MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – Global COVID-19 Tracker – Aug 13 by Tom Lake Today’s Major COVID-19 Headlines And Latest Data • In their first joint campaign event with Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden since her announcement as his vice-presidential pick, Kamala Harris said the scale of the outbreak in the US was “because of Trump’s failure to take it seriously from the start,”. Harris went onto say Trump’s “delusional belief that he knows better than the experts”. Harris’ immediate attack on Trump’s handling of COVID-19 is likely a sign of the Democrats making it a primary issue in the election campaign. • A third Indian Cabinet minister has tested positive for COVID-19, with Minister of State for Defence Shripad Naik announcing he would self-isolate at home. Follows on from Home Minister Amit Shah and Minister for Petroleum Dharmendra Pradhan who are both confirmed cases. Comes on the day that fatalities from the virus in India reached 47,000, giving it the fourth-highest total worldwide behind the US, Brazil and Mexico, overtaking the UK. • The Spanish region of Galicia has banned smoking in public areas or the street where social distancing cannot be managed. Regional government adviser Fernández Villar said, “We know that this is an unpopular measure for smokers, but I believe we are in an exceptional situation." This is the first measure of its kind in Europe and comes as new cases averaging over 1,000 per day in Spain in August. • Global increase in cases (daily) – Yesterday: 1.4%. Seven-day average: 1.3% • Global increase in fatalities (daily) – Yesterday: 0.9%. Seven-day average: 0.8% MNI POLICY: Daly Says Stronger Fed Guidance Needed Eventually – San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said Wednesday it's a matter of time before stronger forward guidance will be needed that ties interest rates to economic outcomes, while for now monetary policy has created clear expectations that help sustain the economy through the choppy path out of the pandemic. On MNI Policy Main Wire and email now - for more details please contact [email protected]Chart 1. COVID-19 Cases and Fatalities, Nominal and % Chg Day-to-Day (5dma) Source: JHU, MNI. As of 0600BST August 13. N.b. Each dot represents a single day’s figures, data for past month 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% - 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 13-Jul 18-Jul 23-Jul 28-Jul 02-Aug 07-Aug 12-Aug Global Total Cases (LHS) Total Fatalities (LHS) Cases, D-t-D %, (RHS) Fatalities, D-t-D %, (RHS)
Transcript
MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – Global COVID-19 Tracker – Aug 13
by Tom Lake
Today’s Major COVID-19 Headlines And Latest Data
• In their first joint campaign event with Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden
since her announcement as his vice-presidential pick, Kamala Harris said the scale
of the outbreak in the US was “because of Trump’s failure to take it seriously from the
start,”. Harris went onto say Trump’s “delusional belief that he knows better than the
experts”. Harris’ immediate attack on Trump’s handling of COVID-19 is likely a sign
of the Democrats making it a primary issue in the election campaign.
• A third Indian Cabinet minister has tested positive for COVID-19, with Minister of
State for Defence Shripad Naik announcing he would self-isolate at home. Follows
on from Home Minister Amit Shah and Minister for Petroleum Dharmendra Pradhan
who are both confirmed cases. Comes on the day that fatalities from the virus in India
reached 47,000, giving it the fourth-highest total worldwide behind the US, Brazil and
Mexico, overtaking the UK.
• The Spanish region of Galicia has banned smoking in public areas or the street
where social distancing cannot be managed. Regional government adviser
Fernández Villar said, “We know that this is an unpopular measure for smokers, but I
believe we are in an exceptional situation." This is the first measure of its kind in
Europe and comes as new cases averaging over 1,000 per day in Spain in August.
• Global increase in cases (daily) – Yesterday: 1.4%. Seven-day average: 1.3%
• Global increase in fatalities (daily) – Yesterday: 0.9%. Seven-day average: 0.8%
MNI POLICY: Daly Says Stronger Fed Guidance Needed Eventually – San Francisco
Fed President Mary Daly said Wednesday it's a matter of time before stronger forward
guidance will be needed that ties interest rates to economic outcomes, while for now
monetary policy has created clear expectations that help sustain the economy through the
choppy path out of the pandemic. On MNI Policy Main Wire and email now - for more
Sweden 83,455 329 N/A 5,774 917,036 (11/8) 6.9 0.30%
United Kingdom 313,402 1,009 N/A 46,706 13,785,297 (12/8) 14.9 0.30%
United States 5,141,208 55,910 1,755,225 166,026 63,731,305 (12/8) 3.2 1.04%
Source: JHU, State.au, Government of Canada, Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Ministeiro de Sanidad, COVID
Tracking Project, Public Health Agency of Sweden, Robert Koch Institute, Japanese Ministry of Health, Labor, and Welfare,
Department for Health and Social Services, Ministerio da Saude, Sante Publique France, Federal Service for Surveillance on
Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing, Indian Council of Medical Research, MNI. As of 1020BST August 13. Test
numbers for China, and recovery numbers for UK, Spain and Sweden not available. PCR and Rapid tests for Brazil and Spain.
