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Date June 2020 | Author NAB Group Economics © National Australia Bank Limited ABN 12 004 044 937 AFSL and Australian Credit Licence 230686 1 NAB ECONOMICS DATA INSIGHTS IMPACTS OF CORONAVIRUS ON CONSUMPTION BASED SPENDING AND BUSINESS PAYMENT INFLOWS During these extraordinary times we have taken the decision to publish aggregated customer data categorised by industry segment with the view to helping provide clarity around which segments of the economy have been most affected by the broader macroeconomic trends at play. NAB takes data privacy very seriously. All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process. The data used in this report will not be sold or made publicly available, but insights from the data will be shared with the Australian people. The trend improvement in consumption-based spending remains positive, but NAB’s latest data read suggests it may be levelling off and even slowing a little. The rate of growth in payment inflows (which we are now monitoring in 4-week moving average terms) also continues to slow but is still mildly positive. The overall trend in consumption spending remains positive, but NAB’s latest data read suggests it is levelling off and slowing. Spending over the week ending June 6 was just 0.2% higher in 4-week moving average terms (1.6% in the previous week). Spending is however now down just 4.1% over the same time last year and 2.8% since the start of the year (-7.1% and -4.5% respectively in the week to May 23). A flattening trend is also apparent in most states, except the NT and VIC where spending continued to lift in the past week. Spending growth is however still higher than at the start of 2020 in all states bar ACT. By industry, spending on Admin & Support Services is still some 82% lower over the year to date. But we are seeing more encouraging signs in Hospitality, albeit growth is still very weak. Construction is the clear out- (up 33.3% since the start of the year, and 12.5% since the same time last year). Retail spend is also around 12% higher since the start of 2020 and over the same time last year. Consumer spending growth over the year was positive in just 16 of 45 industry sub-sectors - led Gambling (62.7%) and Internet Publishing & Broadcasting (41.6%). Spending fell most for Motion Picture & Sound Recording (-96.6%), Admin Services (-85.3%), Rail (-82.7%) and Air & Space (-81.9%) Transport. Our new 4-week moving average measure shows payment inflows into NAB merchants were up 3.7% in the week ending in June 6, but has slowed quite rapidly in recent weeks. Inflows into Corporates have continued to slow, with inflows falling across all other businesses. By industry, Hospitality is still clearly struggling the most (down 39.6%), but the pace of decline continues easing. Other services (34.3%) were strongest, with solid growth also seen in Mining (20.2%), Construction (17.1%), Wholesale Trade (16.9%) and Manufacturing (15.5%). 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 25-Jan-20 1-Feb-20 8-Feb-20 15-Feb-20 22-Feb-20 29-Feb-20 7-Mar-20 14-Mar-20 21-Mar-20 28-Mar-20 4-Apr-20 11-Apr-20 18-Apr-20 25-Apr-20 2-May-20 9-May-20 16-May-20 23-May-20 30-May-20 6-Jun-20 Week Ending SPEND DATA: 4 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE Overall Retail Hospitality Overall (2019) Retail (2019) Hospitality(2019) 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 25-Jan-20 1-Feb-20 8-Feb-20 15-Feb-20 22-Feb-20 29-Feb-20 7-Mar-20 14-Mar-20 21-Mar-20 28-Mar-20 4-Apr-20 11-Apr-20 18-Apr-20 25-Apr-20 2-May-20 9-May-20 16-May-20 23-May-20 30-May-20 6-Jun-20 Week Ending SPEND DATA BY STATE - 4 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE 2020 ACT NSW NT QLD SA TAS VIC WA NAB Group Economics June 2020 Embargoed until 11.30 am AEST, Thursday 11 June 2020
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Page 1: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

Date June 2020 | Author NAB Group Economics © National Australia Bank Limited ABN 12 004 044 937 AFSL and Australian Credit Licence 230686 1

NAB ECONOMICS DATA INSIGHTS IMPACTS OF CORONAVIRUS ON CONSUMPTION BASED SPENDING AND BUSINESS PAYMENT INFLOWS

During these extraordinary times we have taken the decision to publish aggregated customer data categorised by industry segment with the view to helping provide clarity around which segments of the economy have been most affected by the broader macroeconomic trends at play. NAB takes data privacy very seriously. All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process. The data used in this report will not be sold or made publicly available, but insights from the data will be shared with the Australian people.

The trend improvement in consumption-based spending remains positive, but NAB’s latest data read suggests it may be levelling off and even slowing a little. The rate of growth in payment inflows (which we are now monitoring in 4-week moving average terms) also continues to slow but is still mildly positive.

The overall trend in consumption spending remains positive, but NAB’s latest data read suggests it is levelling off and slowing. Spending over the week ending June 6 was just 0.2% higher in 4-week moving average terms (1.6% in the previous week). Spending is however now down just 4.1% over the same time last year and 2.8% since the start of the year (-7.1% and -4.5% respectively in the week to May 23).

A flattening trend is also apparent in most states, except the NT and VIC where spending continued to lift in the past week. Spending growth is however still higher than at the start of 2020 in all states bar ACT.

By industry, spending on Admin & Support Services is still some 82% lower over the year to date. But we are seeing more encouraging signs in Hospitality, albeit growth is still very weak. Construction is the clear out- (up 33.3% since the start of the year, and 12.5% since the same time last year). Retail spend is also around 12% higher since the start of 2020 and over the same time last year.

Consumer spending growth over the year was positive in just 16 of 45 industry sub-sectors - led Gambling (62.7%) and Internet Publishing & Broadcasting (41.6%). Spending fell most for Motion Picture & Sound Recording (-96.6%), Admin Services (-85.3%), Rail (-82.7%) and Air & Space (-81.9%) Transport.

