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Planning and Implementing TOD with the 3V approach MODULE 1: METHODOLOGY Serge Salat Urban Morphology & Complex Systems Institute 2 nd Transit-oriented Development (TOD) Technical Deep Dive (TDD) Planning and Implementing TOD at City, Corridor and Station Scale
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Page 1: MODULE 1 METHODSPlanning and Immplementing TOD with 3V ... · Planning and Implementing TOD with the 3V approach MODULE 1: METHODOLOGY Serge Salat Urban Morphology & Complex Systems

PlanningandImplementingTODwiththe3Vapproach

MODULE1:METHODOLOGYSergeSalat

UrbanMorphology&ComplexSystemsInstitute

2nd Transit-orientedDevelopment(TOD)TechnicalDeepDive(TDD)PlanningandImplementingTODatCity,CorridorandStationScale

Page 2: MODULE 1 METHODSPlanning and Immplementing TOD with 3V ... · Planning and Implementing TOD with the 3V approach MODULE 1: METHODOLOGY Serge Salat Urban Morphology & Complex Systems

Planningwiththe3VApproachatCityScale

• Objectives

• Understandingthelinkbetweenthe3VApproachandLandValueCapture• Understanding3VApproachMethodologiesandMetrics• Understandinghowtocalculatethemetrics• Understandingthepolicyleverstoincreasevalues

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ThelandValueCapturePositiveFeedbackLoop

Newtransitinfrastructureorplanningdecisions(suchasrezoningathighervaluesorinvestinginthepublicrealm)increaselandvaluearoundtransitstations.Captureofthisvaluecancreateapositivefeedbackloopforfinancinginfrastructure,enhancingthepublicrealm,andsupportinginclusionaryhousing.

Theunlockingofanincreaseinthepotentialvalueofunderusedassets(landand/orstructures)asaresultofapublic-sectorintervention(rezoningorprovisionoftransitinfrastructure)stimulatesdemandfromtheprivatesector.Subsequentinvestmentanddevelopmentfromtheprivatesectorensurethatpotentialassetvalueincreaseisrealized.

Source:Huxley2009.©ULI.

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NodeandPlaceDynamics

LondonKing’s Cross

Thenodeplacemodeldistinguishesfivetypesofsituationsbasedonastation’snodeandplacevalueBalance: Bothnodeandplacearestrong.Transportationinfrastructureandlocallandusesupporteachother,maximizingmarketvalue.Stress: Theintensityanddiversityofinfrastructureandlandusecomeclosetothemaximum.Dependence: Thereisnocompetitionforfreespace,anddemandforinfrastructureislow.Bothnodeandplacevaluesarerelativelyweak;factorsotherthannode-placedynamics(forexample,subsidization)mustintervenefortheareatosustainitself.Unbalancednode: Thesupplyofinfrastructureisstrongerthanlanduse.Thereispotentialofdevelopmentinenhancingplacevaluetoleverageontherelativeoversupplyofconnectinginfrastructure.AnexampleisKing’sCross,wherethecombinationoftheHSRinSaint-Pancras andthenationallinesinKing’sCross,with6subwaylinesand17buslinescreatesthemostconnectedEuropeanhubacrossmanygeographicalscalesfromlocaltoEurope.Unbalancedplace:Theintensityoflanduseexceedsthesupplyofinfrastructure.Localdevelopmentpotentialshouldbeencouragedbyprovidingsupportiveinfrastructurethatincreasesconnectivity.

Source:©King’sCrossCentralLimitedPartnership(left)and©FrançoiseLabbé(right).

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NodeandPlaceDynamics

TokyoShibuya

AlthoughstationareasalongtheYamanotelineinTokyo,maybeconsideredunderstressandatmaximumdevelopment,peaksofconnectivityandlanduseintensitytendtocontinuegrowing,asexperiencedinShibuyawhererealestateisstillboomingandnewlinesareadded.

Source:ChorusandBertolini 2011.

Source:Tokyu Corp.

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WhatareNode/Place/MarketPotentialvalues?

