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New Hampshire Polling
Executive Summary
Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 505 individuals in New Hampshire (250 Democratic primary voters). The poll was conducted from August 2nd through the 6th and has a margin of error of 4.4% (6.2% for the Democratic primary question). The survey was conducted using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell phone users. The results are weighted by the voting demographics. The poll was paid for by GMI.
4) If the New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary were held today, who would you vote for?
Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870
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Race Age group Gender
African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or over Female Male
Q4: Democratic Primary Amy Klobuchar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 9.8% 5.5% 2.4% 7.1%
Andrew Yang 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.1% 13.9% 0.0% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 7.9%
Bernie Sanders 67.6% 0.0% 10.6% 19.6% 20.5% 46.6% 34.2% 8.9% 4.2% 24.7% 17.4%
Beto O'Rourke 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.2% 0.0% 7.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.7%
Bill de Blasio 0.0% 0.0% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Cory Booker 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Elizabeth Warren 0.0% 0.0% 9.0% 16.1% 13.0% 7.2% 6.6% 12.6% 23.7% 14.4% 10.0%
Jay Inslee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 0.8% 0.0% 1.9%
Joe Biden 32.4% 0.0% 31.3% 2.5% 14.6% 7.5% 11.7% 12.5% 30.1% 16.5% 13.6%
John Delaney 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
John Hickenlooper 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.7%
Julian Castro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 2.2% 3.7% 0.0%
Kamala Harris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 0.0% 3.5% 13.9% 8.6% 6.5% 8.5%
Kirsten Gillibrand 0.0% 0.0% 1.2% 0.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 3.4% 0.1% 2.0% 0.1%
Marianne Williamson 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Pete Buttigieg 0.0% 100.0% 3.1% 0.0% 7.4% 11.7% 3.0% 9.0% 9.2% 9.7% 5.6%
Steve Bullock 0.0% 0.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Tom Steyer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.9% 4.0% 0.0% 5.7% 5.1% 2.4% 3.3% 4.4%
Tulsi Gabbard 0.0% 0.0% 11.5% 50.6% 4.8% 2.8% 12.8% 3.0% 1.1% 3.8% 6.9%
Uncertain 0.0% 0.0% 22.5% 0.0% 11.5% 10.4% 14.7% 11.8% 6.6% 11.4% 10.9%
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5) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of President Trump’s job performance?
Race Age group Gender
African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or over Female Male
Q5: TRUMPPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 0.0% 0.0% 15.6% 8.5% 12.4% 9.0% 15.4% 11.7% 11.5% 11.0% 13.4%
Somewhat Disapprove 0.0% 0.0% 2.9% 14.6% 6.1% 17.4% 2.5% 5.0% 3.9% 3.5% 9.0%
Strongly Approve 25.0% 0.0% 50.0% 51.6% 31.7% 16.2% 35.2% 35.9% 33.8% 28.7% 35.8%
Strongly Disapprove 75.0% 100.0% 22.5% 17.4% 48.1% 52.8% 43.6% 47.4% 49.3% 55.3% 39.5%
Uncertain 0.0% 0.0% 8.9% 7.9% 1.7% 4.6% 3.3% 0.0% 1.5% 1.6% 2.3%
6) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Speaker Pelosi’s job performance?
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Race Age group Gender
African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or over Female Male
Q6: PELOSIPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 14.0% 0.0% 12.7% 4.6% 22.6% 10.4% 26.4% 22.8% 22.9% 20.6% 22.9%
Somewhat Disapprove 34.4% 0.0% 22.4% 25.4% 16.5% 18.9% 15.6% 20.1% 11.4% 15.9% 17.8%
Strongly Approve 2.9% 100.0% 13.6% 9.1% 18.1% 18.7% 9.0% 17.3% 30.6% 19.7% 17.3%
Strongly Disapprove 9.5% 0.0% 38.6% 42.7% 32.4% 15.3% 37.0% 35.4% 33.8% 31.1% 33.4%
Uncertain 39.2% 0.0% 12.6% 18.2% 10.3% 36.7% 12.0% 4.4% 1.2% 12.7% 8.6%
7) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Governor Sununu’s job performance?