Completed test numbers for UK rather than completed and distributed.
0.00%
0.05%
0.10%
0.15%
0.20%
0.25%
0.30%
0.35%
0.40%
0.45%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
13-Jul 20-Jul 27-Jul 03-Aug 10-Aug
UK
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
13-Jul 20-Jul 27-Jul 03-Aug 10-Aug
US
Sell-Side COVID-19 Comments:
In this section we include selected comments from various sell-side outlets from the last day
that relate to the COVID-19 outbreak, either providing updates on policy responses,
interesting data points, changes to forecasts, market moves, or the analyst’s outlook for the
virus itself, various economies, or asset classes.
ANZ:
• “The positivity rates of COVID testing in the US, Japan and Spain are elevated
suggesting that the virus remains a clear and present threat. More testing and social
distancing measures are required to contain the spread of the coronavirus in these
countries.”
• “In the US, the recovery has cooled amid new restrictions and heightened consumer
apprehension. The Japanese government is focusing on an economic recovery and
is reluctant to impose restrictions in the face of a resurgence in cases; but, this may
matter little if consumers remain cautious. Meanwhile the recovery in Europe is
encouraging, though a spike in cases gives some grounds for caution.”
Deutsche Bank:
• “As for the latest on the virus, overnight New Zealand saw another 13 new cases in
its fresh outbreak while Singapore quarantined 800 migrant workers after a case was
discovered in a dormitory that had been cleared. Meanwhile, in the US, new cases
grew by 1.1% in the past 24 hours. Hospitalizations in Texas dropped to a six week
low and in New Jersey, Governor Murphy gave the state’s public schools the option
of all-remote classes.”
Goldman Sachs:
• “While the trajectory of the coronavirus and the severity of its economic impact
remain highly uncertain, our base case assumes that the path of new infections does
not prevent a continued gradual recovery in global economic activity. We expect the
FDA will approve at least one vaccine this year and that large shares of the US and
European populations will be vaccinated by the end of Q2 and Q3 2021, respectively,
though risks to this baseline are skewed to the downside.”
National Australia Bank:
• “How the virus spreads, and how countries respond to any future uplift in cases, is
likely to remain a key driver of economies. Even absent further spikes in COVID-19,
a full recovery is likely to take an extended time. This is because many business
closures will be permanent, the uncertainty around COVID-19 will engender business
and household caution (particularly for major investments), damaged balance sheets,
tighter financial conditions and the time needed to adjust to structural changes
accelerated by the virus (e.g. on-line retail, work from home).”
• “Risks of fresh outbreaks of COVID-19 remain a significant concern. Although there
appears a low probability of the large scale, country wide lockdowns seen during the
first wave of outbreaks, localised hard countermeasures – such as those currently
imposed in Melbourne and others recently imposed in parts of China, India and the
United States – remain a risk, and could disrupt a smooth path to recovery.”
Nomura:
• “The emergence of a significant COVID-19 second wave [in Australia] – centred in
Melbourne and worse than the first – is expected to impact output in Victoria and
consumer and business sentiment across the nation. JobKeeper (wage subsidy) and
JobSeeker (boosted unemployment benefit) payments are set to reduce over Q4 and
Q1, in net terms, providing another headwind.”
• “One of our risks – a COVID-19 second wave – has been realised. Our base case is
that lockdowns in Victoria do not extend to New South Wales, but this is a possibility.
Upside risks include COVID-19 vaccine progress, while Australia may also benefit
from the relatively greater COVID-19 misfortunes of other commodity exporters.”
Table 2. Social Policy Responses to COVID-19 in Selected Countries
Country Government Social Responses – Text in red indicates measures imposed or
topics discussed in last 24hrs
Australia
• Ban on entry to non-residents (doesn’t extend to citizens, permanent residents, or their families).