• NodeValue

• PlaceValue

• MarketPotentialValue

Nodevalue describestheimportanceofastationinthepublictransitnetworkbasedonitscentrality(measuredbygraphtheorycentralityindexes),passengertrafficvolume,andinter-modality

Placevalue describestheurbanqualityofaplaceanditsattractivenessintermsofamenities,schools,andhealthcare;thetypeofurbandevelopment;localaccessibilitytodailyneedsbywalkingandcycling;thequalityoftheurbanfabricaroundthestation,inparticularitspedestrianaccessibility,thesmallsizingofurbanblocks,andthefinemeshofconnectedstreetsthatcreatevibrantneighborhoods;andthemixedpatternoflanduse.

Marketpotentialvalue referstotheunrealizedmarketvalueofstationareas.Itismeasuredthroughacomparisonbetweendemandandsupply,thatincludesmajordriversofdemandincludingcurrentandfuturehumandensities(residentialplusemployment);andmajordriversofsupply,includingdevelopableland,potentialchangesinzoning(suchasincreasingfloorarearatios(FARs)),andmarketvibrancy.

Sources:©King’sCrossCentralLimitedPartnership(top);©RelatedOxford(middel);Renne 2014(bottom).

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NodeValueIncreasingtheconnectivityandaccessibilityofalocationbyinvestingintransit

PlaceValueIncreasingtheurbanqualityandattractivenessofalocation

MarketPotentialValueIncreasingmarketdemandandsupply

The3VApproachandtheLandValueCaptureFeedbackLoop

Page 8: MODULE 1 METHODSPlanning and Immplementing TOD with 3V ... · Planning and Implementing TOD with the 3V approach MODULE 1: METHODOLOGY Serge Salat Urban Morphology & Complex Systems

NodeValueIncreasingtheconnectivityandaccessibilityofalocationbyinvestingintransit

PlaceValueIncreasingtheurbanqualityandattractivenessofalocation

MarketPotentialValueIncreasingmarketdemandandsupply

TransitcommunityblocksizesinPortlandSmallerblocks+amenitiesfosterhigherlandvaluesinPortland

Source:PortlandTransit-OrientedStrategicPlan

The3Vdynamicsatcityscale

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The3Vdynamicsatcorridorscale

CrossrailinLondon Paddington TottenhamCourtRoadBondStreet LiverpoolStreet Whitechapel

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WhatareNode/Place/MarketPotentialvaluesalongacorridor?

• NodeValue

• PlaceValue

• MarketPotentialValue

CrossrailinLondon

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NodeValueIncreasingtheconnectivityandaccessibilityofalocationbyinvestingintransit

PlaceValueIncreasingtheurbanqualityandattractivenessofalocation

MarketPotentialValueIncreasingmarketdemandandsupply

The3VApproachandtheLandValueCaptureFeedbackLoopalongacorridor:LondonCrossrail

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NodeValueIncreasingtheconnectivityandaccessibilityofalocationbyinvestingintransit

PlaceValueIncreasingtheurbanqualityandattractivenessofalocation

MarketPotentialValueIncreasingmarketdemandandsupply

The3VApproachandtheLandValueCaptureFeedbackLoopalongacorridor:TokyoDen-en Toshi line

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Den-En Toshi corridorisagoodexampleoftheapplicationofTOD.ItisoneofthelongestrunningTODprojectsthathasbeenexecutedonacorridorlevel.Boththeinitialdevelopmentofthecorridorandthecontinuousredevelopmentoftheexistingurbanenvironmentinandaroundstationareasaremeanttoutilizetheavailablespaceandinfrastructureasefficientlyaspossible.CorporatestrategyoftheTokyu Corporationhasprovedtobehighlyeffectivewhenlookingatpassengernumbersandcompanyprofits.

