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TSX : NEXT OTCQB : NSRC MOLO GRAPHITE PROJECT Madagascar
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Page 1: MOLO GRAPHITE PROJECT - Next Sourcenextsourcematerials.com/static/media/uploads/2017... · 22/06/2017  · Graphite the most required input for Gigafactories 9 Source: Benchmark mineral

TSX:NEXTOTCQB:NSRC

MOLO GRAPHITE PROJECT Madagascar

1

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Forward looking statements

Safe Harbour: This presenta4on contains statements that may cons4tute “forward looking statements” within the meaning ofapplicable Canadian andUnited States securi4es legisla4on. Readers are cau4onednot to place undue reliance on such forwardlooking statements.Any statement in thispresenta4on that is not a statementat ahistorical fact cons4tutes a “forward lookingstatement”. Furthermore, when the Company uses the words “may”, “expect”, “an4cipate”, “plan”, “forecast”, “projec4ons”,“es4mate"orsimilarwords,theCompanyintendedtoiden4fycertainforwardlookingstatements.Forwardlookingstatementsarerelated to the4mingof the comple4onof theupdated and revised Feasibility Study, the results of the revised Feasibility Study,funding of the development of the Molo Project, implementa4on and commencement of the build-out of the Molo Project,commencementofproduc4onat theMoloProject, commencementofprocurement formine infrastructure, theprocurementofequipmenttoconstructamine,valueengineering,con4nuedproducttestresultsandproductanalysis,andthepermitapplica4on.Other forward looking statements relate to growth of the lithium-ion market, graphite demand in the future, electric vehicleprojec4ons and othermarket demands for graphite. These are based on current expecta4ons, es4mates and assump4ons thatinvolveanumberofknownandunknownrisks,uncertain4esandotherfactorsthatcouldcauseactualresultstovaryandinsomeinstancestodiffermateriallyfromthosean4cipatedbytheCompanyanddescribedintheforwardlookingstatementscontainedinthis presenta4on. These risks include, but are not limited to access to sufficient capital, dependence on ore mineral project,governmentalandpoli4calrisksinMadagascar,legalandaccoun4ngrisks,compliancewithvariousregulators,poten4allossofkeypersonnel,nocertaintyastocommercialproduc4onoftheMolomine,inherentchangesinmineralexplora4onanddevelopment,delays, external market factors, nega4ve opera4ng cash flows, lack of demand for graphite, cost overruns, permiRng issues,fluctua4onsinthepriceofgraphite,labourissues,4tledisputesandfluctua4onsincurrency.CriteriaoftheserisksandotherrisksareoutlinedinthecompaniesForm10–KforthefiscalyearendingJune30,2016availableatSEDAR.com,whichinvestorsarehighlyencouragedtoreview.Noassurancecanbegiventhatanyoftheeventsan4cipatedbytheforwardlookingstatementswilltranspireoroccuror,ifanyofthemdoso,whatbenefitstheCompanywillderivetherefrom.Theforwardlookingstatementscontainedinthispresenta4onaremadeasatthedateofthispresenta4onandtheCompanydoesnot undertake any obliga4on to update publicly or to revise any of the forward-looking statements,whether as a result of newinforma4on,futureeventsorotherwise,exceptasmayberequiredbyapplicablesecuri4eslaws.

2

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IT’S ESSENTIAL.

IT’S COMPLICATED.

IT’S A HUGE OPPORTUNITY.

3

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Flake graphite market = ~500,000 tpa

#1 #3#2BATTERIES CONSUMERELECTRONICS

(GRAPHITEFOILS)

MajorityofdemandsIllIedtotradiIonalsteelmarket

16% 10%

REFRACTORIES

Experiencinglargestgrowth Experiencingfastestgrowth4

65%

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Evolution of graphite’s use in lithium-ion batteries

2006 2016 2020

0%

16%35%

5

Li-ionbaberiesLi-ionbaberies

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Natural graphite’s use in Li-ion batteries rising

•  Amountofnaturalgraphitevs.synthe4cgraphitesteadilyincreasinginLi-ionbaberies

•  Almostallsynthe4c10yearsago

Source:2014AvicenneEnergyBaberyReport

6

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0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 700000

2016 2020

Tonnes

Analyst graphite demand based on battery forecasts

500,000 EVs WOULD DOUBLE CURRENT BATTERY DEMAND FOR GRAPHITE.

