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Science of the Total Environm
Modelling of recharge and pollutant fluxes to urban groundwaters
Abraham Thomas a, John Tellam b,*
a Department of Earth Sciences, University of the Western Cape, P Bag X17, Bellville 7535, Cape Town, South Africab Hydrogeology Research Group, Earth Sciences, School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham,
Birmingham B15 2TT, UK
Available online 1 December 2005
Abstract
Urban groundwater resources are of considerable importance to the long-term viability of many cities world-wide, yet prediction
of the quantity and quality of recharge is only rarely attempted at anything other than a very basic level. This paper describes the
development of UGIf, a simple model written within a GIS, designed to provide estimates of spatially distributed recharge and
recharge water quality in unconfined but covered aquifers. The following processes (with their calculation method indicated) are
included: runoff and interception (curve number method); evapotranspiration (Penman–Grindley); interflow (empirical index
approach); volatilization (Henry’s law); sorption (distribution coefficient); and degradation (first order decay). The input data
required are: meteorological data, landuse/cover map with event mean concentration attributes, geological maps with hydraulic and
geochemical attributes, and topographic and water table elevation data in grid form. Standard outputs include distributions of:
surface runoff, infiltration, potential recharge, ground level slope, interflow, actual recharge, pollutant fluxes in surface runoff, travel
times of each pollutant through the unsaturated zone, and the pollutant fluxes and concentrations at the water table. The process of
validation has commenced with a study of the Triassic Sandstone aquifer underlying Birmingham, UK. UGIf predicts a similar
average recharge rate for the aquifer as previous groundwater flow modelling studies, but with significantly more spatial detail: in
particular the results indicate that recharge through paved areas may be more important than previously thought. The results also
highlight the need for more knowledge/data on the following: runoff estimation; interflow (including the effects of lateral flow and
channelling on flow times and therefore chemistry); evapotranspiration in paved areas; the nature of unsaturated zone flow below
paved areas; and the role of the pipe network. Although considerably more verification is needed, UGIf shows promise for use: in
providing input for regional groundwater solute transport models; in identifying gaps in knowledge and data; in determining which
processes are the most important influences on urban groundwater quantity and quality; in evaluating existing recharge models; in
planning, for example in investigation of the effects of landuse or climate change; and in assessing groundwater vulnerability.
D 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keywords: GIS; Urban; Aquifer; Recharge; Pollutants; Groundwater; Birmingham; Urgent
1. Introduction
Urban aquifers are of considerable importance to the
long-term viability of many cities across the world (e.g.,
0048-9697/$ - see front matter D 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2005.08.050
* Corresponding author. Tel.: +44 121 414 6138; fax: +44 121 414
4942.
E-mail address: [email protected] (J. Tellam).
Chilton, 1997; Howard and Israfilov, 2002). A major
issue is the sustainability of supplies of sufficient quan-
tities of sufficient quality groundwater, given the po-
tentially major effects that urbanization has on rates and
quality of infiltrating water. Despite the importance of
recharge in urban development, research is still at a
relatively early stage, and there are no generally accept-
ed methods for assessing the rates and quality of urban
recharge.
ent 360 (2006) 158–179
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179 159
This paper describes the development of a computer
model, UGIf, for use in urban recharge and pollution
studies. It is intended that the model be appropriate for
the following purposes:
(i) to provide input for regional groundwater solute
transport models;
(ii) to identify gaps in knowledge and data;
(iii) to determine which processes are the most im-
portant for influencing urban groundwater quan-
tity and quality; and
(iv) to evaluate current recharge models.
Once developed, the code could be used as a plan-
ning tool to investigate the effects, for example, of
landuse or climate change, and as a tool for assessing
groundwater vulnerability.
For most urban areas, a central issue is the hetero-
geneity of sources, and hence the model has been
developed using a GIS. The first part of this paper
describes the model design. The process of
dverificationT has begun, using data for 1980–2000
from the Birmingham urban Triassic Sandstone aquifer
in the UK: this work is reported in the second half of
the paper.
Land UseClassification
LeakageRecharge
Source
StandardSoil Moisture
Balance
*1
PotentialRecharge fromeach Land Use
Class
Potential RechargeMap
Interflow Indices
ActualRecharge
Inter Flow Indices
Drift Map
Drift Reactio
Drift Classes
Drift Reactio
Land Use Map
ChemicalData
Fig. 1. The structure of UGIf (d
2. Overview of model
The model has been developed for the case of an
unconfined aquifer overlain by superficial deposits of
various permeabilities. It deals with non-point source
pollution only, though related models have been devel-
oped to deal with point source pollution (petrol stations,
including non-aqueous phase liquids, and sewers)
(Thomas, 2001). The main calculations evaluate re-
charge and pollutant flux rates at the water table: the
latter include the effects of sorption and first order deg-
radation. The main data sources are: geological maps;
ground level and groundwater level maps; land cover
maps; and meteorological data. The geological maps
have associated attributes of hydraulic and chemical
properties, and the land cover maps associated attributes
of hydraulic properties and runoff water quality data.
The basic structure of the model is shown in Fig. 1.
A landuse/land cover classification allows the produc-
tion of a land cover map. Each land cover class is
assigned attributes relating to permeability/runoff and
water quality. With meteorological data and the land
cover-related runoff characteristics, an estimate of
dpotential rechargeT for each of the landuse classes
can be made, where potential recharge is defined here
*1 Rivers /CanalsMains / SewersSeptic TanksLandfill LeachateFuel Tank Spillage
*2 HorticultureIndustrial Landfills/ DumpsDomesticRoadRiver /CanalSewer / Mains
Attribute Table Dataand /or Calculation
Map*2
n
nPotential Mass
Flux
Mass FluxIn Recharge
Pollutant Mass Flux From Drift
ReactionTerm
ChemicalConcentration
in each Land use
rift=superficial deposits).
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179160
as dactual rechargeT (i.e., the water reaching the water
table) plus interflow. An estimate of potential mass flux
(i.e., flux before interflow, evapotranspiration, and re-
action have been taken into account) at the water table
can also be made using runoff water quality data asso-
ciated with the land cover classes. Interflow is estimat-
ed from the geology maps and used to convert the
potential recharge estimates into dactual rechargeT esti-mates. Time taken to cross the unsaturated zone can be
estimated using the actual recharge estimates, hydraulic
properties related to the geological units, (reversible)
sorption properties related to each geological unit, and
unsaturated zone thickness as calculated from land
surface and water table maps. Using pollutant-related
reaction properties and the estimates of times taken to
cross the unsaturated zone, the decay of degrading
pollutants can be calculated, and thence the pollutant
mass flux at the water table. Solute concentrations in
recharge waters, corrected for evapotranspiration where
necessary, are also calculated.
Although the model is thus not very sophisticated, it
does take into account the principal processes involved,
and, as it is incorporated in a GIS, it allows the com-
plexities of spatial heterogeneity to be investigated. A
major limitation is in the way that time is dealt with. It is
assumed that landuse and landuse-related properties do
not vary within the dtime-sliceT or period being consid-
ered by the model. Daily recharge estimations are un-
dertaken, and summed over the user-specified period.