TheCorridorApproach

Forasuccessfulintegrationofland-useandrailwaytransport,aconsistentnetworkfocusoveralongperiodoftimeisneeded.Theapproachneedsnotonlyfocusontheintegrationofland-useandtransportonalocalstationlevelbutalsoonhowtocoordinatemobilityandlandusepatternsonahigherlevelsuchasthecorridororevennetworklevel.Thereareseveralreasonswhyacorridorapproachismostdesirable.Withinarailwaycorridororiginanddestinationlocationscanbedevelopedinacoherentway.Coordinationofthedevelopmentofdifferentstationareasonarailwaycorridorreducescompetitionbetweendifferentstationareasonthesamecorridorandcanevenstimulatesynergies.Furthermore,acorridorapproachallowsfordevelopmentstobecoordinatedinsuchawaythatthattherailwayinfrastructureisusedmoreefficientlybycreatingabi-directionaltrafficflowandgeneratingoff-peaktravel.Railwaycorridorscanoperateondifferentlevels,thelowestlevelbeinglocal,thenregional,nationalandatthehighestlevelinternational.ForstudyingthecontextofrailwaydevelopmentinTokyotheregionallevelwouldbemostsuitable.ThisismainlyduetothefactthatTokyo’srailwaycompaniesoperatewithintheirownregionfocusingondevelopingtheirownnetworkandstrivingtousetheirowninfrastructureasefficientlyaspossible.

TodaytheTokyuDen-EnToshilinehasalengthof31.5kilometersandatotalof27stations,originatinginthemajorhubofShibuyaviaothermajorstationsofSangen-Jaya,Futako-Tamagawa,Mizonokuchi,TamaPlaza,Aobadai,NagatsutaandterminatinginChuo-Rinkan.

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NodeValueIncreasingtheconnectivityandaccessibilityofalocationbyinvestingintransit

PlaceValueIncreasingtheurbanqualityandattractivenessofalocation

MarketPotentialValueIncreasingmarketdemandandsupply

LondonKing’s Cross

The3Vdynamicsatstationareascale

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NodeValue

Increasingtheconnectivityandaccessibilityofalocationbyinvestingintransit

PlaceValue

Increasingtheurbanqualityandattractivenessofalocation

MarketPotentialValueIncreasingmarketdemandandsupply

NewYorkHudsonYards

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3VMethodology:HIERARCHIESParetodistributions

London:rentperunitareafromsouth

Shanghaipopulationdensity

ShanghaijobdensitiesJobdensities LondonenergydensitySource:LSECities

Source:LSECities

Source:WorldBanandChreod Ltd.

Source:WorldBanandChreod Ltd.

Source:CASASource:CityofLondon

Populationdensities

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Method:HowtocalculatetheParetoexponent?Rank-SizeanalysisRank-sizedistributionisthedistributionofsizebyrank,indecreasingorderofsize.Forexample,ifadatasetconsistsofitemsofsizes5,100,5,and8,therank-sizedistributionis100,8,5,5(ranks1through4).

°0 2 4 61

Kilometers

Population DensityPopulation/Km²

0 - 1500

1500 - 5000

5000 - 7500

7500 - 10000

10000 - 15000

15000 - 25000

25000 - 30000

30000 - 45000

45000 - 65000

65000 - 100000

Kunming Population Density 2016

Forcheckingifadistributionofvaluesofdensity(people,jobs,GDP,energy,etc.)orofcentralities(betweenness)followsaParetodistribution(inversepowerlaw)anddeterminingtheexponentofthepowerlaw,youshouldplotthenaturallogarithmoftherankonxaxis,thenaturallogarithmofthevalueonyaxis(fromthehighestvaluetothelowest)andmakeasimplelinearregressionfittingthelinearmodelbyusingtheleastsquaresapproach.R2indicatesthefitofthelinearmodeltoexplainthevarianceofthelogofvaluesaccordingtothelogoftheirranks.Theslopeoftheregressionlinegivestheexponentoftheinversepowerlaw.

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute,datafromCSTCandKUTI(KunmingTransportationInstitute)

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CentralityIndexesCentralityisastructuralcharacteristicofstations(nodes)inthenetworkthatquantifieshowastationfitswithinthetransitnetworkoverall.Stationswithhighcentralityscoresaremorelikelytobekeyconduitsofpeopleandtohelpconcentratejobsandeconomicactivities.Low-centralitystationscanbetermedperipheral.Lowercentralityisassociatedwithlowergrowthpotential,fewerjobopportunities,andlowerhousingprices .Centralitiesintransitnetworksplaythusanimportantroleinstructuringlevelsofaccessibility,economicopportunities,andmarketpotential.AlignmentoflandusediversityandintensityofdevelopmentwithcenttalitycreatesthemaximumTODbenefits

