.3 (1.6) 0.8 (1.1) 0.8 (1.3)

Dairy Bulls 0.1 (0.2) 0.6 (0.8) 0.3 (0.7) 0.1 (0.3) 0.3 (0.6)

Note: Numbers in brackets are standard deviations

Source: Smallholder Dairy Survey (2015)

5.6 Types of Breeds

The main type of dairy cattle breeds kept by farmers were cross breds (reported by about 71%

of farmers in all the four study sites), Mashona breeds (about 17% of farmers in the four study

sites), Red Dane (about 5% of farmers reporting), Jersey (about 3% of farmers reporting)

Friesian (6% of farmers reporting) and Holstein (about 8% of farmers reporting) (Table 5.7).

109

Table 5.7: Main types of cow breeds milked by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=23 n=33 n=30 n=46 N=132

Type of breed (%):

Crossbred 78.3 54.5 53.3 89.1 70.5

Mashona breed 26.1 30.3 13.3 4.3 16.7

Red Dane purebred 4.3 9.1 3.3 2.2 4.5

Jersey purebred 0 3.0 6.7 2.2 3.0

Friesian purebred 0 24.2 0 0 6.1

Holstein purebred 0 3.0 30.0 2.2 8.3

Other 0 6.1 0 0 1.5

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

5.7 Access to Artificial Insemination (AI) and Cost

Artificial insemination (AI) services have been introduced in the smallholder dairy schemes

mainly as a way to improve the productivity of the dairy herd. The majority (about 78% in the

four survey sites) of smallholder farmers were able to access AI services. The major source of

AI services in the four smallholder dairy schemes studied was the Milk Collection Centre (MCC)

(reported by about 85% of farmers in all the four survey sites). The other source of AI services

(reported by about 1% of farmers surveyed) were local veterinary extension workers, the Dairy

Development Programme (DDP)’s Nyarungu Training Centre in Harare, Zimbabwe Association

of Dairy Farmers (ZADF), Livestock Trust of Zimbabwe and private AI technicians operating

in some of the smallholder dairy schemes. In Rusitu, the other main significant provider of AI

services is the Division of Livestock Production and Development (LPD) (about 54% of the

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farmers reporting) (Table 5.8). The cost of AI varied, but it ranged from USD5 to USD80. The

aggregate average for the four study sites is about USD13 (Table 5.8).

Table 5.8: Access to artificial insemination services and cost by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Access to AI services (%

Yes)

92.0 58.0 80.0 82.0 77.8

% Reporting Source of AI

as:

MCC 97.8 96.6 96.4 53.7 84.7

Local Veterinary extension

workers

0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 0.7

Dairy Development

Programme Nyarungu

Training Centre

0.0 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.7

ZADF 0.0 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.7

Livestock Trust of

Zimbabwe

0.0 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.7

Private AI Technician 2.2 0.0 3.6 0.0 1.4

DLPD 0.0 0.0 0.0 53.7 15.3

Cost of AI services (USD)

Mean (SD) 15.33

(2.21)

6.38 (4.20) 21.25

(11.83)

7.78

(2.91)

12.53

(8.08)

Minimum 15.00 5.00 10.00 5.00 5.00

Maximum 30.00 20.00 80.00 20.00 80.00

Note: Some farmers access AI services from more than one source

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

5.8 Reproductive Performance Parameters of Dairy Cattle in the Study Sites

5.8.1 Reproductive Performance of Mashona Breeds

Although the Mashona cattle breed is an indigenous breed mainly kept for beef, in the

smallholder dairy herd, the breed forms an important part of the milking herd. The reproductive

performance of Mashona as reported by farmers in the survey shows that the average lactation

length was 218 days in the four study sites, with an average age at first calving of about 40

months, a calving interval of 43 months and a calf weaning age of 229 days (Table 5.9). A small

number of farmers reported mortalities in the Mashona dairy cattle herd in the four study sites,

and the average mortality of adult cattle reported was about one animal per household. Very few

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households reported buying dairy cattle in 2014, and the average for the farmers reporting was

one animal per household (Table 5.9).

Table 5.9: Mashona breed average lactation length, calving, weaning, mortalities and

purchases by study site, 2015

Mashona breed Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

Average

lactation length

(days)

n 13 33 2 2 50

Mean (SD) 179 (26) 236 (47) 180 (0) 215

(49)

218

(47)

Age at first

calving

(months)

n 14 34 2 2 52

Mean (SD) 44.6 (9) 38.2 (10) 33.0 (4.2) 36.0

(0)

39.6

(9.8)

Average calving

interval

(months)

n 14 25 2 2 43

Mean (SD) 19.1 (6.4) 17.2 (1.7) 21.5 (12.0) 12.0

(0)

17.8

(4.6)

Average calf

weaning age

(days)

n 16 37 3 2 58

Mean (SD) 235

(117.8)

215 (96.1) 393 (295) 188.5

(249.6)

229.0

(123.5)

Adult

mortalities in

2014

n 4 7 1 - 12

Mean (SD) 1 (0) 1.7 (1.3) 1 (-) - 1.4

(1.0)

Calf mortalities

in 2014

n 7 9 1 - 17

Mean (SD) 1.6 (0.8) 2.2 (1.0) 2 (-) - 1.9

(0.9)

Number

Purchased in

2014

n - 4 1 - 5

Mean (SD) - 1.3 (0.5) 1 (-) - 1.2

(0.4)

Note: n – number reporting; SD – Standard deviation

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

5.8.2 Reproductive Performance of Pure Breeds

The average lactation length for pure breeds for farmers reporting was 292 days in the four study

sites (300 days in Chikwaka, 227 days in Nharira-Lancashire, 343 days in Marirangwe and 352

112

days in Rusitu), with an average age at first calving of 36 months, an average calving interval of

17 months, and an average weaning age of about 142 days (Table 5.10).

Table 5.10: Pure bred average lactation length, calving, weaning, mortalities and

purchases by study site, 2015

Pure breed Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

Average

lactation length

(days)

n 1 9 3 7 20

Mean (SD) 300 (-) 227 (343) 352 (38) 352

(61.9)

292 (83)

Age at first

calving

(months)

n 1 9 2 4 16

Mean (SD) 27 (-) 40.4

(10.7)

24 (-) 34.3

(10.6)

36

(11.0)

Average

calving interval

(months)

n - 6 1 4 11

Mean (SD) - 17.2 (1.6) 12.0 (-) 18 (4.9) 17.0

(3.4)

Average calf

weaning age

(days)

n 1 10 2 6 19

Mean (SD) 90 (-) 168 (65.1) 120 (84.9) 115

(51.7)

142.1

(64.0)

Adult

mortalities in

2014

n 1 1 1 2 5

Mean (SD) 0 1 1 1 0.8 (0.4)

Calf mortalities

in 2014

n 2 - 1 4 7

Mean (SD) 2.5 (2.1) - 2.0 (-) 1.3

(0.5)

1.7 (1.1)

Number

Purchased in

2014

n 2 2 - 2 6

Mean (SD) 2 (2.8) 1 (-) - 1 (-) 1.3 (1.4)

Note: n – number reporting; SD – Standard deviation

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

5.8.3 Reproductive Performance of Cross Breeds

Most of the farmers in the study sites milked cross breds compared to Mashona and pure breds.

The aggregate average lactation period for cross breeds reported by farmers in the survey was

about 316 days in Chikwaka, 246 days in Nharira-Lancashire, 235 days in Marirangwe, 292

113

days in Rusitu and an average of 275 in the four study sites. Age at first calving reported was

about 34 months, an average calving interval of about 17 months with an average weaning age

of about 167 days (Table 5.11). The mortalities reported were about two calves per household

reported in the four study sites, and about one animal per household reporting for adult cattle.

Dairy cattle purchases were about two animals per household (Table 5.11).

Table 5.11: Cross bred average lactation length, calving, weaning, mortalities and

purchases by study site, 2015

Cross breed Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

Average

lactation length

(days)

n 34 32 28 37 131

Mean

(SD)

316.7

(62.9)

246.1

(51.9)

234.5 (68.0) 292.8

(35.3)

275 (64.0)

Age at first

calving (months)

n 14 27 21 37 99

Mean

(SD)

35.6

(10.3)

37.7 (7.7) 32.7 (7.8) 31.8

(5.6)

34.1 (7.8)

Average calving

interval

(months)

n 29 24 9 38 100

Mean

(SD)

18.0 (4.3) 17.7 (3.3) 25.3 (21.2) 13.4

(5.1)

16.9 (8.1)

Average calf

weaning age

(days)

n 39 33 21 38 131

Mean

(SD)

182.4

(82.6)

218.7

(113.8)

156.1 (95.9) 110.5

(52.0)

166.5

(95.2)

Adult mortalities

in 2014

n 18 9 11 3 41

Mean

(SD)

1.1 (0.8) 1.8 (1.3) 1.5 (1.1) 1.3

(0.6)

1.4 (1.0)

Calf mortalities

in 2014

n 14 9 11 9 43

Mean

(SD)

1.1 (0.5) 2.7 (1.7) 2.5 (1.5) 1.4

(0.5)

1.9 (1.3)

Number

Purchased in

2014

n 2 7 18 1 28

Mean

(SD)

0 1.4 (0.5) 2.4 (2.6) 2 (-) 2 (2.2)

Note: n – number reporting; SD – Standard deviation

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

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5.9 Milk Production in the Smallholder Dairy Schemes

The average total milk production per day reported by farmers was about 5 litres in Chikwaka,

about 17 litres in Nharira-Lancashire, 33 litres in Marirangwe, about 18 litres in Rusitu, with an

average of 17 litres across the four study sites. The average amount of milk allocated for

household consumption was about one litre in Chikwaka, 3 litres in Nharira-Lancashire, about

one litre in Marirangwe and Rusitu respectively and about 2 litres in the four study sites (Table

5.12).

Table 5.12: Milk production by study site, 2015 Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

Average milk

output in litres

(total for the dairy

herd per day)

n 50 50 33 49 182

Mean

(SD)

5.4 (5.6) 16.9

(9.98)

32.8 (63.9) 18.4

(12.2)

17.0

(29.7)

Average milk

allocated to

household

consumption per

day in litres

n 50 50 33 49 182

Mean

(SD)

0.9 (1.1) 3 (3.4) 1.3 (0.8) 1.3 (0.9) 1.6

(2.1)

Average amount

sold per day in

litres

n 49 50 33 49 181

Mean

(SD)

4.5 (5.0) 13.96

(8.7)

31.4 (63.6) 16.5

(11.8)

15.3

(29.4)

Note: n – number reporting; SD – Standard deviation

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

5.10 Access to credit by smallholder dairy farmers for the period 2011 to 2015

Smallholder dairy farmers in the four schemes studied were asked whether they had obtained

credit for the dairy enterprise during the period 2011 to 2015, sources of credit, amount of credit

obtained and the major uses of the credit accessed. About 59% of the farmers had accessed

credit in the five years between 2011 and 2015, with 96% in Chikwaka, 44% in Nharira-

Lancashire compared to about 57% in Marirangwe and 38% in Rusitu (Table 5.13). The major

115

sources of the credit over the five year period were local microfinance institutions, Non-

Governmental Organisations (NGOs) operating in the area, and the farmer cooperative

responsible for running the MCC, although the number of farmers accessing credit in the four

smallholder dairy schemes was very low (Table 5.13).

Table 5.13: Percentage of farmers accessing credit facilities by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

Farmers reporting 50 50 35 50 185

Obtained credit for dairy

enterprise in last five years:

% Yes 96.0 44.0 57.1 38.0 58.9

Source of credit 2015:

NGO operating in the area 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.5

Farmers’ cooperative 0.0 2.0 17.1 0.0 3.8

Source of credit 2014:

Local microfinance institutions 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 1.6

NGO operating in the area 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.5

Farmers’ cooperative 0.0 8.0 14.3 2.0 5.4

Source of credit 2013:

Local microfinance institutions 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 1.6

NGO operating in the area 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 2.2

Farmers’ cooperative 26.0 16.0 8.6 2.0 13.5

Source of credit 2012:

Local microfinance institutions 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5

NGO operating in the area 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.1

Farmers’ cooperative 56.0 6.0 2.9 0.0 17.3

Source of credit 2011:

Local microfinance institutions 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.1

NGO operating in the area 0.0 2.0 0.0 14.0 4.3

Farmers’ cooperative 54.0 12.0 8.6 2.0 20.0

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

Over the five year period, the results show that in Chikwaka, the average credit accessed ranged

from about USD1000.00 to about USD 1600.00 while in Nharira-Lancashire the range was from

USD 1100.00 to USD 1300.00. In Marirangwe the average credit ranged from USD 900.00 to

USD 1600.00 compared to Rusitu where the range was from USD 1000.00 to USD 2000.00

(Table 5.14).

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Table 5.14: Credit obtained during the period 2011 to 2015 by study site, 2015

Name of Dairy

Scheme

2015 2014 2013 2012 2011

Chikwaka n - - 13 29 28

Mean

(SD)

- - 1562.31

(630.77)

1506.90

(482.86)

1022.14

(161.41)

Nharira-

Lancashire

n 1 4 9 3 7

Mean

(SD)

50 (-) 1262.50

(689.56)

1107.22

(612.95)

1283.33

(292.97)

1277.14

(999.41)

Marirangwe n 6 4 3 1 3

Mean

(SD)

1200.00

(167.33)

1025.00

(427.20)

1616.67

(1717.80)

1600 (-) 900.00

(1264.58)

Rusitu n 1 5 7 2 9

Mean

(SD)

1000 (-) 1660.00

(134.16)

2114.29

(1435.77)

1100.00

(141.42)

1055.56

(166.67)

Total n 8 13 32 35 47

Mean

(SD)

1031.25

(426.73)

1342.31

(498.27)

1560.16

(984.65)

1467.14

9458.72)

1058.72

(403.94)

Note: n is the number of farmers reporting obtaining credit

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

The major uses of the credit over the five year period were mainly to buy dairy animals, buying

concentrates and veterinary medicines and drugs (Table 5.15). The number of farmers accessing

credit is generally lower in 2015 compared to those accessing credit in 2011 (Table 5.15).

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Table 5.15: Use of credit obtained during the period 2011 to 2015 by smallholder

dairy farmers, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Use in 2015

% Buy dairy

animals

0.0 2.0 17.1 2.0 4.3

% Buy concentrates 0.0 0.0 2.9 0.0 0.5

Use in 2014

% Buy dairy

animals

0.0 8.0 14.3 10.0 7.6

% Buy concentrates 0.0 0.0 2.9 0.0 0.5

Use in 2013

% Buy dairy

animals

24.0 14.0 8.6 14.0 15.7

% Buy concentrates 0.0 2.0 2.9 0.0 1.1

% Buy veterinary

drugs

2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.1

Use in 2012

% Buy dairy

animals

54.0 6.0 2.9 4.0 17.8

% Buy concentrates 0.0 0.0 2.9 0.0 0.5

% Buy fertilisers 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5

Use in 2011

% Buy dairy

animals

52.0 14.0 8.6 18.0 24.3

% Buy fertilisers 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

Farmers who were not able to access credit were asked to indicate the main reasons they have

not been able to access credit. The main reasons were that some of the farmers were not willing

to take credit (about 31% of the farmers reporting in the four study sites), with no farmers in

Chikwaka indicating this as a reason, but 50% of the farmers in Nharira-Lancashire indicating

this as a reason. In Marirangwe, about 27% indicated this reason, while about 17% gave this as

the reason in Rusitu. About 21% of the farmers in the four study sites indicated they were not

offered any credit (mainly in Nharira-Lancashire and Rusitu) or they failed to raise the deposit

(mainly in Rusitu) (Table 5.16). About 16% of the farmers (mainly in Marirangwe and Rusitu)

indicated they did not apply for the loans during the period (Table 5.16).

118

Table 5.16: Reasons some smallholder dairy farmers did not access credit during

the period 2011 to 2015, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n 1 26 11 30 68

Reason (%):

Not offered 0.0 50.0 0.0 3.3 20.6

No security for the credit 0.0 0.0 9.1 0.0 1.5

Not willing (not interested in

loans)

0.0 50.0 27.3 16.7 30.9

Did not apply 0.0 0.0 45.5 20.0 16.2

No access to credit facility 100.0 0.0 9.1 13.3 8.8

There was no money when

applied to revolving fund

0.0 0.0 9.1 0.0 1.5

Failed to raise the deposit 0.0 0.0 0.0 46.7 20.6

Note: n – number reporting

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

5.11 Access to Dairy Extension Services

The questionnaire included questions asking farmers whether there was an extension officer

operating in the smallholder dairy area and the number of times the extension officer visited the

smallholder dairy farms. The responses show that in both Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire,

100% of the respondents indicated there was an extension officer in the area, while in

Marirangwe (about 91%) and Rusitu (96%) responded positively, with an average of the four

study sites of about 98% (Table 5.17). The average number of visits to the farm for the four study

sites was about 12 times per annum (Chikwaka average of 5 times per annum, Nharira-

Lancashire average of about 19 times, five times for Marirangwe and about 15 times for Rusitu)

(Table 5.17).

119

Table 5.17: Access to extension services by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

Farmers reporting 50 50 35 50 185

Have an extension officer operating

in the area

% Yes 100.0 100.0 94.1 96.0 97.8

Number of times visit to the farm

in a year:

Mean 5.0 18.6 5.1 15.4 11.5

Standard Deviation 7.2 13.1 6.1 19.2 14.2

Minimum 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Maximum 24.0 48.0 24.0 70.0 70.0

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

5.11 Summary of Characteristics of the Smallholder Dairy Producers Delivering Milk to

Semi-formal and Formal Value Chains

The results of the characteristics of the smallholder dairy producers delivering milk to semi-

formal and formal value chains show that most of the heads of households in all the dairy

schemes studied were males (74%), with about 55% having received some form of training in

agriculture, owning an average of 7.5 ha total arable land, with the average household age of 57

years and have practiced dairying farming for an average of about 17 years (Table 5.18).

Comparison of the mean characteristics (t-test) of farmers delivering to semi-formal and formal

value chains show that total size of arable land, age of the household head in years, distance to

the nearest MCC, number of cows in milk, milk production and the cost of concentrates were

statistically significant at the 5% level. The chi-square test of the cross-tabulation of value chain

and sex of household head (% males) and percent received agricultural training were statistically

significant at 5% and 10%, respectively (Table 5.18).

120

Table 5.18: Characteristics of smallholder dairy producers delivering milk to semi-

formal and formal dairy value chains

Mean value of variables

Characteristic Semi-formal

value chain

Formal

value

chain

Total t-value

Number of farmers interviewed n=100 n=85 N=185

Total size of arable land (Ha) 1.8 13.5 7.5 -5.03**

Age of head of household (years) 58.7 54.8 57.0 1.94**

Number of years in dairying

(years)

16.2 17.5 16.8 -0.82

Distance to nearest MCC (km) 7.2 3.2 5.4 5.31**

Mean number of cows in milk 1.4 2.7 2.0 -3.20**

Household size 6.8 5.7 6.2 2.24**

Mean volume of milk production

per household per month (litres)

333.9 725.9 510.5 -2.76**

Mean number of extension visits

to the farm per annum

11.8 11.3 11.5 0.82

Mean cost of concentrates per

month (USD)

23.15 67.05 46.28 -3.06**

Chi-square

value

Sex of head of household

% Males 67.0 82.4 74.1 5.64**

% Received some training in

agriculture

49.0 61.2 54.6 2.75*

**, *, Statistical significance at 5% and 10% respectively

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

5.12 Analysis of Factors Influencing Milk Production in the Smallholder Dairy Value

Chain

In order to understand the socio-economic factors influencing milk production by farmers in the

overall smallholder dairy value chain which consists of farmers supplying the semi-formal value

chains (Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire) and those supplying the formal value chains

(Marirangwe and Rusitu), multiple regression analysis was performed.

5.12.1 Multiple Regression Analysis Model Diagnostics

The following section gives the model diagnostics to assess whether there were any violations

of the assumptions of the multiple linear regression model in terms of specification of the model,

tests for multicollinearity, tests for heteroscedasticity, and normality tests.

121

5.12.1.1 Specification of the model

The link test was used to assess the specification of the model. The test is based on the idea that

if a regression model is properly specified, one should not be able to find any additional

independent variables that are significant except by chance (Stata, 2017). Link test creates two

variables, the variable of prediction _hat, and the variable of squared prediction _hatsq. The

model is then refit using the two variables as predictors. The _hat should be significant since it

is predicted value. On the other hand, _hatsq should not be significant because if the model is

specified correctly, the squared predictions should not have much explanatory power. That is,

the expectation is that _hatsq is not a significant predictor if the model is specified correctly. The

results show that the test for squared (_hatsq) was not significant (Table 5.19).

Table 5.19: Link tests results of the model

MilkPdnLg10 Coeff Std Err T P > /t/ [95% Conf. Interval]

_hat 2.095 0.900 2.330 0.022 0.308 3.881

_hatsq -0.177 0.144 -1.230 0.223 -0.462 0.109

_cons -1.653 1.381 -1.200 0.234 -4.394 1.088

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

5.12.1.2 Assessment of Multicollinearity

Multicollinearity diagnostics were performed in order to validate the model’s ability to produce

accurate predictions. Tolerance and Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) were used to assess

multicollinearity. O’brien (2007), however, cautions on the rules of thumb regarding the use of

variance inflation factors. The results show that the tolerance of the variables was more than 0.1,

while the VIF was less than 10, indicating that there was no evidence of multicollinearity in the

variables included in the model (Table 5.20).

122

Table 5.20: Collinearity diagnostics

Variable Tolerance (T) Variance Inflation Factor

(VIF)

Distance to nearest MCC 0.67 1.50

Age of household head 0.62 1.62

Sex of household head 0.84 1.19

Household size 0.90 1.11

Dairy farm experience 0.50 2.02

Total size of arable land 0.40 2.49

Agricultural training of household head 0.80 1.24

Concentrate costs per month 0.28 3.52

Number of milking cows 0.31 3.19

Value chain 0.56 1.78

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

5.12.1.3 Tests for Heteroscedasticity

The Breusch-Pagan/Cook-Weisberg test for heteroscedasticity was used. The Ho was that of

constant variance. The results showed that Chi2 (1) = 0.63, and the Prob > Chi2 = 0.4266. Since

the p-value > 0.05, we do not reject Ho, which implies homoscedasticity (constant variance).

5.12.1.4 Tests for Normality

The dependent variable in the multiple regression analysis was milk production per month. The

variable was tested for normality using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and the results indicated

the variable was not normally distributed (p < 0.05). The skewness statistics indicated the data

were positively skewed with a skewness statistic greater than one. The variable was transformed

using log 10 transformation and again tested for normality. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test

indicated the transformed variable was normal (p > 0.05). A kernel density estimate was used to

produce a kernel density plot with the normal option requesting that a normal density be overlaid

on the plot (Figure 5.1).

123

Figure 5.3: Kernel density estimate

Overall, there seems to be a minor and trivial deviation from normality. We can accept that the

residuals are close to a normal distribution.

5.12.2 Multiple Regression Analysis Results

The regression model was then used to test the hypothesis that the level of milk production and

socio-economic factors are related. The regression model was estimated by Ordinary Least

Squares (OLS). The ANOVA results show that the regression model was statistically significant,

F10, 90 = 7.11, p < 0.001. R2 was 0.44, and the adjusted R2 was 0.379, indicating the limited fit of

the model explaining only 38% of the variation in milk production by the independent variables

included in the model (Table 5.21).

The independent variables that were significant in the model were household size, dairy farming

experience of the head of household, age of the head of household, number of milking cows, and

the cost of concentrates per month. Variables that were not significant were distance of the farm

to the MCC (representing access to markets), agricultural training of the head of household, total

size of landholding, sex of the head of household, and the value chain supplied by the farmer.

0

.5

1

1.5

D

ensity

1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 Milk production per month

Kernel density estimate

Normal density

kernel = epanechnikov, bandwidth = 0.0957

124

Table 5.21: Multiple linear regression of factors influencing milk production

Predictor Coeff Std Err. t P > | t |

Constant 2.379 0.155 15.38 0.000

Distance to the nearest MCC (km) 0.003 0.005 0.64 0.523

Age of household head (years) -0.004 0.002 -1.85 0.068

Dairy farming experience of household

head (years)

0.008 0.003 2.26 0.026

Agricultural training of head of household 0.079 0.059 1.33 0.187

Total size of arable land (Ha) 0.004 0.003 1.25 0.216

Concentrate costs per month (USD) 0.001 0.000 1.83 0.070

Sex of head of household 0.958 0.066 1.46 0.149

Household size 0.018 0.078 2.28 0.025

Number of milking cows 0.028 0.015 1.86 0.066

Value Chain -0.027 0.068 -0.39 0.695

R2 = 0.441

Adjusted R2 = 0.379 Standard Error of the Estimate = 0.25474

F (10, 91) = 7.11, p < 0.001

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

5.13 Discussion

This section gives a discussion of the results. Discussion initially focusses on the general

characteristics of smallholder producers in the schemes studied and then factors influencing

milk production in the smallholder dairy value chain.

5.13.1 Characteristics of Smallholder Dairy Producers in the Study Sites

The discussion in this section covers dairy scheme characteristics and household demographics,

dairy livestock ownership, dairy infrastructure and equipment (silage and hay makers). Dairy

herd composition, breeds and access to AI are also discussed in this section, including

performance parameters of dairy cattle in the smallholder dairy schemes studied. The section

125

also discusses milk production, access to credit and extension, and summarises the discussion

on characteristics of farmers delivering milk to semi-formal and the formal dairy value chains.

5.13.1.1 Smallholder Dairy Scheme Characteristics and Household Demographics

The four smallholder dairy schemes studied represent the overall smallholder dairy value chain

within the context of the semi-formal value chain (represented by Chikwaka and Nharira-

Lancashire) and formal value chain (Marirangwe and Rusitu). The characteristics of the

smallholder dairy producers are considered within the context that all the smallholder dairy

schemes in Zimbabwe were initiated and supported by the Dairy Development Programme

(DDP) in the initial stages before they were handed over to farmers. The DDP was mainly funded

by government through the public sector investment programme (PSIP). Key informants

interviewed indicated that although the DDP personnel have been submitting bids to the PSIP,

the most recent funding received from the government for the DDP was in 2007. As a result,

DDP is no longer able to support the smallholder dairy schemes, who are now run by farmer

management committees.

The characteristics of smallholder dairy producers show that in terms of sex of household head,

males dominate in the four schemes studied. This is not surprising as participation in smallholder

dairy entails a steady flow of income to the household. According to ZimStats (2012) males tend

to dominate in household enterprises that entail generation of cash income. The results show that

most of the heads of household were married, with less than a tenth being widowed. The marital

status indicates that females participate indirectly in the dairy enterprise. The household

demographics show that generally compared to Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire, the average

age of the head of household in Marirangwe and Rusitu was generally lower. Marirangwe and

Rusitu smallholder dairy schemes were established by the government in the first decade of

independence in 1980. This could possibly be an indication that in Marirangwe, the smallholder

dairying is now being run by a new generation of farmers compared to the original participants

in the mid-1980s. The average smallholder dairy farming experience indicates that on average,

126

household heads in Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire have been in dairying for an average of

16 years, while those in Marirangwe the average is 9 years. According to DMB, (1984),

Marirangwe smallholder dairy scheme was established in the mid-1980s, an indication that there

is a new generation of farmers which has taken over from the original participants, whereas in

Rusitu the average number of years is 23, an indication that predominantly these were the

farmers who were resettled by the government in the mid-1980s. The experience and age of the

respondents can be regarded as an indicator of whether the smallholder dairy farmers can adapt

to new ideas and are able to improve the management of the smallholder dairy in order to

maximize income. The more market oriented younger farmers are more inclined to participate

in formal value chains where the possible returns are higher compared to the semi-formal value

chains. Sharma (2015) study on determinants of small milk producers participation in organized

value chains showed that the age of the household head was negatively related to participation

of dairy farmers in modern channels and was statistically significant in the private dairy

channels. The study showed that a one year increase in age was predicted to raise the probability

of being in the traditional channel.

Participation in formal value chains can also possibly be explained by the number of years of

formal education. Marirangwe had the highest average number of years of formal education for

the head of household (11 years) compared to Chikwaka (8 years). Eleven years indicates that

most of the farmers in Marirangwe would have attained secondary level education (seven years

for primary education and four years of secondary level up to form 4), while eight years indicate

completion of primary level education and one year of secondary education. Therefore, farmers’

participating in the formal value chain are better educated compared to farmers participating in

the semi-formal value chains. Sharma (2015) reports that education and age are indicators of

management capabilities.

The occupation and agricultural training of the household head shows that most of the farmers

are into farming on full-time basis, with very few employed off-farm. This should generally

127

enable smallholder dairy farmers to concentrate and put 100% efforts in their dairy enterprises.

Key informant interviews, however, indicate that smallholder dairy farmers have many

enterprises and are therefore not able to put their efforts on the dairy enterprise alone. The results

of agricultural training of the head of household show that a higher percentage of farmers in

Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire have trained as master farmers compared to Marirangwe and

Rusitu. The master farmer scheme was more prominent in the first two decades of independence

up to the year 2000. Post year 2000, the training has been affected by resource constraints as has

the rest of the economy.

The average distance to the MCC was within the 5 to 10 km range in Chikwaka and Nharira

Lancashire, while this was less than 5 km in Marirangwe and Rusitu for the farmers interviewed.

According to key informant interviews, due to the distance in Nharira-Lancashire, for example,

farmers deliver milk to the MCC once per day instead of twice per day compared to Marirangwe

and Rusitu. This is mainly due to the distance travelled to the MCC and the low volumes that

are produced for the second milking.

5.13.1.2 Dairy Livestock Ownership, Dairy Infrastructure and Equipment

The results show that generally smallholder dairy schemes that are predominantly located in

Communal Areas (Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire) have a lower average number of dairy

cattle compared to those in the small scale commercial and resettlement areas (Marirangwe and

Rusitu, respectively). This explains the higher volumes of milk produced in Marirangwe and

Rusitu compared to Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire and why the farmers participate in semi-

formal and formal value chains respectively. In terms of dairy infrastructure and investments,

the results indicate that the majority (90%) in the four study sites had invested in milking

parlours. As already mentioned, the development of smallholder dairy schemes was initially

done by the DDP. In order for farmers to participate in the smallholder dairy schemes, they were

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supposed to invest in minimal infrastructure that enabled them to deliver milk to the MCC. As a

result, most of the farmers invested in basic infrastructure and equipment required. What is

interesting is that although grazing in the Communal Areas is communally owned, while arable

land is individually owned, farmers in Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire have equally set aside

land for paddocks for the dairy enterprise (64% and 82%, respectively). This compares with

Marirangwe and Rusitu where farmers have different land tenure systems. In Marirangwe, the

land tenure system is freehold, while farmers in Rusitu resettlement have a permit issued by the

Minister of Agriculture. The land tenure system has implications on investment that farmers can

make to improve their dairy enterprise.

5.13.1.3 Dairy Herd Composition, Breeds and Access to AI services

The results of the dairy herd composition show that generally on average, farmers in the three

study sites of Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire and Rusitu owned two milking cows, compared

to four milking cows in Marirangwe. It is important to note that Marirangwe is located nearer to

one of the largest large scale commercial dairy farmers who normally supplies dairy cattle to

various programmes under the government or donor funded projects. Smallholder dairy farmers

in Marirangwe therefore have better access to purchase dairy cattle compared to the other three

study sites.

Generally, the main types of breeds milked in the smallholder dairy schemes studied are cross

breds, with very few farmers owning pure breeds. The indigenous Mashona breed is equally

important for the dairy enterprise, although it is largely a beef breed. Interviews with key

informants indicates that government has introduced a smallholder dairy revitalization

programme that is run by the Zimbabwe Dairy Industry Trust (ZDIT). The aim of the

programme is to improve smallholder dairying through improved feeding, access to improved

genetics (introducing AI in the schemes), access to finance and improved management of the

smallholder dairying. ZDIT is the Apex body for the industry and is composed of government,

processors, producers and other stakeholders such as Retailers Association of Zimbabwe.

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Although producers are supposed to be represented on ZDIT by the Smallholder Dairy Farmers

Association, the association was largely defunct and not active at the time of the study. ZDIT

has been making AI available to smallholder dairy schemes at subsidized rates through the MCC.

The results of the survey indicate that the majority of the farmers (more than three quarters in

the four study sites) positively responded that they were able to access AI services through the

MCC. The cost of the AI reported by farmers indicates the subsidy. Key informants indicated

the market cost of AI per straw was USD40 compared to the average of USD13 reported in the

study survey. This programme was recently introduced and therefore the impact is still to be

realized in the smallholder dairy schemes studied.

5.13.1.4 Farmer Perceptions of Performance Parameters of Dairy Cattle in the Study Sites

The performance parameters were measured indirectly through interviews with farmers as the

questions were included in the questionnaire. The performance parameters are reported for pure

breeds, Mashona and cross breeds. The main types of pure breeds reported by farmers were

Holstein, Red Dane, Jersey and Friesian although these were reported by very few farmers in the

study sites. The main types of dairy breeds milked were cross breeds, and the lactation length in

the four study sites were 275 days, with an average age at first calving of 34 months. These

figures compare favourably with those reported by Ngongoni et al. (2006). Ngongoni et al.

(2006) reported lactation length of 269 (±24.8) and age at first calving of 36.3 (±1.97) for cross

breeds in the smallholder dairy schemes studied. According to Ngongoni et al. (2006), this was

considered to be one of the factors affecting milk production in smallholder dairying. The

variation in the figures reported can be attributed to the fact that very few smallholder dairy

farmers keep records. As a result, relying on memory recall is not as accurate compared to

recording. However, the figures give an indication of the performance parameters according to

farmers’ perception in the smallholder dairy herd.

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5.13.1.5 Milk Production, Access to Credit and Extension

The quantities of milk produced by farmers were measured through a question included in the

questionnaire which required farmers to give estimates of the total quantities of milk produced,

allocated to household consumption and the quantities sold. Milk production generally shows

that there was higher production (total milk produced, allocated to household consumption and

sales) in Marirangwe and Rusitu study sites compared to Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire

study sites. This possibly explains why the dairy schemes participated in different value chains.

The results show that more farmers were able to access credit in the period before 2015. Key

informant interviews indicated that farmers were accessing credit through a donor funded project

run by Land O Lakes (LoL). The facility required the farmer to pay USD300 for a dairy animal

that was priced at USD1000. The animals purchased through the facility were in-calf, and

farmers were given a 30-day grace period, and paid USD60 monthly thereafter. The facility was

accessible to members of the smallholder dairy schemes, and as part of the application members

had to prove that they had feed, milking parlour and water for the dairy animals. Some of the

members benefited two to three times during the period 2011 to 2013, depending on whether

they had cleared their debt. The last batch of the animals under the project was delivered in

December 2013. The money repaid by farmers was supposed to go into a revolving fund that

could eventually be self-sustaining. However, key informants indicated that the revolving funds

were not performing well in some of the smallholder dairy schemes and faced a number of

constraints. This is one of the main problems that have been faced in donor funded projects

where farmers in some cases fail to repay the loans, leading to sustainability issues in the

revolving funds. One can infer that although most of these smallholder dairy schemes have been

supported by various donors since they were set up by the DDP, some are still struggling due to

this dependency syndrome among farmers. The smallholder dairy schemes should be created

with a clear market orientation of the participants in order to sustainably engage in milk

production.

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Extension services in the smallholder dairy schemes are generally provided by the Division of

Livestock Production and Development (LPD), and complimented in some cases by extension

provided through donor funded projects. The availability of extension in the schemes is shown

by the percentage of farmers responding positively to whether there is an extension officer in

their area (almost all the farmers indicating access in the four schemes). The average visits by

the extension staff to the farms varied, ranging from five times per year in Chikwaka to 19 times

per year in Nharira-Lancashire. Although extension seems available, there have been questions

on the effectiveness of the extension service provided. Previous studies (for example, SNV

(2012)) have indicated that most of the extension staff are not adequately trained to provide

support required in the dairy enterprise.

5.13.1.6 Characteristics of Dairy Farmers Delivering to Semi-formal and Formal Value

Chains

Milk produced in two of the smallholder dairy schemes studied (Chikwaka and Nharira-

Lancashire) enters the semi-formal smallholder dairy value chain, while two of the schemes

(Marirangwe and Rusitu) supply the formal smallholder dairy value chain. These two value

chains largely constitute the overall smallholder dairy value chain in Zimbabwe. The analysis

shows that there are significant differences in mean characteristics of farmers delivering to the

semi-formal and formal value chains. In addition, farmers participating in the formal value chain

are generally younger compared to those participating in the semi-formal value chain. The land

holding size is also generally higher for farmers delivering milk to the formal value chain. The

average distance to the milk collection centre, which was used as a proxy for market access, was

also statistically significant, an indication that farms delivering to formal value chains had better

market access compared to those delivering to semi-formal value chains.

The semi-formal value chain mainly caters for the lower segment of the consumer market and

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the milk is processed at the MCC. The main products sold are raw milk, fermented milk (Amasi)

and yoghurts. These are mainly sold to the local community in the MCC area where the milk is

processed, and to nearby growth points (emerging rural service centres in the communal areas)

and local boarding schools. The formal value chains targets the higher income end of the

consumer market. Milk is delivered to processors based in the urban areas and processed into

various products such as cheese, fresh milk and dairy beverages. The target consumers for these

products are mainly the urban based consumer segment. The urban based consumers compared

to the rural based consumers are generally regarded as having better incomes than consumers in

the communal areas. Although these two smallholder value chains contribute to the national

milk production, their contribution and impact on milk production since the formation of the

smallholder dairy schemes by the government has been limited. This is despite the fact that

research was also initiated in order to support smallholder dairying (Sibanda and Khombe, 2006).

The first smallholder dairy scheme was formed by the government in 1983 (DMB, 1988).

Therefore, it is important to try and assess why the overall smallholder dairy value chain has not

significantly contributed to the national milk production. The four schemes were therefore

selected to represent the dynamics in the smallholder dairy value chain and to understand the

determinants of milk production that enters the overall smallholder dairy value chain.

