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Modelling the impact of urbanisation and weather on light pollution

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Modelling the impact of urbanisation and weather on light pollution. Henk Spoelstra 8th Dark Sky Symposium, Vienna, August 22-23, 2008. Afstand 5 km van stad 4x4 km 100.000 inwoners 1000 lum/inw. Contents. Intro & why modelling Light scattering in the atmosphere How to model - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Modelling the impact of Modelling the impact of urbanisation and weather urbanisation and weather on light pollution on light pollution Afstand 5 km van stad 4x4 km 100.000 inwoners 1000 lum/inw Henk Spoelstra 8th Dark Sky Symposium, Vienna, August 22-23, 2008
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Page 1: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

Modelling the impact of Modelling the impact of

urbanisation and weatherurbanisation and weather

on light pollution on light pollution

Afstand 5 km van stad 4x4 km 100.000 inwoners 1000 lum/inw

Henk Spoelstra

8th Dark Sky Symposium, Vienna, August 22-23, 2008

Page 2: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

ContentsContents

► Intro & why modellingIntro & why modelling

►Light scattering in the atmosphereLight scattering in the atmosphere►How to modelHow to model►Effect of urbanisation & weatherEffect of urbanisation & weather

►Knowlegde gaps and future goalsKnowlegde gaps and future goals

Page 3: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

Light scatteringLight scattering

in the in the atmosphereatmosphere

Page 4: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

Light scatteringLight scattering

Air molecules Dust particles & Water droplets

Number ~ 7.1030 /cm3 Number ~ 103 - 105 /cm3

Dust particles & Water droplets scatter the light

~ factor 100 x MORE than air molecules

Diameter ~ 4.10-10 m (4 Å) Diameter ~10-8 – 2.10-5 m ~ 0,01 m – 20 m

Page 5: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

Effect of light scatteringEffect of light scattering

Reflected indirect light: Intensity decreases

Direct light:Intensity increases

Page 6: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

How to modelHow to model

Page 7: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

PrinciplePrinciple

Page 8: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

30 km

Modelling and first validationModelling and first validation

60 k

m

Apeldoorn

Ede

Page 9: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

Modelling and first validationModelling and first validation

170000 180000 190000 200000

440000

450000

460000

470000

480000

490000

500000

Arnhem

Apeldoorn

Ede

Har

derw

ijk

Hattem

Nunspeet

Epe

170000 180000 190000 200000

440000

450000

460000

470000

480000

490000

500000

Arnhem

Apeldoorn

Ede

Har

derw

ijk

Hattem

Nunspeet

Epe

170000 180000 190000 200000

440000

450000

460000

470000

480000

490000

500000

Measured Calculated

Page 10: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

EffectEffect

ofof

urbanisationurbanisation

Page 11: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

Effect of urbanisationEffect of urbanisationInfluence of the size of a city

0.0001

0.001

0.01

0.1

1

10

1000 10000 100000 1000000

Number of citizens

Ze

nit

h s

ky

bri

gh

tne

ss

Co

ntr

ibu

tio

n

[mc

d/m

2]

Distance 4 km

Distance 18 km

Distance 10 km

Sky brightness increase ~ 0,7 x increase population

1200 lumen/cit x 4000 cit/km2 = 4,8 . 106 lum/km2

G =0.15 F=0.15

Page 12: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

So…..So…..►Dust and water droplets very effective light Dust and water droplets very effective light

scatterers mainly in scatterers mainly in forwardforward direction direction

►Indirect light (from horizontal surfaces) Indirect light (from horizontal surfaces) causes mainly light pollution overheadcauses mainly light pollution overhead

►Direct light and indirect light from vertical Direct light and indirect light from vertical surfaces causes “long distance” light surfaces causes “long distance” light pollution pollution

Page 13: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

And …..And …..►XX times bigger city -> times bigger city -> ~ ~ 0.7 X0.7 X times brighter sky times brighter sky (City roads, shopping malls, parking lots, business parks, …)(City roads, shopping malls, parking lots, business parks, …)

►YY times higher light flux -> times higher light flux -> YY times brighter sky times brighter sky (City Beautification, advertisement, …..)(City Beautification, advertisement, …..)

►ShieldingShielding ULR 30% -> 15% ULR 30% -> 15% Factor 4Factor 4 decrease of sky brightness decrease of sky brightness ULR 15% -> 0% ULR 15% -> 0% Factor 2Factor 2 decrease of sky brightness decrease of sky brightness

Page 14: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

Thus …..Thus …..

