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NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER HEALTH...

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  • WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER HEALTH ASSESSMENT

    CONTENTS

    SUMMARY ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 1

    Overall River Health Scoring ......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 1

    Overall Data Sufficiency Scoring ................................................................................................................................................................................................... 1

    HYDROLOGY ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 2

    Overall Hydrology River Health Scoring ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 2

    Hydrology Data Sufficiency ........................................................................................................................................................................................................... 3

    Long-Term Trends in Monthly Flow for the South Saskatchewan River ....................................................................................................................................... 4

    Recent-Term Trends in Monthly Flow for the South Saskatchewan River ................................................................................................................................... 6

    Trends in Annual Flow for the South Saskatchewan River Basin ................................................................................................................................................ 16

    Hydrological Alteration due to Dams in the South Saskatchewan River Basin ........................................................................................................................... 17

    WATER QUALITY ......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 23

    Overall Water Quality Health Scoring ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 23

    Water Quality Data Sufficiency ................................................................................................................................................................................................... 23

    FISH ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 32

    Overall Fish Health Scoring ......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 32

    Fish Data Sufficiency ................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 32

    BENTHICS ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 38

    Overall Benthic Health Scoring ................................................................................................................................................................................................... 38

    Benthic Data Sufficiency ............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 38

  • 1 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    SUMMARY

    OVERALL RIVER HEALTH SCORING

    Sub-Basin

    Basin

    Overall River Health

    Indicator Upper North

    Saskatchewan Central North Saskatchewan

    Battle River Lower North

    Saskatchewan

    Hydrology

    Hydrology Health Category Poor Good Poor Poor Poor

    Hydrology Score 1 3 1 1 1

    Water Quality Water Quality Health Category Very Good Good Fair Good Good

    Water Quality Health Score 4 3 2 3 3

    Benthic Macro-Invertebrates

    Benthic Health Category Data Deficient Data Deficient Data

    Deficient Data Deficient

    Data Deficient

    Benthic Health Score Data Deficient Data Deficient Data

    Deficient Data Deficient

    Data Deficient

    Fish

    Fish Health Category Good Good Good Data Deficient Good

    Fish Health Score 3 3 3 Data Deficient 3

    Total Score 8 9 6 4 7

    Total Available Score 11 11 11 11 11

    Percentage of Maximum Score 72.7% 81.8% 54.5% 36.4% 63.6%

    Overall Health Category Good Good Poor Data

    Deficient Fair

    OVERALL DATA SUFFICIENCY SCORING

    Sub-Basin

    Basin

    Overall Data

    Sufficiency

    Indicator Upper North

    Saskatchewan Central North Saskatchewan

    Battle River

    Lower North Saskatchewan

    Hydrology Data Sufficiency Category Partially Sufficient

    Partially Sufficient

    Partially Sufficient

    Partially Sufficient

    Partially Sufficient

    Data Sufficiency Score 1 1 1 1 1

    Water Quality

    Data Sufficiency Category Partially Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient

    Data Sufficiency Score 1 1 1 1 1

    Benthic Macro-

    Invertebrates

    Data Sufficiency Category Insufficient Insufficient Insufficient Insufficient Insufficient

    Data Sufficiency Score 0 0 0 0 0

    Fish Data Sufficiency Category Sufficient

    Partially Sufficient

    Sufficient Insufficient Partially

    Sufficient

    Data Sufficiency Score 3 1 3 0 1

    Total Score 5 3 5 2 3

    Total Available Score 12 12 12 12 12

    Percentage of Maximum Score 41.7% 25.0% 41.7% 16.7% 25.0%

    Overall Data Sufficiency Category Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient Insufficient

    Partially Sufficient

  • 2 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    HYDROLOGY

    OVERALL HYDROLOGY RIVER HEALTH SCORING

    Sub-Basin Basin

    Hydrology

    Indicator Upper North

    Saskatchewan Central North Saskatchewan

    Battle River Lower North

    Saskatchewan

    Long-Term Trends in Monthly Flow

    Average percentage change in median monthly flow, measured as the relative change in median monthly flow per year, reported

    as an average across studied stations and weighted by the

    median annual flow per station.

    Period of Study 1911-2012 1935-2012 1964-2012 1910-2012 1910-2012

    Number of Stations 1 1 2 1 5

    Value 0.89 0 0.57 0.84 0.57

    Health Category Good Very Good Good Good Good

    Health Score 3 4 3 3 3

    Recent-Term Trends in Monthly Flow

    Average percentage change in median monthly flow, measured as the relative change in median monthly flow per year, reported

    as an average across studied stations and weighted by the

    median annual flow per station.

    Period of Study 1976-2012 1979-2012 1981-2012 1982-2012 1976-2012

    Number of Stations 19 11 9 4 43

    Value 0.06 0.03 0.53 0 0.15

    Health Category Very Good Very Good Good Very Good Good

    Health Score 4 4 3 4 3

    Long-Term Trends in Annual Flow

    Average percentage change in median annual flow, reported as

    an average across studied stations and weighted by the

    median annual flow per station.

    Period of Study 1911-2012 1935-2012 1964-2012 1910-2012 1965-2013

    Number of Stations 1 1 2 1 5

    Value 0.4% 0.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.6%

    Health Category Very Good Very Good Very Good Very Good Very Good

    Health Score 4 4 4 4 4

    Pre- vs. Post-Dam or Recent vs. Historical Analsis of Monthly

    Flow

    Percentage of total months, for all stations analyzed, with

    significantly different variance in monthly flow pre- vs. post-dam

    operation or for historical vs. Recent time periods in undammed systems.

    Period of Study Various Various Various Various Various

    Number of Stations 5 1 2 1 9

    Value 88.3% 70.0% 95.0% 91.6% 88.1%

    Health Category Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor

    Health Score 0 0 0 0 0

    Percentage change in median monthly flow pre-and post-dam or for historical vs. Recent time periods in undammed systems,

    averaged across studied stations by mean annual flow.

    Period of Study Various Various Various Various Various

    Number of Stations 5 1 2 1 9

    Value 60% 26% 66% 81% 60%

    Health Category Very Poor Good Very Poor Very Poor Poor

    Health Score 0 3 0 0 1

    Hydrology Score

    Total Score 11 15 10 11 11

    Maximum Available Score

    20 20 20 20 20

    Percentage of Maximum Score

    55.0% 75.0% 50.0% 55.0% 55.0%

    Hydrology Health Category

    Poor Good Poor Poor Poor

    Hydrology Score 1 3 1 1 1

  • 3 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    HYDROLOGY DATA SUFFICIENCY

    Sub-Basin Basin

    Data Sufficiency Indicator Upper South

    Saskatchewan Bow River

    Red Deer River

    Lower South Saskatchewan

    Total number of sub-sub-basins 6 7 6 7 26

    Total number of dams (>10m) 5 1 1 1 8

    Year of earliest dam operation 1962 1989 1956 1929 1929

    Year of earliest available continuous flow monitoring

    1911 1935 1962 1910 1962

    Number of monitoring stations available for earliest, continuous flow monitoring

    1 1 1 1 4

    Number of sub-sub-basins with monitoring stations

    1 1 1 1 4

    Number of monitoring stations on river downstream of dams

    0 0 0 0 0

    Data Sufficiency Category Insufficient Insufficient Insufficient Insufficient Partially

    Sufficient

    Year of long-term continuous flow monitoring

    1911 1935 1964 1910 1964

    Number of monitoring stations available for continuous flow monitoring analysis

    1 1 2 1 5

    Number of sub-sub-basins with monitoring stations

    1 1 2 1 5

    Number of monitoring stations on river downstream of dams

    0 0 0 0 0

    Data Sufficiency Category Insufficient Insufficient Partially

    Sufficient Insufficient

    Partially Sufficient

    Year of widespread, continuous flow monitoring

    1976 1979 1981 1982 1982

    Number of monitoring stations available for continuous flow monitoring analysis

    19 11 9 4 43

    Number of sub-sub-basins with monitoring stations

    6 6 5 2 19

    Number of monitoring stations on river downstream of dams

    1 0 0 0 1

    Data Sufficiency Category Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient

    Overall Data Sufficiency Category Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient

    Data Sufficiency Score 1 1 1 1 1

  • 4 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    LONG-TERM TRENDS IN MONTHLY FLOW FOR THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER

    MAP. RESULTS OF A SERIES OF TREND ANALYSES OF MEDIAN MONTHLY FLOW IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN.

  • 5 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    TABLE. RESULTS OF LONG-TERM TREND ANALYSES FOR MEDIAN MONTHLY FLOW IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER SUB-BASIN.