7

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Robust electric vehicle projections

8

Source:BloombergNewEnergyFinance2017

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Graphite the most required input for Gigafactories

9 Source:BenchmarkmineralIntelligence

TheGigafactory1isexpectedtorequireover42,000tonnesofgraphiteanodematerial,28,000tonnesoflithiumhydroxideand5,000tonnesofcobalteveryyearata35GWhcapacityofnewcellproduc4on.

Teslaannounceditplanstobuild3addi4onalGigafactorieswithexpectedconstruc4onpost-2020.Theseareinaddi4onto15megafactoriesbeingbuiltgloballybycompe4tors.

TeslaGigafactory1inNevada

42,000tonnesofgraphiteanodematerialrequiredeveryyearatcapacity

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Thelargertheflakesize,

andhigherthepurity,

thehighertheprice.

Graphite pricing

10

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Graphite prices

■ Price Low

■ Price High

■ Price Mid

■ 12-month moving average

2,000

3,000

2,500

3,500

4,000

S/TO

NN

E

2014 2015 2016 2017

MayJun Aug

OctDec

FebApr

Jun AugOct

DecFeb

AprJun Aug

OctDec

FebMay

www.benchmarkminerals.com

2 PRICES

3 | BENCHMARK | DATA

BENCHMARK | DATA

GRAPHITE | MAY 2017 REVIEW

GRAPHITE REVIEW MAY 2017

■ SPHERICAL GRAPHITEVALUE-ADDED

Value-added graphite prices relatively stable throughout May 2017 as Chinese processors continued efforts to expand output. Demand for expandable graphite continues to grow with increased use in flame retardant applications as a substitute for brominated alternatives, counteracting some minor decreases in demand for graphite foils. As a result prices have remained robust and are expected to climb again in H2 with feedstock supplies tightening. Demand growth is similarly robust for spherical graphite as anode producers seek to tie in raw material supplies. The 100,000 tpa expansion of China’s largest flake graphite producer is yet another statement of intent from flake graphite and will force greater price competition as seek to tie in larger volume orders. Prices were stable throughout May but there could be some downward price pressure throughout H2 2016

.

Source: Benchmark Mineral Intelligence

15 MICRON, 99.95% C, FOB CHINA

■ FLAKE GRAPHITE FLAKE GRAPHITEFlake graphite prices were up over 5% on average throughout May 2017, as medium and large flake prices rebounded to their highest point since January for many grades. Tighter supplies of large flake material saw increased price pressure for these grades, with concerns over availability of material while China implements environmental restrictions on production.Finer mesh grades also saw some upwards pressure with increased volumes continuing to be used for value-added processing within China. Nevertheless, excess supplies remain in this part of the market due to weak industrial demand. Approaching the end of Q2 2017, prices are expected to be robust although increases will likely be curtailed by relatively low orders and the prospect of new supplies coming online in Africa. Although the opening of new operations in Mozambique and Namibia decrease supply dependence on Chinese exports for AMG N.V. and Imerys Graphite and Carbon, the rest of the industry still relies heavily on Chinese exports.

Source: Benchmark Mineral Intelligence

USD

/TO

NN

E

MayJun Aug

OctDec

FebApr

Jun AugOct

DecFeb

AprJun Aug

OctDec

FebMay

2014 2015 2016 2017

■ 94-95% C, -100 mesh, FOB China

■ 94-95% C, +100 mesh, FOB China

■ 94-95% C, +80 mesh, FOB China

■ 12-month moving average

0

400

800

1,200

1,600

■ Price Low

■ Price High

■ Price Mid

■ 12-month moving average

2,000

3,000

2,500

3,500

4,000

S/TO

NN

E

2014 2015 2016 2017

MayJun Aug

OctDec

FebApr

Jun AugOct

DecFeb

AprJun Aug

OctDec

FebMay

www.benchmarkminerals.com

2 PRICES

3 | BENCHMARK | DATA

BENCHMARK | DATA

GRAPHITE | MAY 2017 REVIEW

GRAPHITE REVIEW MAY 2017

■ SPHERICAL GRAPHITEVALUE-ADDED

Value-added graphite prices relatively stable throughout May 2017 as Chinese processors continued efforts to expand output. Demand for expandable graphite continues to grow with increased use in flame retardant applications as a substitute for brominated alternatives, counteracting some minor decreases in demand for graphite foils. As a result prices have remained robust and are expected to climb again in H2 with feedstock supplies tightening. Demand growth is similarly robust for spherical graphite as anode producers seek to tie in raw material supplies. The 100,000 tpa expansion of China’s largest flake graphite producer is yet another statement of intent from flake graphite and will force greater price competition as seek to tie in larger volume orders. Prices were stable throughout May but there could be some downward price pressure throughout H2 2016

.

