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NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

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Citigroup Capital Markets 2012 MLP/Midstream Infrastructure Conference Las Vegas, NV August 22-23, 2012
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Page 1: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

Citigroup Capital Markets 2012 MLP/Midstream Infrastructure Conference

Las Vegas, NV August 22-23, 2012

Page 2: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

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Forward Looking Statements The statements made by representatives of Natural Resource Partners L.P. (“NRP”) during the course of this presentation that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements. Although NRP believes that the assumptions underlying these statements are reasonable, investors are cautioned that such forward-looking statements are inherently uncertain and necessarily involve risks that may affect NRP’s business prospects and performance, causing actual results to differ from those discussed during the presentation. Such risks and uncertainties include, by way of example and not of limitation: general business and economic conditions; decreases in demand for coal; changes in our lessees’ operating conditions and costs; changes in the level of costs related to environmental protection and operational safety; unanticipated geologic problems; problems related to force majeure; potential labor relations problems; changes in the legislative or regulatory environment; and lessee production cuts. These and other applicable risks and uncertainties have been described more fully in NRP’s most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K or Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. NRP undertakes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information or future events.

Page 3: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

NRP Overview

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Page 4: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

Business Overview • Own, manage and lease mineral properties in

the U.S. – 2.3 billion tons of proven and probable coal

reserves in three major coal producing regions – 380 million tons of aggregate reserves – Oil and gas

• Lease reserves to experienced mine operators under long-term leases in exchange for royalty payment

– >percentage of gross sales price or fixed price per ton

– periodic minimum payments

• Own and lease infrastructure assets including transportation, handling and processing facilities and receive throughput fees

• Expect 2012 revenue guidance in range of $340 million - $365 million

• Publicly traded on NYSE (“NRP”) with market cap of $2.3 billion(1)

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NRP Revenues (2011)

Revenues from NRP’s Assets (2011)

(1) Market data as of August 10, 2012. Unit price of $21.75

($ in millions)

Page 5: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

• Capital Expenditures

• Labor

• Employee Benefits

• Property Taxes

• Transportation / Processing

• Reclamation Exposure

• Regulatory/Permitting

• Competition

• Weather

• Economy

No Direct Operating Costs or Risks • Lack of ordinary operating costs and limited direct exposure to environmental,

permitting and labor risks drive industry-leading margins

Operating Cost Operating Risks

5 Source: Company filings.

Coal EBITDA Margins (2011)

87.5%

31.1% 26.0%

20.9% 20.0% 11.7% 11.4%

6.3%

NRP Alliance ResourcePartners

Peabody Penn VirginiaResource

Arch Coal Alpha NaturalResources

James River Coal Patriot Coal

Page 6: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

Overview of NRP’s Coal Business • Acts as a proxy for the coal industry • 5th largest owner of coal reserves in the U.S. – 2.3 billion tons • Strategically located in Appalachia, Illinois Basin, Western U.S. • Increased production expected from development of Ill properties • 2011 coal production of 49.2 mmt and coal royalty revenues of $279.2 million

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Southern Appalachia

Reserves 123 mm tons

Production 1.7 mm tons

% Metallurgical 35%

% Underground 79%

Key Lessees Cliffs Natural Resources

Northern Appalachia

Reserves 494 mm tons

Production 5.3 mm tons

% Metallurgical 2%

% Underground 99%

Key Lessees Alliance Resource Partners, Arch Coal, Metinvest

Illinois Basin

Reserves 276 mm tons

Production 9.4 mm tons

% Metallurgical 0%

% Underground 95%

Key Lessees The Cline Group, Knight Hawk Coal

Central Appalachia

Reserves 1,281 mm tons

Production 29.6 mm tons

% Metallurgical 31%

% Underground 82%

Key Lessees Alpha Natural Resources, Arch Coal, Mechel, Patriot Coal

Northern Powder River Basin

Reserves 102 mm tons

Production 2.7 mm tons

% Metallurgical 0%

% Underground 0%

Key Lessees Westmoreland Coal

Page 7: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

NRP – Significant Metallurgical Exposure • 20-25% of all the metallurgical coal

produced in the U.S. is produced from NRP properties

– In 2006, it was as high as 30%

• Historically metallurgical coal has made up a significant portion of NRP’s coal royalty revenue

