© 2018 Nuclear Energy Institute, Inc.1
John KotekVice President, Policy Development
and Public Affairs
October 2, 2018
NUCLEAR ENERGY
Status & Outlook
© 2018 Nuclear Energy Institute, Inc.
This is an explanation of the main idea
NUCLEAR ENERGY IN THE UNITED STATES
• 98 reactors across 59 sites in 30 states
• 99,010 MWe of baseload capacity
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Nuclear20.0%
Natural Gas31.7%
Coal30.1%
Hydro7.6%
Wind – 6.3%Biomass & Petroleum – 2.1%Solar – 1.3%Geothermal – 0.4%
Source: U.S. Energy Information AdministrationUpdated: March 2018
U.S. ELECTRICITY GENERATION FUEL SHARES IN 2017
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• 804.9 billion kWh in 2017 – 20% of U.S. electricity
• 92.2% capacity factor in 2017
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NUCLEAR CONTRIBUTIONS
© 2018 Nuclear Energy Institute, Inc.Source: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2016
US ELECRICITY DEMAND GROWTH
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$-
$20.00
$40.00
$60.00
$80.00
$100.00
$/M
Wh
ISONE Conn.
ISONE NE Mass.
MISO Mich. Hub
MISO Illinois Hub
NYISO West
NYISO Hudson Val
PJM Eastern Hub
PJM Western Hub
PJM Chicago HubForward
Prices
$30 - $50/MWh
$45 - $75/MWh
$28 - $36/MWh
DECLINING ELECTRICITY PRICES
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© 2018 Nuclear Energy Institute, Inc.
$ 2 9 . 2 42 0 0 2
$ 3 1 . 3 9 2 0 0 7
$ 4 1 . 3 5 2 0 1 2
Efficiency Improvements
Source: Electric Utility Cost GroupUpdated: September 2018$/MWh in 2017 dollars
$37.60 2014
$34.65 2016
$33.50 2017
To t a l G e n e r a t i n g C o s t s7
© 2018 Nuclear Energy Institute, Inc.
Premature Nuclear Power Plant Closures and Announced Shutdowns
Plant MWe Closure Year Reason Final Year Generation(billion kWh per year)
Final Year CO2 Avoided(M tons/year)
Crystal River 3 860 2013 Mechanical 7.0 3.8
San Onofre 2 & 3 2,150 2013 Mechanical 18.1 8.0
Kewaunee 566 2013 Market 4.5 3.8
Vermont Yankee 620 2014 Market 5.1 2.4
Fort Calhoun 478 2016 Market 3.4 3.3
Oyster Creek 625 2018 Policy 5.4 4.0
TOTAL 5,299 43.5 25.3
Three Mile Island 1 803 2019 Market 6.9 5.0
Pilgrim 678 2019 Market 5.1 2.3
Davis-Besse 908 2020 Market 7.9 5.7
Duane Arnold 619 2020 Market 5.2 5.0
Indian Point 2 & 3 2,061 2020-2021 Market & Policy 15.3 7.1
Beaver Valley 1 & 2 1,872 2021 Market 15.3 11.1
Perry 1,268 2021 Market 9.8 7.1
Palisades 789 2022 Market 6.1 5.3
Diablo Canyon 1 & 2 2,240 2024-2025 Policy 17.9 6.9
TOTAL 11,238 89.5 55.5Source: Emissions avoided are calculated using regional and national fossil fuel emissions rates from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and latest plant generation data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Updated: September 2018.
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© 2018 Nuclear Energy Institute, Inc.9
STATES RECOGNIZE NUCLEAR’S VALUE
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Nuclear Plants Saved from Premature Closures
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• 11,683 MWebaseload capacity
• More than 7,400 direct jobs saved
• More electricity generation than all U.S. utility solar in 2017
• 60.0 million metric tons of CO2 avoided
Plant MWeProjected Closure
Year
Reason for Potential Shutdown
Electricity Generated
in 2017(billion kWh
per year)
CO2 Emissions Avoided in 2017(Million metric
tons/year)
Clinton 1,065 2017 Market 8.3 8.1
Fitzpatrick 852 2017 Market 6.2 2.9
Ginna 582 2017 Market 4.7 2.2
Hope Creek 1,172 ~2020 Market 10.6 7.7
Millstone 2 & 3 2,096 ~2020 Market 16.5 7.4
Nine Mile Point 1 & 2 1,770 2017-
2018 Market 16.0 7.4
Quad Cities 1 & 2 1,819 2018 Market 15.4 11.2
Salem 1 & 2 2,328 ~2020-2021 Market 18.0 13.1
TOTAL 11,683 95.7 60.0
Source: Emissions avoided are calculated using regional and national fossil fuel emissions rates from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and latest plant generation data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Updated: August 2018.