    North Saskatchewan River

    Upper North Saskatchewan Central North Saskatchewan Battle River Lower North Saskatchewan

    05DF001 05EA001 05FB002 05FD001 05GG001

    Start Year for Analysis 1911 Start Year for Analysis 1935 Start Year for Analysis 1964 Start Year for Analysis 1964 Start Year for Analysis 1910

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 136.1 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 1.8 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.1 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.1 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 162.1

    Month Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    October 0.20 0.18 138.7 0.00 0.48 1.5 -4.1E-04 0.26 0.07 0.00 0.00 ** 0.1 1.89 -0.03 0.85 170.9

    November 0.86 1.6E-11 *** 92.6 0.93 0.01 0.84 1.8 -1.2E-03 0.54 0.11 0.00 0.03 * 0.1 2.23 0.78 4.7E-09 *** 99.0 0.79

    December 1.04 1.1E-17 *** 73.7 1.41 - - - - - - - 0.98 1.5E-12 *** 77.0 1.27

    January 1.01 9.9E-18 *** 69.4 1.46 NA NA 0.1 - - - - 1.01 5.4E-16 *** 67.6 1.49

    February 1.05 1.8E-17 *** 68.3 1.54 0.00 0.62 0.5 -2.5E-04 0.30 0.02 0.0E+00 0.13 0.0 1.09 8.0E-17 *** 68.7 1.58

    March 1.22 1.7E-17 *** 75.2 1.63 -3.7E-05 0.91 0.8 -3.3E-04 0.36 0.11 0.0E+00 0.51 0.0 1.19 2.0E-16 *** 73.5 1.62

    April 1.49 1.7E-08 *** 162.2 0.92 -4.1E-05 1.00 9.9 -0.03 0.06 1.68 0.00 3.4E-06 *** 0.3 1.86 2.48 4.7E-07 *** 238.7 1.04

    May -0.19 0.51 253.8 -0.03 0.14 8.2 -0.01 0.03 * 0.84 1.16 -0.01 3.3E-04 *** 0.8 0.69 0.24 0.49 312.3

    June -2.77 3.8E-06 *** 445.0 0.62 -0.01 0.12 3.2 -1.7E-03 0.50 0.36 -0.01 0.13 0.8 -1.58 0.01 ** 435.4 0.36

    July -3.53 2.2E-08 *** 454.4 0.78 0.00 0.52 3.2 -1.5E-03 0.30 0.39 -0.01 0.03 * 0.6 2.01 -3.08 1.0E-05 *** 498.8 0.62

    August -3.07 1.4E-15 *** 324.3 0.95 4.4E-04 0.86 2.2 -1.4E-04 0.68 0.13 0.00 0.02 * 0.2 1.48 -2.71 1.5E-11 *** 361.4 0.75

    September -0.95 6.7E-07 *** 210.6 0.45 -5.6E-04 0.85 1.7 -4.8E-04 0.10 0.05 -5.6E-04 0.12 0.1 -1.52 5.5E-10 *** 262.7 0.58

    Average for all months,

    for each station

    -0.30 197.34 0.89 0.00 3.01 0.0E+00 0.00 0.37 0.12 -3.9E-03 0.29 1.01 -0.10 222.17 0.84

    Average percentage change in median monthly flow for all months, weighted by

    median annual flow 0.89 0.00 0.57 0.84

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

  • 6 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    RECENT-TERM TRENDS IN MONTHLY FLOW FOR THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER

    MAP. RESULTS OF A SERIES OF TREND ANALYSES OF MEDIAN MONTHLY FLOW IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN FOR THE PERIOD 1976 TO 2012.

  • 7 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    TABLE. RESULTS OF RECENT-TERM TREND ANALYSES FOR MEDIAN MONTHLY FLOW IN THE UPPER-NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER SUB-BASIN.

    Upper North Saskatchewan

    05DA007 05DA009 05DA010 05DB002 05DB005

    Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 2.1 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 14.5

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s)

    0.1 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 3.2 Median Annual Flow

    (m3/s) 1.1

    Month Theil-Sen

    Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    October -1.3E-03 0.93 3.19 0.02 0.75 23.64 -9.4E-04 0.33 0.20 0.02 0.28 3.94 6.9E-04 0.93 1.02

    November 8.5E-03 0.14 1.64 0.04 0.27 10.79 3.6E-05 0.95 0.10 0.008 0.63 2.79 -0.01 0.30 0.74

    December 2.5E-03 0.36 1.01 0.005 0.86 7.43 -4.1E-04 0.16 0.06 -0.003 0.85 2.03 - -

    January 4.6E-04 0.86 0.73 0.02 0.08 5.72 -4.1E-04 0.18 0.05 0.003 0.65 1.63 - -

    February 2.7E-03 0.13 0.61 0.02 0.16 5.16 -3.3E-04 0.30 0.04 -0.003 0.73 1.51 -0.02 0.18 0.29

    March -1.4E-03 0.57 0.63 -0.010 0.34 5.03 -3.3E-04 0.17 0.04 -4.5E-04 0.87 1.79 -0.001 0.73 0.33

    April 2.5E-03 0.75 0.89 -0.02 0.33 7.08 -6.5E-04 0.04 * 0.06 1.18 0.01 0.70 3.52 0.002 0.76 0.80

    May -0.03 0.37 4.67 -0.14 0.45 33.47 -0.001 0.69 0.34 0.05 0.33 5.56 0.01 0.56 2.21

    June -0.03 0.52 15.27 -0.12 0.73 126.78 0.002 0.91 1.27 0.10 0.07 7.58 0.03 0.11 2.83

    July -2.3E-03 0.93 19.91 0.0E+00 0.97 169.39 -0.003 0.53 1.34 0.05 0.44 7.71 -7.0E-04 0.98 2.28

    August -0.12 0.03 * 16.00 0.75 -1.12 0.07 145.28 -0.002 0.47 0.70 0.02 0.56 5.26 -0.007 0.58 1.48

    September -0.04 0.29 7.41 -0.05 0.80 62.29 -3.1E-04 0.87 0.37 0.02 0.69 5.06 -6.6E-04 0.99 1.43

    Average for all

    months, for each station

    0.02 6.00 0.06 0.13 50.17 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.10 0.02 4.03 0.00 0.01 1.34 0.00

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

  • 8 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    Upper North Saskatchewan

    05DB006 05DC001 05DC006 05DC010 05DC011

    Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 11.4 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 132.9

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s)

    8.5 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 76.8 Median Annual Flow

    (m3/s) 2.5

    Month Theil-Sen

    Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    October 0.01 0.87 14.28 -0.25 0.29 107.4 -0.03 0.53 10.68 0.08 0.69 70.89 -9.8E-03 0.42 1.55

    November 0.05 0.23 9.14 -0.65 0.04 * 103.6 0.63 0.02 0.46 6.11 -0.17 0.46 78.70 -1.8E-03 1.00 1.07

    December 8.8E-03 0.80 5.91 -0.83 0.09 113.2 -0.02 0.28 4.39 0.24 0.38 79.24 - -

    January 0.01 0.48 4.98 - - -6.1E-04 0.97 3.33 0.27 0.31 67.89 - -

    February 0.02 0.22 5.10 - - 0.009 0.33 3.14 -0.12 0.69 66.22 - -

    March 0.02 0.60 5.85 -0.25 0.94 115.5 0.005 0.79 3.38 0.08 0.54 77.74 - -

    April 0.03 0.25 9.01 0.31 0.69 122.4 -0.03 0.31 6.01 0.58 0.02 * 86.54 0.67 0.02 0.23 0.61

    May -0.04 0.69 18.12 0.0E+00 0.99 148.7 -0.05 0.68 20.82 0.27 0.58 86.76 -0.01 0.41 2.19

    June 0.42 0.07 39.35 0.05 0.98 198.5 0.31 0.33 38.99 -0.58 0.35 88.24 0.04 0.41 5.78

    July 0.12 0.41 36.78 0.15 0.77 180.7 -0.11 0.41 29.46 0.53 0.23 85.88 -0.02 0.43 4.92

    August -0.07 0.60 25.91 -0.13 0.73 140.2 -0.19 0.11 17.96 0.35 0.18 77.93 -0.04 0.07 2.84

    September -0.05 0.56 19.62 -0.48 0.32 117.7 -0.10 0.34 15.09 -0.05 0.93 67.99 -0.01 0.28 2.30

    Average for all

    months, for each station

    0.07 16.17 0.00 0.31 134.8 0.06 0.07 13.28 0.00 0.28 77.84 0.06 0.02 2.66 0.00

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

  • 9 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    Upper North Saskatchewan

    05DD004 05DD005 05DD007 05DD009 05DE007

    Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 1.8

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s)

    40.3 Median Annual Flow

    (m3/s) 47.4 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 2.7

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s)

    0.9

    Month Theil-Sen

    Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-

    value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    October -0.008 0.33 0.94 -0.28 0.35 34.76 -0.10 0.19 24.40 -0.02 0.50 3.54 -0.005 0.36 0.63

    November -0.02 0.21 0.64 -0.34 0.14 33.74 0.29 0.37 17.91 -0.007 0.63 1.86 -0.003 0.95 0.94

    December - - -0.31 0.09 42.55 - - -0.001 0.83 1.27 - -

    January - - -0.09 0.73 43.35 - - -0.004 0.25 0.97 - -

    February - - 0.26 0.20 38.03 - - -0.006 0.24 0.96 -0.004 0.24 0.18

    March - - 0.41 0.10 29.70 - - -0.010 0.22 1.10 -0.001 0.78 0.35

    April 0.05 0.13 1.70 0.11 0.46 31.02 -0.24 0.30 17.12 -0.02 0.61 3.28 0.004 0.73 2.65

    May 0.008 0.79 3.09 -0.25 0.23 43.81 -0.52 0.03 * 33.55 1.54 0.03 0.75 8.54 0.005 0.93 2.93

