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Federal Energy Regulatory Commission • Market Oversight • www.ferc.gov/oversight Natural Gas Market National Overview Natural Gas Market Overview 2000 Updated October 29, 2009 Page 1 of 17 October 2013
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Federal Energy Regulatory Commission • Market Oversight • www.ferc.gov/oversight

Natural Gas Market National Overview

Natural Gas Market Overview

2000Updated October 29, 2009

Page 1 of 17

October 2013

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission • Market Oversight • www.ferc.gov/oversight

Annual U.S. Natural Gas Consumption by Sector

Natural Gas market Overview: Consumption by Sector

Notes: Supply includes lower 48 state production, net pipeline imports, and LNG importsSource: Derived from EIA data

20013

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Volu

me

(Bcf

/Mon

th)

Industrial Electric Transportation Commercial Residential Supply

Updated: October 07, 2013

Page 2 of 17

October 2013

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission • Market Oversight • www.ferc.gov/oversight

U.S. Natural Gas Consumption for Power Generation

Natural Gas Market Overview: NG Consumption for Power Generation

Source: Derived from Bentek Energy data20024

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

MM

cf/m

onth

2008-12 Range 2013

Updated: October 07, 2013

Page 3 of 17

October 2013

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission • Market Oversight • www.ferc.gov/oversight

Total U.S. Natural Gas Demand All Sectors

Natural Gas Market Overview: Total US Gas Demand

Source: Derived from Bentek Energy data20009

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Jan FebMar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Volum

e (B

cfd)

2008 - 2012 Range MIN 2013

Updated: October 07, 2013

Page 4 of 17

October 2013

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission • Market Oversight • www.ferc.gov/oversight

Atlantic Basin European and US Spot Natural Gas Prices

Natural Gas Market Overview: European & US Gas Prices

Source: Derived from Bloomberg and ICE data2162

$0$2$4$6$8

$10$12$14$16$18$20$22$24$26$28$30$32$34$36$38$40 TTF Spot (Netherlands)

Henry Hub SpotUK NBP Spot (Britain)Algonquin Spot

Price

($/M

MBt

u)

$0$5

$10$15$20$25$30$35$40

5-Year History

Updated October 10, 2013

Page 5 of 17

October 2013

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission • Market Oversight • www.ferc.gov/oversight

Canadian and LNG Natural Gas Imports Into the U.S.

Natural Gas Overview: Natural Gas Imports

Source: EIA Natural Gas Monthly2180

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Volu

me

(Bcf

)

LNG Imports

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Volu

me

(Bcf

)

Canadian Imports

Updated: October 07, 2013

Page 6 of 17

October 2013

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission • Market Oversight • www.ferc.gov/oversight

Monthly Gas Imports at Existing U.S. LNG Facilities

Natural Gas Overview: Monthly LNG Imports

Source: Derived from DOE Office of Fossil Energy data2168

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Volu

me

(BCF

)

FreeportGolden PassNeptuneCameronNortheast Gateway Energy BridgeSabine PassGulf Gateway / ExcelerateLake CharlesCove PointElba IslandEverett

Updated: October 07, 2013

Page 7 of 17

October 2013

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission • Market Oversight • www.ferc.gov/oversight

Daily Gas Sendout from Existing LNG Facilities

Natural Gas Market Overview: Daily Gas Sendout

Notes: Everett data includes flows onto the AGT and TGP interstate lines, plus estimates of flows to the Mystic 7 power plant, Keyspan Boston Gas, and LNG trucked out of the terminal. Excludes Freeport LNG which flows via intrastate pipelinesSource: Derived from Bentek data

2161

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000 FreeportGolden PassNeptuneCameronNortheast Gateway/ExcelerateSabine PassGulf Gateway/ExcelerateLake CharlesCove PointElba IslandEverett

Daily

LNG

Sen

dout

(MM

cf/d

)

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000 Monthly Average

Updated: October 07, 2013

Page 8 of 17

October 2013

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission • Market Oversight • www.ferc.gov/oversight

2169Source: Waterborne Energy, Inc. Data in $US/MMBtu

World LNG Estimated November 2013 Landed Prices

Updated October 7, 2013

Natural Gas Overview: World LNG Prices

Cove Point$4.50

India$11.55

UK$8.75

Spain$9.05

Belgium$8.84

Japan$12.40

Korea$12.40

Lake Charles$3.96Altamira

$4.60

Cove Point$4.40

India$11.55

UK$8.75

Spain$9.15

Belgium$8.99

Japan$13.10

Korea$13.10

Lake Charles$3.93Altamira

$4.57

Cove Point$4.50

India$11.55

UK$8.75

Spain$9.05

Belgium$8.84

Japan$12.40

Korea$12.40

Lake Charles$3.96Altamira

$4.60

Cove Point$3.26

India$13.75

UK$10.66

Spain$10.90

Belgium$10.40

Japan$15.65

Korea$15.65

Lake Charles$3.15Altamira

$16.40

Rio de Janeiro$14.65

Bahia Blanca$15.65

China$15.25

Page 9 of 17

October 2013

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission • Market Oversight • www.ferc.gov/oversight