Source: Benchmark Mineral Intelligence

15 MICRON, 99.95% C, FOB CHINA

■ FLAKE GRAPHITE FLAKE GRAPHITEFlake graphite prices were up over 5% on average throughout May 2017, as medium and large flake prices rebounded to their highest point since January for many grades. Tighter supplies of large flake material saw increased price pressure for these grades, with concerns over availability of material while China implements environmental restrictions on production.Finer mesh grades also saw some upwards pressure with increased volumes continuing to be used for value-added processing within China. Nevertheless, excess supplies remain in this part of the market due to weak industrial demand. Approaching the end of Q2 2017, prices are expected to be robust although increases will likely be curtailed by relatively low orders and the prospect of new supplies coming online in Africa. Although the opening of new operations in Mozambique and Namibia decrease supply dependence on Chinese exports for AMG N.V. and Imerys Graphite and Carbon, the rest of the industry still relies heavily on Chinese exports.

Source: Benchmark Mineral Intelligence

USD

/TO

NN

E

MayJun Aug

OctDec

FebApr

Jun AugOct

DecFeb

AprJun Aug

OctDec

FebMay

2014 2015 2016 2017

■ 94-95% C, -100 mesh, FOB China

■ 94-95% C, +100 mesh, FOB China

■ 94-95% C, +80 mesh, FOB China

■ 12-month moving average

0

400

800

1,200

1,600

$900 /tonne (May 2017)FlakeGraphite+80mesh,94-95%

$2,800/tonne (May 2017)UncoatedSphericalGraphite

11

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MARKET REALITY CHECK

Thefuturedemandforflakegraphiteforelectricvehiclesisverybright,but…

•  ~65%ofgraphiteconsump4on4edtotradi4onalsteelmarket

•  Baberyanodess4llasmallmarketfornaturalgraphite•  Projectscannotrelysolelyonababeryorgraphenesalesplan

•  Projectsmustbeeconomicalbasedonrealis4csalesvolumeandprice

12

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•  Ideallylocatedinthesouthern,aridregionofMadagascar

•  $Billion+miningprojectsestablishedin-country,codifyingmininglaws

•  Democra4cgovernmentviewsminingaskeygrowthengineandoneofthepillarsofMadagascar'sAc4onPlan

•  Ambatovyprojectaccountsfor32%ofcountry’stotalrevenue

$+8BillionAmbatovyNickel&CobaltProject(Sherrib,Sumitomo,KORES)

Africa

FortDauphinShippingPort(Taolagnaro)

MOLOGraphiteProject

SakoaCoalProject$400M(e)

RioTinto$1BillionMineralSandsProject

ShippingPorts:Tulear&Soalara

WTRMineralSands$200M(e)Sherrib/GlencoreLimestone

Molo Graphite Project Fotadrevo,Madagascar

13

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AnnualProduc4onGraphite: 53,017t/yearLifeofmine: 26yearsCAPEX(excludingWorkingCapital): $188MOPEX(Ex-plant): $352/TOPEX(CIF): $709/TAverageHeadGrade: 7.04%OpenPitMiningStripRa4o 0.81:1AverageSellingPrice: US$1689/t

NPV:10%discount US$389.8M IRR: 31.2%Payback: 4.84years

Post-tax

*Please refer to the Company’s technical report entitled “Molo Feasibility Study” dated February 6, 2015 available under the Company’s profile at www.sedar.com for a discussion in respect of certain key assumptions, parameters and methods in respect to the mineral resource disclosure.