    June 0.03 0.32 3.90 0.18 0.75 92.03 0.21 0.79 84.54 0.08 0.24 8.85 0.01 0.39 2.56

    July -0.008 0.70 3.10 -0.93 0.34 90.37 -0.09 0.74 79.31 0.03 0.73 8.52 -0.01 0.71 2.07

    August -0.02 0.21 2.03 -0.62 0.08 53.36 -0.68 0.002 ** 58.04 1.17 -0.03 0.33 5.15 -0.007 0.67 0.93

    September -0.01 0.28 1.59 -0.38 0.20 43.40 -0.23 0.24 37.62 -0.01 0.81 4.77 -0.007 0.46 0.85

    Average for all

    months, for each station

    0.02 2.12 0.00 0.35 48.01 0.00 0.29 44.06 0.34 0.02 4.07 0.0E+00 0.01 1.41 0.0E+00

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

  • 10 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    Upper North Saskatchewan

    05DF001 05DF004 05DF006 05DF007

    Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976 Start Year for Analysis 1976

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 157.8 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.2

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s)

    0.0 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.0

    Month Theil-Sen

    Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-

    value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-

    value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    October -0.48 0.46 149.86 0.00 0.10 0.13 0.00 0.06 0.03 0.00 0.02 * 0.00 0.00

    November -0.57 0.33 132.24 -0.01 0.00 ** 0.15 7.74 0.00 0.10 0.02 0.00 0.16 0.00

    December -0.20 0.57 119.08 - - - - - -

    January -0.15 0.60 110.74 - - - - - -

    February -0.42 0.09 110.89 0.00 0.50 0.96 0.00 0.77 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.02

    March -0.43 0.18 128.44 0.00 0.03 * 0.76 0.36 0.00 0.07 0.20 0.00 0.02 * 0.04 0.00

    April 0.50 0.64 214.31 -0.01 0.67 1.96 0.00 0.42 0.72 0.00 0.87 0.09

    May -0.09 0.96 232.19 -0.01 0.11 0.63 0.00 1.00 0.11 0.00 0.69 0.01

    June 0.29 0.83 325.46 0.00 0.67 0.37 0.00 0.28 0.05 0.00 0.51 0.00

    July -0.02 1.00 317.36 0.00 0.25 0.46 0.00 0.65 0.20 0.00 0.89 0.03

    August -0.46 0.45 210.92 0.00 0.15 0.16 0.00 0.14 0.03 0.00 0.91 0.00

    September -1.33 0.11 177.99 0.00 0.18 0.16 0.00 0.13 0.08 0.00 0.02 * 0.01 0.00

    Average for all

    months, for each station

    0.41 185.79 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.81 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

    Average percentage change in median monthly flow for all months, weighted by

    median annual flow 0.06

  • 11 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    TABLE. RESULTS OF RECENT-TERM TREND ANALYSES FOR MEDIAN MONTHLY FLOW IN THE CENTRAL-NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER SUB-BASIN.

    Central North Saskatchewan

    05EA001 05EA005 05EB902 05EC002 05EC005 05ED002

    Start Year for Analysis 1979 Start Year for Analysis 1979 Start Year for Analysis 1979 Start Year for Analysis 1979 Start Year for Analysis 1979

    Start Year for Analysis

    1979

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s)

    1.7 Median Annual Flow

    (m3/s) 0.8

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s)

    0.0 Median Annual Flow

    (m3/s) 0.0

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s)

    0.2 Median Annual Flow

    (m3/s) 0.0

    Month Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median

    Monthly Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-

    value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    October -0.05 1.2E-

    03 ** 1.52 3.23 -0.02

    2.0E-04

    *** 0.77 1.99 -4.7E-05 0.06 0.01 0.0E+00 0.001 ** 0.02 0.00 -0.001 0.004 ** 1.02 0.14 -1.7E-04 0.10 0.07

    November -0.02 0.92 2.04 -0.01 0.004 ** 0.64 1.93 -5.7E-04 0.73 0.00 -5.6E-04 0.13 0.03 0.002 0.21 0.74 -3.0E-04 0.48 0.16

    December - - -0.01 0.02 * 0.45 1.56 - - - - - - - -

    January 0.05 -0.01 0.002 ** 0.45 2.11 - - - - - - - -

    February -0.02 0.13 0.52 -0.02 3.4E-

    04 *** 0.40 3.85 0.03 1.00 0.14 0.0E+00 1.00 0.00 -0.001 0.27 0.29 0.0E+00 NA 0.04

    March -0.01 0.01 ** 1.08 1.05 -0.02 3.7E-

    04 *** 0.83 2.69 -0.003

    8.0E-05

    *** 0.17 1.80 0.0E+00 0.27 0.01 -0.001 0.003 ** 0.33 0.39 0.0E+00 0.46 0.27

    April -0.22 0.07 9.49 -0.09 0.07 3.76 -0.01 0.02 * 0.35 2.98 -0.01 0.06 0.45 -0.04 0.15 0.80 -4.4E-05 0.99 2.28

    May -0.10 0.15 5.70 -0.07 0.001 ** 1.73 4.08 -9.1E-04 0.15 0.08 -6.0E-04 0.001 ** 0.12 0.48 -0.01 0.18 2.21 -0.002 0.10 1.25

    June -0.05 0.02 * 2.08 2.21 -0.04 0.003 ** 1.44 2.89 -4.3E-04 0.23 0.06 -1.4E-04 9.1E-

    04 *** 0.08 0.17 -0.01 0.05 * 2.83 0.25 -2.6E-04 0.15 0.47

    July -0.04 0.03 * 2.56 1.54 -0.05 0.003 ** 1.35 3.75 -0.002 0.04 * 0.09 1.86 0.0E+00 0.01 ** 0.04 0.00 -0.005 0.01 ** 2.28 0.20 -2.0E-04 0.29 0.53

    August -0.06 0.01 ** 1.76 3.17 -0.04 4.8E-

    04 *** 0.91 3.99 -2.2E-04 0.23 0.03 0.0E+00 0.005 ** 0.03 0.0E+00 -0.003

    1.1E-03

    ** 1.48 0.19 -1.5E-04 0.20 0.13

    September -0.05 0.005 ** 1.42 3.59 -0.01 2.5E-

    04 *** 0.83 1.57 0.0E+00 0.45 0.03 0.0E+00 0.005 ** 0.02 0.0E+00

    -5.7E-04

    0.02 * 1.43 0.04 0.0E+00 0.39 0.07

    Average for all

    months, for each station

    0.06 2.57 1.23 0.03 1.13 2.53 4.8E-03 0.10 0.55 7.8E-04 0.08 0.05 6.9E-

    03 1.34 0.10 2.6E-04 0.53 0.00

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

  • 12 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    Central North Saskatchewan

    05ED003 05EE005 05EE006 05EE007 05EF001

    Start Year for Analysis 1979 Start Year for Analysis 1979 Start Year for Analysis 1979 Start Year for Analysis 1979 Start Year for Analysis 1979

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.0 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.0 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.0 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.3 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 162.6

    Month Theil-Sen

    Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median

    Monthly Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    October 0.0E+00 0.30 0.00 0.0E+00 0.21 0.0010 0.0E+00 0.52 6.1E-05 -8.6E-05 0.74 0.15 -0.07 0.98 157.89

    November 0.0E+00 0.44 0.00 0.0E+00 1.00 6.9E-04 0.0E+00 NA 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 0.86 0.10 0.0E+00 1.00 135.54

    December - - - - - - - - 0.17 0.68 116.31

    January - - - - - - - - 0.11 0.72 108.97

    February 0.0E+00 NA 0.00 0.0E+00 1.00 0.013 0.0E+00 NA 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 NA 0.00 -0.12 0.73 109.62

    March 0.0E+00 0.85 1.7E-03 0.0E+00 0.68 0.005 0.0E+00 0.35 0.01 0.0E+00 0.49 0.16 -0.50 0.26 128.84

    April 5.5E-04 0.62 8.9E-02 -1.6E-04 0.58 0.100 0.0E+00 0.91 0.13 -0.07 0.22 5.03 -0.98 0.50 259.23

    May -2.1E-04 0.70 0.05 7.4E-05 0.26 0.018 0.0E+00 0.63 0.01 -0.02 0.72 2.49 -0.38 0.82 251.12

    June 0.0E+00 1.00 0.04 0.0E+00 0.22 0.003 0.0E+00 0.40 0.01 9.7E-04 0.76 0.66 1.16 0.62 333.95

    July -1.3E-04 0.26 0.02 0.0E+00 0.02 * 0.005 0.00 0.0E+00 1.00 0.03 -3.3E-03 0.38 0.87 0.83 0.67 341.81

    August 0.0E+00 0.08 1.8E-03 0.0E+00 0.41 0.003 0.0E+00 0.29 4.5E-03 -1.1E-03 0.25 0.42 0.38 0.72 225.21

    September 0.0E+00 0.15 1.6E-03 0.00 0.53 0.002 0.0E+00 0.17 3.5E-04 -5.0E-04 0.43 0.13 -0.23 0.72 182.22

    Average for all

    months, for each station

    8.9E-05 0.02 0.00 2.3E-05 0.02 0.00 0.0E+00 0.02 0.0E+00 0.01 1.00 0.0E+00 0.41 195.89 0.0E+00

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

    Average percentage change in median monthly flow for all months, weighted by

    median annual flow 0.03

  • 13 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    TABLE. RESULTS OF RECENT-TERM TREND ANALYSES FOR MEDIAN MONTHLY FLOW IN THE BATTLE RIVER SUB-BASIN.