Our new 4-week moving average measure shows payment inflows into NAB merchants were up 3.7% in the week ending in June 6, but has slowed quite rapidly in recent weeks. Inflows into Corporates have continued to slow, with inflows falling across all other businesses. By industry, Hospitality is still clearly struggling the most (down 39.6%), but the pace of decline continues easing. Other services (34.3%) were strongest, with solid growth also seen in Mining (20.2%), Construction (17.1%), Wholesale Trade (16.9%) and Manufacturing (15.5%).

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SPEND DATA: 4 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE

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SPEND DATA BY STATE - 4 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE 2020

ACT NSW NT QLD SA TAS VIC WA

NAB Group Economics

June 2020

Embargoed until 11.30 am AEST, Thursday 11 June 2020

Page 2: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

2

HIGHLIGHTS Consumption Spending:

• Overall consumption spending growth slowed to 0.2% in 4-week moving average terms over the week ending June (1.6% in the previous week) suggesting the spending recovery is levelling out and maybe weakening a touch. That said, overall, spending is now down just 2.8% since the start of the year (from -4.5% two weeks ago), and 4.1% lower than at the same time last year (-7.1% lower two weeks ago).

• The NT (1.0%) and VIC (0.6%) led the way for spending growth over the previous week, with spending flat or falling in all other states or territories. Compared to the same time last year, however spending growth was positive in most states, led by the NT (8.0%). The ACT (-4.5%) and TAS (-1.0%) were the exceptions. Since the beginning of the year, spending is higher in all states bar the ACT (-2.2%), and highest in the NT (6.2%), SA (5.4%) and NSW (5.4%).

• Only 5 sectors are enjoying higher spending levels since the start of 2020, led by Professional, Scientific & Technical Services (46.7%) and Construction (33.3%). Both sectors are also reporting respectable levels of growth relative to the same time last year at 12.9% and 12.5% respectively. Retail spending is also up around 12% over these timeframes. Spending on Admin & Support Services remains dire - down 82% since the start of 2020. Transport, Postal & Warehousing (-42.9%) and Hospitality (41.5%) also well down since the start of the year, although the pace of decline has slowed.

• By industry sub-division, spending is higher in just 16 of 45 sectors when compared to the same period last year - led by Gambling (62.7%), Internet Publishing & Broadcasting (41.6%), Building, Cleaning, Pest Control & Other Services (28.8%), Motor Vehicles & Parts Retailing (25.6%) and Construction Services (24.4%).

• But 13 sectors are still reporting falls above 50%, ranging from -96.6% for Motion Picture & Sound Recording Activities to 51.3% for Road Transport.

Payment Inflows:

• Overall payment inflows into NAB merchants grew just 3.7% in 4-week moving average terms over the week ending June 6. Payment inflows continue falling most heavily in the Accommodation & Food Sector (-39.6%), particularly Accommodation. We are also seeing a noticeable uplift in inflows in recent weeks in Other Services (34.3%) and Mining (20.2%), and continued strong inflows into Construction (17.1%), Wholesale Trade (16.9%) and Manufacturing (15.5%).

• Inflows fell across all sizes of business, except Corporates, although the rate of growth into Corporates continues to slow rapidly - now at single digits (9.8%) for the first time since early-February. Inflows have fell most for small firms (-5.8%).

• A deeper look at the Hospitality sector reveals the upturn in payment inflows in Cafes, Restaurants & Takeaway is gathering speed as restrictions start to ease (now down -17.9% or around half that 2 weeks earlier). Accommodation providers are however still struggling with inflows down around half from the same time last year (46.0%) and flat-lining.

• In the Retail sector, inflows are growing in more industry groups (8) than falling (5). Inflows into Department Stores were very strong at 52.5%. Supermarkets & Grocery Stores (-25.0%) are now experiencing the heaviest falls.

• Payment inflows over the 4 weeks ending June 6 increased in 38 of 66 sub-industries, with the biggest gains in Non-Metallic Mineral Product Manufacturing (95.8%), Exploration & Other Mining Support Services (88.9%) and Pulp, Paper & Converted Paper Product Manufacturing (56.4%). They fell in 28 sub-industries, with the heaviest falls in Heritage Activities (-86.4%), Private Households Employing Staff & Undifferentiated Goods & Services Activities (-77.1%), Air & Space Transport (-56.7%) and Accommodation (-46.0%).

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PAYMENT INFLOWS INTO NAB MERCHANTS(4-week moving average, % change over same period last year)

Accommodation & Food Serv. Admin. & Support Serv. Agriculture, Forestry & FishingArts & Recreation Serv. Construction Education & TrainingHealthcare & Social Assist. Total

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PAYMENT INFLOWS INTO NAB MERCHANTS(4-week moving average, % change over same period last year)

Manufacturing Mining Other Serv.Prof., Scientific & Tech. Serv. Retail Trade Transport, Postal & W/housingWholesale Trade Total

Page 3: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

3

NAB CONSUMPTION-BASED SPENDING* BY INDUSTRY SECTOR & SELECTED INDUSTRIES

(4 weeks ending 6 June 2020)

% change since same time last

year**

% change since the start of

year**

% change since previous week**

Accommodation & Food Services -35.9% -41.5% 5.6%

Administrative & Support Services (incl. Travel Agents) -82.7% -82.3% 14.9%

Arts & Recreation Services -10.7% -17.5% -1.2%

Construction 12.5% 33.3% 1.2%

Education & Training -10.1% 10.5% -2.0%

Electricity, Gas & Water & Waste Services -0.5% 14.5% -1.3%

Healthcare & Social Assistance -25.6% -5.8% 9.4%

Information, Media & Telecommunications 1.7% -1.3% -1.6%

Professional, Scientific & Technical Services 12.9% 46.7% 2.2%

Rental, Hiring & Real Estate Services -14.2% -13.9% 2.4%

Retail Trade 12.7% 12.0% -1.1%

Transport, Postal & Warehousing -44.6% -42.9% 0.7%

TOTAL -4.1% -2.8% 0.2%

Best Performers (Sub-Division)