Within this period, steady-state conditions are assumed
for the movement of water and solutes through the
unsaturated zone. Thus individual recharge pulses are
not tracked: residence time in the unsaturated zone is
calculated on the basis of the averaged recharge rate, but
it is only used, with a delay arising from any sorption, to
estimate degradation/decay of the pollutant concentra-
tion. Without incurring very considerable computer run
times, it would be difficult to track individual recharge
pulses simultaneously. Another weakness is the lack of
feedback between water table elevation and recharge
rate: this could conceivably be added by iteration with
a regional groundwater flow model, though again there
are computer run time implications.
In many cities, recharge from water supply networks
is significant. This recharge source is not included in
the model described here, but is dealt with by a separate
code as described by Thomas (2001).
3. Code and code organization
The model has been developed using ArcView GIS
version 3.2, with Spatial Analyst (Environmental Sys-
tems Research Institute (ESRI), Redlands, USA). It can
be divided into two main sections: the recharge model,
and the non-point source (NPS) pollutant flux model.
The recharge model includes estimation of both direct
(rainfall) recharge and indirect (surface water) recharge.
The NPS pollutant flux model is concerned with esti-
mating fluxes and concentrations in recharge (and run-
off), for both unreactive and reactive pollutants.
The input data required are:
(1) land use/land cover map with runoff and water
quality attributes;
(2) geological map of both bedrock and superficial
deposits with hydraulic and chemical property
attributes;
(3) meteorological data;
(4) ground surface elevation data in grid form; and
(5) water table elevation map.
The main outputs from the present model are dis-
tributions of: surface runoff, infiltration, potential re-
charge, ground level slope, interflow, actual recharge,
pollutant fluxes in surface runoff, travel times of each
pollutant through the unsaturated zone, and the pollut-
ant fluxes and concentrations at the water table.
4. Recharge models
4.1. Direct recharge model
4.1.1. Conceptual model and definitions
The conceptual basis for the direct recharge model is
shown in Fig. 2. The term dinitial lossT signifies inter-cepted rainfall which ultimately does not infiltrate (veg-
etation and building interception/depression or
detention storage). Formal definitions of infiltration,
potential recharge, and actual recharge as used here are:
Infiltration ¼ Rainfall � Initial Losses� Runoff ð1Þ
Potential Recharge
¼ Infiltration� Actual Evapotranspiration ð2Þ
Actual Recharge ¼ Potential Recharge� Interflow
ð3Þ
where actual evapotranspiration is the evapotranspira-
tion taking into account soil moisture availability.
4.1.2. Infiltration
Infiltration requires estimates of rainfall, initial
losses, and runoff (Eq. (1)). Rainfall estimates are
Initial Abstraction (Ia)
Precipitation
Infiltration
Runoff
Interflow
Recharge
Ia
Ia
Fig. 2. The conceptual model for the direct recharge calculations.
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179 161
assumed to be available, but estimating runoff and
initial losses is less straightforward.
After considering various available methods for run-
off estimation, the United States Department of Agri-
culture Soil Conservation Service (SCS, now known as
the Natural Resources Conservation Service, or NRCS)
Curve Number (CN) method was chosen. This empir-
ical method is applicable in situations in which daily
rainfall is available (US EPA, 1998b). It is simple,
requires few input parameters, and has been widely
applied in the field, including in urban catchments
(US EPA, 1998a). However, it is accepted that the
method, especially in the form applied here, is a con-
siderable over-simplification of a complex set of pro-
cesses, and further work will be necessary to justify its
use and, when applied, parameter assignments. Never-
theless, it will suffice in the present context as an
example runoff-estimating formulation.
The method estimates surface runoff using:
Q ¼ P � Iað Þ2
P � Iað Þ þ Sð4Þ
in which
Q total rainfall excess (runoff) for a storm event
];
[LP total rainfall for a storm event [L];
Ia initial loss [L];
S potential maximum retention capacity of soil at
beginning of storm (i.e., maximum amount of
water that will be absorbed after runoff begins)
[L].
S, also called the retention parameter, represents
how easy it is for the water to runoff, and is estimated
using a dcurve numberT (CN). A curve number is a
numerical description of how low the permeability of
the land surface in a catchment is. It varies from 0
(100% rainfall infiltration) to 100 (0% infiltration). S
is related to CN by:
S ¼ 1000
CN� 10 ð5Þ
CN is determined by several factors. The most im-
portant are the hydrologic soil group (HSG), the ground
cover type, ground treatment, the hydrological condi-
tion of the ground, the antecedent runoff condition
(ARC), and whether low permeability areas are
connected directly to drainage systems, or whether
they first discharge to a permeable area before entering
the drainage system. HSG is particularly important in
determining the runoff curve number. Soils are gener-
ally classified into four HSGs, named A, B, C, and D,
according to how well the soil absorbs water after a
period of prolonged wetting. In the current model,
HSGs are assigned to each of the geological units:
this is obviously a simplification, and if local data on
soil properties exist, they should be used in preference.
The resulting HSG theme is combined with the land
cover map to produce a map showing areas under
various landuses on different HSGs. A curve number
value is assigned for each unit of this map, which leads
to the preparation a runoff curve number map. Further
details are given in US EPA (1998a).
The term dinitial lossT incorporates rainfall loss dueto interception, depression, and detention storage. The
value of Ia depends greatly on the vegetation or other
(e.g., paved) cover types, the kind of soil (HSG, its
treatment, and hydrologic condition), and the anteced-
ent soil moisture of the area being studied. For a given
drainage basin, the values of Ia are highly variable.
Ideally the values of the parameter Ia should be evalu-
ated with field data for each specific site.
4.1.3. Potential recharge
For non-vegetated areas, the potential recharge is
estimated using Eqs. (1) and (2), with (post infiltration)
evapotranspiration set to zero, i.e.:
Potential Recharge non� vegetated areasð Þ
¼ Rainfall � Initial Loss� Runoff ð6Þ
This assumes that once into the ground, the water is
unlikely to be removed by evapotranspiration. This may
not be true where roads are tree-lined.
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179162
In vegetated areas, the calculation procedure takes
into account the soil moisture deficit parameter and
actual evapotranspiration. When the soil moisture def-
icit (SMD) (i.e., water required to bring the soil to
maximum water holding capacity) at the end of the
day is greater than zero,
Potential Recharge ¼ 0 ð7Þ
When the soil moisture deficit at the end of the day
is zero:
Potential Recharge vegetated areasð Þ¼ Rainfall � Initial Loss� Runof f
� Actual Evapotranspiration ð8Þ
For convenience in the current version of the
model, actual evapotranspiration is taken from the
UK Meteorological Office’s MORECS (Meteorologi-
cal Office Rainfall and Evaporation Calculation Sys-
tem) data set.
4.1.4. Actual recharge
Actual recharge is calculated from potential re-
charge by subtracting interflow (Eq. (3)). Interflow
depends largely on the following characteristics:
slope, porosity, storage capacity, HSG, average mois-
ture content, effective permeability, permeability anisot-
ropy, and lateral continuity of a perching horizon.
