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Eric Rasmussen Director Natural Resources PUBLIC Mining For Generations European Mining Academy 18 June, Belgrade
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Page 2: Mining For Generations European Mining Academy 18 June ... · Mining countries Countries with high exposure to unviable mining endowment Recommendations for Country Strategies Long-term

Russia – not currently investing

KazakhstanMongolia

—Kyrgyz Republic

—Tajikistan

—Moldova

—Jordan

Azerbaijan

—Morocco

Belarus

Ukraine

—Romania—Serbia

—Kosovo Georgia—

Armenia—

Tunisia—

Croatia—Bosnia and Herzegovina—

Montenegro—

Albania—

FYR Macedonia

—Turkmenistan

—Bulgaria

Estonia—

Latvia—

Lithuania—

Poland

Slovenia—

Czech Republic—

graduated —Slovakia

—Hungary

Uzbekistan—

Egypt—

GreeceCyprus

Turkey

2

Where we invest

Central

Eastern Europe

SEMED Western Balkans Turkey

Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus,

Georgia, Moldova, Ukraine

Central Asia

(incl. Mongolia)

Cyprus, Greece

West Bank

and Gaza

Lebanon

—Lebanon

West Bank & Gaza—

PUBLIC

The EBRD mining strategy is found here: https://www.ebrd.com/mining%20operations%20policy.pdf

Page 3: Mining For Generations European Mining Academy 18 June ... · Mining countries Countries with high exposure to unviable mining endowment Recommendations for Country Strategies Long-term

EBRD strengths and objectives

3

Key strengths Objectives

Long-term perspective

Commercialbasis

Regionalintegration

Policydialogue

Work with governments and

shareholders

25 yearsexperience

Local presencein 36 countries

Structuring expertise

Catalyst to mobilise finance forboth private and public sector clients

Invest both in the private and state

sectors

Commercialbasis

Improve people's lives

Private sector development

InnovateForeign direct

investment

PUBLIC

Page 4: Mining For Generations European Mining Academy 18 June ... · Mining countries Countries with high exposure to unviable mining endowment Recommendations for Country Strategies Long-term

Cumulative Business Volume (excluding Guarantees)EBRD Promotes

transition to market

economies whilst

fostering sustainable

development and

inclusive growth.

70 countries and two EU bodies.

EUR >130bn invested since 1991

>5,200projects since 1991

EUR 9.5bn across

395 projects, 73%

private sector and 91%

debt in 2018.

4

0

15

30

45

60

75

90

105

120

135

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

Ne

t cu

mu

lativ

e b

usin

ess v

olu

me

(EU

R b

n)

An

nu

al b

usin

ess v

olu

me

o

r A

BV

(EU

R b

n)

Debt (LHS) Equity (LHS) Net Cumulative ABV (RHS)

Shareholding Structure

EBRD non-

EU, 7%

Japan, 9%

USA, 10%

Others

11%

EU 28

countries +

EIB + EC

63%

Introduction to EBRD EBRD Natural Resources Track Record Working Together

Introduction to EBRD

PUBLIC

Country Group Portfolio Distribution

S.E.

Mediterranean

21%

S. E. Europe

18%

Eastern Europe & Coucasus

16%

Central Europe

& Baltics

13%

Central Asia

11%

Turkey

11%

Cyprus & Greece

10%

Page 5: Mining For Generations European Mining Academy 18 June ... · Mining countries Countries with high exposure to unviable mining endowment Recommendations for Country Strategies Long-term

5

EBRD Natural Resources

A key investor in the mining sector

Mining Investment Volume (signed) Mining Portfolio by Instrument, YE 2018

Mining Portfolio by Commodity* Mining Portfolio by Region, YE 2018

Introduction to EBRD EBRD Natural Resources Track Record Working Together

PUBLIC

75 equity and debt projects

EUR 9.4bn investment since 1991

EUR 4.0bn debt and equity portfolio

30+ bankers in London, Istanbul, Cairo,

Kiev, Astana, Almaty,

Ulaanbaatar. In-house

engineering expertise.

