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New Technologies to Shape The Future of Transport: “It’s About the Data” !
Transforming Transportation 2014!
! Presented at Transforming Transportation 2014!
! David E. Pickeral, JD, Transportation Sector Lead!! IBM Industry Smarter Solutions Team!
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation
New Technologies to Shape The Future of Transport: “It’s About the Data” Plenary Session: Transforming Transportation Through Technology
David E. Pickeral, JD Transportation Sector Lead IBM Industry Smarter Solutions Team
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation 3
Computational Engineering challenges
IBM Intelligent Transportation (IIT)
China
Watson Almaden
Austin
Tokyo Haifa
Zurich
India
Dublin
Melbourne
Brazil
Saudi Arabia
Nairobi
• TOAS: Public Transportation Awareness • Urban Dynamics:
• Megaffic: Agent based Traffic Management
• Never Blocked
• Traffic Prediction Tool
• Smarter Traveler
• Multi-modal Transportation Pricing • DOCIT
• Analytics for frugal ITS
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation 4
Data Needed
Transportation Management Solutions – Functionality
Road sensor Movement (Mobile, GPS, etc.)
Transit & Transportation System
Network GIS People count, Behavior
Vehicle location & flow
Journey history, travel time predictions Upcoming travel Actionable information
Optimized transit Routes and scenario Planning Passenger O/D matrices
Decision support for Public transportation Network planning
Predicted time of Arrival Predicted traffic Conditions upto 1-hour ahead
Route performance, Road speed, vehicle location
Optimized prices, Revenue potential Under different rules And assumptions
Journey Management System
Zonal densities and Interzonal O/D matrices
Transit network Simulation and Operational plan Optimization Analysis of passenger Spatio-temporal Distribution Traffic simulation
Dynamic route Reconstruction and Time of arrival prediction
Network-wide Optimization of prices To maximize revenue Or profit
Fare rules
Analyses / Projects
Results Provided
IBM Intelligent Transportation (IIT)
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation 5
Smarter Traveler notifies users in case of transportation incidents
IBM Intelligent Transportation (IIT)
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation 6
Smarter Traveler: Solution Architecture
Driver Services - Transportation Management
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation 7
Traffic Prediction Tool (TPT)
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Little automated use is made of the gigabytes of real-time traffic data today; often, by the time it is received, it is no longer representative of the actual traffic
► Issue: “real-time” is too late
IBM’s TPT provides a layer of intelligence by using sensor data in sophisticated algorithms that create relevant insights from the raw data
► IBM Innovation: forecast the future
TPT accurately forecasts future
traffic conditions, including incidents
volu
me
blue = forecast black = actual red = incident
time
Current Focus Traffic Operations: Variable Message Sign setting; traffic signal timing, ramp metering
Future Use Traffic Planning; Dynamic Road Pricing; congestion based tariff setting; route planning & advice
Extension: Data Expansion (2008 IME) develop algorithm to fill in gaps of real-time sensor data, resulting in a complete picture of future traffic state, network-wide
tool screenshot
IBM Intelligent Transportation (IIT)
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation 8
Typical Scenario:
• A family travels from Birmensdorf (ZH) to the Zoo.
Several possibilities with different • Modes • Connections • Transfers and uncertainties! • Delays • Lack of parking • Traffic jams • …
Use Case 1 Personal Journey Planning
• Provides API to external applications to plan a journey in a multi-modal network and track trip progress
• Re-plan when User is off-track; Events invalidate plan; Events create better opportunities
Use Case 2 Operator facing optimization
• Derive and communicate to operator performance measures based on how the system works for a user
- Account for uncertainties - Performance Metrics: journey times, wait times, missed connections, walk access distances
• Make recommendations on schedule refinements
Dynamic Optimization of Community Intermodal Transportation (DOCIT)
IBM Intelligent Transportation (IIT)
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation 9
Data à Operational, Failure, Usage, Condition, Customer, Location
Data
Assets
• Asset Management • Work Management • Service Management • Inventory / Contract • Procurement Management
EAM
/ SCA
DA
Enterprise Asset Management Scada, Sensors, Inspection, Metering Systems
AD
AM
Descriptive, Predictive and Prescriptive Analytics
Insight, Foresight and Prescriptions
• Maintenance Planning • Maintenance Scheduling • Replacement Planning • Condition Assessment • Failure Cause Analysis • Failure Prediction • Usage Analysis • Customer Analysis
IBM Intelligent Transportation (IIT)
Analytics Driven Asset Management - ADAM
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation 10
PALM: Planning Analytics for Asset Lifecycle Management
Enterprise Asset Management GIS Agency Plan
(O&M + Capital)
Agency Financials
Unified information portal of Region Assets across all agencies Road Water Sanitary / Storm Ponds Bike Paths Signs Pavement Buildings
Cross Agency Project
Identification
Investment Planning – O&M
vs. Capital
Predict Prescribe Coordinate Act
Predictive Analytics
Strategic Needs & Sustainability
Assessment (replace vs. rehab vs. run to failure)
Infrastructure Profile
Profile
IBM Intelligent Transportation (IIT)
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation 11
Thank You
www.linkedin.com/in/pickeral