°0 2 4 61

Kilometers

Degree Centralityof Stations

1

2

3

4

6

Kunming Degree Centrality

Core-and-branchesstructureofsubwaynetworkEfficientsubwaylayoutsinglobalcities,suchasShanghai,Tokyo,Seoul,London,Paris,andNewYork,convergetowardacore-and-branchesstructureDenselyinterconnectedbycrisscrossinglines,thecoreprovidesmaximumaccessibilitytojobsandpeople.Itusuallyextendsonlyabout5kilometers,becauseitwouldbecostlytomaintainahighdensityofstationsbeyondthisradius.Outsidethisareastationstendtobelocatedonbranches,andthedensityofstationsdecreasessharplywhenmovingawayfromthecitycore

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute,datafromCSTCandKUTI(KunmingTransportationInstitute)Source:Rothetal.2012.

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3typesofcentralities

DegreeCentrality

ClosenessCentrality

BetweennessCentrality

Degreecentralityisthenumberoflinkspernode.Example:Londonsubwaynetworkdegreecentrality

expressestheaveragedistance,measuredinnumberoflinks,fromastationtoeveryotherstationinthenetwork.Stationswhoconnecttomostothersthroughmanyintermediariesgetclosenessscoresthatareincreasinglynearertozero.Onepropertyofclosenesscentralityisthatittendstoassignhighscorestostationsthatarenearthecenteroflocalclusters.

ofastationisequaltothenumberofshortestpathsfromallstationstoallothersthatpassthroughthisstation.Astationwithhighbetweennesscentralityhasalargeinfluenceonthetransferofpassengersthroughthenetwork.Thiscalculationidentifiesthestationsthatarenecessaryconduitsforpassengersthatmusttraversedisparatepartsofthenetwork,suchassuburbantrainsandsubwaylinesorcore-and-branchesinasubwaynetwork.

Example:Londonsubwaynetworkclosenesscentrality

Example:LondonsubwaynetworkbetweennesscentralitySource:UrbanMorphologyInstitute

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CentralitiesinNewYork

Degreecentrality ClosenessCentrality Betweennesscentrality

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute

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CentralitiesandAccessibilitiesinNewYork

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute

Numberofjobsaccessibleinlessthan30-minutedoortodoorbytransit

Numberofpeopleaccessibleinlessthan30-minutedoortodoorbytransit

Page 22: MODULE 1 METHODSPlanning and Immplementing TOD with 3V ... · Planning and Implementing TOD with the 3V approach MODULE 1: METHODOLOGY Serge Salat Urban Morphology & Complex Systems

Centralities,Accessibilities,andintensitiesoflanddevelopmentinNewYorkNewYorkenergydensitymapperunitofland

Source:MODIGroup

Page 23: MODULE 1 METHODSPlanning and Immplementing TOD with 3V ... · Planning and Implementing TOD with the 3V approach MODULE 1: METHODOLOGY Serge Salat Urban Morphology & Complex Systems

Method:Howtoperformatransitnetworkcentralityanalysis

FirststepTransformingthetransitnetworkinagraphThiscanbedonefromtheGISofthenetwork.ThemaindifferencebetweenthenetworkintheGISandagraphisthat,inagraph,eachinterchangestationbecomesonesinglepoint(avertexalsocallednodeorpoint)whichisrelatedtootherverticesbyedges(alsocalledarcsorlines).Typically,agraphisdepictedindiagrammaticformasasetofdotsforthevertices,joinedbylinesorcurvesfortheedges.

Adrawingofalabeledgraphwith6verticesand7edges.

SecondstepCalculatingeachofthe3centralitysub-indexesforeachnode(station)Oncethenetworkhasbeenredrawnasagraph,softwaresuchasGEPHIallowcalculatingeachofthe3centralities.ThirdstepProducingmapsandhistogramsofthecentralitymetricsfortheentirenetworkGEPHIallowsmakingmapsoftheentiregraphandhistogramsofthecentralitiesmetricsandtooverlaythesemapsonGISTAZmaps.Thisallowscheckingthealignmentbetweencentralities,highplacevaluesandprojectedincreasesinpeopleandjobsdensities.Maximummarketpotentialiscreatedwhenhighestcentralitiescorrespondtohighplacevaluesandtohighprojectedincreasesindensities(peopleandjobs).

