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Masaryk University Faculty of Economics and Administration Field of study: Financial Management NORMATIVE STANDARDS AND RISKS ANALYSIS FOR BANKS UNDER BASEL III Diploma work Thesis Supervisor: Author: Ing. Dagmar LINNERTOVÁ, Ph.D. BA Ekaterina GOVERT Brno, 2014
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Page 1: NORMATIVE STANDARDS AND RISKS ANALYSIS FOR BANKS … fileNORMATIVE STANDARDS AND RISKS ANALYSIS FOR BANKS UNDER BASEL III Diploma work Thesis Supervisor: Author: Ing. Dagmar LINNERTOVÁ,

Masaryk Universi ty

Facul ty o f Economics and Admin i s t ra t ion

Field of study: Financial Management

NORMATIVE STANDARDS AND RISKS

ANALYSIS FOR BANKS UNDER BASEL III

Diploma work

Thesis Supervisor: Author:

Ing. Dagmar LINNERTOVÁ, Ph.D. BA Ekaterina GOVERT

Brno, 2014

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Abstract

This work aims to investigate the core principles and standards of the Basel III

regulations. The thesis is divided into theoretical and practical parts. This work starts

with a theoretical one, by giving an introduction to the topic and briefly highlighting the

history of Basel agreements. The main theoretical part is about the Basel III accord that

brings new regulations for banks after the crisis of 2008. For this, the document itself,

common literature and available internet sources were used. The practical part includes

analysis of a given single bank with following recommendation concerning the risks,

which is based on the findings of the theory.

Keywords

Basel III, Banks, Risks, Capital, Liquidity Risk, Capital Adequacy, Market risk.

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Author’s Statement

I hereby declare that I worked out the Diploma work Normative standards and risks

analysis for banks under Basel III myself, under the supervision of Ing. Dagmar Linnertová,

and that I stated in it all the literary resources and other specialist sources used according

to legislation, internal regulations of Masaryk University and internal management acts

of Masaryk University and the Faculty of Economics and Administration

Brno, 23.12.2014

hand wr i t t e n s i g na t ur e o f the a u t ho r

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Acknowledgments

This thesis would not have been done without help of many people.

I would like to express my gratitude to my supervisor Ing. Dagmar Linnertová, who

offered very valuable assistance and supervision, but at the same time allowing me to

work on my own.

I would also like to thank my friends for great encouragement.

Above all, I would like to thank my family for their unconditional support and care during

the whole my studies.

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Content

INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................ - 7 -

1. BASEL III AND THE REASONS TO CREATE SUCH A FRAMEWORK ........................ - 9 -

1.1 BASEL III OBJECTIVES ................................................................................................................... - 10 -

1.2 THE HISTORY OF BASEL AGREEMENTS ........................................................................................ - 10 -

1.2.1 The Bank for International Settlements....................................................................... - 10 - 1.2.2 Committee on Banking Supervision of the BIS .......................................................... - 11 -

2 COMPARE ANALYSIS OF BASEL II AND BASEL III .................................................... - 25 -

3 NORMATIVE STANDARDS FOR BANKS ....................................................................... - 33 -

3.1 CAPITAL MANAGEMENT ................................................................................................................ - 33 -

3.1.1 Leverage ratio ......................................................................................................................... - 40 - 3.1.2 Liquidity ..................................................................................................................................... - 43 -

3.2 NEW REQUIREMENTS ON INFORMATION DISCLOSURE ............................................................... - 59 -

3.3 CONTROL OF SYSTEMICALLY IMPORTANT FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ....................................... - 59 -

3.4 FULL-ON RISK COVERAGE ............................................................................................................ - 61 -

4. RISKS ANALYSIS FOR BANKS ............................................................................................ - 67 -

CONCLUSION ............................................................................................................................... - 79 -

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Introduction

Banks as financial institutions are dealing with a lot of risk. In this case risk management

is an important activity that helps banks to maintain adequate amounts of capital and

liquidity not to forget about the liabilities that stay within the limits. For the purpose to

guarantee that banks are still reliable institutions for customers and governments there

were created special regulations and standards that can be used globally.

The global economic crisis of 2008 has provided an opportunity for a core restructuring

of the approach to risk and regulation in the financial sector. The Basel Committee on

Banking Supervision (BCBS) has reached an agreement on the changes to strengthen

global capital and liquidity rules with the goal of promoting a more resilient banking

sector, which is being referred to as “Basel III.” This is the latest accord of several of them

- so-called Basel I and Basel II accords. In Basel III includes lot of restrictions that

strengthen bank capital requirements.

This topic is very actual nowadays, as the Basel committee on Banking Supervision is

implementing the new standards for bank regulation covering some specific issues. As it

is obligatory for banks to fulfill these international rules, and therefore it is very important

to realize what Basel III is, which matters it covers and which steps should banks take to

be able to act according to these new standards. And especially in economically uncertain

times, banks need to base their decisions on good and reliable research and tools, as even

minor mistakes or incorrect risk valuation can cause huge financial problems. In addition,

these extra restrictions under Basel III regulations leave banks in unease uncertainty if

they will be able to live up all the new regulations and in the same time to maximize the

profit. The reason why it is important to understand the new standards of the accord to

know the best ways for banks to perform with new rules implemented in their activity.

The objectives of the thesis

The outcome of this thesis will be an analysis of Basel III normative standards and

possible problems of implementation in the bank activities. In order to achieve that, the

thesis will be divided into two parts.

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The theoretical part aims to explain the main idea of the Basel III regulations, the

historical insight of Basel’s agreements and the difference between previous Basel

documents and to provide knowledge about how banks have to change organization

process to fit the new standards. In the practical part I will study the problems of

implementation on the Basel III on the example of some banks.

The main research questions are:

1. What are new regulations for banks?

2. How can a bank implement Basel III regulations in its activity and what problems

it can face?

Methods of implementation

For this thesis primary and secondary data is used. Sources vary from books and articles

to official documents from institutions involved (mainly Bank for International

Settlements). Since the area of research is very wide and questionable, especially articles

from Basel III experts and financial experts are important to consider.

The prime document “Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks

and banking systems” and additional documents on specific questions issued by Basel

Committee on Banking Supervision are used as the primary source. For obtaining data of

the banks the Internet sources were used.

Limitations

The biggest challenge while writing this thesis lies within the fast changing economic

reality (and in some cases political) which affects the implementation of the Basel III

regulations. Also the controversial opinions on Basel III make it difficult to make a clear

view on the regulations. Even some articles might not be relevant anymore, because of

economic situation is not stable. Also each section of Basel III accord deserves the detailed

study, so it was a challenge to get deep insight into this regulation.

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1. Basel III and the reasons to create such a framework

The first chapter will serve as an introduction into the topic.

Basel III is a regulatory standard that is spread globally and concentrates on the capital

adequacy, market liquidity risk and stress testing of banks. It was created by the Basel

Committee on the Banking Supervision in 2010-2011 and permanently revised and

changed. The implementation of the Basel III began in 2013 and is supposed to be finish

in 2018-2019. The need for the development of such a regulation came as the response to

the unsuccessfulness of the previous regulation in preventing the financial crisis of 2008.

The idea of the Basel III is to strengthen and enhance the banking regulatory framework,

which were provided in the former Basel II agreement and also it introduces requirement

for regulations on bank liquidity and a leverage ratio to fix the uncontrolled banking

activity.

Basel III builds on the Basel I and Basel II documents, and seeks to improve the banking

sector's ability to deal with financial and economic stress, improve risk management and

strengthen the banks' transparency. The focus of Basel III is to foster greater resilience at

the individual bank level in order to reduce the risk of system wide shocks.

The main idea of these standards and guidelines (Basel I, Basel II and Basel III) is to reduce

the probability for banks to face insolvency. In order to do that banks face the necessity

of reserving more capital than they might want to because reserving the capital lead to

extra costs – stakeholders are willing to get the return on equity, and increasing the

amount of capital reserved leads to less money to be earned. From the other hand there

are demands from supervisory authorities who will make it more difficult to successfully

operate without following the standards and regulations. All these elements force banks

to find the balance between profitability, liquidity and solvency. In addition the unclear

and unstable economic period we face nowadays hits the banks to concerns of survival

then to make extra profit.

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1.1 Basel III objectives

According to the BCBS, the Basel III proposal has two main objectives:

First: to strengthen global capital and liquidity regulations with the goal of promoting a

more resilient banking sector.

Second: to improve the banking sector's ability to absorb shocks arising from financial

and economic stress, which in turn, would reduce the risk of a spillover from the financial

sector to the real economy.

To achieve such aims, the Basel III sets three proposals, the main areas of them are:

Reformation of Capital (including quality and quantity of the capital, complete risk

coverage, leverage ratio and the introduction of capital conservation buffers, and a

counter-cyclical capital buffer).

The second block is Liquidity reform (short-term and long-term ratios).

And the third is connected with other elements ranging from general improvements to

the stability of the financial system.

I will describe the novation in Basel III in details in the following chapters.

1.2 The history of Basel agreements

The timeline of Basel accords will be provided in this section. It is necessary to obtain the

understanding how the Bank for International Settlements was created as the Basel

agreements are the work of this organization. Moreover the Basel’s timeline will

dramatically show how each next accord was improved in comparison to the earlier ones.

The timeline is also illustrated graphically below in the text. (Figure 2).

1.2.1 The Bank for International Settlements

To have a full insight of the whole “universe” of Basel agreements and who creates them,

we begin with providing the information about the Bank for International Settlements

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(BIS). This is an organization that was established in 1930 and is not controlled by any

government.

BIS is the oldest international financial organization established on 17 May 1930, for the

purpose to regulate money transactions according to the Treaty of Versailles. The main

mission of the BIS is to serve central banks in their financial stability and to improve

international cooperation in the financial sphere. (1)

Also the Bank for International Settlements serves as a bank for central banks.

It is obvious now that the BIS is a very important organization for banks because of its

regulation of capital adequacy and it insists in transparency of reserves in order to create

and keep a financial safety net.

1.2.2 Committee on Banking Supervision of the BIS

The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has its origins in the financial market

turmoil that followed the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system of managed exchange

rates in 1973. 1 This system collapsed and many banks faced large foreign currency losses,

especially after the bankruptcy of Herstatt Bank on 26 of June 1974. This bank was a

private bank with the headquarter in Cologne, which was one of the 40 largest German

banks according to asset value in the end of 1973. The president of the USA R. Nixon

officially cancelled dollar convertibility into gold, and with this renovation he put an end

to Bretton-Wood system of fixed exchange rates. After this decision the great speculative

activity arose in money market and Herstatt Bank was also participating in these

activities. The operations of the Head of the money market department was almost out of

any control and as the result his open foreign-currency position turned out to be 80 times

higher than the established standards in 1974. The wrong strategy leaded to a loss, and

German federal authority of banking supervision revoke the license of Herstatt Bank and

foreign currency positions were closed forcefully. These events tremendously affected the

1 Bretton Woods system is a set of multilateral agreements on international economic relations, negotiated at the UN Monetary and Financial Conference held in July 1944.

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counterparties of the bank, as they had bought USA dollars from Herstatt Bank and paid

for them with the German currency but did not received the USD currency as it was the

end of the operating day. The next day all the positions of Herstadd Bank were closed

which leaded to the bankruptcy of other banks. (2)

In response to this and other disruptions in the international financial markets, the

central bank governors of G101 countries established a Committee on Banking

Regulations and Supervisory Practices at the end of 1974, later it was renamed as the

Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. The Committee was designed as a forum for

regular cooperation between its member countries on banking supervisory matters. Its

aim was and is to enhance financial stability by improving supervisory knowhow and the

quality of banking supervision worldwide.

According to the official information provided by Bank for International Settlements

after starting life as a G10 body, the Committee expanded its membership in 2009 and

again in 2014 and now includes 28 jurisdictions. The Committee now also reports an

oversight body, the Group of central Bank Governors and Heads of Supervision (GHOS),

which comprises central bank governors and (non-central bank) heads of supervision

from member countries. The member countries are the following: Argentina, Australia,

Belgium, Brazil, Canada, China, European Union, France, Germany, Hong Kong SAR,

India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, Netherlands, Russia, Saudi

Arabia, Singapore, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, United Kingdom

and the United States.

Countries are represented on the Committee by their central bank and also by the

authority with formal responsibility for the prudential supervision of banking business

where this is not the central bank. (3)

The primary objective of the Committee is the implementation of the unitary standards in

bank regulations sphere. With this objective in view, Committee on Banking Supervision

1 In fact there were 12 of them: Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland, Great Britain, the USA and Luxembourg.

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develops the directives and recommendations for regulatory authorities of member-

states. This recommendations are not obligatory to fulfill, nevertheless, they are reflected

in the national legal system of the member-states. The directives and recommendation

development is performed with the banks and regulatory authorities cooperation world-

wide reasoning the implementation not only in the Committee member-states but in other

states as well. So even though it is said that the regulations shall not be subject to

compulsory implementation, in reality, banks and other financial institutions cannot fully

cooperate internationally if they have not implemented the standards and requirements.

In European Union it is obligatory to follow Basel’s regulations for mutual integration of

EU member-states.

For instance, the Basel II framework was implemented in more than 100 countries.

The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision reports to the presidents of central banks

and non-central bank heads of supervision on bank activity of top ten industry-developed

countries and actively cooperates with the non-member states.