►Shielding of fixtures is Shielding of fixtures is NECESSARYNECESSARY AND AND VERYVERY effective (up to factor ~ 7-8) effective (up to factor ~ 7-8)

►ButBut ALSO REDUCTIONALSO REDUCTION ofof::o the amount of illuminated surfacesthe amount of illuminated surfaceso the intensity of lightingthe intensity of lighting

Page 15: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

EffectEffect

of of

weatherweather

Page 16: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

Influence meteo : visibilityInfluence meteo : visibilityInfluence of meteo: visibility (dust)

0.001

0.01

0.1

1

10

1 10 100

Distance to edge of the city (km)

Co

ntr

ibu

tio

n t

o z

en

ith

sk

y b

rig

htn

es

s

mc

d/m

2

Aer 0,2,4,10.104, 4x4, 64000 inw

1200 lum/inw, 4000 inw/km2

F=0.15, G=0.15, no DS

> 40 km

2.6 km 6.5 km 12.5 km

Page 17: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

CloudsCloudsKas 375 x 375 m, 6100 lux, afstand 1500m, zicht 10km, wolken 600m

Page 18: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

So…..So…..

►Less visibility Less visibility = higher dust concentration (haze, = higher dust concentration (haze,

smog)smog) = more droplets (fog) = more droplets (fog)

►At larger distances : darkerAt larger distances : darker►At shorter distances : lighterAt shorter distances : lighter

Also in the case of cloudsAlso in the case of clouds

Page 19: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

Knowledge gapsKnowledge gaps

andand

future goals future goals

Page 20: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

UnknownUnknown

►How often occurs which light pollution How often occurs which light pollution level ? level ? (dependent on meteo)(dependent on meteo)

►What is the true amount of upward What is the true amount of upward light? light? (light sources in the local situation)(light sources in the local situation)

►What measures have to be taken, What measures have to be taken, where and how?where and how?

Page 21: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

► Developing measures Developing measures

policypolicy

legislationlegislation

► Project !Project !

Future goalsFuture goals

Page 22: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

Project 2008/2009Project 2008/2009

►One year continuous monitoring sky One year continuous monitoring sky brightness at 1 – 3 locations brightness at 1 – 3 locations

►Measuring & modelling effects of meteo Measuring & modelling effects of meteo and present measuresand present measures

►Results to be transformed into darkness Results to be transformed into darkness protection policyprotection policy

Page 23: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

To see this again !To see this again !

Source:Kerry-Ann Lecky Hepburnwww.weatherandsky.com

Page 24: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

Extra’s Extra’s

Page 25: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

Distance relationshipDistance relationship

0.0001

0.001

0.01

0.1

1

10

1 10 100

Distance (km) from a city (size 8 x 8 km)

Co

ntr

ibu

tio

n t

o z

en

ith

bri

gh

tne

ss

[m

cd

/m²] 1/d1

1/d5

1/d2,5

(Walker)

Page 26: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

Source: Dutch Platform LichthinderSource: Dutch Platform Lichthinder

Light output from Light output from fixturesfixtures

Page 27: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

Direct and indirect upward Direct and indirect upward lightlight

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.10

0.12

0 30 60 90

Degrees

Fra

cti

on

of

the

to

tal u

pw

ard

lig

ht

(F+

I)

F 0

Ground reflection 15%

Full-cut off15% reflec tion

100%15%I

Page 28: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

Direct and indirect upward Direct and indirect upward lightlight

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.10

0.12

0 30 60 90

Degrees

Fra

cti

on

of

the

to

tal u

pw

ard

lig

ht

(F +

I)

F 0

F 0.05

F 0.10

F 0.15

F 0.20

Ground reflection 15%

Full-cut off

15% reflec tion

F

I

20%

80%

12%

Page 29: Modelling the impact of  urbanisation and weather  on light pollution

Shielding direct upward lightShielding direct upward lightInfluence direct upward light

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0 10 20 30 40 50

Fraction direct upward light

Co

ntr

ibu

tio

n t

o z

en

it s

ky

bri

gh

tne

ss

mc

d/m

2

700 lumen

1400 lumen

4x410 km

Factor 2

30% -> 15% factor 4

15% -> 0% factor 2

30% -> 0% factor 8


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