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute,datafromCSTCandKUTI(KunmingTransportationInstitute)

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FourthstepAnalyzingthestructureofthecentralityvaluesandtheirhierarchyThisallowsanalyzingifthereisastronghierarchyandstructurebetweenthenodesinthenetwork(encouragingeconomicconcentrationandanefficientoverallconcentrationofdensities)orifthenetworkis“flat”.

Betweennesscentralitiesfollowinversepowerlawsofexponentscloseto- 1

ExamplestakenfromParissubwaynetwork

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute

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3VNodeValueIndexesRIDERSHIPandINTERMODALDIVERSITYDaily ridershipmeasuresthestrengthofflowsoftrafficinanode.Itismeasuredbythenumberofpassengersenteringastation,excludingpassengersnotstopping.

Intermodaldiversitymeasuresthenumberofcomplementarytransitmodesconnectingtoastation.Itismeasuredbythenumberoflinesofdifferenttransitmodesaccessiblewithinwalkingdistanceofastation.

CommutingflowshierarchyfollowsaParetodistributionExampleofParis

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute

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PathsthroughNewYorkCity- Source:EricFischerDatafromtheTwitterstreamingAPI(10000points,30000vectors).BasemapfromOpenStreetMap,CC-BY-SA.

Placevalue:Redpicturesbytourists;bluepicturesbylocalsSource:EricFischer

PassengerFlowsandPlaceValueinNewYork

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3VPlaceValueIndexes:Mappingatcityscale

TransitcommunityblocksizesinPortland Transitorientationscorein3DinPortland

Source:PortlandTransit-OrientedStrategicPlan

Page 28: MODULE 1 METHODSPlanning and Immplementing TOD with 3V ... · Planning and Implementing TOD with the 3V approach MODULE 1: METHODOLOGY Serge Salat Urban Morphology & Complex Systems

Lineardensityofstreets

Streetlineardensityisanindexofneighborhoodwalkability.Thisindexmeasuresthelengthofstreets(km)persquarekilometerwithineachTAZandwithinan800-meterradiusofeachtransitstation.ItiscalculatedthroughstreetGISshapefiles/software,suchasArcGISorQGISoneachTAZandwithinanareawithinan800–meterradiuscenteredonthestation.ThisindexiscalculatedbydividingthecumulatedstreetlengthofthestreetnetworkintheTAZbytheTAZarea.

StreetlineardensitydistributioninNingboNingbodetailedGISdataofMainroadsSource:NingboPlanningInstitute

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Densityofstreetintersections

Streetintersectiondensityisanindexofneighborhoodwalkableconnectivity.ItmeasuresthenumberofintersectionspersquarekilometerwithineachTAZandwithinan800-meterradiusofeachtransitstationThisindexisthenumberofintersectionsofthestreetnetworkineachTAZ(orsubway800mcatchmentarea),dividedbythesizeoftheTAZinsquarekilometers(orsubway800mcatchmentarea).ItiscalculatedthroughstreetGISshapefiles/software,suchasArcGISorQGISoneachTAZandwithinanareawithinan800–meterradiuscenteredonthestation.

DistributionofstreetintersectionsdensityinNingboSource:NingboPlanningInstitute

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Localpedestrianaccessibility

Thisindexisalsoameasureofwalkability.Itmeasurestheproportionofanareaof800-meterradiusaroundastationthatisactuallyreachableina10-minutewalk.ItiscalculatedusingopensourcessoftwareOpenTripPlannerAnalystappliedtotheGISshapefileofthestreetnetworkinordertodeterminetheproportionofthe800-meterradiusaroundthestationthatisreachablebyfootwithin10minutes.

LiuYuanStation Tu ChengStation GoldenTriangle

Ten-minutewalkisochroneswithin800-meterradiusofthreesubwaystationsinTianjin,ChinaNote:Red:Accessibilityat200meters.Yellow:Accessibilityat400meters.Green:Accessibilityat800meters.Thegreenareaisusedtomeasuretheindex.