5.13.2 Factors Influencing Milk Production in the Smallholder Dairy Value Chain

The predictor variables included in the model in this study were identified based on theory and

literature on empirical studies (for example, Wanjala et al., 2015; Sultana et al., 2016). Sultana

et al. (2016) used general linear model to understand the socio-economic determinants of milk

production, which showed that age of the farm owner, off-farm income and training had a

negative influence, while farming experience had a positive impact on milk production in

Bangladesh (Sultana et al., 2016).

The results of this study indicate that the multiple regression analysis model explained about

38% of the variation in milk production by the independent variables included. This means that

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62% of the variation in milk production is explained by other factors not included in the model.

It is important to note that although the R2 was low, statistically significant p-values continue to

identify relationships and the coefficients have the same interpretation. In other words,

interpreting a regression coefficient that is statistically significant does not change based on the

R2 value. The independent variables that were significant in the model were household size,

dairy farming experience of the head of household, age of the head of household, number of

milking cows and the cost of concentrates per month.

The coefficient for household size was positive and significant at 5%, indicating that milk

production increases with an increase in the household size of the producer. Dairying is an

intensive enterprise and smallholder dairy producers mainly rely on family labour, in particular

those who are not able to afford hired labour. Dairy farming experience of the head of household

was positive and significant at 5%, an indication that more experienced farmers can properly

manage their smallholder dairy enterprises for higher milk production compared to less

experienced farmers.

As expected the number of milking cows was positive and significant at 10%. These results are

consistent with Zamykal et al., (2007) study which showed the number of cows owned by the

producer was a significant predictor of milk production. Age of the head of household was

negative and significant at 10%. This results are consistent with the findings of Sultana et al.

(2016) who found the coefficient of age was negative and significant, indicating that milk yield

decreased with increasing age of the farmers.

The cost of concentrates was positive and significant at 5%, indicating the effect of concentrate

feed on smallholder milk production. Tanwar et al., (2015) also found that concentrate was one

of the main significant variable affecting returns from milk. Addisu et al., (2012) study in

Ethiopia showed that feeding of concentrate for dairy cattle was more prominent in high quality

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market sites compared to medium and low market quality sites, which indicated the level of feed

intensification as the market quality improved.

Sex of the head of the household was positive and not significant. Sultana et al. (2016) observed

that gender of the household head had no significant impact on milk production in Bangladesh.

Mumba et al. (2012) equally found that gender had no significant effect on the profitability of

the smallholder dairy enterprise in Zambia. Chinogaramombe et al. (2008) also found no

relationship between gender of the head of household and milk production in the semi-arid areas

of Zimbabwe.

This study shows quantitatively the use of multiple linear regression to determine factors

influencing milk production in Zimbabwe, which is in contrast to previous studies such as

Chinogaramombe et al. (2008) and Ngongoni et al. (2006) that have relied on descriptive

statistics. The study therefore shows main determinants of milk production in the smallholder

dairy value chain in Zimbabwe to be the household size (representing family labour available

for the dairy enterprise), dairy farming experience of the head of household (important for

management and decision making), age of the head of household (important for management of

the dairy enterprise), number of milking cows, and the cost of concentrates (indicating the cost

of brought-in concentrate feed).

5.14 Summary

This chapter has presented the description of the smallholder dairy value chain (which consists

largely of the semi-formal and formal value chains), descriptive statistics for characterizing these

value chains in terms of the smallholder dairy schemes studied, and discussion of these

characteristics and factors influencing milk production within the context of the smallholder

dairy value chain.

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This study shows quantitatively the use of multiple linear regression to determine factors

influencing milk production in Zimbabwe. Since household size, dairy farming experience, age

of the household head, number of milking cows and cost of concentrates were significant, we

therefore reject the null hypothesis that these factors do not influence milk production in the

smallholder dairy value chain. The study shows the main determinants of milk production in the

smallholder dairy value chain in Zimbabwe to be the household size (representing family labour

available for the dairy enterprise), dairy farming experience of the head of household (important

for management and decision making), age of the head of household (important for management

of the dairy enterprise), number of milking cows and the cost of concentrates (indicating the cost

of brought-in concentrate feed).

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CHAPTER SIX: DETERMINANTS OF MARKET PARTICIPATION AND VOLUME

OF MILK SOLD TO MILK COLLECTION CENTRES3

6.1 Introduction

Chapter Five presented the structure of the smallholder dairy value chains, and summarized

characteristics of the smallholder dairy producers in the schemes studied, and factors influencing

milk production in the overall smallholder dairy value chain. This chapter presents results of the

milk marketing outlets used by farmers in the smallholder dairy schemes studied, the quantity of

milk sold and prices, reasons for selling milk to the specific market outlets and reasons for not

selling milk to the MCC for those farmers not selling. The chapter also includes the major

sources of agricultural information for smallholder dairy producers, access to and use of mobile

technology in agricultural and dairy enterprise information. Results of constraints to transporting

milk to the MCC are included. The chapter includes a classification and results of socio-

economic and demographic characteristics of market participants and non-participants, and an

assessment of the factors affecting milk market participation and volume of milk sales to the

MCC of the smallholder dairy value chain. The MCC is an important component of the

smallholder dairy value chain as some of the scheme process the milk on site at the MCC and

participate in the semi-formal value chain while others deliver to processors and participate in

the formal value chain. A discussion of the results and conclusions drawn from the results

concludes the chapter.

3 Part of the results of this Chapter were published in a Paper titled “Determinants of Milk Market Participation

and Volume of Sales to Milk Collection Centres of the Smallholder Dairy Value Chain in Zimbabwe” in 2017 by

T. Chamboko, E. Mwakiwa and P.H. Mugabe. Journal of Agricultural Science Published by the Canadian Center

of Science and Education, Volume 9, Number 10, pp 156-167, 2017. (Full Paper in Annex 4, Paper 2).

137

6.2 Milk Marketing Outlets in the Smallholder Dairy Schemes

This section presents results of the milk marketing outlets used by farmers, quantity of milk

sold and prices. The results of the reasons for selling milk to specific market outlets and

reasons for not delivering milk to the MCC are also included in this section.

6.2.1 Milk Marketing Outlets Used by Farmers

Although the total number of farmers interviewed was 185, not all farmers were producing

milk for sale. In the four schemes studied 87% of farmers were producing milk for sale. The

majority of farmers mainly sold milk to the MCC (54% in Chikwaka, 100% in Nharira-

Lancashire, 91% in Marirangwe and 98% in Rusitu) and about 85% in the four study sites.

Very few farmers used alternative market outlets with about 3% of farmers in Marirangwe

delivering the milk direct to processors, and 2% and 3% in Chikwaka and Marirangwe,

respectively selling the milk to local individuals (Table 6.1).

Table 6.1: Farmers selling milk to the MCC and other market outlets by study site,

2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

Number of farmers

interviewed

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Are you producing milk for

sale?

% Yes 58.0 100.0 94.3 98.0 87.0

% Selling milk to the following

outlets:

Milk Collection Centre 54.0 100.0 91.4 98.0 85.4

Direct to Processor 0.0 0.0 2.9 0.0 0.5

Local individuals 2.0 0.0 2.9 0.0 1.1

Not specified 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.5

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

6.2.2 Quantity of Milk Sold and Prices

The quantity of milk sold per day to the MCC varied, with farmers in Chikwaka selling an

average of about 7 litres per day, about 14 litres per day in Nharira-Lancashire, 20 litres per day

in Marirangwe, about 12 litres per day in Rusitu and an average of about 14 litres per day in the

four study sites. The average prices of milk were USD0.40 per litre in Chikwaka, USD0.50 per

litre in Nharira-Lancashire, USD0.52 per litre in two study sites of Marirangwe and Rusitu, and

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an average of the four study sites of USD0.49 per litre (Table 6.2). The few farmers who were

selling to local individuals and direct to urban based processors achieved a price of USD1.00 per

litre (Table 6.2).

Table 6.2: Quantity of milk sold and prices by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Quantity of milk sold per

day to the MCC (litres)

Number of farmers

reporting

25 50 32 49 156

Mean (SD) 6.5 (4.5) 13.9 (8.8) 20.4 (24.0) 12.3

(9.9)

13.5

(13.8)

Quantity sold to local

individuals

(litres)

Number of farmers

reporting

1 0 1 0 2

Mean (SD) 8.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 (4.2)

Quantity sold direct to

Urban based Processor

(litres)

Number of farmers

reporting

0 0 1 0 1

Mean (SD) 0.0 0.0 320.0 0.0 320.0

Prices of milk (USD/litre)

paid by:

MCC (USD/litre)

Number of farmers

reporting

24 50 32 49 155

Mean (SD) 0.40

(0.01)

0.50 (0.0) 0.52 (0.02) 0.52

(0.45)

0.49

(0.50)

Local individuals (litres)

Number of farmers

reporting

1 0 1 0 2

Mean (SD) 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.00

Urban based Processor

(litres)

Number of farmers

reporting

0 0 1 0 1

Mean (SD) 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.00 0.58

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

6.2.3 Reasons for Selling to the Specific Market Outlets

The questionnaire included a follow up question on the reasons why farmers sold milk to

particular market outlets. Since the MCC was the main market outlet used by farmers, the main

139

reasons were some farmers felt they had an obligation as members of the MCC to sell milk to

the MCC (33% of the farmers reporting), some indicated the MCC was nearest market outlet

(about 25% of farmers reporting) and in Nharira-Lancashire and Marirangwe, farmers indicated

that they sell to the MCC because they can get immediate cash (22% and about 36%,

respectively). In Marirangwe about 36% of farmers reporting indicated the MCC was close to

the production site, while in Nharira-Lancashire 30% indicated that the MCC offers a guaranteed

income from the milk sales (Table 6.3).

Table 6.3: Reasons for selling to the MCC by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

Number of farmers

interviewed

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Number of farmers

reporting

48 50 31 49 178

Membership obligation n 44 15 0 0 59

% 91.7 30.0 0.0 0.0 33.1

Nearest MCC n 0 8 7 30 45

% 0.0 16.0 22.6 61.2 25.3

Can get immediate cash n 0 11 11 0 22

% 0.0 22.0 35.5 0.0 12.4

Offer better price n 1 4 2 6 13

% 2.1 8.0 6.5 12.2 7.3

Close to production site n 0 0 11 0 11

% 0.0 0.0 35.5 0.0 6.2

Guaranteed income n 1 15 0 0 16

% 2.1 30.0 0.0 0.0 9.0

Want the MCC to remain

active and serve the local

community

n 0 5 1 0 6

% 0.0 10.0 3.2 0.0 3.4

Source of income n 0 5 0 0 5

% 0.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 2.8

Only buyer (no other place

to sell)

n 0 2 0 4 6

% 0.0 4.0 0.0 8.2 3.4

Others reasons n 0.0 1 2 9 12

% 0.0 2.0 6.5 19.3 6.7

Note: n = number of farmers reporting

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

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6.2.4 Reasons for not Delivering Milk to the Milk Collection Centre

The questionnaire included a question on further inquiry on households not delivering milk to

the MCC at the time of the study. The main reason frequently reported by the few households

reporting is that they did not have cows to milk (52% of households in Chikwaka, 2% of

households in Nharira-Lancashire and about 3% in Marirangwe), with about 15% in the four

study sites. The second most frequently reported reason was that of low milk produced by

indigenous breeds (about 5% in the four study sites), while the third reason was that farmers’

cows were dry at the time of the study (about 5% in the four study sites) (Table 6.4).

Table 6.4: Reasons for not delivering milk to the MCC by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Number of farmers reporting 33 17 3 2 55

% of farmers reporting

indicating:

Sell the milk locally 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8

No cows to milk 78.8 5.9 33.3 0.0 50.9

All dairy cattle died 3.0 0.0 0.0 100 5.5

Low milk produced by

indigenous breeds

2.1 35.3 0.0 0.0 18.2

All milk consumed by

the household

6.1 5.9 33.3 0.0 7.3

Transport problems 0.0 11.8 0.0 0.0 3.6

Dry cows 0.0 52.9 0.0 0.0 16.4

High volumes produced

for one to deliver to

MCC, so deliver direct

to processor

0.0 0.0 33.3 0.0 1.8

Note: This was a multiple response question, with some households giving more than one

reason.

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

6.3 Sources of Agricultural and Market Information

This section presents results on the major sources of agricultural information, sources of

information on market prices of milk and milk products and the use of mobile phones in

providing information for the dairy enterprise.

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6.3.1 Major Source of Agricultural Information

General agricultural information is important in enabling dairy producers to make decisions

regarding their enterprise. The major source of agricultural information reported by producers in

the study sites were the local extension worker (82% of farmers reporting in Chikwaka, 100%

in Nharira-Lancashire, 60% in Marirangwe and 90% in Rusitu). The other significant sources of

agricultural information reported were the MCC (16% of farmers in Chikwaka and about 31%

in Marirangwe) (Table 6.5).

Table 6.5: Major source of agricultural information by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-Lancashire Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

% source is from:

Local extension officer

82

100

60

90

84.9

Local NGO 2 0 0 6 2.2

Radio 0 0 2.9 0 0.5

MCC 16 0 31.4 4 11.4

Missing 0 0 5.7 0 1.1

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

6.3.2 Source of Information on Market Prices of Milk and Milk Products

Information on the price of milk and milk products enable producers in the smallholder dairy

schemes to make decisions on markets and which market outlets to target. The major source of

information on prices of milk and milk products was the MCC reported by about 91% of farmers

in the four study sites (98% of farmers reporting in Chikwaka, 92% in Nharira-Lancashire, about

86% in Marirangwe and 86% in Rusitu). The local extension officer was reported by about four

percent of farmers in the four study sites as a source of information on market prices of milk and

milk products (Table 6.6).

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Table 6.6: Source of information on market prices of milk and milk products by study

site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

Percentage of source n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

% source is from:

From MCC

98

92

85.7

86

90.8

Local extension officer 2 0 2.9 10 3.8

Radio 0 0 2.9 2 1.1

Meetings with Researchers 0 4 0 0 1.1

Own research on competitors 0 4 0 0 1.1

Internet 0 0 2.9 0 0.5

ZADF 0 0 0 2 0.5

Missing 0 0 5.7 0 1.1

Total 100 100 100.1 100 100

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

6.3.3 Use of Mobile Phones for Dairy Enterprise Information

Mobile phones are increasingly becoming an important technology in the dissemination of

agricultural information. Farmers were asked to indicate whether there was any member of the

household who owned a mobile phone, and whether they used the mobile phone to get

information for the dairy enterprise. The responses indicated 66% of households in Chikwaka,

98% in Nharira-Lancashire, 97% in Marirangwe and 92% in Rusitu had at least one household

member who owned a mobile phone. Thirty six percent of households in Chikwaka, 98% in

Nharira-Lancashire, 91% in Marirangwe and 60% in Rusitu indicated they used the mobile

phone to get information on the dairy enterprise. The main types of information that farmers

obtained using the mobile phones were information on meetings and trainings (about 30% of

farmers reporting in the four study sites), milk prices (about 28% of farmers reporting in the four

study sites), sources of inputs and MCC activities (about 15% in the four study sites

respectively), and the prices of inputs (about 14% of farmers reporting in the four study sites)

(Table 6.7).

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Table 6.7: Cellphone ownership and type of information received by study site, 2015

Chikwak

a

Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangw

e

Rusit

u

Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Ownership of cellphone %

Yes

66.0 98.0 97.1 92.0 87.6

Use of cellphone for dairy

enterprise information?

%

Yes

36.0 98.0 91.4 60.0 69.7

Type of information received:

Milk prices N 2 10 14 17 43

% 12.5 15.4 35.9 47.2 27.6

Prices of inputs n 0 7 7 7 21

% 0.0 10.8 17.9 19.4 13.5

Sources of inputs n 1 4 15 4 24

% 6.3 6.2 38.5 11.1 15.4

Dairy management

information

n 1 1 1 1 4

% 6.3 1.5 2.6 2.8 2.6

MCC activities n 9 2 0 4 15

% 56.3 3.1 0.0 11.1 9.6

Meetings and trainings n 1 41 2 2 46

% 6.3 63.1 5.1 5.6 29.5

Other n 0 0 0 2 2

% 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.6 1.3

Total n 16 65 39 36 156

Note: n = number of farmers reporting

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

6.4 Major Constraints in Transporting Milk to the Market

The questionnaire included a question on the major constraints smallholder dairy farmers faced

in transporting milk to the market. The results show that about 30% of farmers reporting in the

four study sites indicated they did not face any constraints. Lack of suitable transport was the

major constraint reported by about 30% of farmers in the four study sites (26% in Chikwaka,

66% in Nharira-Lancashire, about 9% in Marirangwe, and 14% in Rusitu), followed by long

distance to the market reported by about 16% of farmers in the four study sites (20% in

Chikwaka, 16% in Nharira-Lancashire, about 6% in Marirangwe, and 18% in Rusitu), and poor

roads which were reported by about 15% of farmers in the four study sites (Table 6.8).

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Table 6.8: Major constraints in transporting milk to the market by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-Lancashire Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

% citing:

None (no constraints)

24.0

4.0

37.1

56.0

29.7

Lack of suitable transport 26.0 66.0 8.6 14.0 30.3

Long distance to market 20.0 16.0 5.7 18.0 15.7

Poor roads 8.0 8.0 37.1 12.0 14.6

High transport costs 14.0 4.0 5.7 0.0 5.9

Other 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1

Missing 0.0 2.0 5.7 0.0 1.6

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

6.5 Summary of Socio-Economic and Demographic Characteristics of Milk Market

Participants and Non-Participants4

The households in the four schemes were grouped on the basis of those who were selling milk

to the MCC at the time of the study and those who did not. Farmers selling milk to the MCC and

other market outlets were classified as market participants while those not selling were classified

as non-market participants. The characteristics of households show that average age of the

household head was about 57 years for market participants and about 60 years for non-market

participants. The independent samples t-test for age was not significant between the two groups.

The independent t-test for educational level of the household head, number of extension visits

to the farm, total size of land holding of the household, size of household in terms of average

number of household members, income from other sources, total number of dairy cows owned

by the household and the volume of milk sales to the MCC were significant at the 5% level of

significance between participants and non-participants. The Chi-square test for categorical

variables shows that only access to information and agro-ecological region were statistically

significant between market participants and non-market participants (Table 6.9).

4 Results Published in Journal of Agricultural Science Published by the Canadian Center of Science and

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Table 6.9: Socio-economic and demographic characteristics of milk market

participants and non-participants

Mean value of market participants and non-

market participants

Variables Market

Participant

Non-

Participant

t-value

Number of households n=161 n=24

Age of household head (years) 56.60 60.30 -1.249

Educational level (number of years in

school)

8.98 7.50 2.172*

Distance to MCC (km) 5.30 6.20 0.872

Number of extension visits to the farm 12.50 3.60 4.794*

Dairy farming experience (years) 16.80 16.30 0.216

Total size of arable land (Ha) 8.30 2.10 4.492*

Household size 6.30 5.30 2.031*

Total number of dairy cows owned 4.60 1.40 6.946*

Income from other sources 3248.00 1656.00 1.986*

Milk sold per month (litres) 515.17 0.00 7.114*

Chi-square

value

Sex of head of household

% Males 73.90 73.90 0.000

Access to extension services

% Yes 96.90 100.00 0.734

Access to information

% Yes 75.80 26.10 23.469*

Farmer occupation

% full time 81.9 78.3 1.74

Agricultural training

% received some training in agriculture 55.3 47.8 0.451

Agro-ecological region

% in NR I and II 68.9 100 9.808*

Note: * Statistical significance at 5%

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

6.6 Factors Affecting Milk Market Participation and Volume of Milk Sales to the MCC of

the Smallholder Dairy Value Chain5

This section presents results of factors affecting milk market participation and volume of milk

sales to the MCC of the smallholder value chain from the analysis using the first and second

stages of the Heckman two-step model.

5 Results Published in Journal of Agricultural Science Published by the Canadian Center of Science and

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6.6.1 Results of the First-Stage Heckman Model

In order to understand the determinants of milk market participation and volume of sales to the

MCC of the organized smallholder dairy value chains, the Heckman two-step model was used.

The results of the first stage of the Heckman two-step model show that of the 14 variables

included in the model, seven variables explained the probability of milk market participation,

These were total number of dairy cows owned by the household (TotCows), educational level of

the head of household (Educhh), age of the head of household (Agehh), size of household

(hhsize), access to information (AccInfo), access to extension services (AccExt), and the agro-

ecological natural region (NRDSch) location of the smallholder dairy schemes of the household.

The variables were positive and significant (Table 6.10).

Table 6.10: Estimated parameters of the binary probit model for factors determining

market participation

Variable Coefficient Standard Error z P>|z|

TotCows 0.0063 0.0032 1.97 0.049*

DistkmMCC 0.0016 0.0016 1.02 0.308

Educhh 0.0149 0.0025 5.48 0.000**

Agehh 0.0037 0.0007 5.53 0.000**

Sexhh 0.0114 0.0176 0.65 0.516

hhsize 0.0072 0.0024 3.02 0.003**

Dexp 0.0005 0.0010 0.47 0.641

Landho -0.0007 0.0005 -1.28 0.202

AccInfo 0.0491 0.1827 2.69 0.007**

AccExt 0.4656 0.0452 10.31 0.000**

IncOthSou 0.0000 0.0000 0.37 0.711

FarOcc 0.1681 0.0204 0.82 0.411

AgriTr 0.0184 0.0158 1.16 0.245

NRDSch 0.0640 0.0206 3.10 0.002**

Dependent variable=Market participation through delivering milk to the MCC

Number of observations =144

Censored observations = 17, Uncensored observations = 127

Wald Chi2 = 16181.68, Prob > Chi2 = 0.0000

**, * Statistical significance at 1% and 5%, respectively.

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

6.6.2 Results of the Second-Stage Heckman Model

The results of the second-stage Heckman selection estimation model for volume of milk sales to

the MCC of the smallholder dairy value chain show that out of the 14 variables six variables

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significantly affected the volume of milk sales to the MCC. Total number of dairy cows owned

by the household (TotCows), access to extension (AccExt) and landholding size of the household

(Landho) were positive and significant, while distance to the MCC (DistkmMCC), age of the

household head (Agehh), and agro-ecological region (NRDSch) location of the smallholder dairy

scheme of the household were negative and significant (Table 6.11).

Table 6.11: Results of second stage Heckman selection of factors affecting

volume of sales to the MCC

Variable Coefficient Standard Error z P>|z|

TotCows 0.4693 0.1636 2.87 0.004**

DistkmMCC -0.1873 0.0649 -2.89 0.004**

Educhh -0.0836 0.0890 -0.94 0.348

Agehh -0.0604 0.0268 -2.25 0.024*

Sexhh 0.2836 0.5302 0.53 0.593

hhsize 0.0618 0.0841 0.73 0.463

Dexp -0.0262 0.0278 -0.94 0.346

Landho 0.5578 0.2414 2.31 0.021*

AccInfo 0.6216 0.4763 1.31 0.192

AccExt 6.0513 2.1499 2.81 0.005**

IncOthSou 0.0003 0.0002 1.30 0.193

FarOcc 0.6840 0.6979 0.98 0.327

AgriTr -0.6652 0.5535 -1.20 0.229

NRDSch -3.4258 1.5765 -2.17 0.030*

Lambda 0.0791 0.0369 2.14 0.032*

Dependent variable=Volume of milk sales to the MCC per month in litres

Number of observations =144

Censored observations = 17, Uncensored observations = 127

Wald Chi2 = 2024.26, Prob > Chi2 = 0.0000, Rho = 1.00000

Sigma = 0.07962107

**, * Statistical significance at 1% and 5%, respectively.

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

6.7 Discussion

This section first discusses the results of the characteristics of the smallholder dairy value chain

in terms of milk marketing outlets used by farmers, agricultural information, constraints in

transporting milk and socio-economic characteristics for milk market participants and non-

participants. The section then discusses the determinants of milk market participation and

volume of sales to the MCC of the organized smallholder dairy value chains. The hypothesis of

the study was that total number of dairy cows owned by the household, distance to the milk

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collection centre, educational level, age and sex of the head of household, household size, dairy

farming experience, size of land holding of the household, access to information and extension,

income from other sources, occupation of the farmer, agricultural training of the head of

household and the agro-ecological region location of the smallholder dairy scheme do not affect

market participation and volume of sales to the MCC. The hypothesis was tested using the

Heckman two-step model.

6.7.1 Milk Marketing Outlets

The survey results indicate that the majority of producers who participated in markets sold milk

to the MCC (more than three quarters of farmers reporting). The MCC is an important

component of the smallholder dairy schemes since the formation of the smallholder dairy

development programme by the government in 1983. The MCC acts as the main collection point

and the bulking up point of the milk for collective marketing of the milk and dairy products in

the smallholder dairy schemes. The smallholder dairy schemes that supply the semi-formal value

chain process the milk on site at the MCC, and the products are partly sold at the MCC directly

to consumers. These MCC in some of the smallholder dairy schemes started as farmer

associations but most have now registered as cooperatives in order to access financing and other

NGOs and government programmes that support cooperatives in the country. Very few farmers

participated in alternative market outlets such as selling milk at the farm gate to other local

individual farmers. The reasons advanced for selling milk to the MCC clearly support the notion

of the MCC as the main market outlet, as some farmers felt it obligatory to supply milk to the

MCC due their membership which entitles them to participate in MCC activities. Only one

farmer in Marirangwe smallholder dairy scheme delivered milk directly to processors in the

capital city of Harare, an indication that with increased volumes, smallholder farmers may

effectively participate in formal value chains that offer higher prices compared to the semi-

formal value chains.

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The quantity of milk sold varied by MCC, but was generally higher for the schemes delivering

milk to the formal value chains (Marirangwe and Rusitu) compared to Chikwaka and Nharira-

Lancashire which participate in the semi-formal value chain. This indicates that as the level of

milk production increases, smallholder dairy producers require access to stable markets that offer

better returns. This indicates the importance of access to markets if smallholder dairy producers

are to increase milk production and hence sales to the MCC of the smallholder dairy value chain.

6.7.2 Agricultural Information

Farmers in the smallholder dairy schemes studied accessed agricultural information from the

local agricultural extension officers, the MCC and through use of mobile phones. The local

extension officer is the major source of agricultural information (more than three quarters of

farmers in the four study sites), an indication of the availability of extension services in the

smallholder dairy schemes studied. The extension services are provided mainly by the Livestock

Services and Production Department (LPD), which is responsible for livestock extension. Given

the current challenges affecting government departments, the effectiveness of the extension

services, however, is limited. Key informants interviews indicated that lack of resources was one

of the major limitations of the local extension services. Besides the local extension service, the

MCC plays an important role in providing information on milk prices and prices of milk

products. This is particularly so for MCC where there is on site processing of milk at the MCC

for selling directly to consumers. The use of mobile phones in accessing dairy enterprise

information is spreading as farmers embrace the technology in order to keep updated with trends

and information provision for the dairy enterprise. The majority of smallholder dairy producers

had access to mobile phones (about 88% with at least one member of the household owning a

mobile phone) and used the phones to access dairy enterprise information (about 70% in the four

study sites). This indicates that smallholder dairy producers are adaptable to changing trends in

technology use, which offers potential delivery avenues of information and related extension

messages for the benefit of farmers.

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6.7.3 Constraints in Transporting Milk to the Market

Lack of suitable transport was the major challenge in delivering milk to the MCC. This indicates

that smallholder dairy producers lack appropriate mechanisms to transport milk to the MCC, an

indication that this could possibly be one of the main reasons for low milk deliveries to the MCC.

Key informant interviews in some of the smallholder dairy schemes indicated farmers did not

deliver milk in the afternoon due to lack of transport. The milk is then diverted to home

consumption. This limitation is exacerbated by the distance to the MCC, which was reported as

the second major constraint. Distance to the MCC basically indicates access to the market, as

the MCC is the main sales outlet for smallholder dairy producers. Holness et al. (2008) report

that distance from the milk centres ranged from one to 20km, with 60 percent being over 5km.

This presented problems and all the farmers only delivered milk once a day. Smallholder dairy

producers with limited access to markets are not able to fully participate in milk markets.

6.7.4 Socio-economic Characteristics of Milk Market Participants and Non-Participants

The results show that out of the 185 farmers interviewed, 87% were milk market participants as

they sold milk to the MCC and other market outlets, while the remaining households did not

participate in the market. The MCC forms an important stage of the smallholder dairy value

chain. At two of the schemes studied (Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire), milk is processed on

site at the MCC and the dairy products are sold directly to consumers in the local area or nearby

growth points and urban areas (regarded as the semi-formal value chain). Part of the milk is sold

as raw milk to the local community or as fermented milk (Amasi). At Marirangwe and Rusitu,

the milk is collected by processors based in urban areas (regarded as the formal value chain).

The urban based processors produce a number of products that are sold mainly to urban based

consumers. Therefore participating in the semi-formal or formal value chain offers potentially

better incomes for smallholder dairy producers, compared to alternative markets where the

volumes sold are limited by the low incomes of consumers.

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For those farmers who were not selling milk to the MCC, further inquiry was made regarding

the reasons. The main reason given for not selling any milk to the MCC was that farmers did not

have any cows to milk, indicating the importance of milking cows in dairy market participation.

The socio-economic characteristics of milk market participants and non-participants show that

although it was not significant, the age of the head of household was slightly lower (57 years for

market participants) compared to non-market participants (60 years). The mean educational level

of the household head in terms of number of years in school for market participants was

marginally higher (9 years) compared to non-market participants (8 years). The t-statistic value

indicated the mean difference in educational level was statistically significant and positive at 5%

level. This indicates the importance of education in understanding dairying and decision making

of smallholder dairy producers in terms of market orientation. The results are consistent with the

findings of Kuma et al. (2014).

The mean distance to the MCC was 5.3 km for milk market participants compared to non-market

participants (6.2 km), although this was not statistically significant. The results of dairy farming

experience for the head of household also indicate the mean was not statistically different

between participants and non-participants. The size of landholding of the household results show

that milk market participants had a significantly larger mean landholding (8.3 Ha) compared to

non-market participants (2.1 Ha), indicating the relationship between dairy market participation

and size of landholding in Zimbabwe.

Households who participated in milk markets had marginally larger household sizes (about 6

household members) compared to 5 household members for non-market participants, and the t-

statistic showed the variable was significant at 5%. Dairying is a labour intensive enterprise and

most of the households in the smallholder dairy schemes depend on family labour. The results

of mean household size indicates that the size of household influences market participation due

to the availability of family labour for performing the various activities of the dairy enterprise.

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The average total number of dairy cows owned by the households for milk market participants

were about 5 cows compared to one cow for non-market participants, the result of this variable

was significant at 1%. The quantity of milk sold per month in litres was 515 litres, indicating

that milk production is the most important variable affecting milk market participation. Milk

market participants had higher incomes (USD3248) compared to non-milk market participants

(USD1656) and this was significant at 5%. Milk market participants had higher incomes from

other sources per annum (USD3248) compared to non-milk participants (USD1656) and this

was significant at 5%. Income from other sources such as crop production enables smallholder

dairy producers to access resources to invest in the dairy enterprise, such as acquiring dairy cows

of improved breeds. This therefore indicates the influence of other sources of income in milk

market participation.

Sex of the household indicates that about three quarters of the heads of households were males

for both milk and non-milk market participants and the Chi-square test was not significant.

Access to extension services shows that almost all milk market participants and non-milk

participants respectively had access to extension services and the Chi-square value indicates the

difference was also not significant.

Access to information was measured on the basis of whether one of the household members

owned a mobile phone, and whether the mobile phone was used to access dairy enterprise

information. About three quarters of the milk market participants indicated positively to owning

a mobile phone compared to about 26% of milk market non-participants and the variable was

significant. The results indicate the influence of access to information on milk market

participation.

The last two categorical variables assessed were occupation of the household head and agro-

ecological region location of the smallholder dairy scheme of the household. Occupation of the

head of household was classified into full-time farmers, or otherwise if the farmer was not full-

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time on the farm. Full-time farmers were resident at the farm, while others were employed off

farm or were involved in other activities that limited them from farming on a full time basis.

About 82% of milk market participants were full time farmers compared to 78% for non-milk

market participants, although the Chi-square test indicates this was not significant. In terms of

agro-ecological location of the smallholder dairy scheme of the household, about 70% of milk

market participants and all milk market non-participants (100%) were located in NR I and II,

and the Chi-square indicates this variable was significant. In Zimbabwe, the natural region

location of the smallholder dairy scheme of the household determines the amount of rainfall that

is received and therefore the potential for agricultural and livestock production. NR I and II are

considered as the regions with the highest potential for intensive production of both crops and

livestock, compared to NR III to V where the rainfall is limited and the regions are suitable for

semi-intensive and extensive crop and livestock production (Muir-Leresche, 2006).

6.7.5 Determinants of Milk Market Participation and Volume of Sales to the MCC of the

Smallholder Dairy Value Chain6

This section discusses factors that determine milk market participation and volume of sales to

the MCC of the smallholder dairy value chain. The discussion initially focuses on the first stage

of the Heckman participation model and then the second stage Heckman selection model.

6.7.5.1 First-Stage Heckman Participation Model

The first stage Heckman two-step model (binary probit model) results show that out of the 14

explanatory variables, seven determine the probability of milk market participation. These are

total number of dairy cows owned by the household, educational level of the head of household,

age of the household head, household size, access to information and extension services, and

natural region location of the smallholder dairy scheme.

6 Results Published in Journal of Agricultural Science Published by the Canadian Center of Science and

Education, Volume 9, Number 10, pp 156-167. 2017.

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As expected, the total number of dairy cows owned by the household had positive relationship

with milk participation decision and was statistically significant at 5% probability level. The

positive and significant relationship indicates that the greater the number of dairy cows owned

by the household, the better is the milk production and the more likely the household will make

milk market participation decisions. These results are consistent with the findings of Kuma et

al., (2014). The educational level of the head of household was positive and had significant

impact on milk market participation at 1%. The positive and significant relationship between the

two variables indicates the educational level of the head of household as an important variable

affecting households’ milk market participation. Age had positive and significant impact on milk

market participation at 1%. The positive and significant relationship indicates that age, which

can be used as a proxy for experience, shows that old aged farmers acquire experience over the

years and hence positively influences market participation. These results coincide with the

findings of Kuma et al., (2014) and Mamo et al., (2014) in Ethiopia.

Household size and milk market participation relationship was positive and significant at 1%.

The results are in conformity with the findings of Demissie et al., (2014) in Ethiopia. The

positive and significant relationship indicates that dairy is a labour intensive enterprise. Large

family sizes in smallholder dairy enterprise indicates availability of labour for smallholder dairy

production which increases milk market participation. Access to information and milk market

participation decision are positively related and significant at 1%. This indicates that access to

information increases milk market participation and leads to understanding of the workings of

the market, information on prices, and other market information that improves decision making

of the smallholder dairy producer. Access to extension services and milk market participation

decisions indicates a positive and significant relationship at 1%. This indicates that access to

extension services provides farmers with information on technologies that are necessary to

improve management of the dairy enterprise and hence improved milk production and enhanced

market participation decisions.

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Agro-ecological region location of the smallholder dairy scheme of the households and milk

market participation decisions relationship was positive and significant at 1%. This indicates that

agro-ecological region location of the scheme of the household enhances milk market

participation decisions since smallholder dairy schemes located in high potential regions of NR

I and II are able to access feeds and Stover from crop production due to the high rainfall received

in these regions. Households can also grow improved forage and fodder crops that can be used

for supplementary feeding of the dairy animals, compared to smallholder dairy schemes located

in NR III to V. Masama et al., (2005) study of Nharira-Lancashire which is located in NR III of

Zimbabwe found that farmers kept inadequate amounts of feeds of poor nutritional quality for

feeding the dairy cows year round. Chinogaramombe et al., (2008) also found that feed shortages

was one of the major constraints for smallholder dairy production for the semi-arid regions of

Zimbabwe which are mainly located in NR III, IV and V.

The milk market participation model also show that sex, dairy farming experience, and

agricultural training of the head of household, distance to the market, land holding size, farmer

occupation and income from other sources were not significant. In terms of dairy farming

experience and landholding size, these results are contrary to the findings of Kuma et al., (2014)

in Ethiopia. Kuma et al., (2014) found these two variables to be negatively related to milk market

participation, which was contrary to the initial expectations. The explanation advanced (Kuma

et al., 2014) in the case of dairy farming experience in Ethiopia was that households with many

years dairy farming experience owned local cows and lived in areas where the demand for milk

was low. The farmers were also more engaged in marketing milk products rather than milk. In

Zimbabwe, this could possibly be explained by the fact that dairy farmers have not adopted dairy

farming as a specialized enterprise and are therefore not commercially oriented. Key informants

interview indicates that farmers practicing dairy are also into many other cropping and livestock

enterprises and therefore do not give dairying the management attention it requires as a

specialized enterprise.

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In terms of landholding size, Kuma et al., (2014) found a negative and significant effect on

household milk market participation. Their explanation was that the negative relationship

between milk market participation and land holding indicates that market oriented dairy

production does not necessarily require large pieces of land (Kuma et al., 2014). This was mainly

because households producing milk for market had access to purchasing pastures from other

households or from government holdings. Contrary to the situation reported by Kuma et al.,

(2014), in Zimbabwe, farmers have limited access to purchased pastures from other households.

The households have to allocate the available land between competing demands for the

production of food crops, fodder and feed for the smallholder dairy enterprise.

Although the result of income from other sources was not significant in this study, other studies

have found otherwise. Demissie et al., (2014) found that financial income from other sources

had negative effect on cow milk market participation and the relationship was significant.

Demissie et al., (2014) explanation was that this indicated that any financial income decreases

milk market participation for the smallholder producer household as a result of fixed transaction

costs.

The determinants of farmers’ participation in the milk market can be summarized as the number

of dairy cows owned by the household and household size which represent availability of

resources; while educational level, access to information and extension service represent

availability of knowledge; age of household head which represent experience; and agro-

ecological region representing the natural and climatic conditions.

6.7.5.2 Second Stage Heckman Selection Model

Heckman’s second stage estimation identifies the significant factors that affect volume of milk

sales using the selection model, which included the inverse Mill’s ratio calculated from the probit

estimation of milk market participation decision. The overall joint goodness of fit for the second

stage is assessed based on Wald Chi-square test. The null hypothesis for the test is that all

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coefficients are jointly zero. In this study, the model Chi-square test (Wald Chi2 = 2024.26; Prob

> Chi2 =0.0000) indicates that the overall goodness of fit for the selection model is statistically

significant at less than 1%. This shows that jointly independent variables included in the model

explained the volume of milk sales.