- Gambling Activities 62.7% 50.7% -4.0%

- Internet Publishing & Broadcasting 41.6% 43.2% -3.3%

- Building Cleaning, Pest Control & Other Support Serv. 28.8% 30.4% 3.2%

- Motor Vehicle & Motor Vehicle Parts Retailing 25.6% 34.5% 2.6%

- Construction Services 24.4% 47.4% 0.8%

- Waste Collection, Treatment & Disposal Services 22.6% -13.1% -7.3%

- Other Store-Based Retailing 17.7% 16.9% -1.3%

Worst Performers (Sub-Division)

- Motion Picture & Sound Recording Activities -96.6% -97.7% 11.0%

- Administrative Services -85.3% -85.2% 18.6%

- Rail Transport -82.7% -82.2% 8.5%

- Air & Space Transport -81.9% -82.7% -9.1%

- Heritage Activities -78.6% -86.3% 35.4%

- Creative & Performing Arts Activities -73.1% -72.2% 6.2%

- Accommodation -66.4% -73.1% 19.7%

- Sports & Recreation Activities -66.4% -67.9% 13.7%

*This data excludes government services, taxes, direct to consumer manufacturers, mortgage and other credit facility repayments. Spending includes both online and offline transactions. Transaction data may include EFTPOS, Credit Card, BPAY, Bank Transfers, Direct Debits and PayPal services where available.

**Data is not seasonally adjusted.

Page 4: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

4

PAYMENT INFLOWS INTO NAB MERCHANTS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES (% Y/Y)*

4-weeks ending 30 May 2020

4-weeks ending 5 June 2020

Accommodation & Food Services -42.8% -39.6%

Administration & Support Services -12.8% -10.6%

Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing -14.8% 1.6%

Arts & Recreation Services -24.4% -17.5%

Construction 18.2% 17.1%

Education & Training 19.6% 11.6%

Healthcare & Social Assistance 9.3% 5.8%

Manufacturing 22.5% 15.5%

Mining 9.7% 20.2%

Other Services 19.7% 34.3%

Professional, Scientific & Technical Services -3.4% -4.0%

Retail Trade -7.7% -1.0%

Transport, Postal & Warehousing -8.1% -7.3%

Wholesale Trade 17.0% 16.9%

TOTAL 3.3% 3.7%

Business Size

- Small -5.3% -5.8%

- Emerging -3.3% -3.7%

- Medium -2.7% -0.8%

- Large -0.1% -0.3%

- Corporate 13.4% 9.8%

Best Performers (Sub-Division)

- Non-metallic Mineral Product Manufacturing 89.7% 95.8%

- Exploration & Other Mining Support Services 38.0% 88.9%

- Pulp, Paper & Converted Paper Product Manufacturing 139.6% 56.4%

- Personal & Other Services 23.8% 42.5%

- Heavy & Civil Engineering Construction 34.2% 36.6%

- Metal Ore Mining 31.2% 33.2%

Worst Performers (Sub-Division)

- Heritage Activities -89.9% -86.4%

- Private H/hold Employing Staff & Undiff. G&S Activities -80.2% -77.1%

- Air & Space Transport -60.8% -56.7%

- Accommodation -43.6% -46.0%

- Sports & Recreation Activities -44.4% -43.5%

- Creative & Performing Arts Activities -40.3% -41.4%

- Food & Beverage Services -42.4% -36.8%

* Payment Inflows are credits to a NAB merchant’s account that is not a financing credit from NAB or a transfer from related accounts.

Page 5: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

5

PART 1: SPENDING PATTERNS: OVERALL, BY STATE & BY INDUSTRY

Note: Data excludes government services, taxes, direct to consumer manufacturers, mortgage and other credit facility repayments. Spending includes both online and offline transactions. Transaction data may include EFTPOS, Credit Card, BPAY, Bank Transfers, Direct Debits and PayPal services where available. NAB uses the four-week average measure to smooth volatile data.

The latest data is for the four weeks ending 6 June 2020.

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SPEND DATA: 4 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE - OVERALL

Overall (2020) Overall (2019)

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SPEND DATA BY STATE - 4 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE 2019

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SPEND DATA BY STATE - 4 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE 2020

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CHANGE IN CONSUMPTION SPENDING OVER THE PREVIOUS YEAR BY INDUSTRY - WEEK ENDING 6 JUNE 2020 (4 WEEK MOVING AVG)*

*Data is not seasonally adjusted

14.9%

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CHANGE IN CONSUMPTION SPENDING OVER THE PREVIOUS WEEK BY INDUSTRY - WEEK ENDING 6 JUNE 2020 (4 WEEK MOVING AVG)*

*Data is not seasonally adjusted (n.s.a)

Page 6: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

6

SPENDING CHANGES BY INDUSTRY & INDUSTRY SUB-DIVISION Down 35.9% from same time last year

Down 41.5% since start of the year Up 5.6% over the previous week

Food & Beverages leading a modest recovery in this sector (but still well down over the year).

Accommodation still very weak but flattening.

Down 82.7% from same time last year Down 82.3% since start of the year Up 14.9% over the previous week

Spending on Building, Cleaning, Pest Control & Other Services holding up and growing, but

spending on Admin Services very weak.