Minerals Base (Cu, Zn, Fe, Cr)

Precious (Au, Ag, PGM)

Industrial minerals

Metallurgical coal

Thermal coal and uranium

are excluded (except HS&E)

* as of YE2018

209

56

10

583

254296

165

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

EU

R m

illio

n

Central Asia

49%

Mongolia

31%

Turkey

6%

South Eastern

Europe

5%

Eastern Europe

and Caucasus

4%

SEMED

4%Russia

1%

599[12]

392[10]

146[1] 78

[2] 44[3]

32[2]

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Copper &

Gold

Concentrate

Gold & Silver Zinc Chrome Coal Iron Ore

EU

R m

illio

ns

[No

. o

f o

pe

rati

on

s]

Debt, 93%

Equity, 7%

Page 6: Mining For Generations European Mining Academy 18 June ... · Mining countries Countries with high exposure to unviable mining endowment Recommendations for Country Strategies Long-term

Equity

Exploration /

Early StagesDevelopment / Growth Mature / Expansion

6

EBRD Natural Resources

Financing across the value chain

Debt

PUBLIC

All stagesExploration

Mine development

Reclamation/clean-up

Service providers (drilling)

All products

Project Finance

Corporate Debt & Bonds

Mezzanine

Convertible debt

Listed equity (IPO, SPO)

Private equity (structured)

Impact

Green: waste/water efficiency

Well governed: E&S, EITI, ICMC

Inclusive: youth/gender initiatives

Competitive: new technologies

Page 7: Mining For Generations European Mining Academy 18 June ... · Mining countries Countries with high exposure to unviable mining endowment Recommendations for Country Strategies Long-term

7

EBRD Natural Resources

Recent deals – Mining and Services

Altai-Polymetali

2015, Kazakhstan

USD 100 million

Senior loan

Copper-Gold mine

development

Oksut Madencilik

2016, Turkey

USD 75 million

Senior Loan

Gold mine

development

Dundee Precious Metals

2016, Bulgaria

CAD 43 million

Equity investment

Gold mine

development

PUBLIC

Centerra Gold

2016, Kyrgyzstan/Mongolia

USD 150 million

Revolver debt facility

Gold mines expansion and

development

Lydian International

2016, Armenia

CAD 11.4 million

Equity

Gold mine

development

Euromax Resources

2016, Rep of Macedonia

USD 5 million

Convertible Loan

Copper-gold mine

exploration & development

Oyu Tolgoil

2015, Mongolia

USD 1.2 billion

Senior A/B loan

Copper-gold mine

expansion

Compagnie Miniere

de Toussit

2016, Morocco

EUR 28 million

Senior Loan

Lead-zinc-silver mine

upgrade

JsC ShalkiyaZinc Ltd.

2017, Kazakhstan

EUR 350 million

Senior A/B Loan

Lead-zinc- mine

expansion

Polymetal International Plc

Baykirchik Mining Venture

2018, Kazakhstan

EUR 140 million

Senior Loan

Gold mine

development

Kincora Copper

2017, Mongolia

CAD 1.4 million

Equity investment

Drilling and exploration

programme

Tumad Madencilik A.S.

2017, Turkey

USD 40 million

Senior loan

Gold mines development

Mining

Junior & major miners

Services (drilling)

Minerals

Precious & Base Metals

Industrial Minerals

TC Assistance

Energy/Resource audit

EITI Accession

Gender/Inclusion

Corporate Governance

Yildirim – Voskhod Chrome

2015, Kazakhstan

USD 260 million

Senior A/B loan

Chrome mine

restructuring & expansion

Yildirim – Voskhod Chrome

2018, Kazakhstan

EUR 26 million

Senior Loan

Chrome mine

restructuring & expansion

Maya Gold & Silver

2015, Morocco

USD 6 million

Senior loan

Silver mine

modernisation

Page 8: Mining For Generations European Mining Academy 18 June ... · Mining countries Countries with high exposure to unviable mining endowment Recommendations for Country Strategies Long-term

