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Money Market IS_LM Model

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Dr. Pablo de la Peña S. 1 TECNOLÓGICO DE MONTERREY CAMPUS GUADALAJARA ESCUELA DE NEGOCIOS Y HUMANIDADES MACROECONOMICS EC-1000-30 Dr. Pablo de la Peña Sánchez April, 2012 MONEY MARKET, IS-LM MODEL Exercises I. Warming up questions. 1. Which of the following statements is not correct? a. Investment is negatively related with the interest rate.  b. An increase in the Money Supply “Ceteris Paribus” will increase the interest rate of equilibrium. c. During a recession the Demand for Money (L) will shift to the right. d.  None of the above. R: ____ 2. Which of the following statements is not correct? a. Taxes will reduce consumption and in turn production (Y) will reduce its equilibrium with the Aggregate Demand (A.D.)  b. An Open Market Operation in which the Central Bank sells bonds, it will increase the Money Supply (M s ) c. A zero required reserve ratio implies that Banks can lend all of their deposits. d.  None of the above. R: _____ 3. The difference between M1 and M2 is a. M2 is money for everyday transactions.  b. M2 includes travelers checks and M1 does not. c. M2 includes savings accounts. d.  None of the above R: _____ 4. Chapala Bank has deposits for 300 million dollars, with a required reserve ratio of 30%, the Central Bank allows Chapala Bank to lend up to a. 210 million dollars  b. 90 million dollars c. 3.3. times its amount of deposits. d.  None of the above R: _____ 5. An open market operation in which the Central Bank buys bonds for 500 million dollars, knowing that the required reserve ratio in the economy is 15%, the Central Bank is reducing the Money Supply (M s ): a. 3,335 million dollars  b. 75 million dollars c. 425 million dollars d.  None of the above R: _____ 
Transcript
Page 1: Money Market IS_LM Model

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Dr. Pablo de la Peña S. 1

TECNOLÓGICO DE MONTERREY CAMPUS GUADALAJARAESCUELA DE NEGOCIOS Y HUMANIDADES

MACROECONOMICS EC-1000-30

Dr. Pablo de la Peña Sánchez

April, 2012MONEY MARKET, IS-LM MODELExercises

I.  Warming up questions.

1.  Which of the following statements is not correct?

a.  Investment is negatively related with the interest rate.

 b.  An increase in the Money Supply “Ceteris Paribus” will increase the interest rate of 

equilibrium.

c.  During a recession the Demand for Money (L) will shift to the right.

d.   None of the above.R: ____ 

2.  Which of the following statements is not correct?

a.  Taxes will reduce consumption and in turn production (Y) will reduce its equilibrium with the

Aggregate Demand (A.D.)

 b.  An Open Market Operation in which the Central Bank sells bonds, it will increase the Money

Supply (Ms)

c.  A zero required reserve ratio implies that Banks can lend all of their deposits.

d.   None of the above.

R: _____ 

3.  The difference between M1 and M2 is

a.  M2 is money for everyday transactions. b.  M2 includes travelers checks and M1 does not.

c.  M2 includes savings accounts.

d.   None of the above

R: _____ 

4.  Chapala Bank has deposits for 300 million dollars, with a required reserve ratio of 30%, the

Central Bank allows Chapala Bank to lend up to

a.  210 million dollars

 b.  90 million dollars

c.  3.3. times its amount of deposits.

d.   None of the aboveR: _____ 

5.  An open market operation in which the Central Bank buys bonds for 500 million dollars,

knowing that the required reserve ratio in the economy is 15%, the Central Bank is reducing the

Money Supply (Ms):

a.  3,335 million dollars

 b.  75 million dollars

c.  425 million dollars

d.   None of the above

R: _____ 

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II.  The IS-LM Model

The IS-LM Model helps us to understand the dynamism in the whole economic system. Both the IS as well

as the LM show the equilibrium between the production in the economy (Y) and the interest rate. We know

that the production in the economy is measure by the GDP, and the importance of analyzing its relationship

with the interest rate is because the Goods and Services Market is strongly related to whatever happen inthe Money Market, and vice versa. The IS curve shows a negative or inverse relationship between

 production and interest rate, this means that the higher the interest rate the lower the production. This

relationship between Production (Y) and interest rate (r) in the IS can be better understood by analyzing the

relationship between interest rate and investment. The IS stands for “Investment and Savings”, and we

know that “investors” – which are usually companies – will be willing to borrow money to invest in

increasing their production capacity only if the interest rate is relatively low. The interest rate represents the

cost of borrowing money, or the opportunity cost. Thus, higher interest rates will inhibit investors to

increase their production capacity. This is why during high interest rates period, private investment is low,