Down 10.7% from same time last year Down 17.5% since the start of the year

Down 1.2% over the previous week

Spending in Arts & Recreation being supported solely by very strong growth in Gambling Activities

(but it has slowed from recent peaks).

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120.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

ACCOMMODATION & FOOD SERVICES

2019 2020

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

ACCOMMODATION & FOOD SERVICES (2020)

Accommodation Food & Beverage Services

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

ADMINISTRATIVE & SUPPORT SERVICES

2019 2020

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

160.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

ADMINISTRATIVE & SUPPORT SERVICES (2020)

Administrative Services Building Cleaning, Pest Control & Other Support Services

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

ARTS & RECREATION SERVICES

2019 2020

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

160.0

180.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

ARTS & RECREATION SERVICES (2020)

Creative & Performing Arts Activities Gambling Activities

Heritage Activities Sports & Recreation Activities

Page 7: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

7

Up 12.5% from same time last year Up 33.0% since the start of the year

Up 1.2% over the previous week

Acceleration in spending on Construction Services seen over recent weeks continuing, as slowdown in spending on Building Construction gathers steam.

Down 10.1% from same time last year Up 10.5% since the start of the year Down 2.0% over the previous week

Recent acceleration in spending on Preschool & Schools Education now tailing off at high levels.

Spending on Tertiary still floundering.

Down 0.5% from same time last year Up 14.5% since the start of the year Down 1.3% over the previous week

Spending on utilities higher in all sectors, bar Waste Collection, Treatment & Disposal Services. Spending

up most for Water Supply, Sewerage & Drainage.

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

CONSTRUCTION

2019 2020

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

160.0

180.0

200.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

CONSTRUCTION (2020)

Construction Services Building Construction

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

EDUCATION & TRAINING

2019 2020

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

400.0

450.0

500.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

EDUCATION & TRAINING (2020)

Adult, Community & Other Education Preschool & School Education Tertiary Education

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

ELECTRICITY, GAS, WATER & WASTE SERVICES

2019 2020

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

160.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

ELECTRICITY, GAS & WATER (2020)

Electricity SupplyGas SupplyWater Supply, Sewerage & Drainage ServicesWaste Collection, Treatment & Disposal Services

Page 8: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

8

Down 25.6% from same time last year Down 5.8% since the start of the year

Up 9.4% over the previous week

Spending growth slowing in Residential Care but still highest overall. Recovery accelerating in

Medical & Other Health Care Services and Hospitals.

Up 1.7% from same time last year Down 1.3% since the start of the year Down 1.6% over the previous week

Spending on Library & Other Info. down recently. Still highest for Internet, Publishing & Broadcasting,

with Motion Picture & Sound grinding to a halt.

Up 12.9% from same time last year Up 46.7% since the start of the year

Up 2.2% over the previous week

Spending growth in all sub-divisions positive through 2020 to date, despite recent slowdown in spending on Computer System Design & Related.

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

HEALTHCARE & SOCIAL ASSISTANCE

2019 2020

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

160.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

HEALTH CARE & SOCIAL ASSISTANCE (2020)

Hospitals Residential Care ServicesSocial Assistance Services Medical & Other Health Care Services

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

25-Ja

n-20

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

INFORMATION, MEDIA & TELECOMMUNICATION

2019 2020

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

INFORMATION MEDIA & TELECOMS (2020)

Broadcasting (except Internet)Internet Publishing & BroadcastingInternet Service Providers, Web Search Portals & Data Processing ServicesMotion Picture & Sound Recording ActivitiesPublishing (except Internet & Music Publishing)Telecommunications ServicesLibrary & Other Information Services

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

160.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

PROFESSIONAL, SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL SERVICES

2019 2020

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

160.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

PROFESSIONAL, SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL SERV. (2020)

Computer System Design & Related ServicesProfessional, Scientific & Technical Services (Except Computer System Design & Related)

Page 9: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

9

Down 14.2% from same time last year Down 13.9% since the start of the year

Up 2.4% over the previous week

Overall spending down over the year to date, but much less so for Property Operators & Real Estate

Services.

Up 12.7% from same time last year Up 12.0% since the start of the year Down 1.1% over the previous week

Spending growth in all sub-sectors up (bar Fuel Retailing) over the year to date. Spending on Motor

Vehicle & Parts up strongly in recent weeks.

Down 44.6% from same time last year Down 42.9% since the start of the year

Up 0.7% over the previous week

Spending on Postal & Courier Pick-up/Delivery Services positive and accelerating in recent weeks.

Spending on Air & Space and Rail very weak.

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

RENTAL, HIRING & REAL ESTATE SERVICES

2019 2020

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

RENTAL, HIRING & REAL ESTATE SERVICES (2020)

Property Operators & Real Estate Services Rental & Hiring Services (except Real Estate)

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

RETAIL TRADE

2019 2020

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

160.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

RETAIL TRADE (2020)

Food RetailingFuel RetailingMotor Vehicle & Motor Vehicle Parts RetailingOther Store-Based RetailingNon-Store Retailing & Retail Commission-Based Buying and/or Selling

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

TRANSPORT, POSTAL & WAREHOUSING

2019 2020

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

160.0

25-J

an-2

0

1-Fe

b-20

8-Fe

b-20

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

7-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

4-Ap

r-20

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

2-M

ay-2

0

9-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

6-Ju

n-20

TRANSPORT, POSTAL & WAREHOUSING (2020)

Air & Space Transport Other TransportPostal & Courier Pick-up & Delivery Services Rail TransportRoad Transport Transport Support ServicesWarehousing & Storage Services Water Transport

