Kantar reveals what urban mobility in 31 cities across the world will look like in 10 years from now Sustainable transport on track to overtake cars by 2030, according to new analysis from Kantar’s Mobility Futures study

MobilityFutures2030 Forecast

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46

34

30

2030 will be the tipping point for sustainable mobilityKantar predicts sustainable means of transport to overtake car usage over the next decade, with public transport, cycling and walking representing a total of 49% of all trips undertaken within cities versus 46% for cars.

Over the next 10 years, 10% of people will change their mobility behaviourAcross the 31 cities surveyed, while 25% of people would like to use a di�erent mode of transport now, we predict that 10% will change the way they travel – ranging from 21% in São Paulo to 2% in Beijing.

36,702,331citizens will change their mobility behaviour by 2030

Cycling is predicted to enjoy the largest increase as number of car trips decrease

Cycling is gaining momentum in many cities around the world as people are increasingly looking for greener, healthier modes of transport.

Cycle-friendly cities such as Paris, Amsterdam and Copenhagen continue to invest in their bike-sharing schemes and the expansion and improvement of their already extensive cycling networks.

51%

2020 2030

2020

45%

49%

46%

46%

30%

9%6%

2030

51%

32%

10%7%

5%Others

4%Others

Walking

+15%

Bike

+18%Car

-10%

People are ready for innovative solutions, but new mobility concepts resonate di�erently around the world We developed and tested 20 concepts covering innovative vehicles, new mobility services, regulations, etc. While MaaS performed well globally, the varying results highlight the fact that more time and e�ort will be required for citizens in car-centric cities, such as Auckland and Phoenix, to switch to sustainable solutions.

2723

Moscow

Warsaw

Madrid

AucklandPhoenix

Milan

Public transport

+6%

BOOK

Manchester will experience the biggest change in mobility behaviour The most transforming cities in our ranking will see a signi�cant drop in autosolism (between - 36% and - 20%) over the next ten years as their citizens switch to more environmentally-friendly ways to travel such as public transport.

2020 2030

- 24%

0%

+ 20%

- 35% + 15%

- 36% + 11%

- 24% + 9%

- 20% + 27%

Manchester

Moscow

São Paulo

Paris

Johannesburg

Public transport

Car as driver

Amsterdam is the best-prepared city for the future of sustainable mobility

Promoting and investing in technology for urban mobility will enable cities to facilitate the transition to smarter and more sustainable transport solutions over the next 10 years.

Mind the gap: Tech-ready cities vs. citizen con�dence

Tech-Ready City index

60

58

57

56

56

Amsterdam

London

Los Angeles

Shanghai

New York

Conversely, a number of cities have the trust and backing of their citizens in facilitating the adoption of sustainable mobility solutions, while our analysis shows that these cities aren’t quite prepared for the future of mobility.

Cities that have the trust of their citizens but need to accelerate their mobility transformation

1. Moscow

2. Jakarta

3. Mumbai

Among the cities that are best prepared for the future of mobility, some of them are facing a lack of con�dence from their citizens in their municipality’s e�orts towards sustainable mobility - which could potentially hold back progress.

Cities that are ready for change but need to gain their citizens’ trust

MaaS - Concept performance index

1.Berlin

2. Amsterdam

3. New York

Overall evolution of the transport modal share across 31 global cities