In the second stage selection model, out of the 14 variables, seven variables were found to be

significant determinants of volume of milk sales to the MCC of the smallholder dairy value

chain, including the inverse Mill’s ratio (LAMBDA). The variables found to be significant are

total number of dairy cows owned by the household, distance to the MCC (representing access

to markets), age of the head of household, land holding size of the household, access to extension

services and agro-ecological region location of the smallholder dairy scheme of the household.

As hypothesized, the total number of dairy cows owned by the household had a positive effect

on volume of milk sales and is significant at the 1% probability level. The model output predicts

that an addition of one dairy cow causes the marketable volume to increase by 0.47 litres per

month. These results are in line with Bedilu et al., (2014). Bedilu et al., (2014) found that number

of milk cows had positive effect on marketed milk volume in Ethiopia. The number of dairy

cows owned by the household is an important policy variable that indicates possible policy

interventions that can be implemented in order to enhance milk market participation and volume

of milk sales in order for the smallholder dairy producers to benefit from the lucrative value

chains. Bardhan et al., (2012) study in India report that the milk output sold depends on farm

and farmer specific variables such as family size, age, education, resource ownership like land

and animal holding. In this study, resource ownership includes total number of dairy animals

owned by the household which are significant in determining volume of sales.

The distance to the MCC, which was used as a proxy for access to milk markets of the

smallholder dairy value chain was negative and significant at 1% probability level. As

hypothesized, distance to the MCC affected milk sales volume negatively. The results are in line

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with Mamo et al., (2014) study in Ethiopia where market distance significantly affected volume

of milk value added. This indicates that as one moves further away from the MCC, the greater

the transportation costs and the losses due to spoilage and less access to information and facilities

offered by the MCC, thereby impacting negatively on volume of sales.

Age of the head of household had negative effect on milk sales volume and was found to be

significant at 5%. This implies that old aged households heads are slow to adapt to changing

market conditions and new technologies, and therefore do not respond quickly to market

incentives to increase milk supply to the market. Conversely, this can possibly indicate that

young aged households are more business minded, are ambitious and entrepreneurial and

therefore make use of improved inputs to increase milk production, thus increasing volume of

sales. The mean age of the household head for milk market participants was lower than that of

non-milk market participants. The average age of the household head for farmers supplying the

MCC of the semi-formal value chain (Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire) was generally higher

than the ages of household heads of dairy schemes supplying the MCC of the formal value chain

(Marirangwe and Rusitu). This possibly indicates that old aged households are not as market

oriented compared to young aged households. This implies that in order to increase volume of

sales to the MCC of the smallholder dairy value chain, government policy interventions need to

target young aged households that are more adaptable, ambitious, entrepreneurial, and are more

inclined to quickly understand the dynamics of the milk markets.

Land holding size of the household had a positive and significant effect on milk sales volume at

5%. These results are in line with Bardham et al., (2012) study which indicates that milk output

sold depends on farm and farmer specific variables such as ownership of the land resource. This

indicates that households with large land holdings have better access to grazing for their dairy

cows, and can also grow supplementary fodder crops including better access to crop residues

that can be used as supplementary dairy feed. This improves milk production and hence milk

sales volume supplied to the MCC of the smallholder dairy value chain. The results of the

159

descriptive statistics show that generally land holding size was higher for smallholder milk

market participants, and for farms supplying the formal compared to the semi-formal value

chain. This indicates an important policy variable that is relevant to smallholder milk sales

volume, and has important implications for milk supply in Zimbabwe in light of the

implementation of the fast track land reform and redistribution programme that reduced the size

of land holdings of the previously large scale commercial farmers.

Access to extension services had positive and significant (at 1% level) effect on milk sales

volume supplied to the MCC of the smallholder dairy value chain. The change in having access

to extension services of the smallholder dairy producers on milk quantity supplied was about 6.1

litres. These results are contrary to those obtained by Bedilu et al., (2014). Bedilu et al., (2014)

initially hypothesized that access to livestock extension was expected to positively affect sales

of cow milk but the results indicated access to livestock extension service was significant and

negatively affected marketed surplus. In this study, the results indicate that milk sales volume

in the study sites was more responsive to access to extension services. Although in the past the

extension services in Zimbabwe have been quite effective, a study commissioned by the

European Union show that limited resource allocation has limited the effectiveness of extension

delivery in the country (Pazvakavambwa et al., 2010). Extension is important in providing up-

to-date knowledge required to effectively run the dairy enterprise. The policy implications are

that access to adequate and appropriate extension should be one of the priority policy

interventions if government is to increase milk sales volume from the smallholder dairy

producers. This would increase milk production and hence milk sales volume to the MCC of the

smallholder dairy value chain. With the increased production and milk sales volume, smallholder

dairy producers would be more incentivized to participate in the formal value chains, thereby

benefiting from the stable economic benefits from the established markets of the formal value

chains.

160

The agro-ecological region location of the smallholder dairy scheme of the household had

negative and significant effect on milk sales volume at 5%. The results indicate that agro-

ecological location of smallholder dairy scheme in areas other than NR I and II had negative

effect on milk sales volume. This is mainly because livestock production in Zimbabwe depends

on native pastures and use of crop residues (Masama et al., 2005). Natural regions I and II are

considered high potential areas due to the high rainfall received (average 1050 mm and 750 mm,

respectively). This enables smallholder producers in these areas to access crop residues from

crop production that can be fed to dairy cows. Masama et al. (2005) found that the herd size

influenced the quantities of supplementary feeds harvested and stored. The policy implications

are that government policy interventions should target smallholder dairy producers in the high

potential natural regions I and II if the milk sales volume is to be increased from the smallholder

dairy schemes. This would enable farmers to eventually participate in the formal value chains

that offer stable and better returns compared to the semi-formal value chains. However, if the

schemes are located in the other natural regions, then there is need to make arrangements to get

supplementary feeding from elsewhere at competitive prices.

According to the model output, the inverse Mill’s ratio or selectivity bias correction factor

(LAMBDA) affected milk sales volume positively at 5% significance level and indicates that in

the Heckman two-step model, the correction for selectivity is significant. This indicates sample

selection bias, that is, the existence of some unobservable household characteristics affecting

likelihood to participate in milk market and thereby affecting milk sales volume.

The determinants of volume of milk sales are thus number of dairy cows and landholding size

of the household representing availability of resources; distance to the milk collection centre

representing market access; access to extension representing knowledge of the farmer, age of

household head representing ambition of the farmer; and agro-ecological region.

161

6.8 Summary

The study results indicate that the main market outlet for smallholder dairy producers is the MCC

of the smallholder dairy value chain. The study also shows that there were significant differences

between milk market participants and non-participants in terms of the educational level of the

head of household, total size of landholding, household size, and the total number of dairy cows

owned by the household.

The results of the first step of the Heckman two stage procedure shows that resources

(represented by number of dairy cows, household size), knowledge (represented by educational

level, access to information and extension services) and experience (age of head of household)

and natural climatic conditions (agro-ecological region) significantly determined farmers’

participation in milk markets. The results of the study suggest the following policy implications

and interventions if milk sales volume is to be increased from the smallholder dairy schemes and

hence increased supply of milk to the MCC of the smallholder dairy value chain. In order to

increase milk market participation government policy interventions need to target increasing the

number of dairy cows for smallholder dairy producers. Policy interventions should target

educated, young farmers located in high potential agro-ecological regions I and II. These should

be provided with adequate and appropriate information and extension packages in order to

enhance milk market participation decisions.

The second stage Heckman selection model results indicate the determinants of milk sales

volume to be resources (number of dairy cows and landholding size of the household), market

access (distance to the MCC), knowledge (access to extension), ambition of the farmer (age of

the head of household) and natural climatic conditions (agro-ecological region). Distance to the

MCC, age of the head of household and agro-ecological natural region location of the

smallholder dairy scheme of the household had negative and significant effect on milk sales

162

volume. The results indicate that in order to increase milk sales volume to the MCC of the

smallholder dairy value chain, policy interventions targeted at increasing the number of cows

owned by the smallholder dairy producers would have a positive impact. Complimentary policy

interventions need to take into account the landholding size and natural region location of the

smallholder dairy scheme of the household (and access to supplementary feeding at competitive

prices), the provision of adequate and appropriate extension messages targeted at smallholder

dairy producers. Government would also need to implement policy measures that target young

producers, and ensure the MCCs are accessible to the smallholder dairy producers if milk sales

volume is to be increased to supply the MCC of the smallholder dairy value chain. This would

enable smallholder dairy producers to gradually increase supply and move from supplying the

semi-formal to supplying the formal value chains that offer stable and better remunerative

markets in the long run compared to the semi-formal value chains.

163

CHAPTER SEVEN: ANALYSIS OF ANIMAL PRODUCTION AND FORAGE CENTRE

INTERVENTION IN THE SMALLHOLDER DAIRY VALUE CHAIN7

7.1 Introduction

Chapter Six presented and summarized the determinants of milk market participation and

volume of sales to MCC of the organized smallholder dairy value chains. As indicated in chapter

six, those schemes that are located in NR I and II are better off than those located in other natural

regions due to access to high quality feeds and supplementary feeding. It was recommended in

the previous chapter that for those schemes located in Natural Regions other than I and II,

farmers need to access supplementary feed at competitive prices. In this chapter, attempt is made

to present a viable alternative to achieve this recommendation. This chapter presents results of

smallholder feed resources and the proposed animal production and forage centre (APFC) within

the context of the semi-formal value chains (as represented by Chikwaka and Nharira-

Lancashire) and the formal value chains (as represented by Marirangwe and Rusitu). The results

are presented for the feed resources in the smallholder dairy schemes studied, types of feeding

systems and sources of dairy feed. Results of questions relating to types of grazing used by

farmers in the smallholder dairy schemes, types of feeds, and availability of improved pastures

and fodder production are presented. The chapter includes an assessment of the proposed animal

production and forage centre in terms of farmers’ willingness to pay for the construction and

services provided by the centre, farmer perceptions of purchase of feed and fodder to be produced

by the centre and assessment of the responsibility to construct such a centre. The cost of

production of smallholder dairy and an ex ante benefit-cost assessment and analysis of the animal

production and forage centre is presented, including a bio-economic modelling of the centre.

Discussion of the results and a chapter summary concludes this chapter.

7 Part of the results in this Chapter have been published in a paper “ Ex-ante benefit cost analysis of an animal

production and forage centre for a smallholder dairy value chain in Zimbabwe” by Chamboko T., Mwakiwa E.,

and P. H. Mugabe in 2018. RUFORUM Working Document Series (ISSN 1607-9345) No. 14 (3) 229-236.

Available from http://repository.ruforum.org. Fifth Ruforum Biennial Conference 17-21 October 2016, Cape

Town, South Africa. (Full Paper in Annex 4, Paper 3).

164

7.2 Feed Resources in Smallholder Dairy Schemes

This section presents the results of types of feeding systems used for dairy cattle, sources of

dairy feed and the types of grazing used. The various types of feed, improved pastures planted

by farmers and fodder production are also presented.

7.2.1 Types of Feeding Systems used for Dairy Cattle

One of the questions in the questionnaire requested farmers to specify the type of feeding system

farmers used for the dairy enterprise. The majority of farmers (about 48% in the four study sites)

indicated they used both stall feeding and grazing of the dairy animals. This was reported by

40% and 76% of farmers reporting in Chikwaka, and Nharira-Lancashire compared to 60% and

20% in Marirangwe and Rusitu, respectively. Grazing (about 39% of the farmers reporting in

the four study sites) of the animals in either communal land or paddocks in the case of small

scale commercial farms was the second main type of feeding of the dairy animals reported by

56% of the farmers reporting in Chikwaka, 6% of the farmers reporting in Nharira-Lancashire,

about 31% of the farmers reporting in Marirangwe and 60% in Rusitu. The other types of feeding

systems reported were stall feeding only (about 5% of the farmers reporting in the four study

sites), and only reported in Nharira-Lancashire (8% of farmers reporting) and Rusitu (10% of

the farmers reporting), zero grazing only (reported in Nharira-Lancashire by 8% of the farmers

reporting), and semi-zero grazing (reported by 6% of the farmers reporting in Rusitu) (Table

7.1).

Table 7.1: Percentage reporting type of feeding system used for dairy cattle by study site,

2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

% reporting:

Both stall feeding and grazing

40.0

76.0

60.0

20.0

48.1

Grazing 56.0 6.0 31.4 60.0 38.9

Stall feeding 0.0 8.0 0.0 10.0 4.9

Zero grazing 0.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 2.2

Semi-zero grazing 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 1.6

Missing 4.0 2.0 8.6 4.0 4.3

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

165

7.2.2 Sources of Dairy Feed

Farmers in the four study sites were asked to indicate their main sources of dairy feed. The main

sources of feed for the dairy animals indicated by farmers were a combination of supplements

and grazing of the dairy animals (reported by about 56% of the farmers in the four study sites),

with farmers in Chikwaka (26%) and Nharira-Lancashire (88%) Marirangwe (about 69%) and

Rusitu (46%). Grazing only as a source of feed was reported by about 29% of the farmers in the

four study sites Supplements only as a source of feed was reported by about 5% of the farmers

surveyed and reporting in the four study sites (Table 7.2).

Table 7.2: Percentage of farmers reporting source of dairy feed by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

% of farmers reporting:

Combination of

supplements and

grazing

26.0 88.0 68.6 46.0 56.2

Grazing 46.0 4.0 28.6 38.0 29.2

Supplements 6.0 6.0 0.0 6.0 4.9

Own Silage 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.1

Stover 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1

Hay 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5

Poultry waste mixed

with maize, hay and

maize Stover

2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5

Missing 12.0 2.0 2.9 8.0 6.5

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

7.2.3 Types of Grazing Used

Since the study sites are located in areas with different types of land tenure systems, smallholder

dairy farmers were asked to indicate the type of grazing systems they used for their dairy animals.

The main type of grazing was communal (reported by 34% of farmers in Chikwaka and 50% in

Nharira-Lancashire) compared to about 11% in Marirangwe and 64% in Rusitu and about 42%

in the four study sites. This was to be expected since Chikwaka is located in a communal area,

and Nharira-Lancashire covers partly Nharira communal area and Lancashire small scale

166

commercial area. Marirangwe smallholder dairy scheme is located in a small scale commercial

farming area while Rusitu is an old resettlement area. Private grazing, which is mainly composed

of paddocked grazing which is not accessible to other farmers, (was reported by about 39% of

farmers in the four study sites) with 40% of farmers reporting in Chikwaka, 32% in Nharira-

Lancashire, about 86% in Marirangwe and 12% in Rusitu. Access and use of both private and

communal grazing was reported by 18% of farmers reporting in Chikwaka and 4% in Rusitu.

Zero grazing was reported by 5% of farmers in Nharira-Lancashire and Rusitu while 8% of

farmers reported semi-zero grazing in Rusitu, with about 8% of farmers in the four study not

indicating the type of grazing that was accessible to them (Table 7.3).

Table 7.3: Percentage of farmers reporting type of grazing used for dairy

animals by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

% of farmers

reporting:

Communal 34.0 50.0 11.4 64.0 42.2

Private 40.0 32.0 85.7 12.0 38.9

Zero 0.0 10.0 0.0 10.0 5.4

Private and

communal

16.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 6.5

Own paddock and

nearest commercial

farms

2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5

Semi-zero grazing 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 2.2

Missing 8.0 4.0 2.9 2.0 4.3

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

7.2.4 Types of Feeds

Farmers were asked to indicate the type of feed for the dairy enterprise in terms of whether they

used brought-in concentrates, home-made rations, both brought in concentrates and home-made

rations or others. The majority of farmers in the four study sites (about 50%), with 26% in

Chikwaka, Nharira-Lancashire (86%) compared to Marirangwe (about 49%) and Rusitu (40%)

used both brought-in concentrates and home-made rations. Brought in concentrates use was

167

reported by 54% of farmers in Chikwaka and 6% in Nharira-Lancashire compared to

Marirangwe (20%) and Rusitu (42%) with about 31% of farmers reporting in the four study sites.

Home-made rations were reported by about 6% of farmers in the four study sites, with 4%

reporting in Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire respectively compared to about 11% in

Marirangwe and 6% in Rusitu (Table 7.4).

Table 7.4: Percentage of farmers reporting type of feeds used for dairy animals by

study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

% of farmers reporting:

Both brought-in

concentrates and home-

made rations

26.0 86.0 48.6 40.0 50.3

Brought-in concentrates 54.0 6.0 20.0 42.0 31.4

Home-made rations 4.0 4.0 11.4 6.0 5.9

Communal grazing 0.0 4.0 11.4 0.0 3.2

Missing 16.0 0.0 8.6 12.0 9.2

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

7.2.5 Improved Pastures

In order to assess whether farmers have over the years been planting improved pastures, farmers

were asked to indicate whether they have planted improved pastures, the type of pastures and

the area under cultivated pastures in the 2014/2015 season. Of the 185 farmers interviewed in

the four study sites, about 38% indicated they have cultivated improved pastures, with 28% in

Chikwaka, 54% in Nharira-Lancashire, about 17% in Marirangwe and 46% in Rusitu (Table

7.5). The three most frequently reported were Star grass (about 37% of the farmers reporting in

the four study sites), Bana grass (Pennisetum purpureum) (about 36%) and Napier (Pennisetum

purpureum) (about 25% in the four study sites). Others included Giant Rhodes grass (Chloris

gayana) (9% of farmers reporting in the four study sites), Siratro (Macroptilium atropurpureum)

(about 8%) and Leucaena (Lecaena leucocephala) (6%) (Table 7.5). The average area of the

cultivated pastures varied but ranged from 0.2 Ha in Chikwaka, 0.4 Ha in Nharira-Lancashire,

168

1.2 Ha in Rusitu to 1.8 Ha in Marirangwe, with an average of the four study sites of about 1 Ha

(Table 7.5).

Table 7.5: Planted pastures by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Do you have planted

pastures

n 14.0 27.0 6.0 23.0 71.0

% Yes 28.0 54.0 17.1 46.0 38.4

Types of cultivated pastures a

(multiple response, based on cases)

Bana grass n 5.0 9.0 0.0 10.0 24.0

% 33.3 34.6 0.0 47.6 35.8

Star grass n 3.0 11.0 2.0 9.0 25.0

% 20.0 42.3 40.0 42.9 37.3

Kikuyu n 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0

% 0.0 0.0 20.0 0.0 1.5

Leucaena n 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 4.0

% 0.0 11.5 20.0 0.0 6.0

Napier fodder n 1.0 5.0 0.0 11.0 17.0

% 6.7 19.2 0.0 52.4 25.4

Giant Rhodes n 0.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 6.0

% 0.0 15.4 0.0 9.5 9.0

Siratro n 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 5.0

% 13.3 3.8 40.0 0.0 7.5

Napier and Leucaena n 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0

% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5

Bana and Star grass n 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0

% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0

Leucaena, Star grass

and Sesbania (forage

trees)

n 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0

% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5

Area planted to

pastures (Ha) Mean

0.2 0.42 1.8 1.2 0.91

Note: Totals are based on respondents a Group

n – number of farmers reporting

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

7.2.6 Fodder Production

In order to assess fodder production on the smallholder dairy schemes studied, farmers were

asked in terms of area planted to fodder crops, quantity harvested, quantity fed as green material

and the quantity processed into fodder. The results show that the average area planted to maize

grain was about 1.5 Ha in the four study sites, ranging from about 0.4 Ha in Chikwaka to about

169

2.6 Ha in Marirangwe. The average area planted to maize silage was about 1 Ha in the four study

sites and an average of 0.4 Ha planted to legume crops (Table 7.6).

Table 7.6: Fodder production by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Area planted

maize grain

n 35 6 28 20 89

Mean 0.44 1.93 2.57 1.50 1.45

SD 0.29 1.18 1.70 0.74 1.39

Area planted

maize silage

n 14 33 6 9 62

Mean 0.34 1.17 1.82 0.73 0.98

SD 0.24 1.05 2.55 0.33 1.15

Area planted

sorghum

silage

n 1 1

Mean 0.20 0.20

SD

Area planted

legume crops

n 29 7 2 11 49

Mean 0.27 0.47 1.75 0.38 0.39

SD 0.29 0.33 1.77 0.37 0.49

Area planted

other crops

n 8 4 12

Mean 0.17 1.18 0.51

SD 0.15 0.62 0.61

n – number reporting

Note: SD – Standard deviation

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

The quantity of fodder crops harvested varied and the average quantity of maize grain harvested

as measured in 50kg bags was about 37 bags in the four study sites, an average of 157 bags maize

silage in the four study sites, and about 11 bags of legume crops in the four study sites (Table

7.7).

170

Table 7.7: Quantity of maize grain and fodder crops harvested by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Maize grain

(50 kg bags)

n 35.00 6.00 28.00 20.00 89.00

Mean 10.19 18.50 63.75 49.90 36.52

SD 8.17 10.07 73.04 31.02 49.50

Maize silage

(50 kg bags)

n 3.00 27.00 5.00 6.00 41.00

Mean 67.00 88.63 472.80 244.17 156.66

SD 115.18 105.49 742.45 120.18 286.70

Sorghum

silage (50 kg

bags)

n 1.00 1.00

Mean 20.00 20.00

SD

Legume crops

(50 kg bags)

n 30.00 7.00 12.00 49.00

Mean 7.73 25.29 12.00 11.28

SD 18.49 37.20 11.27 21.10

Other crops

(50 kg bags)

n 5.00 1.00 4.00 10.00

Mean 1.80 80.00 114.00 54.00

SD 1.64 135.00 96.55

Note: n – number reporting

SD – Standard deviation

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

The quantity of fodder crops harvested and fed as green material varied and the average quantity

of maize silage fed was 240 kg in the four study sites and about 405 kg was legume crops (Table

7.8).

171

Table 7.8: Quantity of fodder crops harvested and fed as green material (kg) by study

site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Maize

grain

n 1.00 4.00 5.00

Mean 0.00 300.00 240.00

SD 294.39 288.10

Maize

silage

n 1.00 2.00 3.00

Mean 280.00 230.00 240.00

SD 296.98 212.84

Legume

crops

n 2.00 2.00 2.00 6.00

Mean 39.00 1,000.25 175.00 404.75

SD 50.91 1,413.86 35.35 785.52

Note: n – number reporting

SD – Standard deviation

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

The main crops that were processed into feed production were maize grain (an average of 740

kg in the four study sites), maize silage (an average of 4085 kg) and legume crops (about 345

kg) in the four study sites (Table 7.9).

Table 7.9: Quantity processed into fodder (kg) by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Maize

grain

n 28.00 4.00 2.00 14.00 48.00

Mean 463.93 2,262.50 260.00 928.57 740.83

SD 395.02 3,171.59 339.41 787.58 1,081.11

Maize

silage

n 8.00 33.00 6.00 47.00

Mean 1,413.75 4,007.88 8,075.00 4,085.53

SD 1,315.65 5,101.38 6,925.59 5,186.75

Legume

crops

n 26.00 5.00 10.00 41.00

Mean 181.54 709.10 582.00 343.55

SD 218.37 1,297.78 524.63 555.10

Other

crops

n 7.00 2.00 9.00

Mean 142.86 2,050.00 566.67

SD 67.26 2,757.72 1,288.89

Note: n – number reporting

SD – Standard deviation

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

172

7.3 Costs of Production and Viability of Dairy Production

In order to assess the performance of the dairy enterprise, farmers were requested to report the

annual costs of production of the dairy enterprise. The main input costs farmers were requested

to estimate included dipping, feed resources in terms of silage, imputed home produced grains,

hay, supplements and concentrates, disease control, labour, machinery and maintenance of

fences, transport and energy costs where this was applicable. A gross margin analysis of the

dairy enterprise was performed. The results show that smallholder dairying on the four schemes

studied was viable, as indicated by the gross margin per litre of milk produced which was

USD0.23/litre in Chikwaka, USD0.22 in Nharira-Lancashire, USD0.15 in Marirangwe,

USD0.36 in Rusitu, with an average of all the four study sites of USD0.25 per litre (Table 7.10).

173

Table 7.10: Cost of production and income for milk production by study site (USD)

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

Cost Item n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Mean (SD) cost per

annum (USD)

Dipping 28.97

(15.73)

118.56

(76.34)

304.00

(420.07)

58.64

(58.22)

105.02

(189.93)

Feed costs 110.41

(125.91)

578.58

(382.73)

1955.40

(4683.55)

652.76

(492.33)

803.79

(212.73)

Veterinary drugs

and medicines

22.19

(15.78)

98.32

(98.19)

182.52

(400.89)

62.77

(128.78)

76.14

(163.97)

Artificial

insemination and

Bulls

maintenance

75.20

(112.94)

22.04

(21.27)

46.88 (17.72) 54.86

(96.14)

42.20

(68.63)

Labour Costs 307.20

(289.64)

732.22

(803.41)

1695.45

(1592.30)

614.05

(344.46)

861.31

(1073.48)

Miscellaneous

costs

73.00

(129.54)

256.50

(643.63)

528.00

(505.29)

392.50

(690.32)

242.48

(514.34)

Total Variable

Costs

283.41

(303.39)

1177.96

(1198.56)

3619.49

(6442.70)

994.78

(903.87)

1289.84

(2905.74)

Mean (SD) costs and

returns per month (USD)

Total Variable

Costs per month

23.62

(25.29)

98.16

(99.88)

301.62

(536.89)

82.90

(75.32)

107.49

(242.15)

Milk production

per month (litres)

160.5

(167.5)

507.3

(299.4)

983.2

(1917.7)

552.7

(367.5)

510.5

(890.5)

Price (USD/litre) 0.39 (0.01) 0.50 (0.00) 0.52 (0.02) 0.52 (0.04) 0.49

(0.05)

Gross Income per

month

59.38

(71.13)

253.65

(149.72)

344.25

(365.00)

290.24

(195.95)

236.36

(231.11)

Gross Margin per

month

42.86

(67.08)

159.13

(182.56)

149.79

(267.15)

206.61

(158.03)

146.94

(184.15)

Gross Income per

litre

0.40 (0.01) 0.50 (0.00) 0.52 (0.02) 0.52 (0.05) 0.50

(0.05)

TVC per litre 0.16 (0.19) 0.28 (0.41) 0.37 (0.22) 0.16 (0.13) 0.23

(0.28)

Gross Margin per

litre

0.23 (0.20) 0.22 (0.41) 0.15 (0.23) 0.36 (0.13) 0.25

(0.29)

Note: The numbers in brackets are standard deviations

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

The results show that the main variable cost items are the cost of feed which contributed about

48% of total variable costs in the four study sites, followed by labour costs with about 31%, and

dipping costs at about 8% of total variable costs (Table 7.11).

174

Table 7.11: Costs of milk production as percent of total variable costs by study site, 2015

Variable cost item Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

Feed costs 14.7 48.1 48.2 54.9 47.7

Labour 48.2 22.8 36.8 25.2 31.2

Dipping 9.5 9.9 7.2 5.8 7.7

Veterinary drugs and

medicines

6.8 7.5 2.7 4.5 4.6

AI and Bull maintenance 5.9 1.0 0.4 1.6 1.1

Miscellaneous 14.9 10.7 4.7 8.1 7.6

Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

7.4 Animal Production and Forage Centre

In order to assess farmers’ views on the proposed animal production and forage centre (APFC),

a number of questions were asked in the questionnaire relating to this topic. The animal

production and forage centre is proposed to be established next to the MCC and dedicated to

providing the dairy enterprise with support services for the farmers in the smallholder dairy

schemes. Such a centre currently does not exist in the smallholder dairy schemes studied but

follows on the concept of animal production and forage research centres (Titterton and

Maasdorp, 1997, as communicated by Ngongoni, 2012), but with modifications.

7.4.1 Farmer Perceptions on the Animal Production and Forage Centre

This section presents farmer perceptions on the animal production and forage centre (APFC) in

terms of willingness to purchase feed and fodder to be supplied by the centre and the types of

animals prioritized for feeding with the feed sourced from the centre.

7.4.1.1 Willingness to Purchase Feed and Fodder from the APFC

Provision of feed and fodder to smallholder dairy farmers is one of the main proposed services

for the APFC. In order to assess whether the centre would be able to sustainably provide these

services to smallholder dairy farmers, questions were asked whether farmers would be in a

175

position to purchase feed and fodder supplied from the APFC if it was established. The results

show that the majority of farmers across the four study sites (91%) would be willing to purchase

feed supplied by the centre, with 94% in Chikwaka and 100% in Nharira-Lancashire responding

positively, compared to about 77% and 88% responding positively in Marirangwe and Rusitu

respectively. In terms of fodder, about 78% in the four study sites responded positively, with

Chikwaka having 48%, Nharira-Lancashire (98%), Marirangwe (77%) and Rusitu (90%) (Table

7.12).

Table 7.12: Farmers willing to buy feed and fodder from the animal production and

forage centre by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Willing to buy feed % Yes 94 100 77.1 88 90.8

Willing to buy

fodder

% Yes 48 98 77.1 90 78.4

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

7.4.1.2 Types of Animals Prioritized for Feeding and Reasons

Farmers were asked what types of animals they would prioritize for feeding with feed obtained

from the APFC if it was established at the MCC. The results show that 92% of farmers in all the

four dairy schemes would prioritize feeding milking cows for increased milk production, while

less than 10% indicated they would prioritize milking cows to maintain good body condition for

good milk production. Other reasons given by farmers included the fact that farmers would then

be able to milk twice per day instead of once per day and improved feed management (Figure

7.1).

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Figure 7.1: Reasons for prioritizing cows in milk for feeding with feed from the centre (n=185)

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

7.4.2 Willingness to Pay for Construction and Services of the Animal Production and

Forage Centre

In order to assess whether smallholder dairy farmers would be willing to participate in the

construction of the APFC, questions were asked in terms of who farmers felt should be

responsible for constructing such a centre, whether farmers were prepared to construct the centre

on their own without outside assistance and how much they would be prepared to contribute

financially.

7.4.2.1 Responsibility for Construction and Willingness to Pay

In response to the question on whether farmers were prepared to construct such a centre on their

own, about 78% of the farmers in the four study sites indicated positively, with 78% in

Chikwaka, Nharira-Lancashire (98%), Marirangwe (about 66%), and Rusitu (68%) (Table 7.13).

In terms of who should be responsible for constructing such a centre, the majority of farmers

reporting indicated this should be done by the community with the assistance of government

(about 42% of farmers reporting in the four study sites), or by the community (30% of farmers

reporting in the four study sites). In Marirangwe and Rusitu, a higher percentage of farmers

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Increased milk production To maintain good bodycondition for good milk

production

Others

177

(about 54% and 72%, respectively) indicated the community with assistance of government

should construct such a centre compared to the percentage of farmers reporting in Chikwaka and

Nharira-Lancashire (44% and 56%, respectively) that the community should build such a centre.

Very few farmers interviewed were of the opinion that construction should be done by

government alone (about 11% in the four study sites) or donors alone (about 10% of farmers

reporting in the four study sites) (Table 7.13). In Marirangwe and Rusitu (20% and 16%,

respectively) reported that government should build such a centre compared to Chikwaka and

Nharira-Lancashire (4% and 6%, respectively) reporting that government alone should build

such a centre. In terms of indication that donors alone should build such a centre, it is important

to note that there were no farmers in Marirangwe indicating donors should build such a centre

(Table 7.13).

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Table 7.13: Willingness to construct and responsibility for construction of animal

production and forage centre by study site

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Are farmers

willing to

construct such a

centre?

% Yes 78 98 65.7 68 78.4

Who should

construct?

Government % 4 6 20 16 10.8

Community % 44 56 11.4 4 30.3

Community

with

assistance

from

Government

% 20 26 54.3 72 42.2

Donors % 20 10 0 8 10.3

Everyone,

Government,

Community,

Donors

% 4 0 0 0 1.1

Farmers with

assistance of

Donors

% 4 0 0 0 1.1

Government and

Donors

% 2 0 0 0 0.5

The Cooperative % 2 0 0 0 0.5

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

The question on how much farmers would be willing to pay for the construction of an APFC

was asked within the context of an estimate where farmers were asked to indicate how much

they would be willing to contribute given that construction of such a centre would require a

contribution of USD 2000 per household and benefiting 100 member farmers in the smallholder

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dairy scheme. The results show that farmers in Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire reported an

average willingness to contribute of about USD164 and USD266, respectively compared to

about USD181 and USD65 for Marirangwe and Rusitu respectively. The average for the four

study sites was about USD1678 (Table 7.14).

Table 7.14: Amount farmers are willing to contribute for the construction of the

animal production and forage centre by study site

Chikwaka Nharira-Lancashire Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Amount in USD

Mean 163.87 265.51 180.67 64.64 166.86

SD 275.88 206.2 225.91 282.49 261.1

n 46 49 30 50 175

Minimum 0 0 0 0 0

Maximum 1000 1000 1000 2000 2000

Median 50 200 100 10 50

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

7.4.2.2 Willingness to Pay for AI Services

One of the main services proposed to be provided by the APFC is access to AI services in order

to improve the genetics in the smallholder dairy herd. Farmers were asked whether they would

be in a position to pay for the services if the AI was to be provided by the APFC established at

the MCC. One hundred percent of farmers in Chikwaka and 92% of farmers in Nharira-

Lancashire indicated they would be willing to pay for the services compared to about 83% in

Marirangwe and 98% in Rusitu. Overall, about 94% of the farmers in the four study sites

indicated they would be willing to pay for the services (Table 7.15). The average amount farmers

would be willing to pay for the services was USD11 for Chikwaka and USD9 for Nharira-

Lancashire compared to USD13 for Marirangwe and USD7 for Rusitu, and an average of the

four study sites of USD 9 (Table 7.15).

8 In order not to complicate the calculation of the willingness to pay by farmers, a simple average of the values

reported by farmers was used. Breidert et al., (2006) discuss the advantages and limitations of using this method

in their article on the review of methods for measuring willingness-to-pay.

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Table 7.15: Willingness to pay for AI services provided by the animal production and

forage centre by study site

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Willingness to pay for

AI:

% Yes 100.0 92.0 82.9 98.0 94.1

Amount willing to

pay (USD):

Mean (SD) 11.22

(8.10)

8.63 (8.31) 12.52

(11.87)

6.69

(3.30)

9.45 (8.18)

Minimum 3.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00

Maximum 50.00 40.00 70.00 15.00 70.00

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

7.4.3 Advantages of the APFC to the Dairy Enterprise and other Services the Centre

should provide

Two questions were asked on farmers perceptions of the advantages an APFC would provide to

the dairy enterprise and what other services in terms of the farmers’ views on other services they

felt should be provided by the centre if it was established. In response to the first question, the

results show that majority of farmers’ perceptions were that such a centre would provide them

with ready access to feed and fodder (41% in the four smallholder dairy schemes), would provide

cost savings on feed and fodder (about 37% in all the four schemes) and would enable savings

on feed transportation costs (9%) (Table 7.16)

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Table 7.16: Farmers perceptions of advantages such a centre would provide to the dairy

enterprise by study site, 2015

Study site Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashir

e

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

Number of farmers interviewed n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

% reporting:

Ready access to feed and fodder 42.0% 4.0% 25.7% 88.0% 41.1%

Cost savings on feed and fodder 38.0% 56.0% 54.3% 6.0% 37.3%

Save on feed transportation costs 0.0% 34.0% 0.0% 0.0% 9.2%

Cost savings and ready access to

feed and fodder

10.0% 2.0% 2.9% 4.0% 4.9%

Farmers do not have land to grow

fodder on their own

0.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%

Knowledge, advice and training 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%

Access to credit 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%

Marketing our products and

employment creation

4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1%

Boost production 0.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%

Benefit small producers 0.0% 0.0% 2.9% 0.0% 0.5%

Missing 2.0% 0.0% 14.3% 2.0% 3.8%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0

%

100.0

%

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

In terms of other services that farmers perceived should be provided by the centre, the results

show that most of the farmers indicated veterinary drugs and other dairy equipment and utensils

(about 36% of the farmers in the four study sites), provision of agricultural and veterinary inputs

(about 11% of farmers), and training services, particularly dairying as a business and monitoring

of livestock (about 10% of farmers in the four study sites) (Table 7.17).

182

Table 7.17: Farmers perceptions of other services to be provided by the animal

production and forage centre if established by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 N=185

Veterinary drugs, equipment

and utensils

32.0% 70.0% 8.6% 26.0% 36.2%

Agricultural and veterinary

inputs

12.0% 0.0% 2.9% 26.0% 10.8%

Training services 10.0% 4.0% 31.4% 0.0% 9.7%

Increase production of feed 0.0% 20.0% 0.0% 6.0% 7.0%

Mollases and hay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 20.0% 5.4%

Cattle procurement for

farmers

12.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 3.8%

Provision of loans 6.0% 2.0% 0.0% 4.0% 3.2%

AI services 6.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.2%

Cooperative management 6.0% 0.0% 2.9% 0.0 2.2%

Milk quality services 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%

Milk transportation to the

MCC

4.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.6%

Milk processing 0.0% 0.0% 2.9% 2.0% 1.1%

Missing 10.0% 0.0% 51.4% 14.0% 16.2%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

7.5 Main Characteristics for Smallholder Dairy Schemes Supplying the Semi-formal and

Formal Value Chains

In order to assess whether there were differences in the main characteristics reported for the

smallholder dairy schemes supplying the semi-formal value chain (Chikwaka and Nharira-

Lancashire) and those supplying the formal value chain (Marirangwe and Rusitu), categorical

variables were recoded. Cross tabulations of the recoded variables and value chains were then

performed including the chi-square test. The independent samples t-test was used to assess

differences for continuous variables.

Type of feeding systems were recoded into two categories, those who used combination of both

stall feeding and grazing, and category for the other types of feeding reported such as zero

grazing and semi-zero grazing. Source of dairy feed was recoded into two categories for farmers

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reporting a combination of supplements and grazing, and category for other sources of feed.

Types of grazing were recoded into three categories for farmers reporting use of communal

grazing, private grazing and farmers using a combination of these types or other grazing systems,

while types of feeds were recoded into those using predominantly both brought-in feeds and

home-made rations and farmers reporting other combinations of feed types.