Page 10: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

10

CONSUMPTION SPENDING BY INDUSTRY SUB-DIVISION - RANKED

-96.6%-85.3%

-82.7%-81.9%

-78.6%-73.1%

-66.4%-66.4%-65.7%

-62.3%-58.9%

-52.4%-51.3%

-36.9%-31.1%-30.4%

-27.1%-16.4%-16.4%

-9.1%-8.9%-8.9%

-6.3%-4.3%-3.0%-2.8%-1.5%-0.4%-0.4%

1.6%3.5%4.4%

11.2%12.8%13.4%

17.3%17.4%17.5%17.7%

22.6%24.4%25.6%

28.8%41.6%

62.7%

-120% -100% -80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Motion Picture & Sound Recording ActivitiesAdministrative Services

Rail TransportAir & Space Transport

Heritage ActivitiesCreative & Performing Arts Activities

AccommodationSports & Recreation Activities

Other TransportSocial Assistance Services

Water TransportBuilding Construction

Road TransportRental & Hiring Services (except Real Estate)

Transport Support ServicesFuel Retailing

Food & Beverage ServicesAdult, Community & Other EducationLibrary & Other Information Services

Medical & Other Health Care ServicesProperty Operators & Real Estate Services

Tertiary EducationHospitals

Warehousing & Storage ServicesPreschool & School Education

Water Supply, Sewerage & Drainage ServicesElectricity Supply

Non-Store Retailing & Retail Commission-Based Buying and/or SellingTelecommunications Services

Broadcasting (except Internet)Postal & Courier Pick-up & Delivery ServicesComputer System Design & Related Services

Residential Care ServicesPublishing (except Internet & Music Publishing)

Internet Service Providers, Web Search Portals & Data Processing Serv.Food Retailing

Gas SupplyProf., Scientific & Tech. Serv. (Ex. Computer System Design & Related)

Other Store-Based RetailingWaste Collection, Treatment & Disposal Services

Construction ServicesMotor Vehicle & Motor Vehicle Parts Retailing

Building Cleaning, Pest Control & Other Support ServicesInternet Publishing & Broadcasting

Gambling Activities

CHANGE IN CONSUMPTION SPENDING OVER THE PREVIOUS YEAR BY INDUSTRY SUB-DIVISION - WEEK ENDING 6 JUNE 2020 (4 WEEK MOVING AVG)*

*Data is not seasonally adjusted (n.s.a.)

Page 11: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

11

-9.1%-7.3%

-4.9%-4.0%-3.3%

-2.3%-2.0%-1.8%-1.8%-1.3%-1.0%-0.7%-0.6%-0.6%-0.5%-0.4%

0.1%0.5%0.7%0.8%

2.5%2.6%2.8%3.2%3.2%3.3%3.6%3.8%3.8%

5.1%5.8%6.2%6.7%7.2%7.8%8.4%8.5%

9.4%11.0%

13.7%18.6%

19.7%22.1%

29.1%35.4%

-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Air & Space TransportWaste Collection, Treatment & Disposal Services

Preschool & School EducationGambling Activities

Internet Publishing & BroadcastingFood Retailing

Library & Other Information ServicesElectricity Supply

Telecommunications ServicesOther Store-Based Retailing

Other TransportComputer System Design & Related Services

Internet Service Providers, Web Search Portals & Data Processing Serv.Postal & Courier Pick-up & Delivery Services

Broadcasting (except Internet)Non-Store Retailing & Retail Commission-Based Buying and/or Selling

Water Supply, Sewerage & Drainage ServicesWarehousing & Storage Services

Rental & Hiring Services (except Real Estate)Construction Services

Prof., Scientific & Tech. Serv. (Ex. Computer System Design & Related)Motor Vehicle & Motor Vehicle Parts Retailing

Property Operators & Real Estate ServicesBuilding Cleaning, Pest Control & Other Support Services

Gas SupplyAdult, Community & Other Education

Water TransportFood & Beverage Services

Fuel RetailingTransport Support Services

Tertiary EducationCreative & Performing Arts Activities

HospitalsPublishing (except Internet & Music Publishing)

Road TransportSocial Assistance Services

Rail TransportMedical & Other Health Care Services

Motion Picture & Sound Recording ActivitiesSports & Recreation Activities

Administrative ServicesAccommodation

Building ConstructionResidential Care Services

Heritage Activities

CHANGE IN CONSUMPTION SPENDING OVER THE PREVIOUS WEEK BY INDUSTRY SUB-DIVISION - WEEK ENDING 6 JUNE 2020 (4-WEEK MOVING AVG)*

*Data is not seasonally adjusted (n.s.a.)

Page 12: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

12

PART 2: PAYMENT INFLOWS INTO NAB MERCHANTS BY INDUSTRY

We have moved to replicating a 4-week moving methodology - currently used in our consumption spending - to payment inflows.

This data shows overall payment inflows were up 3.7% to the 4 weeks ending June 6 compared to the same

period last year, and up a touch from 3.3% in the previous week. Payment inflows by business size suggest that Corporates are doing better than smaller firms. But the hit to inflows has been significant (now at 9.8% down from 13.4% in the previous week). Inflows are down most

for small businesses (5.8%).

Payment inflows vary considerably across industries.

Accommodation & Food Services clearly struggling the most (down 39.6%), but pace of decline moderating. Other services (34.3%) leading the with solid growth also in Mining (20.2%), Construction (17.1%) and

Wholesale Trade (16.9%). Manufacturing also still relatively strong (15.5%).