and therefore production in the economy may also be low. In order to increase the level of investment so

we can have higher levels of production, we need to have low interest rates. However, low interest rates do

not attract people willing to save their money – to make deposits. Remember that Banks use those deposits

to make loans. So, it may well be the case in which companies are willing to borrow large quantities of 

money because interest rates are low, but Bank, on the other hand do not have deposits because people in

the economy are not finding attractive those low interest rates. People will be willing to increase their 

deposits if they find the interest rate attractive, a relatively high interest rate that represents a future gain on

their savings. Thus, the Central Bank has the challenge to maintain a relatively low interest rate to motivate

companies to borrow money, so they can invest in more production capacity and then, production in the

economy keeps growing. But, on the other hand, Central Bank has also the challenge to maintain a

relatively high interest rate, to attract people willing to make deposits.

Interest rate (r ) Investment (I ) Production (Y)

Production (Y) = IS Interest rate (r )

 Now, the LM stands for Liquidity and Money, and it also shows a relationship between interest rate and

 production, but it shows a positive relationship. This is because the LM depicts the relationship between the

Demand for Money (L), the Production level (Y) and the interest rate. Specifically, the LM shows the

changes in the interest rate due to changes in the Demand for Money caused by changes in the production

level or income (Y). Remember that the Demand for Money (L) is a function of the interest rate and

Income (Y), which is coming from the GDP, or the level of production in the economy. Thus, if the GDP isgrowing, there will be more income in the economy; thus, people may be willing to increase their demand

for money (liquidity) this is (L) so they can buy more goods and services. If people increase their demand

for money (L) will see a shift in the Demand for Money curve up to the right, if the central bank decides to

keep its current level of Money Supply (M s) with no change, then we will see an increase in the interest rate

along the Money Supply vertical line, up to a point in which crosses with the new Demand for Money (L)

curve. Then, after this process, we have a higher interest rate, and a higher Demand for Money due to an

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increase in the level of production or income (Y). Thus the positive relationship between the interest rate

and the production level in the LM curve.

Production (Y) Demand for Money (L) Interest rate

Production (Y) Interest rate = LM

(IS) Example.

1.  Suppose we have the following information:

L = Lo + kY – hr, where:

Lo is the autonomous demand for money

k is the proportion we use from our income as liquid money

Y is the production level or GDP or National Income

h is the slope between L and interest rate.

r is the interest rate

we also know that equilibrium is given by Ms = L, then

Ms 1 = 1,950 million dollars

Y = 8,500 million dollars

L1 = 200 + 30%Y – 20,000r 

a.  Calculate the interest rate of equilibrium.

L1 = 200 + 0.30(8,500) – 20,000r 

1,950 = 200 + 2,550 – 20,000r 

20,000 r = 2,750 – 1,950

r = (800 / 20,000 ) = ( 0.40 ) *100

r = 4%

 b.  Assume the Aggregate Demand is given by Y = Co + cY + I + G + X – M, let’s assume that

the marginal propensity to consume is after taxes, so MPC’ = 0.70%, and we have that the

equation for Investment is:

I = Io – br, where Io represents the autonomous investment, (b) is the slope and (r ) is the

interest rate. Then we have the full Aggregate Demand equation as:

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Y = Co + 0.70Y + Io - br + G + X – M we know that the Aggregate Expenses are all of 

those variables do not depending on interest rates, or Income, so:

AE = Co + Io + G + X – M, then we can rewrite the equation as:

Y1 = AE + 0.70Y – br 

So, according to our example we have that the equation in equilibrium should be:

Y1 = 3,350 + 0.70Y – 20,000r we know is the equilibrium because…

Y1 = 3,350 + 0.70Y – 20,000 (0.04)

Y1 (1 – 0.70) = 3,350 – 20,000(0.04)

Y1 = (3,350 – 800) / ( 1- 0.70)

Y1 = (2,550) / ( 1- 0.70)

Y1 = 8,500

c.   Now, suppose the economy grows 5% to the next year. We know this will affect the demand

for money, and assuming the Central Bank does not change its Money Supply, then we will

have:

Δ%Y = 10%

ΔY = (0.05) (8,500) = 425

Y2 = Y1 + ΔY = 8,500 + 425

Y2 = 8,925 this is also the same as having: Y1 ( 1 + 0.05) = 8,500 ( 1.05)

 Now, we take this new level of production (Y) and use it to calculate the new interest rte with

the new demand for money (L2) due to this increase in Y.

