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8/9/2019 npv ofd http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/npv-ofd 1/24 Discount Rate = 10% Oil Price = 390 NOK/bbl Gas Price = 1,25 Oil Tari Price Price = 9 NOK/bbl Gas Tari Price = 0,3 !ear Pro" Oil Pro" Gas #n$estent &'ill( bbl) &'ill( NOK) 1 0,00 0,00 0 13 2 0,00 0,00 0 10 3 40,00 4,00 20.6 0 4 30,00 3,00 15.45 0 5 20,00 2,00 10.3 0 6 10,00 1,00 5.15 0 Oil Price = 390 NOK/bbl Gas Price = 1,25 Oil Tari Price Price = 9 NOK/bbl Gas Tari Price = 0,3 !ear Pro" Oil Pro" Gas #n$estent &'ill( bbl) &'ill( NOK) 1 0,00 0,00 0 13 1( *n in$estent +roect is "eine" b- t.e "ata set belo( T.e oil +rice is 5,0 D/bbl an to +a- a tari eual to 1,5 D, an" or eac. 3  as t.at is +ro"uce" an" sol" it is necessar in"e8 &P#) o t.e +roect at 10 % "iscount rate( &1,0 D = ,0 NOK)( NOK/ 3 NOK/ 3 Gross #ncoe &ill( NOK) &bill( 3 ) Net Present 7alue = 2(09,99 'ill( NOK Proitabilit- #n"e8 &P#) = NP7 / P7 &6a+e8) = 2(09,99/20(0:2, = 0(10  6alculate t.e internal rate o return &#RR) o t.e +roect( NOK/ 3 NOK/ 3 Gross #ncoe &ill( NOK) &bill( 3 )
Transcript
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Discount Rate = 10%

Oil Price = 390 NOK/bbl

Gas Price = 1,25

Oil Tari Price Price = 9 NOK/bbl

Gas Tari Price = 0,3

!ear

Pro" Oil Pro" Gas #n$estent

&'ill( bbl) &'ill( NOK)

1 0,00 0,00 0 13

2 0,00 0,00 0 10

3 40,00 4,00 20.6 0

4 30,00 3,00 15.45 0

5 20,00 2,00 10.3 0

6 10,00 1,00 5.15 0

Oil Price = 390 NOK/bbl

Gas Price = 1,25

Oil Tari Price Price = 9 NOK/bblGas Tari Price = 0,3

!ear

Pro" Oil Pro" Gas #n$estent

&'ill( bbl) &'ill( NOK)

1 0,00 0,00 0 13

1( 

*n in$estent +roect is "eine" b- t.e "ata set belo( T.e oil +rice is 5,0 D/bbl anto +a- a tari eual to 1,5 D, an" or eac. 3 as t.at is +ro"uce" an" sol" it is necessarin"e8 &P#) o t.e +roect at 10 % "iscount rate( &1,0 D = ,0 NOK)(

NOK/3

NOK/3

Gross #ncoe &ill(NOK)&bill( 3)

Net Present 7alue = 2(09,99 'ill( NOK

Proitabilit- #n"e8 &P#) = NP7 / P7 &6a+e8) = 2(09,99/20(0:2, = 0(10

 

6alculate t.e internal rate o return &#RR) o t.e +roect(

NOK/3

NOK/3

Gross #ncoe &ill(NOK)&bill( 3)

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2 0,00 0,00 0 10

3 40,00 4,00 20.6 0

4 30,00 3,00 15.45 0

5 20,00 2,00 10.3 0

6 10,00 1,00 5.15 0

Oil Tari Price Price = 9 NOK/bbl

Gas Tari Price = 0,3

!ear 1 !ear 2 !ear 3 !ear

Investment (Mill. NOK) 13 10 0 0

Operating costs (mill. NOK) 0 0 4 3

0 0 40 30

4 3

!ear

Pro" Oil Pro" Gas #n$estent

&'ill( bbl) &'ill( NOK)