    Battle River

    05FA001 05FA014 05FB002 05FC001 05FC002

    Start Year for Analysis 1981 Start Year for Analysis 1981 Start Year for Analysis 1981 Start Year for Analysis 1981 Start Year for Analysis 1981

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.7 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.0

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s)

    0.1 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 2.5 Median Annual Flow

    (m3/s) 0.0

    Month Theil-Sen

    Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    October -0.03 1.1E-03 ** 0.81 3.41 -2.2E-04 0.06 0.01 6.7E-04 0.15 0.04 -0.02 0.05 0.97 0.0E+00 0.69 0.01

    November -0.02 1.7E-04 *** 0.54 3.14 -3.8E-04 0.15 0.01 4.4E-04 0.73 0.07 -0.05 0.58 1.00 0.0E+00 0.30 0.00

    December -0.01 1.4E-03 ** 0.33 2.72 - - - - - - - -

    January -0.01 6.9E-05 *** 0.28 3.80 - - - - - - - -

    February -0.01 0.01 ** 0.24 3.93 0.0E+00 0.83 0.03 7.1E-05 1.00 0.01 -0.02 0.18 0.32 0.0E+00 NA 0.0E+00

    March -0.02 4.9E-04 *** 1.07 2.11 -3.3E-04 0.05 0.04 -1.2E-03 0.15 0.07 -0.03 3.4E-03 ** 1.58 1.61 0.0E+00 0.52 0.16

    April -0.03 0.42 4.50 -0.002 0.07 0.12 -0.02 0.34 1.47 -0.26 0.20 14.18 0.0E+00 0.95 0.35

    May -0.05 0.17 3.02 -0.001 0.10 0.04 -0.003 0.81 0.50 -0.08 0.28 9.65 0.0E+00 0.41 0.08

    June -0.03 0.20 1.88 -2.9E-04 0.20 0.03 0.003 0.42 0.30 -0.07 0.21 3.46 0.0E+00 0.33 0.07

    July -0.02 0.43 3.47 -3.5E-04 0.06 0.04 7.8E-04 0.75 0.35 -0.04 0.32 5.52 0.0E+00 0.74 0.11

    August -0.03 0.04 * 1.35 1.91 -6.7E-05 0.48 0.01 4.3E-04 0.41 0.06 -0.03 0.34 4.24 0.0E+00 0.89 0.04

    September -0.02 0.01 * 0.70 3.12 -2.0E-04 0.03 * 0.01 3.35 3.9E-04 0.17 0.02 -0.03 0.19 1.76 0.0E+00 0.84 0.01

    Average for all

    months, for each station

    0.02 1.52 2.01 4.8E-04 0.03 0.34 0.003 0.29 0.0E+00 0.06 4.27 0.16 0.0E+00 0.08 0.0E+00

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

  • 14 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    Battle River

    05FC004 05FD001 05FE002 05FE004

    Start Year for

    Analysis 1981

    Start Year for Analysis

    1981 Start Year for Analysis 1981 Start Year for Analysis 1981

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s)

    0.0 Median Annual

    Flow (m3/s) 0.1 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.1 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 2.7

    Month Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value Average Median

    Monthly Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    October 0.0E+00 0.98 0.01 0.0E+00 0.48 0.04 1.5E-03 0.10 0.07 -0.05 0.11 2.49

    November 0.0E+00 0.65 0.00 0.0E+00 0.85 0.03 3.0E-03 0.10 0.08 -0.03 0.18 1.64

    December - - - - - - -0.02 0.12 1.11

    January - - - - - - -0.02 0.04 * 0.81 2.53

    February 0.0E+00 0.08 0.09 0.0E+00 NA 0.0E+00 2.6E-03 0.62 0.03 -0.02 0.01 * 0.73 2.95

    March 0.0E+00 0.20 0.21 0.0E+00 0.26 0.01 -1.6E-03 0.31 0.10 -0.03 0.05 * 2.35 1.19

    April 3.1E-04 0.83 0.15 -1.0E-

    04 0.55 0.07 6.6E-03 0.10 0.54 -0.38 0.25 22.10

    May 9.1E-05 0.10 0.04 -4.2E-

    04 0.37 0.48 -5.2E-04 0.84 0.24 -0.12 0.59 16.33

    June 0.0E+00 0.55 0.04 -0.01 0.51 0.65 3.1E-03 0.19 0.17 0.00 0.97 8.28

    July 0.0E+00 0.52 0.11 -0.01 0.33 0.36 2.0E-03 0.19 0.10 -0.05 0.48 8.32

    August 0.0E+00 0.89 0.01 -9.6E-

    04 0.30 0.12 4.0E-04 0.21 0.04 -0.03 0.52 6.36

    September 0.0E+00 0.74 0.01 0.0E+00 0.96 0.07 1.0E-03 0.18 0.05 -0.03 0.34 3.56

    Average for all

    months, for each station

    4.0E-05 0.07 0.0E+00 1.5E-03 0.18 0.0E+00 2.2E-03 0.14 0.0E+00 0.06 6.17 0.56

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

    Average percentage change in median monthly flow for all months, weighted by

    median annual flow 0.53

  • 15 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    TABLE. RESULTS OF RECENT-TERM TREND ANALYSES FOR MEDIAN MONTHLY FLOW IN THE LOWER-NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER SUB-BASIN.

    Lower North Saskatchewan River

    05GA003 05GA008 05GA010 05GG001

    Start Year for Analysis 1982 Start Year for Analysis 1982 Start Year for Analysis 1982 Start Year for Analysis 1982

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.0 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 0.0

    Median Annual Flow (m3/s)

    0.0 Median Annual Flow (m3/s) 166.7

    Month Theil-Sen

    Slope Mann-Kendall

    p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in

    Median Monthly

    Flow*

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Kendall p-value

    Average Median Monthly

    Flow

    Average Percentage Change in Median Monthly

    Flow*

    October 0.0E+00 0.41 2.5E-03 0.0E+00 0.53 1.0E-04 0.0E+00 0.22 1.9E-03 -0.63 0.48 169.05

    November 0.0E+00 1.00 1.0E-03 0.0E+00 NA 0.0E+00 -2.0E-04 0.17 2.3E-03 0.03 0.95 128.99

    December - - - - - - 0.32 0.55 119.26

    January - - - - - - 0.05 0.82 107.50

    February 0.0E+00 0.23 0.00 0.0E+00 0.65 0.01 0.0E+00 0.38 1.5E-03 0.38 0.43 110.16

    March 0.0E+00 0.85 0.07 0.0E+00 0.69 0.04 0.0E+00 0.51 0.01 0.35 0.45 119.30

    April 0.0E+00 1.00 0.20 0.0E+00 0.65 0.16 0.0E+00 0.94 0.06 0.68 0.80 330.63

    May 2.0E-04 0.21 0.03 0.0E+00 0.08 0.01 0.0E+00 0.61 0.01 0.61 0.73 279.69

    June 2.5E-04 0.03 * 0.03 0.75 0.0E+00 0.12 0.01 5.6E-05 0.25 0.01 5.53 0.08 321.22

    July 0.0E+00 0.81 0.02 0.0E+00 0.71 0.01 0.0E+00 0.85 2.4E-03 0.80 0.63 364.68

    August 0.0E+00 0.16 3.0E-03 0.0E+00 0.61 1.0E-03 0.0E+00 0.16 2.1E-03 0.90 0.53 233.39

    September 0.0E+00 0.45 4.3E-03 0.0E+00 0.23 4.8E-04 0.0E+00 0.21 2.4E-03 -0.16 0.83 197.06

    Average for all

    months, for each station

    4.5E-05 0.04 0.07 0.0E+00 0.02 0.00 2.5E-05 0.01 0.0E+00 0.87 206.74 0.0E+00

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

    Average percentage change in median monthly flow for all months, weighted by median annual flow

    2.0E-06

  • 16 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    TRENDS IN ANNUAL FLOW FOR THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN

    TABLE . RESULTS OF LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSES FOR LONG-TERM TREND ANALYSIS OF MEDIAN ANNUAL FLOW IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER, BY SUB-BASIN.

    Sub-Basin

    Station Start Year Intercept Intercept Standard

    Error

    Intercept T-Test

    Statistic

    Intercept T-Test

    p-value Slope

    Slope Standard

    Error

    Slope T-Test

    Statistic

    Slope T-Test p-value

    Adjusted R-Squared

    F-Test Static

    F-Test p-value

    Upper-North Saskatchewan

    05DF001 1911 -612.9785 226.00285 -2.71226008 0.007880921 0.3820029 0.115236 3.3149604 0.0012817 ** 0.0908179 10.988963 0.0012817 **

    Central-North Saskatchewan

    05EA001 1935 8.5091519 23.055889 0.36906631 0.713118185 -0.0033866 0.011685 -0.2898256 0.7727494 -0.0121997 0.0839989 0.7727494

    Battle River

    05FB002 1964 2.7577507 2.5489096 1.0819335 0.284921392 -0.001329 0.0012824 -1.0362856 0.305486 0.0015696 1.0738877 0.305486

    05FD001 1964 7.8732669 2.5642894 3.07035031 0.003582128 -0.0039012 0.0012902 -3.0237409 0.0040741 ** 0.1476707 9.1430091 0.0040741 **

    Lower-North Saskatchewan

    05GG001 1910 108.13129 311.68779 0.34692181 0.729371858 0.0287528 0.158925 0.1809205 0.8567925 -0.0095738 0.0327322 0.8567925

    TABLE . RESULTS OF MANN-KENDALL NON-PARAMETRIC LONG-TERM TREND ANALYSIS OF MEDIAN ANNUAL FLOW IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER, BY SUB-BASIN.

