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A Compelling Iron Ore Investment Opportunity Corporate Presentation November 2011 TSX: BKI
Transcript
Page 1: November bki corp_presentation

A Compelling Iron Ore Investment Opportunity

Corporate Presentation

November 2011

TSX: BKI

Page 2: November bki corp_presentation

TSX: BKI

2

Disclaimer Forward Looking Statement

This Presentation contains „„forward-looking information‟‟ which may include, but is not limited to, statements with respect to the future financial or operating performance of the

Company and its subsidiaries (collectively, the „„Company‟‟) and its mineral projects; the future prices of metals; the anticipated results of exploration activities; the estimation of mineral

resources; the realization of mineral resource estimates; capital, development, operating and exploration expenditures; costs and timing of the development of the Company‟s mineral

properties; timing of future exploration; requirements for additional capital; government regulation of mining operations; anticipated results of economic and technical studies;

environmental matters; reclamation expenses; title disputes or claims; limitations of insurance coverage and the timing and possible outcome of pending litigation and regulatory matters.

Often, but not always, forward-looking information can be identified by the use of words and phrases such as „„plans‟‟, „„expects‟‟, „„is expected‟‟, „„budget‟‟, „„scheduled‟‟, „„estimates‟‟,

„„forecasts‟‟, „„intends‟‟, „„anticipates‟‟, or „„believes‟‟ or variations (including negative variations) of such words and phrases, or state that certain actions, events or results „„may‟‟,

„„could‟‟, „„would‟‟, „„might‟‟ or „„will‟‟ be taken, occur or be achieved.

Forward-looking information is based on the opinions and estimates of management as of the date such statements are made and is based on information currently available to management

and upon what management believes to be reasonable assumptions, including, among others, that general business, economic, competitive, political and social uncertainties remain

favorable; that actual results of exploration activities justify further studies and development of the Company‟s mineral projects; that the future prices of metals, and iron ore in particular,

remain at levels that justify the exploration and future development and operation of the Company‟s mineral projects; that ore body quality and characteristics remain as anticipated; that

there is no failure of plant, equipment or processes to operate as anticipated; that accidents, labour disputes and other risks of the mining industry do not occur; that the jurisdictions in

which the Company operates remain politically stable; that there are no unanticipated delays in obtaining governmental approvals or financing or in the completion of future studies,

development or construction activities; that the actual costs of exploration, and studies remain within budgeted amounts; that regulatory and legal requirements required for exploration or

development activities do not change in any adverse manner, as well as those factors discussed in the section entitled „„Risk Factors‟‟ in this Final Prospectus of the Company dated March

16, 2011 or as may be identified in the Company‟s public disclosure from time to time, as filed under the Company‟s profile on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.

Forward-looking information involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be

materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking information. Although the Company has attempted to identify

important factors that could cause actual actions, events or results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking information, there may be other factors that cause such

actions, events or results to differ from those anticipated, estimated or intended. Any inaccuracy in the assumptions identified above may also cause actual actions, events or results to

differ materially from those described in the forward-looking information.

Forward-looking information contained herein is made as of the date of this Presentation and the Company disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking information, whether as a

result of new information, future events or results, except as may be required by applicable securities laws. There can be no assurance that such forward-looking information will prove to

be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such information. Accordingly, potential investors should not place undue

reliance on forward-looking information.

This Presentation does not constitute an offer to sell, or solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities by any person in any jurisdiction in which it is unlawful for such person to make such an

offering or solicitation. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy or completeness of the information set out herein, and nothing contained herein is, or

shall be relied upon, as a promise or representation, whether as to the past or future.

Page 3: November bki corp_presentation

TSX: BKI

3

Solid Fundamentals for Success A High-Quality Iron Ore Development Opportunity

Project located in Kryviy Rih, Ukraine; one of the world’s major iron ore districts • Close to target markets: W.Europe, Turkey, Russia, Asia and Middle East • Surrounded by 7 other operating iron ore mines

Close to Target Markets

Large iron ore deposit with NI 43-101 compliant resource*

• Two properties held – Shymanivske & Zelenivske • Shymanivske - 345 Mt Measured & Indicated resource @ 31.83% iron;

additional 469 Mt of Inferred resource @ 31.05% iron, which will be concentrated to ~65% iron

• Potential for resource expansion by further drilling of both deposits

Sizable Resource

Good access to skilled labour, power, rail & ports

• 35km from city of Kryviy Rih (pop. 750k); paved road to site • 2 km from state-owned rail and power lines with surplus capacity & five

deep water ports accessible by rail (140-515km)

