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www.csd.bg Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) Monitoring Anti-Corruption in Europe: Bridging Policy Evaluation and Corruption Measurement (MONAC) With the financial support of the Prevention and Fight against Crime Programme, European Commission, Directorate-General Home Affairs
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Page 1: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

www.csd.bg

Monitoring anticorruption

policy implementation (MACPI)

Monitoring Anti-Corruption in Europe: Bridging Policy Evaluation and

Corruption Measurement (MONAC)

With the financial support of the

Prevention and Fight against Crime

Programme, European Commission,

Directorate-General Home Affairs

Page 2: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Identification of two types of gaps in

anticorruption policies/measures:

Implementation

gap

Policy design

gap

Page 3: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Levels and content of anticorruption

policies

Policies/measures at public organization level

General and specific rules for operation in concrete situations

National policies

Standards (protocols) for the operation of the administration

Macro level policies

Principles of governance

Assessed by

MACPI

Page 4: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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� Anticorruption policies at macro level are related to political

choice (elections)

� National policies can be implemented only if adequately

translated into policies/measures at the level of public

organisations

� At the public organization level anticorruption policies/measures

would be effective if they:

� Address real risks and vulnerabilities (adequacy)

� Have rational/optimal design (implementability)

� Induce both formal and real compliance (implementation)

� Reduce corruption pressure

Assumptions

Page 5: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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MACPI anticorruption policy

assessment indicators

Assessment of activities

Page 6: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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(1) Corruption

interest� Reflects the theoretical

possibility (sense) of corruption

transactions of different types

associated with specific

activities of the public

organisation

� Helps identify corruption

vulnerability zones

Page 7: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Assessment of corruption vulnerability (risk)

Page 8: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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(2) Corruption pressure

and involvement in

corruption

(results at national and public

organization level)

Page 9: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and

involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria)

28,7

23,4

17,4 20,3

15,0

15,1

16,4

14,8 16,5

17,2

14,5

9,6

9,4

14,3

13,6

29,3

18,6

34,2

31

22,6

27,5

22,8

22,1 25,2

20,3

21 21,4

18,3

12,4 14,4

20,6

18,8

39,4

27,7

0,0

5,0

10,0

15,0

20,0

25,0

30,0

35,0

40,0

45,0

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

% of the population 18+, who have extended an informal payment or have been

asked to make and informal payment (money, gift favour)

Involvement in corruption Corruption pressure

Page 10: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Prevalence of corruption pressure(officials and general population)

32%

28%

17%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Slatina municipality, Sofia General population 18+ Border police, Bulgaria

% officials and citizens reporting existence

of corruption pressure (2015)

Page 11: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Prevalence of corruption pressure among officials

32%

17%

14%

6%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Slatina municipality,

Sofia

Border police, Bulgaria Health service, Trento Riva del Garda, Italy

Share of officials who have been offered a bribe

at least once in the last year (2015)

Page 12: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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General and specific indicators for assessment of

activities

General

indicators

Specific

indicators

Content/interpretation

Corruption

interest

Existence of interest

for basic types of

corruption

transactions

Reflects the principle interest and practical

feasibility/sense of select types of corruption

transactions, given the situation in the country and

the organisation.

Corruption

pressure

Evasion of

regulations

Share of officials who gave above average score on

how many individuals/companies (clients) try to

circumvent the rules in this activity.

Outside pressure

associated with

activity

Share of those who answered that there is some

level of outside corruption pressure in this activity.

Susceptibility to

pressure from above

Share of officials who consider it likely that

employees would perform illegitimate activities if

ordered by a superior.

Susceptibility to

pressure from

outside

Share of officials who consider it likely that

employees would accept or ask for a bribe associated

with activity.

Page 13: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Corruption vulnerability of activities (Border Police,

Bulgaria)

ActivitiesCorruption

interestCorruption pressure

Theoretical

possibility of

corruption

(0 - 100%)

Evasion of

regulations

(0 - 100%)

Outside

pressure

(0 - 100%)

Suscepti

bility to

pressure

form above

(0 - 100%)

Suscepti

bility to

pressure

form outside

(0 - 100%)

Administrative and

punitive75 33,3 53,8 19,2 23,1

Public procurement 75 30 55,2 27,6 20,7

Page 14: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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MACPI indicators for

assessment of anticorruption

policies/ measures

Assessment of policies/

measures

Page 15: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Summary: MACPI indicators for assessment of

anticorruption policies/ measures

General

indicators

Specific indicators Content /interpretation

Implementability Ease of

implementation

Share of officials evaluating the policy as “very/rather

easy to implement.”