    Sub-Basin Station Start Year Theil -Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall Test

    Statistic

    Mann-Kendall Test p-value

    Median Annual Flow

    (m3/s)

    Average Percentage Change in Median

    Annual Flow

    Weighted Averaged Between Stations

    Upper-North Saskatchewan

    05DF001 1911 0.4985915 1362 6.4999E-05 *** 136.12921 0.3662635 0.3662635

    Central-North Saskatchewan

    05EA001 1935 -0.0006641 -34 8.85E-01 1.8273896 0 0

    Battle River 05FB002 1964 -0.0006752 -108 3.42E-01 0.1164167 0

    1.2343731 05FD001 1964 -0.0029147 -384 0.00065359 *** 0.1197083 2.4348041

    Lower-North Saskatchewan

    05GG001 1910 0.2443182 539 0.12522781 162.10695 0 0

    FIGURE . TIME-SERIES OF LONG-TERM TRENDS IN MEDIAN ANNUAL FLOW FOR THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN, BY STATION.

  • 17 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    HYDROLOGICAL ALTERATION DUE TO DAMS IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN

    TABLE. NON-PARAMETRIC COMPARISON OF VARIANCE FOR POST-OPERATION OF DAMS VS. PRE-DAMS MONTHLY FLOW IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN.

    Pre-Dam Post-Dam Fligner-Killeen Mann-Whitney

    Sub-Basin Station Dam Month

    Number of Years

    of Sampling

    Median Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Median Absolute Deviation

    in Monthly Flow (m3/s)

    Number of Years of

    Sampling

    Median Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Median Absolute Deviation

    in Monthly Flow (m3/s)

    Test Statistic

    p-value Test

    Statistic p-value

    Change in Monthly Flow Between the

    Two Time Periods (%)

    Average Change Across

    Months (%)*

    Upper-North Saskatchewan

    05DD005 Brazeau

    Reservoir

    December 5 30.6 8.45082 48 40.5 13.19514 6.5378373 1.06E-02 * 30363.5 3.67727E-07 *** 32.4%

    36%

    January 6 28.3 4.15128 48 41.45 15.5673 19.497597 1.01E-05 *** 8731 8.51E-14 *** 46.5%

    February 6 32.8 6.07866 48 38.55 14.826 1.7230267 1.89E-01 16327.5 1.75E-05 *** 17.5%

    March 6 20.1 6.30105 48 32.55 16.3086 9.7428906 0.00180018 ** 20245 9.76082E-05 *** 61.9%

    April 6 19.5 13.93644 48 30.7 17.34642 2.6636561 0.10266451 33651.5 9.41E-10 *** 57.4%

    May 6 90.75 62.93637 48 44.2 28.61418 123.45053 1.11E-28 *** 207892.5 4.94E-29 *** 51.3%

    June 6 110 44.84865 48 79.3 55.37511 2.1268376 1.45E-01 174244.5 4.53E-14 *** 27.9%

    July 6 113 56.85771 48 78.85 63.23289 4.757406 2.92E-02 * 176493 8.72E-10 *** 30.2%

    August 6 62 17.64294 48 43.35 33.95154 30.978443 2.6091E-08 *** 164365 2.92E-05 *** 30.1%

    September 6 40.95 12.37971 48 32.6 30.61569 29.180858 6.5927E-08 *** 142947.5 2.41E-02 * 20.4%

    October 6 28.75 15.93795 48 32.6 26.6868 34.26708 4.80E-09 *** 107327 5.83E-07 *** 13.4%

    November 5 24.6 15.5673 48 35.95 15.64143 13.617857 2.24E-04 *** 62668.5 4.46E-04 *** 46.1%

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

    FIGURE. ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE IN MONTHLY FLOW FOR THE PERIOD POST-OPERATION OF DAMS VS. PRE-DAMS IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN, BY STATION.

    FIGURE. PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN MEDIAN MONTHLY FLOW FOR THE PERIOD POST-OPERATION OF DAMS VS. PRE-DAMS IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN, BY STATION.

  • 18 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    TABLE. NON-PARAMETRIC COMPARISON OF VARIANCE FOR RECENT (1981 - 2011) VS. HISTORICAL (>= 1951 - 1980) MONTHLY FLOW IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN.

    Historic Recent Fligner-Killeen Mann-Whitney

    Sub-Basin Station Month

    Number of Years

    of Sampling

    Median Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Median Absolute Deviation

    in Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Number of Years

    of Sampling

    Median Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Median Absolute Deviation

    in Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Test Statistic

    p-value Test

    Statistic p-value

    Magnitude of Change

    in Monthly Flow (%)

    Average Change Across

    Months (%)*

    Average Change Per Sub-Basin**

    Upper-North Saskatchewan

    05DA007

    May 30 5.1 4.12 31 4.32 3.29 10.57 1.15E-03 ** 395160 4.1784E-05 *** 15.3%

    4%

    64%

    June 30 16.3 6.82 31 15 6.23 5.80 1.60E-02 * 448306 8.35E-03 ** 8.0%

    July 30 20.6 5.63 31 19.5 4.45 22.42 2.20E-06 *** 487149 6.90E-04 *** 5.3%

    August 30 16.6 4.74 31 15.4 4.74 4.77 0.0289613 * 500660 5.8469E-06 *** 7.2%

    September 30 7.48 3.53 31 7.125 2.94 19.92 8.063E-06 *** 452155 2.90E-03 ** 4.7%

    October 29 3.24 1.18 31 3.1 1.04 13.93 1.89E-04 *** 428825 2.19E-04 *** 4.3%

    April 24 0.8325 0.27 31 0.8465 0.38 12.53 4.01E-04 *** 225308 8.26E-01 1.7%

    November 16 1.7 0.52 31 1.6 0.53 13.29 2.67E-04 *** 215659 3.92E-01 5.9%

    December 15 0.963 0.21 31 0.963 0.24 11.38 0.0007432 *** 216482 3.40E-01 0.0%

    January 14 0.708 0.13 31 0.732 0.16 13.89 0.0001935 *** 198783 1.61E-01 3.4%

    February 14 0.6215 0.21 31 0.62 0.12 79.84 4.07E-19 *** 170061 5.99E-01 0.2%

    March 14 0.566 0.21 31 0.6 0.11 73.71 9.04E-18 *** 181965 1.36E-04 *** 6.0%

    05DB002

    August 30 4.42 1.93 31 5.12 2.85 55.57 9.02E-14 *** 390883 3.7681E-05 *** 15.8%

    11%

    September 30 3.865 1.91 31 4.275 2.46 16.34 5.28E-05 *** 378276 3.72E-04 *** 10.6%

    October 30 3.27 1.42 31 3.68 1.50 0.01 9.22E-01 377405 4.87E-09 *** 12.5%

    March 29 1.61 0.58 31 1.73 0.58 0.91 0.3403277 405355 0.02148519 * 7.5%

    April 29 2.89 1.60 31 3.17 1.35 15.93 6.569E-05 *** 373943 5.48E-03 ** 9.7%

    May 29 5.55 3.44 31 4.44 2.67 7.91 4.93E-03 ** 508782 3.22E-11 *** 20.0%

    June 29 7.035 4.84 31 5.94 3.65 10.79 1.02E-03 ** 438047 2.37E-03 ** 15.6%

    July 29 6.23 3.62 31 6.44 4.82 51.42 7.45E-13 *** 416810 1.90E-01 3.4%

    February 21 1.52 0.37 31 1.44 0.34 0.09 0.758512 253253 1.93E-02 * 5.3%

    November 21 2.18 1.01 31 2.595 0.91 1.59 0.2073532 204765 9.30E-19 *** 19.0%

    December 20 1.795 0.56 31 1.91 0.62 12.65 3.75E-04 *** 262249 5.73E-05 *** 6.4%

    January 19 1.42 0.25 31 1.57 0.52 29.84 4.68E-08 *** 253028 4.55E-04 *** 10.6%

    05DC001

    March 22 24.75 6.75 11 112 20.61 157.54 3.91E-36 *** 109 8.2605E-64 *** 352.5%

    92%

    April 23 43.6 23.65 22 124 25.20 0.97 3.25E-01 27076 1.67E-147 *** 184.4%

    May 30 138.5 77.84 31 138 44.48 87.28 9.43E-21 *** 429406 1.41E-01 0.4%

    June 30 311 151.23 31 181 66.72 191.57 1.445E-43 *** 636067 1.3555E-82 *** 41.8%

    July 30 324.5 149.00 31 169 54.86 255.68 1.503E-57 *** 685057 1.47E-89 *** 47.9%

    August 30 225 120.09 31 134 35.58 407.78 1.11E-90 *** 669587 1.52E-78 *** 40.4%

    September 30 134 48.18 31 114 33.21 74.77 5.30E-18 *** 527447 5.38E-22 *** 14.9%

    October 30 83.8 27.72 31 106 20.76 42.64 6.59E-11 *** 228364 1.72E-72 *** 26.5%

    November 21 42.8 14.68 16 100 14.83 0.72 0.3959458 2334 2.22E-132 *** 133.6%

    December 20 31.1 9.64 5 112 13.34 8.39 3.77E-03 ** 0 1.68E-45 *** 260.1%

    05DF001

    January 30 63.1 38.10 31 107 22.24 78.49 8.06E-19 *** 159137 8.587E-130 *** 69.6%