Exceptional Infrastructure

Experienced management team with history of creating value for shareholders of Consolidated Thompson, RioTinto and Ferrexpo

Skilled Management

High margins due to close proximity to multiple steel mills, relative labour cost advantage and favourable corporate tax rate of 16% • PEA for 7.3Mt Pellet Plant Feed – NPV of US$3.0 billion and 42.1% IRR • PEA for 7.6Mt Pellet – NPV of US$4.1 billion and IRR of 35.2%

Compelling Economics

* Resource estimate compiled using historic Soviet data by Hugues de Corta of Genivar, who is a qualified person as defined by NI 43-101

Page 4: November bki corp_presentation

TSX: BKI

Sound Capital Structure Attractive Valuation with substantial upside

4

• Completed an Initial Public Offering (IPO) on March 29, 2011

– $38.5 million @ $1.40 per share

• Previously completed $31 million in financings to fund acquisition

• 5 analysts currently covering with targets ranging from $1.50 to $2.10/share

Capital Structure Financing Details

Shares Outstanding

(Basic) 139.4 million

Warrants Outstanding(1) 1.7 million

Stock Options Outstanding(2) 5.1 million

Share Compensation Plan(3) 3.0 million

Fully-Diluted Shares 149.2 million

Market Cap(4) ~US$98 million

Current Cash Balance(4) ~US$32.0 million

Debt Balance(4) nil

1. 1,626,000 warrants exercisable at $0.50 per share, and 1,653,312 warrants exercisable at $1.40 per share. 2. 5,050,000 options granted March 29, 2011 at $1.40 per share to Directors, Executives, Employees and Consultants pursuant to the stock option plan. 3. 3,000,000 shares reserved for issuance under the share compensation plan for Directors, Executives, Employees and Consultants; 253,153 were issued on March 31, 2011. 4. As at November 9, 2011, using a closing price of CAD 0.70 per share.

Financial Institution Coverage

Page 5: November bki corp_presentation

TSX: BKI

2005 Today

5

Project Backed by Forbes & Manhattan Success with Consolidated Thompson’s Bloom Lake Iron Mine

• World class 8Mtpa iron ore concentrate

mine in Quebec

• Advanced from exploration stage

through development to construction

− 8 mtpa capacity (66% Fe concentrate)

expanding to 16 mtpa

− Completed scoping study, 3 feasibility

studies, secured off-take with China‟s

third largest steel producer (WISCO)

• Raised over Cdn$1 bn in capital

• Attracted and put in place a qualified

management team

Recently acquired for $4.9 billion

$1 mm market

cap

First F&M involvement

Forb

es

& M

anhatt

an I

nvolv

em

ent

Page 6: November bki corp_presentation

TSX: BKI

A Track Record of Iron Ore Success

Board of Directors

• Management & Board have a history of creating value for shareholders of iron ore projects –

Consolidated Thompson Iron Mines, Rio Tinto‟s Iron Ore Company of Canada and Ferrexpo

• Respected Ukraine professionals and former Government Advisors

Key Management

• Matt Simpson – President & CEO

• George Mover – COO

• Paul Bozoki – CFO

• Nikolay Bairak – VP Gov. & Community

• Aaron Wolfe – VP Corp Development

• Christine Gallo – Corporate Secretary

• Bruce Humphrey - Chairman

• Jaroslav Kinach

• Chris Westdal

• Pierre Pettigrew

• John Detmold

• Dave Porter

• Matt Simpson – President & CEO

Ukraine Advisory Board

• Daniel Bilak

• Jaroslav Kinach

• Igor Buchatskiy 6

Page 7: November bki corp_presentation

TSX: BKI

7

Deposits In Mining Friendly Region Adjacent to existing Iron Ore Producers

• Two mining and exploration permits

covering 5.92 km2

− Mining permit at Shymanivske, which

has been extensively explored,

covering 2.56 km2 valid until 2024

− Exploration permit at Zelenivske

covering 3.36 km2 valid until 2014

• Adjacent to ArcelorMittal‟s Kryviy

Rih iron ore complex and Smart &

Evraz‟s YuGOK iron ore mine

• Plan to acquire a plot of land from

Ukraine Government adjacent to the

Shymanivske deposit for project

waste dumps, concentrator and

tailings

1. Resource estimate compiled using historic Soviet data by Hugues de Corta of Genivar, who is a qualified person as defined by NI 43-101