• All foreign arrivals will be quarantined in hotels for 14 days
• The city of Melbourne has re-entered a state of full lockdown for the next six
weeks following a spike in cases in Australia’s second-largest city. Individuals
will be restricted to their homes, with work, food shopping and exercise the
only reasons people will be able to leave. Schools, non-essential shops and
bars will all be closed, while restaurants will only be able to offer takeaway.
• Australia has postponed the opening of parliament for several weeks from Aug
4 to Aug 24 due to the continued spread of COVID-19 in the country’s two
most populous states.
• From July 22, individuals will only able to cross the Victoria-NSW border due to
essential work, health, or education reasons.
• NSW brings in new restrictions following a cluster of outbreaks around Sydney.
Group bookings to be limited to 10, a cap of 300 individuals allowed in each
venue, and weddings and corporate events limited to 150 attendees.
• Face masks mandatory in Victoria, and individuals can no longer visit family or
friends as of July 30.
• Victoria enters a ‘state of disaster’, with shops, factories and non-essential
businesses closed as of August 3. A night-time curfew will be in place between
8pm and 5am for six weeks, with only those working or seeking/providing
medical care allowed to leave their homes.
• 500 military personnel deployed in Victoria from August 4 to enforce lockdown.
Fine for breaking self-isolation orders rise to AUD5,000 (USD3,559).
• Queensland closes its entire border with New South Wales as of August 5
following a spike in cases in and around Sydney.
• PM Scott Morrison said on August 10 that he said it was unlikely that
Australia’s international borders would reopen before 2021.
• The Northern Territory has said that it will close its borders to Australia’s most
affected states until at least 2022 according to Chief Minister Michael Gunner.
The sparsely-populated region has not had an infection since May.
• South Australia has raised the number of people allowed to attend a gathering
from 10 to 20, but has tightened its border controls with neighbouring Victoria.
Canada
• As of April 14, all citizens and residents returning from abroad will have to be quarantined in a hotel unless they have an alternative self-quarantine plan with access to food and medicine and are forbidden9 to live with vulnerable people.
• Canada and US extend border restrictions to July 21. Only essential workers and those with special family dispensation allowed to cross at present.
• Businesses in Toronto able to open as of June 24, with malls and restaurants able to open on terraces.
• Travel ban on most foreign travellers extended to July 31, apart from those from US who are not Canadian citizens, permanent residents, or have an essential reason for travel.
• Ontario has introduced legislation to allow for a monthly extension of some pandemic emergency measures for the next year, after which it will expire. The current state of emergency will expire on July 15.
• Chief public health officer Dr Theresa Tam raises prospect of tighter restrictions speaking on July 27 following a creep-up in new cases, especially in the West of the country.
• Nova Scotia Premier Stephen McNeil states on August 3 that the province is not yet ready to open up to the rest of the country without a 14 day quarantine period in place, saying “I am looking at possible options for us as a province to start opening up but we're not there yet."
China
• Beijing has announced new regulations on “encouraging civilised behaviour” in an attempt to stop any second-wave outbreak.
• Tourist sites allowed to return to 50% of daily capacity, from 30%, in an
attempt to support the tourism sector. Tour agencies allowed to run local group
tours across provinces, although foreign tourists are still banned.
• Travel restrictions tightened in Urumqi, capital of Xinjiang province, after 5 new
cases were recorded on July 17. The city recorded its first new case in 5
months on July 16. The city’s subway line has been shut and 200 flights
cancelled at the international airport.
• “Wartime state” declared in Urumqi following a spike in cases. Visits to other
households are limited alongside large gatherings, testing has been
dramatically increased, and residents have been encouraged not to leave the
city.
• All passengers travelling to China by air now required to provide a negative
COVID-19 test in advance, taken a maximum 5 days before boarding.
• Residents of Urumqi, Xinjiang will have to test negative in both PCR and
antibody tests before being allowed to leave the city if they have been there for
14 days or more. A 14-day quarantine will be imposed on those travelling to
the city from other high-risk areas.
• Authorities mandate local bodies must engage in regular COVID-19 tests at
wholesale markets to avoid an outbreak similar to that recorded in Beijing in
June.
• China has relaxed its restrictions on South Korean students and workers as of
August 5, allowing visa applications for the first time since March.
France
• ‘Temporary unemployment’ scheme extended for up to two years to allow people to retain their jobs during the course of a full economic recovery after COVID-19 according to labour minister Muriel Pénicaud.