The results of the chi-square test for categorical variables show that the type of feeding system

used by farmers was significantly different between smallholder dairy schemes supplying the

semi-formal value chain and those supplying the formal value chain. The results show that

smallholder dairy schemes supplying the semi-formal value chain mainly used a combination of

stall feeding and grazing (58% of respondents), while those supplying the formal value chain

used mainly other types (about 64% of respondents) such as grazing, zero-grazing or semi-zero

grazing. Other significant variables were types of feeds used by farmers, farmers’ willingness to

buy feed and fodder produced by the APFC and farmers’ willingness to construct the APFC

(Table 7.18).

The t-test results show that the area planted to improved pastures and the gross income were

significantly different for smallholder dairy schemes supplying the semi-formal and formal value

chains (Table 7.18)

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Table 7.18: Feed characteristics of semi-formal and formal value chains, 2015 Characteristic Semi-formal Formal Value

Chain

Total Chi-Square

Value

Number of farmers n=100 n=85 N=185

Type of feeding system

% Both stall feeding and grazing 58.0 36.5 48.1 8.531**

% Other 42.0 63.5 51.9

Source of dairy feed

% Combination of supplements and

grazing

57.0 55.3 56.2 0.54

% Other 43.0 44.7 43.8

Types of grazing used

% Communal 42.0 42.4 42.2 1.57

% Private 36.0 42.4 38.9

% Other 22.0 15.3 18.9

Types of feeds

% Both brought-in concentrates and

home-made rations

56.0 43.5 50.3 2.858*

% Other 44.0 56.5 49.7

Improved pastures

% Yes 41.0 34.0 37.8 0.925

Willingness to buy feed

% Yes 97.0 83.5 90.8 9.991**

Willingness to buy fodder

% Yes 73.0 84.7 78.4 3.715*

Willingness to pay for AI

% Yes 96.0 91.8 94.1 1.474

Who should construct APFC?

% Community with Government

assistance

73.0 71.8 72.4 0.035

% Other 27.0 78.2 27.6

Are farmers willing to construct?

% Yes 88.0 67.1 78.4 11.89**

t-value

Area planted to improved pastures:

Mean (SD)

0.41 (0.43) 1.30 (0.92) 0.91 (0.86) -4.167**

Area planted to maize silage 0.92 (0.96) 1.17 (1.64) 0.98 (1.15) -0.550

TVC per litre 0.23 (0.35) 0.23 (0.19) 0.23 (0.28) -0.081

Gross Income per litre 0.47 (0.05) 0.52 (0.04) 0.50 (0.05) -7.108**

Gross Margin per litre 0.22 (0.36) 0.28 (0.20) 0.25 (0.29) -1.239

Feed as % of TVC 34.06 (30.98) 45.29 (34.26) 39.22 (32.92) -2.339**

Labour as % of TVC 16.50 (28.22) 25.51 (30.88) 20.64 (29.73) -2.071**

Note: **, * Significant at 5% and 10% respectively

SD – Standard deviation, TVC – Total Variable Costs

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

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7.6 Ex-ante Analysis of the Benefits and Costs of the Animal Production and Forage

Centre9

The ex-ante analysis of the benefit and cost of the APFC was performed to test the hypothesis

that the proposed intervention of an APFC would not be profitable to milk marketing

cooperatives in the smallholder dairy value chain. The APFC was modelled on the basis of

parameters. The parameters for with and without the centre were based on the results of the

survey and assumptions of the potential of milk production based on the breeds currently used

by smallholder farmers (Annex 3, Table 1). These include parameters such as average lactation

length, milk production, and the quantities sold, and the results of the costs of production and

gross margin analysis. The APFC was assessed on the basis of the potential membership of the

milk marketing cooperatives of 100 farmers, who would be producing milk and selling to the

milk marketing cooperative. Estimates of constructing the basic buildings required for such a

centre were obtained from the Ministry of Public Construction and National Housing in

Zimbabwe (Personal Communication; Muzhanye, 2015). The estimated cost of such a centre

was set at USD200, 000 for the basic buildings to be constructed next to the current MCC run

by the milk marketing cooperatives (see Annex 3, Table 3). The estimated costs were based on

utilizing local materials in order to reduce the cost of construction (by about 25%) compared to

using urban based materials. Recurrent expenditure costs for such a centre would include salaries

and operational costs for the staff to be able to fully run the centre professionally.

The main additional benefits expected from APFC include farmers accessing improved feed

resources and forage technologies that have been shown through research to improve milk yields

9 Published in a paper “ Ex-ante benefit cost analysis of an animal production and forage centre for a smallholder

dairy value chain in Zimbabwe” by Chamboko T., Mwakiwa E., and P. Mugabe in 2018. RUFORUM Working

Document Series (ISSN 1607-9345) No. 14 (3) 229-236. Available from http://repository.ruforum.org. Fifth

Ruforum Biennial Conference 17-21 October 2016, Cape Town, South Africa.

186

in smallholder dairy systems, and the subsequent increase in milk deliveries to the MCC. It was

also projected that since farmers would have access to artificial insemination, the number of

milking cows would also increase as farmers benefit from access to improved genetics through

artificial insemination. The main additional costs to the milk marketing cooperatives would

include the cost of constructing such a centre and investments required to operationalize such a

centre and the recurrent expenditure while the additional costs to the farmers would be the extra

feeding costs in order to achieve the milk yields. The benefits and costs were discounted over a

10 year period, at 15% discount rate and the benefit cost ratios were assessed. According to

Gittinger (1992) the general rule is to choose a period of time that will be roughly comparable

to the economic life of the project. Gittinger (1992) further notes that few agricultural project

analyses need to be carried out beyond twenty five years. Taking this background information

into account, in this study the analyses was carried out over a period of 10 years. Scenarios

developed in order to assess the profitability of the APFC through the benefit cost analysis were

the baseline scenario which is the current situation, without the APFC and the scenario with

APFC assuming an increase in milk production from the average recorded in the survey of about

8litres/cow/day to 20litres/cow/day in milk production and realization of the benefits of the AI

through an increased number of cows milked (the detailed 10 year benefit cost projections are

shown in Annex 3, Table 2) .

The results of the benefit cost ratios of the discounted benefits and costs over the 10 year period

show that the baseline scenario without the APFC benefit cost ratio was 2.2, while the benefit

cost ratio of the scenario with the APFC about was 5.4, an indication that the intervention of the

APFC is profitable in the smallholder dairy value chain (Table 7.19). A sensitivity analysis

performed is given in Annex 3, Table 4.

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Table 7.19: Comparison of Benefit Cost ratios of the APFC Scenarios, with and

without the APFC, 2015

Scenario Benefit-Cost Ratio

1. Baseline Scenario (current costs and benefits, without APFC) 2.2

2. With APFC - Increase in milk production 5.4

Source: Calculations based on Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

7.7 Discussion

This section presents the discussion of results on the feed resources in the smallholder dairy

schemes, cost of production and viability of dairy production and the proposed animal

production and forage centre.

7.7.1 Feed Resources in Smallholder Dairy Schemes

This section discusses the types of feeding systems used for dairy cattle, sources of dairy feed

and types of grazing used according to land tenure systems. The various types of feed,

improved pastures and fodder crops, and fodder production are also discussed.

7.7.1.1 Types of feeding systems used for Dairy cattle

The results show the dominance and reliance of smallholder dairy farmers on natural grazing for

their dairy cattle. Stall feeding, zero grazing and semi-zero grazing were used by a very few

farmers, indicating the level of intensification of smallholder dairy production in Zimbabwe. If

this type of production system was to be classified on the basis of the classification proposed by

Devendra (2001), one would be inclined to classify the production system as a cooperative dairy

production system since the MCC are run by cooperatives. According to Devendra (2001),

cooperative dairy production systems are characterized by smallholder dairy units of between

40-250 smallholder farmers, and the cooperative are focal points to provide services to farmers

as well as promote organised collection, handling and sale of milk to consumers. This is what

typically happens in the semi-formal value chains in this study, whereby the cooperatives

188

organizes processing and sale of milk and milk products to consumers, or in the formal value

chain whereby the cooperative that runs the MCC organize the collection of milk to be delivered

to urban based processors.

7.7.1.2 Sources of Dairy Feed

According to Chamberlain and Wilkinson (2002), grass and other forage crops are, and will

remain the foundation of any dairy cow feed. They further indicate that forages alone are

insufficient to high yielding cows and usually require supplementing with feeds high in energy,

protein and other nutrients. The results in this study show that most of the farmers used a

combination of supplements and natural grazing as their source of dairy feed (about 56%) while

a significant proportion (about 29%) relied on natural grazing only in summer as their main

source of dairy feed. This has implications on milk production in the smallholder dairy schemes.

Ngongoni et al., (2006) report that the quality of concentrate feed used and the frequency of

feeding depends on the farmers’ ability to buy concentrates. Ngongoni et al., (2006) also reported

that although households fed concentrates during milking time, most did not measure the

quantities given, and the few that measured indicated feeding 2-3 kg per day. The results in this

study indicate that significant proportion of farmers are not able to access supplementary feeds,

and have therefore to rely on grazing. This possibly explains why milk production has remained

low in the smallholder dairy schemes.

7.7.1.3 Types of Grazing used According to Land Tenure Systems

The study sites are located in areas with different types of land tenure systems and therefore in

line with the tenure in the particular location of the smallholder dairy scheme, farmers in

communal areas indicated access to communal grazing while farmers in the small scale

commercial indicated access to private grazing. This is mainly because the tenure system in the

communal areas is communal, while in the small scale commercial and resettlement areas, the

189

tenure system is freehold or leasehold, and permits issued by the Ministry of Lands and

Agriculture, respectively. It is important to note that about 40% of farmers in the predominantly

communal smallholder dairy scheme of Chikwaka indicated accessing private grazing for their

dairy cattle. This indicates that farmers in communal areas have invested in fencing part of their

lands allocated for crop production for use of their dairy cattle. This gives the dairy cattle

exclusive access to grazing without competition from other livestock in the communal areas.

Previous studies (Ngongoni et al., 2006) report grazing constraints in smallholder dairy schemes

located in communal areas due to overgrazing.

Muir-Leresche (2006) indicates that small scale commercial sector was established by the

colonial settler government as an option for black Zimbabwean investment in land. The sector

is characterized by individually owned and self -contained farms with no shared grazing, usually

operated as family trusts. Since the farms have no shared grazing, this type of tenure gives an

incentive to the smallholder dairy producers to make investments in production of improved

pastures and silage making. As a result, Marirangwe smallholder dairy scheme, which is located

in a small scale commercial farming area, reported a higher average milk production compared

to Chikwaka which is located in a communal area.

7.7.1.4 Types of Feeds

The majority of smallholder dairy farmers indicated they mainly used both bought-in

concentrates and home-made rations. The concentrates are purchased by farmers either through

credit arrangements with the MCC or bought from nearby urban centres or rural service centres

if they are not available at the MCC. Key informant interviews indicate that in some of the

smallholder dairy schemes farmers access concentrates through revolving funds that have been

established by the cooperatives running the MCC. The seed money for the revolving funds is

usually from previous donor funded projects or programme grants. Under such arrangements,

190

the cooperatives purchase the concentrates in bulk for on lending to dairy producers. The farmers

repay for the concentrates through deductions effected on the payout from the milk sales through

the MCC. At Nharira-Lancashire smallholder dairy scheme, one of the commercial suppliers of

concentrates has put up a container for storing and selling concentrates to farmers at the MCC.

This improves availability and accessibility of the feed to smallholder dairy farmers in the value

chain. It should be noted, however, that previous studies have reported that farmers were not

able to feed concentrates regularly because it was expensive and was not readily available in the

area (Ngongoni et al., 2006). Although concentrates were available in some of the smallholder

dairy schemes in this study, it should be noted that they were not available in some of the

smallholder dairy schemes and therefore farmers faced increased expenditure to procure

concentrates from nearby urban or rural service centres. As a result, home-made rations become

increasingly important for the dairy enterprise. Masama et al. (2005) indicate that on-farm mixed

supplementary feeds offer a cheaper alternative to bought-in concentrates.

7.7.1.5 Improved Pastures and Fodder Crops

The results show that some of the smallholder farmers have invested in improved pastures and

fodder crops for their dairy cattle. The main fodder crops were Napier (Pennisetum purpureum)

and Bana grass (Pennisetum purpureum), while pasture legumes such as siratro (Macroptilium

atropurpureum) were also grown. The main pastures planted include Star grass (about 37% of

the farmers reporting in all then four study sites), Bana grass (Pennisetum purpureum) (about

36% of farmers reporting) and Napier fodder (Pennisetum purpureum) (about 25%). The areas

allocated to the production of improved pastures are small (average of 0.91 Ha in the four study

sites). In crop-livestock systems, the improved pastures compete with food crops in terms of land

allocation. Ngongoni et al. (2006) reported that land to grow fodder for cattle in communal areas

was inadequate as very few farmers in communal areas grew less than 0.4 Ha of fodder crops,

since priority for available land was given to food crops. In the small scale commercial and

191

resettlement areas, very few farmers also grew more than 1 Ha of fodder crops. In this study,

results showed that the average area for fodder was more than 1 Ha in Marirangwe and Rusitu,

which are located in small scale commercial and resettlement areas, respectively. In Chikwaka

and Nharira-Lancashire, the average area was 0.42 Ha or less. The results indicate that

smallholder dairy schemes that supply the formal value chain are the ones that grow, an average

of more than one hectare of fodder, while those supplying the semi-formal value chain allocate

a small area to fodder crops, particularly in communal areas. The results indicate that the areas

planted to improved pastures and maize silage were significantly different between the

smallholder dairy schemes supplying the semi-formal value chain and those supplying the formal

value chain. The land available in communal areas is limited, while grazing is communally

owned. This imposes a constraint on communal households in terms of producing improved

pastures and fodder crops. This calls for innovative approaches to enable households located in

the communal areas to access improved fodder for their livestock. On such proposed approach

is through the Animal Production and Forage Centre (APFC).

7.7.1.6 Fodder Production

In Zimbabwe, the smallholder dairy production system is part of the crop-livestock system. As

part of the crop-livestock system, some of the major sources of feed for the dairy herd are crop

residues, and the production of specialist silage crops for the dairy enterprise. The results in this

study show that farmers grow maize, which is also a staple food grain crop in the country.

Besides maize grain, farmers also grew maize silage. According to Chamberlain and Wilkinson

(2002), maize silage is the most important conserved forage for dairy cows in many areas of the

world. The main objective in silage making is to conserve nutrients as efficiently as possible for

the winter period or for buffer feeding in times of inadequate herbage or pasture quality

(Chamberlain and Wilkinson, 2002). It is significant to note that smallholder farmers in the study

also produced maize silage, which was grown on an average of about 1 Ha in the four study sites.

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Results presented in Chapter Five show that in response to the question on whether the farmer

had a silage pit, about 47% of the farmers indicated they had a silage pit. Masama et al. (2005)

reported in a study in Nharira-Lancashire smallholder dairy scheme that farmers kept inadequate

amounts of feed, of poor nutritional quality for feeding the dairy cows year round. This study

was a cross-sectional survey and therefore it was not possible to analyse the quality of the maize

silage used by farmers. Farmers, however, reported feeding their dairy cows with fodder from

both maize and legume crops. Part of the fodder was fed as green material while part of crop

were ensiled for use during the year. Ngongoni et al. (2006) reported that although farmers are

able to make silage, the methods to make good quality silage were lacking. This possibly

explains why milk production has remained low in the smallholder dairy schemes, due to

inadequate feeding regimes. Mupeta (2000) identified and reported that poor nutrition in the

smallholder dairy herd is one of the major constraints. Although the results show that smallholder

farmers also access concentrates and make silage for their animals, questions arise as to the

quality and adequacy of the feeding regimes of smallholder dairy cows. Due to the inadequacy

particularly of feeds in the smallholder, it has been reported that exotic breeds under such an

environment will perform below optimal levels (Ngongoni et al., 2006). As a result, one can

possibly partly attribute the continued low milk yields in the smallholder dairy to inadequate

levels and quantities of dairy feeds and supplements. This therefore calls for innovative ways to

improve the quality and quantity of feeds available to the dairy herd. This study proposes the

intervention of the APFC as part of the solution to improve the feed available and management

of the smallholder dairy herd.

7.7.2 Cost of Production and Viability of Dairy Production

The results of the gross margin analysis indicate that overall, smallholder milk production is

viable in the four study sites. Although some previous studies have indicated that smallholder

dairy production is not viable (Hanyani-Mlambo et al., 1998; Mupeta, 2000; Mugweni and

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Muponda, 2015), this should be understood in the context in which the studies were carried out.

Zimbabwe has gone through periods of macro-economic problems from the year 2000 when the

fast track land reform and redistribution programme was implemented by the government up to

the year 2008 when the hyper-inflationary environment forced the introduction of the multi-

currency period from the year 2009. Studies have been carried out in other countries that indicate

that smallholder dairy production provides farmers with a stable generation of income from milk

sales, and the results indicate that it is generally viable, although the viability in some cases

varies with the agro-ecological regions (Somda et al., 2005; Mburu et al., 2007; Hussain et al.,

2014). In Zimbabwe Zvinorova et al. (2012) found that variations in gross margins were

associated with heterogeneity of farmers in resource endowments, allocation of resources and

management, and that improved technologies had positive effects on gross margins.

Analysis of the main variable cost items indicates that feed costs were the main variable cost

item accounting for about 48% of the total variable costs, followed by labour which accounted

for 31%. This indicates the importance of feeding in dairy enterprises. Results from other

countries indicate similar proportions. Hussain et al. (2014) study in Pakistan shows that

concentrate feeding was the main cost item for cow milk production in the integrated areas of

Sindh and constituted half (54%) of the total feeding costs per annum.

The results of this study indicate that for both the smallholder dairy schemes supplying the semi-

formal and the formal value chains, smallholder dairy production was a viable activity. The gross

income was significantly different for smallholder dairy schemes supplying the semi-formal

value chain and those supplying the formal value chain, indicating the higher milk quantities

produced in smallholder dairy schemes supplying the formal value chains. However, the total

variable costs and the gross margin per litre were not significantly different for the smallholder

dairy supplying the two value chains. Comparison of the percentage of feed and labour costs

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variable items as a proportion of total variable costs indicates these were significantly different

in the smallholder dairy schemes supplying the semi-formal value chain and those supplying the

formal value chain. The results indicate smallholder dairy schemes supplying the formal value

chain spent more on feed as percent of total variable costs (about 45%) compared to schemes

supplying the semi-formal value chain (about 34%), and about 25% and 17% on labour as a

percent of total variable costs, respectively.

7.7.3 Animal Production and Forage Centre

Many smallholder dairy schemes in Africa face sustainability constraints due to shortages of

feed resources and poor productivity. Extension supported APFCs constructed alongside the

MCC are a possible solution to these constraints. The concept of animal production and forage

research centres follows on the suggestions of Titterton and Maasdorp (1997), as communicated

by Ngongoni (2012), but in this study the centre will be proposed with modifications. The

proposed animal production and forage centre will cater for two constraints that have been

identified as limiting smallholder dairy; feed resources and management (Cain et al., 2007;

Chinogaramombe et al., 2008; Kabirizi et al., 2009). The objective of the centre will be to

improve management of smallholder dairy production in terms of nutritional and animal

management, respectively. The objective of the forage section of the centre will be to develop a

centre where quality forage is produced and conserved under management. The bagged and

ensilaged forage is then sold to farmers at lowest cost possible. Mugabe et al., (2016) show that

bagged silage had the potential to last for at least a year, and farmers can mitigate reported

challenges of accessing silage in certain times of the year by making and storing bagged silage.

The study (Mugabe et al, 2016) also showed that 96% of the farmers indicated they would

welcome bagged silage if brought onto the market. The APFC would therefore mitigate one of

the most limiting factors in smallholder dairy production, given the farmers’ willingness to pay

for the services. The centre would be manned by qualified personnel, trained up to diploma level.

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The animal production section of the centre would also be manned by qualified personnel to

provide correct synchronization of the animals on heat and artificial insemination for the benefits

to be realized. McDermott et al., (2010b) report that combining genetic and feed improvement

has led to productivity gains of up to 300% in smallholder systems in sub-Saharan Africa. Bebe

et al., (2008) indicate that interventions on feeding and breeding have to be packaged together

holistically if intensification is to enhance productivity. This would be the expected outcomes of

the APFC to provide feed and quality forage resources through the forage section and

improvement in genetics through artificial insemination in the animal section of the APFC. Since

farmers have indicated willingness to pay for the services provided by the centre, this means

such a centre can be sustainable without outside financial support. However, there is need for

initial investment financing to put up the centre as most of the smallholder communities lack the

capacity in terms of the required initial capital outlay. Repayment of forage purchased by farmers

will be through deductions factored into the milk sold to the milk collection centre. In terms of

marketing, milk will be sold in the rural areas, with the surplus processed into sour milk

depending on the requirements of the community. The smallholder dairy schemes can also be

linked to dairy value chains that supply the urban markets due to increased production.

Since the proposed APFC would be constructed alongside the MCC, a question was asked on

how much farmers would be willing to pay on the basis such a centre would serve 100 farmers

delivering milk to the MCC. The 100 farmers was an estimate of the average potential milk

producers in the operational smallholder dairy schemes in the country obtained from the DDP

(Annex 1, Table 3). On the basis of the potential milk producers, and the total estimate, this

would require each producer to contribute USD2, 000.00 per household. It was on this basis that

farmers were asked in the survey that if the APFC was to be built next to the MCC and requires

each member to pay USD2, 000.00, how much each farmer was willing to pay. The results,

however, show that the average for the four study sites indicate farmers would be prepared to

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contribute about USD167 per household, which is 8% of the estimated amount required. Since

smallholder dairy farmers on their own would not be able to initially raise the required funding,

options that can be considered include an interest free loan, a government grant in order to

construct the basic infrastructure required for such a centre. The majority (more than three

quarters) of the farmers indicated they would be willing to contribute, an indication that most

farmers are prepared to contribute to the APFC as they perceive this would benefit their

smallholder dairy enterprises. The perceived advantages such a centre would bring to the dairy

enterprise indicate that access to feed, fodder and cost savings on accessing feed and fodder is

the main advantage farmers’ perceive would emanate from such a centre. This indicates that

farmers realize their main constraint to improve productivity, and are therefore willing to pay in

order to improve the productivity of the smallholder dairy herd.

The study findings also indicate that a greater proportion of the farmers willing to construct such

a centre are in the smallholder dairy schemes supplying the semi-formal value chain (88%)

compared to the formal value chain (67%). This is an indication that farmers in the smallholder

dairy schemes supplying the semi-formal value chain are the worst affected in terms of access

to feeding of their animals throughout the year and would require a reliable supply of feed

throughout the year. This can be provided by the proposed APFC. In Zimbabwe the rainy period

lasts for 3 to 4 months which is followed by 8 to 9 months dry weather which results in a harsh

nutritional environment as producers are limited in the type of high quality forage they can grow.

The APFC proposed can participate in the production of high quality forage crops that can be

supplied to farmers throughout the year under professional management. Research in Zimbabwe

and other countries has shown that there are improved forage technologies that can be grown

which have been shown to improve milk yields in the dairy enterprise. In Zimbabwe, a study by

Gwiriri et al. (2016) showed that lablab based supplements can complement or even substitute

commercial supplements in smallholder dairy feeding systems. Kabirizi et al. (2009) study in

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Uganda assessed the effect of improved forage technologies (maize-cowpeas or lablab, sorghum-

lablab or cow-pea intercrop, Chloris gayana-Desmodium intortum and siratro mixture, Napier

grass-Desmodium intortum mixture) on the dairy cattle enterprise. This was compared to the

local feeding methods of Napier grass fodder and crop residues. The results (Kabirizi et al.,

2009) indicated that farmers using improved forage technologies had significantly larger gross

margins per season with lower cost of production than those using sole Napier grass feeding

system. The improved forage technologies are recommended for the APFC as they offer

alternative feeds that can improve milk production in the smallholder dairy value chains.

The study findings show that the proposed APFC is profitable to milk marketing cooperatives

running the MCC in the smallholder dairy value chain as shown by the benefit-cost ratio.

Providing full time extension support to smallholder farmers is expected to result in increased

milk yields achieved by smallholder farmers. Most of the smallholder farmers currently milk

cross bred cows. Access to artificial insemination will lead to improved breeds of cows that have

potential to improve milk yields to levels comparable to those achieved by their large scale

commercial farmer counterparts, provided farmers have access to appropriate feed resources and

improved breeds. Ngongoni et al., (2006) highlighted that milk yield from exotic cows found in

the smallholder sector were below the potential breed averages of those found in the large scale

commercial farms. Therefore, with access to feed and improved management provided for

through the proposed centre, it is expected that this potential can be improved. It was therefore

assumed in the bio-economic modeling that milk yields would increase by more than 50% from

the average milk yields recorded in the survey. This will increase the potential milk yield closer

to the milk yields achieved by large scale commercial farmers reported by Ngongoni et al.,

(2006). It is expected this would lead to sustained increase in milk production from the

smallholder dairy herd. The upgrading of feed and animal management as provided for in the

animal production and forage centre has been shown to be profitable and viable and this therefore

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constitutes a new model for smallholder dairy development in Zimbabwe and the whole of the

southern Africa region. While study findings of the benefit cost indicates such profitability, it

should be noted that this is from a theoretical perspective and implementation of such an

intervention would need to be piloted, monitored and evaluated to assess the practical challenges,

benefits and costs such a centre would bring to the smallholder dairy schemes. Overall, the APFC

potentially offers a possible solution to the productivity constraints faced by smallholder dairy

producers.

7.8 Summary

This Chapter has presented the major feed resources available in the smallholder dairy schemes

studied. The results show that most of the smallholder dairy farmers rely on both stall feeding

and grazing of their dairy animals. In terms of grazing, communal and private grazing is used by

farmers located in dairy schemes in the communal and small scale commercial and resettlement

area farms, respectively. It is important to note that some farmers in smallholder dairy schemes

located in communal areas have also invested in fencing of certain portions of their arable lands

and thus creating paddocks for their animals, which becomes exclusive private grazing for their

dairy animals. Smallholder farmers also use bought-in concentrates and home-made rations for

the dairy cows, and some have also planted improved pastures and fodder crops to improve the

availability of feed and fodder for their dairy herd.

The results show that smallholder dairying is a viable enterprise. The main costs of production

is feed, accounting for about 48% of the total variable costs of production. The benefit cost

analysis of the proposed APFC indicate such a centre would be profitable in the smallholder

dairy value chain with benefit cost ratio of 5.4:1. We therefore reject the null hypothesis that the

APFC is not profitable to milk marketing cooperatives. The results indicate profitability from a

theoretical perspective as this concept has not been practically tested, and therefore practical

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implementation of the intervention would have to be monitored and evaluated to assess

challenges, benefits and costs such a centre would bring to the cooperatives running the MCC

of the smallholder dairy value chain.

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CHAPTER EIGHT: ROLE OF FARMER ORGANISATION IN THE SMALLHOLDER

DAIRY VALUE CHAIN

8.1 Introduction

Chapter Seven presented results of the proposed value chain intervention of the APFC and an

assessment of its viability in the smallholder dairy value chain. This chapter presents results of

the role of farmers’ organization in marketing as given by the MCC which are run by milk

marketing cooperatives with membership of the smallholder dairy farmers in the respective dairy

schemes studied. The results are reported for the semi-formal value chains (as represented by

Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire study sites) and the formal value chains (represented by

Marirangwe and Rusitu study sites). The chapter initially presents results of farmer reported

reasons for being members of the MCC, the services provided by the MCC, and farmer

perceptions on whether membership of the MCC has improved farmers’ access to services. This

chapter also includes farmers ranking of production and marketing constraints, and factors

influencing the commercialization of milk through the MCC run by the milk marketing

cooperatives in the smallholder dairy value chain.

8.2 Major Reasons for Membership of Milk Collection Centres

The smallholder dairy schemes in Zimbabwe were initially run and supported by the Dairy

Development Programme (DDP). However, the DDP is no longer active in the dairy schemes

and the schemes are now run by a farmers’ management committee that reports to the general

membership of the cooperatives. The farmer cooperatives are responsible for the management

of the MCC and all activities relating to the MCC. Farmers were asked the main reasons why

they are members of the MCC. Some of the farmers gave more than one reason (multiple

response) in terms of why they are members of the MCC. The main reason (given by about 27%

of farmers reporting in the four study sites) is that farmers want a secure market for their milk.

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This reason was given by about 21% of farmers in Chikwaka and about 31% of farmers in

Nharira-Lancashire compared to about 42% of farmers reporting in Marirangwe and about 22%

in Rusitu. The second most frequently reported reason is to get education and training (about

20% of farmers reporting in the four study sites) , and reported by 11% in Chikwaka, about 23%

in Nharira-Lancashire and Marirangwe (about 24%) and Rusitu (about 20%) (Table 8.1). These

services are normally provided to farmers through government supported training and education

programmes, and sometimes donor supported programmes. The government provides extension

services to livestock producers through the Division of Livestock Production and Development

(LPD) under the Ministry of Agriculture, Mechanization and Irrigation Development (MAMID).

In most of the smallholder dairy schemes, the LPD has an extension worker who provides

services to the dairy scheme. The provision of extension services has, however, been affected by

the financial limitations of the government (Pazvakavambwa et al., 2010). The extension

services provided by the government are sometimes complemented by services provided through

donor supported programmes (SNV, 2012). The impact of these services over the years have

been mixed, although the main objective has been to enhance the participation of smallholder

farmers in formal markets and value chains through their contribution to milk volumes supplied

to markets (SNV, 2012). These reasons therefore have been the driving force of why farmers

become members of the MCC.

The third most frequently reported reason (about 16% of farmers reporting in the four study

sites) is to have access to extension services. This was reported by about 6% of farmers in

Chikwaka and about 18% of farmers reporting in Nharira-Lancashire compared to about 5% and

20% in Marirangwe and Rusitu respectively. The fourth and fifth reasons (reported by about

12% in the four study sites) were to get dairy inputs timely and at a fair price, and to get access

to credit, respectively (Table 8.1).

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Table 8.1: Reasons for being a member of the MCC by study site, 2015

Reason Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

% reporting:

To get secure market for

the milk

20.8 31.2 41.8 22.1 27.3

To get education and

training

11.1 23.4 23 19.8 20.2

To get access to extension

services

5.6 18.2 4.5 20.3 15.5

To get dairy inputs timely

and at fair price

8.3 5.2 14.9 18 12.4

To get access to credit 4.2 5.2 13.4 19.4 12.2

Source of income (income

generating project)

12.5 14.9 1.5 0 6.5

Source of sustainable

livelihoods

22.2 0 0 0 3.1

Other miscellaneous

reasons

15.4 1.4 0 0.5 3

Grand Total Multiple

Responses Recorded

n 72 154 67 217 510

% of Total % 14.1 30.2 13.1 42.5 100

Note: n – number of farmers reporting

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

The other miscellaneous reasons reported by farmers (Table 8.1) included farmers indicating

that the smallholder dairy is a business opportunity, in order to be provided with dairy cattle, the

smallholder dairy offers employment and that it guarantees payment.

The main reasons for membership of the MCC indicates the role the MCC plays in the

smallholder dairy schemes. The MCC provides the market for the milk from the producers as

evidenced by the responses. According to the DDP Phase II Strategy (1998-2003) document, the

initial focus for dairy development in the country included setting up the MCC for the

mobilization of milk for the then statutory monopoly Dairy Marketing Board (DMB). Following

liberalization in the 1990s and the break-up of the DMB monopoly, smallholder producers could

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market the milk to entities other than the DMB. The MCCs were then encouraged and equipped

to process the milk they were receiving from farmers. The two main products produced were

pasteurized and cultured milk. As a result, some of the MCC moved into milk processing, while

some remained delivering milk to the privatized Dairibord Zimbabwe Limited (DZL), the

successor to the DMB. The MCC thus retained its central role in providing access to markets to

the smallholder dairy producers, whether the milk was processed on site at the MCC or delivered

to processors.

Over the years, most of the farmers’ perceptions were that membership of the MCC had

improved their access to these services. This is mainly because if one is not a member, they are

not able to access services provided by the milk marketing cooperatives through the MCC. The

joining and subscription fees that enable continued access to the services provided by the

cooperatives through the MCC paid by members varied by scheme. At Chikwaka and

Marirangwe dairy schemes, the joining fees are USD50, with monthly subscriptions of USD5,

while at Nharira-Lancashire the joining fees are USD250 with monthly subscriptions of USD5,

and for Rusitu the joining fee is USD20 and monthly subscriptions of USD1 for those delivering

milk to the MCC. The main services provided include the provision of inputs, marketing,

extension, education and training and access to technology. In terms of input provision, some of

the cooperatives arrange for the group purchase of the inputs which are then sold to members at

the MCC on credit. According to key informants, some of the credit facilities are revolving funds

that started as grants through donor supported programmes. In one of the smallholder dairy

schemes, Nharira-Lancashire, one of the commercial stock-feed companies has located a

container at the MCC which facilitates the storage and sale of the inputs to farmers. This is a

commercial arrangement that facilitates easy access to dairy inputs for farmers in the respective

dairy scheme. Farmers are able to purchase the inputs when they deliver their milk to the MCC,

or can make credit facility arrangement through the MCC. Such arrangements need to be

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supported as they facilitate the development of the value chain and integration of smallholder

producers into formal value chains. These type of arrangements have potential for facilitating

the sustainability of the smallholder dairy schemes as they do not rely on government or donor

support but on the increased volumes of milk produced and sold through the MCC.

8.3 Services Provided by the Milk Marketing Cooperatives through the MCC

The questionnaire included a question that asked farmers in terms of services they have obtained

from the MCC run by the cooperatives. This was a multiple response question as some farmers

gave more than one response. The top five services most frequently reported by farmers are the

marketing of milk (about 98% in the four study sites with 100% reporting in Chikwaka, Nharira-

Lancashire, and Rusitu, and about 89% in Marirangwe), provision of training (reported by about

90% of farmers reporting in the four study sites, and 100% for the other three sites with the

exception of Marirangwe that reported 47%) (Table 8.2). The third most frequently reported

service is the availability of concentrates feeds at the MCC (about 90% of farmers reporting in

the four study sites). Availability of concentrates at the MCC was reported by 100% of farmers

in Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire compared to about 54% and 94% for Marirangwe and

Rusitu respectively. The fourth frequently reported service was improvement in milk quality

(about 87% of farmers reporting in the four study sites), with 88% reporting in Chikwaka, and

100% reporting in Marirangwe while about 46% reported in Marirangwe and 100% in Rusitu.

The fifth frequently reported service was extension services (about 85% of farmers reporting in

the four study sites), with 92% in Chikwaka, 100% in Nharira Lancashire compared to about

34% in Marirangwe and 100% in Rusitu (Table 8.2). The other services reported were provision

of dairy cows (80% in the four study sites), provision of veterinary inputs (about 77%), provision

of AI services (74%), access to credit (69%) and provision of bull services (about 57% in the

four study sites) (Table 8.2).

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Table 8.2: Percentage of farmers reporting services provided by the milk marketing

cooperatives through the MCC by study site, 2015

% Yes to:

Chikwaka

(n=50)

Nharira-

Lancashire

(n=50)

Marirangwe

(n=35)

Rusitu

(n=50)

Total

(n=185)

Marketing of milk 100 100 88.6 100 97.8

Provision of training 100 100 47.1 100 90.2

Concentrate feed availability at

the MCC

100 100 54.3 94 89.7

Improvement in milk quality 88 100 45.7 100 86.5

Extension services 92 100 34.3 100 85.4

Provision of cows 94 76 51.4 90 80

Provision of veterinary inputs 78 90 40 88 76.8

Provision of AI services 66 72 57.1 96 74.1

Access to credit 76 58 42 92 69.2

Provision of bull services 54 78 8.6 72 56.8

Other services 4 0 0 0 1.1

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

In the schemes supplying the semi-formal value chain (Chikwaka and Nharira-Lancashire) and

the formal value chain (Marirangwe and Rusitu), the majority of farmers indicated obtaining

services through the MCC, which indicates the central role of the MCC in the development of

smallholder dairy value chain. Farmer organization through milk marketing cooperatives

provide the main service of milk markets through the MCC. In the semi-formal value chain, the

milk is processed on-site at the MCC, and the management committee of the cooperative ensures

the milk and milk products have a market in order to enable them to pay the member producers.

The milk and milk products for the semi-formal value chain are predominantly sold to consumers

in the local area. In the formal value chain, the milk is delivered to processors based in the urban

areas, and the management committee is responsible for negotiating prices with processors that

should ensure the viability of the dairy producers and the MCC. Typically, the smallholder dairy

producers are paid twice monthly (mid-month and at the end of the month). This is the

arrangement that was found in all the four schemes studied.

8.4 Access to Services Provided by the Milk Marketing Cooperative over the Years

Farmers were also asked to give their perceptions as to whether their membership of the

smallholder dairy MCC has improved their access to services over the years. The majority of

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farmers reported that membership of the MCC has improved their access to services over the

years. The top five services frequently indicated by farmers were access to dairy inputs (about

92% of farmers reporting in the four study sites), access to information on milk handling and

good farm management practices (88%), improved dairy production (87.6%), access to feed and

concentrates (87%), education and training (87%) and access to extension services (86.5%)

(Table 8.3).

Table 8.3: Farmer perceptions on whether membership of the farmer cooperative

improved access to services by study site, 2015

Chikwaka Nharira-

Lancashire

Marirangwe Rusitu Total

n=50 n=50 n=35 n=50 n=185

% Yes improved access to:

Inputs 92.0 100.0 80.0 92.0 91.9

Good milk handling and farm

management practices information

98.0 98.0 42.9 100.0 88.1

Improved dairy production 90.0 100.0 51.4 98.0 87.6

Feed and concentrates 92.0 98.0 51.4 96.0 87.0

Education and training 96.0 100.0 37.1 100.0 87.0

Extension 96.0 100.0 37.1 98.0 86.5

AI 70.0 88.0 62.9 96.0 80.5

Modern marketing facilities 94.0 98.0 17.1 90.0 79.5

Improved dairy technology 74.0 100.0 17.1 98.0 76.8

Credit for dairy 78.0 64.0 31.4 98.0 70.8

Milk markets that offer higher

prices

48.0 86.0 42.9 94.0 69.7

Other 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

Generally, smallholder dairy producers indicated the central role farmer organization through

the milk marketing cooperatives plays in enabling access to markets, dairy inputs such as

concentrates, veterinary drugs and medicines, artificial insemination, extension, education and

training. Farmers perceive membership of the milk marketing cooperative has over the years

generally improved their access to these services, although a number of constraints still remain.