The Basel Committee core documents are considered as following:

Basel Core Principles on Effective Banking Supervision;

Basel I (1988)

The core idea which pushed the committee to create such a regulation was the

understanding that the competition in the banking sector needs to have “one set of rules”

for everyone considering owner’s equity, otherwise banks while trying to get extra profit

are going to risk the long-term well-being and preserving the money of investors. (4)

In 1988 the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision completed the Basel Capital Accord

after years of deliberations that followed the Latin American sovereign defaults of 1982

and at the same time having minimum level of owner’s capital because of sharp

competition. Basel I became that first standard on base of which other regulations for

banking supervision were created. The Basel Accord was established with two

fundamental objectives: to strengthen the soundness and stability of the international

banking system and to obtain “a high degree of consistency in its application to banks in

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different countries with a view to diminishing an existing source of competitive inequality

among international banks.” (5) To sum up the main idea, the regulation document

establish for the banks meet a minimum capital ratio of minimum of 8% of total risk-

weighted assets.

According to this document the bank capital for regulative purposes has to be subdivided

in to two categories – the first-level capital (Tier I) and the second-level capital (Tier II).

All assets of the bank are grouped in five categories according to the credit risk. Banks

with international presence were required to have capital equal to 8 percent of the risk-

weighted assets. The only exception to the 8 percent rule was when the loan was

collateralized.

The first level capital must consist of common equity and disclosed reserves. Only this

elements of capital are capable to merge loss and going concern.

The second level capital consists of all other elements of capital, which BCBS considered

to be important, legitimate and worth to be included into capital for regulative aims:

Undisclosed reserves (the items that are not in the balance sheet or hidden, but

still are considered as an asset).

Revaluation reserves

Hybrid instruments (securities that combine two or more financial instruments of

different type, generally combining both debt and equity features).

Subordinated term debt (a loan or security that ranks below other loans or

securities taking into the account the claim on assets or earnings). It is 50% of the

first level capital with the condition to pay it not less than after 5 years with

amortization included. (4)

The deduction in the amount of business worthiness and investments in non-consolidated

bank and financial subsidiary companies is considered from the total sum of the first level

capital and the second level capital by Basel I.

BCBS considers that for the optimal indication of bank’s capital adequacy, the capital must

be compared with the risk-weighted assets. BCBS distinguish two types of risk: loan risk

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as a risk of the counterparty’s default, and political risk. Liquidity risk and operational risk

are not taken into consideration in Basel I. There are four weights that are granted to

different class of assets: 0%, 20%, 50% and 100% as the reader can see on the table below.

Table 1: Risk weights per asset class 1

Risk weight Asset Class

0% Cash, Sovereign bonds

20% Claims on OECD banks; Claims on

municipalities

50% Residential mortgages

100% Assets involving business; Personal

consumer loans assets involving non-

OECD governments

Source: International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards

Basel I also defines that the amount of Tier 2 capital may not exceed the amount of Tier 1

capital. That means at least 4% of the risk weighted assets should be Tier 1 capital. (5)

Basel I is now widely viewed as outmoded. The world has changed influenced by the

development of the financial conglomerates, financial innovation and risk management,

but in the 1990s it became an international standard in keeping the capital adequacy and

was implemented in more than 100 states worldwide.

Still I will highlight the most visible advantages and disadvantages of first accord.

Basel’s I advantage is that it is relatively easy to monitor and to do the calculations. The

main data for calculations of the capital adequacy is the composition and value on the

credit and trading portfolio.

The disadvantage is that the bank is seen as a very general system when the bank’s only

concern is to borrow and lend the money. It is known that in the reality bank’s operation

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stretches out of the borders of this simple scheme, they are more dynamic and are

involved in many more occupations. As it was stated above many types of risks such as

risks associated with securities are not included in this regulation. Moreover, Basel I

offers no control over Off-Balance Sheet Instruments (OBSI) – for example, options and

other derivatives.

The absolute size of a loan is only taken into consideration - is another disadvantage.

What is more to add, Basel I does not take into consideration the borrower himself. So in

this case an unsecured loan to an AAA customer is treated the same way as an unsecured

loan to a customer that is on the bankruptcy edge. Clearly, that this omits a lot of risks and

in this connection the amount of required risk premium estimated with this very general

position can be underestimated.

Figure 1; Core Components of Basel I

Source: International Convergence of Capital measurement and capital standards, Basle Committee on

Banking Supervision

Bas

el I

(co

re p

illar

s)

Bank's Capital must be no less then 8% of risk-

weighted assets

Capital consists of 2 Tiers

Loan risk only considered

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Basel II (published on the June 26th 2004).

Figure 2: Timeline of Basel Accords implementation.

Basel II takes into consideration a lot more spheres for regulations and supervision then

Basel I. The Basel’s II approach is based not on one, but three pillars: the minimal

requirements to the capital (based on the Basel I), supervisory review and market

discipline. Therefore, the existed from the Basel I framework on the calculation on

minimum capital adequacy, which proved its effectiveness, was improved with the

supervisory review and cooperation of banks with supervisory authorities, and the broad

system of information disclosure. The idea of three pillars to implement was to create a

mutual affect from using these pillars that leads to the increased effectiveness of all of

three.

The first pillar is for estimating the owner’s equity adequacy considering loan risk, market

risk and operational risk with the help of standardized and advanced methods.

•07.1988 Publication of Basel I

•07.1988 Publication of the capital accord to incorporate market risks

•12.1992 Implementation of Basel I

•12.1997 Implementation of methodology of measurement market risks

Basel I

•06.2004 Publication of Basel II

•06.2006 Implementation of Basel II

•12.2007 Implimentation of additional regulations of Basel II

Basel II

•07.2009 Publication of Rules of securitization and credit institution trading portfolio formation.

•12.2009 Publication of the Basel III draft

•11.2010 Confirmation of the Basel III project

•12.2011 Implementation of Rules of 07.2009

•01.2013 The beginning of implementation of Basel III

•01.2019 Accomplishment of the implementation of Basel IIIBasel III

Source: BIS history overview (1)

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For evaluation of loan risk it may apply the standard approach and two other approaches

– Internal Rating Based (IRB-approaches). Standard approach is the approach that was

used in Basel I: assets with the concrete level of loan risk are granted with specific risk

weight (0%, 20%, 50%, 100% and plus new one – 150%) based on the external ratings of

the rating agencies. The novation is that loan derivatives, guarantees and cover funds are

widely used as they lower risks of assets. IRB-approaches are developing the

implemented in 1996 practice of market risk estimation by banks themselves, but now

the loan risk is added. Using this data bank does not need to rely only on rating agencies,

but evaluate the probability of loss and possibility of some costs. (6) This information is

the main one to figure out the capital adequacy. There are two IRB- approaches – the

standard IRB-approach (SA) (see the Table 2 below) and advanced IRB-approach (AIRB)

(see on the Figure 3 below). Which approach to use is depend of whether the bank has the

right to indicate an investor’s default risk or bank has the right to estimate other

parameters to calculate credit risk. To get the right to use both of these two approaches,

banks need to fulfill special requirements and to get approval from supervision entity.

According to IRB-approaches, minimal capital adequacy is calculated upon analysis of 5

classes of assets: corporate, banking, sovereign, retail and securities. To define assets to

one or another class it is necessary to analyze the counterparties bank has a cooperation

with. There is a special risk-measurement scale that’s indicates the most and less common

risks. When evaluating counterparty the probability of default (PD), the loss given default

(LGD) and exposure of default (EAD) and maturity date are estimated. (6)

Table 2: Basel II: Standard approach for RWA

Clients with investing rating Private sector Public sector

From AAA to AA- 20% 0%

From A+ to A- 50% 50%

From BBB+ to BB- 100% 100%

Less than BB- 150% 150%

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Clients without investing rating

Mortgage 35%

Other mortgage loans and rent

of real estate

50%

Loans to individuals, small and

medium-sized enterprises

75%

Loans to corporate customers 100%

Source: International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards, Basel Committee on

Banking Supervision

Advanced IRB is used by most of the European banks and 100% of American banks. This

model is developed by each bank individually and must meet the requirements of

supervisory authorities.

Figure 3: Basel II: Advanced IRB approach 1

Source: Based on the information provided in this research.

It is important that EAD and LGD can be measured solely by banks only if they use

advanced IRB-approach, in standard one these parameters are calculated and presented

by supervisory authority.

A few words about market and operational risks. The methods to evaluate market risks

remained almost unchanged in comparison with the methods that were issued in 1996.

EAD RRW RWA

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Operational risk and its evaluation is a novel in Basel II. So what is the operational risk?

This is a form of risk that summarizes the risks a company or firm undertakes when it

attempts to operate within a given field or industry. Operational risk is the risk that

remains after determining financing and systematic risk, and includes risks that is caused

from breakdowns and mistakes in internal procedures, people and systems. (4)

The methods of distinguishing the capital tier I and capital tier II remained the same and

the final minimum capital requirements remained 8% from RWA having minimum 4% of

Capital Tier 1.

Basel III (published in 2010), which norms are being implemented from 2013 to

2018.

Basel III focuses both on micro-level (to strengthen the steadiness of particular banking

institutions) and macro-level (to prevent the incurrence of system risks and

procyclicality). Basel III contains the three main problems’ solution that were revealed

during the analysis of the crisis’s reasons.

The first issue is capital inadequacy and its low quality. The financial crisis showed that

because of the flexibility of market regulators in relation to innovative financial

instruments there were cases when the instruments had been made relate to the capital

Tier I and Tier 2 that did not have absorbing capacity of bank’s loss in the context of doing

business as a going concern and in the context of break off operation respectively.

Moreover as banks had the right to abstract regulatory revisions (mainly business

reputation) from the Capital Tier I and Tier II together, instead of core capital Tier I, they

were reporting the high level of core Tier 1 when in fact it was not true. Basel III contains

the regulations that are to get rid of these weaknesses. We will study them and following

points closely in next chapters.

The second problem that was revealed during the crisis is inadequacy of weighted ratios

while studying risk-weighted assets. There were a lot of wrongly estimated risk-weighted

assets that resulted to inconsistency of leveled regulatory capital and actual risk of a bank.

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The third very important issue to highlight – is an imprudent manner of managing

liquidity. On the one hand, bank’s assets consist of long-term repayment instruments, on

the other hand, liabilities are lack of regular and stable

The main changes of Basel III in comparison to Basel II are in calculations of bank capital,

prudential requirements to capital and prudential requirements to liquidity. Basel III

imposed “additional capital buffers”, (i) a mandatory “capital conservation buffer” of 2.5%

and (ii) a “discretionary counter-cyclical buffer”. (7)

Summarizing the abovementioned, it is clear that in the process of developing the

regulations and standards from Basel I to Basel III BCBS was also increasing and

improving the level of understanding the demands of banking system and with each new

step was stricter to banks while realizing the importance of main bank risks. Basel I

contained the regulation on capital adequacy of banks considering the loan and country

risks then the market risk was added. Loan risk, market risk and operational risk were set

up in Basel II.

If Basel I was mainly about capital adequacy, then Basel II paid attention for the necessity

of the reasonable supervision on banks and information disclosure of financial position of

bank and risks. Basel III expanded these ideas and reflected them in the understanding of

the prevention of procyclical growth of banking sector.

Basel I was a pioneer work and could not be the document in final version as all those

experts who were involved in preparing Basel I had very different vision on it and in this

case the first regulations contained only approved by everyone rules. Basel II had already

some basis that made the issue of the new standards a bit easier. It contains more details

on regulations of different aspects of banking operation and supervision, but because of

no strong stress or urgent situations on markets or in economy in general it was not very

strict and had some lobbied parts that turned out to be the weakest ones for banks. Basel

III is considered to be an answer to the crisis in 2008 and therefore is the toughest one

among all the BCBS’s documents. It is known that huge financial institutions were trying

to lobby some of the regulations, but the document has remained almost unchanged, only

some questioned articles were allowed to change a bit.

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Studying Basel III and its influence in banking sector without studying the core ideas and

influence of its predecessors – Basel I and Basel II – is limiting the full understanding of

the topic of this thesis. Comparative analysis of standards of all of three accords will bring

the conception of the regulatory requirements‘ progress in banking sphere. At the same

time the compare analysis of Basel II and Basel III will give us the insight of the main

standards and risks for banks under Basel III what is the main question of this research.

To sum up what was said before, there is a table that describes the core changes.

Table 3: The Comparison of Basel Accords.

Basel I Basel II Basel III

Methodology Methodological

approaches to define

and estimate the

regulatory capital

strictly defined by Basel

Committee.

Oriented on the

quantitative indicators

of capital adequacy.

Allowances of using

inner bank’s

methodology to

determine the risks.

Oriented on the

qualitative indicators.

To the quantitative

requirements it is

added the second and

the third component –

supervisory process

and market discipline.

The option of using

inner bank’s

methodology to

determine the risks is

maintained.

Introduction of norms,

the payments to owners

and to directors depend

on the fulfilment of

those norms.

Implementation of

requirements

connected with the

organization of bank

supervision on

adherence of capital

adequacy norms and

the adherence of

market discipline.

Requirements to

the capital

Differentiation of

coefficients of capital

adequacy is provided

Differentiation of

coefficients of capital

adequacy is depending

The structure change

of the stockholder

equity of banks.

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only according to the

credit rating of the state.

on the credit risk of

each borrower.

The risk sensitivity

increases.

The increase of the

requirements to capital

adequacy.

The creation of back up

buffer

The creation of the

mechanism of

countercyclical

regulation.

Risks Coverage of only credit

risk.

Application of

standardized approach

to measure the risk,

which is determined by

Basel Committee.

Coverage of the credit

risks, market risks and

operational risks.

The possibility to

choose the approach to

measure the risks based

on the inner ratings.

The possibility to

involve independent

rating agencies to

evaluate the risks.

Coverage of credit

risks, market risks and

operational risks.

The possibility to

choose the approaches

to measure the risks

based on the inner

ratings.

The possibility to

involve the

independent rating

agencies to measure the

risks.

