© DJMIGAS 201210
KEMENTERIANKEMENTERIAN
ESDMESDM
VANCOUVER, CANADA, May 9-13, 2011
MINISTRY OF ENERGY AND MINERAL RESOURCESDIRECTORATE GENERAL OF OIL AND GAS
INDONESIA GAS SITUATIONINDONESIA GAS SITUATIONby :
Agus Cahyono AdiDeputy Director for Oil and Gas State Revenue
Delivered at:
WORKSHOP ON UNCONVENTIONAL GASAPEC ENERGY WORKING GROUP (EWG 41th )
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AGENDA
OIL AND GAS CONDITIONOIL AND GAS CONDITION
GAS POLICYGAS POLICY
GAS INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN AND DEVELOPMENT GAS INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN AND DEVELOPMENT
GAS BALANCEGAS BALANCE
UNCONVENTIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENTUNCONVENTIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT
GAS DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGEGAS DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGE
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ESDMESDMINDONESIA’s GAS PRODUCTION 2000 – 2011*)
*) Data s.d. Maret 2011
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000M
MSC
FD
PRODUCTION 7,927 7,690 8,318 8,644 8,278 8,179 8,093 7,686 7,883 8,386 9,336 8,944UTILIZATION 7,471 7,188 7,890 8,237 7,909 7,885 7,785 7,418 7,573 7,912 8,829 8,483Losses 456 502 428 407 369 294 308 268 310 474 507 461
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*
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ESDMESDMINDONESIA’s GAS SUPPLY 2000 - 2010
55
0
4,000
8,000
MM
SCFD
TOTAL KONSUMSI 6,416.4 6,260.4 6,857.4 7,255.6 7,086.1 6,934.3 6,901.1 6,639.3 6,758.2 7,008.7 7,787.6
EXPOR 4,348.6 4,184.2 4,768.8 5,049.0 4,762.3 4,615.3 4,377.2 4,182.3 4,114.3 4,152.4 4,827.2
DOMESTIC 2,067.8 2,076.5 2,088.6 2,206.6 2,323.8 2,319.0 2,523.9 2,457.0 2,643.9 2,856.3 2,960.4
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
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GAS RESOURCES = 334.5 TSCF
1.28
4.23
8.56
3.70
51.46
18.33
24.32
NATUNA5.74
NORTH SUMATRA
15.22
17.90
CENTRAL SUMATRA
ACEH (NAD)
SOUTH SUMATRA
WEST JAVA
6.40
EAST JAVA
EAST BORNEO
CELEBES
MOLUCCAS
PAPUA
(Advance Resources Interational, Inc., 2003 processed)
PROVEN = 108.4 TSCFPOTENTIAL = 48.74 TSCFTOTAL = 157.14 TSCF
CBM RESOURCES = 453.30 TCF
GAS RESERVES (TSCF)
NATURAL GAS RESOURCES - RESERVES & CBM RESOURCES
(AS OF JANUARY 1st 2010)
Total CBM Basin = 11(Advance Resources Interational, Inc., 2003)
Signed Contracts up to 2010:23 CBM PSCs
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ROLE OF OIL AND GAS FOR NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
High TechnologyHigh Technology
High CapitalHigh Capital
High RiskHigh Risk
Sustainable National
Development
OIL &GAS INDUSTRI OIL &GAS OIL &GAS INDUSTRI INDUSTRI
FULFILL DOMESTIC FUEL DEMAND
CREATING MULTIFLIER
EFFECTS
SOURCE OF STATE REVENUE
INDUSTRIAL RAWMATERIAL
RESOURCES
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ESDMESDMNATIONAL GAS POLICY
99
A. IMPROVING EXPLORATION ACTIVITY TO INCREASE NEW
RESERVE (CONVENTIONAL AND UNCONVENTIONAL)
B. GAS ALLOCCATION POLICY
C. GAS PRICING POLICY (TO SECURE SUPPLY AND GROW
INVESTMENT)
D. INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
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ESDMESDM POLICY IMPLEMENTATIONNO OUTLINE DETAILS
1 improving exploration activity to increase new reserve
• Opening new working area with the target singed contracts 40 working area per year baru pertahun
• In 2009, signed contracts 34 Working Area and in 2010, signed contracts 38 Working Area
• Develop unconventional gas resources (CBM dan shale gas)2 Gas allocation
policyGas utilization is prioritized for domestic use by keeping considering economic field development A new found gas reserve utilization allocation is prioritized for fulfilling local needs. if there is an excess can be utilized for fulfilling the need outside the local.Gas utilization for domestic needs is done by considering theavailability of the infrastructure, reserve and the economic of field by prioritized upstream utilization ( electricity and fertilizer)if there is a shortage (less gas supply) in certain area as result of lack of gas resources and infrastructure, so it can be done gas reallocation or swap as one form of contingency plan.
