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MOVING MANUFACTURING FROM OFFSHORE TO DOMESTIC · 2020. 10. 8. · redefining innovation.. www....

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REDEFINING INNOVATION. WORLD-CLASS PRODUCT DESIGN FROM CONCEPT….TO REALITY www.advautomations.com MOVING MANUFACTURING FROM OFFSHORE TO DOMESTIC PRESENTED TO THE 12,317 MANUFACTURING COMPANIES OF ILLINOIS ERRIN GNADINGER FOUNDER AND CTO ADVANCED AUTOMATIONS, LLC [email protected] WWW.ADVAUTOMATIONS.COM 502-365-1548 PRESENTED BY: PRESENTER BACKGROUND: 25 years of Product Engineering Design and Development for volume manufactured durable goods, electrical goods, devices, appliances, and world-first technologies. 60+ patents, designs in 90million+ homes, 30k+ commercial and manufacturing sites, and onboard Gulfstream and Falcon jet fleets. Founder and Chief Technology Officer of Advanced Automations, LLC. Specializing in world-class product design and technology for the manufacturing sector.
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Page 1: MOVING MANUFACTURING FROM OFFSHORE TO DOMESTIC · 2020. 10. 8. · redefining innovation.. www. advautomations. com. world-class product design from concept….to reality. moving

REDEFINING INNOVATION.

WORLD-CLASS PRODUCT DESIGN FROM CONCEPT….TO REALITYwww.advautomations.com

MOVING MANUFACTURING FROM OFFSHORE TO DOMESTICPRESENTED TO THE 12,317 MANUFACTURING COMPANIES OF ILLINOIS

ERRIN GNADINGERFOUNDER AND CTOADVANCED AUTOMATIONS, LLC [email protected]

502-365-1548

PRESENTED BY:

PRESENTER BACKGROUND: 25 years of Product Engineering Design and Development for volume manufactured durable goods, electrical goods, devices, appliances, and world-first technologies. 60+ patents, designs in 90million+ homes, 30k+ commercial and manufacturing sites, and onboard Gulfstream and Falcon jet fleets. Founder and Chief Technology Officer of Advanced Automations, LLC. Specializing in world-class product design and technology for the manufacturing sector.

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CURRENT STATE OF ILLINOIS MANUFACTURING INDUSTRYa. 12,317 MANUFACTURING COMPANIESb. MANUFACTURING ACCOUNTS FOR

12.54% OF ILLINOIS’ TOTAL OUTPUTc. TOTAL ILLINOIS MANUFACTURING

OUTPUT IS $108.43 BILLIONd. MANUFACTURING EMPLOYS 9.61% OF

ILLINOIS’ WORKFORCEe. 592,000 EMPLOYEES (9.68% OF NON-

FARM EMPLOYMENT)f. AVERAGE ANNUAL MANUFACTURING

EMPLOYEE COMPENSATION $89,853g. ILLINOIS RANKED IN TOP 5 STATES BY

MANUFACTURING OUTPUT

Sources: National Association of Manufacturers, Statista, various Courtesy of National Association of Manufacturers. 2014 Data

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CURRENT STATE OF GLOBAL MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY

Nearly $4 trillion

Source: Statista, United Nations Statistics Division, Consumer Reports

MADE IN USA?1. RECENT SURVEY OF 200 EXECUTIVES (BY BOSTON

CONSULTING GROUP) FOUND 21% WERE CURRENTLY ON-SHORING PRODUCTION OPERATIONS TO THE US.(AN ADDITIONAL 33% SAID THEY WERE CONSIDERING SUCH ACTION).

2. AT FACE VALUE, GOODS PRODUCED IN CHINA ARE 5%CHEAPER THAN IN THE US.

3. CHINESE LABOR COSTS ARE RISIING 15%-20% ANNUALLY, COMPARED WITH 1.6% IN THE US

4. NEARLY 78% OF AMERICAN CONSUMERS WOULD RATHERBUY A US-MADE PRODUCT THAN IMPORTED. 60% ARE WILLING TO PAY 10% MORE RETAIL.