Difficult to evade Share of officials considering the policy difficult to

evade.

implementation Awareness Share of officials who agree that the policy is well-

known to the employees whom it concerns.

Strict implementation Share of officials who agree that policy is strictly

applied.

Strict control Share of officials who think that control is strictly

applied.

Strict application of

sanctions

Share of officials who think that sanctions are always

applied in cases of violation of the policy.

Estimated

effectiveness

Estimated potential

effectiveness

Share of officials who think that the implementation

of this policy “could reduce cases of corruption.”

Estimated actual

effectiveness

Share of officials who think that this policy “reduces

corruption risk.”

Page 16: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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MACPI assessment of anticorruption policies (Border

police, Bulgaria)

Policies/ measures Implementability

Implementation

EffectivenessFormal

compliance

Real

compliance

Ea

se o

f

imp

lem

en

tati

o

n (

%)

Dif

ficu

lt t

o

eva

de

(%

)

Aw

are

ne

ss (

%)

Str

ick

imp

lem

en

tati

o

n (

%)

Str

ict

co

ntr

ol

(%)

Str

ict

ap

pli

cati

on

of

san

ctio

ns

(%)

Est

ima

ted

po

ten

tia

l

eff

ect

ive

ne

ss

(%)

Est

ima

ted

act

ua

l

eff

ect

ive

ne

ss

(%)

Declarations of assets and

incomes95,1 71,3 93,9 91,1 63,1 59,3 73,1 66,5

Control by direct

supervisors of the

declarations of their

subordinates.

93,6 72,9 91,2 88,8 59,8 51,2 73,1 68,7

….

Page 17: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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MACPI architecture

Page 18: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Qualitative

diagnostics

Quantitative

diagnistics

Policy

analysis

Page 19: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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MACPI indicators and methods

Indicators Desk

research

In-depth

interview

MACPI

online

MACPI general

population/

stakeholders

Corruption interest Х Х Х

Corruption pressure Х Х

Involvement in corruption Х

Corruption attitudes Х

Corruption reputation of sectors/

officials

Х

Implementability of AC policies Х

Implementation of AC policies Х

Estimated effectiveness of AC policies Х

Page 20: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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MACPI implementation cycle

Anticorruption policy analysis

Design and implementation of new/adjusted

policies

MACPI diagnоstic scan

MACPI benchmarking

scan

Page 21: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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MACPI pilot test

implementation results

Page 22: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Corruption pressure trend in time

(What we currently have)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Corruption pressure for the different activities in

Institution X

Activity 1

Activity 2

Activity N

NEW

anticorruption

policies

Page 23: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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MACPI: other possible usage

Types of comparisons:

� Current AC policies’ scores and the ideal values

� Corruption vulnerability for the different activities of the

organization

� Existing AC policies’ scores (and their components –

Implementability, Implementation, Effectiveness)

� Between similar institutions

� Between different groups – employees with and without

management functions, external experts, etc.

Page 24: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Bulgarian Border Police

Page 25: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Assessment of the corruption

vulnerability of the activities:

COMPARISON BETWEEN ACTIVITIES; COMPARISON WITH THE IDEAL VALUES

BULGARIAN BORDER POLICE

Page 26: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Corruption vulnerability of activities

Border Police Bulgaria, pilot MACPI assessment

ActivitiesCorruption

interestCorruption pressure

Border Police Bulgaria

Types of

corruption

possible

(0 - 100%)

Evasion

of

regulations

(0 - 100%)

Outside

pressure

(0 - 100%)

Susceptibility

to pressure

form above

(0 - 100%)

Susceptibility

to pressure

form outside

(0 - 100%)

Administrative and punitive 75 33 54 19 23

Border checkpoints 50 21 41 7 15

Green border security 75 27 33 9 10

Human resources 75 13 41 9 0

Information activities 25 25 33 19 17

Preventive investigation 50 27 52 10 14

Public procurement 75 30 55 28 21

Page 27: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Corruption vulnerability

16%

20%

21%

23%

26%

32%

33%

0% 20% 40%

Human resources

Green border security

Border checkpoints

Information activities

Preventive investigation

Administrative and punitive

Public procurement

Average corruption pressure for the different activities

Ideal

zone

Page 28: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Average

Pressure

Sp.