    46%

    February 30 66.5 41.51 31 108 20.76 164.68 1.08E-37 *** 142529 1.66E-108 *** 62.4%

    March 30 70.2 45.66 31 126 28.17 40.95 1.56E-10 *** 132371 1.14E-154 *** 79.5%

    April 30 144 81.54 31 209 75.61 7.53 0.0060573 ** 238634 4.8993E-57 *** 45.1%

    May 30 253 125.28 31 214 78.58 91.48 1.126E-21 *** 522246 2.15E-10 *** 15.4%

    June 30 460.5 229.06 31 276 116.38 131.85 1.61E-30 *** 622036 1.61E-72 *** 40.1%

    July 30 462 210.53 31 273 123.06 47.37 5.87E-12 *** 633299 1.39E-55 *** 40.9%

    August 30 292 124.54 31 196 60.79 183.08 1.03E-41 *** 675780 7.27E-83 *** 32.9%

    September 30 195 63.75 31 162.5 54.11 23.21 1.449E-06 *** 522575 3.28E-20 *** 16.7%

    October 30 122 46.78 31 148 40.03 15.25 9.409E-05 *** 329931 6.79E-23 *** 21.3%

    November 30 85.2 41.22 31 130 34.10 15.91 6.63E-05 *** 172202 2.60E-105 *** 52.6%

    December 30 64.3 29.36 31 115 28.17 0.06 8.14E-01 113534 1.68E-173 *** 78.8%

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

    ** Sub-basin value is weighted average based on median annual flow per station.

  • 19 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    Pre-Dam Post-Dam Fligner-Killeen Mann-Whitney

    Sub-Basin Station Month

    Number of Years

    of Sampling

    Median Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Median Absolute Deviation

    in Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Number of Years

    of Sampling

    Median Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Median Absolute Deviation

    in Monthly

    Flow (m3/s)

    Test Statistic

    p-value Test

    Statistic p-value

    Magnitude of Change

    in Monthly Flow (%)

    Average Change Across

    Months (%)*

    Average Change Per Sub-Basin**

    Central North Saskatchewan

    05EA001

    March 29 0.43 0.59 31 0.23 0.29 4.71 3.00E-02 * 422790.5 0.427699867 45.6%

    26% 26%

    April 30 8.07 9.24 31 5.90 6.62 41.99 9.17E-11 *** 468622 9.20E-06 *** 27.0%

    May 30 6.73 6.44 31 3.06 3.10 111.30 5.08E-26 *** 593966 2.89E-35 *** 54.5%

    June 30 1.86 2.12 31 0.89 1.03 137.28 1.0453E-31 *** 531451.5 5.03905E-25 *** 51.9%

    July 30 1.02 1.23 30 0.77 0.98 21.85 2.9423E-06 *** 450996.5 7.09E-06 *** 24.3%

    August 30 1.08 1.15 30 0.84 1.11 5.73 1.67E-02 * 472945.5 5.41E-06 *** 22.1%

    September 30 1.21 1.28 31 0.69 0.91 62.20 3.10E-15 *** 500806 3.26E-13 *** 43.2%

    October 30 1.17 1.16 31 0.70 0.74 46.25 1.04E-11 *** 542176 2.18E-16 *** 39.9%

    November 8 2.58 0.53 9 0.70 0.50 0.46 4.99E-01 399 5.10E-01 72.8%

    February 11 0.28 0.39 5 0.09 0.07 2.52 1.12E-01 222 6.42E-01 69.5%

    Battle River

    05FB002

    August 24 0.05 0.07 24 0.02 0.02 138.38 6.01E-32 *** 358117.5 9.09676E-23 *** 70.4%

    54%

    66%

    September 24 0.03 0.04 24 0.01 0.01 173.34 1.38E-39 *** 339928.5 1.33E-24 *** 57.1%

    October 24 0.04 0.05 24 0.02 0.02 241.48 1.87E-54 *** 357107 3.13E-22 *** 55.0%

    November 10 0.10 0.05 7 0.02 0.02 6.53 0.01061964 * 1267 0.000126748 *** 83.3%

    February 8 0.05 0.05 7 0.00 0.00 31.09 2.46E-08 *** 695 2.02E-04 *** 96.0%

    March 23 0.04 0.06 24 0.03 0.04 36.86 1.27E-09 *** 268524 6.82E-01 31.0%

    April 23 1.30 1.68 24 0.68 0.83 84.22 4.4302E-20 *** 306978.5 1.80E-14 *** 48.1%

    May 23 0.61 0.53 24 0.32 0.29 109.20 1.4674E-25 *** 368776.5 4.68E-38 *** 47.4%

    June 23 0.23 0.24 24 0.15 0.22 0.20 6.56E-01 292878.5 5.90E-09 *** 36.5%

    July 23 0.14 0.18 24 0.07 0.10 111.26 5.20E-26 *** 341495.5 2.11E-21 *** 50.4%

    05FD001

    March 24 0.00 0.00 24 0.00 0.00 70.73 4.10E-17 *** 328966.5 1.02054E-12 *** 0.0%

    76%

    April 24 0.13 0.17 24 0.01 0.01 545.77 1.05E-120 *** 441640 1.26E-118 *** 96.2%

    May 24 0.33 0.47 24 0.03 0.04 209.89 1.4514E-47 *** 400882.5 9.93E-51 *** 92.1%

    June 24 0.73 0.60 24 0.41 0.54 9.90 1.65E-03 ** 332508.5 1.52E-20 *** 43.1%

    July 24 0.60 0.60 24 0.23 0.31 207.09 5.92E-47 *** 397464.5 4.54E-48 *** 61.3%

    August 24 0.17 0.23 24 0.03 0.05 164.00 1.52E-37 *** 384064 1.13E-38 *** 79.8%

    September 24 0.07 0.09 24 0.01 0.01 77.94 1.0648E-18 *** 353586.5 7.52E-34 *** 90.8%

    October 24 0.09 0.08 24 0.00 0.00 317.44 5.231E-71 *** 450074 6.89E-100 *** 100.0%

    November 11 0.07 0.07 5 0.00 0.00 19.98 7.83E-06 *** 718 8.16E-06 *** 100.0%

    February 6 0.07 0.03 6 0.00 0.00 30.24 3.82E-08 *** 618 7.81E-07 *** 100.0%

    Lower-North Saskatchewan

    05GG001

    June 71 452.00 237.22 32 314.00 130.47 131.08 2.38E-30 *** 1385706 2.72253E-60 *** 30.5%

    81% 81%

    July 70 530.00 224.61 32 336.00 169.02 32.78 1.03E-08 *** 1559717.5 1.46E-91 *** 36.6%

    August 70 388.00 134.92 32 242.00 97.11 68.86 1.06E-16 *** 1708439.5 3.59E-155 *** 37.6%

    September 70 260.00 84.51 32 189.00 63.75 69.63 7.152E-17 *** 1481169 1.09604E-96 *** 27.3%

    October 71 161.00 59.30 32 168.50 48.18 43.53 4.1838E-11 *** 1002220.5 3.23E-04 *** 4.7%

    May 70 286.00 163.09 32 290.00 114.16 132.51 1.16E-30 *** 1038793.5 1.52E-01 1.4%

    November 70 81.00 35.58 32 132.00 37.07 0.12 7.34E-01 355466.5 4.36E-182 *** 63.0%

    December 70 50.10 21.79 32 118.00 29.65 49.99 1.54E-12 *** 146914 0.00E+00 *** 135.5%

    January 69 40.80 18.09 32 108.00 20.98 2.48 0.11526101 123226.5 0.00E+00 *** 164.7%

    February 69 39.40 15.12 32 115.00 20.02 0.20 0.65501443 122572 1.54E-300 *** 191.9%

    March 69 40.50 18.09 32 120.00 25.20 25.39 4.67E-07 *** 149407 0.00E+00 *** 196.3%

    April 69 167.00 162.57 32 314.50 178.65 1.39 2.39E-01 576997 3.52E-77 *** 88.3%

    * Percentage change in median monthly flow is only calculated for months with a statistically significant trend over time. For months without a significant trend, a value of zero is assigned for calculation of the overall station score.

    ** Sub-basin value is weighted average based on median annual flow per station.

  • 20 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    FIGURE. ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE IN MONTHLY FLOW FOR RECENT (1981 - 2011) VS. HISTORICAL (

  • 21 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    FIGURE. PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN MEDIAN MONTHLY FLOW FOR RECENT (1981 - 2011) VS. HISTORICAL (

  • 22 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

  • 23 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    WATER QUALITY

    OVERALL WATER QUALITY HEALTH SCORING

    Sub-Basin

    Basin

    Water Quality

    Indicator Upper North

    Saskatchewan Central North Saskatchewan

    Battle River Lower North

    Saskatchewan

    Exceedance of water quality guidelines for

    aquatic life

    Exceedance of water quality thresholds. Weighted

    average of exceedances of three thresholds: water quality guidelines,90th

    percentile and 77th percentile. Expressed as a

    proportion of total measurements. Reported for

    the last five years of monitoring.