– 22% to 37% of production – 29% to 47% of coal royalty revenues – 2Q 2012 YTD - 33% of production and 45%

of coal royalty revenues

• 17 lessees currently produce metallurgical coal from NRP properties

• Increases in metallurgical demand or prices can have a profound impact on NRP

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U.S. Coal Production (5-Year Average)

NRP’s % of U.S. Met Production (5-Year Average)

Page 8: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

NRP’s Illinois Basin Growth Prospects • 2005 increased exposure to Illinois Basin

• Production increased – 5% to 24% of total today – expected to continue to grow

• Invested ~$586 million

• Projects recent completion – Hillsboro (Deer Run) –should add 7-9 million tons on an annual basis – Sugar Camp infrastructure and ORRI – add ~$8 million in cash flows in 2012

• Agreement with Cline Group - opportunities on up to 3 billion tons of coal reserves or infrastructure

• Illinois Basin coal well situated – Additional scrubbers to handle Ill Basin coal – Transportation and BTU advantage over PRB coals – Thicker coal seams than Appalachia means very low operating costs compared to CAPP – Export capability through the mouth of the Mississippi River

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Page 9: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

Growing Infrastructure Business

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• Own preparation plants, rail load-outs and beltline structures for both coal and aggregates

• Currently own 11 coal assets and 1 aggregate plant

• Fees received based on • % of the gross selling price or • Fixed fee per ton of throughput

• Recent Ill. Basin acquisition to provide

significant increase for 2012 and beyond

• Working to expand business

Page 10: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

Overview of NRP’s Aggregates Business • 380 million tons of aggregates in 8 states • Currently less than 2% of revenues ($6.7 mm in 2011 on 5.9 mm tons production), but growing • Invested ~ $130 million since 2006 to acquire assets

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DuPont (Jan 2007) Sand and Gravel

Wise County (Jul 2009) Limestone

White County (Mar 2010) Limestone

Putnam County (Apr 2010) Limestone

Northern California (Apr 2010) Silica

Rockmart (Jun 2010) Slate

Livingston County (Feb 2011) Limestone

McMinn County (Mar 2011) Limestone

States in which NRP has Aggregate properties and or InfrastructureDoes not include BRP properties.Date of acquisition in parenthesis.

States in which NRP has Aggregate properties and or InfrastructureDoes not include BRP properties.Date of acquisition in parenthesis.

Tyler, TX (Jun 2011) Frac Sand

Page 11: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

Oil and Gas Business Overview • Own, manage and lease oil and gas mineral

properties in the U.S. – Over 386,000 net leased oil, gas and CBM acres

– Additional un-leased mineral interests throughout United States

• Interest types include fee mineral ownership, overriding royalty ownership

– Actively work with operators to provide best scenario for successful development

• Recent acquisitions include 19,200 net acres within the active Mississippian Lime play

• Actively seeking to grow oil and gas portfolio through acquisitions

– Minerals, royalties, ORRI, Net Profits Interest acquisitions

– Provide development capital to operators in exchange for non-cost bearing interest

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Oil and Gas Revenues from NRP’s Assets

States in which NRP has Oil and Gas Revenue

Page 12: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

Growing Oil and Gas Royalties • In 2011 hired oil and gas team to focus on acquisitions of additional royalty properties

and leasing of currently owned mineral acreage for oil and gas development

• Since Dec 2011 acquired 19,200 net mineral acres in the Mississippian Lime oil play in

Oklahoma for ~$64 million – Currently leased to several active operators – Continuing development through horizontal drilling

• Continuing to lease BRP oil and gas acreage

• Actively working on leasing additional NRP properties

• Oil and Gas royalties currently only 4% of revenues, but growing as further development occurs on NRP properties

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Oil being picked up from storage tanks in Oklahoma.