5. VERY LOW TOOLING COSTS IN CHINA/INDIA, ROUGHLY 35%6. MOST CHINESE/INDIAN MOLDS ARE NOT TRANSFERRABLE TO

US STANDARD OR EUROPEAN STANDARD MOLDING PRESSES7. OF TOTAL PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT COSTS, CUSTOM

TOOLING AND EQUIPMENT TYPICALLY ACCOUNT FOR 60-70% OF TOTAL PROJECT COST

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www.advautomations.comPROCESS BACKGROUND: -CONCEPT TO MANUFACTURING

Technical Feasibility

(Engineering)

Market Viability(Marketing)

Cost Feasibility(Finance)

Product or Technology

Concept

Technical Feasibility

(Engineering)

Market Viability(Marketing)

Cost Feasibility(Finance)

Prototype Iterations

Prototype Confirmation –Feasibility

PRODUCT/DESIGN FEASIBILITY (SIMPLISTIC)

Technical Feasibility / Profit MarginTooling Costs / Assembly Labor

Annual Production VolumeOverhead / Shipping Costs

Regulatory / Agency Approvals

Technical Feasibility / Profit MarginTooling Costs / Assembly Labor

Annual Production VolumeOverhead / Shipping Costs

Regulatory / Agency Approvals

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PROCESS BACKGROUND: -CONCEPT TO MANUFACTURING

Product Engineering

Design

Marketing

Finance

Manufacturing

Prototype Confirmation –Feasibility

DETAILED ENGINEERING (SIMPLISTIC)

Technical Feasibility / Profit MarginTooling Costs / Assembly Labor

Annual Production VolumeOverhead / Shipping Costs

Regulatory / Agency Approvals

Engineering Analysis

CAD Design

Material Specifications

Component Specifications

Performance Testing

Product Specification

Assembly Design

Intellectual Property

Aesthetics

User Interface / User Experience

Simplistic Engineering Development3 – 24 months

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PROCESS BACKGROUND: -CONCEPT TO MANUFACTURING

Product Engineering

Marketing

Finance

ManufacturingEngineering

Prototype Confirmation –Feasibility

TRANITION TO PRODUCTION (SIMPLISTIC)

Technical Feasibility / Profit MarginTooling Costs / Assembly Labor

Annual Production VolumeOverhead / Shipping Costs

Regulatory / Agency Approvals

Component Tooling (Molds, Dies, Custom

Equipment)

Assembly Stations, Process Layout

Final Suppliers

Quality Control Plans, Equipment,

Specifications

Final Regulatory Approvals

Final Product Specification

Final Production-Grade Prototypes

Material Logistics / Supply Chain

Final Engineering Adjustments

Labor / Staffing / Training Prep

Simplistic Engineering Development6 – 20 months

PILOT PRODUCTION

LAUNCH

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ONSHORING TO THE US

Source: Statista, United Nations Statistics Division, Consumer Reports

CAN I SIMPLY MOVE THE OPERATION TO THE US?1. YES, BUT WITH MANY CONSIDERATIONS TO ADDRESS

i. Cannot usually transfer and use existing molds and diesii. Most Chinese molds and dies are fabricated with S50C steel to non-US and non-Euro press standards.

a. S50C steel is considered, by any manufacturing standards in the US or Europe, sub-standard. It has a (Rockwell) hardness range of 7-20.

b. Minimum standard US molds and dies use hardened P20 tool steel, fabricated to fit US and most European presses. P20 tool Steel has a hardness range of 36-42.

c. Lower hardness alloys quicker mold and die fabrication, but also means the life of the mold (against critical failure) is much lower.

iii. Chinese products are DESIGNED TO USE VERY HIGH LABOR – Many manual fasteners, manual operationsSimply replicating most Chinese product designs in the US would require an un-realistically large labor force

iv. Ergonomic standards, labor laws, labor litigation and work practice claims and laws are completely different between China and the US, or China and EU.