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute

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°0 2 4 61

Kilometers

PedestrianAccessibilityProportion of areaaround the stationaccessible within 800m

0.00 - 0.10

0.10 - 0.20

0.20 - 0.30

0.30 - 0.40

0.40 - 0.50

0.50 - 0.60

0.60 - 0.70

0.70 - 0.80

0.80 - 0.90

0.90 - 1.00

Kunming Pedestrian Accessibility

DenseandconnectedstreetnetworksincreaselocalaccessibilityExampleofChenggong inKunming.Source:EnergyFoundationandCalthorpe Associates.

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute,datafromCSTCandKUTI(KunmingTransportationInstitute)

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DiversityofusesThisindexmeasuresthediversityoftypesoflanduseineachTAZandineachsubwaystationarea(withinaradiusof800maroundasubwaystation).ItiscalculatedusingtheShannonentropyformula:

𝐸𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑜𝑝𝑦 = −∑ 𝑝,

𝑝-𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑝,

𝑝--,01

𝑙𝑜𝑔𝑁wherei isthetypeofuse(commercial,community,residential,industrial);N isthenumberofuses;𝑝, istheareadedicatedtouseI;and𝑝- istheareaofthecelldedicatedtoanyuse.Thevalueofadiversityindexincreaseswhenthenumberoftypesincreasesandevennessincreases.Foragivennumberoftypes,thevalueofadiversityindexismaximizedwhenalltypesareequallyabundant.

Ningbodetailedland-usedata Forexample,landusediversityindexfor6typesofusesiscalculatedbythefollowingformula:

Mix = −6p8 ln p8 l⁄ n(6)?

801

𝑃, isproportionoflandusetypei withinTAZ.

Source:NingboPlanningInstitute

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´0 52.5 km

LUMIXEN.00 - .18

.19 - .32

.33 - .43

.44 - .50

.51 - .56

.57 - .63

.64 - .74

°0 2 4 61

Kilometers

Land use diversitywithin 800m fromstation

0.00 - 0.45

0.45 - 0.50

0.50 - 0.55

0.55 - 0.60

0.60 - 0.65

0.65 - 0.70

0.70 - 0.75

0.75 - 0.80

0.80 - 0.85

0.85 - 0.90

Kunming Diversity of usesWithin 800m of Stations

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute,datafromCSTCandKUTI(KunmingTransportationInstitute)

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Proximitytoschools

ForeachTAZandeachareawithin800mradiusfromasubwaystation,thisindexiscalculatedbydividingthenumberofinhabitantslivinglessthan500m(1000m)fromaschoolbythenumberofinhabitantsinthestudiedTAZorstationarea.Itiscalculatedbycreatingabufferzoneof500maroundelementaryschoolsandabufferzoneof1000maroundmiddleschoolsanddividingthenumberofinhabitantslivinglessthan500m(1000m)fromaschoolbythenumberofinhabitantsinthestudiedTAZorstationarea.

Example:Distributionof500mbufferofelementaryschoolsinNingbo

Example:Distributionof1000mbufferofmiddleschoolsinNingbo

Source:NingboPlanningInstitute

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°0 2 4 61

Kilometers

Access to ElementarySchoolsProportion of populationwith access toelementary schools

0.00 - 0.05

0.05 - 0.15

0.15 - 0.20

0.20 - 0.30

0.30 - 0.35

0.35 - 0.45

0.45 - 0.55

0.55 - 0.70

0.70 - 0.85

0.85 - 1.00

Kunming Proximity to Schools: Elementary SchoolsWithin 800m of Stations

°0 2 4 61

Kilometers

Access to Schools:Middle SchoolsProportion of populationwith access to middleschools

0.00 - 0.10

0.10 - 0.20

0.20 - 0.30

0.30 - 0.40

0.40 - 0.50

0.50 - 0.60

0.60 - 0.70

0.70 - 0.80

0.80 - 0.90

0.90 - 1.00

Kunming Proximity to Schools: Middle SchoolsWithin 800m of Stations

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute,datafromCSTCandKUTI(KunmingTransportationInstitute)

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Proximitytotransitstops

ForeachTAZandeachareawithin800mradiusfromasubwaystation,thisindexiscalculatedbydividingthenumberofinhabitantslivinglessthan500mfromapublictransportstopbythenumberofinhabitantsinthestudiedTAZ.Itiscalculatedbycreatingabufferzoneof500maroundeachpublictransitstopanddividingthenumberofinhabitantslivinglessthan500m(1000m)fromaschoolbythenumberofinhabitantsinthestudiedTAZorstationarea.