2015 Feasibility Study

2015

10%ofmarket

Difficulttoraisetoday

Currentpriceis~$1000/t

14

•  Posi4veresultsatthe4me,butmarketcondi4onshavesincechanged

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A BRAND NEW APPROACH

•  18monthvalue-engineeringprocessundertaken

•  Iden4fiedFULLMODULARCONSTRUCTIONwitha17,000tpaini4alproduc4onasmostcost-effec4vesolu4on

•  Provenmethodology

•  DesignedandbuilttoEUstandards

•  LowestCAPEXofanyjuniorgraphiteproject:US$18.4M

15

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Modular construction - GAME CHANGER

16

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AnnualProduc4onGraphite: 17,000t/yearLifeofmine: 30yearsCAPEX(excludingWorkingCapital): $18.4MOPEX(Ex-plant): $433/TOPEX(CIF): $688/TAverageHeadGrade: 8.1%AverageSellingPrice: US$1014/t

NPV:8%discount US$25.5M IRR: 22%Payback: 4.8years

Post-tax

*Please refer to the Company’s technical report entitled “2017 Updated Molo Feasibility Study” under the Company’s profile at www.sedar.com for certain other details and assumptions relating to the above mineral resource and reserve estimates and data verification procedures.

Updated Feasibility Study (2017) - Phase 1

2017

3%ofmarket

CurrentpricebasedonMoloflakesizedistribu4on

17

Drama4creduc4onvs.2015FS

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AccommodaIon

Office

Storage

PotableH2O

AccommodaIon

Office

Storage

PrimaryMill

ClassificaIon

PrimaryFlotaIon

SecondaryMills&FlotaIon

WetTailingsLargerCrushingCircuit

Phase1: 17,000tpamine,30yr.minelifePhase2: Plannedexpansionto50,000tpausingmodularapproach

2-phased approach to production

18

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2015FEASIBILITYSTUDY

US$188M for

53,000 tpa production capability

•  Averageglobalproduc4onofaflakegraphitemine=11,600tpa•  At17,000tpa,theMolowouldrankasatop3producingmine

globallyoutsideofChina

CAPEX comparison

US$18.4M for

17,000 tpa production capability

US$?M for

50,000 tpa production capability

2017UPDATEDFEASIBILITYSTUDYFORPHASE1

PHASE2ESTIMATEDCAPEXTOBE

DETERMINEDWITHMODULARAPPROACH

19

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MOLO DIFFERENTIATORS

20

What sets us apart from other projects.

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Lowest CAPEX of any competing project

$18.4million(USD)

ActualrepresentaIonoftheMolomine

actual estimated

21

$-

$50,000,000

$100,000,000

$150,000,000

$200,000,000

$250,000,000

$300,000,000

MOLO Focus Mason NouveauMonde

Northern Kibaran Magnis Syrah

CAPEX($USD)

Source:SEDAR.comandrespec4vecompany’snewsreleases

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•  Lowestquar4leOPEXonanall-in,CIFbasis•  Compe44vewithChineseflakepricing

Low operating costs

PHASE1(detailedengineering)Ex-plant: $433/TCIFRokerdam:$688/T

OPEX Portd'EholaatFortDauphin

Source:2017MoloFS22

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EU

China

India

SouthKorea

Japan

MoloDepositMadagascar

MOLOISLOCATEDWITHINTHEHUBOFTOPPURCHASINGANDPROCESSINGMARKETSFORFLAKEGRAPHITE.

Location

23

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Size

24*Please refer to the Company’s technical report entitled “Molo Feasibility Study” dated February 6, 2015 available under the Company’s profile at www.sedar.com for a discussion in respect of certain key assumptions, parameters and methods in respect to the mineral resource disclosure.

•  23.62Mt)[email protected]%,

•  [email protected]%C

•  [email protected]%C

RESOURCES;abovea2%Ccut-off RESERVES;abovea4.5%Ccut-off

•  [email protected]%C,

•  [email protected]%C

•  22.44MtProven&[email protected]%C

Averylargeresource.

100.37milliontonnes(MT)measured&indicatedCombinedMeasured&[email protected]%C,abovea2%Ccut-off

[email protected]%C,abovea2%Ccut-off

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Japan

20-40km 12-15km

5-10km

40-60km

40-60km

Scalability

MOLODEPOSIT•  300mx1500m

ADDITIONALGRAPHITETRENDS

Openalongstrikeandatdepth.Mineraliza4onconsistentthroughout.