L2 = 200 + 0.30(8,925) – 20,000r we know that the money supply remains the same at

1,950 millions dollars. Then

1,950 = 200 + 0.30(8,925) – 20,000r solving for “r”

20,000 r = 200 + 2,677.5 – 1,950

r = 927.5/ 20,000 = 0.0464 then

r = 4.6%

d.  We know that the a higher interest rate will negatively impact Investment and thus the

Aggregate Demand. Then, we can now calculate the new level of production (Y) after the

increase in the interest rate, using once again the Aggregate Demand equation.

Y2 = AE + 0.70Y – br but we have now a higher interest rate, and assuming the

Aggregate Expenses remain the same, we have:

Y3 = 3,350 + 0.70Y3 – 20,000r 

Y3 = 3,350 + 0.70Y3 – 20,000(0.046)

Y3 (1 – 0.70) = 3,350 – 920

Y3 = 2,430 / (1 – 0.70)

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Y3 = 8,100

As we can see, an increase in the interest rate from 4% to 4.6% will reduce the production

level 9.24%, this is Δ%Y = [ (8,100 / 8,925) – 1 ] * 100

(LM) example. Using the previous example as departing point.

a.  As we do not want reductions in the level of production in the economy, the Central Bank 

should need to do something in order to avoid this 9.24% reduction in Y. Then, suppose

the Central Bank decides to make an Open Market Operation in order to reduce the

interest rate from 4.6% to 4% once again. This means that the Central Bank should put

more money in the market, to do so, it will buy bonds. But the real question is how much

 bonds should the Central Bank buy in order to reduce the interest rate to 4%, considering

there is a multiplier effect. Let’s suppose the reserve required ratio is 25%.

First, we need to calculate the final money supply that will find its equilibrium with a 4%interest rate and with the money demand that cause the increase in the interest rate.

Remember that the demand for money that took the interest rate up to 4.6% was one with

a level of production of 8,925 which was 10% higher than the original (Y).

Ms2 = 200 + 0.30(8,925) – 20,000r because the target interest rate is 4%, we have:

Ms2 = 200 + 0.30(8,925) – 20,000 (0.04)

Ms2 = 200 + 2,677.5 – 800

Ms2 = 2,077.5

This should be the new Money Supply, but the question is how much Bonds should the

Central Bank needs to buy in order to take the Money Supply up to 2,077.5 from 1,950?

ΔMs = Ms2 – Ms

1  ΔMs = 2,077.5 – 1,950

ΔMs = 127.5

Assuming that the reserve required ratio is 25%, then the multiplier is:

Multiplier = (1 / 0.25) = 4

Then, the Central Bank should buy bonds for 31.875 million dollars so that by the

multiplier effect the Money Supply will be increased up to 2,077.5 million.

Answers to Questions: 1 (D); 2 (B); 3 (C); 4 (A); 5 (D)

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r1 

Ms  Q

L1=Lo+kY1-hr 

AD 

Y Y1 

8,500 

AE 

Y1=AE+0.70Y

1-br 

r1 

Ms  Q

L1=Lo+kY

1-hr 

AD 

Y Y1 

8,500 

AE1 

Y1=AE+0.70Y

1-br 

L2=Lo+kY

2-hr 

r2 

I1  I 

I2 

a b 

I=Io-br 

Y3=AE+0.70Y

3–br

Y3 

8,100 

a c 

r1 

Ms 

1,950  Qm 

L1=Lo+kY

1-hr 

L2=Lo+kY

2-hr 

r2 

Ms 

2,077.5 

AD 

Y Y1 

8,500 

AE 

Y1=AE+0.70Y

1-br 

AE2 

Y2=AE

2+0.70Y

2-br 

Y2 

8,925 

a b 

r1 r2 

Y2=AE

2+0.70Y

2-br 

AE2 

AE3 

Y2 8,925

 

Originallevelofequilibriumbetweeninterestrateat4%,MoneySupplyat1,950andProductionat8,500 

Anincreaseof5%inthelevelofproductionwilltakeGDPto$8,925,shiftingthedemandformoneytotherigh.KeepingthesamelevelofMoneySupplytheinterestrateshouldgoup. 

MoneyMarketEquilibrium:IS-LMModelGraphs 

Theincrementintheinterestratewillreducetheinvestmentlevel,andinturnitwillreducethe

levelofproduction. 

Inordertoavoidthisreductionintheeconomy,theCentralBankshouldreduceitsinterestrate.Todoso,theCentralBankshouldbuybondsintheopemmarket,soitwillputmoremoneyintotheeconomy.Usingthe4%interestrateastarget,theCentralBankshouldbuybondsfor31.875milliondollarssobythemultipliereffect,itwilltaketheMoneySupplyupto2,077.5whereitfindsitsequilibriumwiththenewmoneydemandatY2,and

withthetargetinterestrateof4%. 


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