    Year 2009-2013 2009-2013 2009-2013 2009-2013 2009-2013

    Number of Stations 24 40 24 17 105

    Value 0.03 0.18 0.3 0.17 0.17

    Water Quality Health Category

    Very Good Good Fair Good Good

    Water Quality Health Score

    4 3 2 3 3

    Significant Mann-Kendal time-series test to

    determine directional trend in proportion of exceedance of water quality thresholds.

    Time Period 1954 - 2013 1952 - 2013 1970 - 2013 1972 - 2013 1952 - 2013

    Trend

    No statistically significant decline in proportion of

    exceedance

    Statistically significant decline in proportion of

    exceedance

    No statistically significant decline in proportion of

    exceedance

    No statistically significant decline in proportion of

    exceedance

    No statistically significant decline in

    proportion of exceedance

    WATER QUALITY DATA SUFFICIENCY

    Sub-Basin

    Basin

    Wat

    er

    Qu

    alit

    y

    Data Sufficiency Indicator Upper North

    Saskatchewan Central North Saskatchewan

    Battle River Lower North

    Saskatchewan

    Total number of sub-sub-basins 6 7 6 7 26

    Year of earliest available monitoring 1954 1950 1972 1970 1972

    Number of monitoring stations available for earliest monitoring

    1 1 12 5 19

    Number of sub-sub-basins with earliest available monitoring stations

    1 1 4 2 8

    Year of most recently available monitoring

    2013 2013 2013 2013 2013

    Number of monitoring stations available within last five years

    64 93 21 83 261

    Number of sub-sub-basins within last five years

    6 5 2 7 20

    Percentage of samples with at least 10 elements measured within last 5 years.

    20% 22% 53% 42% 30%

    Number of years of sampling in last 10 years

    10 10 10 10 10

    Overall Data Sufficiency Category Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient

    Data Sufficiency Score 1 1 1 1 1

  • 24 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    MAP. EXCEEDANCE OF WATER GUIDELINES MONITORING STATIONS IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN FOR THE MOST RECENT YEARS AVAILABLE (2009-2013).

  • 25 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    FIGURE. WATER QUALITY IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN BASED ON PROPORTION OF EXCEEDANCE OF THREE THRESHOLDS: PROVINCIAL WATER QUALITY GUIDELINES, 75TH PERCENTILE OF HISTORICAL DISTRIBUTION, AND 90TH PERCENTILE OF HISTORICAL DISTRIBUTION. REPORTED BY SUB-BASIN AND DATA SOURCE.

    Sub-basin Year Data Source Number of

    Contaminants Measured

    Total Number of

    Sites

    Number of Measurements

    Total Number of Guidelines

    Exceedances

    Proportion of Guideline Exceedance

    Total Number of

    90th Percentile

    Exceedances

    Proportion of 90th

    Percentile Exceedance

    Total Number of

    75th Percentile

    Exceedances

    Proportion of 75th

    Percentile Exceedance

    Weighted Average

    Exceedance

    5-Years Weighted Average

    Exceedance

    Upper North Saskatchewan

    2013 AB.gov 7 3 58 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0.00

    0.03

    2013 EC 15 1 51 0 0.00 0 0.00 2 0.04 0.01

    2012 AB.gov 7 25 815 18 0.02 11 0.01 59 0.07 0.03

    2012 EC 15 1 219 11 0.05 1 0.00 19 0.09 0.04

    2011 AB.gov 8 22 296 13 0.04 8 0.03 29 0.10 0.05

    2011 EC 15 1 240 11 0.05 6 0.03 9 0.04 0.04

    2010 AB.gov 7 6 124 3 0.02 0 0.00 6 0.05 0.02

    2010 EC 15 1 250 6 0.02 2 0.01 10 0.04 0.02

    2009 AB.gov 9 3 148 1 0.01 0 0.00 7 0.05 0.01

    2009 EC

    15 1 354 4 0.01 3 0.01 16 0.05 0.02

    Central North Saskatchewan

    2013 AB.gov 7 2 29 0 0.00 0 0.00 1 0.03 0.01

    0.18

    2013 EC 12 1 18 0 0.00 0 0.00 2 0.11 0.02

    2013 SWSA 16 11 112 35 0.31 5 0.04 23 0.21 0.21

    2012 AB.gov 7 17 680 41 0.06 73 0.11 178 0.26 0.11

    2012 EC 15 1 197 17 0.09 10 0.05 24 0.12 0.08

    2012 SWSA 15 14 126 34 0.27 4 0.03 22 0.17 0.17

    2011 AB.gov 7 3 102 11 0.11 9 0.09 32 0.31 0.14

    2011 EC 15 1 191 23 0.12 17 0.09 49 0.26 0.13

    2011 SWSA 14 13 133 41 0.31 13 0.10 24 0.18 0.22

    2010 AB.gov 7 1 63 2 0.03 2 0.03 10 0.16 0.05

    2010 EC 15 1 230 22 0.10 15 0.07 59 0.26 0.11

    2010 SWSA 16 14 164 52 0.32 12 0.07 40 0.24 0.22

    2009 AB.gov 9 2 78 3 0.04 5 0.06 11 0.14 0.06

    2009 EC 15 1 200 8 0.04 12 0.06 30 0.15 0.07

    2009 SWSA

    16 11 176 54 0.31 9 0.05 31 0.18 0.20

    Battle River

    2013 SWSA 15 1 65 20 0.31 6 0.09 19 0.29 0.23

    0.30

    2012 AB.gov 7 2 30 12 0.40 10 0.33 16 0.53 0.40

    2012 SWSA 15 3 57 21 0.37 10 0.18 23 0.40 0.31

    2011 AB.gov 7 3 120 35 0.29 33 0.28 56 0.47 0.32

    2011 SWSA 14 4 57 15 0.26 8 0.14 17 0.30 0.23

    2010 AB.gov 7 3 120 41 0.34 36 0.30 58 0.48 0.35

    2010 SWSA 17 1 74 30 0.41 5 0.07 19 0.26 0.27

    2009 AB.gov 7 3 124 44 0.35 51 0.41 76 0.61 0.42

    2009 SWSA

    17 1 81 28 0.35 8 0.10 21 0.26 0.25

    Lower North Saskatchewan

    2013 SWSA 17 15 319 97 0.30 22 0.07 51 0.16 0.20

    0.17

    2012 SWSA 16 13 430 83 0.19 23 0.05 61 0.14 0.14

    2011 SWSA 16 18 338 59 0.17 20 0.06 46 0.14 0.13

    2010 SWSA 16 17 409 120 0.29 33 0.08 79 0.19 0.21

    2009 SWSA

    16 17 473 103 0.22 38 0.08 57 0.12 0.16

  • 26 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    FIGURE. ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE IN EXCEEDANCE OF WATER QUALITY THRESHOLDS OVER TIME FOR MONITORING STATIONS IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN, BY SUB-BASIN.

    FIGURE. ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE IN EXCEEDANCE OF WATER QUALITY THRESHOLDS OVER TIME FOR MONITORING STATIONS IN THE ALBERTA PORTION OF THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN, BY CONTAMINANT.

  • 27 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

  • 28 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

  • 29 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    FIGURE. ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE IN EXCEEDANCE OF WATER QUALITY THRESHOLDS OVER TIME FOR MONITORING STATIONS IN THE SASKATCHEWAN PORTION OF THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN, BY CONTAMINANT.

  • 30 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

  • 31 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    TABLE . RESULTS OF MANN-KENDALL NON-PARAMETRIC TREND ANALYSIS OF ANNUAL EXCEEDANCE OF WATER QUALITY THRESHOLDS OVER TIME FOR MONITORING STATIONS IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN, BY SUB-BASIN.

    Province Source Sub-basin Start Year End Year Number of

    Years

    Number of Monitoring

    Stations

    Theil-Sen Slope

    Mann-Ken Score

    Mann-Ken p-value

    Alberta

    Environment Canada and Alberta

    Environment and Sustainable

    Development

    All 1952 2013 61 389 -0.0046875 -454 0.0057

    Upper North Saskatchewan

    1954 2013 53 139 -0.0033333 -497 0.0013

    Central North Saskatchewan

    1952 2013 61 161 -0.0069444 -647 8E-05 ***

    Environment Canada

    All 1967 2013 46 3 -0.0025253 -256 0.019 *

    Upper North Saskatchewan

    1970 2013 43 1 0 -17 0.8505

    Central North Saskatchewan

    1967 2013 37 2 -0.0035714 -281 0.0089 **

    Alberta Environment and Sustainable Development

    All 1952 2013 61 386 -0.0041 -405 0.0139 *

    Upper North Saskatchewan

    1954 2013 52 138 -0.0035 -368 0.0184 *

    Central North Saskatchewan

    1952 2013 61 159 -0.0058 -546 0.0009 ***

    Battle River 1972 2012 32 79 0.0000 -23 0.8041

    Saskatchewan Saskatchewan Water

    Security Agency

    All 1950 2013 45 186 0.0000 74 0.6705

    Central North Saskatchewan

    1950 2013 44 80 0.0000 114 0.5086

    Battle River 1986 2013 12 10 0.0000 -16 0.7654

    Lower North Saskatchewan

    1970 2013 44 96 0.0015 230 0.0198 *

  • 32 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    FISH

    OVERALL FISH HEALTH SCORING

    Sub-Basin

    Basin

    Fish

    Indicator Upper North

    Saskatchewan Central North Saskatchewan

    Battle River Lower North

    Saskatchewan

    Change in Native Fish Species

    Richness

    Period of Study 1966-2013 1954-2013 1987-2013 - 1954-2013

    Number of Sites 1033 511 115 - 1659

    Presence of statistically significant decline in median

    species richness for the basin.