The necessity of

separate estimation of

risks of credit and

market portfolio of the

bank.

Transparency and

information disclosure

approach on the risk

taking of the bank and

risk management.

Source: Basel I, Basel II and Basel III accords,.

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2 Compare analysis of Basel II and Basel III

In this chapter I will closely study the changes that brings Basel III agreement in

comparison to Basel II.

Basel II was released in 2004 after many issues of Basel I that showed that the regulations

must be reviewed and changed. But the financial collapse in 2008 showed that the

cornerstone conception (to avoid crisis) of Basel I and Basel II has failed and the world is

still fixing the consequences of those events.

In 2007 there were the first signs of the crisis that had its peak in September 2008 and

then transformed to the world-wide economic crisis. The epicenter of the crisis was the

mortgage loans market in the USA. While the economy was increasing American banks

started giving the mortgage loans to the borrowers of very low class of borrowing capacity

and then were securitizing a pool of loans granted (in other words, they were secure issue

of bonds with the payments flow of mortgage loans, sell them to investors and actually it

was an “exchange” of the long-term loans to liquid assets). They were expecting the price

for real estate grows permanently and in this case even unemployed borrower could pay

back the loan by selling the house. As the result rating agencies started to give the rating

AAA for all of abovementioned types of bonds (MBS and created CDO). So banks who were

investors in MBS and CDO did not reserved enough capital that was increasing the risk of

potential default of MBS and CDO. The first defaults happened in 2007 because in 1006

the price growth on real estate in the USA stopped. MBS and CDO defaults leaded to the

necessity to retain the loss by banking institutions. But banking institutions are able to do

only from their own capital, but the capital adequacy was not on the proper level. As the

result Lehman Brothers went bankrupt, Merill Lynch was bought by Bank of America,

Bear Stearns was bought by JP Morgan Chase. A lot of banks get the financial support from

the government in exchange of their shares.

There was another factor that lead for AAA rating of the mortgage bonds. The new product

was introduced to the market – credit-default swap (CDS). The idea of that product was

that in exchange to a regularly paid premium company A (for example bank) sells to

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company B (it can be also a bank) the insurance for default in the bond that is set in the

agreement between the A and B. If default is happened with that bond, the company B

would have received the compensation from company A in the amount according to the

agreement. So we see that when company B buys CDS it can hedging itself from the risk

of borrowers default on that bond. It means that company B can consider this bond as

non-risky and not to reserve any money for the case of the default (the money reserve is

created only for company A). The market liked CDS a lot, and CDS started to be sold “in

one pack” with MBS and CDO (hedging the default risk of bonds with the mortgage

coverage, what resulted to even lower risk for the investors of MBS and CDO with this

bonds. CDA were emitted by the largest banks and insurance companies and it made the

investors of MBS and CDO to consider counterparties as the parties with minimum level

of loan risk, and again means to reserve the minimum amount of money.

In September 2008 after Lehman Brothers default that had been investing a lot in MBS

and CDO, AIG’s nationalization and the faced obstacles for most of the financial institutes

that were operating with Lehman Brothers and AIG and suffered a lot of the

consequences, the world society had a reasonable question: “Who is going to be next?”

The size of the operations, their exact amount with MBS, CDO and CDS was known only

for banks themselves because of limited disclosure of the information on operating with

that exact bonds). All these consequences lead as a result to the liquidity crisis in the

world financial crisis, as banks were afraid to provide the loans to other banks. It was

totally unexpected for who is going to default next. So even if some banks were brave

enough to give a loan, they were offering it with tremendously high interest rate. All these

events were like a domino effect. The high interest rate in bank sector lead to high interest

rates for loans in real economy sphere. Customers were not able to pay suppliers because

of no money and no possibility to take a loan in the bank; suppliers were not paying wages,

employees were not spending money on products because of no wage. In the final result

all these lead to the shock in economy globally, the decrease of manufacturing level and

enormous amount of people to be fired. Now we see how the bank crisis happen to create

the worldwide economy crisis. The governments all around the world faced the necessity

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to get involved and to help with the “injections” of money in banking system and by

providing the guarantees to real sector of economy. But now that’s still a great question if

those actions really helped to prevent the larger losses or it was just a temporary solution,

and we can face the worse results in some period of time.

In the BCBS report to G-20 it was claimed that this financial crisis helped to figure out the

weak points of the International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital

Standards (Basel II) that was in force in that time. Even though these norms had the

strongest effect on banks activities in the last 20 years, the implemented changes were

not enough to prevent or at least to make less fall-out connected to global financial

turmoil. The will of banks to get more profit on speculations was not restricted with the

existing regulations. To be more specific banks had too high level of loan capital with

which they were organizing those speculations, but low level and adequacy of its own

capital, what resulted as inability to cover the losses with their own capital; moreover

there was low level of liquidity that didn’t allow banks to overcome the banking crisis of

loans. (8)

Crisis enabled regulators to see that it is necessary to direct more attention to the quality

and structure of the capital, credit portfolio diversification, standards of liquidity

management and other bank activities, including the so-called “club approach” in risk

management. As the result BCBS has developed new version of the norms – Basel III, that

have to strengthen stability of global financial system and prevention of new global

financial crisis. (In Appendix 1 there is the list of the documents that are the base of new

accord).

The new agreement does not abrogate the previous agreement (Basel II) but supplements

it, and also is oriented to dispose of the following weaknesses:

1. In terms of management and estimation of capital adequacy (Pillar I):

1.1. Non-concrete usage of terms and definitions;

1.2. Insufficient level of demands to the bank’s capital

1.3. Absence of fees for the high concentration of credit and market portfolio of

the bank

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1.4. The absence of the correction for the state risk

1.5. Procyclicality and risk sensitivity of offered models

1.6. Allowance of subjectivity in relation to the input data;

2. In terms of implementation of prudential control standards (Pillar II):

2.1. Insufficient attention to counteragent’s risks on derivative securities

transactions;

3. In the terms of bank’s market discipline (Pillar 3)

3.1. Incorrectness of information’s disclosure requirements. (7)

The main requirements of Basel III are target bank system stability increase of the

Committee member-states in relation to the financial and economic crisis, improvement

the quality of bank risk management, increase of transparency and standards of

information disclosure for financial institutions.

Basel II was criticized due to some limits such as unclear and insufficient capital

definition, lack of liquidity monitoring and procyclical effect. Accordingly, Basel III has

carried out important reforms especially focusing on those provisions that were not

sufficient. On the graph below reader can see how the capital definition and general

understanding of this element has changed.

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Figure 4: Capital requirements Basel II/Basel 2.5 vs. Basel III

Source: Accenture 1

In comparison with Basel II, Basel III provide a time frame during which the financial

institutions must progressively increase their capital ratios and to achieve a CET 1 capital

ratio of 9.5% and to a total capital ratio of 13% (including two capital buffers) in 2019.

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Figure 5:Phase-in arrangements Basel III capital requirements.

Source: Accenture 2

So if to provide the structural information about the core changes in Basel III to Basel II it

is necessary to highlight the following:

1. An unclear definition of capital turns out to be more specific and in detail to

increase quality, consistency and transparency of the capital base. In Basel III Tier

I capital is going concern capital including common equity tier I capital and

additional tier 1 capital, Tier 2 capital is gone concern capital and Tier 3 capital is

eliminated.

2. The mark-to-market losses were not captured in case of counterparty default or

Credit Valuation Adjustments (CVAs) and now are fixed with the increased capital

requirements: capital charge for potential mark-to-market losses, higher

standards for collateral management and initial margining and higher capital

requirements for OTC derivatives exposures. The objective of it was to reinforce

the Counterparty Credit Risk management.

3. Basel II had a pro-cyclicality of the banking system, tending to boost the amplitude

of the business cycle. Basel III presents new capital buffers: - Capital conservation

buffer of 2.5% and Countercyclical buffer of 0-2.5% depending on macroeconomic

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circumstances. The aim is to reduce pro-cyclicality and avoid the destabilizing

effects experienced in the last crisis.

4. New leverage ratio was introduced in Basel III, in which leverage cap of 3% is

under test and this ratio is volume based and not risk adjusted (on-and off-balance

sheet items). The ratio is necessary to constrain the build-up of leverage and to

avoid destabilizing deleveraging processes as while Basel II there were no

significant changes in the assessment of derivatives and off-balance sheet items.

5. New liquidity standard with two ratios (Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) and Net

Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) is a novel in Basel III. BCBS hopes with the help of this

new standard to promote short-term resilience of a bank’s liquidity risk profile by

ensuring that it has sufficient high quality liquid assets to survive a stress scenario

lasting one month and to promote resilience over the longer term by creating

additional incentives for a bank to fund its activities with more stable sources of

funding. Before new regulations it was a lack of monitor of funding gap between

deposits and loans.

6. The new standard requires to perform internal rating alongside external ratings

and incorporate eligibility criteria for the use of external ratings. This standard is

necessary for reduction of reliance on external rating and minimize cliff effects.

Old regulations showed over-reliance on the rating agencies to determine the

riskiness of assets.

The Table 4 below shows briefly the core changes in Basel III to Basel II and weak part of

old document and how they are fixed in new accord.

Table 4. The weak points of Basel II and their improvement in Basel III.

BASEL II BASEL III

The capital definition was not specific Now it is detailed, and with explanations

Mark-to market losses were not taken in to consideration

Fixed with stricter capital requirements

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Pro-cyclicality tendency Countercyclicality (creating new buffers to reduce pro-cyclicality)

No significant changes in the assessment of derivatives and off-balance sheet items

Leverage ratio is introduced

Lack of monitor of funding gap between deposits and loans

creating a stable funding by ratios: LCR and NSFR

Over-reliance on the rating agencies Performance of internal rating and external rating

Source: Basel II and Basel III accords

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3 Normative standards for banks

Now let us have a closer insight of the Basel III standards. It stands to mention that Basel

III does not intent to have more complex models (what was expected) and to withhold the

risk sensitive in the approaches that were created in Basel II. At the same time new reform

allows for requirements and definitions toughening and considers direct transition from

recommendations to provisions. That means for instance, that if bank does not accord

with new standards of capital adequacy, then the direct constraints shall apply on bank,

in the form of liability to “conserve” the certain amount of profit (40%-100%) in the

following year and decreasing the dividend payout for shareholders.

In general meaning Basel III can be divided in to two great parts: capital management and

liquidity management.

3.1 Capital management

Capital management under Basel III consists of three pillars. The first pillar is the capital

itself, the second pillar is risk coverage and the third one is market discipline.

As I were mentioning not once in this research the revealed problems during the crisis of

2008 that were reflected in new regulations. So now Basel III performs a new definition

of capital with a greater focus on common equity (the highest component of a bank’s

capital).

The capital structure got more advanced than it was described for example in Basel II

regulation. Now there are the following components of capital: Tier 1 Capital (which is

going-concern capital) consists of two elements – Common Equity Tier 1 and Additional

Tier 1; and Tier 2 Capital (gone-concern capital). As it is said in the Basel III global

regulatory framework for more resilient bank and banking systems, for “each of the three

categories above there is a single set of criteria that instruments are required to meet before

inclusion in the relevant category.” (7)

Common Equity Tier 1 must be at least 4.5% of risk-weighted assets at all the time; Tier

1 Capital must be at least 6.0% of risk-weighted assets at all the time and Total Capital

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(equals to sum of Tier 1 Capital and Tier 2 Capital) must be at least 8.0% of risk-weighted

assets at all the time. (7)

So let us make the graphical image of what is capital look like and what is included in it:

Table 5: The capital structure according to Basel III

CAPITAL

Common Equity

Tier I

Common shares issued by the bank

Stock surplus/share premium

Retained earnings

Accumulated other comprehensive income and other disclosed reserves

Common shares issued by consolidated subsidiaries of the bank and held by third parties

Non-controlling interests

Tier 2 capital Term subordinated debt

Perpetual subordinated debt

Collective impairments provisions

Certain loans loss provisions

Revaluation reserves

Hybrid instruments

Additional Tier I

capital

Preference shares

Innovative Tier I securities

Tax on the excess of expected losses over provisions

Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking system

The crisis experience showed that only capital of high quality is useful to absorb

unexpected losses. Therefore new capital definition helps banks to increase the amount

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of high quality capital. This is not a one-moment process, and in this connection Basel III

offers a timeline for slowly increase of capital demands. Through this way banks will be

capable to work on creating a more steady capital base that will make them more loss

absorbing and more reliable and stable in the future.

The most important capital ratios are the Tier 1 capital ratio and the CET1 (common

equity tier 1) capital ratio.

The table below shows this capital transition throughout the timeline.

Table 6: Capital ratios in Basel III

RATIO YEAR Basel III

CET 1 ratio 2012

2013

2014

2015-2019

2.0%

3.5%

4.0%

4.5%

Tier 1 ratio 2012

2013

2014

2015-2019

4.0%

4.5%

5.5%

6.0%

Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking system

Also note the individual bank minimum capital conservation standards that are fixed in

the following table:

Table 7: Min. capital conservation standards for individual bank.

Common equity tier 1 ratio Min. capital conservation ratio

4.5%-5.13% 100%

5.13%-5.75% 80%

5.75%-6.38% 60%

6.38%-7.0% 40%

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>7.0% 0%

Source: Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking system.

The distribution constraints imposed on banks when their capital levels are into the range

increase as the banks’ capital levels approach the under the very minimum of the

requirements.

Basel III does not establish the direct relation of Tier 1 Capital and Tier 2 Capital, but it is

considered to set this relation through the minimal requirements to the capital adequacy

to cover the risks (7):

%5,41

RWA

capitaltierequityCommon ;

%6capital1Tier

RWA

;

%8capitalregulatory Total

RWA

To sum up the information on Basel III capital ratios there is a graph (see Figure 6) on

which it is clearly understandable how the capital ratios are implemented through the

time.

