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Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

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Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments. If Main Effects are significant AND Interactions are NOT significant: Use multiple comparisons on factor main effects (factor means). If Interactions ARE significant: 1)Multiple comparisons on main effect level means - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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22- 22-1 Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments If Main Effects are significant AND Interactions are NOT significant: Use multiple comparisons on factor main effects (factor means). If Interactions ARE significant: 1) Multiple comparisons on main effect level means should NOT be done as they are meaningless. 2) Should instead perform multiple comparisons among
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Page 1: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

22-22-11

Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

If Main Effects are significant AND Interactions are NOT significant:Use multiple comparisons on factor main effects (factor means).

If Interactions ARE significant:1) Multiple comparisons on main effect level means

should NOT be done as they are meaningless.2) Should instead perform multiple comparisons among

all factorial means of interest.

Page 2: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

In addition, interactions must be decomposed to determine what they mean

A significant interaction between two variables means that one factor value changes as a function of the other, but gives no specific information

The most simple and common method of interpreting interactions is to look at a graph

Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Page 3: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Problems in factorial experiment

1. In some two-factor experiments the level of one factor, say B, is not really similar with the other factor.

2. There are multifactor experiments that address common economic and practical constraints encountered in experimentation with real systems.

3. There is no link from any sites on one area to any sites on another area.

Nested and Split-plot design

Page 4: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Cross and nested The levels of factor A are said to be crossed

with the level of factor B if every level of A occurs in combinations with every level of B

Factorials design The levels of factor B are said to be nested

within the level of factor A if the levels of B can be divided into subsets (nests) such that every level in any given subset occurs with exactly one level of A

Nested design

Page 5: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Fertilizers can be applied to individual fields;Insecticides must be applied to an entire farm

from an airplane

Agricultural Field Trial Investigate the yield of a new variety of crop Factors

• Insecticides• Fertilizers

Experimental Units• Farms• Fields within farms

Experimental Design ?

Page 6: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Agricultural Field Trial

Insecticides applied to farms One-factor ANOVA

Main effect: Insecticides MSE: Farm-to-farm

variability

Farms

Page 7: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Agricultural Field Trial Fertilizers

applied to fields

One-factor ANOVAMain Effect:

FertilizersMSE: Field-to-

field variability

Fields

Page 8: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Agricultural Field Trial

Insecticides applied to farms, fertilizers to fields

Two sources of variability Insecticides subject to

farm-to-farm variability Fertilizers and

insecticides x fertilizers subject to field-to-field variability

Farms

Fields

Page 9: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Nested DesignFactorial design when the levels of one factor (B) are similar, but not identical to each other

at different levels of another factor (A).

a1

b1

b2

a2

b3

b4

Page 10: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Nested Design

Page 11: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Nested Design A factor B is considered nested in

another factor, A if the levels of factor B differ for different levels of factor A.

The levels of B are different for The levels of B are different for different levels of A.different levels of A.

Synonyms indicating nesting:Hierarchical, depends on, different for,

within, in, each

Page 12: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Examples - Nested

Page 13: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Examples - Nested

Page 14: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Examples - Crossed5-1 The yield of a chemical process is being studied. The two most important variables are thought to be the pressure and the temperature. Three levels of each factor are selected, and a factorial experiment with two replicates is performed. The yield data follow:

Pressure Temperature 200 215 230

150 90.4 90.7 90.2 90.2 90.6 90.4

160 90.1 90.5 89.9 90.3 90.6 90.1

170 90.5 90.8 90.4 90.7 90.9 90.1

Page 15: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Examples - Crossed5-2 An engineer suspects that the surface finish of a metal part is influenced by the feed rate and the depth of cut. She selects three feed rates and four depths of cut. She then conducts a factorial experiment and obtains the following data:

Depth of Cut (in) Feed Rate (in/min) 0.15 0.18 0.20 0.25

74 79 82 99 0.20 64 68 88 104

60 73 92 96 92 98 99 104

0.25 86 104 108 110 88 88 95 99 99 104 108 114

0.30 98 99 110 111 102 95 99 107

Page 16: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Examples - Nested

Page 17: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Two-Stage Nested DesignStatistical Model and ANOVA

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Page 18: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Two-Stage Nested DesignStatistical Model and ANOVA

Page 19: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Residual AnalysisResidual Analysis Calculation of residuals.Calculation of residuals.