Given the complexity of the process, rigorous calcula-
tion of interflow was not attempted. Instead, it was
decided to develop a simple model based on indices
reflecting what were viewed as the four most important
parameters: (i) slope; (ii) specific retention (soil storage
capacity); (iii) permeability anisotropy ratio of the for-
mation (Kh /Kv); and (iv) the presence or absence of
low permeability deposits underlying the more perme-
able deposits at the surface. The relationships are user-
defined, but during the verification study (see below),
the relationships were taken to be linear, with the
indices taking a value between 0 and 1. The fourth
index, the clay presence index, is based on the absence
or presence of a low permeability layer underneath the
outcropping deposits, and its form (sheet or lenses).
When calculating interflow in this model, a weighting
factor is assigned by the user to each of the four
interflow indexes, so that the relative importance of
each can be assigned.
The lateral flow QL is thus estimated using the
following equation.
QL ¼ PR IdFð ÞSL þ IdFð ÞSR þ IdFð ÞKh=Kv þ I dFð ÞCPh i
ð9Þ
where PR=potential recharge, I is the index value (0–
1), and F is the weighting factor (0–1). Subscripts refer
to the four main variables: SL=slope gradient;
SR=specific retention; Kh /Kv=anisotropy ratio; and
CP=clay presence. The sum FSL+FSR+FKh/Kv+FCP is
1. Thus QL=PR if each I value were at a maximum:
alternatively, if clay layering was thought to be the
predominant process, F for CP could be set to 1, the
other weighting factors to 0, and QL would then depend
directly on the presence of clay layers.
The input data for the actual recharge calculation are
elevation grid, geological maps with attributes of specif-
ic retention, permeability anisotropy ratio, and low per-
meability deposit presence, and a potential recharge grid
(preferably having an attribute of landuse types for sum-
marizing interflow based on landuse). All calculations in
this model use grid data. First a slope map is generated
from the elevation grid theme. The potential recharge is
also input as a grid. The interflow indices grids are
generated from the respective attribute values of the
vector format geological map. The output from this
model is a map of interflow rates resulting from recharge
at each pixel. As interflow is not tracked from one cell to
the next, but assumed to discharge eventually into the
drainage system, it is very important to check the
summed predicted interflow against whatever drainage
flow data are available. A priority in future versions of
the model is to address the routing of interflow (and
surface runoff): this will make the model substantially
larger. The actual direct recharge is calculated finally by
using the potential recharge grid and the interflow grid.
4.2. Indirect recharge model
In the current model, recharge from surface water
bodies is assumed to be at a constant rate. It would be
simple to include a conductance term, but until the model
is connected to a regional groundwater flow model, the
non-linear connection between groundwater heads and
surface water recharge cannot be included properly.
4.3. Non-point source pollution flux model
4.3.1. Flux rates for non-reactive pollutants in surface
runoff
The most common method of approximating NPS
pollution uses long-term average contaminant loadings
for common land uses. An early user of this approach
was the US National Urban Runoff Program (US EPA,
1983), and it has been followed in many other
countries. In this approach, Event Mean Concentrations
are defined for each landuse. These EMCs are assumed
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179 163
to be determined only by the landuse, and to remain
constant independent of the duration and intensity of
the rainfall events (Naranjo, 1998). EMC values are
available in the literature (Lopes and Dionne, 1998;
Delzer et al., 1996; Shepp, 1996). The EMC approach
is simplistic, but until quantitative relationships be-
tween rainfall quantity and quality properties become
available for urban areas, there is little point in making
the model more sophisticated.
The input data for the calculation of pollutant flux
rates in runoff are therefore: (a) the landuse grid; (b) the
grid of average annual runoff volume calculated by the
recharge model; and (c) the associated EMC values for
each landuse for each of the selected pollutants. An
Avenue script was written linking the EMC value of
various pollutants to the land use types. The EMC grid
is then multiplied by the grid of average annual rainfall
runoff. The result is the annual surface runoff loading
for the NPS pollutant in each grid cell, i.e.:
Load M=T½ � ¼ Flow L3=T�4Concentration M=L3� ��
ð10Þ
4.3.2. Flux rates for non-reactive pollutants at the
water table
EMC values can also be used for estimating the NPS
pollutant fluxes in the infiltrating water (=rainfall� ini-
initial loss� runoff):
Pollutant flux for non-reacting solutes in inf iltratingwater
M= L2T� �� �
¼ EMC M=L3� �
� Infiltration rate L=T½ �ð11Þ
The infiltrating water is subject to evaporative loss
across the soil–air interface, and hence the concentra-
tion of the recharge water will be higher than that of the
infiltrated water:
Rechargeconcentration for non-reacting solutes
½M=L3� ¼ Pollutant flux in infiltratingwater
M= L2T� �� �
=Rechargerate L=T½ � ð12Þ
4.3.3. Flux rates for reactive pollutants at the water
table
4.3.3.1. Outline of calculation. As they pass through
the unsaturated zone, pollutants in the infiltrating re-
charge water may be subjected to various processes
including sorption, volatilization, and biodegradation.
In the current model, volatilization, linear sorption and
first order decay are taken into account. Pollutant fluxes
are estimated through four stages, viz.:
(1) Estimation of volumetric water content in the
unsaturated zone;
(2) Calculation of soil–water partitioning coefficients;
(3) Calculation of retardation factors; and
(4) Calculation of concentration and mass fluxes at
the water table.
4.3.3.2. Estimation of volumetric water content. The
volumetric water content in the unsaturated zone, hw, is
calculated using the method of Clapp and Hornberger
(1978):
hw ¼ hsVd
Ks
� �1= 2bþ3ð Þð13Þ
where hs is the saturated water content of the soil (total
porosity), Vd is the recharge rate, Ks is the saturated
hydraulic conductivity at the saturated water content hs,
and b is the Clapp and Hornberger constant for the soil
[–].
4.3.3.3. Velocity of aqueous phase contaminant migra-
tion. The average linear velocity, vi, of a pollutant
subject to linear sorption as it passes through the un-
saturated zone is given by:
vi ¼q
hRf
ð14Þ
where q is the recharge rate [L/T], and Rf is the
retardation factor. The retardation factor is calculated
using:
Rf ¼ 1þ qKd þ hs � hð ÞKHð Þ=h ð15Þ
where q is the dry bulk density of the soil and KH is the
Henry’s law constant (gas concentration/aqueous con-
centration, [–]).
The soil–water partitioning coefficient, Kd, is esti-
mated using:
Kd ¼ Koc foc ð16Þwhere Kd=soil–water partitioning coefficient, Koc=or-
ganic carbon partitioning coefficient, foc= fraction of
organic carbon within the soil matrix.
4.3.3.4. Calculating the time to reach the water
table. The leading edge of the contaminated pulse
will reach the water table at a time T that can be calcu-
lated using:
T ¼ ZhRf
qð17Þ
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179164
where Z is the thickness of the unsaturated zone and q is
the recharge rate.
