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New Growth Targets for 2012-2013

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New Growth Targets for 2012-2013. October 25, 2012 Jonathan Wiens, PhD Office of Assessment and Information Services Oregon Department of Education. ESEA Waiver. Option announced by USED in Sept 2011. Removes requirement for Adequate Yearly Progress (AYP) rating. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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October 25, 2012 Jonathan Wiens, PhD Office of Assessment and Information Services Oregon Department of Education
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Page 1: New Growth Targets  for 2012-2013

October 25, 2012

Jonathan Wiens, PhD

Office of Assessment and Information Services

Oregon Department of Education

Page 2: New Growth Targets  for 2012-2013

Option announced by USED in Sept 2011.

Removes requirement for Adequate Yearly Progress (AYP) rating.

States can propose their own system ofSchool AccountabilitySupports and Interventions

Targets interventions toward 15% of Title I schools (about 90 schools)

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Page 3: New Growth Targets  for 2012-2013

Include individual student growth.Several growth models were reviewed.Colorado Growth Model chosen for implementation.

Use an overall rating system (including growth) to identify Priority, Focus, and Model Schools.Several possible methodologies were reviewed.Modified Colorado school rating system chosen for

implementation.Rating system is prototype for future report cards.

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Page 4: New Growth Targets  for 2012-2013

Uses the Colorado Growth Model.

Includes all students having two consecutive years of standard OAKS assessments, regardless of whether or not they are meeting standard.

A student’s growth is compared to the growth of other students in the state having the same prior test scores (“Academic Peers”)

Student Growth is expressed as a percentile. A growth percentile of 75 would mean the students growth was as high or higher than 75 percent of his/her academic peers.

Computes Growth Targets – growth percentiles that put a student on track to be at standard in three years.

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Page 5: New Growth Targets  for 2012-2013

Growth is based on comparing a student to his or her Academic Peers, who are students with the same test score histories.

Growth of low performing students is compared to that of other low performing students in the state.

Growth of high performing students is compared to that of other high performing students in the state.

Growth model applies to students in grades 4 to 8, and 11.

Uses up to four years of test data for each student.

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Page 6: New Growth Targets  for 2012-2013

Schools are given “Levels” in reading and math growth:Level 5: Schools with high growthLevel 4: Average to above average growthLevel 3: Below average, but not low, growthLevel 2: Low growthLevel 1: Very low growth

Reading and math growth are combined into a Growth Rating.

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Page 7: New Growth Targets  for 2012-2013

School accountability uses the median growth percentile.Median growth is the “middle” growth

percentile.This is the “typical” growth at the school.

We also report the median target growth percentile.

A school has “On Track” growth if the median growth percentile is as high as the median target percentile. “On Track” growth indicates that a typical student

is meeting his/her growth target.Requirements to reach Level 5, Level 4, etc., are

lower for schools with “On Track” growth. 7

Page 8: New Growth Targets  for 2012-2013

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Page 9: New Growth Targets  for 2012-2013

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Page 10: New Growth Targets  for 2012-2013

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Grade 5

Grade 6 GainGrowth

Percentile Growth Target

195 200 5 16 80

209 208 -1 8 72

209 214 5 34 64

209 218 9 61 58

209 226 17 96 48

227 232 5 57 27

This sample shows various growth percentiles. Note that the middle four students all had the same starting point in 5th grade. The students in red are shown to emphasize that growth is evaluated relative to academic peers, not on absolute gains in test scores.

Page 11: New Growth Targets  for 2012-2013

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Student Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5Growth Percent

ile

Affect of using 3 Years of

data

A -- 211 215 34 --

B 190 211 215 66 +32

C 195 211 215 55 +21

D 200 211 215 42 +8

E 206 211 215 27 -7

F 212 211 215 17 -17

G 218 211 215 8 -26

This data show how 3 years of test scores can affect growth percentiles. Data are taken from Math growth in 2011-12.

Page 12: New Growth Targets  for 2012-2013

Growth targets are forward looking.They estimate the growth necessary

to meet in three more years, or by grade 11.

They are provided both as percentiles and as RIT scores.

The RIT score represents the typical score attained by students who grew to standard in the past.

The percentile should be viewed as an estimate of the difficulty of attaining the goal.

Grade

Target

Grade

3 6

4 7

5 8

6 11

7 11

8 11

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Page 13: New Growth Targets  for 2012-2013

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Student

Grade 3

Grade 4

Grade 5

Growth %tile

Affect of 3yrs of data

6th Grade Target %tile

6th Grade Target

RIT

Typical

Growth in 6th

Grade

B 190 211 215 66 +32 69 220 217

C 195 211 215 55 +21 68 221 217

D 200 211 215 42 +8 66 221 218

E 206 211 215 27 -7 64 222 219

F 212 211 215 17 -17 63 222 220

G 218 211 215 8 -26 62 223 221

This data show how 3 years of test scores can affect growth percentiles. Data are taken from 5th grade Math growth in 2011-12.

Page 14: New Growth Targets  for 2012-2013

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The data below shows how important it is to remember that the growth data is based on “academic peers” who are students with similar score histories.

Targets for Students with Same Prior Test Score

Student

Math Score Histories7th

Grade Growth Percenti

le

8th Grade Growth Targets

4th 5th 6th 7thPercenti

leRIT

A 205 212 213 225 66 73 229

B 225 228 222 225 4 59 233

Page 15: New Growth Targets  for 2012-2013

Includes all students in 2012 Spring Membership with a regular OAKs assessment.

Includes resident school and district from Spring Membership

Includes resident and attending school and district from SSID (as of October 24).

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Page 16: New Growth Targets  for 2012-2013

Details on the waiver: http://www.ode.state.or.us/go/nextgen

Details on priority, focus, and model schools: http://www.ode.state.or.us/search/page/?id=3742

Priority, Focus and Model School Detail Sheets: http://www.ode.state.or.us/search/page/?id=3749

Policy and Technical Manual: http://www.ode.state.or.us/wma/policy/accountability/nextgen2012/nextgenaccountabilitymanual2012.pdf

Jon WiensEmail: [email protected]

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