8.1%

7.1%

13.1

%

8.8% 10

.6%

11.2

% 12.7

%

19.2

%

23.5

% 24.9

%

25.4

%

20.4

%

8.7%

14.7

%

7.6%

9.2%

13.8

%

5.4%

3.3% 3.7%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

PAYMENT INFLOWS INTO NAB MERCHANTS(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

-60.0%

-40.0%

-20.0%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

PAYMENT INFLOWS INTO NAB MERCHANTS - BY MERCHANT SIZE(4-week moving average, % change over same period last year)

Corporate Large Medium Emerging Small

-60.0%

-40.0%

-20.0%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

25-Ja

n-20

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-Ju

n-20

week ending

PAYMENT INFLOWS INTO NAB MERCHANTS(4-week moving average, % change over same period last year)

Accommodation & Food Serv. Admin. & Support Serv. Agriculture, Forestry & FishingArts & Recreation Serv. Construction Education & TrainingHealthcare & Social Assist. Total

-60.0%

-40.0%

-20.0%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

25-Ja

n-20

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-Ju

n-20

week ending

PAYMENT INFLOWS INTO NAB MERCHANTS(4-week moving average, % change over same period last year)

Manufacturing Mining Other Serv.Prof., Scientific & Tech. Serv. Retail Trade Transport, Postal & W/housingWholesale Trade Total

Page 13: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

13

INDUSTRY DEEP DIVES: ACCOMMODATION & FOOD SERVICES & RETAIL TRADE

Inflows improving in Cafes, Restaurants & Takeaways as dining restrictions start easing.

Inflows in Hospitality (Clubs) and Pubs, Taverns and bars also improving but still very weak.

Accommodation is still struggling.

Inflows into Retail sector now rising in 8 industry groups and falling in just 5.

Department Stores, Furniture, Floor Coverings, Houseware & Textile Goods and Recreational Goods

reported the biggest increases.

Biggest falls were in Non-Store Retailing, Supermarket & Grocery Stores and Fuel Retailing.

-90.0%

-80.0%

-70.0%

-60.0%

-50.0%

-40.0%

-30.0%

-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0week ending

ACCOMMODATION & FOOD SERVICES(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Accommodation Cafes, Restaurants and Takeaway Food ServicesClubs (Hospitality) Pubs, Taverns and Bars

-40.0%

-30.0%

-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

RETAIL TRADE: PART 1(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Clothing, Footwear & Pers. Accessory Department StoresElectrical & Electronic Goods Fuel RetailingFurniture, Floor Coverings, H/ware & Textiles

-100.0%

-50.0%

0.0%

50.0%

100.0%

150.0%

200.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

RETAIL TRADE: PART 2(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Hardware, Building & Garden Supplies Motor Vehicle Parts & Tyre RetailingMotor Vehicle Retailing Non-Store Retailing

-40.0%

-20.0%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

120.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

RETAIL TRADE: PART 3(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Pharmaceutical & Other Store-Based Retailing Recreational Goods Retailing

Specialised Food Retailing Supermarket & Grocery Stores

Page 14: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

14

PAYMENT INFLOWS BY INDUSTRY & INDUSTRY SUB-DIVISION

2.9%1.1% 2.0%

0.1%

-2.6%

-7.1%-8.9%

-7.0%-7.1%-9.0%

-20.6%

-35.1%

-45.8%

-53.6%-53.7%

-47.9%-44.7%

-43.0%-42.8%-39.6%

-60.0%

-50.0%

-40.0%

-30.0%

-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0week ending

ACCOMMODATION & FOOD SERVICES(4-week moving average, % change on same period last year)

-70.0%

-60.0%

-50.0%

-40.0%

-30.0%

-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

ACCOMMODATION & FOOD SERVICES(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Accommodation Food & Beverage Services

2.6%

0.8%

-0.1%-0.2%

-2.5%

-5.3%-5.1%

-3.3%-2.7%

-0.5%-1.7%

-9.7%

-15.0%

-10.3%

-17.7%

-13.2%

-9.1%

-18.2%

-12.8%

-10.6%

-20.0%

-15.0%

-10.0%

-5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

ADMINISTRATIVE & SUPPORT SERVICES(4-week moving average, % change on same period last year)

-25.0%

-20.0%

-15.0%

-10.0%

-5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

ADMINISTRATIVE & SUPPORT SERVICES(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Administrative Services Building Cleaning, Pest Control & Other Support Serv.

0.7%

5.3%

10.6%11.4%11.4%

6.7%

4.4%5.7%

9.1%

6.9%

12.1%

9.3%

6.5%

15.4%

9.8%

-6.2%

-8.6%

-12.6%

-14.8%

1.6%

-20.0%

-15.0%

-10.0%

-5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

AGRICULTURE, FORESTRY & FISHING(4-week moving average, % change on same period last year)

-100.0%

-50.0%

0.0%

50.0%

100.0%

150.0%

200.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

AGRICULTURE, FORESTRY & FISHING(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Agriculture Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing Support Serv.Aquaculture Fishing, Hunting &TrappingForestry & Logging

Page 15: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

15

-4.2%

2.0%

6.3%7.9%

4.4%2.8% 2.5%

0.7%

18.9%16.8%

20.4%

7.6%

-25.4%

-20.8%

-33.0%-32.4%

-19.7%-20.3%

-24.4%

-17.5%

-40.0%

-30.0%

-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0week ending

ARTS & RECREATION SERVICES(4-week moving average, % change on same period last year)

-150.0%

-100.0%

-50.0%

0.0%

50.0%

100.0%

150.0%

200.0%

250.0%

300.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

ARTS & RECREATION SERVICES(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Creative & Performing Arts Activities Gambling ActivitiesHeritage Activities Sports & Recreation Activities

9.6%

2.1%

7.7%6.4% 6.9%

3.6%

6.9%6.3%

7.0%

5.0%

9.6%8.9% 8.5%

28.1%

11.7%

17.1%

23.8%

15.7%

18.2%17.1%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

CONSTRUCTION(4-week moving average, % change on same period last year)