4.3.3.5. Estimation of the effect of degradation. The
model includes a first order rate equation to describe
removal of a contaminant:
C2 ¼ C1 exp � Tkð Þ ð18Þ
where C1 is the initial concentration of chemical ap-
plied at the ground surface, C2 is the concentration of
chemical at the water table, T is the travel time through
the unsaturated zone, and k is the first order degrada-
tion rate coefficient for the chemical.
Substituting the expression for travel time in the
above equation, and rewriting in terms of half-life
(T1 / 2), the concentration at the water table becomes:
C2 ¼ C1 exp� 0:693RfZh
qT1=2
��ð19Þ
The pollutant mass flux to the water table is given
by:
Pollutant Flux ¼ Net Recharge Rate
� Concentration of Pollutant
Reaching the Water Table
¼ qC2 ð20Þ
i.e.,
Recharge Pollutant Flux
¼ qC1exp� 0:693Rf Zh
qT1=2
��ð21Þ
4.4. Code validation
The code was checked wherever possible against
manual calculations representing a range of conditions.
Details are given by Thomas (2001).
5. Preliminary verification
5.1. Introduction
Verification of the model is not straightforward. Ulti-
mately, it is intended that the results be compared first
with field data on surface water flows and quality, and
subsequently, once the model has been extended to other
periods and incorporated into a regional groundwater
solute transport model, with historical groundwater
levels and quality. However, before this is attempted,
the model has been applied to the case of the unconfined
portion of the Birmingham Triassic Sandstone aquifer as
the first step in verification. The main purpose is to
determine how predictions of total recharge and runoff
compare with other estimates, and whether the dstyleT ofthe results makes hydrogeological sense. To this end,
input parameter values have been set a priori rather than
being calibrated to produce the dbestT outcome.
5.2. The Birmingham aquifer
Birmingham is located in central England (Fig. 3)
and is England’s second largest city with a population
of around 1.2 million people. It is a major industrial
centre. The unconfined Triassic Sandstone aquifer (Fig.
3) underlies part of the city, and occupies an area of
~111 km2. It was chosen because of the considerable
amount of hydrogeological data available.
The southeastern boundary of the unconfined aquifer
is defined by the Birmingham Fault which downthrows
the aquifer, the Sherwood Sandstone Group, to the
southeast so that it is confined below the Triassic
Mercia Mudstone Group. The western and south-west-
ern boundaries have irregular shapes that correspond to
the limit of the outcrops of sandstones as they thin out
over older (Carboniferous) formations. The northern
boundary of the study area is defined by a groundwater
divide. The sandstones are covered by a lithologically
variable sequence of Quaternary deposits of glacial,
lacustrine, aeolian, and fluvial origin. These deposits
are up to 20 to 30 m thick in places, and can seriously
limit recharge locally. The hydrogeology and contami-
nation of the aquifer has been described by Jackson and
Lloyd (1983), Knipe et al. (1993), Rivett et al. (1990),
Ford et al. (1992), Ford and Tellam (1994), and Shep-
herd et al. (2006-this issue).
5.3. Approach
5.3.1. Outline
The following tasks need to be considered before the
model can be implemented:
! development of a landuse/land cover map;
! collation of geological data;
! assignment of hydrological parameters;
! preparation of meteorological data;
! collation of EMC data; and
! collation of geochemical parameter values.
These tasks are considered in turn in the following
paragraphs. For each variable, a value was chosen
based on literature values or on local data. The model
Fig. 3. The geology of the unconfined Birmingham aquifer area. Digital data from British Geological Survey (2000). The main aquifer, the
Sherwood Sandstone Group, has three units, the Kidderminster, Wildmoor Sandstone, and the Bromsgrove Sandstone Formations. Head =
weathered material redistributed by solifluxion. (For the colour version of the maps in this paper, the reader is referred to the web version of
this article.)
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179 165
was then run, and the predictions examined to deter-
mine any obvious inconsistencies. The only inconsis-
tency found was that recharge rates for winter were
greater in some paved areas than for some vegetated
areas. As a result, CN values for the industrial, com-
mercial, and transport landuses were all increased by a
small amount (see below for values). No other modifi-
cations were made to the initial parameter values. A 10
m by 10 m grid size has been used throughout.
5.3.2. Landuse/land cover mapping
Although there are existing landuse/land cover maps
for Birmingham, none proved suitable for recharge
estimation purposes, being compiled at an inappropriate
scale, or not including features important to recharge.
Hence a new scheme was set up. Table 1 shows the
landuse classification used.
The classification is an a priori hierarchical one with
three levels. In a priori classification schemes, the land
Table 1
Urban landuse classification scheme
1. Urban built up area and developed land
11. Residential
111. High density residential (Terraced/multi-storied flats)
112. Medium density residential (Semi detached)
113. Low Density Residential (Detached)
12. Commercial/Business and Services
121. Commercial Retail (Supermarkets, Gasoline Stations,
Building Materials etc.)
123. Commercial Wholesale/Warehouses/Depots
124. Institutional (Governmental/Educational/Medical/
Religious)
125. Commercial Services (Finance/Real Estate/Insurance/
Repairs/Automotives)
126. Water Treatment/Sewage Treatment
127. Hotels/Lodging
13. Industrial/Manufacturing
131. Industrial – Heavy (Chemical, Metal, Electrical,
Automotive)
132. Industrial – Medium (Raw material processing and
preparation)
133. Industrial – Light (Food and Drink Processing, Furniture/
Wood Processing)
14. Transportation
141. Railway Transport facilities
142. Road Transport Facilities
143. Air Transport facilities
144. Water Transport Facilities
15. Parking/Car Parks
151. Industrial Car Parks
152. Commercial Car Parks
153. Office Car Parks/Institutional Car parks
16. Roads
161. Motorways
162. A Road
163. B Road
164. Minor Road
17. Pavement/Pedestrian Footpath
171. Pavement Brick
172. Pavement Concrete
173. Pavement Asphalt
18. Derelict Built Up Land (dBrown FieldsT)181. Industrial Derelict Built up Land
182. Commercial Derelict Built up Land
2. Open urban area
21. Recreation
211. Parks/Gardens
212. Golf Courses
213. Playgrounds/Sports fields
214. Zoos
22. Agriculture/Horticulture
221. Pasture Land/Meadow
222. Allotment Gardens
223. Farms
224. Orchards/Vineyards/Nurseries
225. Animal Operations (Horses, Poultry, Livestock)
23. Bare Land
231. Public Open Ground (Hard ground used for cultural/
social purposes)
Table 1 (continued)
1. Urban built up area and developed land
232. Barren land (Sterile, non profitable land with or without
vegetation)
24. Other Open Urban Areas
241. Verges and Lawn
242. Landfill/Waste Dumps
243. Open Derelict Land (Open dBrown FieldsT)244. Cemeteries
245. Construction Sites
3. Shrub /scrub lands
31. Moor/Herbaceous Cover
311. Tall/Short Grass
312. Bracken
313. Grass Heath
32. Shrub Heath
321. Open Shrub Heath Land
322. Dense Shrub Heath Land
33. Scrub Land
331. Deciduous Scrub Land
4. Forest/woodlands
41. Deciduous forest
411. Mature Forest (Closed Canopy Woods)
412. Young Forest/Open Forest (Open Woods/Felled/Degraded)
42. Coniferous forest
421. Mature
422. Young
43. Mixed forest
431. Mature
432. Young
5. Water bodies
51. Inland water bodies
511. River/stream
512. Lakes/pond
52. Artificial water bodies
521. Canal
522. Reservoirs
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179166
use/land cover classes are defined prior to the collection
of data, the main advantage being that the classes are
standardized independently of the area to be described
and the means/techniques used in the mapping (De Bie
et al., 1996; AFRICOVER, 1998). Initially, a prelimi-
nary dlevel IT classification system was constructed,
which consisted of five possible major classes: (1)
urban built up areas and developed land; (2) open
urban areas; (3) shrub/scrub land; (4) forest/woodlands;
and (5) water bodies. These broad level I classes are
subdivided further into dlevel IIT and dlevel IIIT classeswhich have direct significance for recharge and pollu-
tion activities.