Neighbourhoodtype GISbuffercalculationresults Area(km2)

Publictransportservicearea(km2)

Publictransportproximityindicator

OldresidentialurbanneighbourhoodYinzhou

1.28 1.278 1.00

NewresidentialurbanneighbourhoodHongtang

2.02 1.532 0.76

rural-urbanfringeneighbourhoodDonghuguandi

1.29 0.495 0.38

°0 2 4 61

Kilometers

Proximity to PublicTransitProportion of populationwith access to transit

0.00 - 0.10

0.10 - 0.20

0.20 - 0.30

0.30 - 0.40

0.40 - 0.50

0.50 - 0.60

0.60 - 0.70

0.70 - 0.80

0.80 - 0.90

0.90 - 1.00

Kunming Proximity to Public Transit StopsWithin 800m of Stations

ProximitytotransitstopsinNingboselectedneighbourhoods

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute,datafromCSTCandKUTI(KunmingTransportationInstitute)

Source:NingboPlanningInstitute

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3VMarketPotentialValueIndexesMappingatcityscale

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HumandensityThisindexmeasuresthenumberofpeople+jobspersquarekilometerineachTAZandaroundthetransitstationswithinacatchmentareaof800-meterradius.Itiscalculatedbasedonpopulationandjobsdataavailablethroughthetransportmodeldevelopedformetrolines.

Example:HumandensityaroundtransitstationsinZhengzhou,2009

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute,datafromCSTCandKUTI(KunmingTransportationInstitute)

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute,datafromZhengzhoutransportationmodel

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Peopledensity

°0 2 4 61

Kilometers

Population DensityPopulation/Km²

0 - 1500

1500 - 5000

5000 - 7500

7500 - 10000

10000 - 15000

15000 - 25000

25000 - 30000

30000 - 45000

45000 - 65000

65000 - 100000

Kunming Population Density 2016

°0 2 4 61

Kilometers

Population DensityPopulation/Km²

0 - 1000

1000 - 1500

1500 - 4500

4500 - 7500

7500 - 15000

15000 - 20000

20000 - 30000

30000 - 45000

45000 - 60000

60000 and more

Kunming Population Density 2050

°0 2 4 61

Kilometers

BetweennessCentrality ofSations

0.00 - 0.02

0.02 - 0.05

0.05 - 0.10

0.10 - 0.15

0.15 - 0.20

0.20 - 0.41

Kunming Betweenness Centrality

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute,datafromCSTCandKUTI(KunmingTransportationInstitute)

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Jobdensity

°0 2 4 61

Kilometers

BetweennessCentrality ofSations

0.00 - 0.02

0.02 - 0.05

0.05 - 0.10

0.10 - 0.15

0.15 - 0.20

0.20 - 0.41

Kunming Betweenness Centrality

°0 2 4 61

Kilometers

Job density 2016Jobs/Km²

0 - 1000

1000 - 2500

2500 - 5000

5000 - 7500

7500 - 10000

10000 - 15000

15000 - 20000

20000 - 35000

35000 - 70000

70000 - 130000

Kunming Job Density 2016

°0 2 4 61

Kilometers

Job Density Change2016 - 2050Jobs/Km²

-100000 - -5000

-5000 - -2000

-2000 - -500

-500 - 0

0 - 500

500 - 2000

2000 - 5000

5000 - 6500

6500 - 12000

12000 - 120000

Kunming Anticipated Job Density Change 2016 - 2050

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute,datafromCSTCandKUTI(KunmingTransportationInstitute)

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Jobs/ResidentsRatioThisindexmeasurestheJobs/residentsratioineachTAZandwithin800-meterradiusofeachstationcalculatedfor2050.ItiscalculatedbydividingthenumberofjobsbythenumberofresidentsineachTAZandwithin800-meterradiusofeachstationanticipatedin2050.