8.5 Ranking of Production Constraints

In order to understand farmers’ perceptions on production constraints, the questionnaire included

a question that requested farmers to rank the five most important constraints in production with

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(1=most important constraint). The average ranking of the constraints from one to five shows

that the most frequently ranked constraint with the highest overall percentage of farmers

reporting was poor breeds (about 80% of the farmers reporting), followed by lack of access to

credit (41%) and inadequate feed (about 40% of farmers reporting). Prevalence of diseases and

inadequate water supply in the smallholder dairy schemes were ranked equally (fourth) on

average at about 38% of the farmers reporting. The fifth ranked average constraint in terms of

farmers reporting was high input costs (about 37% of the farmers reporting). The results of the

ranking of production constraints are given in Table 8.4.

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Table 8.4: Ranking of production constraints in all the study sites, 2015

Production constraint Most

Important

Second

most

important

Third

most

important

Fourth

most

important

Fifth most

important

Total

Total number of

farmers reporting:

177 157 146 122 102 177

% of farmers

reporting:

Poor breeds

79.7 83.4 85.6 86.9 88.2 79.7

Poor access to credit 41.8 47.1 48.6 52.5 56.9 41.2

Inadequate feed 40.1 44.6 46.6 46.7 50 39.5

Prevalence of

diseases

39 43.3 45.9 43.4 39.2 38.4

Inadequate water

supply

39 43.9 46.6 50 56.9 38.4

High inputs costs 37.3 41.4 43.2 49.2 51 36.7

Challenges in dairy

cattle procurement

28.2 32.5 34.2 37.7 40.2 28.2

Poor feed quality 19.2 22.3 22.6 27.9 30.4 19.2

Lack of grazing

land

18.1 19.1 20.5 22.1 23.5 18.1

Lack of fencing

materials

2.8 3.2 3.4 3.3 2.9 2.8

Insufficient labour 2.3 2.5 2.7 0.8 2 2.3

Lack of good

cooperative

leadership

(management)

2.3 2.5 1.4 0.8 0 2.3

Low herd size

1.7 1.9 1.4 1.6 2 1.7

High calf mortality 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 2 1.1

Transport problems

0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 1 0.6

Lack of capital

0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 1 0.6

Lack of irrigation

facilities

for pastures

0.6 0.6 0 0 0 0.6

Note: Percentages based on respondents

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

Although farmers indicated one of the services they have obtained from the MCC was the

provision of dairy cows, the majority of farmers still ranked the major production constraint as

that of poor dairy breeds. This could possibly be an indication that the breeds that were provided

to producers were not suitable and adapted to conditions in the smallholder dairy schemes, or

farmers were possibly not able to properly manage the breeds provided. Dairy cows provided

through government and donor supported programmes were mainly sourced from large scale

commercial dairy farmers in the country. Due to the implementation of the fast track land reform

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and resettlement programme, the number of large scale dairy farmers in the country has

decreased (Dairy Services, 2016). As a result, there are problems in sourcing dairy animals that

are suitable for various agro-ecological regions where the smallholder dairy schemes are located.

Dairy processors such as Dairibord Zimbabwe Limited (DZL) and Nestle have as a result, turned

to imports of dairy animals from South Africa in order to improve the dairy herd (The Financial

Gazette, 2014). Key informants interviews also indicate the Zimbabwe Dairy Industry Trust

(ZDIT) has as a result, been promoting the use of AI methods in the smallholder dairy schemes

as a way of improving the breeds. Sexed semen which is more appropriate since it ensures that

the needed calves of the required sex are produced, is much more expensive and unaffordable to

many smallholder dairy producers. This possibly explains why smallholder dairy producers

indicated poor breeds as their major constraint, yet appropriate milk breeds is one of the most

important factors that enable producers to participate more effectively in smallholder dairying

and contribute improved milk volumes that enter the semi-formal and formal value chains.

Tebug et al., (2012) study of smallholder dairy production in northern Malawi indicated that the

most important constraints to smallholder dairy farming which were ranked in descending order

were the unreliable supply of improved animal genetics, poor animal health, and shortage of

feed, and poor milk prices. This indicates the importance of improved breeds as a constraint in

smallholder dairy production systems.

The second ranked production constraint was lack of access to credit. Although some of the

smallholder dairy schemes provided inputs credit and purchase of dairy cows as part of revolving

funds, some of the member producers could not access the services. For example, in order to

qualify for credit for buying a dairy cow, some of the schemes required the producer to raise a

deposit. Some of the producers could not raise the deposit and therefore were not able to access

the credit.

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The third ranked production constraint was inadequate feed. Feed is one of the most important

inputs for the dairy enterprise. This ranking by smallholder dairy producers therefore indicates

the importance farmers attach to the availability and adequacy of feed for the dairy enterprise.

Studies by Chinogaramombe et al., (2008) and Ngongoni et al., (2006) reported constraints

facing smallholder dairy producers in accessing adequate feed for the dairy enterprise. This

indicates a possible intervention that can be implemented in the smallholder dairy schemes.

Prevalence of diseases and inadequate water supply were ranked as the fourth production

constraint. Although government provides disease prevention and control for diseases with

public good characteristics, individual farmers have to finance prevention and control of diseases

with a strong private good component. Government veterinary services for the control of

diseases are provided for through the Department of Veterinary Services (DVS) in the MAMID.

The fifth ranked production constraints was high input costs. These costs include the costs of

concentrates feed, veterinary drugs and medicines. Although farmers indicated the MCC has

over the years improved their access to these services, key informant interviews indicate most

of the essential inputs are not always available at the MCC when producers require them.

Producers would then need to make individual arrangements to purchase the inputs from the

nearest urban centres, hence the high costs incurred by farmers.

8.6 Ranking of Marketing Constraints

Farmers were also asked to rank the five most important constraints they have observed in the

marketing of milk in the smallholder dairy scheme where one equals the most important

constraint. The average ranking of the constraints from one to five shows that the number one

constraint with the highest overall average percentage of farmers reporting was low producer

prices (about 91% of farmers reporting). The second was long distance to the MCC from the

211

farmers homestead (about 42% of farmers reporting), while the third was constraints relating to

issues of the quality of milk produced (40% of farmers reporting). The fourth constraint was

lack of access to adequate markets (about 37% of farmers reporting) while the fifth constraint

ranked on average was high transport costs (about 34% of farmers reporting) (Table 8.5).

Table 8.5: Ranking of marketing constraints in all the study sites, 2015

Marketing constraint Most

Impo

rtant

Second

most

important

Third

most

important

Fourth

most

importa

nt

Fifth

most

importa

nt

Total

Number of farmers

reporting

171 134 107 71 51 172

% of farmers reporting:

Low producer prices 90.6 94 97.2 98.6 98 90.7

Long distance to MCC

from farmer's homestead

44.4 56 65.4 64.8 64.7 44.2

Issues relating to milk

quality

39.8 52.2 54.2 69 74.5 40.1

Lack of access to adequate

markets

36.8 44.8 53.3 64.8 70.6 36.6

High transport costs 34.5 42.5 49.5 53.5 54.9 34.3

Inadequate infrastructure

development

31 39.6 44.9 60.6 68.6 30.8

Inadequate information

24.6 32.1 39.3 53.5 58.8 25.0

Low volumes produced 2.3 3 2.8 2.8 2 2.3

Centre expenses too high 1.8 1.5 1.9 0 2 1.7

Quality of packaging by

MCC

1.2 1.5 1.9 1.4 2 1.2

Lack of better transport of

milk to MCC

0.6 0.7 0.9 0 0 0.6

Milk rejected and returned

by DZL

0.6 0.7 0 0 0 0.6

Power cuts

0.6 0.7 0 0 0 0.6

Distance to MCC

0.6 0.7 0.9 0 0 0.6

Perceived poor milk

testing for quality by DZL

0.6 0.7 0.9 1.4 2 0.6

Late payments

0.6 0 0 0 0 0.6

Percentages and totals are based on respondents

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

The ranking of marketing constraints indicates that low producer prices and long distance to the

MCC from the farmers’ homestead were the top two constraints. Nkya et al., (2007) reported

that smallholder dairy farmers in the eastern coastal region of Tanzania ranked perceived

constraints as follows in descending order of importance: low milk price and marketing; feed

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shortage in the dry season; poor management; low animal productivity; poor reproductive

performance and diseases. This indicates the importance of price as a constraint in smallholder

dairy production systems. In this study, in terms of the final producer prices paid to farmers,

these are determined at the smallholder dairy scheme level, depending on the value chain the

scheme participates in. The procedure is that in the semi-formal value chain (Chikwaka and

Nharira-Lancashire) that process the milk at the MCC, the prices paid to farmers depend on the

prices achieved in the various market outlets where the milk and milk products are sold. The

prices in the markets outlets are averaged, and the MCC monthly running costs are then deducted

from the average prices. The balance determines the price paid to producers. For the schemes

that supply the formal value chain, the average price paid by the processor is taken into account

and the MCC running costs are deducted from the average price paid by the processor. The

balance determines the final producer paid to farmers. Farmers in all the four smallholder dairy

schemes studied are typically paid twice per month. What is critical in the determination of

producer prices paid to farmers is the level of MCC running costs and the level of milk intake

from producers. The level of MCC running costs are a function of the MCC infrastructure

running and maintenance costs, the level of staffing, electricity, management and other costs

necessary for the smooth running of the MCC. The efficiency of how the MCC is run and the

capacity of the management committee to oversee the day to day running of the MCC is therefore

critical in determining overall profitability of the schemes and subsequently the producers.

The second constraint of long distance to the MCC from the farmers’ homestead indicates

accessibility to markets, since the MCC is the main entry point for the milk that enters the value

chain. This needs to be considered together with the fourth and fifth constraints reported by

farmers; that of lack of access to markets and high transport costs. This indicates that although

farmers have previously reported that the MCC has been able to improve access to markets, these

as currently structured are not adequate as farmers perceive they still have limited market access

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and are incurring high transport costs. Although key informants in some schemes such as Rusitu

and Nharira-Lancashire indicated the presence of sub-centre MCC that bulk the milk for delivery

to the main MCC, this indicates that farmers’ perceptions are that these are not adequate to meet

the requirements of farmers. There is need therefore to investigate and determine the optimal

location of the MCC and sub-centre MCCs that adequately incentivizes smallholder dairy

producers to participate in milk production and marketing, which improves the overall volumes

delivered to the MCC.

The fifth marketing constraint reported by farmers related to issues of milk quality. This indicates

gaps in the education and training of farmers in order to improve the management and hygiene

issues and improve the quality of milk delivered to the MCC. Milk quality is critical for both

semi-formal and formal value chains. Key informant interviews indicate that in the semi-formal

value chains, milk and milk products are sometimes returned after deteriorating in quality in the

target market outlets. In the schemes that deliver to the formal value chain, processors pay

farmers a quality premium on the milk delivered, which benefits all producers in the smallholder

dairy scheme if all are able to deliver quality milk.

8.7 Determinants of Milk Commercialization through the MCC of the Smallholder Dairy

Value Chain

In order to test the hypothesis that commercialization of milk sold through the MCC is not

influenced by participation in activities of farmer milk marketing cooperatives, access to credit,

producer price of milk, access to information and access to markets by smallholder farmers

through the farmer milk marketing cooperatives, the Tobit regression model was used. The

dependent variable used in the model was the commercialization index which was calculated as

the quantity of milk sold per month divided by the total milk produced by the household per

month multiplied by 100 (ComIndex). The explanatory variables were participation in activities

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of farmer milk marketing cooperatives (PartAss), access to credit (AccCred), milk producer price

(MilkPrice), access to information (AccInfo) and access to markets (DistKmMCC). Participation

in cooperative activities was measured as a dichotomous variable (1=yes, 0=no) where the yes

indicated the farmer actively participated in cooperative activities through being a registered

member who had paid joining fees, access to credit was measured in terms of whether the farmers

had accessed credit in the last five years (1=yes, 0=no), and access to information was a dummy

(where 1=access) to the information from the MCC which was provided through mobile phones

and zero otherwise. Distance to the MCC was used as a proxy for market access and was

measured in kilometers from the farmers’ homestead to the MCC. The results show that

participation in milk marketing cooperative activities and access to credit were not significant,

while distance to the MCC was negative and significant, and access to information and prices

were positive and significant at the 5% level. The results indicate that if the distance to the MCC

was to be increased by one unit, the commercialization index would decrease by -0.00823 points

while holding all other variables constant. Similarly, if the producer price was to be increased

by one point, the commercialization index would increase by 2.64717 points while holding all

other variables constant. Since the producer price is the study in positive and significant, this

means we reject the hypothesis that prices do not influence commercialization of milk sold

through MCC. The results of the Tobit regression analysis are given in Table (8.6).

215

Table 8.6: Results of Tobit regression analysis for factors determining

commercialization

ComIndex Coeff. Std Err. t P>|t|

PartAss -0.1246074 0.2951017 -0.42 0.673

AccCred -0.025767 0.0490506 -0.53 0.600

AccInfo 0.1554808 0.0523489 2.97 0.003

DistKmMCC -0.00823 0.0037812 -2.18 0.031

MilkPrice 2.64717 0.4659552 5.68 0.000

_cons -0.4708702 0.3659343 -1.29 0.200

/sigma 0.2922894 0.0173647

Log likelihood = -60.277692

Number of obs = 180

LR chi2 (4) = 68.21

Prob > chi2 = 0.0000

Pseudo R2 = 0.3613

Obs. Summary 24 left censored observations at ComIndex <= 0

156 uncensored observations

0 right - censored observations

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

8.8 Role of Farmer Cooperatives in the Dairy Value Chain

This study used the commercialization index to assess the degree of milk commercialization

through the MCC of the smallholder dairy value chain. According to Jaleta et al. (2009), one of

the most common approaches to measure the degree of commercialization at a household level

is to use the proportion of sales from the total value of agricultural production. This is the

approach used in this study, but it considered the degree of commercialization at the household

level as the proportion of milk sold from the total household milk production. The

commercialization index was then used as the dependent variable in the Tobit model. The Tobit

model indicated that access to information, distance to the MCC from the farmers’ homestead

and producer price of milk paid by the MCC were the major determinants of the

commercialization of the milk sold to the MCC. Access to information was positive and

significant at the 5% level, indicating the importance of information provided through the MCC

run by the cooperatives in smallholder milk commercialization. The information is provided

through mobile phones, and hence one can infer that the information was timely and relevant to

the decision making of the smallholder dairy producer. Studies in other countries have also

indicated the significance of information for smallholder dairy farmers provided through the

216

MCC (Nkwasibwe et al., 2015). Omiti et al., (2009) also observed the use of market information

generated by certain market channels increased output sales of farmers in the market. Since the

MCC is the main entry point for milk in the value chain, the MCC are better placed to provide

up to date information on prices and other dairy related information relevant to the needs of

farmers.

The Tobit model regression shows the relationship between the commercialization index and

distance to the MCC from the farmers’ homestead was negative and significant at the 5% level.

This shows that distance to the MCC is critical in order for farmers to deliver the perishable milk

commodity before it is spoiled. The MCCs that are run by the cooperatives provide the cooling

facilities through bulk milk tanks located at the MCC. In the semi-formal value chain schemes,

this provides temporary storage before the milk is processed and the products are sold through

various market outlets. In the smallholder dairy schemes supplying the formal value chain, this

provides temporary storage until the milk is collected by urban based processors.

Distance to the MCC is also a major determinant of the transportation costs incurred by farmers,

hence its central role in incentivizing or dis-incentivizing smallholder dairy producers to

participate in milk markets and as a determinant of the quantities commercialized. Key informant

interviews also indicated that farmers located further away from the MCC deliver milk once per

day, instead of twice per day for producers located nearer to the MCC. Sharma et al., (2009)

study in India also indicated that in order to reduce transportation costs, farmers preferred selling

milk to market outlets that were nearer to them. Omiti et al. (2009) study in Kenya also reported

that distance to the point of sale was the major constraint to increasing milk market participation.

In this study, the finding on distance also ties with farmers’ ranking of constraints in marketing,

whereby the distance to the MCC from the farmers’ homestead was ranked second on the farmer

perceived constraints to dairy marketing. The results indicate that the distance the farmer has to

217

travel to deliver milk is a major determinant of the level of commercialization of milk from the

smallholder dairy schemes and the smallholder dairy value chain.

The third significant predictor of commercialization of milk delivered to the MCC was the

producer price paid by the MCCs run by the cooperatives. The producer price of milk was

positive and significant at the 5% level. Prices provide the incentives for producers to

commercialize a higher proportion of the milk produced. The prices paid to producers in the

smallholder dairy schemes studied are determined by the management committee of the

Cooperative that runs the MCC. In the smallholder dairy schemes where milk is processed on

site at the MCC (to supply the semi-formal value chain), the prices paid to producers are

dependent on the average product prices realized for processed milk and milk products sales in

the various consumer market outlets less the MCC running costs. For smallholder dairy schemes

that deliver to urban processors (to supply the formal value chain), the average prices paid by

processors less the MCC running costs determine the prices paid to producers. The prices are

generally higher for schemes supplying the formal value chain compared to the semi-formal

value chain. Farmers are paid twice per month, that is, mid-month and at the end of the month.

Nkwasibwe et al., (2015) used Tobit regression in a study in Uganda and the results also showed

that price was the major determinant of the proportion of milk sales for milk sold to the formal

market. In this study, the issue of price also ties with farmer perceptions and ranking of marketing

constraints whereby low producer prices were ranked as the most important marketing constraint

in smallholder dairy marketing. This is mainly because prices provide the major incentive for

producers to participate in the market and also the proportion of the milk produced that is

commercialized.

8.9 Summary

This chapter has presented the role of farmers’ organization as given by the milk marketing

cooperatives that run the MCCs in commercialization of smallholder farmer production.

218

Members indicated that the main reasons for the membership of the cooperatives that run the

MCCs are that they require a secure market for the milk, access to education and training

programmes availed through the MCC, access to extension services, inputs and credit facilities.

In terms of services farmers have obtained from the MCCs, farmers indicated the top five

services obtained (in terms of responses from farmers reporting) were marketing of milk,

provision of training, availability of concentrate feeds, improvement in milk quality and

extension services. Farmers also indicated they perceived their membership of the MCC have

improved their access to the services over the years. Although farmers perceive this

improvement in access to services, their ranking of production and marketing constraints indicate

farmers’ perceptions of the main limitations that need to be addressed to improve production and

marketing of milk in the smallholder dairy schemes. The top five ranked production constraints

(in terms of average total ranking by farmers reporting) were poor breeds, inadequate feed, lack

of access to credit, prevalence of diseases and inadequate water supply, and high input costs.

The top five marketing constraints ranked by farmers were low producer prices, long distance

from the farmers homestead to the MCC, issues relating to quality of milk, access to adequate

markets and high transport costs. The ranking of the production and marketing costs indicate

priority interventions in the smallholder dairy value chain that can be targeted for

implementation to improve smallholder dairy production and marketing in the smallholder dairy

value chain.

The Tobit regression model indicated that the main determinants of the commercialization of

milk sales through the MCC run by the cooperatives were access to information, distance of the

MCC from the farmers’ homestead and the price paid to farmers for milk delivered to the MCC.

The regression confirms some of the constraints reported by farmers, particularly the first ranked

marketing constraint of low producer prices, which is one of the main determinants of the

commercialization index in the Tobit model.

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The major conclusions of this chapter therefore are that although the MCCs run by the

cooperatives have played an important role and are central in providing markets for milk in the

smallholder dairy value chain, farmers still consider them inadequate to meet fully the

requirements of producers. This is indicated by farmers’ perceptions that although the MCC have

generally improved access to services such as provision of markets, education and training,

extension, inputs and credit, constraints still remain particularly with respect to breeds and access

to markets and prices, the top ranked production and marketing constraints, respectively. These

constraints reflect the top priorities of producers, which if resolved would lead to improvement

in production and marketing of milk in the smallholder dairy value chain. In terms of the

determinants of commercialization, the main conclusion from this analysis is that in order to

improve the role of the MCC in milk marketing, policy interventions have to be targeted and

prioritized at improving market access. Establishing sub-centre MCC within easy reach of

farmers would enhance smallholder farmers’ access to markets and hence participation and

commercialization of the milk output from the smallholder dairy value chain.

220

CHAPTER NINE: CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

9.1 Conclusions

This section provides conclusions of the study with respect to the overall objective and specific

objectives of the study. The overall objective of the study was to determine factors influencing

milk production and marketing in organized smallholder dairy value chains. The study

conclusions are provided for the specific objectives which were to (1) determine the main factors

influencing milk production in the smallholder dairy value chain (2) analyze the factors affecting

milk market participation in the smallholder dairy value chain (3) determine ex-ante the potential

effect of introducing an animal production and forage centre in the smallholder dairy value chain;

and (4) assess the role of farmers’ cooperatives in the commercialization of milk in the

smallholder dairy value chain.

9.1.1 Factors Influencing Milk Production in the Dairy Value Chain

This study shows quantitatively the use of multiple linear regression to determine factors

influencing milk production in Zimbabwe. The study shows main determinants of milk

production in the organized smallholder dairy value chains in Zimbabwe to be the household

size (representing family labour available for the dairy enterprise), dairy farming experience of

the head of household (important for management and decision making), age of the head of

household, number of milking cows, and the cost of concentrates (indicating the cost of brought-

in concentrate feed).

9.1.2 Determinants of Milk Marketing Participation and Volume of Sales in the

Smallholder Dairy Value Chain

The major conclusions of the study with respect to market participation are that the determinants

of farmers’ participation in the milk markets are resources (dairy cows and household size),

221

knowledge (educational level, access to information and extension), experience (age of

household head) and natural climatic conditions (agro-ecological region).

The study also concludes that the major determinants of volume of milk sales are availability of

resources (dairy cows and landholding size of the household), market access (distance to the

MCC), ambition of the farmer (age of the household head) and natural climatic (agro-ecological

region location of the smallholder dairy scheme of the household).

9.1.3 Animal Production and Forage Centre

The major conclusions to be drawn from this chapter are that in terms of feeding systems

smallholder dairy farmers rely on both stall feeding and grazing of their dairy animals. In terms

of grazing, communal and private grazing is used by farmers located in dairy schemes in the

communal and small scale commercial and resettlement area farms, respectively. It is important

to note that some farmers in smallholder dairy schemes located in communal areas have also

invested in paddocks through fencing of part of their land allocated for cropping, which becomes

exclusive private grazing for their dairy animals. This shows the importance of property rights

as an essential element in milk production. Smallholder farmers also used bought-in concentrates

and home-made rations for the dairy cows, and some have also planted improved pastures and

fodder crops to improve the availability of feed and fodder for their dairy herd.

The results show that smallholder dairying is a viable enterprise. The main cost of production is

feed, accounting for nearly fifty percent of the total variable costs of production. The benefit cost

analysis of the proposed APFC indicate that such a centre would be profitable in the smallholder

dairy value chain.

222

9.1.4 Role of Farmers’ Organization through Milk Marketing Cooperatives in the

Smallholder Dairy Value Chain

The main conclusions are that although farmers’ organization through the MCCs run by the

cooperatives have played an important role and are central in providing markets for milk in the

smallholder dairy value chain, farmers still consider them inadequate to meet fully the

requirements of producers. This is indicated by farmers’ perceptions that although the MCC have

generally improved access to services such as provision of markets, education and training,

extension, inputs and credit, constraints still remain particularly with respect to breeds and access

to markets and prices, the top ranked production and marketing constraints, respectively. These

constraints reflect the top priorities of producers in order to improve production and marketing

of milk in the smallholder dairy value chain. The Tobit model indicated that access to

information, distance to the MCC from the farmers’ homestead and producer price of milk paid

by the MCC were the major determinants of the commercialization of the milk sold to the MCC.

9.2 Recommendations

The study recommends that policy interventions to improve milk production should ensure that

smallholder dairy producers continually receive appropriate and adequate practical experience

in milk production as the cumulative experience over the years is an important factor in

increasing milk production for the smallholder dairy value chain. Policy interventions also need

to target increasing the number of milking cows per household in the organized smallholder

dairy schemes. Interventions should support and ensure that farmers going into smallholder dairy

production have access to sufficient and adequate labour for the dairy enterprise. In addition,

innovative and alternative options to make concentrates feed available to smallholder dairy

producers at affordable prices should be investigated and implemented.

The results of the study suggest the following interventions if milk sales volume and market

participation is to be increased from the smallholder dairy schemes and hence increased supply

223

of milk to the MCC of the smallholder dairy value chain. Policy interventions need to target

increasing the number of dairy cows for smallholder dairy producers. Policy interventions should

also target young and educated farmers located in high potential agro-ecological regions I and

II. These should be provided with adequate and appropriate information and extension packages

in order to enhance milk market participation decisions.

The results indicate that in order to increase milk sales volume to the MCC of the smallholder

dairy value chain, policy interventions targeted at increasing the number of cows owned by the

smallholder dairy producers would have a positive impact. Complimentary policy interventions

need to take into account the landholding size. There is also need to implement policy measures

that ensure the MCCs are accessible to the smallholder dairy producers. This would enable

smallholder dairy producers to gradually increase supply and upgrade from supplying the semi-

formal to supplying the formal value chains that offer stable and better remunerative markets in

the long run compared to the semi-formal value chains.

The results of the APFC indicate profitability from a hypothetical and theoretical perspective as

this concept has not been practically tested, and therefore practical implementation of the

intervention would have to be monitored and evaluated to assess challenges, benefits and costs

such a centre would bring to the cooperatives running the MCC of the smallholder dairy value

chain. The APFC is a new concept being recommended for the smallholder dairy value chain in

Zimbabwe. Policy interventions should therefore be directed at piloting the concept in order to

assess its feasibility and contribution to milk production in the smallholder dairy value chain.

In terms of the determinants of commercialization, the main recommendation from this analysis

is that in order to improve the role of the MCC in milk marketing, policy interventions have to

be targeted and prioritized at improving market access. The MCCs play a central role in

224

integrating smallholder farmers to lucrative markets that have potential to incentivize farmers to

increase the quantities marketed through the MCCs, if favourable market and price policies are

developed and implemented. Establishing sub-centre MCC within easy reach of farmers would

enhance smallholder farmers’ participation and commercialization of the milk output from the

smallholder dairy value chain.

The main recommendation with regard to constraints is that there is need to develop intervention

policies that are targeted at alleviating the production and marketing constraints as perceived by

producers. Priority policy interventions should focus on the top five production and marketing

constraints as perceived by farmers. The main production constraints to target are:

i. poor breeds;

ii. lack of access to credit;

iii. inadequate feed;

iv. prevalence of diseases and inadequate water supply; and

v. high input costs.

While the main marketing constraints to target are:

i. low producer prices;

ii. long distance to the MCC;

iii. milk quality issues;

iv. access to adequate markets; and

v. high transport costs.

9.3 Areas for Further Study

While this study did not focus on the investigation of appropriate models of institutional

arrangements necessary for the efficient running of the MCC, there may be need for further

studies to determine the levels of infrastructure, staff complement and competencies required in

225

the management committee to professionally run the smallholder dairy schemes in order to

optimize producer viability and efficiency of the MCC. Since the level of running costs paid by

each individual producer depends on the total milk delivered by member farmers, there is need

to determine the minimum number of members and milk intake constituting a viable smallholder

dairy scheme. In this way, alternatives may be developed in terms of institutional arrangements

that can contribute to transforming the smallholder value chain necessary to improve volumes

of milk supplied.

Although there are sub-centre MCCs that bulk the milk for delivery to the main MCC, farmer

perceptions of constraints indicate that lack of access to adequate markets still remains one of

the major constraints faced by farmers. There is need therefore to investigate and determine the

optimal location of the MCC and sub-centre MCCs that adequately incentivizes smallholder

dairy producers to participate in milk production and marketing, which improves the overall

volumes delivered to the MCC.

While the study has indicated the profitability of the APFC, there is need for piloting this new

concept recommended by the study. Further studies would be required to assess the contribution

of this value chain intervention to milk production and marketing, and upgrading of the semi-

formal dairy schemes of smallholder dairy value chain.

226

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Appendices

Annex 1: Information on smallholder dairy development schemes

Table 1: The Distribution of Dairy Development Programme Smallholder Dairy Projects

Province District Location Dairy Project

Manicaland Mutasa Watsomba Business

Centre

Tsonzo

Chipinge Rusitu Valley Rusitu

Makoni Nyabadza Business Centre Sangano/St Faith

Mutasa Hauna Growth Point Honde Valley

Rusape Dowa Business Centre Dowa

Marange Marange Marange

Mashonaland East Harare South Marirangwe Business

Centre

Marirangwe

Chikomba Nharira Business Centre Nharira-Lancashire

Hwedza Wedza Growth Point Wedza

Chikomba Sadza Growth Point Sadza

Goromonzi Juru Growth Point Chikwaka

Mutoko Kanyongo Business

Centre

Kanyongo

Murewa Murewa 44 Business

Centre

Murewa 44

Mashonaland West Zvimba Murombedzi Growth

Point

Murombedzi

Chegutu Mubaira Growth Point Mhondoro

Mashonaland Central Guruve Guruve Growth Point Guruve

Mt Darwin Mt Darwin Growth Point Mt Darwin

Bindura Nzvimbo Grwoth Point Chiweshe

Midlands Gokwe South Gokwe Growth Point Gokwe

Mvuma Mvuma Takawira

Masvingo Mushagashe Business

Centre

Mushagashe

Matabeland South Umzingwane Mawabeni Business

Centre

Umzingwane

Harare Metropolitan Harare South Harare Nyarungu Training

Centre

Province District Location Dairy Project

Midlands Mavhaire Irrigation

Scheme

Hama-Mavhaire

Shurugwi Tongogara Growth Point Shurugwi

Mashonaland Central Bindura Shamva Growth Point Shamva

Matabeleland South Matopo Gulathi Gulathi

Masvingo Masvingo Nemanwa Growth Point Nemanwa

Mashonaland East Seke Mupfuiranga Coops Chihota

Manicaland Nyanga Nyanga Growth Point Nyanga

Source: Dairy Development Programme

242

Table 2: Grouping of Smallholder Dairy Projects According to Performance/Status

Project Scheme Comments/Status

Group 1

Rusitu Phase I and II of the Rusitu dairy project produces 600

litres/day

Sangano Produces 200 to 300 litres/day

Marirangwe Produces 400 litres/day

Nharira-Lancashire

Gokwe

Mushagashe

Group 2

Dowa Produces 160 litres/day

Chikwaka Produces 160 litres/day

Guruve

Mzingwane

Tsonzo

Honde Valley Produces 30 to 40 litres/day

Group 3

Sadza Group 3 inlude projects that have been functional in the

past but in some cases are currently inactive due to various

challenges. Some of the schemes are in the process of

reviving and the amount of milk produced is still

insignificant. In some cases this can be about an average

of 25 litres/day.

Wedza

Shurugwi

Murewa 44

Murombedzi

Mhondoro

Mount Darwin

Group 4

Marange Projects under group 4 include sites that have been

identified and are not yet operational and also projects that

have operated but are currently not functional due to

various challenges.

Mavhaire

Takawira

Gulathi

Shamva

Chiota

Chiweshe

Nemanwa

Nyazvidzi-Gutu

Kanyongo-Mutoko

Source: Dairy Development Programme

243

Table 3: Smallholder Dairy Scheme Members, Current and Potential, Zimbabwe 2015

Dairy Project

Current

Producers

Potential

Producers Total

Tsonzo 12 44 56

Rusitu 115 215 330

Sangano 29 63 92

Honde 25 40 65

Dowa 12 60 72

Marirangwe 26 36 62

Nharira-Lancashire 59 180 239

Wedza 21 80 101

Sadza 13 120 133

Chikwaka 33 180 213

Kanyongo (Mutoko) 5 19 24

Murombedzi 14 36 50

Mhondoro 24 49 73

Guruve 12 189 201

Mt Darwin 67 67

Gokwe 36 66 102

Summary Mean Minimum Maximum

Current 29 5 115

Potential 90 19 215

Source: Dairy Development Programme (2015)

Annex 2: Questionnaires and Interview Guides

Questionnaire 1: Household Questionnaire

QUESTIONNAIRE NUMBER ………………………..

UNIVERSITY OF ZIMBABWE, DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS

AND EXTENSION – DAIRY VALUE CHAIN STUDY 2015

DAIRY FARMER HOUSEHOLD QUESTIONNAIRE

INTRODUCTION

The data collected in this study will be used only for Academic Studies at the University of

Zimbabwe and all data collected will remain confidential. Data will be aggregated with other

farmers and only averages will be reported without identifying the farmer. The objective of the

study is to determine factors constraining the smallholder dairy value chain from production to

marketing in order to come up with recommendations to improve the contribution of

smallholder producers to milk production and marketing in the country.

A. GENERAL INFORMATION (Ask all farmers)

1. Name of Enumerator

2. Date of Interview

3. Province

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4. District

5. Name of Dairy Scheme

6. Name of Milk Collection Centre

7. Classification of settlement 1=Small Scale Commercial; 2=Old

resettlement; 3=Communal; 4 New

resettlement (A1)

8. Name of Respondent

9. Mobile number of Respondent

(if available)

10. Name of village (if applicable)

B. HOUSEHOLD DEMOGRAPHIC DATA (Ask all farmers)

1. Name of Household Head (HH)

2. Gender of HH Head 1=Male 2=Female

3. Age of HH Head Years________________

4. Marital Status of HH Head 1=Married, 2=Single, 3=Widowed,

4=Divorced 5=Separated 6=Other

(specify)….

5. Number of years in formal

education

Years______________________

6. Occupation of HH Head 1=Full time farmer, 2= Employed off farm,

3=Pensioner, 4=Retrenched, 5=No formal

employment, 6=Other (specify)…………….

7. Agricultural Training of HH

Head

1=Master Farmer, 2=Agric. Certificate

3=Diploma, 4=Degree, 5=None, 6=Other

(specify)……………………………….

8. Number of years in dairying for

HH Head

…………………Years

9. Total number of household

members

Number of hh members__________________

10. Number of adults (>18 years)

staying with the HH Head

Number of

Adults_______________________

11. Number of children (<18 years) in

the household

Number of

children______________________

C1. GENERAL LIVESTOCK OWNERSHIP (Ask all farmers)

1. What numbers of livestock do you currently own?

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Type of Livestock Owned Total Number Owned

1. Dairy cattle

2. Beef cattle (including indigenous

breeds)

3. Sheep

4. Goats

5. Donkeys

C2: DAIRY HERD COMPOSITION (Ask all farmers)

1. What numbers and breeds of dairy cattle do you currently own?

Type of animal Total Number Owned Type of Breed*

Number of Cows in milk

Number of Dry Cows

Number of Heifers

Number of Dairy Steers

Number of Male Calves

Number of Female Calves

Number of Dairy Bulls

*Type of breed: 1=Mashona; 2=Red Dane purebred; 3=Jersey purebred; 4=Friesland purebred;

5=Holstein purebred; 6=Crossbred; 7=Other (specify)………………………..

D. MILK COLLECTION CENTRE (MCC) MEMBERSHIP (Ask all farmers)

1. Please indicate the farmer’s membership status in the following:

1. Are you a registered member (paid joining fees) 1=Yes 2 =No

2. Are you currently producing milk for sale? 1=Yes 2=No

3. Are you an active member delivering milk to the

MCC?

1=Yes 2=No

4. If you are not delivering milk to the MCC, what are

the reasons?

1=sell the milk locally

2=No cattle to milk

3=All the dairy cattle died

4=Low milk produced by

indigenous breeds

5=All milk consumed by the

hh

6= Other (specify)…………..

5. Distance of homestead to the MCC (in km) ………………..km

E. DAIRY INFRASTRUCTURE AND EQUIPMENT (Ask this question even if currently

not delivering milk to the MCC).

1. What type of dairy infrastructure do you have? (Circle as many as appropriate)

1. Dairy cattle facilities (Multiple answers possible)

1=Calf pens 2=Cattle handling

facilities

3=Paddocks 4=Cattle Kraal 5=Watering and

feeding facilities

6=Hay shed 7=Silage pit 8=Other (specify)………………………………….

2.What facilities do you use for milking?

1=Milking parlour 2=Cattle

Kraal

3=Under tree 4=Other

(Specify)…….

246

3.What utensils do you use for milking?

1=Stainless

steel bucket

2=Plastic bucket 3=Teapot 4=Can for

delivering

milk

5=Other(specify)….

4. Type of milking used?

2=Hand milking 1=Machine milking

F. DAIRY HERD MILK PRODUCTION (Ask all farmers including those only with

Mashona breeds)

1. What was the average milk produced per day by your dairy cows in 2014?

Average milk production, sold, consumed and yield Milk in litres

Average milk output per day (total for dairy herd in litres)

Average amount of milk allocated to Household consumption per day

(litres)

Average amount of milk sold per day (litres)

Average amount of milk allocated to feeding dairy calves per day (litres)

Average milk yield per cow per day produced by pure breeds (litres)

Average milk yield per cow per day produced by crossbreeds (litres)

Average milk yield per cow per day produced by Mashona breeds (litres)

Average lactation length, age at first calving etc.

Mashona Breeds Pure Breeds Crossbreeds

Average lactation length (days)

Age at first calving (months)

Average calving interval (months)

Average calf weaning age (days)

Calf mortalities in 2014

Adult dairy cattle mortalities in 2014

Number of dairy cattle purchased in 2014

H1. MILK MARKETING TRANSPORT AND TIME (Ask all farmers, if do not sell

circle Do not sell in the last row)

1. Dou you sell milk to the following outlets and what is the mode of transport you use

and the time it takes to deliver milk to the specific market outlet?

Market outlet Do you sell

milk to this

outlet?

Mode of

transport

used*

Cost of the

mode of

transport per

trip ($)

Times it takes to

deliver milk to

this outlet

(minutes)

Milk Collection Centre 1=Yes, 2=No

Local individuals 1=Yes, 2=No

Processor 1=Yes, 2=No

Schools 1=Yes, 2=No

Local Business Service

Centre

1=Yes, 2=No

Local Growth Point 1=Yes, 2=No

Traders 1=Yes, 2=No

247

Do not sell 1=Do not

sell

Others (specify)…….