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ESDMESDM POLICY IMPLEMENTATION CONTINUATION ......
NO OUTLINE DETAILS3 Gas pricing policy (to
secure supply and grow investment)
• Government regulate and determine gas price
• Gas price depend on the economic of gas field development and availability of infrastructure
• Gas price can be increased related to oil price, product’s price and the combination of product and oil price
• Gas price model selection consider state revenue by considering optimum of economic growth
• Determine gas price by considering balance between gas’ producer and consumer
4 Infrastructure Development
- Continue contruction transmission and distribution- Contruction of LNG Receviing termina in Jawa and
Sumatra
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ESDMESDM Infrastructures: Existing and PlannedInfrastructures: Existing and Planned
1313
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ESDMESDM INDONESIA GAS BALANCE 2011-2025MMSCFD
0
2.000
4.000
6.000
8.000
10.000
12.000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
CONTRACTED DEMAND POTENTIAL DEMAND
EXISTING SUPPLY PROJECT SUPPLY
POTENTIAL SUPPLY dari CADANGAN BELUM DIKEMBANGKAN POTENTIAL SUPPLY dari KAPASITAS UNIT DAN REGASIFIKASI
Existing SupplyPotential Demand
Project Supply
Contracted Demand
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ESDMESDM
Grissik
THAILAND LAOS
CAMBODJAVIETNAM
BANGKOK
BRUNEI DARUSSALAM
KUALA LUMPUR EAST
MALAYSIA
MANILA
SINGAPORE
UJUNG PANDANG
PAGERUNGAN
SUMSEL
SUMUT
SUMTENG
JABARJATENGJATIM
EAST NATUNA
MALUKU SELATAN
Blok Masela
PAPUA
NAD
KALTIM
SULAWESI
INDONESIA GAS BALANCE MAP 2011-2025(EXISTING SUPPLY + PROJECT SUPPLY VS CONTRACTED DEMAND)
DURI
REG I (NAD)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 235 78 19
Demand 25 75 15
Balance 210 3 4
Keluar Region 197 0 0
Net Balance 13 3 4
REG VII (KALIMANTAN BAGIAN TIMUR)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 2889 1351 273
Demand 522 140 20
Balance 2367 1211 253
Keluar Region 1695 333 0
Net Balance 672 878 253
REG XI (KEPULAUAN RIAU)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 550 150 0
Demand 103 36 7
Balance 447 114 -7
Keluar Region 575 318 80
Masuk Region 78 78 0
Net Balance -50 -126 -87
REG II (SUMATERA BAGIAN UTARA)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 52 27 4
Demand 85 2 0
Balance - 33 25 4
Keluar Region 0 0 0
Net Balance - 33 25 4
REG VIII (SULAWESI BAGIAN SELATAN)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 48 62 23
Demand 38 38 0
Balance 10 24 23
Keluar Region 0 0 0
Net Balance 10 24 23
REG IX (SULAWESI BAGIAN TENGAH)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 0 410 403
Demand 0 0 0
Balance 0 410 403
Keluar Region 0 335 335
Net Balance 0 75 68
REG X (PAPUA)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 880 1039 1024
Demand 2,5 5 0
Balance 877,5 1034 1024
Keluar Region 943 1028 1028
Net Balance -65,5 6 - 4
55
REG II (SUMATERA BAGIAN TENGAH &SELATAN)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 1723 1451 106
Demand 870.1 385 0
Balance 852.9 1066 106
Keluar Region 1172 780 0
Net Balance - 319 286 106
REG IV (JAWA BAGIAN BARAT)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 616 131 54
Demand 1440 583 0
Balance -824 -452 54
Masuk Region 619 604 0
Net Balance -205 152 54
REG V (JAWA BAGIAN TENGAH)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 1.8 148 50
Demand 3.5 130 50
Balance - 1.7 18 0
Keluar Region 0 0 0
Net Balance - 1.7 18 0
REG VI (JAWA BAGIAN TIMUR & BALI)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 467 342 149