BIGGEST DIRECT COST FACTORS

Redesign (Engineering)

Retooling(molds, dies, automation)

Regulatory Re-Certifications

(UL, NSF, IEC, CSA)

New or Reconfigured Assembly and QC

Operations

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ONSHORING TO THE US

Source: Statista, United Nations Statistics Division, Consumer Reports

CAN I SIMPLY MOVE THE OPERATION TO THE US? (cont’d)YES, BUT WITH MANY CONSIDERATIONS TO ADDRESS

CRITICAL ENGINEERING EFFORT

Product Chassis, Structure

Fastening Design, Methods

Extensive Material Changes to meet: Regulatory

Certifications / Reliability Standards / Ready Availability

Electrical and Mechanical Safety Systems Redesign

SoftwareElectronics / Wiring

Design / Connectors / EMI Shielding

Tooling / Automation Design

WHAT DOES ALL THIS COST? HOW LONG?TYPICAL EXAMPLES:

PRODUCT ANNUAL PRODUCTION VOLUME

TOTAL COST (INCLUDING EFFORT)

LEAD TIME TO US PRODUCTION START

CHANGE IN WARRANTY CLAIMS, LITIGATION, NET PROMOTER SCORE

CHANGE IN PROFIT MARGIN (MATERIAL, LABOR, SHIPPING, TAXES, BRAND)

Major Home Appliance (White Good) HIGH (100k+) $50Mil - $100 Mil 36 months 20-35% Benefit 10-15% Benefit

Minor Electrical Durable Good LOW (less than 10k) $100k - $250k 12-18 months 10-20% Benefit Neutral

Low-Tech / No-Tech Durable Good HIGH (100k+) $75k - $150k 8 – 12 months 0 – 10% Benefit 5 – 15% Detriment

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ONSHORING TO THE US

Source: Statista, United Nations Statistics Division, Consumer Reports

WHY SO MANY MENTIONS ABOUT TOOLING? WHAT’S THE DEAL?

Any part or component produced in volume, and produced in a fashion that is highly repeatable and consistent, requires custom tooling to produce. The custom tooling is assembled into a mechanized press or other automated equipment to produce parts inmass volume with only minimal human supervision.

Tooling for plastics are typically referred to as “molds”.Tooling for metals (brackets, wire-forms, metal shapes) are typically referred to as “dies” (with exception to castings).

In nearly ALL cases, the custom tooling needed for any part or component is carefully fabricated, and is often precision fabricated to within 0.0005 inch (5 ten-thousandths of an inch). The specific tool is designed very specifically to work for a very specific grade of material, I.e. plastic resin or particular grade of metal. Any deviation from that very specific material will usually result in very bad things, including a catastrophic tool crash (resulting in a total and complete loss of the tool,…unsalvageable).

Prototypes and Engineering development: 3D printing, CNC ,machining, temporary urethane molds, etc,, VERY HIGH part costProduction: Hardened precision tooling and presses (and/or automation): Mold, dies, etc., VERY LOW part cost

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ONSHORING TO THE US

Source: Statista, United Nations Statistics Division, Consumer Reports

WHY SO MANY MENTIONS ABOUT TOOLING? WHAT’S THE DEAL?

ERRIN’S ‘SEESAW’ LAW OF TOOLING AND PART COST.

THIS IS A UNIVERSAL LAW OF TECHNOLOGY AND

ECONOMICS. Investment Cost and Time

Part Cost

Page 11: MOVING MANUFACTURING FROM OFFSHORE TO DOMESTIC · 2020. 10. 8. · redefining innovation.. www. advautomations. com. world-class product design from concept….to reality. moving

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ONSHORING TO THE US

Source: Statista, United Nations Statistics Division, Consumer Reports

WHY SO MANY MENTIONS ABOUT TOOLING? WHAT’S THE DEAL?

Real World Scenario: A molded plastic dishwasher tub

Investment Cost and Time: $0, Rapid Prototyping Technologies

Part Cost$5,000-$7,000 Initial Prototypes

Investment Cost and Time:$3.75million, 15 months

Part Cost$4.50 -$5.75 each

Production Parts

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ONSHORING TO THE US

Source: Statista, United Nations Statistics Division, Consumer Reports

HOW DOES TOOLING REALLY WORK? WHAT ARE WE TALKING ABOUT?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b1U9W4iNDiQ

$40,000 Prototype

$4,000 Production Machine

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BOTTOM LINE

TECHNOLOGY AND COMPLEXITYLOW MID HIGH

LOW

MID

HIGH

PRO

DUCT

ION

VOLU

ME


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