• All bars, cafes and restaurants nationwide are allowed to open as of June 15, and the second round of municipal elections will take place on June 28 following their delay from March.
• Entry ban for EU and Schengen citizens lifted from June 15 with no quarantine or health certificate required.
• France enters third phase of lockdown unwinding on June 22, with schools reopening and children required to return, as well as cinemas, sports halls, holiday parks, and casinos.
• In France wearing face masks in enclosed public spaces is mandatory
nationwide as of July 20.
• Authorities in some areas have been given powers to make the wearing of
face masks mandatory outdoors as of August 4. Nice, Biarritz, Bayonne,
Orleans, and the region of Mayenne all have orders forcing individuals to wear
masks outdoors in certain areas.
• Authorities in Paris have introduced new rules requiring the wearing of face
masks in certain outdoor areas in busy parts of the city as of August 10,
primarily along the River Seine and in tourist hotspots.
• PM Jean Castex announced on August 11 that local authorities across France
will be given powers to create local plans for containing the virus following a
spike in cases. The ban on events of more than 5,000 people will remain in
place until Oct 30, while police will be given powers to enforce rules on social
distancing and wearing face masks in busy areas.
Germany
• All shops allowed to reopen as of May 18, as long as social distancing measures are observed.
• Border controls and travel ban with EEA countries (EU+UK, Switzerland, Norway, Iceland, Liechtenstein) removed as of June 15.
• ‘Big events’ are set to remain banned until the end of October
• Lockdown in the district of Gütersloh, surrounding the Tönnies meat
processing plant, lifted as of July 7 following an order from North Rhine-
Westphalia’s Higher Administrative Court. The district will revert to the
unwinding measures in place across the nation.
• Agreement reached between federal and state governments on local
lockdowns, with tightly limited hotspots to be put into lockdown rather than
entire districts. Local travel bans will be brought in if cases continue to spike in
any area.
• Government issues warning against visiting certain areas of Spain that have
recorded a spike in new cases in recent days. Catalonia, Navarre, and Aragon
on the list of regions.
• Around 15,000 children in the northern state of Mecklenburg-Western
Pomerania returned to school on August 4, making them the first in Europe to
start a new school year. The state has been Germany’s least-affected by
COVID-19. Hamburg followed suit on August 6, and Berlin, Brandenburg, and
North Rhine-Westphalia the week after.
• German Health Minister Jens Spahn announced on August 6 that all
individuals travelling to Germany from high-risk countries will be required to
take a COVID-19 test on entry from August 8 onwards.
Italy
• Schools will not reopen until the new school year in September.
• As of June 1 some major tourist sites, such as the Colosseum and the Leaning Tower of Pisa, have been allowed to reopen.
• As of June 3, borders have been opened without quarantine and individuals are allowed to travel between different regions.
• The Italian government has opted out of the lifting of a travel ban on 15 non-EU ‘safe’ countries as listed by the EU. As such the country’s quarantine rule will remain in place for non-EU travellers.
• Confirmed on July 14 by Health Minister Roberto Speranza that the restrictions
on public gatherings and obligations to wear face masks in public will be
extended to July 31 at the earliest.
• New ‘emergency decree’ running from August 10 to September 7 sees
restrictions on travel and rules on face masks and social distancing remain in
place. Cruise ships will be allowed to resume travel as of August 15, as long
as they only travel to other EU states. The employee furlough scheme remains
in place, and tax collections can be deferred.
• A 14 day quarantine introduced for those returning from Spain, Greece or
Malta as of August 12.
Japan
• Government lifts state of emergency across Japan on May 25.
• On June 19 government lifts internal travel restrictions that prohibited non-
essential travel to and from Tokyo and its surrounding prefectures, and the
island of Hokkaido.
• Japanese government spokesman Yoshihide Suga stated on July 9 that there
is no need to reintroduce a state of emergency in any prefecture despite a
record increase in cases in Tokyo on July 8.
• Government looking to relaunch business travel between Japan and 10 Asian
countries that have largely suppressed the spread of COVID-19. Government
will allow those with a negative COVID-19 test to enter the country as long as
they submit an itinerary of their trip to authorities.
• Government confirms on July 22 that its planned easing of restrictions to allow
spectators at large-scale events will be delayed. The cap on attendees at
5,000 will now be maintained until the end of August at the earliest.