    Trend None None None - None

    Presence of statistically significant decline in total species richness for the

    basin.

    Trend None None None - None

    Fish Health Category

    Good Good Good Data Deficient Good

    Fish Health Score 3 3 3 - 3

    FISH DATA SUFFICIENCY

    Sub-Basin Basin

    Fish

    Data Sufficiency Indicator Upper North

    Saskatchewan Central North Saskatchewan

    Battle River Lower North

    Saskatchewan

    Total number of sub-sub-basins 6 7 6 7 26

    Year of earliest available monitoring 1966 1954 1987 - 1987

    Number of sampling locations available for earliest monitoring

    1 1 1 - 3

    Number of sub-sub-basins with earliest available sampling locations

    1 1 1 - 3

    Earliest year of continuous monitoring 1972 1957 1987 - 1987

    Number of sampling locations available for first year of continuous monitoring

    1 1 1 - 3

    Number of sub-sub-basins for first year of continuous monitoring

    1 1 1 - 3

    Year of most recently available monitoring

    2013 2013 2013 - 2013

    Number of monitoring stations available within last five years

    117 91 34 - 242

    Number of sub-sub-basins within last five years

    6 6 6 - 18

    Number of years of sampling in last 10 years

    10 10 10 - 10

    Overall Data Sufficiency Category Sufficient Partially

    Sufficient Sufficient Insufficient

    Partially Sufficient

    Data Sufficiency Score 3 1 3 0 1

  • 33 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    MAP. FISH SPECIES RICHNESS IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN (2012-2013).

  • 34 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    FIGURE.NON-PARAMETRIC ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE IN FISH SPECIES RICHNESS IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN (1954-2013), BY SUB-BASIN.

    FIGURE.TIME-SERIES OF FISH SPECIES RICHNESS IN THE UPPER-NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER SUB-BASIN (1966 -2013).

    FIGURE.TIME-SERIES OF FISH SPECIES RICHNESS IN THE CENTRAL-NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER SUB-BASIN (1954 -2013).

  • 35 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    FIGURE.TIME-SERIES OF FISH SPECIES RICHNESS IN THE BATTLE RIVER SUB-BASIN (1987 -2013).

    FIGURE.TIME-SERIES OF FISH SPECIES RICHNESS IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN (1954 -2013).

    FIGURE.TIME-SERIES OF TOTAL FISH SPECIES RICHNESS IN THE UPPER-NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN (1966 -2013).

  • 36 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    FIGURE.TIME-SERIES OF TOTAL FISH SPECIES RICHNESS IN THE CENTRAL-NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN (1954 -2013).

    FIGURE.TIME-SERIES OF TOTAL FISH SPECIES RICHNESS IN THE BATTLE RIVER BASIN (1987 -2013).

    FIGURE.TIME-SERIES OF TOTAL FISH SPECIES RICHNESS IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN (1954 -2013).

  • 37 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    TABLE . RESULTS OF MANN-KENDALL NON-PARAMETRIC TREND ANALYSIS OF FISH SPECIES RICHNESS OVER TIME IN THE SOUTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN, BY SUB-BASIN.

    Indicator Data Source Sub-Basin Start Year End Year Theil-Sen

    Slope Mann-Kendall

    Test Score Mann-Kendal Test p-

    value

    Total Species

    Richness

    Fish and Wildlife Management

    Information System, Alberta Environment

    & Sustainable Resource

    Development

    Upper-North Saskatchewan

    1966 2013 0.4286 471 2.78234E-05 ***

    Central-North Saskatchewan

    1954 2013 0.4000 821 1.55164E-07 ***

    Battle River 1987 2013 0.3529 160 0.000846224 ***

    Lower-North Saskatchewan

    - - - - - -

    North Saskatchewan Basin Overall

    1954 2013 0.5333 1032 4.42891E-11 ***

    Median Species

    Richness

    Fish and Wildlife Management

    Information System, Alberta Environment

    & Sustainable Resource

    Development

    Upper-North Saskatchewan

    1966 2013 0.0000 24 0.82730779

    Central-North Saskatchewan

    1954 2013 0.0000 76 0.617476064

    Battle River 1987 2013 -0.0833 -86 0.070590716

    Lower-North Saskatchewan

    - - - - - -

    North Saskatchewan Basin Overall

    1954 2013 0.0000 -7 0.96766735

  • 38 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    BENTHICS

    OVERALL BENTHIC HEALTH SCORING

    Sub-Basin Basin

    Benthic Macro-Invertebrates

    Indicator Upper North

    Saskatchewan Central North Saskatchewan

    Battle River Lower North

    Saskatchewan Value

    Index of benthic community composition

    based on sensitivity to disturbance

    Median Hilsenhoff Biotic Index (HBI) score for the basin, based on the five

    most recent years of monitoring.

    Year 2007 2007-2008 2009-2010 - 2007-2010

    Number of Sites 1 3 1 - 5

    Value 3.62 4.50 6.08 - 4.64

    Benthic Health Category

    Data Deficient Data Deficient Data Deficient Data Deficient Data

    Deficient

    Benthic Health Score Data Deficient Data Deficient Data Deficient Data Deficient Data

    Deficient

    Significant Mann-Kendal time-series test to

    determine directional trend in HBI over time.

    Time Period 1982-2007 1982-2008 - - 1982 - 2010

    Trend None None - - None

    BENTHIC DATA SUFFICIENCY

    Sub-Basin Basin

    Ben

    thic

    Mac

    ro-I

    nve

    rte

    bra

    tes

    Data Sufficiency Indicator Upper North

    Saskatchewan Central North Saskatchewan

    Battle River Lower North

    Saskatchewan

    Total number of sub-sub-basins 6 7 6 7 26

    Year of earliest available monitoring 1982 1982 2009 - 1982

    Number of monitoring stations available for earliest monitoring

    2 10 1 - 13

    Number of sub-sub-basins with earliest available monitoring stations

    1 2 1 - 4

    Year of most recently available monitoring

    2007 2008 2010 - 2010

    Number of monitoring stations available within last five years

    1 7 2 - 10

    Number of sub-sub-basins within last five years

    1 1 1 - 3

    Number of years of sampling in last 10 years

    1 2 2 - 4

    Overall Data Sufficiency Category Insufficient Insufficient Insufficient Insufficient Insufficient

    Data Sufficiency Score 0 0 0 0 0

  • 39 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    MAP. HILSENHOFF'S BIOTIC INDEX SCORES FOR BENTHIC MACRO-INVERTEBRATE COMMUNITIES IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER (2007 - 2010).

  • 40 WWF-Canada Freshwater Health Assessment for the North Saskatchewan River Basin

    Disclaimer: This analysis reflects currently available and accessible data as of May 22, 2014.

    FIGURE. ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE FOR HILSENHOFF'S BIOTIC INDEX VALUES FOR BENTHIC MACRO-INVERTEBRATE COMMUNITIES SAMPLED IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN.

    Sub-Basin Source Year Number of Sites

    HBI Value Weighted

    Average HBI

    Upper North Saskatchewan

    ABMI 2007 1 3.627119 3.63

    Central North Saskatchewan

    ABMI 2007 1 6

    4.50 SWSA 2007 3 4.027933

    SWSA 2008 3 4.46262

    Battle River SWSA 2009 1 5.11

    6.08 SWSA 2010 1 7.05

    TABLE . RESULTS OF MANN-KENDALL NON-PARAMETRIC TREND ANALYSIS OF HILSENHOFF'S BIOTIC INDEX OVER TIME IN THE NORTH SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN, BY SUB-BASIN & DATA SOURCE.

    Data Source Basin Start Year

    End Year Theil-Sen

    Slope

    Mann-Kendall

    Test Score

    Mann-Kendal Test p-value

    Water Security Agency of Saskatchewan, Alberta Biodiversity Monitoring

    Institute and Alberta Environment & Sustainable

    Development North Saskatchewan

    1982 2010 0 36 0.442389

    Alberta Environment & Sustainable Development

    1982 2001 0 3 0.947626

    Water Security Agency of Saskatchewan

    2007 2010 0.827989 6 0.089429

    Alberta Biodiversity Monitoring Institute and Alberta Environment &

    Sustainable Development

    Upper North Saskatchewan

    1982 2007 0 16 0.594032

    Water Security Agency of Saskatchewan and Alberta Environment & Sustainable

    Development

    Central North Saskatchewan

    1982 2008 0 60 0.13673


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