As it was said before the novel of Basel III is a Capital Conservation Buffer of 2.5%, which

has to consist of Common equity Tier1 capital. In this chapter I am going to take a closer

look to this new regulation.

Capital Conservative Buffer is necessary to set up the stability to individual and system

risks. Conservative Buffer is implemented as an extra support for banks in the periods of

“system” problems, in fact being an insurance system for banks in case of the stress with

system causes. This Basel III’s requirements are also to demolish possible imperfections

of regulations including the contagion risk. Contagion risk is the risk that “referred to as a

systemic risk and defined as a risk that financial difficulties at one or more bank(s) spill over

to a large number of other banks or the financial system as a whole”. (9) There is also

another definition of the contagion risk – when negative processes in one country lead to

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the rating fall or credit contraction not only in that country but in other countries as well.

(10)

Figure 6: Basel III phased implementation.

Source: Basel III: An Overview of the safer's safety net, Francois van Dyk

The requirements to conservative buffer are going to be implemented step-by-step

starting in 2014. Banks have to conserve 0.5% of all risk weighted assets minimum as a

Tier 1Capital. This indicator will be increasing unless reaching 2.5% in 2018, January.

Basel III regulations set up that Capital Buffer is an obligatory capital that financial

institutions are required to hold in addition to other minimum capital requirements. The

rules for creating the adequate capital buffers are made to reduce the procyclical nature of

providing loans. Outside of stress periods banks have to keep the buffers of capital above the

regulatory minimum. There are several possibilities for banks to rebuild the buffers which

were down: to reduce discretionary distributions of earnings or, other way, raising new

capital from the private sector. (7) See the Table 8 for additional information and

comparison with Basel II.

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Table 8: Capital buffers according to Basel II and Basel III

RATIO YEAR BASEL II BASEL III

Capital Conservation Buffer

2012-2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

______________________ _

0.625%

1.250%

1.875%

2.500%

Countercyclical buffer

2012-2019 _______________________ <2.5%(or equals)

Source: Basel II and Basel III accords

The special meaning has the Countercyclical Capital Buffer (CCB) which the main aim is

to achieve the broader macroprudential goal to protect the banking sector from periods

of excess aggregate credit growth that have often been associated with the build-up of

system-wide risk – in other words the target of this buffer is to limit procyclicality. The

CCB regime can also help to lean against the build-up phase of the cycle in the first place,

by raising the cost of credit and therefore lowing its demand. Jurisdictions will be required

to monitor credit growth in the relation to measures such as GDP and assess whether

growth is excessive and leading to the build-up of system-wide risk:

%100t

t

GDP

CREDITК , where t = period of time.

Beside the above said rules, the national supervisory entity monitors the set lowest (L) and

highest (H) boarders of the indicator. The excess of trigger set by supervisory entity is a sign

for banks to create a Countercyclical Capital Buffer. (7)

According to Basel Committee on Banking Supervision this Countercyclical Capital Buffer

will result such benefits as a) protecting the banking sector from the losses that are the result

from periods of excess credit growth followed by periods of stress; b) helping to ensure that

credit remains to be available during periods of stress; c) during the build-up phase, as credit

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is being granted at a rapid pace, it can lead to increase of the credit cost. In this case the

buffer acts as a brake on bank lending. (7)

During the financial downturn the risk of default and bankruptcy increases and banks are

obliged to hold more capital. This also leads to the banks to provide less credit and this

stimulates the downturn even more. But on the other hand, when it is an economic boom,

banks possibly provide too much credit. I visualized the process in the figure below for

the clearer understanding. (Figure 7).

Figure 7: The process of the countercyclicality

Source: the Figure is built based on the information in the text

A more thorough description of all the novels related to the Basel III capital base and

related issues can be found in the Basel III accord. As the aim of this report is to make the

general insight of the main changes that Basel III brings to banks.

Higher risk

Higher Capital

requirementLess credit

Economic Downturn

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3.1.1 Leverage ratio

Willing to increase the capital quality and to prevent the excess of loan capital in banking

sector, Basel Committee has created a new regulations to introduce new regulative

indicator – leverage ratio.

The leverage ratio requirement is in early stages of rulemaking in the most countries, as

many countries are waiting for BCBS to finalize definitions and calibrations before

implementing rules. The BCBS “leverage ratio definition includes both on- and off-balance-

sheet exposures in the denominator and Tier 1 transitional capital in the numerator.” (11).

The minimum leverage indicator is offered to be 2.5% for Common equity tier 1 capital

and 3% for Tier 1 capital:

%5,2А

1

total

1 capitaltierequityCommon

L ;

%0,31

2 totalА

capitalTierL .

Most jurisdictions that have rules or proposals are on the same level or even stricter than

Basel standards. See the chart below (Figure 8) on which the reader can find, that the

following countries are stricter in implementing the leverage ratio: Bermuda, US, the UK,

Swiss SIB, China Australia and India and South Africa. Note, that New Zealand does not

intend to implement the leverage ratio.

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Figure 8: Leverage ratio implementation

Source: Moody’s national regulations.

Therefore, Committee has implemented new requirements not only to the capital

structure, but also to the general bank’s balance structure. The leverage limits are

established: the relation of Tier 1 Capital to all of its assets cannot be higher than 3%.

Experts predict that introduction of this ratio can reasonably increase the credit price for

all the loan products of banks, as this ratio is connected with the total assets value, not

risk-weighted assets. The standard is going to be implemented in 2018 with the several

phases of the adoption of the leverage ratio – Monitoring (started in January 1st, 2012),

testing (started January 1st, 2013), adjusting (starting January 1st 2017) and

Implementation (scheduled on January 1st 2018). (7)

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Banks have a long time to estimate the real influence of this restriction for lending

profitability.

As the result of this new changes in regulations banks will face the necessity to clean up

the capital base, exclude deferred tax and equity shares of subsidiaries and at the same

time to increase the common shares and shareholders’ interest.

“Judging from current balance-sheet leverage ratios, Basel III leverage ratio

compliance is likely to be more difficult for certain regions such as Europe, where Basel

II implementation resulted in the banks’ focusing on the optimization of returns on

risk-adjusted capital and a balance-sheet leverage requirement was lacking. Regional

banks in Africa, Latin America and the Middle East exhibit low balance-sheet leverage.

US banks generally have lower leverage than European peers, in part due to greater

use of securitization to move assets off their balance sheets”. (11)

The Figure 7 depicts graphically the leverage ratios in different countries.

Figure 9: Tier 1 Leverage Ratios in different regions.

Source: Moody’s Banking Financial Metrics.

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3.1.2 Liquidity

The strict requirements to capital adequacy are the necessary condition to stabilize the

banking sector, but they alone are not sufficient enough. The strong liquidity base with

the support of the reliable standards of supervision are important too. Nevertheless till

recent time there were no internationally negotiated standards. Therefore Basel

Committee on Banking Supervision creates its own structure of the liquidity requirements

and presents the very first internationally approved liquidity standards. These liquidity

standards similarly to the international capital standards establish the minimum

obligations and will support the equality on the international level.

The liquidity standards and monitoring system are fixed in the BCBS document under the

title “International framework for liquidity risk measurement, standards and monitoring”

published in 2009.

The Committee offers two variants of liquidity regulation that were developed to aim two

different but complimentary targets. The first target is to provide the stable and reliable

level of bank liquidity by the mean of creating the reserve of high quality liquid assets to

meet in short-term liquidity needs under a specified stress scenario (30 days). The second

target is to provide the stability in long-term by creating the additional motivation for

banks to have a stable funding.

Consequently, Basel III introduces two standards of liquidity for stability valuation: short-

term liquidity (Liquidity Coverage Ratio) and Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR). Both of

them are external indicators of banks’ stability in case of liquidity crisis.

Liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) allow to evaluate if bank has an opportunity to continue to

operate in the following 30 days under prescribed stress scenario. LCR is a relation of

liquidity assets to net cash outflow.

%100periodday 30 aover outflowcash Net

assetsliquidqualityhighofStock

LCR

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To fulfil this normative standard it is necessary for relation between high quality liquid

assets (HQLA) and expected 30-days net cash outflows to be not less than 100%. Moreover

it is expected for banks to follow this standard permanently.

To determine the LCR for the bank it is necessary to calculate the amount of high quality of

liquid assets and expected net cash flow according to the stress-test. Basel III distinguish two

categories of the high quality liquid assets: Level 1 and Level 2 liquid assets. (12)

According to the BCBS document – “Basel III: The Liquidity Coverage Ratio and liquidity

risk monitoring tools”, published on January 2013 Level 1 liquid assets are the following:

Cash (coins and banknotes); reserves in central banks but those that can be withdrawn

by bank in times of stress. Note that national supervision authorities must negotiate

with their central bank that such kind if reserves are related to liquid assets of banks

and determine how and in what amount it is possible to withdraw the reserves during

the liquidity stress.

Marketable securities representing claims on or guaranteed by sovereigns, central

banks, PSEs, the Bank for International Settlements, the International Monetary Fund,

the European Central Bank and European Community, or multilateral development

banks (in this case The Basel III liquidity framework follows the categorization of

market participants applied in the Basel II Framework, unless otherwise specified).

Marketable securities must satisfy all the following conditions:

Assigned a 0% risk-weight under the Basel II Standardized Approach for credit risk;

Traded in large, deep and active repo or cash markets characterized by a low level of

concentration;

Have a proven record as a reliable source of liquidity in the markets (repo or sale) even

during stressed market conditions; and

Not an obligation of a financial institution or any of its affiliated entities.

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Where the sovereign has a non-0% risk weight, sovereign or central bank debt

securities issued in domestic currencies by the sovereign or central bank in the country

in which the liquidity risk is being taken or in the bank’s home country; and

Where the sovereign has a non-0% risk weight, domestic sovereign or central bank

debt securities issued in foreign currencies are eligible up to the amount of the bank’s

stressed net cash outflows in that specific foreign currency stemming from the bank’s

operations in the jurisdiction where the bank’s liquidity risk is being taken. (12)

Moreover, the Group of Central Bank Governors and Heads of Supervision (GHOS)

approved the proposal to set the second level of liquid assets in 2010, which comprise

no more than 40% of the overall stock after haircuts have been applied”. The liquid

assets of this level are divided in Level 2A assets and Level 2B assets. (12)

According to the Basel III: The liquidity Coverage Ratio and liquidity risk monitoring tools

regulations, Level 2A assets are limited to the following:

Marketable securities representing claims on or guaranteed by sovereigns, central

banks, PSEs or multilateral development banks that satisfy the specific conditions set

by Basel III.

Corporate debt securities (including commercial paper) and covered bonds that satisfy

also the set requirements. Basel III specifies that these securities include only plain-

vanilla assets whose valuation is readily available based on standard methods and

does not depend on private knowledge, in other words these do not include complex

structured products or subordinated debt. Talking about the covered bonds Basel III

has also some additional notes: these bonds are bonds issued and owned by a bank or

mortgage institution and are subject by law to special public supervision deigned to

protect bond holders. (12)

In the same document that was mentioned above, level 2B assets are characterized as the

certain additional assets that can be included in Level 2 at the discretion of national

authorities. A larger haircut is applied to the current market value of each Level 2B asset

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held in the stock of high quality liquid assets and in this category they are limited to the

following:

a) Residential mortgage backed securities that satisfy the specific conditions. And

the haircut is 25%.

b) Corporate debt securities (including commercial paper) that are subject to 50%

haircut and follow the specific requirements as well.

c) Common equity shares that satisfy all of the conditions may be included in Level

2B, subject to a 50% haircut. (12)

It is expected that the value calculation of LCR is in one currency (what is reasonable), but

banks can have HQLA in different currencies. Therefore, banks must consider when

stress-testing that the access to external currency markets can be limited, and sharp

exchange rate fluctuation can enlarge their liquidity gap. The scheme of the HQLA types

was built, (Figure 10) in which the reader can see the main features of different levels of

assets that were described above.

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Figure 10: Categories of HQLA. Level 1 Assets

LEVEL 1 ASSETS up to 100%

LEVEL 2 ASSETS up to 40%

Source: Basel III: International framework for liquidity risk measurement, standards and monitoring, 2013

The denominator of the LCR is the total net cash outflows and has the following features:

Total net cash outflow is defined as the total expected cash outflows minus expected

cash inflows in the specified stress scenario for the subsequent 30 calendar days. Total

expected cash outflows are calculated by multiplying the outstanding balances of

Cash and central banks

reserves

SSA

SSA

Non-financial corporate

bonds

Covered bonds

-Domestic sovereign debt (non-0% risk-weight) issued on FX to the extent that this currency matches the currency needs of the bank’s operations in that jurisdiction

- 0% risk-weight under standards of Basel II

-20% risk-weight => 15% haircut

-Not issued by the bank itself or any of its affiliated entity

-High quality (rated AA- and above)

-15% haircut

-Decline of price/increase in haircut <10% over a 30-day period during a relevant period of the liquidity-test

-15% haircut

-High quality (rated AA-and above)

-Decline of price/increase in haircut <10% over a 30-day during a relevant period of significant liquidity stress

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various categories or types of liabilities and off-balance sheet commitments by the

rates at which they are expected to run off or be drawn down. Total expected cash

inflows are calculated by multiplying the outstanding balances of various categories

of contractual receivables by the rates at which they are expected to flow in under the

scenario up to an aggregate cap of 75% of total expected cash outflows. (12)

Total net cash outflows over the next 30 calendar days = Total expected cash

outflows – Min {total expected cash inflows; 75% of total expected cash outflows}

Also it is necessary to highlight that to indicate the total expected cash outflows the three

main group of liabilities: retail deposit, unsecured and secured corporate funding.