*Mode of transport used codes: 1=On foot; 2=Bicycle; 3=Animal drawn cart; 4=Motor cycle

5=Motor Vehicle 6=Buyer comes to collect at home 7=Other (specify)……..

H2. MILK MARKETING OUTLETS (Ask all farmers)

1.What are the quantities sold to the main market outlets used by the farmer, prices paid and

reasons for selling to the specific outlet?

Market outlet Quantity of milk sold per

day (litres)

Price ($/litre) Reason for selling to

this outlet*

Milk Collection

Centre (MCC)

Local individuals

Processor

Schools

Local Service Centre

Local Growth Point

Traders

Others

(specify)…….

*Reason for selling to this outlet: 1=close to production site 2=offer better price 3=can get

immediate cash 4= nearest milk collection centre 5= others (specify)………

H3. Do you sell other milk products (e.g. fermented milk)? (include milk from indigenous

cattle breeds)

1=Yes 2=No

If Yes, what are the product, quantity, market outlet and prices?

Product Quantity/month (litres) Price ($/litre) Market outlet *

*Market outlet codes: 1 =Neighbors 2=Schools 3=Local Service Centre 4=Local Growth

Point 5=Traders 6=Other (specify)

H4. Other Dairy Income in 2014 (skip if the farmer does not have dairy cattle)

Type of animal sold Number sold in 2014 Average price ($/animal)

Dairy cull cows

Dairy steers sold

248

H5. MARKET INFORMATION AND CONSTRAINTS (Ask all farmers)

1. What is the major constraint in transporting your milk to the market?

1= High transport costs 2= Poor roads 3= Long distances to market 4=Lack of suitable

transport 5= Other (specify)……………….

2. What is your major source of agricultural information?

1=Local extension officer 2=Local NGO 3= Radio 4=Milk Collection Centre (MCC) 4= Other

(specify)…..

3. Where do you mainly get information on market prices of milk and milk products?

1= from Milk Collection Centre (MCC) 2= Local extension officer 3=Radio 4 = Television

5=No access to information 6=Other (specify)…

4. Does the household head or any member of the household have a mobile phone?

1=Yes 2=No

5. Do you use the mobile phone to get information for your dairy enterprise?

1=Yes, 2=No

6. What type of information do you get?

1=Milk prices 2=Prices of inputs 3 =Sources of inputs 4=Other (specify)……..

7. What is the cost of cellphone communication for the dairy enterprise per month?

Cost per month $________________________

I. DAIRY PRODUCTION FEEDING (Ask all farmers)

1. What is the size of your arable land in Ha?.............................

2. Which type of feeding system do you use for your dairy cattle?

1=Stall feeding; 2=Grazing; 3=Both 4=Other(specify)….

3. What is your source of dairy feed? (multiple responses possible)

1=Supplements 2=Grazing 3=Combination of supplements and grazing 4=Own Silage 5=Other

(specify)..

4. What types of grazing do you use?

1=Communal; 2=Private; 3=Zero; 4=Other (specify)…

5. If the grazing is private, how big is the grazing area in Ha? (or total farm size for

small scale commercial farms) Ha......................................

6. What type of feed is used for the dairy enterprise?

1= Brought in concentrates 2= Home-made rations 3= Both 4=Other (specify)…..

249

7. Please indicate the type of feed given to the following animals.

Type of animal Type of feed Quantity fed per

Cow per day (kg)

Season (or time of

the year)

Cows in milk

Dry cows

Pregnant cows

Calves

8. Do you have planted pastures? 1=Yes; 2=No

9. What are the types of pastures planted?

1=Bana grass 2= Star grass 3=Kikuyu 4= Others (Specify)…………………………….

10. Area under cultivated pastures in 2014/2015 season? Ha…………………..

11. FODDER PRODUCTION (Ask all farmers)

What was the fodder crops produced in 2014?

Crop Area Planted

(ha)

Quantity

Harvested (50kg

bags)

Quantity fed as

green material

(kg)

Quantity

processed into

fodder (kg)

Maize grain

Maize silage

Sorghum silage

Legume crops

Other

(specify)...

J. PRODUCTION COSTS (Ask all farmers)

J1. What are your estimated total costs for your dairy enterprise in 2014 for the following

inputs?

Type of input Quantity Used per year

(indicate units)

Total cost ($/year)

Dipping:

Chemicals

Dipping facility maintenance

(e.g. spray race, dip tank)

Feed:

Silage

Home produced grains

Hay

Supplements

Concentrate Feed

Other feed (specify)…….

Disease Control

Veterinary drugs and medicines

(vaccines etc)

Deworming

Detergents

250

Artificial Insemination (AI)

Bulls

Labour

Machinery and maintenance

(where applicable)

Pumps

Transport Costs

Fuel

Maintenance of buildings (e.g.

milking parlous etc)

Maintenance of fences

Energy cost (electricity/generator)

Water

Other Costs (specify)……..

J2. HOME PRODUCED AND PURCHASED DAIRY FEEDS (Ask all farmers)

1.For home produced dairy feeds and fodder, can you estimate the time it takes to do the

following per month?

Type of feed or fodder*

(*specify)

Time required acquiring or gathering feed

or fodder? (Hours per month)

Family

No. of

people

Family

labour

-hours

Hired

No. of

people

Hired labour-

hours

Total Cost

per month

($)

J4. For purchased feed, can you provide the following with regard to labour time

associated with purchase of the feed per month?

Type of

feed*

(specify)

Distance

to place of

purchase

(km)

Time (Hours per month)

No. of

people

(family)

Family

labour

-hours

No. of

people

(hired)

Hired

labour-

hours

Travel

costs

($)

Transportation

of feed costs

($)

251

J5. If the feed is purchased with other inputs, please provide the following:

Date of last purchase

Place of purchase

Quantity purchased (kg)

Value of feed ($)

Value of veterinary medicines ($)

Value of other non-dairy related products

purchased during the trip ($)

K. Access to Artificial Insemination (AI) Services

1. Do you have access to Artificial Insemination services in the area? 1=Yes, 2=No

2. If Yes, where do you get artificial insemination services and cost?

Source of Artificial Insemination* Cost

*Source Codes: 1= Milk Collection Centre 2=Local veterinary extension workers 3=from

NGOs operating in the area 4=No access to AI services 5= Other (specify)………..

L. ACCESS TO CREDIT FACILITIES AND EXTENSION SERVICES (Ask all

farmers)

1. Have you obtained credit for your dairy enterprise in last five years? 1=Yes, 2=No

2. If Yes, where was the credit obtained, how much in the last 5 years and what was the

use of the credit?

Year Source of

Credit*

How much obtained

(USD)

Use of the credit

1=Buy dairy animals 2=Buy

concentrates 3=Other (specify)……

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

*Source of credit Codes: 1=Local microfinance institution 2= Banks 3=NGO Operating in the

area 4=Farmer Association/Cooperative 5=Other (specify)……………

3. If No, give reasons why you have not managed to access

credit……………………………

……………………………………………………………………………………………………

……………………………………………………………………………………………………

……

4.Do you have an extension officer operating in the area? 1=Yes, 2 = No

252

5. How many times does he or she visit in a year? Number of times…………………………

M. ANIMAL PRODUCTION AND FORAGE CENTRE (Ask all farmers)

Note: These questions relate to finding out farmers’ views on animal production and

forage if it was to be established next to the Milk Collection Centre and dedicated to

providing dairy enterprise and support services to the farmers in the area [such a centre

is currently not there].

1. If you were able to source your feed from forage centre established at the Milk

Collection Centre, would you be in a position to buy feed for your animals from the

forage centre throughout the year?

1= Yes, 2=No

2. If the forage centre was to produce fodder for sale to farmers throughout the year,

would you be in a position to buy the fodder for your animals?

1= Yes, 2=No

3. What types of animals would you prioritize for feeding from the feed obtained from

such a centre and why?

Type of animal prioritized Reason (specify)

1. Cows in milk

2. Calves

3. Dry cows

4. Heifers

5. Others (specify)……………

4. What types of animals would you prioritize for feeding from the fodder obtained from

such a centre and why?

Type of animal prioritized Reason (specify)

1. Cows in milk

2. Calves

3. Dry cows

4. Heifers

5. Others (specify)……………

5. If an animal production centre was established at the Milk Collection Centre to

provide artificial insemination services, would you be in a position to pay for the

services?

1=Yes, 2=No

6. How much would be willing to pay for artificial insemination services?

Amount willing to pay $__________________________

7. In your view, who should be responsible for constructing such an animal production

and forage centre?

253

1= Government 2=Community 3=Community with assistance of government 4=Donors

5=Other (specify)………………………………………

8. Are farmers willing to construct such a centre on their own?

1=Yes 2=No

9. If you are given that construction of such a centre requires each member to

contribute USD2000.00 if it was to benefit 100 farmers, how much would you be

willing to contribute to the construction of such a centre?

1. Amount willing to pay $_____________________________________

2= Not prepared to contribute

10. What advantages would such a centre provide to your dairy enterprise?

1. Cost savings on feed and fodder

2. Ready access to feed and fodder

3. Other (specify)……………………

11. What other services in your view should be provided by such an animal production

and forage centre if it was to be established at the Milk Collection Centre?

(specify)__________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________

__

N. Role of Farmer Associations/Cooperatives

1. What are the main your main for being a member of the Milk Collection Centre?

(multiple responses possible).

1= To get secure market for the milk

2= To get dairy inputs timely and at a fair price

3=To get access to credit

4=To get access to extension services

5= To get education and training

6=Others (specify)……………………

2. What services have you obtained from the MCC association/cooperative? (multiple

responses possible).

1=Marketing of milk 1 = Yes 2=No

2= Concentrate feed availability at the MCC 1 = Yes 2=No

3=Procurement of cows 1 = Yes 2=No

4=Provision of veterinary inputs 1 = Yes 2=No

5=Extension services 1 = Yes 2=No

7=Provision of AI services 1 = Yes 2=No

8=Provision of bull services 1 = Yes 2=No

8=Access to credit 1 = Yes 2=No

9=Improvement in milk quality 1 = Yes 2=No

10=Provision of training 1 = Yes 2=No

11=Other (specify)……. 1 = Yes 2=No

254

3. Has membership of the farmer association/cooperative improved your access to the

following:

1 Access to dairy inputs 1=Yes 2=No

2 Access to extension information 1=Yes 2=No

3 Access to AI 1=Yes 2=No

4 Improved dairy production 1=Yes 2=No

5 Access to feed and concentrates 1=Yes 2=No

6 Access to milk markets that offer higher prices 1=Yes 2=No

7 Linkages to modern marketing facilities 1=Yes 2=No

8 Access to technology 1=Yes 2=No

9 Access to credit for dairy 1=Yes 2=No

10 Access to education and training 1=Yes 2=No

11 Access to information on milk handling and good farm

management practices

1=Yes 2=No

12 Other (specify)……… 1=Yes 2=No

O. MAJOR CROPS GROWN, INCOME SOURCES AND HOUSEHOLD INCOME

(Ask all farmers)

1. What are the major crops grown by the household in 2014/15 and the output

harvested?

Crop Grown* Quantity harvested (Number of 50 kg bags)

*Crop Codes 1=Maize 2=Groundnuts 3=Soyabeans 4=Sorghum 5=Mhunga 6=Rapoko

7=Bambaranuts (nyimo) 8=Cotton 9=Cotton 10=Nyemba 11=Other (specify)

2. What are the major sources of household cash income and what is your estimated cash

income for 2014 from that source?

Income Source Estimated Cash Income for 2014 (USD)

Dairying

Dryland Crop Production

Irrigation farming/Garden Vegetable

Production

Livestock Sales

Off-farm activities

Pension

Remittances/gifts

Formal Employment

Other (Specify)…………………………

P. CONSTRAINTS IN DAIRY PRODUCTION AND MARKETING (Ask all farmers)

P1. Please RANK the FIVE most important constraints you have observed in production

and marketing (1=most important).

255

Production

Constraints

Rank

(1=most

important

etc.)

Marketing Constraints Rank

(1=most

important)

1 Poor breeds Long distance to milk collection

centre from my home

2 Low milk yields High transport costs

3 High input costs Low producer prices

4 Lack of grazing land Inadequate market information

5 Inadequate feed Inadequate infrastructural

development

6 Poor feed quality Issues relating to quality of milk

produced

7 Prevalence of diseases Lack of access to adequate

markets

8 Dairy cattle

procurement

9 Lack of access to credit Others (specify)……

10 Inadequate water

supply

11 Others (specify)….

P2. What are your suggestions on improving dairy production and marketing activities?

Suggestions - Improving production Suggestions - improving marketing

1

2

3

4

5

6

Q. Any recommendations on that you may have on dairy production and marketing in

the smallholder areas in general.

____________________________________________________________________________

____________________________________________________________________________

____________________________________________________________________________

____________________________________________________________________________

____________________________________________________________________________

____________________________________________________________________________

___________

END OF QUESTIONNAIRE

*************************THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME*********************

256

Interview Guide 1: Focus Group Discussion Guide

UNIVERSITY OF ZIMBABWE, DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS

AND EXTENSION - DAIRY VALUE CHAIN STUDY 2015

FARMERS’ FOCUS GROUP DISCUSSIONS GUIDE – SMALLHOLDER DAIRY

FARMERS

Introduction

The objective of this interview guide to get information relating to the dairy value chain,

specifically focusing on smallholder farmers/farming schemes. Follow up questions of interest

may be asked depending on the nature of the group discussions. These follow-up questions

may not necessarily be in the interview guide.

Name of Scheme

Group Composition: Males

Females

Before starting the discussions, introduce the topic and objectives of the study to the group.

Assure the group that the information will be treated confidentially and the information

collected will be used for academic purposes in order to improve dairy production in the

country.

A. Farm Level Questions

1. What are the group members’ views on dairy production in the area in general?

(Brain storming questions)

2. What are the key factors that enable one to succeed in dairy production at the farm

level?

3. What support is critical for success at the farm level? (Institutional, marketing,

extension)

4. What has been the experience of the group in dairy farming?

(Explore issues of production, productivity, feeding regimes, marketing, viability,

financing)

5. What are the key production constraints at the farm level?

(Ask the group to rank the top five 1=most important) – Use appropriate ranking methods

such as heaping stones.

Table A1: Production constraints and ranking

Production Constraints Rank (1=most important etc.)

1 Poor breeds

2 Low milk yields

3 High input costs

4 Lack of grazing land

5 Inadequate feed

6 Poor feed quality

7 Prevalence of diseases

8 Dairy cattle procurement

257

9 Others (specify)….

10

6. What are the possible opportunities for the group in smallholder dairying?

B. Milk Collection Centre Level Questions

1. Where do the majority of the group members market their milk?

2. If the group markets collectively, what have been the major experiences?

3. What are the key factors constraining the Milk Collection Centre?

4. If market to a processor, what have been the main challenges in marketing as a group?

5. What are the key marketing constraints facing smallholder dairy producers? (Ask the

group to rank the first five, 1=most important).

Table B1: Marketing constraints and ranking

Marketing Constraints Rank (1=most important)

1 Long distance to milk collection centre

2 High transport costs

3 Low producer prices

4 Inadequate market information

5 Inadequate infrastructural development

6 Issues relating to quality of milk produced

7 Others (specify)……

8

9

10

6. What are the recommendations for improvement of smallholder dairying?

C. Animal Production and Forage Centre Questions

Feed has been identified as one of the main factors affecting participation of smallholder

farmers in production and marketing.

1. What are your opinions on how the cost of feed/fodder can be lowered to allow more

farmers to participate in smallholder dairy?

2. There have been suggestions of creating an animal production and forage research

centre at the Milk Collection Centre: What are your opinions on such a centre?

3. What do you think can be the contribution of such a centre to the lowering of costs

relating to:

Feed/Fodder

AI/ Productivity improvement

4. Contract farming is one way smallholder farmers can increase participation in

smallholder dairy value chain. In your view, why has there been no meaningful

development of contract farming in smallholder dairy farms?

D. Animal Diseases and Milk Quality Questions

1. What are the main diseases affecting dairy animals in the area?

2. How is the quality of milk produced by the group assessed?

3. What are the major milk quality challenges faced by the group?

4. How can the quality milk produced be improved in the dairy scheme?

258

E. General Questions

1. Are there any general comments you may have on smallholder dairying in Zimbabwe?

-END-

Interview Guide 2: Key Informant Interviews Guide Milk Collection Centre

UNIVERSITY OF ZIMBABWE, DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS

AND EXTENSION - DAIRY VALUE CHAIN STUDY 2015

KEY INFORMANT INTERVIEW GUIDE – MILK COLLECTION CENTRE (MCC)

Introduction

The objective of this interview guide is to get information relating to the dairy value chain,

specifically focusing on smallholder farmers/farming schemes. Follow up questions of interest

may be asked depending on the nature of the key informant interviews. These questions may

not necessarily be in the interview guide

Name of Milk Collection Centre (MCC)

Name of Key Informant

Position in MCC

Cellphone number

Email address (if applicable)

A. Status of Milk Collection Centre

When was the MCC formed? Year formed_________________

Functionality status of the MCC 1=Fully operational, 2=not functional 3=Very

few farmers delivering milk (few=less than a

third of registered members) 4=Other

(explain)….

What factors explain the current status of

the MCC?

Factors explaining……..

Has production in the last five years been? 1=increasing; 2=decreasing; 3=remained the

same 4=Other (specify)…….

What factors influence the production

trends in the last five years?

What is the current active membership

status of the MCC?

No. of active members_______________

What has been the active membership

trends in the last five years?

1=increasing; 2=decreasing; 3=remained the

same; 4=Other (specify)………

What factors influence such trends Factors____

What support services does the MCC offer

to members?

Services (specify)______________________

What are the institutional arrangements that

support the MCC for the following:

Production

Marketing

Research

Extension

259

Credit

Governance

What in your opinion are the key production constraints facing members of the MCC? (Please

rank the first five, 1=most important).

Table A1: Production constraints and ranking

Production Constraints Rank (1=most important etc.)

1 Poor breeds

2 Low milk yields

3 High input costs

4 Lack of grazing land

5 Inadequate feed

6 Poor feed quality

7 Prevalence of diseases

8 Dairy cattle procurement

9 Others (specify)….

10

What are the key marketing constraints facing members of the MCC? (Please rank the first

five, 1=most important).

Table B1: Marketing constraints and ranking

Marketing Constraints Rank (1=most important)

1 Long distance to milk collection centre

2 High transport costs

3 Low producer prices

4 Inadequate market information

5 Inadequate infrastructural development

6 Issues relating to quality of milk produced

7 Others (specify)……

8

9

10

In your view, what opportunities exist for smallholder milk production in the overall dairy

value chain?

____________________________________________________________________________

____________________________________________________________________________

____________________________________________________________________________

____________________________________________________________________________

________

B. Milk Collection, Delivery and Sales

1. How do members deliver milk to the MCC?__________________________

__________________________________________________________________

2. Are there raw milk sales at the MCC? 1=Yes; 2=No,

3. and what are the quantities sold per week and prices?

Quantity of milk sold per week Price

260

4. Is the milk processed at the MCC? 1=Yes, 2 =No.

5. If No, where is the milk processed and what is the mode of delivery to the

processor?

Processor Mode of delivery to processor

6. If processed at the MCC, what are the products produced and current prices?

Product Price

C. Viability Issues

1. In your view, what is the viability status of smallholder dairying:

At the MCC

level?________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

_

and the Producer

level?____________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

_

2. In your view, how viable is smallholder dairying in general?

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

____

3. What is the break-even milk yield (litres) per cow given current prices paid at the

MCC?

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

____

4. What is the break-even price given current production levels and costs?

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

____

5. What is your overall assessment in terms of why smallholder farmers have failed to

make a significant contribution to the milk output in the country?

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

____

261

6. In your opinion, what do you think should be done to increase marketed milk entering

the formal markets from smallholder areas?

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

______

D. Production Questions

Feed has been identified as one of the main factors affecting participation of smallholder

farmers in production and marketing.

5. What are your opinions on how the cost of feed/fodder can be lowered to allow more

farmers to participate in smallholder dairy?

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

____

6. There have been suggestions of creating an animal production and forage research

centre at the Milk Collection Centre: What are your opinions on such a centre?

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

____

7. What do you think can be the contribution of such a centre to the lowering of costs

relating to:

Feed__________________________________________________________________

__

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

____

Fodder________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

______

AI/ Productivity

improvement_______________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

__

______________________________________________________________________

__

8. Contract farming is one way smallholder farmers can increase participation in

smallholder dairy value chain.

In your view, why has there been no meaningful development of contract farming in

smallholder dairy farms?

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

____

262

E. Animal Diseases and Milk Quality Questions

5. What are the main diseases affecting dairy animals in the area?

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

____

6. How is the quality of milk produced by the group assessed?

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

____

7. What are the major milk quality challenges faced by the group?

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

____

8. How can the quality milk produced be improved in the dairy scheme?

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

____

F. General Questions

2. Are there any general comments you may have on smallholder dairying in Zimbabwe?

____________________________________________________________________________

____________________________________________________________________________

________________________________________________________________

Interview Guide 3: Key Informant Guide Stakeholders

UNIVERSITY OF ZIMBABWE, DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS

AND EXTENSION - DAIRY VALUE CHAIN STUDY 2015

TARGET KEY INFORMANTS [DDP, ZADF, AGRITEX, DVS, LPD, PROCESSORS-

DZL, KEFALOS, NESTLE, MILKZIM, NGOS ETC.]

Introduction

The objective of this interview guide to get information relating to the dairy value chain,

specifically focusing on smallholder farmers/farming schemes. Follow up questions of interest

may be asked depending on the nature of the key informant interviews. These questions may

not necessarily be in the interview guide

Name of Key Informant

Occupation

Location

Organization

Telephone number

Cellphone number

Email address

A. Overview of the Dairy Value Chain in Zimbabwe

Can you give an outline of your involvement in the dairy value chain?

263

What is the current status and trends in dairy production and marketing in Zimbabwe?

Who are the key value chain actors/stakeholders?

What are the roles of each of the actors/stakeholders?

In your view, what opportunities exist for smallholder milk production in the overall dairy

value chain?

Any documents/statistics that may be useful to understand the dairy value chain in Zimbabwe.

B. Status of Smallholder Dairying

What is your specific involvement with smallholder dairy farmers?

What is the current status and trends in smallholder dairy production and marketing?

What in your opinion are the key production constraints facing smallholder dairy producers?

(Please rank the first five, 1=most important).

Table A1: Production constraints and ranking

Production Constraints Rank (1=most important etc.)

1 Poor breeds

2 Low milk yields

3 High input costs

4 Lack of grazing land

5 Inadequate feed

6 Poor feed quality

7 Prevalence of diseases

8 Dairy cattle procurement

9 Others (specify)….

10

What are the key marketing constraints facing smallholder dairy producers? (Please rank the

first five, 1=most important).

Table B1: Marketing constraints and ranking

Marketing Constraints Rank (1=most important)

1 Long distance to milk collection centre

2 High transport costs

3 Low producer prices

4 Inadequate market information

5 Inadequate infrastructural development

6 Issues relating to quality of milk produced

7 Others (specify)……

8

9

10

Who are the key value chain actors/stakeholders in the smallholder dairy value chain?

What are their main roles in smallholder dairy?

What are the institutional arrangements for supporting smallholder dairy – in terms of

production, marketing, research, extension, credit, governance?

What is your overall assessment in terms of why smallholder farmers have failed to make a

significant contribution to the milk output in the country?

In your opinion, what do you think should be done to increase marketed milk entering the

formal markets from smallholder areas?

264

C. Production Questions

Feed has been identified as one of the main factors affecting participation of smallholder

farmers in production and marketing.

9. What are your opinions on how the cost of feed/fodder can be lowered to allow more

farmers to participate in smallholder dairy?

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

____

10. There have been suggestions of creating an animal production and forage research

centre at the Milk Collection Centre: What are your opinions on such a centre?

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

____

11. What do you think can be the contribution of such a centre to the lowering of costs

relating to:

Feed/Fodder____________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

___

AI/ Productivity

improvement_______________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

__

12. Contract farming is one way smallholder farmers can increase participation in

smallholder dairy value chain.

In your view, why has there been no meaningful development of contract farming in

smallholder dairy farms?

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

____

D. Animal Diseases and Milk Quality Questions

1. What are the main diseases affecting dairy animals?

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

___

2. How is the quality of milk produced by smallholder producers assessed?

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

____

3. What are the major milk quality challenges faced by smallholder producers?

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

____

4. How can the quality of milk produced by smallholders be improved?

265

______________________________________________________________________

______________________________________________________________________

____

E. General Questions

3. Are there any general comments you may have on smallholder dairying in Zimbabwe?

266

Item 4: Letter to facilitate data collection

267

Annex 3: Benefit-Cost Analysis of Animal Production and Forage Centre

Table 1: Parameters used with and without animal production and forage

centre benefit-cost analysis

Parameter Without With Number of cows milked 2 4 Lactation length 275 300 Lactation yield per cow per year 2173 6000 Milk sales (litres per year) 4346 24000 Milk price (USD/litre) 0.50 0.50 Total variable costs (USD/year) 1379 5500 Gross Income (USD/year) 2173 12000 Gross Mragin (USD/year) 794 6480 Source: Assumptions and Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

Table 2: Benefit and Cost Streams of the Present Value of Costs and Benefits

Without APFC With APFC

Perio

d

PV of

Costs

($'000

)

PV of

Benefit

s

($'000)

NPV

($'000

)

B/C

Rati

o

PV of

Costs

($'000)

PV of

Benefit

s

($'000)

NPV

($'000)

B/C

Rati

o

Year

0

137.8

9 299.75

161.8

7 630.56

1,200.0

0 569.44

Year

1

119.9

0 260.65

140.7

5 120.00

1,043.4

8 923.48

Year

2

104.2

6 226.65

122.3

9 104.35 907.37 803.02

Year

3 90.66 197.09

106.4

3 90.74 789.02 698.28

Year

4 78.84 171.38 92.55 78.90 686.10 607.20

Year

5 68.55 149.03 80.48 68.61 596.61 528.00

Year

6 59.61 129.59 69.98 59.66 518.79 459.13

Year

7 51.84 112.69 60.85 51.88 451.12 399.25

Year

8 45.07 97.99 52.91 45.11 392.28 347.17

Year

9 39.20 85.21 46.01 39.23 341.11 301.89

Total

Over

10

years

795.8

1

1,730.0

3

934.2

2 2.2

1,289.0

4

6,925.9

0

5,636.8

6 5.4

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

268

Table 3: Cost of setting up the hypothetical APFC

Nominal Costs

Costs of Setting up the APFC Year 0 (USD)

Centre Administrative buidings 140,000.00

Housing ( for 2 officers and 3 support staff) 20,000.00

Forage Centre (10 Ha) for forage production 10,000.00

Storeroom (for silage) 10,000.00

Irrigation infrastructure (for 10 Ha) 10,000.00

Basic furniture and equipment 10,000.00

TOTAL 200,000.00

Recurrent Expenditure USD/annum

Salaries 2 officers 24,000

Salaries 3 support staff 15,000

Allowances 30,000

TOTAL 69,000

Source: Key Informant Interviews and Author Compilation (2015)

Table 4: Sensitivity Analysis of the Present Value of Costs and Benefits

Witho

ut

APFC

50% increase in

cows in milk

50% increase in

milk production

Lactation

length

remains the

same

Period

NPV

($'000)

B/C

Ratio

NPV

($'000)

B/C

Ratio

NPV

($'000)

B/C

Ratio

NPV

($'000

)

B/C

Rati

o

Year 0 161.87 377.08 429.02 505.32

Year 1 140.75 662.61 733.04 836.52

Year 2 122.39 576.18 637.43 727.41

Year 3 106.43 501.03 554.29 632.53

Year 4 92.55 435.68 481.99 550.03

Year 5 80.48 378.85 419.12 478.28

Year 6 69.98 329.43 364.45 415.90

Year 7 60.85 286.46 316.91 361.65

Year 8 52.91 249.10 275.58 314.48

Year 9 46.01 216.61 239.63 273.46

Total Over 10 years 934.22 2.2

4,013.0

3 4.4

4,451.4

6 4.7

5,095.

58 5.1

Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

269

Annex 4: Publications

Paper 1: T Chamboko and E Mwakiwa. 2016. A review of smallholder dairy development in

Zimbabwe 1983 to 2013: the effect of policies. LRRD 28 (6)

Livestock Research for Rural

Development 28 (6) 2016

Guide for

preparation of

papers

LRRD Newsletter

Citation

of this

paper

Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension, University of Zimbabwe, P.O. Box MP

167, Mount Pleasant, Harare, Zimbabwe

[email protected]

Abstract

At independence in 1980, large scale commercial farmers supplied all the milk that

entered formal marketing channels. Although milk was produced in the communal areas,

this was mainly for subsistence purposes. In order to encourage the participation of

previously disadvantaged groups in formal markets, government in smallholder dairying

initiated the smallholder dairy development programme. This programme was meant to

promote farmers’ participation in commercial dairy production and marketing and to

achieve the growth with equity objective adopted at independence. The objectives of this

paper are to (1) critically examine the national milk intake trends against major policies

and (2) assess the extent policies affected milk intake and the extent to which each policy

contributed to variations in milk intake at the national, smallholder level and at selected

smallholder dairy schemes. A review of literature and analysis of published, unpublished

reports and documents, and statistics is performed.

Trend analysis results show that policies had an effect on national and smallholder milk

intake. Although milk intake increased during Economic Structural Adjustment

Programme, it decreased in subsequent periods. There is therefore need to capacitate both

the smallholder and large scale farmers in order for them to increase production. This could

be achieved through dairy production incentives. In the smallholder sector, although there

have been efforts by both government and development partners to support smallholder

dairying over the years, this sector have failed to make significant contribution to the

national economy. There is therefore, need to reassess the development model of

smallholder dairy and value chain development in order to unpack the potential

contribution of this sector to the national economy.

Key words: Africa, government, marketing

Introduction

The agricultural sector in Zimbabwe supports the livelihoods of approximately 70% of the

population, and contributes approximately 18% of GDP (ZimStat 2013). In the 1990s, the

agricultural sector was estimated to support about 60% of manufacturing activities. The

dairy subsector is an important component of the agricultural sector, with dairy produce

contributing about 3% of the value of agricultural production at year 2012 prices (ZimStat

2013). Most of the contribution of the dairy subsector comes from large scale commercial

farms. In the smallholder areas, besides income from the sale of milk, dairying contributes

to the food security and poverty reduction for households residing in the rural areas.

270

The consumption of milk in both the rural and urban areas has largely followed the trends

in national production. National milk production over the years has steadily declined from

a peak of 260 million litres in 1991 to the current 54 million litres (MAMID 2014). As a

result, per capita milk consumption in Zimbabwe is reported to be 8 litres against peak

levels of 25 litres (NewsDay 2012). These levels of milk consumption are generally low

compared to regional countries such as South Africa (56 litres per capita) and Zambia (10

litres per capita) (NewsDay 2012). The Government over the years has implemented a

number of policies, some supportive of dairy production, while others have had the

opposite effect. One of the major policies was to broaden the milk supply base through the

creation of the smallholder dairy development programme in 1983 that allowed

participation of smallholder farmers.

Other broad policies which were implemented by the Government included: single milk

market channel inherited from the colonial government and implemented just after

independence in 1980; the Economic Structural Adjustment Programme (ESAP) which

commenced in 1991; the Fast Track Land Reform Programme (FTLRP) which commenced

in the year 2000; and the dollarization which was implemented as from the year 2009. These

policies had some effects on the dairy industry just like the other sectors of Zimbabwe’s

economy (USAID 2012). However, the effects of the different policies are not very clear in

terms of the extent to which they affected or influenced the dairy sector in Zimbabwe.

Dairying in Zimbabwe has long been the preserve of Large Scale Commercial (LSC)

farmers. At independence in 1980, LSC farmers supplied all the milk entering the formal

marketing channels. Although milk was also produced in the communal areas, this was

mainly for subsistence purposes (Chavhunduka 1982). The major distinction between the

large scale commercial and the smallholder sector that comprises communal, small scale

commercial and resettlement areas was that LSC farmers mainly kept exotic dairy breeds

which have better milk yields compared to smallholder sector where indigenous breeds with

low milk yields were kept (Chavhunduka 1982). This paper gives an outline of smallholder

dairy development in Zimbabwe for the period 1983 to 2013.

Objectives of the Paper

The Livestock and Meat Advisory Council (2012) reports that processors’ estimate the national

requirement for raw milk in Zimbabwe at 10 million litres per month. The total national raw milk

intake for 2011 was about 5 million litres per month which gives a shortfall of approximately 5

million litres per month. The highest ever raw milk intake was 260 million litres per annum

achieved in 1991. Since then, the national milk intake has been on a downward trend culminating

in the current low milk intake. Smallholder farmers only contribute 5% of the national intake.

While there are various reasons given for this low milk intake, including the impact of policies,

smallholder farmers have not been able to make a significant contribution to the national milk

intake. The objectives of this paper therefore are to (1) critically examine the national milk intake

trends against major policies, and (2) to assess the extent policies affected milk intake and the

extent to which each policy contributed to variations in milk intake at the national, smallholder

level and at selected smallholder dairy schemes.

Materials and methods

A review of literature and analysis of published, unpublished reports and documents, and statistics

was performed in order to assess the effect of policies and identify constraints in the smallholder

dairy subsector. In order to assess the effect of policies on national and smallholder level milk

intake, the major policies were classified into four distinct periods. The period 1980 to 1989 was

271

classified as the single channel marketing period in which the Dairy Marketing Board (DMB)

held monopoly in the purchase, distribution, and trade in dairy products. The period 1990 to 1999

was classified as the period when the government implemented the economic structural

adjustment programme (ESAP) that led to the privatization of the DMB in 1993, and the

participation of other private players. The year 2000 saw government implementing the fast track

land redistribution programme that was accompanied by contraction of the economy, eventually

leading to hyperinflation in the years 2007 to 2008. The dairy sector remained deregulated during

this period. The last class period is from 2009 to present when the government introduced the

multiple currency systems or dollarization. The major hypothesis is that milk production intake

depends on the policies that were implemented by government during the respective periods. This

study therefore examines smallholder dairy development within the context of the policy

frameworks since 1980, analysis of trends and comparative analysis of smallholder within the

context of national milk intake and trends.

The study will initially present an overall trend analysis of national milk intake (large and small

farmers) and for the smallholder intake levels and the trend will be discussed accordingly. In

addition to the trend analysis of national milk intake, the group differences will be performed

from 1980 to 2013, within the context of the policy framework periods in order to assess the

effects of the policies on milk production intake. The groups will be based on policy periods

already highlighted – the first group will be the “single market channel” covering the years 1980

to 1989; the second group will be “ESAP era” covering the years 1990 to 1999; the third group

will be the “Land Reform era” covering the years 2000 to 2008; and finally the fourth group

would be the “Dollarization era” covering 2009 to 2013. The average milk intake for these policy

periods will be analyzed in the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) version 16 to

check if there have been any significant differences in milk intake between the policy periods.

The analysis will use one way analysis of variance (ANOVA) and interactive bar graphs. If the

ANOVA is significant, multiple comparison tests using the Tukey post-hoc multiple comparison

test will be performed to check for significant differences between policy periods, and to show

which policy periods differed significantly from each other in influencing milk production. The

ANOVA methodology will be used for analysis of the milk production at national level,

smallholder level and for selected smallholder dairy schemes. Due to differential data availability,

there would be limited analysis in terms of policy periods for smallholder milk production and

some schemes to be analyzed.

Results

Review of Literature on Developments in Milk Production in Zimbabwe

Large Scale Commercial Dairying

Large Scale Commercial dairying in Zimbabwe dates back to 1910 when the colonial government

took steps to stimulate dairy farming (Muzuva 1989; Mupeta 2000). The government put in place

extension and milk production training services. Milk production expanded over the years and

this was mainly handled by producer cooperatives and the first milk processing plant was

established in Gweru in 1912. In 1947, the government introduced the Milk Subsidy Committee

to enable consumers to access milk. However, by 1949, the producer cooperatives were facing

financial difficulties. There were serious disruptions in the handling and distribution of milk and

milk products and serious seasonal shortages. The colonial government came under pressure from

the white urban consumers to improve on availability of milk. The white urban consumers also

questioned the introduction of the Milk Subsidy Committee since consumers could not get the

milk. This forced the government, under pressure from the predominantly white farming

electorate, to set up a Milk Marketing Committee. The purpose of the committee was to directly

272

purchase milk from producers and resell to distributors. In order to improve on the availability of

milk and milk products to consumers, the government in 1952 set up the Dairy Marketing Board

(DMB) to purchase all milk and dairy products, process, distribute and import, as well as to erect

and operate milk processing plants (Muzuva 1989).

According to Muzuva (1989) the1960s period was marked by milk supply and demand problems

which necessitated the government to set up a Commission of Inquiry into the dairy industry. The

commission in its 1961 report concluded that the official policy to stimulate milk production was

fundamentally in accord with the post war economic climate in the country. Supply in the 1960s

was growing faster than demand and this forced the government to come up with alternative

marketing strategies. In an effort to stimulate milk consumption by the urban black population,

skimmed milk derived from butter manufactured for the urban white consumers was used to

produce lacto (dairy “sawa”) for provision on welfare schemes for black children attending

nursery schools. In addition, a network of depots was set up in the high density areas where

predominantly the black population resided. These measures resulted in a high off take of milk

and milk products.

At independence in 1980, the new majority government inherited the milk and milk products

production and marketing that was dominated by white LSC farms and marketed through the

DMB. However, the government faced a situation similar to the colonial government post second

world war situation of improved purchasing power and increased access to milk by outlying areas

(Muzuva 1989). Exports had to be interrupted in order to accommodate increase in domestic milk

sales. However, it should be noted that the increased demand was based on uneconomically low

consumer prices due to the policy of subsidies that was maintained by the government in early

years of independence (Muir-Leresche and Muchopa 2006).

Why smallholder dairying after independence?