Using this classification, a landuse map was pre-
pared for the area of the unconfined Birmingham
aquifer for the period 1980 to 2000: twenty landuse
classes from Table 1 were eventually included, the
Fig. 4. Landuse map for the Birmingham unconfined aquifer for 1980–2000. This map is based in part on Ordnance Survey data: n Crown
copyright Ordnance Survey. All rights reserved.
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179 167
others not being found in significant proportions (Fig.
4). The information sources were: digital topographic
maps (1 :1250 scale, Ordnance Survey (OS)); satellite
imagery (LANDSAT TM images); aerial photographs
(Cities Revealed n orthorectified digital images hav-
ing a resolution of 2 m). The satellite images were
rectified and enhanced using the ArcView Image
Analysis extension, and then used as the basis for
the maps, with the OS data being used to identify
most landuses. Where a feature was not clear on
satellite images or OS maps, visual interpretation of
the aerial photographs was undertaken. In addition,
local knowledge of the area was used where other
sources of information were not adequate. Details are
given by Thomas (2001).
Fig. 5 shows the proportion of land overlying the
Birmingham unconfined aquifer associated with each of
the 20 landuse classes. Residential areas dominate,
covering N50% of the area in aggregate, with commer-
cial, recreation grounds, minor roads, and woodlands
being present in 5% to 10% of the area: all other classes
of land use are present at less than 3%.
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
Low Den
sity R
esid
entia
l
High D
ensit
y Res
iden
tial
Comm
ercia
l
Recre
atio
n Gro
und (Gra
ss)
Minor R
oad
Mediu
m D
ensit
y Res
iden
tial
Woodlan
d/Shru
b
Open G
round/G
rass
land
Agricultu
re
Indust
rial
'A' R
oad
Reser
voir/
Lake/P
ond
'B' R
oad
Cemet
ery/G
rave
yard
Railw
ay Y
ard
Motorw
ay
Car P
ark
Canal
River
Transp
ortatio
n
Are
a P
erce
nta
ge
Fig. 5. Landuse in the unconfined area of the Birmingham aquifer, 1980–2000, as a percentage of total land area.
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179168
5.3.3. Geological data
ArcView GIS compatible pre-Quaternary geology
and Quaternary geology maps on 1 :10000 scale
were procured from the British Geological Survey
British Geological Survey, 2000). These maps were
reconciled and merged to generate a combined map
with all geological units (Fig. 3). The area of
outcrop of each geology unit was calculated within
the GIS and added to its attribute table. Finally, the
Table 2
The hydraulic and interflow index parameters assigned to each of the geolo
Names of geological
formations
Lithology Total
area
Area %
(km2)
Alluvium Silty clay with sand
and gravel
5.72 5.16
Bromsgrove sandstone
formation
Sandstone 8.25 7.43
Glaciofluvial deposits Sand and gravel 44.49 40.07
Glaciolacustrine deposits Clay and silt 1.33 1.2
Head Clay with rock fragments
and pebbles
1.56 1.4
Hopwas breccia Breccia and sandstone 0.92 0.83
Kidderminster formation Sandstone 22.25 20.04
Lacustrine deposits Clay, silt and sand 0.14 0.13
River terrace deposits,
First terrace
Sand and gravel 3.58 3.23
River Terrace deposits,
Second terrace
Sand and gravel 1.62 1.46
Salop Formation Mudstone 0.44 0.4
Sandy till Sandy, pebbly clay with
lenses of sand and gravel
0.36 0.32
Till Pebbly clay 17.21 15.5
Wildmoor sandstone
Formation
Sandstone 3.16 2.85
Total 111.02 100
[Data from: Allen et al. (1997), Bridge et al. (1997), Freeze and Che
total area of each geological unit was also estimated
(Table 2).
5.3.4. Hydrologic soil group
HSGs are needed to estimate curve number for
runoff estimation. As no soil map was available, it
was decided to use the geology map to prepare a map
of HSG distributions. Table 3 lists the HSG assigned to
each geological unit.
gical units in the study area
Porosity Clapp and Hornberger
constant
Clay
index
Permeability
anisotropy
Specific
retention
(–) (–) (–) Ratio(Kh /Kv) (–)
0.40 1.26 0.8 75 0.35
0.27 2.12 0.5 1.37 0.17
0.35 1.90 0 1.54 0.09
0.40 1.40 0.9 166.36 0.34
0.42 1.35 0.95 348.84 0.39
0.24 2.50 0.05 2 0.04
0.25 2.38 0.3 1.81 0.1
– – 0.8 95.19 0.29
0.35 1.80 0.1 4.26 0.09
0.35 1.80 0.1 4.26 0.09
– – 1 4.92 0.28
0.25 1.40 0.8 90.19 0.09
0.25 1.40 0.95 184.84 0.26
0.26 2.21 0.3 1.88 0.14
rry (1979), Shepherd (2003), and Clapp and Hornberger (1978)].
Table 3
Lithological and textural descriptions of geological units of the Bir-
mingham area
Name of formation Lithology Hydrologic
soil group
Glaciofluvial deposits Yellow and orange sand
and gravel
A
River terrace deposits,
first terrace
Mainly sand and gravel A A
River terrace deposits,
second terrace
Mainly sand and gravel A
Bromsgrove sandstone
formation
Sandstone, red brown,
micaceous, pebbly in
part (interbedded with
mudstone in upper part
A
Wildmoor sandstone
formation
Sandstone, orange-red,
feldspathic, with sparse
thin mudstone beds
A
Kidderminster formation Sandstone, red, and
pebbly sandstone,
pebble–cobble
conglomerate in lower
part
A
Hopwas breccia Breccia and pebbly
sandstone
A
Alluvium Silty clay with sand and
gravel and, locally, peat
B
Glaciolacustrine deposits Yellow to brown
stoneless clay and silt
C
Sandy till Brown or red brown,
sandy, pebbly clay with
lenses of sand and gravel
C
Head Yellow, red or brown
clay with rock fragments
and pebbles
D
Lacustrine Deposits Clay, silt and sand D
Till Brown or red brown
pebbly clay
D
Salop Formation Mudstone, red, and
sandstone, red brown
with subordinate
lenticular beds of
conglomerate and thin
beds of limestone
D
Table 4
Values of initial loss for each landuse/land cover class in Birmingham
Land use/land cover Initial surface loss (mm)
Commercial/business 3.0
Industrial 3.0
High density residential 4.1
Medium density residential 4.5
Low density residential 5.1
Car parks 2.0
Transportation 3.0
Recreation ground 5.5
Agricultural/horticultural/farm 5.5
Woodland/shrub 8.0
Cemetery/graveyard 5.5
Open ground/grassland 5.5
Reservoir/lake/pond 0
River 0
Canal 0
Motorway 2.0
dAT Road 2.0
dBT Road 2.0
Minor road 2.0
Railway yard 2.5
Area-weighted average 4.4
NB: The term dinitial surface lossT incorporates rainfall loss due to
interception, depression and detention storage.