Race Age group Gender
African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or over Female Male
Q7: SUNUNUPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 2.9% 0.0% 30.8% 26.9% 33.5% 37.4% 41.5% 27.9% 27.1% 30.5% 34.9%
Somewhat Disapprove 14.0% 100.0% 12.1% 23.8% 15.6% 20.9% 8.5% 19.9% 16.8% 20.1% 12.5%
Strongly Approve 25.0% 0.0% 35.3% 33.6% 26.9% 10.7% 24.5% 32.5% 31.9% 25.1% 28.8%
Strongly Disapprove 0.0% 0.0% 12.2% 9.1% 15.7% 7.5% 14.7% 15.5% 20.6% 13.7% 16.8%
Uncertain 58.0% 0.0% 9.6% 6.7% 8.4% 23.6% 10.8% 4.1% 3.6% 10.6% 6.9%
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8) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Jeanne Shaheen’s job performance?
Race Age group Gender
African-
American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64
65 or
over Female Male
Q8:
SHAHEENPERFORMANCE
Somewhat Approve 34.4% 0.0% 20.8% 4.6% 22.7% 19.2% 27.8% 22.4% 17.7% 24.5% 19.6%
Somewhat
Disapprove 0.0% 0.0% 9.6% 34.4% 14.7% 10.6% 12.0% 17.4% 16.5% 14.0% 15.6%
Strongly Approve 16.9% 100.0% 24.4% 9.2% 29.3% 29.6% 15.3% 33.0% 38.9% 29.2% 29.7%
Strongly Disapprove 9.5% 0.0% 33.1% 39.7% 22.0% 0.4% 30.1% 25.2% 24.0% 21.1% 23.4%
Uncertain 39.2% 0.0% 12.1% 12.1% 11.3% 40.3% 14.8% 2.0% 2.9% 11.3% 11.7%
9) Assuming you had to vote today for Senate, would you vote for Republican Don Bolduc or Democrat Jeanne Shaheen?
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Race Age group Gender
African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or over Female Male
Q9: BOLDUCVSSHAHEEN Bolduc 25.0% 0.0% 49.9% 58.0% 37.5% 10.4% 43.3% 43.7% 40.9% 35.3% 40.2%
Shaheen 75.0% 100.0% 39.2% 21.4% 51.5% 57.1% 44.9% 51.3% 54.5% 55.7% 46.7%
Uncertain 0.0% 0.0% 10.9% 20.6% 11.1% 32.6% 11.8% 5.0% 4.6% 9.1% 13.2%
10) Assuming you had to vote today for Senate, would you vote for Republican Bill O’Brien or Democrat Jeanne Shaheen?
Race Age group Gender
African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or over Female Male
Q10: OBRIENVSSHAHEEN Obrien 25.0% 0.0% 51.5% 56.8% 38.7% 16.4% 47.5% 42.7% 38.6% 34.8% 43.1%
Shaheen 75.0% 100.0% 37.9% 32.9% 51.7% 62.6% 40.3% 52.1% 56.0% 55.6% 47.6%
Uncertain 0.0% 0.0% 10.6% 10.3% 9.6% 21.0% 12.2% 5.1% 5.3% 9.7% 9.3% 11) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Bernie Sanders?
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Race Age group Gender
African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or over Female Male
Q11: TRUMPVSSANDERS Bernie Sanders 75.0% 100.0% 37.3% 32.1% 51.1% 57.6% 44.1% 50.8% 54.8% 57.2% 44.6%
Donald Trump 25.0% 0.0% 59.2% 59.2% 41.1% 16.4% 46.6% 46.7% 44.3% 36.8% 46.1%
Uncertain 0.0% 0.0% 3.4% 8.7% 7.8% 26.0% 9.3% 2.5% 0.9% 6.0% 9.3% 12) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Joe Biden?