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

CONSTRUCTION(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Building Construction Construction Services Heavy & Civil Engineering Construction

2.3% 1.6%

74.0%

-6.1%

1.5%5.5% 4.1%

8.7%3.4%

-6.2%

-16.1%-12.7%-12.3%

-0.7%

1.5%

-2.3%

1.2%

10.1%

19.6%

11.6%

-30.0%

-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

EDUCATION & TRAINING(4-week moving average, % change on same period last year)

-100.0%

-50.0%

0.0%

50.0%

100.0%

150.0%

200.0%

250.0%

300.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

EDUCATION & TRAINING(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Adult, Community & Other Education Preschool & School Education Tertiary Education

Page 16: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

16

2.2%

10.2%10.5%

5.8%

2.7% 3.0%

5.8%

7.8% 8.1%

10.6%

7.8%

4.2%

9.7%10.5%

2.1%

12.5%

15.4%

10.6%

9.3%

5.8%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0week ending

HEALTH CARE & SOCIAL ASSISTANCE(4-week moving average, % change on same period last year)

-30.0%

-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

HEALTH CARE & SOCIAL ASSISTANCE(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Hospitals Medical & Other Health Care ServicesResidential Care Services Social Assistance Services

5.9%

-3.8%

-0.2%-1.5%

4.3% 3.2% 4.1%1.0%

-4.0%-2.3%

0.8%3.4% 2.7%

13.4%

35.0%

45.8%45.2%42.3%

22.5%

15.5%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

MANUFACTURING(4-week moving average, % change on same period last year)

-50.0%

-40.0%

-30.0%

-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

MANUFACTURING (1)(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Basic Chemical & Chemical Prod. Mfg Beverage & Tobacco Prod. MfgFabricated Metal Prod. Mfg Food Prod. MfgFurniture & Other Mfg

-40.0%

-20.0%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

120.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

MANUFACTURING (2)(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Machinery & Equipment Mfg Non-Metallic Mineral Prod. MfgPetroleum & Coal Prod. Mfg Polymer & Rubber Prod. MfgPrimary Metal & Metal Prod. Mfg

-30.0%

-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

MANUFACTURING (3)(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Printing (inc. Rep. of Recorded Media) Textile, Leather, Clothing & Footwear Mfg

Transport Equipment Mfg Wood Prod. Mfg

Page 17: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

17

-100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

200.0%

300.0%

400.0%

500.0%

600.0%

700.0%

800.0%

900.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

MANUFACTURING (4)(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Pulp, Paper & Converted Paper Prod. Mfg

0.4%

-6.2%-3.3%-3.8%

-8.6%

3.3%

13.0%12.9%14.1%

-2.4%

-8.8%-8.3%

-26.0%

-18.0%

-21.3%-19.4%

-2.6%-1.0%

9.7%

20.2%

-30.0%

-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

MINING(4-week moving average, % change on same period last year)

-100.0%

-50.0%

0.0%

50.0%

100.0%

150.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

MINING(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Coal Mining Exploration & Other Mining Support Serv.Metal Ore Mining Non-Metallic Mineral Mining & QuarryingOil & Gas Extraction

21.0%19.4%

34.2%

10.1%

18.3%17.9%

3.9%5.3%

2.4%

4.7%

7.8%9.9%

5.6%

9.2%

3.0%4.1%

11.5%12.0%

19.7%

34.3%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

OTHER SERVICES(4-week moving average, % change on same period last year)

-500.0%

0.0%

500.0%

1000.0%

1500.0%

2000.0%

2500.0%

3000.0%

3500.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

OTHER SERVICES(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Personal & Other Serv.Private H/holds Emp. Staff & Undiff G&S Producing ActivitiesRepair & Maintenance

Page 18: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

18

7.9% 7.5%

10.5%11.6%

15.3%

9.9%

7.8%

5.1%3.7%

5.3%

8.3%

12.5%

9.1%

17.2%

10.0%

6.2%

3.4%

-4.5%-3.4%-4.0%

-10.0%

-5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0week ending

PROFESSIONAL, SCIENTIFIC & TECH SERVICES(4-week moving average, % change on same period last year)

-10.0%

-5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

PROFESSIONAL, SCIENTIFIC & TECH SERVICES(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Computer System Design & Related Serv.

Professional, Scientific & Tech. Serv. (Ex. Computer System Design & Related)

8.6%7.1%

13.3%14.2%

16.1%14.3%

12.8%12.4%

15.3%

19.5%

13.2%11.6%

4.4%

-1.3%-2.1%

-5.6%-5.0%-5.2%

-7.7%

-1.0%

-10.0%

-5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

RETAIL TRADE(4-week moving average, % change on same period last year)

-80.0%

-40.0%

0.0%

40.0%

80.0%

120.0%

160.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

RETAIL TRADE(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Food Retailing Fuel Retailing

Motor Vehicle & Motor Vehicle Parts Retailing Non-Store Retail & Retail Com-Based Buy/Sell

Other Store-Based Retailing

-4.5%-6.3%

8.0%

5.7%

-1.2%

-5.5%

-14.7%-13.3%

-5.5%

-17.1%-15.9%

-10.1%

-20.8%

2.1%

-2.4%-1.3%

8.0%

-3.9%

-8.1%-7.3%

-25.0%

-20.0%

-15.0%

-10.0%

-5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

TRANSPORT, POSTAL & WAREHOUSING(4-week moving average, % change on same period last year)

-80.0%

-60.0%

-40.0%

-20.0%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

TRANSPORT, POSTAL & WAREHOUSING(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Air & Space Transport Other TransportPostal & Courier Pick-up and Delivery Serv. Rail TransportRoad Transport Transport Support Serv.Warehousing & Storage Serv. Water Transport