Demand 573 275 42
Balance - 106 67 107
Keluar Region 0 0 0
Net Balance - 106 67 107
REG XII (MALUKU BAGIAN SELATAN)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 0 450 450
Demand 0 0 0
Balance 0 450 450
Keluar Region 0 0 0
Net Balance 0 450 450
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KEMENTERIANKEMENTERIAN
ESDMESDM
Grissik
THAILAND LAOS
CAMBODJAVIETNAM
BANGKOK
BRUNEI DARUSSALAM
KUALA LUMPUR EAST
MALAYSIA
MANILA
SINGAPORE
UJUNG PANDANG
PAGERUNGAN
SUMSEL
SUMUT
SUMTENG
JABARJATENGJATIM
EAST NATUNA
MALUKU SELATAN
Blok Masela
PAPUA
NAD
KALTIM
SULAWESI
INDONESIA GAS BALANCE MAP 2011-2025(EXISTING SUPPLY + PROJECT SUPPLY VS CONTRACTED DEMAND + POTENTIAL DEMAND)
DURI
66
REG I (NAD)Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 235 78 19
Demand 185 229 229
Balance 50 -151 -210
Keluar Region 197 0 0
Net Balance -147 -151 -210
REG VII (KALIMANTAN BAGIAN TIMUR)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 2889 1351 273
Demand 535 784 561
Balance 2354 567 -288
Keluar Region 1695 333 0
Net Balance 659 234 -288
REG XI (KEPULAUAN RIAU)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 550 150 0
Demand 247 234 234
Balance 303 -84 -234
Keluar Region 575 318 80
Masuk Region 78 78 0
Net Balance -194 -324 -314
REG II (SUMATERA BAGIAN UTARA)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 52 27 4
Demand 260 203 201
Balance - 208 -176 -197
Keluar Region 0 0 0
Net Balance - 208 -176 -197
REG VIII (SULAWESI BAGIAN SELATAN)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 48 62 23
Demand 83 111 110
Balance 35 -49 -87
Keluar Region 0 0 0
Net Balance -35 -49 -87
REG IX (SULAWESI BAGIAN TENGAH)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 0 410 403
Demand 30 145 145
Balance -30 265 258
Keluar Region 0 335 335
Net Balance -30 -70 -77
REG X (PAPUA)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 880 1039 1024
Demand 18.5 221 216
Balance 861.5 818 808
Keluar Region 943 1028 1028
Net Balance -81,5 -210 - 220
REG II (SUMATERA BAGIAN TENGAH &SELATAN)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 1723 1451 106
Demand 1015.5 915 673.9
Balance 707,5 536 -567.9
Keluar Region 1172 780 0
Net Balance - 464.5 -244 -567.9
REG IV (JAWA BAGIAN BARAT)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 616 131 54
Demand 1858 2281 2207
Balance -1242 -2150 -2153
Masuk Region 619 604 0
Net Balance -623 -1546 -2153
REG V (JAWA BAGIAN TENGAH)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 1.8 148 50
Demand 168 449 449
Balance - 166.2 - 301 -399
Keluar Region 0 0 0
Net Balance - 166.2 - 301 -399
REG VI (JAWA BAGIAN TIMUR & BALI)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 467 342 149
Demand 821 1165 1125
Balance - 354 -823 -976
Keluar Region 0 0 0
Net Balance - 354 -823 -976
REG XII (MALUKU BAGIAN SELATAN)
Year 2011 2020 2025
Supply 0 450 450
Demand 0 0 0
Balance 0 450 450
Keluar Region 0 0 0
Net Balance 0 450 450
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ESDMESDM
1919
Ministerial Regulation No. 036, revision to
Ministerial Regulation No. 033/2006
1.0 BcfD
1.8 BcfD
2008 2009 20102005 2006 20072004
PP: CBM – 1Rambutan
(GOI Sponsor)
Ministerial
–
Start of CBM era(1st CBM PSC Contract )
Increasing number of CBM ContractAverage production = 250 MSCFD/ well
Government Participation
Start of Commercial Period (Exploration)
Estimated CBM Production
PP: Pilot Project
Legend:
2008 2010
CBM Estimated Production~500 MMSCFD
CBM Estimated Production
~1500 MMSCFD
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Minister Decree No.036/2008, revision to Minister Decree No.