1 0,00 0,00 0 13

2 0,00 0,00 0 10

3 0,00 0,00 0 0

4 0,00 0,00 0 0

5 0,00 0,00 0 0

6 0,00 0,00 0 0

40,00 4,00 20.6 0

! 30,00 3,00 15.45 0

" 20,00 2,00 10.3 0

10 10,00 1,00 5.15 0

&costs an" +ro"uction) is "ela-e" b- -ears

#nternal Rate o Retur= :(;5%

cross check

Pro" Oil Pro" Gas #n$estent

NOK/3

3(  <.at are t.e conseuences or t.e +roects net +resent $alue an" intern

#ales vol$me o% oil (106 &&l)

#ales vol$me o% gas (10" #m3)

Gross #ncoe &ill(NOK)&bill( 3)

Net Present 7alue = ?1(2; 'ill( NOK

 

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!ear &'ill( bbl) &'ill( NOK)

1 0,00 0,00 0 13

2 0,00 0,00 0 10

3 0,00 0,00 0 0

4 0,00 0,00 0 0

5 0,00 0,00 0 0

6 0,00 0,00 0 0

40,00 4,00 20.6 0

! 30,00 3,00 15.45 0

" 20,00 2,00 10.3 0

10 10,00 1,00 5.15 0

Gross #ncoe &ill(NOK)&bill( 3)

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O+eratin 6osts 6as. 4lo 6uulati$e 6as. 4lo Pre Ta8 NP7

&'ill( NOK) &'ill( NOK) &'ill( NOK)

0 '13.00 '13 '11.!2

0 '10.00 '23.00 '!.26

5.56 15.04 '."6 11.30

5.1 10.2! 2.32 .02

4.! 5.52 .!4 3.43

4.3" 0.6 !.60 0.43

NPV $2.095

IRR 14.929%

IRR 14.929%

O+eratin 6osts 6as. 4lo 6uulati$e 6as. 4lo Pre Ta8 NP7

&'ill( NOK) &'ill( NOK) &Non?Discounte") ? 'ill( NOK &'ill( NOK)

0 '13.00 '13.00 ?11(31

  t.e as +rice is 1,25 NOK/3( 4or eac. bbl o oil t.at is +ro"uce" an" soto +a- a tari eual to 0,3 NOK( 6alculate t.e net +resent $alue &NP7) an"

&Non?Discounte") ? 'ill(NOK

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0 '10.00 '23.00 ?;(5;

5.56 15.04 '."6 9(91

5.1 10.2! 2.32 5(:9

4.! 5.52 .!4 2(;5

4.3" 0.6 !.60 0(33

!ear 5 !ear

0 0

2.5 2.5

20 10

2 1

O+eratin 6osts 6as. 4lo 6uulati$e 6as. 4lo Pre Ta8 NP7

&'ill( NOK) &'ill( NOK) &Non?Discounte") ? 'ill( NOK &'ill( NOK)

0 '13.00 '13.00 '11.!2

0 '10.00 '23.00 '!.26

0 0.00 '23.00 0.00

0 0.00 '23.00 0.00

0 0.00 '23.00 0.00

0 0.00 '23.00 0.00

4 16.60 '6.40 !.52

3 12.45 6.05 5.!1

2.5 .!0 13.!5 3.31

2.5 2.65 16.50 1.02

NPV=   ($1.427)

IRR=   Err:523

O+eratin 6osts 6as. 4lo 6uulati$e 6as. 4lo Pre Ta8 NP7

l rate o return i t.e .ole +roect &costs an" +ro"uction) is "ela-e" b- -

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&'ill( NOK) &'ill( NOK) &Non?Discounte") ? 'ill( NOK &'ill( NOK)

0 '13.00 '13.00 rr523

0 '10.00 '23.00 rr523

0 0.00 '23.00 rr523

0 0.00 '23.00 rr523

0 0.00 '23.00 rr523

0 0.00 '23.00 rr523

4 16.60 '6.40 rr523

3 12.45 6.05 rr523

2.5 .!0 13.!5 rr523

2.5 2.65 16.50 rr523

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&'ill( NOK)

'11.!2

'20.0!