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179 169
5.3.5. Interflow indices
There are four interflow indices, requiring data on:
slope angle, clay presence below surface deposits,
permeability anisotropy, and specific retention. Slope
angle is calculated by the model from the topograph-
ic elevation data. For each outcropping geological
unit, a clay presence index ranging from zero (no
clay) to one (sheet clay) was assigned, based on
interpretation of local geological information. The
permeability and specific retention data were obtained
from Allen et al. (1997), Bridge et al. (1997), and
Buddemeier (1996). This approach is an approxima-
tion, and values are likely to be altered as new field
data become available.
5.3.6. Initial losses
Since no field data on initial loss in Birmingham
are currently available, a literature survey was carried
out to provide possible values (see, e.g., Browne
(1990) and NCSPA (1999)). The initial loss values
tentatively chosen for the land uses in Birmingham are
shown in Table 4. Ultimately it may be possible to
refine CN and Ia values by testing against field runoff
and groundwater data. For example, Durr (2003) has
recently suggested that runoff is not seen until at least
0.5 to 2 mm rainfall has occurred, and if this were the
case in Birmingham, it is possible that the figures
listed in Table 4 will be a little too large.
5.3.7. Preparation of meteorological data
Daily rainfall and MORECS data for 1980–1999
were procured from the UK Meteorological Office.
Apart from direct use in the recharge calculation, these
data allow assignment of antecedent moisture conditions
for the curve number runoff method. Wet conditions
(antecedent moisture condition III, see below) were
assumed when SMD values were close to zero (0–10
mm) for a period of 10–15 consecutive days; otherwise,
normal conditions (antecedent moisture condition II)
were assumed.
able 6
vent mean concentrations assigned for each landuse class
and use/land cover Nitrate
(mg N/l)
Chloride
(mg/l)
Toluene
(Ag/l)
ommercial/business 1.2 148 2.4
dustrial 1.9 148 1.8
igh density residential 2.1 148 1.8
edium density residential 1.8 50*** 1.8***
ow density residential 1.8 15*** 0.9***
ar parks 0.8* 42* 2.4***
ransportation 0.8 148*** 2.4***
ecreation ground 0.9 0.9** 0
gricultural/horticultural/farm 4.1 0.9** 0
oodland/shrub 0.8 0.9** 0
emetery/graveyard 1.2 0.9** 0
pen ground/grassland 1.8 0.9** 0
eservoir/lake/pond 0.6 0.9** 0
iver 0.6 0.9*** 0
anal 1.5*** 10*** 0
otorway 0.8 149*** 1.2***
T road 0.5* 149* 1.2***
T road 0.5* 125* 1.2***
inor road 0.6* 15.4* 0.6***
ailway Yard 0.2 0.9 0.1***
* Runoff chemistry data obtained from Harris, 2000, Unpub-
shed data and Antonio, 1999, Unpublished data.
** Chloride measured in rainfall samples collected at Winter-
ourne, Birmingham University.
*** Estimates based on Birmingham University campus measure-
ents and literature data.
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179170
5.3.8. NRCS curve numbers
The curve numbers for normal antecedent moisture
conditions (AMC II) are calculated as explained
above. For wet conditions (AMC III), curve numbers
are calculated by (US EPA, 1998a):
CN IIIð Þ ¼ 23CN IIð Þ10þ 0:13CN IIð Þ ð22Þ
Using this relationship, the NRCS curve numb-
ers for Birmingham landuse classes during wet
conditions were calculated, and these are listed in
Table 5.
5.3.9. Surface water infiltration rates
The infiltration rates for surface waters were set at
2 mm/day for reservoirs and 12.5 mm/day for unlined
canals. The latter figure was obtained from informa-
tion supplied by British Waterways. The River Tame
is effluent (Ellis, 2003).
5.3.10. Collation of geochemical parameter values
For this investigation of UGIf, the pollutants chlo-
ride, nitrate, and toluene have been considered. Chlo-
ride will be considered inert. Nitrate will also be
considered inert, and, although this is clearly untrue,
Table 5
NRCS curve numbers for various landuse/land cover types in the Birmingh
Land use/land cover Average % of
impermeable area
Hydrologic condition a
ground cover
Commercial 90
Industrial 90
High density residential 75
Medium density residential 65
Low density residential 45–50
Car parks 99
Transportation 90
Recreation ground 5 Good*; N75% Ground
Agricultural field 4 Good*; N75% Ground
Woodland/Scrub 2 Good*; 50% Woods an
Cemetery/graveyard 25 Poor*; Grass b50%
Open ground/grassland 2 Good*; Grass N75%
Reservoir/lake/pond
River
Canal
Motorway 99
A road (paved) 99
B road (paved) 99
Minor road (paved) 99
Railway yard 35– 40
Poor*: factors impair infiltration and tend to increase runoff. Good*: facto
decrease runoff.
T
E
L
C
In
H
M
L
C
T
R
A
W
C
O
R
R
C
M
dAdBM
R
li
b
m
am area (Antecedent Moisture Condition III)
nd vegetative Curve numbers for hydrologic soil group
A B C D
98 99 99 99
98 99 99 99
94 97 98 98
92 95 97 97
86 92 95 96
99 99 99 99
98 99 99 99
Cover 59 78 88 91
Cover 59 78 88 91
d 50% Grass 56 78 86 91
69 84 91 93
59 78 88 91
100 100 100 100
100 100 100 100
100 100 100 100
99 99 99 99
99 99 99 99
99 99 99 99
99 99 99 99
73 85 91 94
rs encourage average and better than average infiltration and tend to
0200400600800
100012001400160018002000
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
Year
Rai
nfa
ll (m
m/y
)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Rec
har
ge
(mm
/y)
Rainfall
Recharge
Fig. 6. Calculated actual recharge as a function of time in the unconfined area of the Birmingham aquifer.
