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Monetary policy not responsible for inflation

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National Economic Planning 2009 International Institute of Planning and Management Excellences: Mr. Jay Sheth | Ms. Karuna Bhansali | Mr. Amar Baldva | Ms. Komal Jain | Mr. Shashank Tripathi
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Page 1: Monetary policy not responsible for inflation

National Economic Planning 2009

International Institute of Planning and Management

Excellences:Mr. Jay Sheth | Ms. Karuna Bhansali | Mr. Amar Baldva | Ms. Komal

Jain | Mr. Shashank Tripathi

Page 2: Monetary policy not responsible for inflation

Three things cannot be long hidden,The Sun, The Moon & The Truth

- Buddha

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Page 3: Monetary policy not responsible for inflation

Inflation is not on account of flawed Monetary policy

Avowers Think Tank

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Page 4: Monetary policy not responsible for inflation

Flow of presentation Charge - Inflation

Considered culprit – Monetary

Proof for Innocence Major Culprits

Proffer

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Page 5: Monetary policy not responsible for inflation

Meaning of Inflation

A general increase in prices of all the Commodities

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Page 6: Monetary policy not responsible for inflation

Types of Inflation

Demand Pull Inflation

Cost – Push Inflation

Pricing Power Inflation

Sectorial Inflation

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Page 7: Monetary policy not responsible for inflation

Measurement of Inflation

Wholesale Price Index (WPI)

Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Deflator

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Page 8: Monetary policy not responsible for inflation

Monetary

A credit policy through which RBI seeks to

ensure price stability in the Economy.

Controls the supply of Money, the Cost and the

Availability of credit in the country

A policy statement traditionally announced

twice a year

Slack season Policy ( April – September )

Busy Season Policy ( October – March)8

Page 9: Monetary policy not responsible for inflation

Tools of Monetary PolicyCash Reserve Ratio

Repo Rate

Reverse Repo Rate

Bank Rate

Statutory Liquidity Ratio9

Page 10: Monetary policy not responsible for inflation

Objectives of Monetary Policy

Stability of Exchange Rates

Price Stability

Neutrality of Money

Economic Growth with Stability

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Page 11: Monetary policy not responsible for inflation

CRR and Inflation Rate

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Source : Bhattacharya K. and I Bhattacharya

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Major CulpritsBlack Money

Global dependency

Fake Currency

Fiscal Policy

Export

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Page 14: Monetary policy not responsible for inflation

Black MoneyBlack money is measured approx. 40% of GDP

Political Corruption

Controls in licensing system

Tax structure

Public Sector

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Page 15: Monetary policy not responsible for inflation

Global dependencyShortages of vital raw materials 

 Reliance on generators powered by expensive imported Fuel

We are dependent on oil and oil prices

(What is worse is that even some of the oil that is pumped out of Indian soil (as in Rajasthan by Cairns Energy) is costing India 20 times its actual production cost.)

Source- www.india_tripod.com

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Fake Currency

61,000 million fake pieces valued at Rs. 1,69,00 corers

in circulation Source :The Hindu

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Page 17: Monetary policy not responsible for inflation

Fiscal Policy

Non-planned expenditure had increased from 59.90% in 1980-85 to 75.75% in 1998-99 of total expenditure

In 2005-06, India's federal council of ministers ran up a non-planned expenditure bill of $45 million The ministerial tab for 2008-09 is $50 million

Source :Indian economy since independence - Uma Kapila

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Page 18: Monetary policy not responsible for inflation

Export Steel manufacturers like the Tata's had cautioned

against run-away exports of iron - ore and they too were ignored.Steel Prices shot up in Mid 2008

Companies like Reliance, exports fuel in African nations in spite of shortages in India.

India has more than 35% population who hardly get food once a day and therefore at this juncture exporting very essential products like Rice and other edible items should not be exported 

Source-www.india_tripod.com18

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Proffer

Control on Black money

Fiscal measures

Alternative solution to global crisis

Enlighten policies

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The End

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