'!.!

'1.6

1.6

2.0"5

&'ill( NOK)

?11(31

l" it is necessar-t.e +roitabilit-

6uulati$e Pre Ta8NP7

6uulati$e Pre Ta8NP7

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?1:(::

?:(9;

?3(0:

?0(33

0(00

6uulati$e Pre Ta8 NP7

&'ill( NOK)

'11.!2

'20.0!

'20.0!

'20.0!

'20.0!

'20.0!

'11.56

'5.6

'2.45

'1.42

6uulati$e Pre Ta8 NP7

ars>

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&'ill( NOK)

rr523

rr523

rr523

rr523

rr523

rr523

rr523

rr523

rr523

rr523

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Internal Rate of Return(IRR)= 34.2%

 Year

1 1327.8

2 1770.4

3 1327.8 500

4   500

5   500

6   500

7   500

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

SUM 4426 2500

2!521.14 1!125.70

"a#$l$t$e (Pl!"or#&'se Rsers

E*+or! ,s!e#s-/e#e! Is&rce)&ot

'r$ll$n an #o*+let$on&ot

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,+erat$n &ot ,$l tar$- a tar$- ,$l $n#o*e

10   21.0   412.13 32.40 15.3 210.00

10   34.25   53.49 51.38 24.78 3425.00

10   34.25   53.49 51.38 24.78 3425.00

10   34.25   53.49 51.38 24.78 3425.00

10   29.93   571.0 44.90 21.5 2993.00

10   23.94   45.85 35.92 17.32 2394.40

10   19.1   35.48 28.73 13.8 1915.52

10   15.32   292.38 22.99 11.09 1532.42

10   12.2   233.91 18.39 8.87 1225.93

10   9.81   187.13 14.71 7.09 980.75

10   7.85   149.70 11.77 5.8 784.0

10   .28   119.7 9.42 4.54 27.8

10   5.02   95.81 7.53 3.3 502.14

10   4.02   7.5 .03 2.91 401.71

10   3.21   1.32 4.82 2.32 321.37

10   2.57   49.05 3.8 1.8 257.10

10   2.0   39.24 3.09 1.49 205.8

10   1.5   31.39 2.47 1.19 14.54

10   1.32   25.12 1.97 0.95 131.3

10   1.05   20.09 1.58 0.7 105.31

10 0.84 1.07 1.2 0.1 84.25

3360 270.63 5163.62 405.95 195.78 27063.02

466.60 115.24 55.58 7!682.94

M$l //l ,$lrou#t$on

M$l S*3a

rou#t$on

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&u*ulat$e

1327.8 0.75 989.42 989.42

1770.4 0.5 982.74 1972.15

1827.8 0.41 755.92 2728.08

15.2 108.23 0.31 495.54 2232.54

247.77 293.2 0.23 74.1 1558.38

247.77 293.2 0.17 502.28 105.10

247.77 293.2 0.13 374.22 81.88

21.52 299.28 0.09 284.48 397.40

173.22 235.03 0.07 17.29 230.11

138.57 180.02 0.05 98.03 132.08

110.8 145.02 0.04 57.17 74.91

88.9 1132.81 0.03 33.14 41.77

70.95 874.25 0.02 19.0 22.72

5.7 7.40 0.02 10.84 11.88

45.41 501.92 0.01 .07 5.81

3.33 39.54 0.01 3.33 2.48

29.0 23.3 0.01 1.77 0.71

23.25 178.90 0.01 0.90 0.19