Page 13: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

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Platform for Additional Growth -BRP Mineral Venture - ~ 9 mm acres •Formed venture with International Paper June 2010 - BRP •Own and manage ~9.1 million acres of mineral rights previously held by IP •NRP paid $42.5 million and has annual cumulative preferred distribution of $4.25 MM and 51% of any excess income •Royalty based model similar to NRP other assets •NRP has received distributions with regard to:

•2012 (Jan – Apr) - $3.7 million •2011 - $6.9 million •2010 - $2.5 million (7 months)

Current Income Development

Oil and gas royalties √ √

Coal royalties √ √

Aggregate royalties √ √

Cell tower royalties √

Coal bed methane √

Geothermal √

Water rights √

Precious metals √

Industrial minerals √

~75% of properties are located in the Gulf Coast region with next largest region the Pacific Northwest

Page 14: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

Consistent Growth and Diversification of Revenues

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2012E reflects the midpoint of the guidance range updated in August 2012.

Page 15: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

Paid to Wait for Coal Turnaround

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• Current quarterly distribution - $0.55 per unit

• Large cash balance to help protect distribution in weak markets

Page 16: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

Unique Tax Attributes for Individuals • Portion of current income deferred due to depletion, depreciation

• Current income predominantly taxed at Section 1231 – capital gains rates

• At sale of units - very little recapture of depreciation and depletion

• If units are held for more than one year, majority of all income generated by the partnership is taxed at capital gains rates

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Page 17: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

Poised for Growth in 2013 and beyond • Potential for Higher 2012 coal production

– NRP’s lessees produced 49.2 million tons in 2011 – NRP forecasts 2012 coal production of 48 million tons to 54 million tons

• Some lessees moving back onto NRP property from other lessees • Increasing ILB tonnage in 2012 and 2013 based on earlier acquisitions

• Growth in infrastructure and transportation – Increasing throughput from rising coal tonnage in ILB – New ILB infrastructure assets – Sugar Camp – New infrastructure assets in aggregates

• Growth in oil and gas due to recent acquisitions

• Increased aggregates platform – Since 2009 acquired 9 properties for ~$102 million – Combination of producing and greenfield projects – Providing growth in 2012 and beyond

• Mineral venture with International Paper (BRP LLC)

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Page 18: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

Supplemental Information: Coal Markets

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Page 19: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

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Coal – Fastest Growing Fossil Fuel in 2011 – Up 5.4% 2011 - Global primary energy consumption

increased 2.5%

Coal was fastest growing fossil fuel up 5.4%

Renewables fastest growing fuel but only accounts for 1.6% of global energy consumption

30.3 % - Coal’s share of world energy consumption in 2011 - highest since 1969

Asia Pacific is largest energy consumer

39.1% of global energy consumption

68.6% of global coal consumption

12th consecutive year oil’s share of Global energy consumption has declined – lowest since 1965

Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy June 2012

Global Energy Consumption - 2011 (million tonnes oil equivalent)

Global Energy Consumption (2011 vs. 2010)

Page 20: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

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Global Coal Consumption Continues to Increase Three largest global consumers of coal in

2011 China – 49% U.S. – 14% India – 8%

Global coal consumption increased 56% between 2001 and 2011

China increased ~155% India increased ~104%

Global coal consumption increased 19% between 2006 and 2011

U.S. coal reserves make up 28% of the world’s total coal reserves

Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy June 2012

Global Coal Consumption (million tonnes oil equivalent)

Page 21: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

Current Coal Markets • Weak domestic thermal market

– Historically high inventories – Low natural gas prices – Unseasonable weather – Regulatory environment

• Weaker but Stable Met market – Domestic steel production increased 2012 – Global met coal quarterly benchmark increased to $225 but expected to drop to ~ $190 as a

bottom

• Exports at new highs – 2011 exports of 107 mm tons – all time high – June YTD exports reported at 66.0 mm tons – 24% above the same period last year – 2012 expected to exceed 2011 – New export capacity proposed – could reach as high as 270 mm tons if all proposed get

built

21 Source: National Mining Association, Raymond James, Industry trade publications and NRP estimates

Page 22: NPR MLP/Midstream Infastructure Conference

U.S. Coal Exports

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