Moreover the retail deposits up to call and retail deposits with 30 days term are included

into retail deposits as well as long-term deposits (more than 30 days) which a depositor can

withdraw without paying any fine after the giving a notice to bank. Consequently the fixed-

term deposits (that are for more than 30 days) are excluded from the calculations in case if

a depositor has no right for pre-term withdrawal of the deposit or if the pre-term withdrawal

leads for an extra fee to pay. (12)

According to Basel III there are stable (run-off rate = 3%) and less stable (run-off rates =

10% and higher) deposits in the retail deposits category.

“Stable deposits, which usually received a run-off factor of 5%, are the amount of the deposits

that are fully insured by an effective deposit insurance scheme or by a public guarantee that

provides equivalent protection and where:

- the depositors have other established relationships with the bank that make deposit

withdrawal highly unlikely; or

- the deposits are in transactional accounts (for example accounts where salaries are

automatically deposited)”. (12)

Less stable deposits are those that have no deposit insurance system or some other public

warrant. National regulatory authorities can refer the deposits that can be withdrawn

quickly (for example internet deposits) and foreign currency deposits, deposits for VIP-

clients and deposit s with the additional options for a client. Foreign currency deposits

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can be determined by national supervisory entities as less stable if there is a reason to

consider that such kind of deposits are more volatile than the national currency deposits.

Basel III: The Liquidity Coverage Ratio and liquidity risk monitoring tools establish the

following rules for calculations:

When calculating the total net cash outflow unsecured bank’s funding is considered to

be the cash flow from the legal entities or entrepreneurs that can be withdrawn in the

term of the nearest 30 days including all the money raised with the non-fixed term.

They include:

Operational deposits generated by clearing, custody and cash management

activities: 25%

Treatment of deposits in institutional networks of cooperative banks: 25% or

100%

Unsecured wholesale funding provided by non-financial corporates and

sovereigns, central banks, multilateral development banks, and PSEs:20% or

40%

Unsecured wholesale funding provided by other legal entity customers:100%

Total net cash outflow includes the funds that were raised with the secured funding,

that is those liabilities and general obligations that are collateralized by legal rights

to specifically designated assets owned by the borrowing institution in the case of

bankruptcy, insolvency, liquidation or resolution. (12)

For all other maturing transactions the run-off factor is 100%, including transactions

where a bank has satisfied customers’ short positions with its own long inventory.

In the table below there is a summarized information about the applicable standards:

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Table 9: Categories for outstanding maturing secured transactions and the amount to add to cash outflows.

Source: Basel III: The Liquidity Coverage Ratio and liquidity risk monitor tools, 2013

Cash inflow is also important part of the calculations. According to Basel III regulations,

“when considering its available cash inflows, the bank should only include contractual

inflows (including interest payments) from outstanding exposures that are fully performing

and for which the bank has no reason to expect a default within the 30-day time horizon.

Contingent inflows are not included in total net cash inflows.” (12) Basel III also sets the

limitations on total inflows: In order to prevent banks from relying solely on anticipated

inflows to meet their liquidity requirement and also to ensure a minimum level of HQLA

holdings, the amount of inflows that can offset outflows is capped at 75% of total expected

cash outflows as calculated in the standard. This requires that a bank must maintain a

minimum amount of stock of HQLA equal to 25% of the total cash outflows.

Whereas, when calculating the LCR to indicate the amount of cash inflow the following

operations are taken in to consideration:

1. Reverse repo and other operations to securitize assets of the first level (haircut

0%); to securitize assets of the second level (haircut of 15%); to securitize with

other assets (with the haircut 100%).

2. Operations with the current bank’s deposits in other financial institutions (with

the haircut of 0%).

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3. Receivables from the individuals and non-financial organizations (with the haircut

of 50%).

4. Unsecured receivables from financial institutions (with the 100% haircut). (12)

The specific for banks and for the whole system stress situations for indicating the short-

term liquidity are included into the supervision scenario. The possible scenarios are

created on the base of the real events that happened during the financial crisis. The

scenario foresees the following:

The meaningful drawdown of the public credit rating of the institutions;

Partial deposit outflow;

The loss of unsecured wholesale funding

The meaningful increase in secured funding haircuts

The increase of demands to replenish the pledge for derivative financial

instruments, contractual and non-contractual off-balance sheet exposures,

including the committed credit and liquidity facilities.

Besides, the Basel III accords distinguish different types of cash outflow and cash inflow.

(12)

Type of cash outflow Type of cash inflow

Stable retail deposits Excluded cash inflows (mortgages,

credit/liquidity facilities & others)

All other retail deposits Net derivative cash inflow amount

Other unsecured retail funding Unsecured wholesale cash inflow amount

Structured transaction outflow Securities cash inflow amount

Net derivative cash outflow amount Secured lending cash inflow amount (asset

exchange)

Commitment outflow amount Broker-dealer segregated account inflow

amount

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Collateral outflow amount Other cash inflow amounts

Collateral outflow amount (collateral

substitution)

Retail brokered deposit outflow amount

Unsecured wholesale funding amount

Debt security outflow amount

Secured funding outflow amount

Foreign central bank borrowings

Other

There are also the recommendations of application of LCR in the Basel III framework.

These issues include the frequency of banks calculating and reporting the LCR, the scope

of application of the LCR (if they apply at group or entity level and to foreign bank

branches) and the aggregation of currencies within the LCR.

This ratio must be used on an ongoing basis and at least monthly, with the operational

capacity to increase the frequency to weekly or even daily. Ideally the time lag in reporting

should be no larger than two weeks. Also banks are expected to inform supervisors on the

ongoing results of LCR. (12)

Now let us study the Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR). What is notable that the proposals

on the NSFR were first published in 2009 and the measure was included in Basel III

agreement in the December 2010. In January 2014 the Committee issued “the revised

standard that was changed to focus more on the riskier types of funding profile employed by

banks while improving alignment with the LCR and reducing cliff effects in the measurement

of available and required stable funding.” (13) This ratio allows to estimate the bank

liquidity in the long-term period (1 year).

According to the Basel framework:

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the NSFR requires a minimum amount of stable sources of funding at a bank relative

to the liquidity profiles of the assets, as well as the potential for contingent liquidity

needs arising from off-balance sheet commitments. The NSFR aims to limit over-

reliance on short-term wholesale funding times of buoyant market liquidity and

encourage better assessment of liquidity risk across all on- and off-balance sheet items.

(7)

The Net Stable Funding Ratio is a relation of the amount of available stable funding to the

amount of required stable funding.

𝐴𝑣𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑎𝑚𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑓𝑢𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔

𝑅𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑟𝑒𝑑 𝑎𝑚𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑓𝑢𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔≥100%

Moreover, according to Basel III,

“Available stable funding” is defined as the portion of capital and liabilities expected

to be reliable over the time horizon considered by the NSFR, which extends to one year.

The amount of such stable funding required (‘Required stable funding”) of a specific

institution is a function of the liquidity characteristics and residual maturities of the

various assets held by that institution as well as those of its off-balance sheet (OBS)

exposures. (14)

This approach can help to minimize the possibility of rapid “performance degradation” of

liquidity indicators and to prevent banks from creating the reserves of liquidity assets

with short-term funding source that have maturity date right after the normative period

established by supervisory entities.

Under the term “stable funding” BCBS understands owner’s equity and obtained funds, that

are the stable source of financing during the whole year in stress conditions. The size of such

financing for each bank is different. It depends on the liquidity level of the assets, off-balance

sheet items and (or) the activities of the bank. (14)

The document that is the part of Basel III framework - Basel III: the net stable funding

ratio sets the following rules:

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The amount of available stable funding (ASF) is measured based on the broad

characteristics of the relative stability of an institution’s funding sources, including the

contractual maturity of its liabilities he differences in the propensity of different types

of funding providers to withdraw their funding. The amount of ASF is calculated by

first assigning the carrying value of an institution’s capital and liabilities to one of five

categories. The amount assigned to each category is then multiplied by an ASF factor,

and the total ASF is the sum of the weighted amounts. Carrying value represents the

amount at which a liability or equity instrument is recorded before the application of

any regulatory deductions, filters or other adjustments. (14)

The amount of required stable funding (RSF) is measured based on the broad

characteristics of the liquidity risk profile of an institution’s assets and OBS exposures.

The amount of required stable funding is calculated by first assigning the carrying

value of an institution’s assets to the categories listed. The amount assigned to each

category is then multiplied by its associated required stable funding factor, and the

total RSF is the sum of the weighted amounts added to the amount of off-balance sheet

activity (or potential liquidity exposure) multiplied by its associated required stable

funding factor. Note, that all the definitions mirror those outlined in Liquidity

Coverage ratio. (14)

On the Figure 11 below there are the lists of types of liability and ASF factor for it and

types of exposure and RSF factor.

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Figure 11: NSFR ASF and RSF.

Source: Ernst & Young (15) -

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The special feature of these standards is the implementation of stress-testing, in other

words, norms must work both in the stress situation on system level and in the stress

situation for a specific bank that was caused by inner problems.

This approach applies when the ratio of possible funding outflow is set and when the

liquidity assets and the haircut factors are indicated. Moreover, from the point of

possibility to liquidate assets the system stress prevails, and when funding the transaction

– the specific bank stress prevails.

This requirements are expected to be met by banks on their ongoing basis. The NSFR

should be reported to supervisory authorities at least each quarter.

The LCR and the NSFR are the subject to an observation period and will include a review

clause with any of unintended consequences. According to the time schedule the LCR is

going to be introduced on January 2015 and the NSFR is going to move to a minimum

standard by 1st of January in 2018.

These implementing standards on liquidity can be more than just strict for banks. But the

Basel Committee on Banking Supervision is monitoring the impact of Basel III on a sample

of banks and publishes the reports each December and June. The latest one Monitoring

Report as of 31 December 2013 was published in September 2014. In that study were

participating 227 banks, comprising 102 large internationally active banks (this group is

defined as “Group 1 banks” and includes internationally active banks that have Tier 1 capital

of more than 3 billion of euros) and 125 Group 2 banks (all the other banks). So this report

covers the Liquidity Coverage Ratio with the minimum requirement to be set initially at 60%

and then rise in equal annual steps to reach 100% in 2019. The weighted average LCR for

the Group 1 bank sample was 119% on 31 December 2013, up from 114% six month earlier.

For Group 2 banks, the average LCR remained unchanged at 132%. For banks in the sample,

76% reported an LCR that met or exceed 100%, while 92% reported an LCR at or above 60%.

The Figure 12 below shows this data on graph. (16)

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Figure 12: Liquidity Coverage Ratio.

Source: Basel Committee on Banking Supervision.

Considering the Net Stable Funding Ration, Basel III issued a consultative document on

proposed revisions to the NSFR, and the latest update is in September 2014. The end-

December 2013 reporting period is the first data collection exercise for which a

comprehensive calculation of the revised NSFR could be conducted. The average NSFR for

the Group 1 bank sample was 111% while for Group 2 banks the average NSFR was 112%.

As of December 2013, 78% of the 208 banks in the NSFR sample reported a ratio that met or

exceeded 100%, while 88% of the banks reported an NSFR at or above 90%. (16) See the

Figure 13 and 14 for this information in graph and percentage statistic.

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Figure 13: Net Stable funding ratio,

Source: Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. (16)

Figure 14: Liquidity Coverage ratio and Net Stable Funding ratio.

Source: Basel committee on Banking Supervision (16)

This process of achieving the set indicators for both ratios is not that simple, that is the

reason the implementation is extended for the long period of several years, as many banks

need to reconsider their business-models.

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3.2 New requirements on information disclosure

High-profile scandals about disclosure and ratings of the largest financial institutions that

were in the edge to bankruptcy during crisis showed inadequacy of current requirements

to information disclosure: even complex and verified by auditors reports of the largest

international financial institutions did not reflect the real situation of the financial control

level and risk-management in bank. Therefore Basel committee has toughen the

requirements for information disclosure especially in calculations on capital adequacy,

securitization, off-balance sheet items and bonus and rewards payments. Moreover there

are new standards for verification of initial values and report data. These actions increase

the transparency of capital base: all elements of regulatory capital must be revealed in

relation with the financial report data of the bank – outside players must have a clear

understanding of the way bank gets a given capital adequacy level.

3.3 Control of systemically important financial institutions

Basel Committee implemented the additional requirements on the capital adequacy level

for the financial organizations that are very important for the whole system. What does it

mean? Analyzing the importance of the bank for the global financial system is held on the

basis of indicative rates in the following categories: size, connection, cannot be replaced,

the level if cross-jurisdictional activity and complexity of the business. Each of category

has an equal weight (20%) and includes some indicators. Basel Committee introduced the

first list of systemically important financial institution (SIFI or other variant is G-SIBs –

Global Systemically important banks) in 2009. It is assumed that this list is going to be

reconsidered annually. The level of importance leads to the special additional

requirements that are created for such banks considering capital Tier I adequacy (1-

2.5%). Moreover the Committee is planning to increase the additional requirements in

the nearest future. These activities are created to minimize the system risk and solving

the problem of so-called “too-big-to-fail” and make banks to reserve additional capital in

case of their importance. But we see that this reform has more quantitate then qualitative

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effect, as these standards do not suggest to implement additional requirements to the

assets quality of such organizations.

Financial Stability Board published “2014 update of list of global systemically important

banks (G-SIBs)” on the 6th of November 2014: “The FSB and the BCBS have updated the list

of G-SIBs, using end-2013 data and the updated assessment methodology published by the

BCBS in July 2013. One bank has been added to the list of G-SIBs that were identified in 2013,

increasing the overall number from 29 to 30 (Agricultural Bank of China has been added)”.