18.0 111.12 0.00 0.41 0.0

14.88 5.90 0.00 0.1 0.7

11.90 13.52 0.00 0.03 0.79

9.52 21.19 0.00 0.03 0.7

7.2 48.95 0.00 0.0 0.70

.09 71.38 0.00 0.57 0

1957.79 17597.9 0

555.80 0 1

a$n#o*e

&a "lo '$#ountfa#tor

reentalue

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s l R!o (R) 120.00 #3#3

Prce o" l 100.00 6''l

Prce o" s 10.00 6##'!&

l s Pro&c!o Prole "ro# se 1 o" E*ercse 1 r "or l !rs+or!!o   1.50 6''l

 r "or /s !rs+or!!o   1.00 6##'!&

6sco&! r!e 7%

 Year

1 1327.8 0

2 1770.4 0

3 1327.8 5004   500

5   500

6   500

7   500

8

9

10

11

12

1314

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

2324

SUM 4426 2500

3871 2050

B-E-P = [PV(CAPEX)+PV(OPE

"a#$l$t$e (Pl!"or#&'se Rsers

E*+or! ,s!e#s-/e#e! Is&rce)&ot

'r$ll$n an#o*+let$on &ot

et reentalue

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  = 40.68453 US'//l

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,+erat$n &ot ,$l tar$- a tar$- ,$l $n#o*e

0

0

010   21.0   412.13 32.40 15.3 878.79

10   34.25   53.49 51.38 24.78 1393.45

10   34.25   53.49 51.38 24.78 1393.45

10   34.25   53.49 51.38 24.78 1393.45

10   29.93   571.0 44.90 21.5 1217.9

10   23.94   45.85 35.92 17.32 974.15

10   19.1   35.48 28.73 13.8 779.32

10   15.32   292.38 22.99 11.09 23.4

10   12.2   233.91 18.39 8.87 498.77

10   9.81   187.13 14.71 7.09 399.0110   7.85   149.70 11.77 5.8 319.21

10   .28   119.7 9.42 4.54 255.37

10   5.02   95.81 7.53 3.3 204.29

10   4.02   7.5 .03 2.91 13.44

10   3.21   1.32 4.82 2.32 130.75

10   2.57   49.05 3.8 1.8 104.0

10   2.0   39.24 3.09 1.49 83.8

10   1.5   31.39 2.47 1.19 .94

10   1.32   25.12 1.97 0.95 53.55

10   1.05   20.09 1.58 0.7 42.8410 0.84 1.07 1.2 0.1 34.27

3360 270.63 5163.62 405.95 195.78 11010.46

1734 188.16 282.23 136.11 7!655.00

 )] /PV (Volume)

M$l //l ,$lrou#t$on

M$l S*3a

rou#t$on

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1327.8 0.93 1240.93 1240.93

1770.4 0.87 154.34 2787.27

1827.8 0.82 1492.03 4279.3015.2 327.02 0.7 249.48 4029.82

247.77 905.0 0.71 45.30 3384.52

247.77 905.0 0.7 03.08 2781.44

247.77 905.0 0.2 53.3 2217.81

21.52 1207. 0.58 702.87 1514.94

173.22 934.13 0.54 508.10 100.84

138.57 715.30 0.51 33.2 43.21

110.8 540.24 0.48 25.7 38.55

88.9 400.19 0.44 177.9 208.8

70.95 288.15 0.41 119.57 89.285.7 198.52 0.39 7.99 12.29

45.41 12.82 0.3 45.97 33.7

3.33 9.4 0.34 23.53 57.20

29.0 23.5 0.32 7.4 4.

