Myanmar & Teak
• No 1 in natural teak
forests (50%)
• No 1 producer of teak
logs (25%)
• No 3 in planted teak
area (ca. 400,000 ha)
Global Teak Trade in the Aftermath of
Myanmar’s Log Export Ban
3rd World Teak Conference 2015, Guayaquil, EcuadorWalter Kollert, FAO & Przemyslaw J. Walotek , WaKa Serviços de
Investimentos Florestais
• Official statistics of national customs
departments
• HS code
440349 other tropical roundwood
440729 other tropical sawnwood
• Teak export data from Myanmar not
available. Myanmar exports have to be
assessed from imports of major teak
importing countries
Methodology
China 10%
India 74%
Thailand 16%
Global teak imports (avg. 2005-2014)1.07 million m3/yr, 487 million USD/yr
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
China India Thailand
Share of imports from Myanmar
455,000 m3 (43%)
81%
25%
99%
Colombia
Panama
Laos
Costa Rica
Taiwan
Myanmar
1.111
1.625
3.638
3.770
3.896
84.580
China (m3/yr) from 6 major countries (>1000 m3/yr)
India (m3/yr)from 10 major countries (> 20,000 m3/yr)
Nigeria
Togo
Panama
Benin
Malaysia
Costa Rica
Ivory Coast
Ecuador
Ghana
Myanmar
21.259
25.039
36.451
38.436
40.169
68.158
75.037
80.178
98.997
200.169
Teak imports to ...(avg. 2005-2014)
Roundwood imports by major countriesTrend 2000-2014
m3
0
200.000
400.000
600.000
800.000
1.000.000
1.200.000
1.400.000
Total
India
ChinaThailand
557,000 m3
1.236 million m3
Imports by China and India from Africa
and Latin America, 2000-2014
Africa
Latin America
Asia (w/o Myanmar)
0
50.000
100.000
150.000
200.000
250.000
300.000
350.000m
3
Emerging roundwood traders
Africa (2000-2014) Latin America (2000-2014)
Ghana
Ivory Coast
Benin
Togo
0
20.000
40.000
60.000
80.000
100.000
120.000
140.000
160.000
180.000
m3
0
20.000
40.000
60.000
80.000
100.000
120.000
140.000
160.000
180.000
m3
Ecuador
Costa Rica
Panama
Colombia
Unit price of China imports 2005-2014
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1.000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
US
D/m
3
Myanmar
Myanmar trendline +4.1%/yr
AfricaLat Am
Africa, Asia, Lat Am trendline +3.1%
Asia
Unit price of India imports 2005-2014
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
US
D/m
3
Myanmar trendline +3.7%/yr
Myanmar
Africa
Lat Am
Africa, Asia, Lat Am trendline +4.5%/yr
Asia
China imports Jan 2012 to Dec 2014, by months
Volume Unit price MyanmarLaos
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
50000
Jan12
Apr1
2
Jul1
2
Oct1
2
Jan13
Apr1
3
Ju
l13
Oct1
3
Ja
n1
4
Apr1
4
Jul1
4
Oct1
4
m3
Log export
ban
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Jan12
Apr1
2
Jul1
2
Oct1
2
Jan13
Apr1
3
Jul1
3
Oct1
3
Ja
n1
4
Apr1
4
Jul1
4
Oct1
4
US
D/m
3
Log export
ban
India imports from Africa Jan 2012 to Oct 2014, by months
Volume Unit priceGhana BeninIvory Coast
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
Jan12
Apr1
2
Jul1
2
Oct1
2
Jan13
Apr1
3
Jul1
3
Oct1
3
Jan14
Apr1
4
Ju
l14
Oct1
4
m3
Log export
ban
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Jan12
Ap
r12
Ju
l12
Oct1
2
Ja
n1
3
Ap
r13
Ju
l13
Oct1
3
Jan14
Apr1
4
Jul1
4
Oct1
4
US
D/m
3
Log export
ban
Togo
India imports from Latin America Jan 2012 to Dec 2014, by months
Volume Unit price Ecuador Colombia
Costa Rica
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
Jan
12
Apr1
2
Jul1
2
Oct1
2
Jan
13
Apr1
3
Ju
l13
Oct1
3
Ja
n1
4
Apr1
4
Jul1
4
Oct1
4
m3
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Ja
n1
2
Ap
r12
Ju
l12
Oct1
2
Ja
n1
3
Ap
r13
Ju
l13
Oct1
3
Ja
n1
4
Ap
r14
Ju
l14
Oct1
4
US
D/m
3
Log export
ban
Log export
ban
Summary & Conclusions (1)
1. National customs data on teak imports according
to HS (Harmonized System)
2. Myanmar is a teak heavyweight - impact of log
export ban ?
3. Global trade in teak roundwood > 1 million m3/yr;
dominated by India, China and Thailand
4. Trade volume more than doubled since 2000,
trade value more than quadrupled
5. Emerging teak roundwood exporters:
Africa: Ghana, Ivory Coast, Benin, Togo, Nigeria
Lat Am: Ecuador, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia
6. Rise in prices: 3% to 4.5 % per year on average
since 2005
7. Future belongs to teak plantations
8. Log export ban: different impact on imports into
China and India
Summary & Conclusions (2)