Black Iron’s

Shymanivske Project M&I: 345Mt @ 31.83%

Inferred: 469Mt @ 31.05%

Black Iron’s

Zelenivske Project

ArcelorMittal’s Kryviy Rih

Iron Ore Complex

Smart & Evraz’s

YuGOK Iron Ore Mine

Railway lines

Page 8: November bki corp_presentation

TSX: BKI

8

Large Ore Deposit with Growth Potential

• Banded iron formation consisting primarily

of magnetite with some hematite

− Iron band thickness ranges from 40-80 m

− Only 9.7-21.2 m of overburden

− Very clean orebody low in phosphorus,

manganese and aluminum

• The resource is defined by ~37,000 metres

of historical drilling

― Black Iron recently completed 6,700 meters of

twin hole drilling

― Total iron grade and band width align very

well with historical data

• Potential for total combined resource

expansion of 1.1 to 1.8BT

− Additional drilling of Shymanivske at North end

of deposit and to depth

− Exploration of the Zelenivske project

Shymanivske

Resource*

Tonnage

(Kt)

Fe Tot

(%)

Fe Mag

(%)

Measured 289,799 31.84 18.77

Indicated 55,705 31.76 18.75

Total Measured

and Indicated 345,504 31.83 18.75

Inferred 468,892 31.05 18.26 * Resource estimate compiled using historic Soviet data by Hugues de Corta of Genivar, who is a qualified person as defined by NI 43-101

Page 9: November bki corp_presentation

TSX: BKI

9

Potential Resource Extension at Shymanivske Ground Gravity Shows Iron Ore Mineralization at North End

• Ground gravity and magnetic surveys

show potential extension of iron ore

mineralization at North end of property

as circled in red

• This area has not been included in the NI

43-101 resource as it has not yet been

sufficiently drilled

• The identified area will be a target of a

future drill program

Potential resource upside to be drilled

Drill hole

Property boundary

Very likely Iron in ground

Likely just dirt in ground

Page 10: November bki corp_presentation

TSX: BKI

10

Excellent Infrastructure Key to a Successful Iron Ore Project

• Paved roads to site, located 35km away from the major city of Krivoy Rog which has a skilled work force

• Surplus electricity readily accessible from high voltage power lines that run beside property

• ~2 km from main state-owned rail line

• Confirmation in July 2010 from Ukrainian Government that there is sufficient capacity to haul at least an additional 10 million tonnes of iron ore per annum

• 5 deep water ports accessible by rail with iron ore facilities available

• Ports located 140 km to 515km away providing access to Black Sea and global seaborne iron ore markets

Page 11: November bki corp_presentation

TSX: BKI

11

Strategic Global Location Close Proximity to Target Markets with Abundant Port and Rail Access

• River barge & rail access to Western

Europe and port access via Black Sea to

global seaborne iron ore markets

− Target markets include Asia, Western Europe,

Turkey, and Middle East

• Several dry bulk tonnage ports accessible

using railway running beside properties

• Approximately 20% to 25% shorter transport

distance to China compared to North and

South American producers1

• Power, port and rail access, combined with

local highly skilled workforce, provide

potential to accelerate development and

reduce the amount of capital investment

Major Rail Line Major Rail Line Major Rail Line

Europe

Middle East

India

China

South Korea and Japan

Russia

1 Based on approximate nautical miles distances of Odessa (Ukraine), Vitoria (Brazil) and Montreal (Canada) to Tianjin (China) as disclosed at searates.com

Page 12: November bki corp_presentation

TSX: BKI

12

Ukraine: A Mining Friendly Country Strong Local and National Support

• Socially stable democratic republic

• Recently announced desire to sign

“Association Agreement” as first step to

joining European Union

• Strong economic growth

− GDP growth of 4.2% in 2010; expected to

increase to 4.5% in 2011

• Steel production is Ukraine‟s largest

industry – 40% of exports

• Large, highly skilled labour force

− Population of approximately 45 million

− GDP per capita only $6700/yr

• ArcelorMittal and Ferrexpo plc have

operated in-country for over 5 years

• Corporate tax rate expected to be

gradually reduced to 16% in 2014 from

23% in 2011

Page 13: November bki corp_presentation

TSX: BKI

Russia16%

Australia17%

Ukraine10%

Brazil18%

China8%

India5%

Sweden3%

United States3%

Rest of World20%

900

420370

260

100 72 55 49 35 25

0

200

400

600

800

1000

Chin

a

Aust

ralia

Bra

zil

India

Russ

ia

Ukra

ine

South

Afr

ica

United S

tate

s

Canada

Sw

eden

Iron O

re (

mt)