© 2018 Nuclear Energy Institute, Inc.
PRESERVING NUCLEAR - BIPARTISAN SUPPORT
• “If you want to see the environment and the climate that we live in affected in a positive way, you must include nuclear energy with zero emissions to your portfolio. Do it safe, do it thoughtfully, do it economically. Under the leadership of the United States, the world can benefit from that.” – Secretary Rick Perry
© 2018 Nuclear Energy Institute, Inc.
PRESERVING NUCLEAR - BIPARTISAN SUPPORT
• “When natural gas has displaced coal, that has one CO2 impact; when it displaces nuclear, it has the opposite. This is not very complicated.” – Secretary Ernie Moniz
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NUCLEAR ENERGY IMPERATIVES
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NUCLEAR’S NATIONAL SECURITY ROLE
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THE EMISSIONS REDUCTION IMPERATIVE
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NUCLEAR ENERGY – PROJECTED GLOBAL GROWTH
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EIA forecasts >35% growth in world nuclear electricity capacity from 2016 to 2040, led by non-OECD countries
Source: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=33672
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GLOBAL NUCLEAR EXPANSION UNITS UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Building additional reactorsPlanning or interested in additional reactors“Newcomers” building reactors“Newcomers” planning or interested in building
2 20
7
64
3
3
12
2
1
1
1 22
Sources: IAEA PRIS database. July 17, 2017 for reactors under construction, multiple sources for other information.
© 2018 Nuclear Energy Institute, Inc.
International Nuclear Influence
28C H INA
9R U S S I A
11
I N D I A 10
S . KO R EA
1
5
4
5
2
6
21
4
8U SA
Constructed Since 1997 (domestic design)
Under Construction (domestic design)
Domestic Design being Constructed in Other Countries(Since 1997 + Under Construction)
11
18Source: International Atomic Energy Agency: PRIS DatabaseUpdated: March 2018
China and Russia are leading in constructing their domestic designs
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GLOBAL MARKET PLACE
NEARLY2/3
NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION
OF ALL
CHINESE OR RUSSIANDESIGNS
RUSSIA
CHINA
USE
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Large LWRs
NuScalePower Module
Advanced Non-LWRs• Hi-temp gas• Liquid metal• Molten salt
20202016 2025
GEH ESBWR
Watts Bar 2
Small Modular Reactors
2030
Vogtle 3 & 4
CONTINUUM OF INNOVATION
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SMALL MODULAR LWRS
NuScale Power Module GEH BWRX-300
Holtec SMR-160
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Members Include
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• TVA Clinch River Early Site Permit Application, May 2016; Approval Q1 2020
• NuScale Design Certification Application, January 2017; Approval Q1 2021
• NRC agrees NuScale can safely operate without safety grade power source; Jan 2018
• UAMPS Construction Operating License Application, To Be Determined
23UAMPS = Utah Associated Municipal Power SystemsNuScale Power Module
SMR LICENSING
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TerraPower
X-energy
Framatome
GE PRISM
NON-WATER COOLED REACTORS
Molten Salt ReactorsHigh
Temperature Gas Reactors
Liquid Metal Reactors
Terrestrial Energy
Westinghouse eVinci
Micro Reactors
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NEW APPLICATIONS
Source: Idaho National Laboratory
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Creating a streamlined and predictable licensing pathway
2 1 3
Reverse The Trend
Safety Focused Reviews
Staged Approvals
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Nuclear energy represents the
most complete value proposition
of all sources of electricity.
Raising awareness of the value of nuclear is
essential to achieving policy outcomes.