Race Age group Gender
African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or over Female Male
Q12: TRUMPVSBIDEN Donald Trump 24.1% 0.0% 52.1% 38.7% 40.5% 15.9% 48.9% 39.6% 48.2% 41.1% 39.1%
Joe Biden 75.9% 100.0% 44.5% 53.4% 52.2% 58.1% 42.2% 58.7% 51.2% 49.2% 56.5%
Uncertain 0.0% 0.0% 3.5% 7.9% 7.3% 26.1% 8.9% 1.7% 0.5% 9.7% 4.3%
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13) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Elizabeth Warren?
Race Age group Gender
African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or over Female Male
Q13: TRUMPVSWARREN Donald Trump 25.0% 0.0% 60.6% 58.4% 44.5% 26.5% 49.6% 49.1% 44.3% 38.3% 51.2%
Elizabeth Warren 75.0% 100.0% 34.0% 33.7% 48.4% 51.0% 40.9% 48.4% 55.6% 53.8% 42.9%
Uncertain 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 7.9% 7.1% 22.5% 9.5% 2.5% 0.1% 7.8% 5.9%
14) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Pete Buttigieg?
Race Age group Gender
African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or over Female Male
Q14: TRUMPVSBUTTIGIEG Donald Trump 25.0% 0.0% 59.5% 58.4% 41.8% 20.0% 46.5% 47.3% 43.8% 38.1% 46.1%
Pete Buttigieg 40.6% 100.0% 37.0% 32.9% 48.9% 52.4% 38.9% 49.5% 55.6% 51.9% 45.3%
Uncertain 34.4% 0.0% 3.4% 8.7% 9.3% 27.6% 14.6% 3.1% 0.5% 9.9% 8.6%
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15) Assuming you had to vote today for President, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Kamala Harris?
Race Age group Gender
African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or over Female Male
Q15: TRUMPVSHARRIS Donald Trump 25.0% 0.0% 62.0% 60.1% 44.1% 24.1% 49.8% 48.2% 45.7% 38.8% 50.0%
Kamala Harris 75.0% 100.0% 32.6% 20.5% 46.8% 46.8% 36.7% 49.3% 53.9% 51.7% 41.6%
Uncertain 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 19.4% 9.0% 29.0% 13.4% 2.5% 0.4% 9.5% 8.4%
16) Do you think Congress should begin the process to impeach President Trump, which could lead to his removal from office, or do you think Congress should not begin the process?
Race Age group Gender
African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or over Female Male
Q16: IMPEACHTRUMP Do not impeach 59.4% 100.0% 61.4% 66.3% 57.9% 56.6% 61.9% 57.9% 57.3% 52.8% 64.8%
Impeach 40.6% 0.0% 38.6% 33.7% 42.1% 43.4% 38.1% 42.1% 42.7% 47.2% 35.2%
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17) Do you believe President Donald Trump is a racist?
Race Age group Gender
African-American Asian Hispanic Other White/Caucasian 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or over Female Male
Q17: RACISTTRUMP No 25.0% 0.0% 49.0% 58.4% 40.4% 22.0% 44.0% 45.6% 41.2% 37.4% 43.6%
Uncertain 0.0% 0.0% 18.1% 7.9% 10.2% 23.2% 10.0% 6.0% 7.6% 6.7% 13.8%
Yes 75.0% 100.0% 32.9% 33.7% 49.4% 54.8% 46.0% 48.4% 51.2% 55.8% 42.6%
The following questions are for demographic purposes:
1) Are you registered to vote in New Hampshire?
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2) What is your party affiliation?
3) Do you plan on voting in the Republican Presidential Primary or Democratic Presidential Primary in 2020?
18) What is your political ideology ?
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19) Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?
20) What race do you identify yourself as?
21 ) Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?
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22) What is the highest level of education you have completed?
23) How old are you?
24) What is your gender?