Monthly U.S. Dry Gas Production – Lower 48 States

Natural Gas Markets: Monthly U.S. Dry Gas Production

Note: Prior to July 2010, chart was derived from a combination of EIA and Bentek Energy dataSource: Derived from Bentek Energy data

20021

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Bcfd

Dry Production

Updated: October 07, 2013

Page 10 of 17

October 2013

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission • Market Oversight • www.ferc.gov/oversight

Total U.S. Working Gas in Storage

Natural Gas Market Overview: National Storage

Source: Derived from EIA data2003

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

Volu

me

(BCF

)

2008-12 Range 2012-2013 2013-14

Updated: October 07, 2013

Page 11 of 17

October 2013

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission • Market Oversight • www.ferc.gov/oversight

Regional Totals of Working Gas in Storage

Natural Gas Market Overview: Regional Storage

Source: Derived from EIA data2004

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

Min 2013-2014 2012-13

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

300400500600 Western Consuming Region

Eastern Consuming Region Producing Region

Updated: October 07, 2013

Page 12 of 17

October 2013

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission • Market Oversight • www.ferc.gov/oversight

U.S. and Canadian NG Drilling Rig Count and Daily Spot Prices

Natural Gas Market Overview: Drilling Rig Count

Source: Derived from Platts and Baker Hughes data2007

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

$0

$2

$4

$6

$8

$10

$12

$14

$16

$18

Number of RigsPr

ice ($

/MM

Btu)

Henry Hub Average Weekly PriceU.S. Rigs Drilling for Natural GasCanadian Rigs Drilling for Natural Gas

Updated: October 07, 2013

Page 13 of 17

October 2013

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission • Market Oversight @ FERC.gov

Source: Derived from EIA Storage and Estimated Working Gas Capacity data

Natural Gas Storage Inventories – September 30, 2013

Natural Gas Market Overview: Storage Inventories

20022

East,82%

West,95 %

Producing,86 %

Total, 85%Updated October 7, 2013

Page 14 of 17

October 2013

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission • Market Oversight • www.ferc.gov/oversight

U.S. NG Supply and Demand 2012 vs. 2013: January - September

Natural Gas Market Overview: U.S. Supply and Consumption

Note: Balance includes all amounts not attributable to other categories.Source: Derived from Bentek Energy data

2163

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2012 2013

Aver

age

Daily

Vol

ume

(Bcf

d)

US Natural Gas Supply

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2012 2013

Aver

age

Daily

Vol

ume

(Bcf

d)

US Natural Gas DemandTotal Change in Demand

Power GenerationNet Dry Gas

Production

Net PipelineImports

0.8%

2.0%

-30.0%-6.9%

-14.4%

4.9%

LNG Imports

Industrial

Total Change in Supply 1.4%

23.4%Residential/ Commercial

Updated: October 07, 2013

Page 15 of 17

October 2013

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission • Market Oversight • www.ferc.gov/oversight

U.S. Natural Gas vs. Natural Gas Liquids (NGL) Prices

Natural Gas Market Overview: NGL Prices

Source: Derived from Bloomberg Data 20025

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$/M

MBt

u

HH NGEthanePropaneIso-butaneButaneNatural Gasoline

Updated October 10, 2013

Page 16 of 17

October 2013

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission • Market Oversight • www.ferc.gov/oversight

Average Spot Gas Prices, 2012 ($MMBtu)

Natural Gas Market Overview: Spot Gas Prices

Source: Derived from Platts data. 2181

ColumbiaTCO

Waha Hub

AlgonquinCitygate

AECO Hub

Malin

Dawn

Tetco M-1

Pricing PointBlack – current priceGreen – increase/previous yearRed – decrease/previous yearBasis

ChicagoCitygate

TranscoZ6-NY

NorthernVentura

El PasoPermian

PanhandleTex-OklaEl Paso

San Juan

SoCal Border

PG&ECitygate

Kern RiverOpal

NW Sumas

Tennessee Zone 0

$3.94-21.0%

$3.26-34.6%

0.680.19

0.48

$2.78-31.8%

$3.07-29.8%

$2.69-30.6%

$2.85-30.8%

$2.67-31.1%

$2.64-30.9%

$2.39-34.8%

Henry Hub$2.75-31.0%

$2.69-31.0%

$2.77-31.2%

$2.63-31.9%

$3.11-26.5%

$2.73-30.8%

$2.68-29.8%

$2.91-28.2%

$2.73-31.6%

$2.69-31.2%

0.100.51

0.450.33

0.01

0.23

0.24

0.38

0.27

0.07

0.22

0.22

0.03

0.12

0.02

0.22

0.04

0.03

0.20

Katy Hub$2.72-31.1%

FGT-Z3

ColumbiaMainline

$2.73-30.9% 0.20

$2.93-27.6%

Updated: January 10, 2013

Page 17 of 17

October 2013


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