(17) The full list is attached in the Appendix 2.

To say more: “the bucketing approach is used in that rating. The BCBS document - Global

systemically important banks: updated assessment methodology and the higher loss

absorbency requirement – sets this approach. Banks that have a score produced by the

indicator-based measurement approach that exceeds a cutoff level set by the Committee will

be classified as G-SIBs. Supervisory judgment may also be used to add banks with scores

below the cutoff to the list of G-SIBs.” (18)

On the table below the score range is provided for each bucket, according to BCBS.

Table 10: Bucketing approach.

Source: Global systematically important banks: updated assessment methodology and the higher loss

absorbency requirement, BIS

According to Financial Stability Board “the assignment of the G-SIBs to the buckets in the

updated list published today determines the higher loss absorbency requirement that will

apply to each G-SIB as these requirements begin to be phased in from 1 January 2016 (with

full implementation by 1 January 2019). The higher loss absorbency requirements for the G-

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SIBs identified in the annual update each November will apply to them as from January

fourteen months later.” (17)

3.4 Full-on Risk Coverage

The Basel III framework implements the reasonable strictness and the increase of

requirements considering the risk coverage of portfolios, securitization transactions and

transactions with derivatives. Special attention is given to the Counterparty credit risk

value (CCR). Basel III regulations explains importance of this risk as a “need to ensure that

all material risks are captured in the capital framework in addition to raising the quality

and level of the capital base. Failure to capture major on- and off-balance sheet risks, as well

as derivative related exposures, was a key factor that amplified the crisis.” (7)

Additionally,

Banks must have a comprehensive stress testing program for counterparty credit risk

that includes several elements: for all counterparties bank have to produce (at least

on a monthly base) exposure stress testing of principal market risk factors in order to

proactively identify and in some cases reduce outsized concentrations to specific

directional sensitivities; banks must ensure complete trade capture and exposure

aggregation across all forms of counterparty credit risk at the counterparty-specific

level in a sufficient time frame to conduct regular stress testing. (7)

According to the Basel III framework, “the counterparty credit risk includes:

1. Calibration of diffusion parameters in stressed effective expected positive exposure

(EEPE) calculations;

2. Introduction of an additional capital charge to cover the risk of change in credit

valuation adjustments of a training portfolio. There are two methods for assessing

this charge are offered by BCBS.” (19) For portfolios valued by using the standard

method the formula is the following as on the Figure 15:

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Figure 15: the formula for portfolios that use standard method.

Source: Accenture.

And for portfolios valued using IMM (and the case of banks already using an internal

model for interest rate VaR), the method is based on applying the VaR model used for

bonds to the regulatory CVA. For this cases the following formula is used as on the Figure

16:

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Figure 16: Formula for portfolios using IMM

Source: Accenture

3. Specific wrong way risk (WWR).

Specific WWR for unfavorable correlation quantifies the negative correlation between

the risk exposure to a counterparty and its credit quality (for instance a put option

purchase on a counterparty legally bound to the counterparty issuing the underlying

instrument). When the Basel III capital requirements regulations (CRR) come into

application, transactions carrying specific WWR with unfavorable correlation will

have to be identified, isolated from the overall compensation node of origin and

assigned to a practical computation processing to calculate their exposure at default

(EAD). (19)

4. General wrong way risk. The General form of WWR arises in that case when the

credit quality of the counterparty for non-specific reasons may be connected with

different macroeconomic factors that may also impact the exposure of open

derivatives transactions. This type of risk refers to those economic factors that are

hard to find in a bank trading book and it is difficult to measure. (19)

5. Increase of the margin period of risk: the margin period of risk (MPR) is the time

period overseeing the last exchange of collateral used to cover netting transactions

with a defaulting counterparty and the resulting market risk is re-hedged. With

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such an indicator it is possible to model the change in market value of the collateral

exchange during a theoretical date of collateral exchange and the calculation date

of subsequent exposure. In some situations (connected more to illiquid netting

sets) banks will have to move from 10 days (according to the Basel II regulations)

to 20 days of the regulatory threshold (with the possible doubling of this threshold

at least two disputes on the same set of compensation have been observed over

the last six months). (19)

6. Collateral management – type of the effective and efficient allocation of collateral

(the security that is provided by one party to another to decrease the counterparty

risk for any extension of credit or financial exposure) to reduce risk and

encompasses both supply and demand components. (19)

New requirements of calculation methods of Value-at-Risk (VaR) are brought in to focus.

The Basel II framework for market risk was reviewed and new regulations are in Basel III.

In addition to the Basel II market risk VaR (Internal Model) where under Basel II:

a) VaR computed on a daily basis.

b) At a 99% confidence level.

c) Over a 10 day holding period.

d) With an overall multiplier of 3 times VaR imposed. (20)

Moreover, banks must calculate a “Stressed Value at Risk measure” based on a 10 day

holding period, 99th percentile VaR with model inputs based on a 12 month Period (250 days)

of a period of continuous stress.” (20)

In this case the capital requirement C is equal to:

𝐶 = max{𝑉𝑎𝑅𝑡−1 ; 𝑚𝑐 ∗ 𝑉𝑎𝑅𝑎𝑣𝑔} + max {𝑠𝑉𝑎𝑅𝑡−1; 𝑚𝑠 ∗ 𝑠𝑉𝑎𝑅𝑎𝑣𝑔}

Where 𝑉𝑎𝑅𝑡−1 = VaR yesterday

Where 𝑉𝑎𝑅𝑎𝑣𝑔 = average VaR over a 60 day period

Where 𝑠𝑉𝑎𝑅𝑡−1= stressed VaR over a 60 day stress period

Where 𝑚𝑐 = multiplication factor of 3 (minimum)

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Where 𝑚𝑠 = multiplication factor of 3 (min) (20)

Under Basel III “multiplication factor can be increased by up to 1 if model performs poorly

based on back testing by regulators as per “traffic light” system.” (20)

Now, the reader has a general impression on the Basel III accord and its specific

regulations and requirements for banks. Therefore now it is possible to apply these

theoretical knowledge while studying the specific bank.

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4. Risks Analysis for Banks

In this chapter I am going to take a closer look on the analysis of the risk that are covered

by Basel III accord and take some practical examples, how to apply the theoretical

knowledge in practice.

The Liquidity risk takes a very important place in Basel III regulations. In this section I am

going to study mostly possible liquidity risk management on the example of the Russian

subsidiary of one Italian bank.

Banca Intesa is a part of Intesa Sanpaolo group that was formed by the merger of Banka

Intesa and Sanpaolo IMI. The merger brought together two major Italian banks with

shared values so as to increase their opportunities for growth. Intesa Sanpaolo is among

the top banking groups in the euro zone, with a market capitalization of 40.5 billion euro

as at 28 November 2014.

Intesa Sanpaolo has selected presence in Central Eastern Europe and Middle Eastern and

North African areas with approximately 1 400 branches and 8.4 million customers

belonging to the Group’s subsidiaries operating in retail and commercial banking in 12

countries. On the Figure 17 there is a ranking of European Banks by Bloomberg and on

that chart Intesa Sanpaolo is on 11th position.

Intesa Sanpaolo owns 100% stake in Banca Intesa. I have chosen this bank, because it is

the subsidiary bank of the large EU bank group, therefore operating in Russia despite the

orientation on the standards of the controlling company, this bank has to follow the

standards set by Central Bank of Russia. Moreover Basel III is actively implementing in

European banks and encourages the same. The parallel execution of different standards

increases the security and stability of bank’s liquidity management and fully fits the “low-

key approach” as the main principle of liquidity management in this bank.

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Figure 17: Ranking of European Banks by Bloomberg.

Source: Intesa Sanpaolo presentation.

Generally the latest financial statement of the Intesa Sanpaolo to the date of 30th

September 2014 shows us that the profitability ratio is improving accordingly to the

business plan of 2014-2017. Group continues to strengthen what is proven by the recent

results of stress-tests held by European Central Banks for EU banks. According to the

stress-test results the CET1 ratio is above the minimum set by regulators in the beginning

of stress-test. And before in 2013 the group showed also very good results having Basel 3

common equity ratio pro-forma growth till 12.3% from 10.6% to the end of 2012, Core

Tier 1 ratio was 11.9% and Tier 1 ratio was 12.8%. Common equity ratio pro-forma after

accrued dividends in 9 months of 2014 is 13% fully loaded and 13.3% phased in.

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As Banca Intesa says on its official web-site it plays “a key role in Russian-Italian economic

relations. The Bank successfully supports investments and commercial projects of Italian

companies working in Russia as well as Russian firms working in the Italian market.” (21)

According to Moody’s Banca Intesa has the D rating on financial stability, that means that

bank shows limited financial stability and time to time needs the outside support. I think

that the reason of assigning the D rating was the unstable and unpredictable operation

environment in which bank is functioning. Long-term ratings in foreign and national

currencies lowered till Ba1, in other words it indicates that debt obligation are under the

reasonable credit risk. And that is really true, the overdue in total loan portfolio is 10%,

what is significantly higher than average rating in this field (4%). Short-term liabilities

rating is P-3 that means that emitents are able to cover short-term liabilities.

Liquidity risk is the risk to get losses as the result of incapability to fulfil the bank’s

obligations fully. This risk arises as the result of misbalance of assets and liabilities or

when it is the necessity to pay all its liabilities by bank immediately and in all parts.

Below see the provided information on liquidity indicators of credit organizations in

Russia in recent years (Figure 18).

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Figure 18. Liquidity indicators for banks.

Source: Central bank of Russia. The report of bank sector and bank supervision development in 2013.

The indicator of long-term liquidity in 2013, as it is seen from the data above, increased

in comparison with 2011 up to 85.5 % (the weighted structure of long-term assets of

credit organizations maintains). The maximum indicator value can be 120% that means

that banks have the possibility to provide long-term loans to the economy.

The indicator of quick liquidity increased in comparison with the small decrease in 2012

and reached the same numbers as in 2011 – 63.2%, whereas the standard value is 15%.

The common liquidity indicators are still remain higher than the standard value of 50%.

Liquidity risk management is held in the following key directions in Banca Intesa:

Main indicators;

Liquidity reserves;

The policy of short-term liquidity management (estimating of quick liquidity

indicators and common liquidity indicators);

Intraday policy of liquidity management and operational liquidity management

(methods that are applied by the Treasury);

63,259

63,2

87,581,9

84,878,3

83,5 85,5

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2011 2012 2013

Liquidity indicators for banks

Quick liquidity Common liquidity Long-term liquidity

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Stress-tests (are held for different scenarios and indicates the liquidity risks of

banks and the necessary reserves of liquidity assets);

Plan for liquidity management in emergency cases.

On the graph below (Figure 19) I reflected the general situation of liquidity for Bank Intesa

from the year 2007 till 2014. In Appendix 3 see the table with the data that was used to

build this graph.

Figure 19: Liquidity.

Source: Financial statements of Bank Intesa,1

The Quick liquidity ratio (Figure 20) indicates the risk when the bank loses the liquidity

during one operational day.

1 See Appendix 3.

0

0,2

0,4

0,6

0,8

1

1,2

1,4

1,6

1,8

01

.09

.07

01

.12

.07

01

.03

.08

01

.06

.08

01

.09

.08

01

.12

.08

01

.03

.09

01

.06

.09

01

.09

.09

01

.12

.09

01

.03

.10

01

.06

.10

01

.09

.10

01

.12

.10

01

.03

.11

01

.06

.11

01

.09

.11

01

.12

.11

01

.03

.12

01

.05

.12

01

.08

.12

01

.11

.12

01

.02

.13

01

.05

.13

01

.08

.13

01

.11

.13

01

.02

.14

01

.05

.14

01

.08

.14

01

.11

.14

Liquidity

Liquidity

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Figure 20: Quick liquidity ratio of Bank Intesa.

Source: Annual financial statements.

According to the data that is presented on the graph above (Figure 21), I can provide the

conclusion that in February 2014 85.64% of demand liabilities can be fulfilled, what is

higher in 19.33% than the ratios of January 2014. And we see that this is the positive

dynamic.

The LCR indicates the liquidity risk in the nearest 30 days.

102,7

65,5

51,35

75,7

51,6

85,64

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

01.01.10 01.01.11 01.01.12 01.01.13 01.01.14 01.02.14

Quick liquidity ratio (min. 15%)

Quick ratio

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Figure 21: Liquidity Coverage Ratio of Bank Intesa.

Source: Annual financial statements.

As it is seen in the graph above, the LCR is higher than 50%. And according to this data I

make a conclusion that in February 2014 bank was able to fulfil its obligations in the

amount of 90.35%.

Long-term liquidity ratio limits the risk of liquidity loss by bank. This ratio was 67.5% on

the date of 01.01.2013, and it was equal to 56.5% on the date of 01.01.2014. (22) The

maximum indicator value can be 120% that means that banks have the possibility to

provide long-term loans to the economy. (See the Figure 22 below). So based on this

information I come up with the conclusion that 56.5% long-range bank’s investments are

secured with long-term resources.

176,7

7985,6

91,4

77,590,35

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

01.01.10 01.01.11 01.01.12 01.01.13 01.01.14 01.02.14

LCR (min. 50%)

LCR

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Figure 22: Long-term liquidity ratio of Bank Intesa.

Source: Annual financial statements.

All the data provided above helps us with some conclusions and recommendations for the

bank to improve its operational activity according to the standards of Basel III and

regulator’s requirements. The Bank maintains the ratios indicators on the good level and

does not allow to lower them to the critical value, thus there is a slight tendency of

performance degradation in 2014 in comparison with the year of 2013. For Bank it is very

important to pay attention to this tendency and not to allow to make it worse.