ACP

1

Sp.

ACP

2

Sp.

ACP

3

Sp.

ACP

4

Sp.

ACP

5

Gen.

ACP

6

Gen.

ACP

7

Gen.

ACP

8

Gen.

ACP

9

Gen.

ACP

10

Gen.

ACP

11

Gen.

ACP

12

Human resources 16% Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y

Public

procurement33% Y Y Y Y Y Y Y

Preventive

investigation26% Y Y Y Y Y Y Y

Green border

security20% Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y

Information

activities23% Y Y Y Y Y Y Y

Border

checkpoints 21% Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y

Administrative and

punitive32% Y Y Y Y Y Y Y

Corruption vulnerability:

Average corruption pressure and coverage with specific

and general anticorruption policies (ACP)

Page 29: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Assessment of the implementation of

anticorruption policiesCOMPARISON BETWEEN AC POLICIES; COMPARISON WITH THE IDEAL VALUES

BULGARIAN BORDER POLICE

Page 30: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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70%

83%

75%

77%

83%

78%

82%

79%

83%

85%

81%

86%

83%

90%

87%

84%

93%

91%

86%

85%

86%

89%

89%

90%

49%

56%

50%

45%

61%

52%

47%

49%

48%

52%

53%

63%

80%

71%

85%

88%

70%

82%

84%

88%

88%

88%

92%

91%

0% 100% 200% 300% 400%

Issuance of additional orders and instructions

Direct superiors have to read and sign asset

declarations

Interviews with passengers and illegal

immigrants

Measures for inspection and testing of job

applicants

Declarations of assets and incomes

Rotation

Information campaigns among staff

Anticorruption training of personnel

Information campaigns among the citizens

Unannounced visits

Video surveillance

Immediate reactions to each signal for corrupt

behaviour

Assessment of AC policies

Implementability

Implementation

(Formal compliance)

Implementation

(Real compliance)

Effectiveness

Ideal

zone

Page 31: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Assessment of AC policies in Border Police

Results and conclusions

Results:

� Control and sanctions have relatively low scores for all policies

� Asset declarations are the most implementable and most strictly

implemented AC policy but at the same time – the least effective

General Conclusions:

� Asset declarations could become more effective (improve scope and

control)

� A more detailed analysis by the organisation experts is needed

Page 32: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Comparison between Bulgarian and

Italian public organizations

Page 33: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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MACPI AC policy assessments in Bulgarian and

Italian public organizations

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Slatina

Municipality,

Bulgaria

Border Police,

Bulgaria

Municipality of

Riva del Garda,

Italy

Health Service of

Trento, Italy

Implementability of AC policies

Page 34: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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MACPI AC policy assessments in Bulgarian and

Italian public organizations

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Slatina

Municipality,

Bulgaria

Border Police,

Bulgaria

Municipality of

Riva del Garda,

Italy

Health Service of

Trento, Italy

Implementation of AC policies

Page 35: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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MACPI AC policy assessments in Bulgarian and

Italian public organizations

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

Slatina

Municipality,

Bulgaria

Border Police,

Bulgaria

Municipality of

Riva del Garda,

Italy

Health Service of

Trento, Italy

Estimated effectiveness of AC policies

Page 36: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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32%

17%

6%

14%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%

Slatina Municipality,

Bulgaria

Border Police,

Bulgaria

Municipality of Riva

del Garda, Italy

Health Service of

Trento, Italy

% employees who have been offered a bribe in the previous year

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Slatina Municipality,

Bulgaria

Border Police, Bulgaria Municipality of Riva

del Garda, Italy

Health Service of

Trento, Italy

Corruption Pressure for different activities

MACPI AC policy assessments in Bulgarian and

Italian public organizations

Page 37: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Institutional Patriotism

8,6%10,2%

24,4%

21,1%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Municipality of

Riva del Garda,

Italy

Health Service of

Trento, Italy

Slatina

Municipality,

Bulgaria

Border Police,

Bulgaria

Share of the “institutional patriots”

Page 38: Monitoring anticorruption policy implementation (MACPI) · Direct measurement of cases of corruption pressure and involvement in corruption (general population, Bulgaria) 28,7 23,4

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Thank you


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