Key EBRD mining countries

13 June, 2019 PUBLIC

Countries with high risk reliance

on mining

Countries with long-term mining

business potential

Countries with low to medium

mining business potential

Countries with leading

international mining companies

8

Page 9: Mining For Generations European Mining Academy 18 June ... · Mining countries Countries with high exposure to unviable mining endowment Recommendations for Country Strategies Long-term

13 June, 2019 PUBLIC 9

Investment

Policy engagement

Government

willingnessEBRD value added

The country diagnostics look at the mining sector’s

role in a country’s economy. The tool will also focus

on the risk and potential relative to ore endowment,

state budget dependency, size of domestic value

chain, permit regime, EITI principles and EHSS.

Strategic mining sector challenges

Mining countries

Countries with high

exposure to unviable

mining endowment

Recommendations for Country

Strategies

Long-term viable and

important mining

countries

Country diagnostics focuses are on (i) countries where mining is important today but at risk due to lack

of new investment/exploration, and (ii) countries with high mining potential.

EBRD approach to mining countries

Country diagnostics

Technical cooperation

and fee-based advisory

Page 10: Mining For Generations European Mining Academy 18 June ... · Mining countries Countries with high exposure to unviable mining endowment Recommendations for Country Strategies Long-term

Mining investors in countries with weak legal and

institutional frameworks face additional risks

10

Ruling elite’ attitude

to governance

Political elite’s attitude to governance (…rule of or by law)

Dialogue with investors as well as NGOs and CSOs

Legal and

institutional

framework

Predictability of the legal and institutional framework

Attitude of the Government

- FDI treatment and protection of investors

- Expropriation and nationalization

- International arbitration and dispute resolution

Some typical

investor problems

- Access to resource tenders

- Bureaucracy and integrity in permit procedures

- Tax procedures and inspections

- Capacity of local service markets (SMEs)

- Behavior of competitors

- Transfer of technology and payments

- Intellectual property rights

10PUBLIC

Page 11: Mining For Generations European Mining Academy 18 June ... · Mining countries Countries with high exposure to unviable mining endowment Recommendations for Country Strategies Long-term

Investment climates need long-term confidence

11

Net cash

Production revenue

+

-

OPEXCapex

3. Feasibility Study/

Permits

1. Discovery Royalties and taxes

DEVELOPMENT PHASE

2. Pre-Feasibility Study

Abandonment

costs

PRE-DEVELOPMENT

4. Construction

DiscoveryAppraisal andDevelopment

Production Abandonment

GeologicalDesign/Engineering

Construction/ Completion

Operational, Supply, Offtake, Commodity, Infrastructure, Repayment, E&S

Environmental

Exploration licence

Production licence

Environmental permit

Expropriation, Currency convertibility, Tax changes (CT, royalties etc), VAT and Export duty exposure, fines

Project cycle

Main risks

Sources of

political risk

11PUBLIC

Page 12: Mining For Generations European Mining Academy 18 June ... · Mining countries Countries with high exposure to unviable mining endowment Recommendations for Country Strategies Long-term

EBRD has a strong focus on modernisation &

innovation in the mining sector

• Realise the potential for environmental

regeneration. Turn idle brownfield land

into economic viable land due to lower

opex to realise value

• Enhance the scope of traded materials

in response to evolving market demand

PUBLIC

• Enhance the image of mining as a safe and responsible activity

• Provide opportunities for economic restructuring while partnering

with other industries (farming, downstream processing, water)

• Better “Resource Efficiency” is critical to company

performance and the future of mining - and the

future of several EBRD countries depend

significantly on viable mining

Page 13: Mining For Generations European Mining Academy 18 June ... · Mining countries Countries with high exposure to unviable mining endowment Recommendations for Country Strategies Long-term

How do you become a preferred supplier though

innovation focused on resource efficiency?

PUBLIC


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