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Page 20: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

mm-Stage Nested Design-Stage Nested Design

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Page 21: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

m-Stage Nested DesignTest statistics depend on the type of Test statistics depend on the type of

factors and the expected mean squares.factors and the expected mean squares.• Random.Random.

• Fixed.Fixed.

Page 22: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Expected Mean SquaresExpected Mean SquaresAssume that fixtures and layouts are fixed,

operators are random – gives a mixed model (use restricted form).

Page 23: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Alternative Analysis If the need detailed analysis is not available, start with multi-factor

ANOVA and then combine sum of squares and degrees of freedom. Applicable to experiments with only nested factors as well as

experiments with crossed and nested factors.Sum of squares from interactions are combined with the sum of squares for a

nested factor – no interaction can be determined from the nested factor.

Page 24: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Alternative Analysis

Page 25: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Split-Plot Design

Factorial experiment can have either of these features:Two hierarchically nested factors, with additional crossed factors occurring within levels of the nested factorTwo sizes of experimental units, one nested within the other, with crossed factors applied to the smaller units

In a single factor experiment has different features, such as:1.Multi-locations2.Repeated measurements

Further phenomena in Experimental Design

Page 26: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Split-plot DesignThere are numerous types of split-plot designs, including the Latin square split plot design, in which the assignment of the main treatments to the main plots is based on a Latin square design.A split-plot design can be conceptualized as consisting of two designs: a main plot design and a subplot design.The main plot design is the protocol used to assign the main treatment to the main units. In a completely randomized split-plot design, the main plot design is a completely randomized design, in a randomized complete block design, by contrast, the main plot design is a RCBD.The subplot design in a split-plot experiment is a collection of a RCBD, where a is the number of main treatment. Each of these RCBDs has b treatments arranged in r blocks (main plots), where b is the number of sub treatment.

Page 27: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Split-Plot Design

Whole-Plot Experiment : Whole-Plot Factor = A

Level a1 Level a2 Level a2 Level a1

Page 28: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Split Plot DesignsAnalysis of Variance Table

Source dfWhole-Plot Analysis

Factor A a-1Whole-Plot Error a(r-1)

Page 29: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Split-Plot DesignSplit-Plot Design

Split-Plot Experiment : Split-Plot Factor = B

Level a1

Level a2 Level a2 Level a1

b2

b1

b2

b1

b1

b1

b2

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Page 30: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Split Plot DesignsSplit Plot DesignsAnalysis of Variance TableAnalysis of Variance Table

Source dfWhole-Plot Analysis

Factor A a-1Whole-Plot Error a(r-1)

Split-Plot AnalysisFactor B b-1A x B (a-1)(b-1)Split-Plot Error a(b-1)(r-1)Total abr-1

Page 31: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Agricultural Field Trial

Page 32: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Agricultural Field TrialAgricultural Field TrialInsecticide 2 Insecticide 2

Insecticide 2

Insecticide 1 Insecticide 1

Insecticide 1

Page 33: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Agricultural Field TrialAgricultural Field Trial

Fert B Fert AFert A

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Insecticide 2 Insecticide 2

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Page 34: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Agricultural Field TrialAgricultural Field Trial

Whole Plots = Farms

Split Plots = Fields

Large Experimental Units

Small Experimental Units

Page 35: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Agricultural Field TrialAgricultural Field Trial

Whole Plots = Farms

Split Plots = Fields

Large Experimental Units

Small Experimental Units

Whole-Plot Factor = InsecticideWhole-Plot Error = Whole-Plot Replicates

Split-Plot Factor = FertilizerSplit-Plot Error = Split-Plot Replicates

Page 36: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

The Split-Plot Designa multifactor experiment where it is

not practical to completely randomize the order of the runs.