033/2006
Minister Decree No. 033/2006
CBM for Electricity Pilot Project
1998
Ministerial regulation No.1669
2007
ROAD MAPROAD MAP OF CBM DEVELOPMENT IN INDONESIAOF CBM DEVELOPMENT IN INDONESIA
CBM Estimated Production~1000 MMSCFD
2003 2005
Feasibility studyTechnical and Economical
20092008
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ESDMESDM
2020
CBM for electrical powerCBM for electrical power
CBM UTILIZATION PLANNING
CBM for LNG
INDUSTRYINDUSTRY
CITY GASCITY GAS
CNG for CNG for TRANSPORTATIONTRANSPORTATION
CBM for another domestic CBM for another domestic consumption consumption
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ESDMESDM
Merauke
Grissik
Semarang
Pacific Ocean
AUSTRALIA
Indian Ocean
Bangkok
Phnom Penh
Ban Mabtapud
Ho Chi Minh City
CAMBODIA
VIETNAM
THAILAND LAOS
Khanon
Songkhla
Erawan
Bangkot
LawitJerneh
WESTMALAYSIA
Penang
Kerteh
Kuala Lumpur
Manila
PhilipinesSouth
China
Sea
Sin
gapo
re
Gas
Tr
unkl
ine
NatunaAlphaKota KinibaluBRUNEI
Bandara Seri Begawan
BintuluEAST
MALAYSIA
Kuching
Banda Aceh
Lhokseumawe
Medan
Duri
Padang
S U M A T R A Jambi
BintanSINGAPORE
SamarindaBalikpapan
Bontang LNG Plant& Export Terminal Attaka
TunuBekapai
KALIMANTAN
Banjarmasin
Manado
SULAWESI
Ujung Pandang
BURU SERAM
Ternate HALMAHERA
Sorong
IRIAN JAYA
JakartaJ A V A Surabaya
Bangkalan
BALI
SUMBAWA
Pagerungan
LOMBOKFLORES
SUMBATIMOR
I N D O N E S I A
Duyong
Port DicksonPort Klang
Mogpu
Dumai
Batam
Guntong
Ardjuna Fields
MADURA
Jayapura
Maluku Selatan
West Natuna
Palembang
Cirebon
Existing Pipeline
Planned Pipeline
LNG Receiving Terminal
CNG Plant
LNG Plant
Shale Gas Highlight Areas
NAD
KLASAFET FORMATION
TELISA SHALE
BAONG SHALE
EAST JAWA
WEST JAVA
GUMAI SHALE
SHALE GAS POTENTIAL SHALE GAS POTENTIAL ANDANDGAS GAS INFRASTRUCTUREINFRASTRUCTURE
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ESDMESDM INDONESIA GAS DEVELOPMENT INDONESIA GAS DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGECHALLENGE
Indonesia endowed with potential of variety energy resources conventional as well as unconventional gasDomestic and Global Natural Gas demand increasedGovernment of Indonesia is obliged to guarantee the availability of domestic feed stock and fuel supply (including natural gas).Adequate infrastructure support is required to assure smooth supply and distribution of domestic feed stock and fuel.Source of oil and gas in Indonesia located far from demand centre.Limited oil and gas infrastructures currently hinder feed stock and fuel supply and distribution.Optimizing benefit of natural gas utilization for foreign exchange trade balance and driver of domestic economic growth