Page 19: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

19

3.6%

-2.8%

10.5%10.9%

24.7%

19.8%

14.4%12.0%

6.9%10.0%

22.9%

27.1%

31.8%

55.4%

43.3%

39.0%

29.6%

19.1%17.0%16.9%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0week ending

WHOLESALE TRADE(4-week moving average, % change on same period last year)

-60.0%

-40.0%

-20.0%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

25-J

an-2

0

01-F

eb-2

0

08-F

eb-2

0

15-F

eb-2

0

22-F

eb-2

0

29-F

eb-2

0

07-M

ar-2

0

14-M

ar-2

0

21-M

ar-2

0

28-M

ar-2

0

04-A

pr-2

0

11-A

pr-2

0

18-A

pr-2

0

25-A

pr-2

0

02-M

ay-2

0

09-M

ay-2

0

16-M

ay-2

0

23-M

ay-2

0

30-M

ay-2

0

06-J

un-2

0

week ending

WHOLESALE TRADE(4-weeking moving average, % change on same period last year)

Basic Material Wholesaling Grocery, Liquor & Tobacco Product WholesalingMachinery & Equipment Wholesaling Motor Vehicle & Motor Vehicle Parts WholesalingOther Goods Wholesaling

Page 20: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

20

PAYMENT INFLOWS BY INDUSTRY SUB-DIVISION - RANKED

-86.4%-77.1%

-56.7%-46.0%

-43.5%-41.4%

-36.8%-33.2%-33.0%-32.8%

-29.3%-22.3%

-19.3%-17.4%

-14.5%-14.2%-13.8%-11.7%-11.3%-11.2%

-8.1%-8.0%-7.9%-6.5%-6.2%

-3.6%-3.1%-2.9%

0.2%0.7%1.6%2.4%2.5%2.5%3.2%4.3%5.0%6.3%6.5%6.7%7.3%8.3%10.1%11.0%11.4%11.6%11.9%12.2%13.1%15.0%15.4%15.7%

18.0%18.1%19.8%

22.9%25.4%26.6%28.1%28.1%

33.2%36.6%

42.5%56.4%

88.9%95.8%

-100.0% -50.0% 0.0% 50.0% 100.0%

Heritage ActivitiesPrivate H/holds Emp. Staff & Undiff G&S Activities

Air & Space TransportAccommodation

Sports & Recreation ActivitiesCreative & Performing Arts Activities

Food & Beverage ServicesForestry & Logging

Water TransportNon-Metallic Mineral Mining & Quarrying

Basic Chemical & Chemical Prod. MfgOil & Gas Extraction

Coal MiningFood Retailing

Printing (inc. Rep. of Recorded Media)Fishing, Hunting &Trapping

Fuel RetailingRoad Transport

Non-Store Retail & Retail Com-Based Buy/SellAdministrative Services

Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing Support Serv.Petroleum & Coal Prod. Mfg

Motor Vehicle & Motor Vehicle Parts WholesalingBeverage & Tobacco Prod. Mfg

Prof, Scientific & Tech Serv. (Ex Comp. System Design & Rel.)Warehousing & Storage Serv.

Food Prod. MfgOther Transport

Postal & Courier Pick-up and Delivery Serv.Primary Metal & Metal Prod. Mfg

Medical & Other Health Care ServicesAquaculture

Motor Vehicle & Motor Vehicle Parts RetailingTextile, Leather, Clothing & Footwear Mfg

Tertiary EducationRepair & Maintenance

Polymer & Rubber Prod. MfgWood Prod. Mfg

Residential Care ServicesMachinery & Equipment Wholesaling

Building Cleaning, Pest Control & Other Support Serv.Hospitals

Transport Equipment MfgConstruction Services

Machinery & Equipment MfgAgriculture

Other Store-Based RetailingGrocery, Liquor & Tobacco Product Wholesaling

Fabricated Metal Prod. MfgAdult, Community & Other Education

Social Assistance ServicesTransport Support Serv.

Basic Material WholesalingBuilding Construction

Gambling ActivitiesComputer System Design & Related Serv.

Furniture & Other MfgOther Goods Wholesaling

Rail TransportPreschool & School Education

Metal Ore MiningHeavy & Civil Engineering Construction

Personal & Other Serv.Pulp, Paper & Converted Paper Prod. MfgExploration & Other Mining Support Serv.

Non-Metallic Mineral Prod. Mfg

CHANGE IN PAYMENT INFLOWS INTO NAB MERCHANTS OVER THE PREVIOUS YEAR BY INDUSTRY SUB-DIVISION - WEEK ENDING 6 JUNE 2020 (4-WEEK MOVING AVG)*

*Data is not seasonally adjusted n.s.a.

Page 21: NAB Economics Data Insights, 6 June 2020 · All customer transaction data has been aggregated and no individual’s data is specifically identified or analysed as part of this process.

NAB Data Insights (June 2020)

21

AUTHORS Alan Oster Group Chief Economist [email protected] +61 (0)414 444 652

Dean Pearson Head of Behavioural & Industry Economics [email protected] +613 8634 2331

Brien McDonald Associate Director - Economics [email protected] +613 8634 3837

Robert De Iure Associate Director Economics [email protected] +613 8634 4611

Steven Wu Associate Director - Economics [email protected] +(613) 9208 2929

Important Notice

This document has been prepared by National Australia Bank Limited ABN 12 004 044 937 AFSL 230686 ("NAB"). Any advice contained in this document has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any advice in this document, NAB recommends that you consider whether the advice is appropriate for your circumstances.

NAB recommends that you obtain and consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement or other disclosure document, before making any decision about a product including whether to acquire or to continue to hold it.

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