23.25 13.15 0.30 3.89 0.77

18.0 42.52 0.28 11.7 49.01

14.88 .02 0.2 17.0 31.95

11.90 84.81 0.24 20.48 11.47

9.52 99.85 0.23 22.54 11.07

7.2 111.88 0.21 23.0 34.7.09 121.50 0.20 23.95 58.62

1957.79 2080.526 58.62

(58.62) 7

a$n#o*e

&a "lo '$#ountfa#tor

reentalue

&u*ulat$ereentalue

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s l R!o (R) 120.00 #3#3

Prce o" l 100.00 6''l

Prce o" s 10.00 6##'!&

l s Pro&c!o Prole "ro# se 1 o" E*ercse 1 r "or l !rs+or!!o   1.50 6''l

 r "or /s !rs+or!!o   1.00 6##'!&

6sco&! r!e 7%

 Year

1 1327.8 0

2 1770.4 0

3 1327.8 5004   500

5   500

6   500

7   500

8

9

10

11

12

1314

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

2324

SUM 4426 2500

3871 2050

= 8963.82 M$ll$on US'

"a#$l$t$e (Pl!"or#&'se Rsers

E*+or! ,s!e#s-/e#e! Is&rce)&ot

'r$ll$n an#o*+let$on &ot

et reentalue

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,+erat$n &ot ,$l tar$- a tar$- ,$l $n#o*e

0

0

010   21.0   412.13 32.40 15.3 210.00

10   34.25   53.49 51.38 24.78 3425.00

10   34.25   53.49 51.38 24.78 3425.00

10   34.25   53.49 51.38 24.78 3425.00

10   29.93   571.0 44.90 21.5 2993.00

10   23.94   45.85 35.92 17.32 2394.40

10   19.1   35.48 28.73 13.8 1915.52

10   15.32   292.38 22.99 11.09 1532.42

10   12.2   233.91 18.39 8.87 1225.93

10   9.81   187.13 14.71 7.09 980.7510   7.85   149.70 11.77 5.8 784.0

10   .28   119.7 9.42 4.54 27.8

10   5.02   95.81 7.53 3.3 502.14

10   4.02   7.5 .03 2.91 401.71

10   3.21   1.32 4.82 2.32 321.37

10   2.57   49.05 3.8 1.8 257.10

10   2.0   39.24 3.09 1.49 205.8

10   1.5   31.39 2.47 1.19 14.54

10   1.32   25.12 1.97 0.95 131.3

10   1.05   20.09 1.58 0.7 105.3110 0.84 1.07 1.2 0.1 84.25

3360 270.63 5163.62 405.95 195.78 27063.02

1734 282 136 18816

M$l //l ,$lrou#t$on

M$l S*3a

rou#t$on

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1327.8 0.93 1240.93 1240.93

1770.4 0.87 154.34 2787.27

1827.8 0.82 1492.03 4279.3015.2 108.23 0.7 122.91 3052.39

247.77 293.2 0.71 2093.77 958.2

247.77 293.2 0.7 195.79 998.17

247.77 293.2 0.2 1828.78 282.95

21.52 299.28 0.58 1743.8 4570.82

173.22 235.03 0.54 128.42 5857.23

138.57 180.02 0.51 945.54 802.77

110.8 145.02 0.48 91.74 7494.52

88.9 1132.81 0.44 502.98 7997.50

70.95 874.25 0.41 32.78 830.285.7 7.40 0.39 258.83 819.11

45.41 501.92 0.3 181.92 8801.03

3.33 39.54 0.34 125.17 892.20

29.0 23.3 0.32 83.4 9009.

23.25 178.90 0.30 52.93 902.59

18.0 111.12 0.28 30.73 9093.32

14.88 5.90 0.2 14.70 9108.02

11.90 13.52 0.24 3.2 9111.29

9.52 21.19 0.23 4.78 910.51

7.2 48.95 0.21 10.33 909.18.09 71.38 0.20 132.3 8963.82

1957.79 17597.9 8963.82

1361 8963.82 7

a$n#o*e

&a "lo '$#ountfa#tor

reentalue

&u*ulat$ereentalue

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1 2 3

6000.00

4000.00

2000.00

0.00

2000.00

4000.00

6000.00

8000.00

10000.00

&u

   5   0   4

   $  n   M   $   l   l   $  o  n   U   S   '

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4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

ulat$e fro* roe#t San#t$on to en of ro

u*/er of :ear

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9 20 21 22 23 24

#t$on


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