Example:ZhengzhouanticipatedJobs/residentsratioin2030 °0 2 4 61

Kilometers

Jobs-residential ratio0/no data

0.00 - 0.25

0.25 - 0.50

0.50 - 1.00

1.00 - 2.00

2.00 - 5.00

5.00 - 10.00

10.00 - 25.00

25 and more

Kunming Current Access to JobsWithin 800m of Stations

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute,datafromCSTCandKUTI(KunmingTransportationInstitute)

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute,datafromZhengzhoutransportationmodel

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Humandensitygrowthpotential

Thisindexmeasurestheforecastedrateofpopulationandjobgrowthover10–20yearswithin800- meterradiusofeachstation

Itiscalculatedbasedonpopulationandjobdataavailablethroughcensusortransportmodeldevelopedformetrolines.

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Socialcompositionoftheneighbourhood:AverageormedianincomeThisindexiscalculatedbasedonpopulationdataavailablethroughcensusortransportmodeldevelopedformetrolines.

Example:MedianincomearoundParisGrandParisExpressnewsubwaylines

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute

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Socialcompositionoftheneighbourhood:PercentageofmanagersinlabourforceThisindexiscalculatedbasedonpopulationdataavailablethroughcensus.

Example:PercentageofmanagersaroundParisGrandParisExpressnewsubwaylines.Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute

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NumberofaccessiblejobsbytransitThisindexmeasuresthenumberofaccessiblejobswithin30minutesbypublictransitandfoot.

ItiscalculatedwithopensourcesoftwareOpenTripPlannerAnalystbasedonpopulationdataavailablethroughcensusortransportmodeldevelopedformetrolines.

Example:Numberofaccessiblejobsinlessthan30minutesbytransitinParisin2015.

Source:UrbanMorphologyInstitute

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RealestateopportunitiesThisindexmeasuresthedevelopablelandanddevelopablefloorspacearoundeachsubwaystationwithinaradiusof500metersforthehighestmarketpremiumandbetween500metersand1kilometreforthelowermarketpremiumItiscalculatedbycomparingtheGISmapofbuiltdensitieswithamapofregulatoryfloorarearatio(FAR)andbysubtractingexistingbuiltfloorspacefrommaximumfloorspacethatcanbebuiltwithintheregulatoryFAR.

500-meterbufferaroundMetroStationsinShanghai

Developableorre-developablesites500-750- meterfrommetrostationsinShanghai.

2030parcelsofdevelopablelandWithin500-750-meterofmetrostationsplannedto2020inShanghai

Source:WorldBankandChreod Ltd.

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MarketvibrancyThisindexmeasuresthedynamicsofrealestatedevelopment.

Itmeasurestheadditionalsquaremetresbuiltaroundstationsduringthepastdecade.

Itisobtainedfromlocalpublicplanningagenciesoragenciesmonitoringrealestateactivity.

Increaseinconstructionprogramsbetween2000and2012aroundplanned GrandParisExpresssubwaystations

Source:SalatandBourdic 2015©UrbanMorphologyandComplexSystemsInstitute.

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PolicyleverstoincreaseeachvalueType of value Policy lever

Node • Increasethenumberofhubsandthenumberoflines/modestheyconnectto.• Interlinkneighboringstationsintoclusters.• Increaseaccessibilityforallwithinthenetwork.

Place • Increasecompactness(proximitytoexistingurbanactivityandshorttraveltimetomaindestinations).

• Increasethediversityofuses.• Increasetheconcentrationofcommercial,cultural,andeducationalamenities.• Designneighborhoodsthatpromotewalkingandcycling.• Createavibrantpublicrealm.

Marketpotential

• Increaseresidentialdensity.• Increasejobdensity.• Increasehumandensity.• Increasethediversityoflandparcelstocreateavibrantlandmarket.• Increasesocialdiversity.• Allowforverticalseparationofdevelopmentrights.• Increasefloorarearatios.

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Moreonthe3VApproachatUrbanScale

https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/26405

Authors’contact

[email protected]

[email protected]


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