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Technology
(dataspeed)
Prices
HW/SW
PABX
1999
2000
2005
2007
60%
?
?5 x volume1/3 price
”New frames"
LAN/WANInternet
PABX
LAN/WANInternet
19991999
1998
Speech becomes mobile
All in hand
The Vision
4
Nascent Growth Developed Mature
Source: A.T. Kearney analysis
MarketEnvironment
Key Challenges
Supply constrained High growth New entrants Increasing competition
Slowing growth Stronger competition
Mature / no growth Intense competition
Meeting demand Investment
constraint
Speed to market Brand establishment Customer acquisition
Customer retention Product innovation Customer intimacy Margin improvement
Customer retention Revenue protection New growth
Selected Key Trends
Access provision Voice penetration Coverage increase
Voice growth Broadband and data
services take-up
Fixed to mobile substitution
Cost orientation
Convergence Triple Play Consolidation NGN / IP technology
Japan
Indonesia Thailand
India
Vietnam
Philippines
Inc
rea
sin
g P
en
etr
ati
on
African nations
UK/ France / Germany
Australia / New
Zealand
USA
Central European Countries
Singapore
Bangladesh
China
Jabotabek
Indonesian Market in the Global Context
6
Population
No Country
Population % of World Population Expected Pop.
( 2007 Est. ) Population Growth Rate for year 2050
1 China 1,317,431,495 20.00% 1.10% 1,470,468,924
2 India 1,129,667,528 17.20% 1.70% 1,619,582,271
3 United States 301,967,681 4.60% 0.80% 403,943,147
4 Indonesia 224,481,720 3.40% 1.80% 337,807,011
5 Brazil 186,771,161 2.80% 1.40% 206,751,477
6 Pakistan 167,806,831 2.60% 2.60% 267,813,495
7 Nigeria 162,082,868 2.50% 2.60% 303,586,770
8 Russia 143,406,042 2.20% 0.50% 118,233,243
9 Bangladesh 137,493,990 2.10% 1.10% 205,093,861
10 Japan 128,646,345 2.00% 0.10% 101,228,471
Top 10 Country 3,899,755,661 59.30% - 5,034,508,670
Remain Country 2,674,910,756 40.70% - 4,049,986,735
World Population 6,574,666,417 100.00% 1.10% 9,084,495,405
Sumber: www.internetworldstats.com 7
Asia Internet Usage & Population
ASIA Population Internet Users, Penetration (%) Users Use Growth( 2007 Est.) Latest Data (% Population) in Asia ( 2000-2007 )
Korea, North 23,510,379 -- -- -- n/a %Hong Kong * 7,150,254 4,878,713 68.20% 1.10% 113.70%Japan 128,646,345 86,300,000 67.10% 19.80% 83.30%Korea, South 51,300,989 34,120,000 66.50% 7.80% 79.20%Singapore 3,654,103 2,421,800 66.30% 0.60% 101.80%Taiwan 23,001,442 14,500,000 63.00% 3.30% 131.60%Malaysia 28,294,120 13,528,200 47.80% 3.10% 265.60%Macao* 500,631 201,000 40.10% 0.00% 235.00%Brunei Darussalem 403,500 135,000 33.50% 0.00% 350.00%Vietnam 85,031,436 16,511,849 19.40% 3.80% 8155.90%Philippines 87,236,532 14,000,000 16.00% 3.20% 600.00%Thailand 67,249,456 8,420,000 12.50% 1.90% 266.10%China 1,317,431,495 162,000,000 12.30% 37.10% 620.00%Mongolia 2,601,641 268,300 10.30% 0.10% 794.30%
Indonesia 224,481,720 20,000,000 8.90% 4.60% 900.00%Azerbaijan 8,448,260 678,800 8.00% 0.20% 5556.70%Pakistan 167,806,831 12,000,000 7.20% 2.70% 8861.90%Maldives 303,732 20,100 6.60% 0.00% 235.00%Uzbekistan 26,607,252 1,745,000 6.60% 0.40% 23166.70%Georgia 4,389,004 271,400 6.20% 0.10% 1257.00%Armenia 2,950,060 161,000 5.50% 0.00% 436.70%Kyrgystan 5,436,608 280,000 5.20% 0.10% 442.60%KazakhstanIndiaBhutanSri LankaAfganistanNepalTurkmenistanMyanmarLaosBangladeshCambodiaTajikistanEast Timor
ASIA INTERNET USAGE AND POPULATION
Sumber: www.internetworldstats.com
8
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Wireless Technology Evolution
11 of 14
200620052004200320022001200019991995 200620052004200320022001200019991995
In -Band Migration and
Designed for In-Band Migration and New Spectrum
3G CDMA
2G CDMA
1.25 MHz
Voice & Data
2.5G CDMA
Rel. 4
HSDPA
Additional voice capacity doubling
- Terminal antenna diversity
Rel. 5
CDMA2000 1X
14.4 kbps dataSoft HandoffSynchronous Timing
64 kbps packet data
− Channel Concatenation
Double voice capacity− Fast Fwd Power Control− Coherent Uplink 153.6 kbps packet data− Turbo Codes
307 kbps packet data
Simultaneous voice and data
Dedicated & OptimizedFor Packet Data2.4 Mbps Peak Rates All IP Architecture
Improvementsto data services.
More flexible data packet scheduling.
64/384 kbps cs/packet dataSoft handoffAsynchronous timing
Improvements to data services
More flexible datapacket scheduling
cdmaOne
QoS, Broadcast, Personal Media, IMM ,2x
1xEV-DV
Forward Link: Peak Rate: 3.1 mbps
Reverse Link: Peak Rate:1.8 mbps
Fwd & Rev. Capacity Gains
Forward Link: Peak Rate 3.1 mbps
Reverse Link: Peak Rate 1.8 mbps
HSUPA
Rel. 6
EnhancedUp-Link
IS - 95A IS-95B
1.25 MHzOptimized for Data
IS-2000 Rel. 0 Rel. A Rel. B Rel. C Rel. D
Designed for New Spectrum
5 MHzVoice & Data
3GPP Rel. 99
CDMA2000 1xEV-DO
UMTS(WCDMA)
IS-856, Rel. 0 Enhancements Rel. A
3G CDMA Evolution
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WCDMA Network Evolution
13 of 14
CDMA2000 Network Evolution
GSM-GPRS Operation
End of Section 1
Wireless Technology Overview