It is impossible to ignore the latest events in the geopolitical arena in Ukraine, the

implemented and planned sanctions to Russia from the western countries, gradual

devaluation of ruble and increasing outflow of capital abroad. These all again stressed the

importance of wise risk management in commercial banks. Therefore I suggest three

possible solutions for Bank Intesa to level up the risk management:

1. To negotiate with parent company the possibilities of extension of risk

management options in case of emergency;

79,9

117,1

102,4

67,5

56,5

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

01.01.10 01.01.11 01.01.12 01.01.13 01.01.14

Long-term liquidity ratio (max. 120%)

Long-term liquidity ratio

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2. Implementing the payment system that allows more rapidly and riskless to make

transactions between parent company and Banca Intesa;

3. Modeling the forecasts for risk liquidity-dissolution management in the bank.

Parent company apply concrete obligations on the accounting and data reporting of its

subsidiaries in the exchange providing its subsidiaries reasonable funding and benefits of

foreign bank. Currently Banca Intesa does not have the cash settlement system CLS, which

could allow to make the payments between parent company and its subsidiaries with

minimum time spent on it and without any additional risk that is actually the realization

of the benefits of parent company.

Current information that can be used for liquidity risk management (for instance capital

adequacy ratios) has static nature and does not provide the necessary information about

the dynamic of those ratios. In the course of unpredictable behavior of the financial

markets such static data can lead to underestimation of potential risks for bank and to

limited options for well-timed management of such risks.

Another important thing for bank in our opinion is the development of forecast

instruments for modelling the potential inflows and outflows of bank liquidity. Recently

the situation appears when the co-relation between business unit of the bank and the

Treasury is almost absent that makes it more complicated to forecast the potential risks.

The collected historical data of bank’s clients’ behavior, possible money withdrawal from

deposit accounts and the requests for new credit tranche would be able to help to make

more weighted decisions for necessary fund raising on different terms to cover potential

liquidity outflow risk and as the result could minimize the liquidity risk.

The liquidity ratios analysis indicated the efficiency of applied methods for liquidity risk

management and interest rate. Nevertheless, I consider that abovementioned suggestions

will allow to take effective strategic decisions in risk management that will lead to more

determined approach in bringing in the necessary liquidity to cover the cash inflows and

outflows as well as decrease of possible loss because of interest rate fluctuations.

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Capital adequacy is also covered in the bank’s reports. The Bank sets the primary

objectives of the bank management as following: to make the full compliance with the

capital requirements imposed by the CBR (Central Bank of Russia) and Russian

legislation; maintaining the Bank’s ability to continue as a going concern in order to

maximize shareholder value and provide economic benefits to other parties; ensuring

that the amount of capital is sufficient for business expansion and development.

The recent data for capital adequacy under Russian Legislation is as on Figure 23:

Figure 23: Bank’s CBR defined capital adequacy ratio.

Source: Annual financial statement of Bank Intesa.

In 2013 the CBR introduced a Basel III compliant framework for regulation of capital

adequacy. The CBR requires banks “to maintain a minimum capital adequacy ratio of 10%

with respect to risk-weighted assets as computed in accordance with Russian Accounting

Standards.” (23)

The Bank also applies Basel III Framework for calculation of capital adequacy using the

simplified standardized approach for credit risk measurement, the standardized

measurement method for market risk and the basic indicator approach for operational

risk estimation.

The recent data for Capital adequacy ratio under the Basel Capital Accord is as on the

Figure 24:

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Figure 24: Bank’s Basel Accord defined capital adequacy ratio.

Annual financial statement of Bank Intesa.

The risk-weighted assets are “measured by means of a hierarchy of risk weights classified

according to the nature and reflecting an estimate of credit, market and other risks

associated with each asset and counterparty, taking into account any eligible collateral or

guarantees.” (23)

Finally, I will provide shortly the information on how the Bank deals with other types of

risks.

The Bank manages its market risk by establishing open positions limits related to financial

instruments, interest rate maturity, stop-loss limits and currency positions. The

abovementioned positions are monitored regularly and the Board of Directors is

responsible for reviewing and approving. Exposures are classified to market risk by Bank

into trading and non-trading positions. Banca Intesa calculates the same risk indicators

on the available-for-sale portfolio as for the trading portfolio. That is done for risk

management purposes. Value at Risk methodology is the main methodology for

monitoring and managing the market risk for the trading portfolio. This method reflects

the interdependency between risk variables. Other sensitivity analysis is used for

managing and monitoring of non-trading positions.

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Operational risk is assessed in accordance with the methodology of the parent company.

Additionally, Bank creates reserves for losses from operational risk events, and calculates

the required capital to cover operational risk.

As a conclusion to this practical chapter I can say, that the Bank I were studying has a very

good positions in the financial market of Russia, along with its parent company Intesa

Sanpaolo that has very strong positions in Europe.

The analysis of statistical data and financial activity of Banca Intesa has not revealed any

negative tendencies that can affect the financial stability of the bank in future.

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Conclusion

Basel III is a result of Basel Committee on Banking Supervision’s work that aims to make

banks to follow the standardized regulations. Nevertheless the regulations are claimed to

be not obligatory, still financial institutions worldwide are implementing the rules as it

ease the cooperation globally, additionally the requirements supposed to help banks to

be more stable during crisis period.

The good example of Basel III being not obligatory is the following: whereas Basel III

allows the gradual increase of requirements to the capital (on the regulator’s decision)

3.5% in 2013, 4% in 2014 and 4.5% in 2015, some countries were not using this

possibility. For instance, China implemented the 5% requirements for capital adequacy

and India implemented even 5.5%.

Implementation of the Basel III regulations is a difficult and time-consuming process,

member countries face obstacles while integrating the standards in their financial

activity. The USA and European Union were changing the dates when Basel III supposed

to get in force. The first deadline was the 1st of January 2013. In Argentina, Brazil and

Russia these requirements should have been implemented by the end of 2013.

Nevertheless, in Russia, Basel III is not implemented yet, and Central Bank of Russia

recently announced of another postponement of the date, from the 1st of January 2014 to

the 1st of July 2014. According to the official announcement it was caused by difficulties

to obtaining long-term resources by banks. Though analysts consider that this decision

made by Central Bank was done as the result of recent geopolitical situation, sanctions

and worsen macro economy in the country.

There is not so positive tendency in the banking system of European Union zone as well.

The European Central Bank, which tested the euro zone’s biggest banks, said 25 lenders

had failed, others only barely passed and there is a total capital shortfall of 24.6 billion of

euro. Taking account of capital raised this year, the shortfall decreases to 9.5 billion of

euro.

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The tests, which looked at end-2013 balance sheets, were carried out by the European

Central Bank and the European Banking Authority. They were estimating how lender

investments would fare under a baseline scenario, which assumed the economy

development as expected until 2016, and a crisis scenario. The crisis scenario assumes

the EU economy would slip into a two-year recession, shrinking by 0.7% this year and

1.5% next year, and barely grow in 2016.

There is a tendency of the unemployment rate to get higher in recent years and the whole

situation of house and stock prices will be worsened. For banks not to collapse as well

and to survive, banks are required a core capital buffer that equals to 8% of risk weighted

assets for the base scenario, and 5.5% for the adverse.

Different situation is with banks who failed the stress-test. Those banks need to increase

their capital buffers either by selling new shares or divesting assets. Banks which cannot

find capital from private sources may need help from their governments. Banks that fail

only in the crisis scenario are given nine months.

The main question is if all the Basel III recommendations help to increase the steadiness

of banking system. And it is possible to answer the question in two ways.

During the normal conditions for business operations, when banks are able to evaluate

the risks, less level of capital is needed for banks’ sustainable operating. But from the

other point of view, if risks are estimated wrongly, the increase of capital pillar according

to Basel III will not be enough. For instance, if there is a bank that was not even operating

with mortgage loans that collapsed the financial system in 2007-2009, it still can easily

face the sharp increase of loan default percent.

Therefore, Basel III protects banking system from small cyclical risks. But it is important

to note that it protects only from cyclical risks, it is hardly to happen that Basel III can

protect from the crisis or debt crisis in EEC (Greece).

The negative points of Basel III are the following.

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First of all, banks may need a huge amount of money for share capital inflow in the

following 8 years. And it is still unclear where banks can gain such a financial resources

in the conditions of very slow global economy growth.

Secondly, the increase of capital means the increase of cost of capital that leads for banks

to increase the profit at least twice. As a chain reaction, these processes are leading to the

growth of the interest rate for loans. This growth of interest rate will not be large (not

more than 0.25% annually) but even this small growth can damage the economy.

Thirdly, it is more likely that the banking system will face M&As especially in European

Union. M&As will decrease the amount of banks, competition in banking sector and the

stability of the whole system (as the less players are on market, the less stable is the whole

system).

Nevertheless, Basel III regulations support banks, because all the ratios and standards

help to improve risk analysis and to see the weak parts. The bank that was analyzed in the

practical part of this paper can serve a good example of this.

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Bibliography

1. BIS. About BIS- History - Overview. Bank for International Settlements. [Online] BIS, June 29, 2003. [Cited: November 15, 2014.] http://www.bis.org/about/history.htm.

2. Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. Working paper No.13. Basel : Bank for International Settlements, 2004. ISSN 1561-8854.

3. BIS. About BIS. Bank for International Settlements. [Online] BIS, October 17, 2014. [Cited: December 30, 2014.] http://www.bis.org/about/.

4. Ozdemir Bogie, Miu Peter. Basel II implementation: a guide to developing and validating a compliant internal risk rating system. New York : McGraw-Hill, 2009. ISBN 978-0-07-159132.

5. Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards. Basle : BIS, 1988.

6. —. Basel II: International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards:A Revised Framework - Comprehensive Version. Bank for International Settlements. [Online] June 2006. [Cited: June 19, 2013.] www.bis.org/publ/bcbs128.pdf.

7. —. Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems. Basel : Bank for International Settlements, 2010. ISBN web: 92-9197-859-0.

8. Settlements, Bank for International. The Basel Committee's response to the financial crisis: report to the G20. [Online] Bank for International Settlements Communications, October 2010. [Cited: December 7, 2014.] http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs179.pdf. ISBN 92-9197-851-5.

9. Schoenmaker, Dirk. Contagion Risk in Banking. [Online] [Cited: November 20, 2014.] http://www.imes.boj.or.jp/cbrc/cbrc-03.pdf.

10. U.A., Anisimova. Models of financial instruments hedging on the energy market/Модели хеджирования финансовых рисков на рынках электрической энергии (мощности). [Vektor Nauky of Togliatti State University/Вектор науки Тольяттинского государственного университета №3 (21)] Togliatti : Tolliatty, 2012.

11. Moody's. 1-Basel III Implementation in Full Swing - Global Overview and Credit Implications. Moody's investor service. [Online] Moody's, August 04, 2014. [Cited: December 15, 2014.] http://www.btinvest.com.sg/system/assets/27262/Basel%20III%20Implementation%20in%20Full%20Swing%20-%20Global%20Overview%20and%20Credit%20Implications%204Aug14.pdf.

12. Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. Basel III: The Liquidity Coverage Ratio and liquidity risk monitoring tools. Basel : Bank for International Settlements, 2013. ISBN 92-9197-912-0.

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13. Bank for International Settlements. Basel III: the net stable funding ratio. Bank for International Settlements. [Online] Bank for International Settlements. [Cited: December 6, 2014.] http://www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d295.htm.

14. Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. Basel III: the net stable funding ratio. Basel : Bank for International Settlements, 2014. ISBN 978-92-9131-960-2.

15. EY Basel III liquidity requirements and implications - Required stable funding (RSF) and available stable funding (ASF) - EY - Global. EY. [Online] Ernst&Young, 2014. [Cited: November 27, 2014.] http://www.ey.com/GL/en/Industries/Financial-Services/Banking---Capital-Markets/Basel-III-liquidity-requirements-and-implications---Required-stable-funding--RSF--and-available-stable-funding--ASF.

16. Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. Basel III Monitoring Report as of 31 December 2013. Bank for International Settlements. [Online] Bank for International Settlements, september 10, 2014. [Cited: december 6, 2014.] http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs289.htm.

17. Financial Stability Board. 2014 update of list of global systemically important banks (G-SIBs). [Online] November 6, 2014. [Cited: December 8, 2014.] http://www.financialstabilityboard.org/wp-content/uploads/r_141106b.pdf.

18. Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. Global systematically important banks: updated assessment methodology and the higher loss absorbency requirement. [Online] July 2013. [Cited: December 8, 2014.] http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs255.pdf. ISBN 92-9197-947-3.

19. Accenture. Counterparty Credit Risk and Basel III. A framework for successful implementation. s.l. : Accenture, 2013. 13-3568.

20. Saunders, Professor Anthony. Basel III: The reform propolsals summary. 2011.

21. Profile. About the bank, Banca Intesa. Banca Intesa. [Online] [Cited: December 24, 2014.] http://www.bancaintesa.ru/en/about/today/.

22. Banca Intesa. Banca Intesa, Interim Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements. Moscow : Banca Intesa, 2014.

23. CJSC Banca Intesa. Interim Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements. Moscow : Banca Intesa, 2014.

24. S.N., Vasilenko. Оценка влияния Базель III на Российский банковский сектор/Basel III influence estimation on the Russian Bank sector. [Article]

25. Steinhauser, Gabriele. The Wall Street Journal. Market & Finance: The Wall Street Journal. [Online] Dow Jones & Company, Inc., October 26, 2014. [Cited: December 26, 2014.] http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2014/10/26/how-the-european-stress-tests-worked/.

26. Dendrinou, Viktoria. Markets&Finance The Wall Street Journal. The Wall Street Journal. [Online] Dow Jones & Company, Inc., October 26, 2014. [Cited: December 26,

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2014.] http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2014/10/26/here-are-the-european-banks-that-failed-the-stress-test/.