The Government of Zimbabwe adopted the growth with equity objective at independence in 1980

(Zimbabwe Government 1981). In order to fulfill this objective, the Government of Zimbabwe in

1980 embarked on a programme to promote the participation of previously disadvantaged groups

in formal markets (Muir 1994). Previously, dairying was dominated by LSC farmers with little

participation of small scale commercial and communal farmers in dairying production and

marketing. A commission of Enquiry into the Agricultural Industry in 1982 indicated that milk

production in the communal areas was mainly for subsistence purposes, and exotic breeds were

not kept and the yields were very low (Chavhunduka 1982).

Evolution of Smallholder Dairying

The analysis of smallholder dairying cannot be separated from the development of the Dairy

Development Programme (DDP). This programme started as the Peasant Sector Development

Programme (PSDP) then under the DMB in 1983 following a directive from the government on

all parastatals to promote the participation of indigenous Zimbabweans in sectors which had

previously been dominated by predominantly white large scale commercial interests (DDP 1997).

DMB saw this as an opportunity to create strong linkages between its primary producers in order

to add value to the primary product. DMB also saw this as an opportunity to secure and expand

the raw milk production supply base due to increased demand for milk in both urban and rural

areas after independence. This increased demand was not matched by an increase in the

production base. The main reason was that the production base inherited at independence of

approximately 500 LSC dairy producers was no longer able to cope with the increased national

milk demand.

273

The First Communal Farming Area Dairy Scheme

Following on from the government directive, DMB initiated a feasibility study to consider the

potential for a milk collection scheme in Chikwaka in 1983 (DMB 1988). Chikwaka was selected

because of its proximity to Harare the capital city, location in agro-ecological region IIa which

receives 800 to 1000 mm rainfall per annum and was therefore considered suitable for intensive

systems of crop and livestock production. Although the initial objective was for milk production

only, there were several constraints identified that hindered the attainment of this objective. The

major constraints identified were (1) lack of properly controlled and managed grazing (2) cattle

dip was too far (3) water shortages (4) poor sanitary facilities (5) lack of knowledge of dairying

and (6) low milk yield produced by indigenous stock. These constraints needed to be overcome

before milk production could be introduced to the area.

A planning committee encompassing all government departments and different groups and

associations was formed to coordinate and plan the activities in order to overcome these

constraints. The results of a socio-economic study undertaken showed that milk production could

not be considered in isolation but as an integral part of the farming system pertaining to many

communal areas of Zimbabwe. As a result, DMB had to work in collaboration with other

Ministries, agencies and farmer associations in the development of smallholder dairy. The DMB

then appointed a project officer and three liaison officers to cater for both mobilization and link

with the DMB. The Rural District Council donated a 10 hectare plot for construction of the milk

collection centre and establishing a demonstration plot for training. Other donors also intervened,

with the European Economic Commission (EEC) funding the Kawoyo grazing scheme while

farmers contributed labour to the project. The Dutch Embassy provided building materials for the

construction of a dip tank, while DMB sourced and sold cement at cost price for the construction

of latrines and also purchased a rig to help the community to drill boreholes. On the

22nd December 1987, a total of 13 farmers altogether brought 136 litres of milk to the collection

centre (DMB 1988). The Chikwaka milk collection centre thus became the first to be established

in a communal area as part of a broad based development programme centred on milk production

(DDP 1995). The centre was then registered by Dairy Services as a producer-retailer in line with

changes to accommodate the smallholder areas.

The First Small Scale Commercial Farming Area Dairy Scheme

DMB’s second pilot study was undertaken in Marirangwe small scale commercial farming area.

This was mainly because a group of farmers from Marirangwe had approached the Board in mid-

1983 to express their interest in entering the commercial dairy industry. A decision was then made

to undertake a study focusing on the technical capacity of the farmers. Organizational aspects of

the milk collection centre to be eventually established were left to the community. This study was

facilitated by the Department of Agricultural Technical and Extension Services (Agritex) at both

provincial and local levels. According to DMB (1984), the local extension worker submitted a

list of 21 farmers who were interested in a milk collection project.

After assessment of the area in terms of the community profile and resource base, the DMB

concluded that a milk collection scheme had a good chance of success. Several factors considered

in the assessment were in favour of such a scheme (DMB 1988). Firstly, such a scheme had once

been requested before Zimbabwe’s war of liberation. Secondly, farmers were anxious to realize

income from one of their major assets (cattle) and were aware of the potential benefit of the

scheme. Thirdly, farmers were sufficiently motivated to undertake the formation of committees

to run the scheme and appointment of the necessary staff. Fourthly, Agritex reported that 75% of

farmers in the area were receptive to new ideas and lastly, the area was close to some big LSC

274

dairy producers who were prepared to offer advice, bull service and possibly heifers (or

crossbreds) for sale to the neighboring community.

However, there were some factors that militated against the successful establishment of the milk

collection scheme. These included training and extension services for farmers, the question of

milking sheds and herd improvement and transport for those farmers who were fairly distant from

the milking centre (maximum of 10 km). The Dairy Act and Regulations that were enacted during

the colonial era were another major constraint in implementing the project in Marirangwe (DMB

1984). According to DMB (1984) it was considered neither feasible nor essential for each farmer

or group of farmers to bear the cost of constructing the type of milking facility that was prescribed

in the Act. The DMB recommended that before possible changes to the Act could be requested,

Marirangwe could be used as an experimental project to enable the research team to assess

problems likely to be encountered and changes to the Act that could be safely requested. Some of

the requirements of the Act were finally waived so that milk that did not necessarily comply with

the Act could be collected from Marirangwe. This was to enable the research team to collect

crucial experience based data on milk quality, optimal carrying distances, appropriate testing

procedures, sterilizing equipment, frequency of collection, seasonality of supply and others. This

enabled the Marirangwe small scale dairy scheme to proceed and it was envisaged there would

be a handover-takeover by farmers after two years. The milk collection centre (MCC) initially

catered for the local community’s fresh milk requirements and the surplus was marketed at the

DMB Harare Diary.

Major Policies during the Period 1980 to 2013

The period 1980 to 2013 has seen Zimbabwean economy undergoing major policy shifts. The

first ten years (1980 to 1989) were characterized by a single channel marketing system under

which statutory organizations operated for most of the major agricultural commodities, including

dairy (Muir 1994). The statutory organization responsible for dairy was the Dairy Marketing

Board (DMB), formed in 1952. The DMB had monopoly in the purchase, processing, distribution

and external trade of all dairy products. Government administered producer prices, and also set

both wholesale and retail prices. Prices were established pan-territorially, and pan seasonally.

However, milk producer prices were not set pan-seasonally as these were adjusted to take into

account changes in farmer feeding costs. According to Chidzero (1994) the major policy thrust in

the first ten years was to bring about social transformation which would positively redress the

socio-economic imbalance which existed prior to independence. Government therefore

introduced or reinforced price controls as part of the principle of growth with equity. However,

one of the implications of these price controls was the continued subsidization of marketing

boards. As a result the government between 1980 and 1990 paid the DMB an average of about

USD4 million (ZWD34 million at 1994 exchange rates) per annum direct consumer subsidies

(Muir 1994).

The problems with the subsidies in the first 10 years of independence was that they were not

targeted to particular groups of people, and therefore did not assist the people they were intended

to assist. The price controls at the same time also discouraged investors. Government in 1990 then

launched the Economic Structural Adjustment Programme (ESAP) which was aimed at

stimulating investment and economic activity. The policy reforms envisaged entailed moving

away from a highly regulated economy to one where market forces were expected to play a greater

role within the context of government objectives (Chidzero 1994). As part of these reforms, the

DMB was initially commercialized and later privatized in 1993, turning from losses to profits in

the same year. However, although the company achieved profits, these were achieved against low

producer prices and these were reflected in the steady decline in the LSC herd from 115,000 in

1993 to 82,000 head in 1999 (Muir 1994).

275

The fast track land redistribution programme was launched in the year 2000. This period was

characterised by massive land occupations and economic decline and crisis (Moyo 2006). The

key elements of the fast track were speeding up of identification and compulsory acquisition of

land for resettlement, accelerating planning and demarcation of acquired land and settler

emplacement on the land, and providing basic infrastructure and farmer support services. The

effects of the fast track land redistribution programme, coupled with droughts, resulted in dairy

animals being sent for slaughter. Overall production in all sectors of the economy declined during

the period 2000 to 2008, including the dairy industry. During this period, dairy farmers were

forced to barter milk for stock feeds. The introduction of the government of national unity in

2009, coupled with the introduction of the multicurrency regime enabled the economy to slowly

rebuild.

Trends in National Milk Intake

The trend for national milk production shows that milk production steadily increased in the first

ten years (1980 to 1990), reaching a peak in 1991, and steadily declined from 1991 up to 2009,

when it started slowly going up (Figure 1). The peak production period was achieved in 1991 at

260 million litres. Since then, milk production has steadily declined, reaching a low of 37 million

litres in 2009. Although the decline started during the period the government implemented the

ESAP in the early 1990s, the fast track land redistribution programme also led to further decline

in dairy production in terms of milk production, number of producers and the total dairy herd

(Figure 1).

Figure 1. National milk intake (million litres

Effect of Policies on National Milk Intake

Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) results of national milk intake on policy periods shows that

policy periods had significant effects on milk production (p<0.1; F3, 28 =24.10; at 1%; and N=31).

This shows that the policies had an effect on national milk intake. The multiple comparison using

Tukey post hoc multiple comparison tests show that there was no significant differences in milk

intake during the single channel market period and ESAP, while there were significant differences

in national milk intake between the single channel market period and ESAP, and between the land

276

reform and dollarization periods. These results are summarized in Figure 2 showing the

interactive bar graphs and the results of the multiple comparison tests.

Figure 2. Mean (±95% CL) national milk intake (million litres) for different policy periods

interactive.

Numbers in bars are subgroups based on multiple comparison tests.

Trends in Smallholder Milk Intake

The trends in smallholder milk intake show that it reached a peak in the year 1995 with about 3.6

million litres, and steadily declined up to the year 2000, when about 1.4 million litres of milk

were produced. From 2000 onwards, milk intake fluctuated and dropped significantly in 2008

when about 78 thousand litres were produced due economic challenges and hyperinflation. The

trend started showing a steady upwards trend from the year 2009 with the introduction of the

multi-currency system or dollarization (Figure 3).

Figure 3. Smallholder milk intake (million litres) 1988 - 2012

Effect of Policies on Smallholder Milk Intake

277

The ANOVA produced the following results (p< 0.1; F 3,21 = 9,47 at 1%; N=24). These results

show that policies had an effect on smallholder total milk intake. Multiple comparison using the

Tukey post-hoc multiple comparison tests also show a significant difference between the single

channel market period and ESAP, ESAP and land reform period, and ESAP and dollarization,

while there were no significant differences between the policy periods land reform and single

channel market, dollarization and single market and dollarization and land reform. These results

are summarized in Figure 4.

Figure 4. Mean (±95% CL) smallholder milk intake in litres for different policy periods

interactive bars.

Numbers in bars are subgroups based on multiple comparison tests

Effects of Polices on Milk Intake of Selected Smallholder Dairy Schemes

In order to understand the effects of the policy frameworks periods on scheme level milk intake,

interactive bar graphs and ANOVA were performed for two smallholder dairy schemes of Rusitu

and Marirangwe. These schemes form some part of the early development of dairying in the

resettlement and small scale commercial areas, respectively. The results are shown in Figures 5

and 6 respectively.

278

Figure 5. Mean (±95% CL) Rusitu dairy scheme milk intake in litres for different policy

periods. Interactive bars.

Numbers in bars are subgroups based on multiple comparison tests.

Figure 6. Mean (±95% CL) Marirangwe dairy scheme milk intake in litres for different policy

periods interactive bars.

Numbers in bars are subgroups based on multiple comparison tests

ANOVA results for Rusitu (p=0.05; F 3,19 = 3.128; N=22) and Marirangwe (p=0.08; F 3,18 = =

2.65; N = 22) smallholder dairy schemes indicate that there were no significant differences in the

policy periods at 1%. Multiple comparison using the Tukey multiple comparison tests for both

Rusitu and Marirangwe show that there were no significant differences in the four policy periods

of single channel market, ESAP, land reform and dollarization.

Discussion

Effect of Policies on National Milk Intake

The results of the effects of policies on national milk intake explain some of the major policies

and investments that have gone into dairy production over the period. During the period 1980 to

279

1990, Government of Zimbabwe (GoZ) in February 1983 through an agreement with Norway

received a donation of bulk milk tanks, which led to the creation of the bulk milk collection

scheme. The aim was to modernize and stimulate milk production from the LSC producers (AMA

1987). According to the AMA (1987) the bulk milk collection scheme signaled a significant

investment in the existing dairy industry and played a major role in encouraging new farmers to

enter the industry. By the end of June 1987, 318 tanks were operational and 70% of milk intake

was collected through the bulk milk scheme. A further agreement was signed between GoZ and

Norway in 1987 for the supply of an additional 200 farm tanks. It was expected that with the

supply of the additional 200 tanks, 95% of the milk would be handled through the scheme. Large

Scale Commercial farmers participating in the bulk milk scheme would lease the bulk farm tanks

from the DMB and pay rental charges. The rentals money generated from the scheme was

designed for developing the dairy industry in small scale commercial and communal farming

areas, and the rentals were supposed to be over a 15 year period. The bulk milk tanks rentals were

instrumental in financing the early development of the smallholder dairy schemes and were

supposed to generate USD 2.3 million (Z$12.6 million at 1992 exchange rates) over the 15 year

period (DDP 1992). Cumulatively, for the period 1984 to 1991, USD0.7 million (Z$3.4 million

at 1991 exchange rates) of counterpart funds had been used to finance the development of

smallholder dairy, with USD0.9 million (Z$4.6 million) from Norwegian Agency for

Development Cooperation (NORAD), government USD185,882 (Z$948,000), other donors

USD29,803 (Z$152,000) and farmers USD135,490 (Z$ 691,000).

According to the AMA (1987), due to the improvements in the dairy industry the DMB in 1986/87

season purchased 224 million litres of milk from producers which exerted severe pressure on the

DMB’s handling capacity. The AMA (1987) also reports that while the urban market was well

supplied with milk, it was estimated that there was a shortage of milk in rural areas of about 145

million litres per annum. This prompted government to task the then Dairy Coordinating

Committee within the Ministry of Lands, Agriculture and Rural Resettlement to develop a

strategy for the dairy industry which incorporated the peasant sector as part of the productive

base. The peasant sector then had only two operational schemes of Chikwaka in the communal

and Marirangwe in the small scale farming areas. This led to further developments in the

smallholder dairy programme and by 1987; there were several other dairy projects at various

stages of development. These were located at Tsonzo, Nharira, Lancashire, Zvimba, Guruve, and

Chitomborwizi. Each project involved research, pasture and forage management on a

demonstration plot aimed at improving dairy production, installation of milking sheds and milk

collection centres (AMA, 1988).

During the ESAP period, a number of dairy producers and cooperatives were registered and these

competed directly with the privatized Dairibord Zimbabwe Limited (DZL). However, overall

milk production continued to decline as efforts were continued to build the smallholder dairy

sector. During the fast track land reform that started in 2000, the number of registered large scale

commercial dairy producers reduced from 314 in 2000 to 135 in 2011 (LMAC, 2012). The

numbers of female dairy cattle were reduced from about 70,000 in 2000 to about 23,000 in 2011.

According to DZL (2009) the number of dairy animals at peak was estimated at 200,000.

According to USAID (2007), during this period GDP in constant prices over the five years to

2006 contracted at an annual rate of 5.8%, which was among the world’s worst performance. This

decline in economy continued to the year 2008, which was characterized by hyperinflation.

Effect of Policies on Smallholder Milk Intake

The smallholder results explain the effects of policy on dairy production during the period 1980

to 2013 in the smallholder areas. Since the results show that there were no significant differences,

this indicates that they may be other factors other than policies that affect milk production at the

280

smallholder dairy scheme level. It is important to note that in the smallholder areas, milk intake

does not reflect production as approximately 30 to 40% of milk produced by farmers is assumed

retained for home consumption and calf rearing needs (Dube 2008). Smallholder dairy only

started in 1983 with financing from funds generated from the bulk milk collection scheme

introduced in the same year, hence the birth of the DDP programme. The DDP acted as the

implementing body of dairy development projects in communal, resettlement, and small scale

commercial farming areas (AMA 1988). The role of the DDP since its formation has been to

facilitate the infrastructural and training needs of the farmers. In April 1989, the DDP was

transferred from the DMB to the Agricultural and Rural Development Authority (ARDA).

According to the DDP Phase II strategy (July 1988 to October 2003), this was necessitated by the

redefinition of the mandates of parastatals in preparation for the Economic Structural Adjustment

programme (ESAP) which was launched in 1990. This necessitated the transfer since DMB was

regarded a milk processing organization, hence the transfer to ARDA which is an agricultural

development organization. ULG Consultants (1994a) cite the concentration of the DMB on the

commercial side of its operations as necessitating the transfer. Also, the fact that ARDA had been

operating the Rusitu small scale dairy resettlement scheme since 1983 with assistance from the

Overseas Development Association (ODA) made it a suitable home for DDP. DDP (1989) further

proposed the integration of DDP and Rusitu because both schemes dealt with milk production by

small scale farmers. The integration of Rusitu brought the number of dairy schemes under ARDA

to 10. In addition there was Nyarungu Training Centre dairy scheme which catered specifically

for the training needs of smallholder farmers.

When DDP was transferred to ARDA, there were successful negotiations which led to NORAD

directly funding DDP to the tune of NOK 25 million (about USD1.2 million at 1998 exchange

rates) for the period 1990 to 1997. According to ULG Consultants (1994b), the development

model used by DDP had been tested and tried in other countries and adapted to the Zimbabwe

situation. The model used has the following characteristics:

(1) DDP moves into an area at the request of the local community to assess the potential for milk

production and the interest of the community to come together as a group to produce and sell

milk;

(2) Using the team approach, DDP then organizes participants into a group, then mobilizes the

input supplies (including finance and dairy animals), services and milk collecting infrastructure

required to produce and market milk surplus to domestic needs through the group milk centre

(which is usually a bulk milk tank and feed store in a small building);

(3) The support also includes assistance to manage the group, to construct milking sheds, to rent

a bulk milk tank from the National Dairy Cooperative (NDC) and if appropriate to acquire other

processing equipment;

(4) The Ministry of Agriculture Dairy Services licensing has also been modified to accommodate

such small scale groups treating the group as one producer-retailer;

(5) Each member producer has to have a small milking shed or parlour, or access to a shed or

parlour for milking the cows. The specifications of the milking parlour required have also been

modified by Dairy Services to accommodate smallholder dairying.

According to ULG (1994b), members have a say in how the group is organized. DDP usually

would first encourage members to form an association, which would give the group legal status.

DDP, with assistance from Agritex would then train the members in milk production and farm

management, and provide extension services during the start-up phase. Initially, members would

281

start with indigenous cows, progressing to crosses and pure breeds as they gain management

experience.

The DDP (1989) indicates that although the key to the dairy programme is appropriate technical

skills and the establishment of a milk marketing infrastructure (especially the multi-purpose milk

centres for handling milk, etc.), the DDP is broad based programme designed to develop people

through the initiation of a development process rather than purely the development of cows. This

broad based approach could possibly explain why there have been various factors constraining

the development of smallholder dairy in Zimbabwe. This is mainly because the main focus of

DDP is not 100% dairy development, but focusing on a multifaceted development programme.

The development projects that have been piloted by the DDP in all the provinces are supposed to

form a nucleus identified through government multi-agencies in terms of potential for sustaining

multifaceted development programme (DDP 1989).

The development model used by ARDA has largely been followed, although there were no new

dairy schemes established during the period 2000 to 2008. There are currently a total of 20

smallholder dairy schemes countrywide (excluding Nyarungu Training Centre dairy scheme). An

additional eight potential dairy schemes have been identified but these are not yet operational

because there has been no infrastructural development for the dairy schemes.

Conclusions

The key finding from this study is that milk production has been decreasing over time.

Although during the ESAP period, national milk production increased, it decreased during

the subsequent periods.

There is therefore need to capacitate both the smallholder and large scale farmers in order

for them to increase production.

This could be achieved through dairy production incentives. Although there are now a

total of 20 smallholder dairy schemes countrywide, some are currently not functional due

to a number of constraints. This calls into question the DDP dairy development model.

The DDP development model is broad based, suitable for multifaceted rural development

and may therefore not be suitable for dairy development. Smallholder dairy has therefore

not made a significant impact in terms of its contribution to national milk intake, and

contribution to the national economy.

There is need therefore, to reassess the development of smallholder dairy and value chain

development in order to unpack the potential contribution of this subsector to the national

economy.

Acknowledgements

A PhD thesis grant from the Africa Economic Research Consortium (AERC) based in Nairobi is

greatly acknowledged. However, the views expressed in the paper reflect the authors’ views, and

not of any other person.

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Received 30 March 2016; Accepted 28 April 2016; Published 2 June 2016

Go to top

Paper 2: T. Chamboko, E. Mwakiwa and P.H. Mugabe. 2017. Determinants of Milk Market

Participation and Volume of Sales to Milk Collection Centres of the Smallholder Dairy Value

Chain in Zimbabwe

Journal of Agricultural Science; Vol. 9, No. 10; 2017 ISSN 1916-9752 E-ISSN 1916-9760

Published by Canadian Center of Science and Education

Determinants of Milk Market Participation and Volume of Sales to Milk Collection

Centres of the Smallholder Dairy Value Chain in Zimbabwe

Tafireyi Chamboko1, Emmanuel Mwakiwa1 & Prisca H. Mugabe2 1 Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension, University of Zimbabwe, Harare,

Zimbabwe

2 Department of Animal Science, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe

Correspondence: Tafireyi Chamboko, Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension,

University of Zimbabwe, P.O. Box MP 167, Mount Pleasant, Harare, Zimbabwe. Tel: 263-4-303-

211. E-mail: [email protected]

Received: July 12, 2017

Accepted: August 16,

2017

Online Published: September

15, 2017

doi:10.5539/jas.v9n106 URL: https://doi.org/10.5539/jas.v9n10p156

The research is financed by African Economic Research Consortium (AERC) based in Nairobi,

Kenya. Abstract At the attainment of Zimbabwe’s independence, government of Zimbabwe established the

smallholder dairy development programme to encourage smallholder farmers to participate in

formal milk markets. Although now more than three decades since the government established

this programme, smallholder contribution to the national formal market remains low at 5%. This

study was undertaken to determine factors affecting milk market participation and volume of sales

to milk collection centres of the smallholder dairy value chain. Four smallholder dairy schemes

were purposively selected on the basis of whether the scheme participated in the semi-formal or

formal dairy value chain. A total of 185 farmers were then selected through simple random

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sampling and interviewed using a pretested structured questionnaire. Data were analysed using

descriptive statistics and Heckman two-stage selection econometric models. Results show that

resources (represented by dairy cows, household size), knowledge (educational level, access to

information and extension), experience (household head age) and agro-ecological region

significantly determined farmers’ participation in milk markets. The study also shows the

determinants of milk sales volumes to be resources (number of dairy cows and landholding size);

market access (distance to milk collection centre); ambition of the farmer (age); and natural

climatic conditions (agro- ecological region). Government policy interventions therefore need to

be targeted at increasing the number of dairy cows, taking into account landholding and market

access, targeting educated, young farmers located in agro-ecological regions I and II, providing

them with adequate, appropriate information and extension packages in order to enhance milk

market participation and volume of sales. Keywords: dairy scheme, formal, Heckman two-stage model, semi-formal, southern Africa 1. Introduction At the attainment of Zimbabwe’s independence in 1980, large scale commercial farmers supplied

all the milk that entered the formal markets. Milk produced by smallholder farmers was mainly

for subsistence purposes (Chavhunduka, 1982). The government of Zimbabwe established the

smallholder dairy development programme in 1983 to encourage smallholder farmers to

participate in formal milk markets (Chamboko & Mwakiwa, 2016). By 2016, the smallholder

dairy development programme was credited with facilitating the establishment of about 20

smallholder dairy schemes located in various parts of the country. These schemes have provided

an avenue through which smallholder farmers participate in dairy production and marketing. A

distinct feature of the smallholder dairy schemes are the milk collection centres and sub-centres

that are run by farmer managed marketing cooperatives. The milk collection centres are

responsible for bulking up the milk from the producers and are equipped with cooling facilities.

Through the support of government and donors over the years, some of the milk collection centres

have acquired and established milk processing facilities and are able to process the milk to

produce mainly fermented milk (Amasi) and yoghurts. Smallholder dairy schemes that process

milk at the milk collection centre participate in the semi-formal value chain, whereby the milk

and milk products

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produced are largely sold to consumers within the local community in the rural areas and to nearby

rural service centres or rural growth points. There are also smallholder dairy schemes that do not

process the milk at the milk collection centre but deliver the milk to established urban based

processors. These urban based dairy processors process the milk into various products such as

Ultra-high temperature processing (UHT) milk, cheese, yoghurts, and dairy related beverages

which are predominantly sold to consumers in the urban areas. The milk collection centres of the

smallholder dairy schemes that supply milk to urban based processors participate in the formal

dairy value chain. The smallholder dairy value chain therefore predominantly is comprised of the

semi-formal and the formal dairy value chains. Although it is now more than three decades since the government of Zimbabwe established the

smallholder dairy development programme and subsequent smallholder dairy schemes and milk

collection centres, milk delivered to the milk collection centres has not had significant impact on

national volumes, only contributing 5% of the milk entering the formal markets. This is unlike

other developing countries similar to Zimbabwe such as Kenya, where 80% of the milk entering

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the formal markets comes from smallholder farmers (Moll, Staal, & Ibrahim, 2007). According

to Muriuki and Thorpe (2002), in Eastern and Sothern Africa, with the exception of Zimbabwe

and South Africa, dairy production is dominated by smallholder farmers. A number of studies

have been carried out particularly in Eastern and Northern Africa to understand milk market

participation and volume of supply to markets ( e.g., Demissie, Komicha, & Kedir, 2014 in

Ethiopia; Balirwa, Nalunkuuma, & Sserunkuuma, 2016 in Uganda). These studies indicate

important socio-economic variables that are relevant in informing the development of

interventions to improve market participation and productivity, which ultimately increases

volume of milk sales from smallholder dairy producers. There is, however a paucity of milk

market participation and volume of supply studies that have been performed in Southern Africa.

This study therefore contributes to the literature on milk market participation and volume of

supply studies. The objective of this study therefore is to assess the determinants of milk market

participation and volume of milk sales to the milk collection centres of the smallholder dairy value

chain in Zimbabwe in order to inform the development appropriate interventions that can enhance

smallholder farmers’ milk market participation and improvement in the volume of milk sales. 2. Method 2.1 Description of Study Areas Four smallholder dairy schemes under the dairy development porgramme were purposively

selected on the basis of whether there was milk collection centre processing (to supply the semi-

formal value chain), linkages with established urban based processors (to supply the formal value

chain), farming system (Note 1), agro-ecological or natural region (NR) (Note 2) location of the

scheme, and performance in terms of daily deliveries of milk to the milk collection centre. Two

schemes participating in the semi-formal value chain selected were Chikwaka and Nharira-

Lancashire, and two supplying the formal value chain were Marirangwe and Rusitu smallholder

dairy schemes. The characteristics of the selected study sites are summarized in Table 1.

Table 1. Characteristics of smallholder dairy schemes selected for the study, Zimbabwe 2015

Smallholder Dairy

Scheme Chikwaka

Nharira-

Lancashire Marirangwe Rusitu

Value Chain Participates in Participates in

Supplies

Formal

Supplies Formal value

chain

semi-formal semi-formal value chain

Milk Processing

Milk

collection

Milk

collection

Delivered to

processors

Delivered to

Dairibord Zimbabwe

centre

processing

centre

processing

(based in the

capital city

limited (privatised

company of the

of Harare)

former state run Dairy

Marketing

Board)

Agro-ecological

location of the NR II NR III NR II NR I

scheme or natural

region (NR)

Farming system Communal

Encompasses

both

Small scale

commercial Old resettlement area

Communal

and Small

scale

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commercial

Total milk

deliveries to

Average 200

litres/day

Average 200

litres/day

Average 400

litres/day

Average 600

litres/day

milk collection

centre

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2.2 Sampling Techniques The lists of all members of the smallholder dairy schemes were obtained from the milk

collection centres. The list included producers who were and those who were not delivering

milk at the time of the study. These lists formed the sampling frames for the sample survey.

The samples were selected from lists of 65 producers in Chikwaka, 125 producers in Nharira-

Lancashire, 35 in Marirangwe and 245 in Rusitu. The objective was to interview at least 50

producers from each smallholder dairy scheme within the given time frame and available

research resources. Simple random sampling was used to select the sample of farmers included

in the study. Since the sampling frame for Marirangwe smallholder dairy scheme had less than

50 households, the sample of farmers included in the study were all the producers in the

sampling frame. The total number of households interviewed in the four smallholder dairy

schemes was therefore 185 farmers. This sample provides a cross section of farmers to

represent determinants of market participation and volume of sales to the milk collection

centres of the smallholder dairy value chain under different farming systems, agro-ecological

potentials and varying scheme performance levels. 2.3 Data Collection Methods Quantitative and qualitative data were collected from both primary and secondary sources.

Primary data collected related to milk production and marketing in the smallholder dairy

schemes while secondary data collected included statistics on milk deliveries to the milk

collection centres and processors. The main sources of secondary data included the Zimbabwe

National Statistics Agency (ZimStats), Department of Economics and Markets (from the

Ministry of Agriculture, Mechanisation and Irrigation Development), Farmer Unions, Dairy

processors such as Dairibord Zimbabwe Limited, Kefalos and the milk collection centres under

the smallholder dairy development programme. Secondary data were also collected from Dairy

Services which regulates the dairy industry, Zimbabwe Association of Dairy Farmers, and the

Zimbabwe Dairy Industry Trust. The main source of primary data included key informant interviews, focus group discussions

and a survey of households of member farmers of the milk collection centres under the

smallholder dairy schemes of the dairy development programme. Key informant interviews

targeted the major stakeholders in the dairy industry and these included government

institutions, private processors, milk collection centre staff and experienced farmers from the

target smallholder dairy schemes. One focus group discussion per smallholder dairy scheme

was held with representatives of smallholder dairy farmers. The household survey used a

questionnaire that was pretested in Chikwaka smallholder dairy scheme, one of the study sites.

The questionnaire collected data on household demographic characteristics, socio-economic

data, inputs, milk production and sales, dairy herd data, access to information, extension

services and credit, and milk market participation, among others. The data were collected by

trained enumerators’ during the period August to October 2015.

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2.4 Data Analysis Data entry was performed in Census and Survey Processing (CSPro) version 6.1, and was

exported to and analysed using Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) and STATA.

Descriptive statistics were used to summarise household socio-economic and demographic

characteristics. In order to describe the characteristics of households in the four schemes,

producers selling milk to the milk collection centre at the time of the study were considered as

milk market participants and those who did not as non- market participants. The Heckman two-

step selection econometric models were used to analyse the determinants of milk market

participation and volume of sales to the milk collection centre. The specification of the

econometric models used in the study followed literature on empirical studies of selectivity

models (Goetz, 1992; Key, Sadoulet, & De Janvry, 2000; Holloway, Nicholson, Delgado,

Staal, & Ehui, 2004; Bellemare & Barrett, 2006). The Heckman two-step is part of the

selectivity models, in which the decision to participate in milk markets can be seen as a

sequential two -stage decision making process. In the first stage, households make a discrete

choice on whether to participate or not to participate in milk markets (that is, whether to deliver

milk or not to the milk collection centre). In the second stage, conditional on their decision to

participate, households make continuous decisions on volume of milk sales to the milk

collection centre. In the first stage, the standard probit model which follows random utility

model and specified as Wooldridge (2002) is used:

y* = z’α + ε1

y = 1, if y* > 0; y = 0 if y* ≤ 0 (1) Where, y* is a latent (unobservable) variable representing household discrete decision to

participate in milk market or not. z’ is a vector of independent variables hypothesized to affect

household decision to participate in milk market. α is a vector of parameters to be estimated

which measures the effects of the explanatory variables

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on household’s decision. ε1 is normally distributed disturbance with mean (0) and standard

deviation of б1 and captures all unmeasured variables. Y is a dependent variable which takes

on the value 1 if a household participates in milk market and 0 otherwise. Conditional on milk

market participation, variables affecting the volume of milk sales to the milk collection centre

were then modeled using the second-stage Heckman selection model (Heckman, 1979). The

Heckman selection equation is specified as follows:

Zi* = wiα + ε2

Zi = zi* if zi* > 0; Zi = 0 if zi* ≤ 0 (2)

Where, Zi* is the latent variable representing optimal volume of milk sales to the milk

collection centre, which is observed if zi* > 0 and unobserved otherwise. Zi is the observed volume of milk sold to the market, wi is the vector of covariates for unit i for selection equation

which is a subset of z’, α is the vector of coefficients for selection equation and ε2 is the random disturbance for unit i for selection equation. One of the problems with the two Equations (1)

and (2) is that the two-stage decision making processes are not separable due to unmeasured

household variables affecting both discrete and continuous decisions thereby leading to errors of the equations. If the two errors are correlated, the estimated parameter values on variables

affecting volume of milk sales are biased (Wooldridge, 2002). Thus the model that corrects selectivity while estimating volume of milk sales needs to be specified. For this purpose, in

the first-step, Mills ratio is created using probability values obtained from the first-stage probit regression of milk market participation. Then in the second-step, the Mills ratio is then

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included as one of the independent variables in volume of milk sales regression. Thus volume

of milk sales equation with correction for sample selection bias becomes:

V = wα + λ[ф(wiα)/Ф(wiα)] + ε3 (3) Where, ф(.)/Ф(.) is the Mills ratio, λ is the coefficient on the Mills ratio, ф denotes standard normal probability density function, Ф denotes the standard cumulative distribution function and ε3 is normally distributed disturbance term with zero mean and standard deviation of б3, and ε3 is not correlated with ε1 and ε2 and other independent variables. Under the null hypothesis of no sample selection bias, λ is not significantly different from zero. In this study, V is volume of milk sales in litres. The independent variables were identified based on economic theories and empirical studies

as follows (Table 2).

Table 2. Description of dependent and independent variables used in Heckman two-step

selection model

Variable Description

Values, Expected

Sign

Age (Agehh) Age of household head in years

Number of years,

±

Educational level (Educhh) Educational level of head of household

Number of years in

school, +

Sex (Sexhh)

Sex of household head (Dummy: 1 = male;

0 = female) +

Household size (hhsize) Number of household members Number, +

Distance to market

(DistkmMCC) Distance to the milk collection centre Km, -

Access to extension

(AccExt)

Access to extension services in the dairy

schemes +

(Dummy: 1 = yes; 0 = no)

Access to information

(AccInfo)

Access to dairy enterprise information

(Dummy: 1 = yes; 0 = no) +

Dairy farming experience

(Dexp)

Dairy farming experience of the head of

household

Number of years,

+

Total land holding of the

household (Landho) Total size of land holding of the household Hectares, +

Total number of dairy cows

(TotCows)

Total number of dairy cows owned by the

household Number, +

Income from other sources

(InOthSou) Income from other sources USD

Farmer occupation (FarOcc)

Occupation of the farmer (Dummy: 1 =

fulltime farmer; 0 = otherwise) +

Agricultural training

(AgriTr)

Agricultural training of the head of

household +

(Dummy: 1 = Received some training in

agriculture; 0 = otherwise)

Agro-ecological or natural

region (NRDSch)

Agro-ecological location of the smallholder

dairy scheme ±

of the household (Dummy: 1 = Natural

region I or II; 0 = otherwise)

Milk sold

Volume of milk sales to the milk collection

centre Litres/month

Market Participation Farmers producing and selling milk to the

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milk collection centre

(Dummy: 1 = yes; 0 = no)

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3. Results 3.1 Socio-Economic and Demographic Characteristics of Milk Market Participants and Non-

Participants About 87% of the 185 smallholder dairy producers interviewed were classified as

market participants. The characteristics of households show that average age of the

household head was about 57 years for market participants group and about 60 years

for non-market participants group. The independent samples t-test for age was not

significant between the two groups. The independent t-test for educational level of the

household head, number of extension visits to the farm, total size of land holding of the

household, size of household in terms of average number of household members,

income from other sources, total number of dairy cows owned by the household and

the volume of milk sales to the milk collection centre were significant at the 5% level

of significance between participants and non-participants (Table 3). The Chi-square

test for categorical variables shows that only access to information and the agro-

ecological region location of the smallholder dairy scheme of the household were

statistically significant between market participants and non-market participants (Table

3).

Table 3. Socio-economic and demographic characteristics of milk market participants and

non-participants

Variables

Mean value of

variables

Market

Participant Non-Participant t-value

Age of household head (years) 56.60 60.30 -1.249

Educational level (number of years in

school) 8.98 7.50 2.172*

Distance to milk collection centre

(Km) 5.30 6.20 0.872

Number of extension visits to the

farm 12.50 3.60 4.794*

Dairy farming experience (years) 16.80 16.30 0.216

Total size of arable land (Ha) 8.30 2.10 4.492*

Household size 6.30 5.30 2.031*

Total number of dairy cows owned 4.60 1.40 6.946*

Income from other sources 3248.00 1656.00 1.986*

Milk sold per month (litres) 515.17 0.00 7.114*

Chi-square

value

Sex of head of household

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% Males 73.90 73.90 0.000

Access to extension services

% Yes 96.90 100.00 0.734

Access to information

% Yes 75.80 26.10 23.469*

Farmer occupation

% fulltime 81.9 78.3 1.74

Agricultural training

% received some training in

agriculture 55.3 47.8 0.451

Agro-ecological region

% in NR I and II 68.9 100 9.808* Note. * Statistical significance at 5%. 3.2 Results of the Heckman Model The results of the first-stage of the Heckman two-step model show that of the 14

variables included in the model, seven variables explained the probability of milk

market participation. These were total number of dairy cows owned by the household

(TotCows), educational level of the head of household (Educhh), age of the head of

household (Agehh), size of household (hhsize), access to information (AccInfo), access

to extension services (AccExt), and the agro-ecological location of the smallholder

dairy schemes of the household (NRDSch). The variables were positive and significant

(Table 4).