• Government announces plan to partially roll back restrictions on foreign
nationals, allowing around 200,000 foreign residents to be gradually
readmitted to the country.
• Minister in charge of COVID-19 response says nightlife businesses that do not
following coronavirus guidelines could be named and shamed as the number
of new cases recorded from outbreaks at hostess bars increases.
• Government mulling the introduction of punishments for businesses not
abiding by COVID-19 restrictions according to economic revitalisation minister
Yasutoshi Nishimura on August 2.
• Those returning to Japan from Bangladesh, Pakistan, the Philippines and Peru
face stricter procedures from August 7. Permanent residents and long-term
visa holders will need to provide a negative PCR test taken before departure to
re-enter the country.
• Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe reiterated his stance that the
reintroduction of a state of emergency was not necessary, despite a continued
spike in new cases in the country. Abe said a state of emergency was not
required as the number of severe cases and fatalities has been far lower than
during the country’s first wave outbreak in April and May.
New Zealand
• Everyone coming to New Zealand (except those from Pacific Islands) will be required to self-isolate for 14 days.
• Ban on entry to non-residents.
• New Zealand military has been put in charge of the country’s quarantine programme and border operations.
• PM Ardern on June 30 rebuffed calls to reopen the country’s borders, saying that to do so would be “dangerous” with the rate of infection still increasing worldwide.
• Government has reached a deal with Air New Zealand to restrict the number of places available for international arrivals to ease the pressure on isolation facilities. These restrictions apply to New Zealand permanent residents and citizens. Has sparked a major backlash, with critics arguing the restriction is in breach of the country’s bill of rights.
• PM Jacinda Ardern announced on August 10 the formation of a ‘travel bubble’ with the Cook Islands in the South Pacific by end-2020.
• New Zealand has recorded its first cases of community-transmitted COVID-19
in 102 days, with a family of 4 infected by an unknown source. In response,
PM Jacinda Ardern placed the city of Auckland into lvl.3 lockdown (staying
home encouraged) until midnight Friday, and the rest of the country into lvl.2
(social distancing required).
Spain
• On June 9 the government announced that the wearing of face masks will remain compulsory for an unlimited amount of time until a vaccine for COVID-19 is found.
• Spain’s COVID-19 state of emergency has come to an end, while the country’s
borders have reopened to tourists from EU members, Schengen states, and
the UK, who will not have to quarantine having come to the country.
• Restrictions re-imposed around the A Marina district in Galicia in NW Spain
following a spike in cases. Around 70,000 individuals are subject to the
restrictions that will be in place for at least 5 days. Individuals are by and large
not allowed to leave the area, and gatherings will be limited to 10.
• In Spain’s autonomous community of Catalonia restrictions were introduced in
in areas including Barcelona following a spike of 1,226 cases on July 18.
Tighter restrictions banning meetings of more than 10 people or leaving the
home for non-essential activities are in place for at least 15 days.
• Catalan authorities have ruled out the imposition of mandatory lockdown
restrictions across the autonomous community as the number of new cases
recorded has declined in recent days.
• Face masks compulsory in public indoors or outdoors in Madrid as of July 28,
with bars forced to close at 1am and gatherings on restaurant terraces limited
to 10. Checks on travellers at Madrid airport set to increase as well.
• Catalonian regional leader announces the likelihood of stricter lockdown
measures should the number of new cases fail to decrease in the next 10
days.
• Galicia has banned smoking in public areas or the street where social
distancing cannot be managed. Regional government adviser Fernández Villar
said, “We know that this is an unpopular measure for smokers, but I believe we
are in an exceptional situation." This is the first measure of its kind in Europe.
United Kingdom
• As of June 1, individuals in England allowed to meet in groups of up to six, including with those from outside their household. Primary schools in England have also re-opened for some pupils.
• All shops selling non-essential items in England allowed to re-open as of June 15.
• Anyone in England travelling on public transport is required to wear a mask or face covering as of June 15.
• The UK has lowered its COIVD-19 alert level from four (the second highest) to
three (the third highest) following what the chief medical officers have deemed
a steady decrease in cases.
• COVID-19 restrictions have been significantly relaxed as of July 4. Pubs,
restaurants, hairdressers, hotels, cinemas, places of worship, museums and a
number of other hospitality, tourist, and cultural areas allowed to reopen. The
social distancing rules have been changed to guidelines, with the distance
reduced from 2 metres to '1 metre plus'.