27. Intesa Sanpaolo. Italian Leader with a European Scale. http://www.group.intesasanpaolo.com. [Online] December 22, 2014. [Cited: 12 27, 2014.] http://www.group.intesasanpaolo.com/scriptIsir0/si09/contentData/view/Brochure_istituz_en.pdf?id=CNT-04-00000000418CF&ct=application/pdf.

28. Dyk, Francois van. Basel III: An Overview of the safer's safety net. s.l. : Official Magazina of the South African Institute of Financial Markets, the South African Institute of Financial Markets, 2014.

29. Rodriguez, L.Jakobo. Banking Stability and the Basel Capital Standards. Cato Institute. [Online] 2003. [Cited: November 27, 2014.] http://object.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/serials/files/cato-journal/2003/5/cj23n1-12.pdf.

30. Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. Fact Sheet - Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. Bank for International Settlements. [Online] [Cited: June 15, 2013.] www.bis.org/about/factbcbs.htm.

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List of figures

Figure 1; Core Components of Basel I .............................................................................................. - 16 -

Figure 2: Timeline of Basel Accords implementation................................................................ - 17 -

Figure 3: Basel II: Advanced IRB approach 1 ................................................................................ - 19 -

Figure 4: Capital requirements Basel II/Basel 2.5 vs. Basel III .............................................. - 29 -

Figure 5:Phase-in arrangements Basel III capital requirements. ......................................... - 30 -

Figure 6: Basel III phased implementation. ................................................................................... - 37 -

Figure 7: The process of the countercyclicality ........................................................................... - 39 -

Figure 8: Leverage ratio implementation ...................................................................................... - 41 -

Figure 9: Tier 1 Leverage Ratios in different regions. ............................................................... - 42 -

Figure 10: Categories of HQLA. Level 1 Assets ............................................................................. - 47 -

Figure 11: NSFR ASF and RSF. ............................................................................................................ - 55 -

Figure 12: Liquidity Coverage Ratio. ................................................................................................ - 57 -

Figure 13: Net Stable funding ratio,.................................................................................................. - 58 -

Figure 14: Liquidity Coverage ratio and Net Stable Funding ratio. ...................................... - 58 -

Figure 15: the formula for portfolios that use standard method. ......................................... - 62 -

Figure 16: Formula for portfolios using IMM ............................................................................... - 63 -

Figure 17: Ranking of European Banks by Bloomberg. ............................................................ - 68 -

Figure 18. Liquidity indicators for banks. ...................................................................................... - 70 -

Figure 19: Liquidity. ............................................................................................................................... - 71 -

Figure 20: Quick liquidity ratio of Bank Intesa. ........................................................................... - 72 -

Figure 21: Liquidity Coverage Ratio of Bank Intesa. .................................................................. - 73 -

Figure 22: Long-term liquidity ratio of Bank Intesa. ................................................................. - 74 -

Figure 23: Bank’s CBR defined capital adequacy ratio.............................................................. - 76 -

Figure 24: Bank’s Basel Accord defined capital adequacy ratio. ........................................... - 77 -

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List of tables

Table 1: Risk weights per asset class 1 ........................................................................................... - 15 -

Table 2: Basel II: Standard approach for RWA ............................................................................ - 18 -

Table 3: The Comparison of Basel Accords. .................................................................................. - 22 -

Table 4. The weak points of Basel II and their improvement in Basel III. ........................ - 31 -

Table 5: The capital structure according to Basel III ................................................................. - 34 -

Table 6: Capital ratios in Basel III ..................................................................................................... - 35 -

Table 7: Min. capital conservation standards for individual bank. ...................................... - 35 -

Table 8: Capital buffers according to Basel II and Basel III .................................................... - 38 -

Table 9: Categories for outstanding maturing secured transactions and the amount to add to cash outflows. ...................................................................................................................................... - 50 -

Table 10: Bucketing approach............................................................................................................ - 60 -

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List of Appendices

Appendix 1. The list of BCBS documents to form the Basel III accord.

Appendix 2. G-SIBs as of November 2014 allocated to buckets corresponding to required

level of additional loss absorbency.

Appendix 3. The data for Bank Intesa.

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Appendix 1.

The list of BCBS documents to form the Basel III accord.

1. July 2011 Global systematically important banks: Assessment methodology and

the additional loss absorbency requirement – consultative document

2. July 2011 Pillar 3 disclosure requirements for remuneration.

3. July 2011 Basel III framework for liquidity - Frequently asked questions

4. July 2011 Basel III definition of capital - frequently asked question

5. June 2011 Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and

banking systems - revised version June 2011

6. May 2011 Range of Methodologies for Risk and Performance Alignment of

Remuneration

7. Jan 2011 Final elements of the reforms to raise the quality of regulatory capital

issued by the Basel Committee

8. Dec 2010 Capitalisation of bank exposures to central counterparties - consultative

document

9. Dec 2010 Basel III: International framework for liquidity risk measurement,

standards and monitoring

10. Dec 2010 Guidance for national authorities operating the countercyclical capital

buffer

11. Dec 2011 Results of the comprehensive quantitative impact study

12. Aug 2010 Proposal to ensure the loss absorbency of regulatory capital at the point

of non-viability - consultative document

13. Oct 2010 Principles for Enhancing Corporate Governance

14. Jul 2009 Guidelines for computing capital for incremental risk in the trading book

- final version

15. Jul 2009 Revisions to the Basel II market risk framework - final version

16. Jul 2009 Enhancements to the Basel II framework

17. Apr 2009 FSF Principles for Sound Compensation Practices

18. Jun 2006 Basel II: International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital

Standards: A Revised Framework - Comprehensive Version

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Appendix 2

G-SIBs as of November 2014 allocated to buckets corresponding to required level

of additional loss absorbency.

Bucket G-SIBs in alphabetical order within

each bucket.

5

(3.5%)

(empty)

4

(2.5%)

HSBC JP Morgan Chase

3

(2.0%)

Barclays BNP Paribas Citigroup Deutsche Bank

2

(1.5%)

Bank of America Credit Suisse Goldman Sachs Mitsubishi UFJ FG Morgan Stanley Royal Bank of Scotland

1

(1.0%)

Agricultural Bank of China Bank of China Bank of New York Mellon BBVA Groupe BPCE Group Crédit Agricole Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited ING Bank Mizuho FG Nordea Santander Société Générale Standard Chartered State Street Sumitomo Mitsui FG UBS Unicredit Group Wells Fargo

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Appendix 3

DATE Assets of Bank Intesa (thousands rub.)

Bank equity (thousands rub.) Liquidity Category

01.11.14 78 794 174 11 330 617 0.66 High liquidity

01.10.14 73 374 995 11 336 915 0.69 High liquidity

01.09.14 75 558 530 11 729 082 0.54 High liquidity

01.08.14 76 698 957 11 672 834 0.7 High liquidity

01.07.14 76 470 026 11 612 079 0.57 High liquidity

01.06.14 79 022 285 11 708 464 0.66 High liquidity

01.05.14 83 704 748 11 674 296 0.88 Very high liquidity

01.04.14 88 319 044 11 934 200 0.75 High liquidity

01.03.14 73 530 123 11 954 966 0.46 Moderate liquidity

01.02.14 76 352 750 11 923 023 0.47 Moderate liquidity

01.01.14 71 236 984 11 919 738 0.46 Moderate liquidity

01.12.13 90 085 363 11 931 940 0.76 Very high liquidity

01.11.13 2 953 103 1 793 499 0.45 Moderate liquidity

01.10.13 84 629 108 11 933 855 0.47 Moderate liquidity

01.09.13 84 827 905 11 919 749 0.51 High liquidity

01.08.13 83 245 444 12 003 707 0.47 Moderate liquidity

01.07.13 81 700 437 11 990 311 0.48 Moderate liquidity

01.06.13 80 153 694 11 944 456 0.46 Moderate liquidity

01.05.13 79 394 930 11 818 264 0.54 High liquidity

01.04.13 80 262 578 12 615 078 0.6 High liquidity

01.03.13 84 079 571 12 493 452 0.68 High liquidity

01.02.13 81 021 485 12 471 947 0.5 Moderate liquidity

01.01.13 82 585 301 12 531 712 0.65 High liquidity

01.12.12 86 141 408 12 742 327 0.41 Moderate liquidity

01.11.12 87 941 179 12 733 758 0.55 High liquidity

01.10.12 87 364 248 12 776 916 0.47 Moderate liquidity

01.09.12 82 553 087 12 695 373 0.56 High liquidity

01.08.12 85 298 306 12 535 536 0.58 High liquidity

01.07.12 89 887 751 12 650 572 0.6 High liquidity

01.06.12 85 933 583 11 960 413 0.48 Moderate liquidity

01.05.12 84 994 658 12 067 932 0.33 Average liquidity

01.04.12 84 994 658 12 067 932 0.33 Average liquidity

01.04.12 89 904 182 12 188 642 0.49 Moderate liquidity

01.03.12 86 887 769 11 994 749 0.42 Moderate liquidity

01.02.12 87 629 690 11 824 136 0.41 Moderate liquidity

01.01.12 93 750 887 11 648 011 0.45 Moderate liquidity

01.12.11 89 594 043 11 971 554 0.4 Moderate liquidity

01.11.11 87 580 443 11 813 897 0.53 High liquidity

01.10.11 93 378 681 11 986 290 0.47 Moderate liquidity

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01.09.11 96 577 927 11 940 376 0.49 Moderate liquidity

01.08.11 95 323 156 11 700 338 0.48 Moderate liquidity

01.07.11 93 550 895 11 619 113 0.45 Moderate liquidity

01.06.11 91 377 021 11 513 620 0.64 High liquidity

01.05.11 88 923 463 11 440 785 0.56 High liquidity

01.04.11 84 158 864 11 318 488 0.57 High liquidity

01.03.11 83 713 424 11 244 943 0.45 Moderate liquidity

01.02.11 87 040 013 11 242 416 0.47 Moderate liquidity

01.01.11 87 166 568 11 151 029 0.58 High liquidity

01.12.10 80 455 000 11 043 772 0.41 Moderate liquidity

01.11.10 81 263 931 10 857 468 0.38 Average liquidity

01.10.10 74 107 395 10 960 595 0.46 Moderate liquidity

01.09.10 69 555 092 11 187 212 0.4 Moderate liquidity

01.08.10 76 395 587 11 102 268 0.4 Moderate liquidity

01.07.10 76 406 763 11 126 402 0.21 Low liquidity

01.06.10 75 228 613 11 052 976 0.41 Moderate liquidity

01.05.10 73 854 193 10 968 115 0.41 Moderate liquidity

01.04.10 72 587 217 11 094 570 0.62 High liquidity

01.03.10 71 850 665 10 918 634 0.74 High liquidity

01.02.10 73 471 591 10 957 134 0.46 Moderate liquidity

01.01.10 64 715 596 6 569 211 0.91 Very high liquidity

01.12.09 63 495 711 6 951 336 0.62 High liquidity

01.11.09 61 968 363 7 053 047 0.7 High liquidity

01.10.09 60 984 610 7 084 066 0.62 High liquidity

01.09.09 61 532 027 7 131 419 0.69 High liquidity

01.08.09 61 467 253 7 142 814 0.94 Very high liquidity

01.07.09 62 061 414 7 339 300 0.74 High liquidity

01.06.09 65 165 315 5 704 576 1.34 Very high liquidity

01.05.09 67 650 188 5 671 451 1.63 Very high liquidity

01.04.09 69 023 468 5 875 808 0.55 High liquidity

01.03.09 71 914 360 6 287 846 0.55 High liquidity

01.02.09 72 317 900 6 709 748 0.5 Moderate liquidity

01.01.09 72 005 710 7 107 268 0.7 High liquidity

01.12.08 73 081 655 7 069 196 0.36 Average liquidity

01.11.08 69 968 101 7 171 594 0.38 Average liquidity

01.10.08 68 851 755 7 214 188 0.78 Very high liquidity

01.09.08 65 837 557 7 429 910 0.16 Low liquidity

01.08.08 61 736 530 4 593 065 0.23 Low liquidity

01.07.08 57 900 357 4 525 170 0.38 Moderate liquidity

01.06.08 54 553 314 4 528 183 0.5 Moderate liquidity

01.05.08 52 579 767 4 536 772 0.49 Moderate liquidity

01.04.08 51 141 926 4 318 416 0.36 Moderate liquidity

01.03.08 45 677 433 4 425 887 0.46 Moderate liquidity

01.02.08 43 804 429 4 503 684 0.42 Moderate liquidity

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01.01.08 43 615 445 4 271 435 0.48 Moderate liquidity

01.12.07 40 133 779 4 513 898 0.46 Moderate liquidity

01.11.07 38 035 389 4 463 666 0.44 Moderate liquidity

01.10.07 36 932 547 4 319 677 0.45 Moderate liquidity

01.09.07 36 882 941 4 482 690 0.5 Moderate liquidity

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List of Abbreviations.

ASF - Available Stable Funding

BCBS - Basel Committee on Banking Supervision

CCB - Countercyclical Capital Buffer

EAD - Exposure of default

GHOS - The Group of Central Bank Governors and Heads of Supervision

G-SIB - Global Systematically Important banks

HQLA - High quality liquid assets

IMM - Internal Monitoring Model

LGD - Loss given default

LCR - Liquidity Coverage Ratio

MPR - Margin period of risk

NSFR - Net Stable Funding Ratio

OBSI - Off-Balance Sheet Instruments

PD - Probability of default

PSE - Public sector entity

SIFI - Systematically Important Finance Institution

SPE - Special purpose entity

WWR - Wrong Way Risk


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