•  Over300linekmsofcon4nuousgraphiteiden4fied•  Immediatelyatsurface

25

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IMMEDIATELYATSURFACE

•  Minimaloverburden

•  Negligiblewaste-to-orera4o(0.81:1)

•  Verylowenvironmentalandsocialliabili4es

Ease of extraction

Surfacegraphitevisiblefromtheair

26

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•  97%-98%carbon(C)purityachievedwithsimpleflota4on

•  Excellentthermalexpansioncoefficient(>500x)forgraphitefoilapplica4ons

•  Easilyupgradedto99.97%C(baberygrade)

Source:SGSMinerals

SuperFlake™

Very high-qualityflakegraphite.

27

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Source:2015MoloFeasibilityStudy

SuperFlake™

large/jumboflake

78.9%medium/large/jumboflake

21.1%small/fineflake

GradeMesh Size % Distribution % Carbon (t)

+48 (jumbo flake) 23.6 96.9

+65 (coarse flake) 14.6 97.1

+80 (large flake) 8.2 97.0

+100 (medium-large flake) 6.9 97.2

+150 (medium flake) 15.5 97.3

+200 (medium-small flake) 10.1 98.1

-200 (small / fine flake) 21.1 97.5

Molopilotplantproduced13tonnesofSuperFlake™atSGSCanadaInc.

Excellentflakesizedistribu4onandaveragepuri4eswellabovetheglobalaverage.

28

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SuperFlake™ is verified by end users for ALL top demand markets

29

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Engineering and technical expertise

RobinBorleySeniorVicePresident,MineDevelopmentPr.TechEng

•  FormerDirectorofMiningOpera4onsforDRAGlobal•  25+yearsexperiencebuildingandopera4ngmines

interna4onally(incl.Madagascar)

JohanndeBruinSeniorConsultant,Opera4onalReadinessPrEng

•  Re4redManagingDirectorofDRAGlobalAfricas•  30+yearsofminingopera4onsexperienceinAfrica,Australia

andCanada

OliverPetersSr.Consultant,ProcessEngineeringPrEng

•  HeadprocessengineeratSGSMineralsCanada(Lakefield)

•  FormerprocessengineeratDRAGlobal

•  25+yearsofprocessengineeringexperienceinAfricaandCanada

30

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Financing

Procurement

Assembly&FAT

Transport

SitePrepara4on

Commissioning

Fabrica4on

ACCELERATEDTIMELINE

Produc4on

TimelinebasedonobtainingminefinancingbySept1st.

Fast-tracking to mine development

31

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec20182017

Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

SitePrepara4on

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Fast-tracking to mine development

32

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

20182017Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Phase1(17,000T/yr)

Financing

Construc4on

Commissioning

CommercialProduc4on

Phase2(53,000T/yr)

2019Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul

Financing

Construc4on

Commissioning

CommercialProdu

c4on

FrontEndEngineering&Design(FEED)Study

DetailedEngineering

Procurement

Assembly&FAT

Transport

SitePrepara4on

Fabrica4on

BasedonMarketCondi4ons

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The Molo growth plan

2018

•  Easyexpansionasmarketdemandrequires

•  VerylowCAPEXexpected

•  Furtherreduc4oninOPEXexpectedthrougheconomiesofscale

•  Posi4veeconomicsundercurrentmarketcondi4ons

•  First-moveradvantage

•  Significantbarriertoentry

•  Proofofconcept

•  Right-sizedforcurrentmarket

2019-2020

Phase 1 17,000 tpa

Phase 2 >50,000 tpa

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

NS1 NS2 Mason NouveauMonde Northern

Produc;on/Year(T)

33 Source:SEDAR.comandrespec4vecompany’snewsreleases

NS1=Phase1 NS2=Phase2

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NextSource’s growth plan

Wherewearegoing.Asamaterialscompany,wewillapplyouruniquemodularminemodelacrossotherprojectsandcommodi4es.

34

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DundeeResources 19%

VRCapitalGroup 10%

JPMorganAssetManagement 8%

InvestorsGroup/MackenzieFinancial 5%

AGFMutualFundGroup 3%

DRAGlobal 1%

Management 7%

Strong institutional shareholders

35


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