13

2010E Iron Ore Production

Source: USGS 2011 Iron Ore report and Metal Economics Group

Globally Significant Iron Ore District Ukraine: 6th largest iron ore producer & 4th largest reserve base

Global Distribution of Fe Reserves Kirovograd

Tarnavatskoye

Liponevsky

Yeristovskoye

Safonovskoye

Novokonstantinovsky

Poltavsky GOK

Tsentralny Kryviy Rih Iron Ore Complex

Kuksunurskoye

Ingulestky GOK

Yuzhny GOK Kryviv Rih

Ordzhonikize Gok Shymanivske

Zelenivske

• Black Iron‟s projects are located in the heart of

Ukraine‟s iron ore belt

– 35km from city of 750,000 people

• Iron ore district trends 300 km with sedimentary rock hosted banded iron formations (Dnenpovskog complex)

• Historically well explored resource base but

substantially under-exploited due to historic Soviet

policy

• 15 iron ore mines in Ukraine produced 72 million

tonnes in 2010

Only 3% of world production

Page 14: November bki corp_presentation

TSX: BKI

Shymanivske PEA Highlights High Value, Low Net Cost Iron Ore Development Project

14

Production Case: Pellet Plant Feed Pellet

Annual Production: 7.3 Mt 7.6 Mt

Iron Content: 67.0% 65.0%

Estimated Capital Investment: US$896.0 million US$1,571.3 million

Estimated Operating Expenses:

(average initial 20 years)

(avg ex. leasing costs years 8-20)

US$52.40/t

US$48.22/t

US$64.15/t

US$60.11

Net Present Value (8%): US$3.0 billion US$4.1 billion

IRR: 42.1% 35.2%

Annual Average Cash Flow: US$382.8 million US$540.7 million

Projected Payback (8%): 2.2 years 2.9 years

Estimated Mine Life: 28 years 28 years

Proj. Revenue Commencement Q4 2015 Q4 2015

OPPORTUNITIES EXIST TO FURTHER IMPROVE ALREADY FAVOURABLE ECONOMICS

Page 15: November bki corp_presentation

TSX: BKI

Black Iron’s Capital Cost Advantage Shymanivske Relative to Other Iron Ore Projects

15

Vale

(Shim

andou 1

)

Afr

ican M

inera

ls (

phase

2)

Xst

rata

(Ask

af)

Afr

ican M

inera

ls (

DSO

)

Arc

elo

rMit

tal (W

est

ern

Fort

esc

ue (

Expansi

on)

Rio

Tin

to (

IOC)

Bla

ck Iro

n

Ald

ero

n

Sundance

Kum

ba

Ferr

expo (

Yeri

stovo)

IRC (

Kura

nakh)

London M

inin

g

IRC (

K&

S)

Auila (

Hard

ey)

Xst

rata

(Zanaga)

Atl

as

Iron (

Rid

ley)

Rio

Tin

to (

Pilbara

)

Gin

dalb

ie (

Kara

ra)

Anglo

Meri

can (

Min

as

Rio

)

BH

P (

RG

P5&

6)

Aquila (

West

Pilbara

)

Arc

elo

rMit

tal (W

est

ern

BH

P (

Sam

arc

o)

Atl

as

Iron (

Balla B

alla)

CIT

IC P

acif

ic (

Sin

o)

Baff

inla

nd

Xst

rata

(G

eulb

el Aouj)

Gra

nge R

eso

urc

es …

84 87 90 92 109 109

122 123 124 134 135 141 142

157 159 160 167 180 186 188 189 190 192 200

211 217 221 222 236

258

CAPEX Forecast (US$/t of capacity)

Source: Company data; Renaissance Capital estimates

Average = 161

Page 16: November bki corp_presentation

TSX: BKI

Black Iron Compares Favourably Black Iron to Other Iron Ore Developers

16

Gin

dalb

ie

Nort

hla

nd

Ald

ero

n

Bla

ck Iro

n

(PPF)

24.6 32.0

40.2 42.1

Pre-Tax IRR (%)

Nort

hla

nd

Gin

dalb

ie*

Bla

ck Iro

n

(PPF)

Ald

ero

n

1.5

2.4 3.0 3.1

Pre-Tax NPV8 (US$ billions)

Ald

ero

n

Ferr

expo

(Polt

ovo)