0.020.040.060.080.0
100.0120.0140.0
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000Year
Rec
har
ge
(mm
/y)
Commercial
Industrial
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Year
Rec
har
ge
(mm
/y)
Car Park
Transport
0.050.0
100.0150.0200.0250.0300.0350.0400.0450.0
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Year
Rec
har
ge
(mm
/y)
Motorway
'A' Road
'B' Road
Minor Road
Railway Yard
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000Year
Rec
har
ge
(mm
/y)
HDRMDRLDR
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Year
Rec
har
ge
(mm
/y)
Recreation Ground (Grass)
Agriculture
Woodland/Shrub
Cemetery/Graveyard
Open Ground/Grassland
0.0500.0
1000.01500.02000.02500.03000.03500.04000.04500.0
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Year
Rec
har
ge
(mm
/y)
Reservoir/Lake/Pond
River
Canal
Fig. 7. Variation of calculated recharge for the unconfined area of the Birmingham aquifer as a function of landuse type over the time period 1980–
2000.
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179 171
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179172
the results allow the influence of source on recharge
concentrations to be investigated. Toluene will be con-
sidered to be sorbing and degrading.
EMC data are not available for all the landuse
classes in the Birmingham area. However, some unpub-
lished data are available (Antonio, 1999; Harris, 2000)
that provide some information on concentrations of
nitrate and chloride. Using the latter information, to-
gether with other data from the literature, the EMC
values listed in Table 6 were assembled.
Fig. 8. Calculated recharge in the unconfined area of the Birmingham aqu
Ordnance Survey data: n Crown copyright Ordnance Survey. All rights res
The Henry’s Law constant for toluene was taken
as 643 kPa m3 mol�1, and the decay half-life as 28
days. The Kd values were calculated using the focvalues (Shepherd, 2003; Shepherd et al., 2006-this
issue) listed in Table 2. Table 2 also lists the po-
rosity and Clapp and Hornberger constants used. The
latter were estimated from the textural descriptions
of each of the geological units, but some measure-
ments of the former are available (e.g., Allen et al.,
1997).
ifer for autumn and winter 1980 (cm). This map is based in part on
erved.
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
LDR
Min R
dHDR
ComCan
alRec
rLak
eMDR In
dA R
d
% M
ean
To
tal P
ot.
Rec
har
ge
0.02.04.06.08.0
10.012.014.0
Woods
Open G
rdAgric
Railway
B Rd
Motorw
ay
Car P
k
Cemet
ery
Transp
% M
ean
To
tal P
ot.
Rec
har
ge
Fig. 9. Calculated recharge as a function of landuse in the Birming
ham unconfined aquifer.
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179 173
6. Model results
6.1. Recharge
Due to limitations on the size of ArcView grid files,
only ~6 months of daily data could be run at one time.
Hence the data had to be split for calculation purposes.
This was usually done by considering, for each year,
data for winter and autumn, and data for spring and
summer. Winter and autumn were defined on the basis
that SMDb10 mm. For example, for 1980, the first run
would comprise the data for January to March and
October to December, and the second run would com-
prise the data for April to September. Some of the data
sets had to be further split to conform to the ArcView
size limitations. In total 51 model runs were needed to
cover the twenty year period investigated. The recharge
model runs generate grids of potential recharge, inter-
flow, and actual recharge. Each direct recharge calcu-
lation took (in 2001) ~2.5 h using a Pentium III 450
MHz 128 Mb RAM PC (with solute transport, 6–7 h).
The total predicted actual recharge to the aquifer is
illustrated in Fig. 6, and predicted recharge for each
landuse class in Fig. 7. The highest recharge rate cal-
culated was 113 mm/year or 34 ML/day for 1993. The
total rainfall in this year was 755 mm. Examination of
rainfall data shows that the highest rainfall recorded
during the 20 years was 820 mm in the year 1998.
However, the predicted actual recharge in this year (33
ML/day or 110 mm/year) is slightly less than that in
1993. This is explained by higher evapotranspiration
rates and SMD values in 1998. The lowest predicted
recharge rate is 60 mm/year (18 ML/day) for 1996. The
total rainfall (559 mm) was also the lowest over the 20
year period.
In his regional groundwater flow modelling study,
Greswell (1992) estimated recharge rates for 1980–
1989 to be 31.2 ML/day on average excluding leakage
from water supply pipelines (mains), and excluding
recharge from surface water bodies (summarized in
Knipe et al., 1993). Including surface water recharge,
Greswell’s (1992) estimate is 34.9 ML/day. For 1980,
the equivalent figures as predicted by UGIf are 28.6
ML/day and 33.5 ML/day (94 and 110 mm/year),
which agrees well. Using the results of a baseflow
analysis, Ellis (2003) estimates that recharge within
the Tame catchment is ~28% of the rainfall, i.e. 196
to 224 mm/year (60 to 68 ML/day) for rainfall of 700 to
800 mm/year. This figure includes water supply (mains)
leakage, and contributions from areas other than the
sandstone. Using the estimate of Knipe et al. (1993) of
8.5 ML/day (28 mm/year) for water supply (mains)
leakage within the sandstone area of the catchment,
and assuming that the part of the Tame catchment
which overlies sandstone aquifer is similar to the rest
of the catchment, the recharge estimated for the aquifer
becomes 78 to 106 mm/year (24 to 32 ML/day)
depending on the rainfall. This is probably an underes-
timate, as the baseflow contribution from the sandstone
reach of the Tame may be greater than that from the
non-sandstone part; however, the latter will have some
baseflow from the Carboniferous bedrock, and in addi-
tion does contain disused mine systems and shallow
Quaternary deposits which do contribute significantly
to what would be interpreted as baseflow. Again, the
agreement with the estimate of UGIf is encouraging.
A full comparison with predicted surface water run-
off is rather more complex, and has yet to be carried
out. However, Ellis (2003) estimates that, at mean
flows, non-groundwater inputs to the Tame are ~40 to
50 ML/day, and this compares with the UGIf estimate
of ~40 ML/day.
These comparisons do not constitute a rigorous test
of the model, and the agreement may well be fortuitous.
All that should be concluded is that the uncalibrated
model is producing credible estimates of recharge or
total runoff.
A more interesting exercise is to examine the detail
of the estimates. Fig. 8 shows an example potential
recharge map produced for the 6 months of autumn
and winter 1980. As expected, the predicted pattern is
complex, reflecting both very heterogeneous landuse
-
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179174
distributions and geology. Nevertheless, the influences
of the landuse patterns can be discerned, and these
appear therefore to be dominant.
Fig. 9 shows the amounts of total potential re-
charge categorized according to landuse. Much of
the aquifer’s recharge is predicted to come from
areas of low density housing, minor roads, high den-
sity housing, commercial development, and canals,
with relatively little coming from woods, open
ground, agriculture, railways, dBT roads, motorways,
car parks, cemeteries, and transport depots. This is to
be expected given the relative areas of each type of
Fig. 10. Calculated volumes of interflow generated per 100 m2 pixel over
Birmingham aquifer. This map is based in part on Ordnance Survey data: n
land cover (Fig. 5). However, Fig. 7 shows that the
recharge rate for the vegetated areas is less than that
for the paved areas when averaged over a year. One
reason for this is that the vegetated areas in the city
correspond with locations where the geological units
are less permeable (cf. Fig. 3). Another factor arises
through the assumption that the recharge in the paved
areas is not dependent on evapotranspiration. When
recharge occurs in the vegetated areas, i.e., when
SMD~0, the rates are greater than for paved areas.