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Table 4. Results of first and second stage Heckman models

Variable

First stage model

Second stage Heckman

selection

Coefficie

nt

Standard

Error z P>|z|

Coefficie

nt

Standard

Error z P>|z|

TotCows 0.0063 0.0032 1.97

0.049*

* 0.4693 0.1636 2.87 0.004*

DistkmMC

C 0.0016 0.0016 1.02 0.308 -0.1873 0.0649

-

2.89 0.004*

Educhh 0.0149 0.0025 5.48 0.000* -0.0836 0.0890

-

0.94 0.348

Agehh 0.0037 0.0007 5.53 0.000* -0.0604 0.0268

-

2.25

0.024*

*

Sexhh 0.0114 0.0176 0.65 0.516 0.2836 0.5302 0.53 0.593

hhsize 0.0072 0.0024 3.02 0.003* 0.0618 0.0841 0.73 0.463

Dexp 0.0005 0.0010 0.47 0.641 -0.0262 0.0278

-

0.94 0.346

LandHo -0.0007 0.0005 -1.28 0.202 0.5578 0.2414 2.31

0.021*

*

AccInfo 0.0491 0.1827 2.69 0.007* 0.6216 0.4763 1.31 0.192

AccExt 0.4656 0.0452 10.3 0.000* 6.0513 2.1499 2.81 0.005*

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1

IncOthSou 0.0000 0.0000 0.37 0.711 0.0003 0.0002 1.30 0.193

FarOcc 0.1681 0.0204 0.82 0.411 0.6840 0.6979 0.98 0.327

AgriTr 0.0184 0.0158 1.16 0.245 -0.6652 0.5535

-

1.20 0.229

NRDSch 0.0640 0.0206 3.10 0.002* -3.4258 1.5765

-

2.17

0.030*

*

Lambda 0.0791 0.0369 2.14

0.032*

* Note. First stage dependent variable = Market participation through delivering milk to the milk

collection centre; Second stage dependent variable = Volume of milk sales to the milk collection

centre per month in litres. Number of observations =144, Censored observations = 17, Uncensored observations = 127. First stage Wald Chi2 = 16 181.68, Prob > Chi2 = 0.0000; Second stage Wald Chi2 = 2024.26,

Prob > Chi2 = 0.0000, Rho = 1.00000, Sigma = 0.079 621. *, ** Statistical significance at 1% and 5%, respectively. The results of the second-stage Heckman selection estimation model for volume of milk sales

to the milk collection centre of the smallholder dairy value chain show that out of the 14

variables six variables significantly affected the volume of milk sales to the milk collection

centre. Total number of dairy cows owned by the household (TotCows), landholding size of the

household (LandHo), and access to extension (AccExt) were positive and significant, while

distance to the milk collection centre (DistkmMCC), age of the household head (Agehh), and

agro-ecological region of the smallholder dairy scheme of the household (NRDSch) were

negative and significant (Table 4). 4. Discussion 4.1 Socio-Economic Characteristics of Milk Market Participants and Non-Participants Milk market participants sold milk to the milk collection centre, while the remaining households

did not participate in the market. The milk collection centre forms an important stage of the

smallholder dairy value chain. At two of the schemes studied (Chikwaka and Nharira-

Lancashire), milk is processed on site at the milk collection centre and the dairy products are

sold directly to consumers in the local area or nearby growth points and urban areas (regarded

as the semi-formal value chain). Part of the milk is sold as raw milk to the local community or

as fermented milk (Amasi). In the milk collection centres supplying the formal value chain

(Marirangwe and Rusitu) the milk is collected by urban based processors who produce a number

of products that are sold mainly to urban based consumers. Therefore participating in the semi-

formal or formal value chain offers potentially better incomes for smallholder dairy producers. The socio-economic characteristics of milk market participants and non-participants show that

the age of the head of household was not significant but was lower for market participants (57

years) compared to non-market participants (60 years). The mean educational level of the

household head in terms of number of years in school for market participants was higher (9

years) compared to non-market participants (8 years). The t-statistic value indicated the mean

difference in educational level was statistically significant and positive at 5% level. This

indicates the importance of education in understanding and decision making of smallholder

dairy producers in terms of market orientation. The results are consistent with the findings of

Kuma, Baker, Getnet and Belay (2014).

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The mean distance to the milk collection centre was 5.3 Km for milk market participants

compared to non-market participants (6.2 Km), and the t-statistic indicates this was not

statistically significant. The results of dairy farming experience for the head of household also

indicates the mean was not statistically different between participants and non-participants. The

results of the size of landholding of the household show that milk market participants had larger

mean landholding (8.3 Ha) compared to non-market participants (2.1 Ha). The t-statistic results

of this variable were significant at 1% level, indicating the relationship between smallholder

dairy market participation and size of landholding in Zimbabwe. Households who participated in milk markets had larger household sizes (about 6 household

members) compared to 5 household members for non-market participants, and the t-statistic

showed the variable was significant at 5%. Dairying is an intensive enterprise and most of the

households in the smallholder dairy schemes depend on family labour. The results of mean

household size indicates that size of household is an important resource for the dairy enterprise

as it influences market participation due to the availability of labour for performing the various

activities of the dairy enterprise. The total number of dairy cows owned by the household for milk market participants was about

5 cows compared to one cow for non-market participants, and this was significant at 1%. The

quantity of milk sold per month was 515 litres, indicating that milk production is the most

important variable affecting milk market participation. The results of income from other sources

shows that milk market participants had higher incomes (USD3248) compared to non-milk

market participants (USD1656) and this was significant at 5%. Income from other sources such

as crop production enables smallholder dairy producers to access resources to invest in the dairy

enterprise, such as acquiring dairy cows of improved breeds. This therefore indicates the

influence of other sources of income in milk market participation. The results of the sex of head of household indicate about 74% of the heads were males for both

milk market and non-milk market participants, and the Chi-square test was not significant.

Access to extension services results show that about 97% and 100% of milk market participants

and non-milk participants respectively had access to extension services and the Chi-square test

indicates the difference was also not significant. Access to information was measured on the basis of whether one of the household members

owned a mobile phone, and whether the mobile phone was used to access dairy enterprise

information. About 76% of milk market participants indicated positively to accessing

information compared to about 26% of non-milk participants and the variable was significant.

The results indicate the influence of access to information on milk market participation. The last two categorical variables assessed were occupation of the household head and agro-

ecological region location of the smallholder dairy scheme of the household. Occupation of the

head of household was classified into full time farmers, or otherwise if the farmer was not

fulltime on the farm. Fulltime time farmers were resident at the farm while others were

employed off farm or were involved in other activities that limited them from farming on a full

time basis. About 82% of milk market participants were full time farmers compared to 78% for

non-milk market participants, although the Chi-square test indicates this was not significant. In

terms of agro-ecological location of the smallholder dairy scheme of the household, about 70%

of milk market participants were located in NR I and II, and all the non-milk market participants

(100%) were located in NR I and II, and the Chi-square indicates this variable was significant.

In Zimbabwe, the natural region location of the household determines the amount of rainfall

that is received and therefore the potential for agricultural and livestock production. NR I and

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II are considered as the regions with the highest potential for intensive production of both crops

and livestock, compared to NR III to V where the rainfall is limited and the regions are suitable

for semi-intensive and extensive crop and livestock production (Muir-Leresche, 2006). 4.2 Determinants of Milk Market Participation and Volume of Sales 4.2.1 First-Stage Heckman Participation Model Results of the first stage Heckman two-step model (binary probit model) show that out of the

14 explanatory variables, seven were found to determine the probability of milk market

participation. These are total number of dairy cows owned by the household, educational level

of the head of household, age of the household head, household size, access to information and

extension services, and agro-ecological region location of the smallholder dairy scheme of the

household. As expected, the total number of dairy cows owned by the household had positive relationship

with milk participation decision and was statistically significant at 5% probability level. The

positive and significant relationship indicates that the greater the number of dairy cows owned

by the household, the better is the milk

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production and the more likely the household will make milk market participation decisions.

These results are consistent with the findings of Kuma et al. (2014). The educational level of

the head of household was positive and had significant impact on milk market participation at

1%. The positive and significant relationship between the two variables indicates the

educational level of the head of household as an important variable affecting household milk

market participation. This also indicates educated dairy producers have some knowledge of the

importance of market participation decisions. Age had positive and significant impact on milk

market participation at 1%. The positive and significant relationship indicates that age, which

can be used as a proxy for experience, shows that old aged farmers acquire experience over the

years and hence positively influences market participation. These results coincide with the

findings of Kuma et al. (2014) and Mamo, Tefera, and Byre (2014) in Ethiopia. The results show that household size and milk market participation relationship was positive

and significant at 1%. The results are in conformity with the findings of Demissie et al. (2014)

in Ethiopia. The positive and significant relationship indicates that dairy is a labour intensive

enterprise. Large family sizes in smallholder dairy enterprise indicates availability of labour for

smallholder dairy production which increases milk market participation. Access to information

and milk market participation decision are positively related and significant at 1%. This

indicates that access to information increases milk market participation and leads to

understanding of the workings of the market, information on prices, and other market

information that improves decision making of the smallholder dairy producer. Access to

extension services and milk market participation decisions indicates a positive and significant

relationship at 1%. This indicates that access to extension services provides farmers with

information on technologies that are necessary to improve management of the dairy enterprise

and hence improved milk production and enhanced market participation decisions. Agro-ecological region location of the smallholder dairy scheme of the households and milk

market participation decisions relationship was positive and significant at 1%. This indicates

that agro-ecological region location of the scheme of the household enhances milk market

participation decisions since smallholder dairy schemes located in high potential regions of NR

I and II are able to access feeds and stover from crop production due to the high rainfall received

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in these regions. Households can also grow improved fodder crops for supplementary feeding

of their dairy animals, compared to dairy schemes located in NR III to V. Masama, Kusina,

Sibanda, and Majoni (2005) study of Nharira-Lancashire which is located in NR III of

Zimbabwe found that farmers kept inadequate amounts of feeds of poor nutritional quality for

feeding the dairy cows year round. Chinogaramombe et al. (2008) also found that shortages of

feed was one of the major constraints for smallholder dairy production for the semi-arid regions

of Zimbabwe which are mainly located in NR III, IV and V. The results of the milk market participation model also show that distance to the market, sex of

the head of household, dairy farming experience of the head of household, land holding size,

farmer occupation, agricultural training of head of household, and income from other sources

were not significant. In terms of landholding size and dairy farming experience, these results

are contrary to the findings of Kuma et al. (2014) in Ethiopia. Kuma et al. (2014) found these

two variables to be negatively related to milk market participation, which was contrary to their

initial expectations. The explanation advanced (Kuma et al., 2014) in the case of dairy farming

experience in Ethiopia was that households with many years dairy farming experience owned

local cows and lived in areas where the demand for milk was low. The farmers were also more

engaged in marketing milk products rather than milk. In Zimbabwe, this could possibly be

explained by the fact that dairy farmers have not adopted dairy farming as a specialized

enterprise and are therefore not commercially oriented. Key informant interviews indicates that

farmers practicing dairy are also into many other cropping and livestock enterprises and

therefore do not give dairying the management attention it requires as a specialized enterprise. In terms of landholding size, Kuma et al. (2014) found a negative and significant effect on

household milk market participation. Their explanation was that the negative relationship

between milk market participation and land holding indicates that market oriented dairy

production does not necessarily require large pieces of land (Kuma et al., 2014). This was

mainly because households producing milk for market had access to purchasing pastures from

other households or from government holdings. Contrary to the situation reported by Kuma et

al. (2014), in Zimbabwe, farmers do not have access to purchased pastures from other

households. The households have to allocate the available land between competing demands

for the production of food crops, fodder and feed for the smallholder dairy enterprise. Although the results of income from other sources were not significant in this study, other

studies have found otherwise. Demissie et al. (2014) found that financial income from other

sources had negative effect on cow milk market participation in Ethiopia and the relationship

was significant. Demissie et al. (2014) explanation was that

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this indicated that any financial income decreases milk market participation for the smallholder

producer household as a result of fixed transaction costs. The determinants of farmers’ participation in the milk market can be summarized as follows:

dairy cows and household size represent availability of resources; whilst educational level,

access to information and extension service represent availability of knowledge; age of

household head represent experience; and agro-ecological region represent the natural and

climatic conditions. 4.2.2 Second-Stage Heckman Selection Model Heckman’s second stage estimation identifies the significant factors that affect volume of milk

sales using the selection model which included the inverse Mill’s ratio calculated from the

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probit estimation of milk market participation decision. The overall joint goodness of fit for the

second stage is assessed based on Wald Chi-square test. The null hypothesis for the test is that

all coefficients are jointly zero. In this study, the model Wald Chi-square test (Wald Chi2 =

2024.26; Prob > Chi2 = 0.0000) indicates that the overall goodness of fit for the selection model

is statistically significant at less than 1%. This shows that jointly independent variables included

in the model explained the volume of milk sales. In the second stage selection model, out of the 14 variables, seven variables were found to be

significant determinants of volume of milk sales to the milk collection centre of the smallholder

dairy value chain, including the inverse Mill’s ratio (LAMBDA). The variables found to be

significant are total number of dairy cows owned by the household, distance to the milk

collection centre (representing access to markets), age of the head of household, land holding

size of the household, access to extension services and agro-ecological region location of the

smallholder dairy scheme of the household. As hypothesized, the total number of dairy cows owned by the household has positive effect on

volume of milk sales and is significant at the 1% probability level. The model output predicts

that an addition of one dairy cow causes the marketable volume to increase by 0.47 litres per

month. The number of dairy cows owned by the household is an important policy variable that

indicates possible policy interventions that can be implemented to enhance milk market

participation and volume of milk sales for the smallholder dairy producers to benefit from the

lucrative value chains. Bardhan, Sharma, and Saxena (2012) study in India report the milk

output sold depends on farm and farmer specific variables such as family size, age, education,

resource ownership like land and animal holding. In this study, resource ownership includes

total number of dairy animals owned by the household which are significant in determining

volume of sales. The distance to the milk collection centre, which was used as a proxy for access to milk markets

of the smallholder dairy value chain, was negative and significant at 1% probability level. As

hypothesized, distance to the milk collection centre affected milk sales volume negatively. This

indicates that as one moves further away from the milk collection centre, the greater the

transportation costs and the losses due to spoilage and less access to information and facilities

offered by the milk collection centre, thereby impacting negatively on volume of milk sales. Age of the head of household had negative effect on volume of milk sales and was found to be

significant at 5%. This implies that old aged households’ heads are slow to adapt to changing

market conditions and new technologies, and therefore do not respond quickly to market

incentives to increase milk supply to the market. Conversely, this indicates that young aged

household heads are more business minded, are ambitious and entrepreneurial and therefore

make use of improved inputs to increase milk production, thus increasing volume of sales. The

descriptive results show that generally the mean age of the household head for milk market

participants was lower than that of non-milk market participants. This therefore indicates that

old aged households are not as market oriented compared to young aged households. This

implies that to increase the volume of milk sales to the milk collection centres of the smallholder

dairy value chain, government policy interventions need to target young aged households that

are more adaptable, ambitious and entrepreneurial, and are more inclined to quickly understand

the dynamics of the milk markets. Land holding size of the household had a positive and significant effect on milk sales volume

at 5%. This indicates that households with large land holdings have better access to grazing for

their dairy cows, and can also grow supplementary fodder crops including better access to crop

residues that can be used as supplementary dairy feed. This improves milk production and hence

milk sales volume supplied to the milk collection centre of the smallholder dairy value chain.

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The results of the descriptive statistics show that generally land holding size was higher for

smallholder milk market participants. This indicates an important policy variable that is relevant

to smallholder milk sales volume, and has important implications for milk supply in Zimbabwe

in light of the

jas.ccsenet.org Journal of Agricultural Science Vol. 9, No. 10;

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implementation of the fast track land reform and redistribution programme that has resulted in

reduced sizes of land holdings of the previously large scale commercial farmers. Access to extension services had positive and significant (at 1% level) effect on milk sales

volume supplied to the milk collection centre of the smallholder dairy value chain. The change

in having access to extension services of the smallholder dairy producers on milk quantity

supplied was about 6.1 litres. The result indicates that milk sales volume in the study areas was

more responsive to access to extension services. Extension is important in providing up-to-date

knowledge required to effectively run the dairy enterprise. The policy implications are that

access to adequate and appropriate extension should be one of the priority policy interventions

if government is to increase milk sales volume from the smallholder dairy producers. This

would increase milk production and hence milk sales volume to the milk collection centres of

the smallholder dairy value chain. The agro-ecological region location of the smallholder dairy scheme of the household had

negative and significant effect on milk sales volume at 5%. The results indicate that agro-

ecological region location of the dairy scheme in areas other than NR I and II have negative

effect on milk sales volume. This is mainly because livestock production in Zimbabwe depends

on native pastures and use of crop residues (Masama et al., 2005). Natural regions I and II are

considered high potential areas due to the high rainfall received (average 1050 mm and 750

mm, respectively). This enables smallholder dairy producers in these areas to access crop

residues from crop production that can be fed to dairy cows. Masama et al. (2005) found that

the herd size influenced the quantities of supplementary feeds harvested and stored. The policy

implications are that government policy interventions should target smallholder dairy producers

in the high potential natural regions I and II if the milk sales volume is to be increased from the

smallholder dairy schemes. According to the model output, the inverse Mill’s ratio or selectivity bias correction factor

(LAMBDA) affected milk sales volume positively at 5% significance level and indicates that

in the Heckman two-step model, the correction for selectivity is significant. This indicates

sample selection bias, and existence of some unobservable household characteristics affecting

likelihood to participate in milk market and thereby affecting milk sales volume. The determinants of volume of milk sales are thus number of dairy cows and landholding size

of the household representing availability of resources; distance to the milk collection centre

representing market access; age of household head representing ambition of the farmer; and

agro-ecological region. 5. Conclusions The study shows that resources (represented by dairy cows, household size), knowledge

(educational level, access to information and extension services) and experience (age of

household head) and natural climatic conditions (agro-ecological region) significantly

determined farmers’ participation in milk markets. The study also shows the determinants of

milk sales volumes to be resources (number of dairy cows and landholding size of the

household); market access (distance to the milk collection centre); ambition of the farmer (age

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of household head); and natural and climatic conditions (agro-ecological region). The results of

the study suggest the following policy implications and interventions if milk market

participation and sales volume are to be increased from the smallholder dairy schemes and

hence increased supply of milk to the milk collection centre of the smallholder dairy value

chain. In order to increase milk market participation, government policy interventions need to

be targeted at increasing the number of dairy cows for smallholder dairy producers. Policy

interventions should also target educated, young aged farmers located in high potential agro -

ecological regions I and II. These should be provided with adequate and appropriate information

and extension packages in order to enhance milk market participation decisions. The results

also indicate that in order to increase milk sales volume to the milk collection centre of the

smallholder dairy value chain, policy interventions targeted at increasing the number of cows

owned by the smallholder dairy producers would have a positive impact. Complimentary policy

interventions need to take into account the landholding size and agro-ecological region location

of the smallholder dairy scheme of the household, the provision of adequate and appropriate

extension messages targeted at smallholder dairy producers. Government would also need to

implement policy measures that target young aged producers, and ensure the milk collection

centres are accessible to the smallholder dairy producers if milk sales volume is to be increased

to supply the milk collection centres of the smallholder dairy value chain. Acknowledgements A PhD thesis grant from the African Economic Research Consortium (AERC) based in Nairobi

is acknowledged. However, the views expressed in the paper reflect the authors’ views, and not

of any other person. The Department of Livestock and Veterinary Services in the Ministry of

Agriculture, Mechanization and Irrigation Development is greatly appreciated for facilitating

data collection with introductions in the respective

jas.ccsenet.org Journal of Agricultural Science Vol. 9, No. 10;

2017

smallholder dairy schemes. The researcher would also like to acknowledge the assistance of

enumerators with field data collection in the respective dairy schemes and the farmers who

participated in the survey. References Balirwa, E. K., Nalunkuuma, J., & Sserunkuuma, D. (2016). Determinants of smallholder dairy

farmers’ volume of milk sales in Uganda’s agro-ecological zones. International Journal of

Applied and Pure Science and Agriculture, 2(8), 97-109. Retrieved from

http://ijapsa.com/published-papers/volume-2/issue-8/determinan ts-of-smallholder-dairy-

farmers-volume-of-milk-sales-in-ugandas-agro-ecological-zones.pdf Bardhan, D., Sharma, M. L., & Saxena, R. (2012). Market participation behaviour of

smallholder farmers in Uttarakhand: A disaggregated analysis. Agricultural Economics

Review, 25(2), 243-254. Bellemare, M. F., & Barrett, C. B. (2006). An ordered Tobit model of market participation:

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324-337. https://doi.org/10.1111/ j.1467-8276.2006.00861.x Chamboko, T., & Mwakiwa, E. (2016). A review of smallholder dairy development in

Zimbabwe 1983 to 2013: The effect of policies. Livestock Research for Rural Development,

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Chavhunduka, G. L. (1982). Report of the commission of inquiry into the agricultural industry.

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arid areas of Zimbabwe. Livestock Research for Rural Development, 20, Article #34.

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marketed surplus: The case of eastern Ethiopia. African Journal of Agricultural Science

and Technology, 2(2), 54-58. Retrieved from

https://www.oceanicjournals.com/ajast/pdf/2014/Feb/XXXXX%20et%20al..pdf Goetz, S. J. (1992). A selectivity model of household food marketing behaviour in Sub-Saharan

Africa. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 74(2), 444-452.

https://doi.org/10.2307/1242498 Heckman, J. J. (1979). Sample selection bias as a specification error. Econometrica, 47, 153-

161. https://doi.org/10.2307/1912352 Holloway, G., Nicholson, C., Delgado, C., Staal, S., & Ehui, S. (2004). A revised Tobit

procedure of mitigating bias in the presence of non-zero censoring with an application to

milk-market participation in the Ethiopian highlands. Agricultural Economics, 31, 97-106.

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Kuma, B., Baker, D., Getnet, K., & Belay, K. (2014). Factors affecting milk marketing

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1-15. https://doi.org/10.3923/ajrd.2014.1.15 Mamo, T., Tefera, T., & Byre, N. (2014). Factors influencing urban and peri-urban dairy

producers’ participation in milk value addition and volume of milk value added in Welmera

Woreda, West Shewa Zone of Oromia Regional State, Ethiopia. International Journal of

Livestock Production, 5(9), 165-172. https://doi.org/ 10.5897/IJLP2013.0174 Masama, E., Kusina, N. T., Sibanda, S., & Majoni, C. (2005). Farm- grown feed resources as

factors affecting smallholder dairy production in Zimbabwe. African Crop Science

Conference Proceedings, 7, 555-560. Moll, H. A. J., Staal, S. J., & Ibrahim, M. N. M. (2007) . Smallholder dairy production and

markets: A comparison of production systems in Zambia Kenya and Sri Lanka. Agricultural

Systems, 94(2), 593-603. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2007.02.005 Muir-Leresche, K. (2016). Agriculture in Zimbabwe. In M. Rukuni, P. Tawonezvi, C. Eicher,

M. Munyuki-Hungwe, & P. Matondi (Eds.), Zimbabwe’s Agricultural Revolution Revisited.

University of Zimbabwe Publications, Harare, Zimbabwe. Muriuki, H. G., & Thorpe, W. (2002) . Smallholder Dairy Production and Marketing in Eastern

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Wooldridge, J. M. (2002). Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data (p. 752). MIT

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Notes Note 1. The main types of smallholder farming systems considered were communal where the

type of tenure is communal, small scale commercial with leasehold or freehold tenure and

resettlement where the tenure is a permit (Muir-Leresche, 2006). Note 2. Zimbabwe is divided into five agro-ecological regions or natural regions (NR) on the

basis of rainfall. NR I receives about 1050 mm rainfall per annum, NR II (750-1050 mm), NR

III (500-700 mm), NR IV (450-600 mm) and NR V (less than 500 mm) (Muir-Leresche, 2006).

Copyrights Copyright for this article is retained by the author(s), with first publication rights granted to the

journal. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative

Commons Attribution license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

Paper 3: Ex-ante benefit-cost analysis of an animal production and forage centre for a

smallholder dairy value chain in Zimbabwe Fifth RUFORUM Biennial Regional Conference 17 - 21 October 2016, Cape Town, South Africa

RUFORUM Working Document Series (ISSN 1607-9345) No. 14 (3): 229-236. Available from http://repository.ruforum.org

Research Application Summary

EX-ANTE benefit-cost analysis of an animal production and forage centre for a smallholder dairy value chain in Zimbabwe

Chamboko, T.1, Mwakiwa, E.

1 & Mugabe, P.

2

1Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension, University of Zimbabwe, P. O. Box MP 167,

Mount Pleasant, Harare, Zimbabwe

1Department of Animal Science, University of Zimbabwe, P. O. Box MP 167, Mount Pleasant,

Harare, Zimbabwe

Corresponding author: [email protected]

Abstract

Many smallholder dairy schemes in Africa face sustainability constraints due to shortages of feed

resources and poor productivity. Extension supported dairy animal production and forage centres

constructed alongside the milk collection centres are possible solutions to these constraints. The

objectives of this study were to (1) determine farmers’ willingness to pay for construction and

services provided by the centre, and (2) perform an ex-ante benefit-cost analysis of the centre in

the smallholder dairy value chain. A cross-sectional survey was performed in four smallholder

dairy schemes and a total of 185 smallholder dairy farmers selected by simple random sampling

were interviewed using a pre-tested questionnaire. The results show that 78% of farmers indicated

301

they would be willing to construct such a centre on their own, while 94% indicated they would

be willing to pay for artificial insemination services provided by such a centre. The main

advantages of the centre to the dairy enterprise would be ready access to feed, fodder and cost

savings (82% of farmers). About 92% of farmers would prioritize feeding milking cows in order

to increase milk production. Ex-ante benefit cost analysis indicate that such a centre would be

profitable with a benefit: cost ratio of 5.4: 1. The implications of the results is that Governments

should support alternative models of smallholder value chain development that includes

establishing animal production and forage centres in the smallholder dairy value chain in order

to improve milk production and productivity, and the contribution of smallholder dairy to the

national economy.

Key words: Animal production and forage centre, smallholder dairy, value chain, Zimbabwe

Résumé

De nombreux projets de production laitière en Afrique sont confrontés aux contraintes de

durabilité à cause de la pénurie de ressources alimentaires, et de la faible productivité. Les centres

de services de vulgarisation de production et de fourrage d’animaux laitiers situés aux environs

des centres de collecte du lait sont des solutions possibles pour faire face à ces contraintes. Les

objectifs de cette étude étaient (1) de déterminer la volonté des agriculteurs

Chamboko, T. et al.

de payer pour l’installation des centres et des services fournis, et (2) d’effectuer une analyse ex-ante

coûts-avantages du centre dans la chaîne de valeur laitière. Une enquête transversale a été conduite

considérant quatre régimes laitiers des petits exploitants et un total de 185 producteurs laitiers

sélectionnés au hasard ont été interviewés à l’aide d’un questionnaire pré-testé. D’après les résultats,

78% des agriculteurs ont indiqué qu’ils seraient prêts à construire un tel centre par eux-mêmes, tandis

que 94% ont indiqué qu’ils seraient prêts à payer pour les services d’insémination artificielle fournis

par le centre. Les principaux avantages du centre pour l’entreprise laitière seraient l’accès facile aux

aliments et fourrage, et des économies sur les coûts (82% des agriculteurs). Environ 92% des

agriculteurs considéraient l’alimentation des vaches laitières comme une priorité afin d’augmenter la

production de lait. L’analyse ex-ante des coûts-avantages indique qu’un tel centre serait rentable avec

un rapport bénéfice/coût de 5,4: 1. Les résultats devraient amener les gouvernements à soutenir des

modèles alternatifs de développement de la chaîne de valeur des petits exploitants, incluant la

création de centres de production animale et fourragère afin d’améliorer la production et la

productivité du lait et la contribution des petites exploitations laitières à l’économie nationale.

Mots clés: Centre de production animale et fourragère, petite exploitation laitière, chaîne de valeur, Zimbabwe

Background

The agricultural sector in Zimbabwe supports the livelihoods of approximately 70% of the population,

and contributes approximately 18% of GDP (ZimStat, 2013). The dairy subsector is an important

component of the agricultural sector, with dairy produce contributing about 3% of the value of agricultural

production at 2012 prices (ZimStat, 2013). Most of the contribution of the dairy subsector comes from

large scale commercial farms, with smallholder farms contributing 5% of total milk marketed through

formal channels (DDP, 2010). The low contribution of smallholder farms has been attributed particularly

to low productivity and limited access to feed resources during the dry season. In Zimbabwe, studies by

Francis and Sibanda (2001) highlight problems of low productivity due to inadequate availability and

poor quality of feeds and expensive commercial feeds as the main constraints limiting smallholder dairy

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production. Mupeta (2000) documented the constraints facing smallholder production, with particular

reference to feed resources. Mutukumira et al. (1996) study showed that only 14% of the households in

the smallholder dairy schemes grew more than one hectare of fodder. As such, shortage of feed and

transport were cited as the major constraints faced by smallholder dairy farmers in the semi-arid areas

(Chinogaramombe et al., 2008). Masama et al. (2005) conducted a study in order to develop an inventory

of feed resources available on farm. The results of the study showed that farmers kept inadequate amounts

of feeds of poor nutritional quality for feeding dairy cows year-round. The research findings highlighted

the need for innovative, cheaper feed resource management systems that are developed to ensure

sustainable viability of smallholder dairying (Masama et al., 2005). Studies by Gomez et al. (2007) in

Central Peru showed that the feeding programme for lactating and growing females on forage that was

exchanged for labour and purchased concentrates did not theoretically or practically meet the needs of the

cows. Shamsuddin et

Fifth RUFORUM Biennial Regional Conference 17 - 21 October 2016, Cape Town, South Africa

al. (2007) showed that fodder availability increased milk production and decreased incidence of disease.

Studies by Alejandrino et al. (1999) and Suzuki et al. (2006) also cite feed resources or feeding regimes

as the major constraints limiting smallholder dairy. The question that arises in the context of smallholder

dairy value chain is how feed and forage resources can be made available to farmers in order to improve

the viability of smallholder dairy. Kabirizi et al. (2009) performed a study in Uganda to assess the

profitability of improved forage technologies and factors affecting the use of improved forage

technologies among smallholder farmers in Soroti district in eastern Uganda. The results also showed that

profitability and improved cattle breeds had complimentary effects on the decision to use improved

technologies. Gwiriri et al. (2016) study in Zimbabwe concluded that the use of forages can be a cost

effective feed level intervention to optimize income in small-scale dairy by reducing the cost of producing

a litre of milk.

This study focuses on the production constraints and the formulation of new economic models of

smallholder dairy development given advances in new farming techniques and technologies to enhance

the contribution of the subsector to national economic development. The concept of forage and animal

production centres have been received (Titterton and Maasdorp, 1997). The objectives of the study were

to (1) determine farmers’ willingness to pay for construction and services provided by the centre, and (2)

perform an ex-ante benefit-cost analysis of the centre in the smallholder dairy value chain.

Study description

The study sites were four dairy schemes purposively selected on the basis of type of farming system, agro-

ecological natural region (NR) location, and performance in terms of daily deliveries of milk to the milk

collection centre, and linkages to processors. The selected schemes were Chikwaka (NRII, communal

farming system, delivering less than 200 litres per day, milk collection centre processing), Nharira-

Lanchashire (NRIII, communal and small scale commercial farming system, delivering about 200 litres

per day, milk collection centre processing), Marirangwe (NRII, small scale commercial farming system,

delivering about 400 litres per day, linked to private processor), and Rusitu (NRI, resettlement farming

system, delivering about 600 litres per day, linked to private processor). The lists of all members of the

smallholder dairy schemes were obtained from the milk collection centre and these formed the sampling

frames for the survey. Simple random sampling was used to select the sample of farmers included in the

study. The total number of households interviewed in the four smallholder dairy schemes was 185 farmers.

This sample provides a cross section of farmers in order to understand the dairy value chain under different

farming systems, agro-ecological potentials and varying scheme performance levels.

The benefit-cost methodology (Gittinger, 1992) was used to assess the investment in the animal

production and forage centre. The performance of the dairy farmers and viability was assessed on the

basis of gross margin analysis. Two scenarios of with and without the animal production and forage centre,

and the incremental benefits and costs were assessed in the financial ex-ante benefit-cost analysis. The

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feasibility of the centre was also assessed on the basis of farmers’ willingness to pay for the services to

be provided by the centre. The

Chamboko, T. et al.

benefits and costs were discounted over a 10 year period. Estimated costs of constructing such a centre were obtained from the Ministry of Public Construction and National Housing. The major costs of constructing such a centre would be the cost of offices, sheds, staff housing and irrigation infrastructure for 10 hectares of forage crops. It was assumed this would serve 100 smallholder farmers in the dairy scheme.

Research application

The results of the study show that 78% of farmers indicated they would be willing to construct such

a centre on their own, while 94% indicated they would be willing to pay for artificial insemination

services provided by such a centre and 91% would be willing to purchase feed that would be available

through the centre (Fig. 1). About 92% of farmers would prioritize feeding milking cows from the

feed made available through the centre in order to increase milk production (Fig. 2). The farmer

perceived main advantages such a centre would provide to the dairy enterprise would be ready access

to feed, fodder and cost savings (82% of farmers) (Table 1).

The animal production and forage centre was modelled on the basis of parameters. The parameters for

with and without the centre were based on the results of the survey and assumptions of the potential of

milk production based on the breeds currently used by smallholder farmers (Table 2). The total cost of

constructing the animal production and forage centre was estimated at USD200, 000. The cost is based

on use of local materials which brings downs the cost of construction down to about 25% of the cost of

using urban materials. The yearly recurrent expenditure was estimated at USD75, 000. Using a discount

rate of 15% over the 10 year period, the benefit cost-ratio was 5.4:1. The main additional benefits were

the projected milk yields as a result of access to feed resources while the main additional costs were the

extra feeding costs in order to achieve the milk yields, the investment in the centre and the recurrent

expenditure. It was also projected that since

Figure 1. Percent of farmers reporting willingness to construct and pay for services (n=185)

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Fifth RUFORUM Biennial Regional Conference 17 - 21 October 2016, Cape Town, South Africa

Increased

milk

production

To maintain

good body

condition for

good milk

production

Others

Figure 2. Reasons for prioritizing cows in milk for feeding with feed from the centre (n=185)

Table 1. Farmer perceived advantages of animal production and forage centre

Chikwaka Marirangwe Nharira- Rusitu Total

Lancashire

Number of farmers interviewed 50 35 50 50 185

Access to feed, fodder and cost savings 81.7 60.0 93.3 95.9 81.5

Knowledge, advice and training 12.2 2.0 3.3 4.1 5.7

Save on transportation costs 0.0 34.0 0.0 0.0 9.6

Other reasons 6.1 6.0 3.4 0.0 3.2

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Source: Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

Table 2. Parameters used with and without animal production and forage centre benefit-cost analysis

Parameter Without With

Number of cows milked 2 3

Lactation length (days) 275 292

Lactation yield per cow per year 3520 5840

Milk sales (litres per year) 7040 17520

Milk price (USD/litre) 0.5 0.5

Total variable costs of production (USD/year) 3267.10 4847.85

Gross income (USD) 3520 8700

Gross margin (USD/litre) 0.04 0.22

Source: Assumptions and Smallholder dairy survey (2015)

Chamboko, T. et al.

farmers would have access to artificial insemination, the number of milking cows would also increase as farmers benefit from access to improved genetics through artificial insemination.

Discussion

The proposed forage and animal production centre will cater for two constraints that have been

identified as limiting smallholder dairy; feed resources and management (Cain et al., 2007;

Chinogaramombe et al., 2008; Kabirizi et al., 2009). The objective of the centre will be to improve

management of smallholder dairy production in terms of nutritional and animal management,

respectively. The objective of the forage section of the centre will be to develop a centre where forage

is produced and conserved under management. The bagged and ensilaged forage is then sold to

farmers at lowest cost possible. The centre will be manned by qualified personnel, trained up-to

diploma level. The animal production section of the centre will also be manned by qualified personnel

to provide correct synchronization of the animals on heat and artificial insemination for the benefits

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to be realized. Since farmers have indicated willingness to pay for the services provided by the centre,

this means such a centre can be sustainable without outside financial support. However, there is need

for initial investment financing to put up the centre as most of the smallholder communities lack

capacity in terms of the required initial capital outlay. Repayment of forage purchased by farmers

will be through deductions factored into the milk sold to the milk collection centre. In terms of

marketing, milk will be sold in the rural areas, with the surplus processed into sour milk depending

on the requirements of the community. The smallholder dairy schemes can also be linked to dairy

value chains that supply the urban markets due to the increased production.

The results show that the proposed animal production and forage centre is profitable as shown by the

benefit-cost ratio. Providing full time extension support to smallholder farmers is expected to result

in increased milk yields achieved by smallholder farmers. Most of the smallholder farmers currently

milk cross bred cows. Access to artificial insemination will lead to improved breeds of cows and

have the potential to improve milk yield to levels comparable to those achieved by their large scale

commercial counterparts, provided farmers have access to appropriate feed resources and improved

breeds. Ngongoni et al. (2006) highlighted that milk yield from exotic cows found in the smallholder

sector were below the potential breed averages of those found in the large scale commercial.

Therefore, with access to feed and improved management provided for through the proposed centre,

it is expected that this potential can be improved. It was therefore assumed milk yields would increase

by more than 50% from the current average yields of 12.8 litres per cow per day recorded in the

survey. This will increase the potential milk yield closer to the milk yields achieved by large scale

commercial farmers reported by Ngongoni et al. (2006). The upgrading of feed and animal

management as provided for in the animal production and forage centre has been shown to be

profitable and viable and this therefore constitutes a new model for smallholder dairy development

in Zimbabwe and the whole of the Southern Africa region.

Fifth RUFORUM Biennial Regional Conference 17 - 21 October 2016, Cape Town, South Africa

Acknowledgement

A PhD thesis grant to the first author from the Africa Economic Research Consortium

(AERC) based in Nairobi, Kenya is acknowledged. The Department of Livestock and

Veterinary Services, Zimbabwe is acknowledged for facilitating data collection, and the

International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI) Southern Africa regional office in

Zimbabwe for providing relevant literature. The Regional Universities Forum for Capacity

Building in Agriculture (RUFORUM) is acknowledged for the opportunity to share the

research results. This paper is a contribution to the 2016 Fifth African Higher Education

Week and RUFORUM Biennial Conference.

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