• Scotland lifts 5-mile travel limit on July 3, allow the meeting of other
households indoors from July 10, and reopened pubs, restaurants, and
hairdressers from July 15.
• Further relaxation of lockdown restrictions announced July 17, with individuals
encouraged return to return to working in offices as of August 1 if it is deemed
safe to do. Non-essential travel on public transport is allowed as of July 17.
• The wearing of face coverings in shops is mandatory in England as of July 24,
with the measure including banks, post offices, and takeaway food outlets.
Masks have been mandatory in shops in Scotland since July 10, but are not
required in outlets in Wales or Northern Ireland.
• UK government added Spain back onto the list of countries where travellers
returning from are required to quarantine for 14 days following a spike in
cases. This caused an immediate backlash from the Spanish government and
travel companies.
• Swaths of northern England put under a local lockdown on August 1 following
a spike in cases. The restrictions are much looser than those imposed on
Leicester previously, and in many cases have not been enforced at all as of
August 4.
• Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon announces the city of Aberdeen will go
into a local lockdown (the first in Scotland) after a ‘significant outbreak’ in the
city. Applies as of 1700BST on August 5.
• Preston the latest English town to enter a local lockdown following a spike in
cases.
United States
• Ban on travel from 28 European countries.
• Border with Canada to shut to non-essential transit.
• State Department warned citizens not to travel abroad, issuing the highest possible level of travel advisory. Level 4: Do Not Travel advisory "advises U.S. citizens to avoid all international travel due to the global impact of COVID-19."
• New York, New Jersey and Connecticut have enlarged a quarantine for
individuals coming from 34 states. Those arriving will be asked to self-isolate
for 14 days, with a potential fine of USD1,000 for breaking of quarantine.
• Other states, including Alaska, Florida, Hawaii, Illinois, Kansas, Kentucky,
Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Mexico, New Jersey,
Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina and Vermont all requiring or
recommending a quarantine period after visiting certain states.
• In Florida, beaches have been closed, while bars across the state are also
closed. In Texas, bars are also closed while limiting indoor seating at
restaurants.
• Arizona has joined others in re-imposing lockdown conditions, with bars,
cinemas, gyms and other public meeting areas closed.
• Wearing of face masks mandated in public in Texas, Louisiana, and
Mississippi. Bars also closed in Louisiana, Colorado, and Michigan.
• In California indoor activity at restaurants, bars, entertainment venues, zoos
and museums has been halted immediately state-wide, while churches, gyms
and hairdressers are closed in the worst-affected counties.
• Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot confirms that local officials are re-tightening
COVID-19 restrictions in the city on restaurants, bars, gyms and other
personal services from July 24.
• First presidential debate due to be held on September 29 moved from Indiana
to Ohio due to COVID-19 precautions. Original host Notre Dame University
said the social distancing restrictions "would have greatly diminished the
educational value of hosting the debate on our campus".
• New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio announces the introduction of physical
checkpoints on bridges and tunnels into the city that will advise out-of-state
travellers to quarantine for 14 days on their arrival in NYC. Authorities have
stressed the checkpoints will not be used to turn away individuals but will
operate in an educational capacity.
• Florida Governor Ron De Santis has removed restrictions on those travelling to
the state from New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut.
Chart Pack 2 – Long-Term COVID-19 Cases and Fatalities, Nominal and % Chg Day-to-
Day (5dma) The chart pack below records the number of COVID-19 cases and fatalities
resulting from COVID-19 recorded in key economies since the start of the outbreak in each
respective country. The charts also display the rate of increase in recorded cases and
fatalities in each country. Legend below can be used for all national charts.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000Australia
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
24-Mar 24-Apr 24-May 24-Jun 24-Jul
Brazil
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
19-Mar 19-Apr 19-May 19-Jun 19-Jul
Canada
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
23-Jan 23-Mar 23-May 23-Jul
China
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000France
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
23-Feb 23-Apr 23-Jun
Germany
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
-
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
02-Apr 02-May 02-Jun 02-Jul 02-Aug
India
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
27-Feb 27-Apr 27-Jun
Italy
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000 Japan
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
Russia
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
20-Feb 20-Apr 20-Jun
South Korea
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
14-Mar 14-Apr 14-May 14-Jun 14-Jul
Spain
Source: JHU, MNI. N.b Global leg end applies to all charts. All data correct as of 0600BST August 13, and represents full-day
data submissions, rather than intra-day figures. Each dot indicates the data from a single day.