Example – paper manufacturing• Three pulp preparation methods.• Four different temperatures.• The experimenters want to use three

replicates.• How many batches of pulp are

required?

Page 37: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

The Split-Plot Design Pulp preparation method is a hard-to-

change factor. Consider an alternate experimental design:

• In replicate 1, select a pulp preparation method, prepare a batch.

• Divide the batch into four sections or samples, and assign one of the temperature levels to each.

• Repeat for each pulp preparation method.• Conduct replicates 2 and 3 similarly.

Page 38: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

The Split-Plot Design Each replicate has been divided into three

parts, called the whole plots.• Pulp preparation methods is the whole plot

treatment. Each whole plot has been divided into four

subplots or split-plots.• Temperature is the subplot treatment.

Generally, the hard-to-change factor is assigned to the whole plots.

This design requires 9 batches of pulp (assuming three replicates).

Page 39: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

The Split-Plot Design

Tensile StrengthRep (Day) 1 Rep (Day) 2 Rep (Day) 3

Pulp Prep Method 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3Temperature

200 30 34 29 28 31 31 31 35 32225 35 41 26 32 36 30 37 40 34250 37 38 33 40 42 32 41 39 39275 36 42 36 41 40 40 40 44 45

Page 40: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

The Split-Plot DesignThere are two levels of randomization

restriction.• Two levels of experimentation

Tensile StrengthRep (Day) 1 Rep (Day) 2 Rep (Day) 3

Pulp Prep Method 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3Temperature

200 30 34 29 28 31 31 31 35 32225 35 41 26 32 36 30 37 40 34250 37 38 33 40 42 32 41 39 39275 36 42 36 41 40 40 40 44 45

Page 41: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Experimental Units in Split Plot Designs

Possibilities for executing the example split plot design.• Run separate replicates. Each pulp prep method

(randomly selected) is tested at four temperatures (randomly selected).

Large experimental unit is four pulp samples. Smaller experimental unit is a an individual sample.

• If temperature is hard to vary select a temperature at random and then run (in random order) tests with the three pulp preparation methods.

Large experimental unit is three pulp samples. Smaller experimental unit is a an individual sample.Tensile Strength

Rep (Day) 1 Rep (Day) 2 Rep (Day) 3Pulp Prep Method 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3

Temperature200 30 34 29 28 31 31 31 35 32225 35 41 26 32 36 30 37 40 34250 37 38 33 40 42 32 41 39 39275 36 42 36 41 40 40 40 44 45

Page 42: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

The Split-Plot Design Another way to view a split-plot Another way to view a split-plot

design is a RCBD with replication.design is a RCBD with replication.• Inferences on the blocking factor can be Inferences on the blocking factor can be

made with data from replications.made with data from replications.

Page 43: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

The Split-Plot Design Model The Split-Plot Design Model and Statistical Analysisand Statistical Analysis

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Page 44: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

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Page 45: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

The Split-Plot Design Model and The Split-Plot Design Model and Statistical AnalysisStatistical Analysis

There are two error structures; the whole-plot error and the subplot error

Page 46: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Split-Plot Design

Whole-Plot Experiment : Whole-Plot Factor = A

Level a1 Level a2 Level a2 Level a1

Page 47: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Split-Plot DesignSplit-Plot Design

Split-Plot Experiment : Split-Plot Factor = B

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Level a2 Level a2 Level a1

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Page 48: Multiple Comparisons in Factorial Experiments

Split-Plot DesignSplit-Plot Design

Split-Plot Experiment : Split-Plot Factor = B

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