Bla

ck Iro

n

(years

8-2

0)

Bla

ck Iro

n

(years

1-2

0)

Nort

hla

nd

Ferr

expo

(Yeri

stovo)

Gin

dalb

ie

$44.9 $48.2 $48.2 $52.4 $58.8 $66.7 $72.5

OPEX (US$/t)

* Gindalbie NPV is at 9% after-tax

Source: Company data; Press Release; Research Estimates

Page 17: November bki corp_presentation

TSX: BKI

Company Location

Price

(US$)

Market

Cap

(US$ mm)

Enterprise

Value

(US$ mm) Total

Total

Grade

Total

R&R

Developers & Explorers

African Minerals Sierra Leone $7.53 2,392.6 2,056.5 3,983 34.0% 0.52

Baffinland Iron Mines Canada $1.50 514.6 476.7 559 64.6% 0.85

Gindalbie Metals Australia $0.56 463.7 263.7 430 34.1% 0.61

New Millennium Capital Canada $1.85 273.9 258.2 2,309 30.4% 0.11

Labrador Iron Mines Canada $7.49 393.9 256.0 98 56.5% 2.62

Alderon Iron Ore Canada $2.69 223.3 199.0 183 30.0% 1.09

Adriana Resources Canada $1.07 156.1 127.4 729 29.1% 0.17

Northland Resources Sweden $1.50 336.1 91.3 147 32.1% 0.62

Champion Minerals Canada $1.59 102.2 90.7 141 28.0% 0.64

Afferro Mining Liberia $0.82 70.7 34.6 509 34.7% 0.07

Adjusted Mean (Excludes Highest and Lowest Data Point) 0.58

Mean 0.73

Black Iron Ukraine $0.70 97.6 65.6 256 31.4% 0.26

Market Data

as at

8-Nov-11

Fe Contained

Reserve & Resource

(mm t)

EV / Fe

Reserve & Resource

(C$/t)

Public Comparable Companies Iron Ore Exploration/Development

Sources: Bloomberg, Reuters, equity research and company disclosure 55-65% discount

17

Page 18: November bki corp_presentation

TSX: BKI

18

Black Iron Continues to Deliver Shymanivske Project Development Timeline

H1 H2 H1 H2

2011 2012

Scoping Study/PEA

Definitive Feasibility Study

Permitting

Construction

Drill metallurgical holes

Exploration & Definition Drilling

Environmental Studies

Detailed Engineering

Production

Future

Page 19: November bki corp_presentation

TSX: BKI

19

Solid Fundamentals for Success A High-Quality Iron Ore Development Opportunity

Project located in Kryviy Rih, Ukraine; one of the world’s major iron ore districts • Close to target markets: W.Europe, Turkey, Russia, Asia and Middle East • Surrounded by 7 other operating iron ore mines

Close to Target Markets

Large iron ore deposit with NI 43-101 compliant resource*

• Two properties held – Shymanivske & Zelenivske • Shymanivske - 345 Mt Measured & Indicated resource @ 31.83% iron;

additional 469 Mt of Inferred resource @ 31.05% iron, which will be concentrated to ~65% iron

• Potential for resource expansion by further drilling of both deposits

Sizable Resource

Good access to skilled labour, power, rail & ports

• 35km from city of Kryviy Rih (pop. 750k); paved road to site • 2 km from state-owned rail and power lines with surplus capacity & five

deep water ports accessible by rail (140-515km)

Exceptional Infrastructure

Experienced management team with history of creating value for shareholders of Consolidated Thompson, RioTinto and Ferrexpo

Skilled Management

High margins due to close proximity to multiple steel mills, relative labour cost advantage and favourable corporate tax rate of 16% • PEA for 7.3Mt Pellet Plant Feed – NPV of US$3.0 billion and 42.1% IRR • PEA for 7.6Mt Pellet – NPV of US$4.1 billion and IRR of 35.2%

Compelling Economics

* Resource estimate compiled using historic Soviet data by Hugues de Corta of Genivar, who is a qualified person as defined by NI 43-101

Page 20: November bki corp_presentation

CONTACT INFORMATION

65 Queen Street West

Suite 805, P.O. Box 71

Toronto, Ontario, Canada

M5H 2M5

www.blackiron.com

TSX: BKI

Investor Relations

Investor Cubed Inc.

Telephone: +1 (647) 258-3311

Toll-Free: +1 (888) 258-3323

Fax: +1 (416) 363-7977

[email protected]


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