But when SMDN0 and recharge in the vegetated
areas ceases, recharge continues to occur through
169 days in autumn and winter 1980 for the unconfined area of the
Crown copyright Ordnance Survey. All rights reserved.
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179 175
the paved areas. The model suggests that this is
enough to make the overall year-averaged recharge
rate greater than that for vegetated areas. In addition,
the lack of dependence of recharge on evapotranspi-
ration in the paved areas makes the variability of
annual recharge rates in the paved areas less than
that in the vegetated areas, as shown in Fig. 7. It
may well be that these model predictions are incorrect
(e.g., because initial losses are underestimated): how-
ever, if true, they have important landuse and water
quality implications, and hence more research is need-
ed especially on the topic of recharge through paved
Fig. 11. Calculated chloride concentrations based on recharge rates for winte
This map is based in part on Ordnance Survey data: n Crown copyright O
areas. For example, is evapotranspiration really not
important? What about moisture re-distribution fol-
lowing infiltration in restricted zones? Does fingered
flow establish itself (e.g., Ritsema, 1999; Sililo and
Tellam, 2000)? What implications are there for pol-
lutant travel times and attenuation?
Sensitivity analysis for the direct recharge calcula-
tion indicates the following relative importance for the
main variables:
Grassed areas with underlying wet sand:
RainfallN Ia, CNH [actual evapotranspirationNClay
indexNStorage indexNSlopeNPermeability anisotropy]
r and autumn 1980 for the unconfined area of the Birmingham aquifer.
rdnance Survey. All rights reserved.
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179176
Grassed areas with underlying wet clay:
CNNRainfallNClay indexN IaNPermeability aniso-
tropy NActual evapotranspiration N Storage index H
[Slope]
Commercial areas with underlying wet sand:
CN NRainfallH [Clay indexNStorage indexN IaN
SlopeNPermeability anisotropy]
Commercial areas with underlying wet clay:
C N NRainfallHPermeability anisotropyNStorage
indexH [IaNSlope]
Fig. 12. Calculated nitrate concentrations based on recharge rates for winter
This map is based in part on Ordnance Survey data: n Crown copyright O
Some variables, those indicated in square brackets
above, have little effect on the recharge estimates in the
case of Birmingham.
Fig. 10 indicates that interflow, as calculated by the
model, is likely to be of most importance in the south-
west of the aquifer area. Overall, interflow is estimated
by the model to be ~10% potential recharge. There are
few data to test these predictions, but the predicted
difference between the southwestern parts of the aquifer
and the rest of the study area is so marked that this
and autumn 1980 for the unconfined area of the Birmingham aquifer.
rdnance Survey. All rights reserved.
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179 177
seems to be a real feature. This conclusion suggests that
the assumption of vertical flow through the unsaturated
zone used when calculating the reactive pollutant fluxes
will, in much of the rest of the aquifer at least, be
reasonable.
6.2. Pollutant fluxes
Fig. 11 shows the predicted concentrations of chlo-
ride in the recharge waters. Concentrations range from
mg/l level to over 100 mg/l, as might be expected given
Fig. 13. Calculated toluene concentrations based on recharge rates for winter
This map is based in part on Ordnance Survey data: n Crown copyright O
the EMC values used. It is immediately clear that the
distribution of concentrations is complex, with large
local differences. However, the main landuse controls
are also evident, with, for example, the high density/
low density residential areas showing up in the southern
part of the region (cf. Fig. 4). The residence times for
pumped groundwaters in the unconfined part of the
aquifer can be anything up to at least hundreds of
years (Tellam and Thomas, 2002), and this, and the
complexities caused by pumping boreholes, make de-
tailed comparisons inappropriate. However, the range
and autumn 1980 for the unconfined area of the Birmingham aquifer.
rdnance Survey. All rights reserved.
A. Thomas, J. Tellam / Science of the Total Environment 360 (2006) 158–179178
of concentrations seen and the scale of variability are
features of the real system: for example, at one single
industrial site, roughly 1 km2 in area, boreholes with a
great range of depths extract water with Cl concentra-
tions ranging from b15 to N100 mg/l (Ford and Tellam,
1994).
Fig. 12 shows the predicted nitrate distributions.
Concentrations between less than a milligram per liter
and a few milligrams per liter are seen. Again a local
scale complexity is seen to be superimposed over a
larger-scale pattern. The concentrations of nitrate are
much less than the maximum measured values, but
these latter are probably remnants of sewage pollution,
much of which may be from times before the city had a
complete sewerage cover.
Fig. 13 shows the predicted toluene concentrations.
It is clear that, for the rather low EMC toluene values
normally presented in the literature, groundwaters are
at little risk. The present model predicts measurable
concentrations only where the water table is close to
ground surface (around the river Tame). Field data do
not yet exist, but would in any case reflect not just
diffuse toluene sources, but point free phase sources
as well.
7. Conclusions
Although there is much further scope to develop and
verify the model, the early results suggest that UGIf
will reproduce city-wide recharge rates which are com-
patible with different approaches adopted in previous
work, and that rates for particular landuses do not
appear to be unreasonable. Further work is required to
test the model predictions against field runoff data, and
ultimately, against groundwater balance and head data.
The latter test would require combining several UGIf
models and a mains water leakage model with a region-
al groundwater flow model.
The model outputs indicate a system which shows
great spatial complexity at small scales, but neverthe-
less still displays a recognizable larger-scale structure,
the latter caused mainly by landuse and geological
distributions. The importance of these larger-scale
structures may explain why the total recharge predicted
by the model is similar to that predicted by previous
work which was based on much coarser spatial aver-
aging: it also suggests that for overall recharge assess-
ment this coarse spatial averaging is satisfactory, but
that it may be much less satisfactory for assessments of
pollutant movement, where small-scale variations are
important. The present results indicate that the detailed
landuse classification might be simplified for recharge
assessment (though the simplification which works best
for recharge quantity estimation may not work best
when attempting to estimate recharge quality). The
prediction that recharge in paved areas might be larger
than commonly considered likely from vegetated areas
may just be an artefact of the input parameters chosen:
however, consideration of the reasons for the prediction
suggests that further research here is needed. The model
suggests that groundwater pollution in this aquifer from
non-point sources of organics such as toluene is unlike-
ly to be important.
Finally, the model has highlighted the need for more
knowledge/data on the following: runoff estimation;
interflow (including the effect of lateral flow and chan-
nelling on flow times and water quality); evapotrans-
piration in paved areas; unsaturated zone flow below
paved areas (fingering/funnelling? moisture redistribu-
tion?); and the role of the pipe network.
Acknowledgments
We would like to thank the Commonwealth Scho-
larships Commission, United Kingdom, the Punjab
Remote Sensing Centre, Ludhiana, India, The British
Council, and the Natural Environment Research
Council (URGENT) for the financial and organiza-
tional support which made this project possible. We
would like to acknowledge with gratitude the help
provided by Alan Dean and Richard Greswell.
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