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Occupational Epidemiology and Exposure Estimation
John Cherrie
www.OH-world.org
Summary…
asbestos and man-made mineral fibres
a general definition of exposure and the exposome
from the source to dose
the occupational history
strategies for estimating exposure
the consequences of inaccurate or imprecise
exposure estimates
limits on exposure
a case study - asbestos in the city
Scope of this session...
Mostly occupational (and some environmental)
Chronic exposure
To hazardous substances
By inhalation
Occupational epidemiology
Non-occupational epidemiology / risk assessment
Asbestos…
Stanton and Wrench(1972) and Pott and Friedrichs(1972) in vivo induction of mesothelioma
Mid-1970s glass and rockwool industries commission studies
Doll (1955) lung cancer
Wagner et al (1960) mesothelioma
1964 New York conference
Asbestos lung cancer epidemiology…
Epidemiology…
Cohort studies start with a defined group of people
follow-up to date
classify exposure
enumerate causes of death
standardize mortality in relation to larger population group (SMR)
Case-control study people with the disease being studied (cases) matched
with controls
exposures estimated for each subject
risk of disease
European MMMF studies…
Five glasswool plants, seven rock/slagwool plants
and two glass continuous filament plants
Total of 13,788 subjects
Employed between 1940 and 1978
Lung cancers SMR 95% CI
Rock/slag 97 138 112 - 168
Glasswool 149 112 94 - 132
GCF 14 93 51 - 157
Changes…
Technological phase…
Co-exposures…
Asbestos Used in some form or other in all of the plants
Four plants used cloth, yarn or cement products in production processes
Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAH) Bitumen and tar used in some plants
Polychlorinated Biphenyls (PCBs)
Ionising radiation
Formaldehyde
Possible arsenic exposure
Case-control study…
Definition of exposure...
“In epidemiology exposure denotes any of a subject’s
attributes or any agent with which he or she may come
into contact that may be relevant to his or her health.”
Armstrong, White and Saracci (1990)
Two-thirds of the deaths in the world are
caused by noncommunicable diseases,
especially cancer and cardiovascular
disease
Only about 10% of this mortality attributed
to genetic variation
The exposome is composed of every
exposure to which an individual is
subjected from conception to death.
Chris Wild
The Exposome…
The exposome is composed of every exposure to
which an individual is subjected from conception
to death.
It comprises:
processes internal to the body such as metabolism, gut
microflora, inflammation…
external exposures including infectious agents,
chemical contaminants, diet…
social, economic and psychological influences.
Wild, C. P. (2012). The exposome: from concept to utility. International
Journal of Epidemiology, 41(1), 24–32.
Agnostic investigations…
Steve Rapport recommends searching for
potential causes without any prior hypothesis
Approach lends itself to “omics” technologies
Although other approaches can also adopt this
approach
Follow-up with more focused
epidemiological and mechanistic
studies
From source to dose
Routes of exposure...
Inhalation
exposure level, duration of exposure
Dermal
concentration on skin, area of skin exposed,
duration of exposure
Ingestion
mass of chemical being swallowed
Biological relevance...
The chosen exposure metric should
be biologically relevant
what substance
what averaging time
what sub-fraction of an aerosol
Cherrie and Aitken. Measurement of human exposure to biologically relevant
fractions of inhaled aerosols. Occup Environ Med (1999) vol. 56 (11) pp. 747-52
Biological relevance…
Cherrie and Aitken. Measurement of human exposure to biologically relevant fractions
of inhaled aerosols. Occup Environ Med (1999) vol. 56 (11) pp. 747-52
Fibre analysis criteria...
Fibres are harmful because…
•they are thin (d < 3mm)
•they are long (l > 5mm) and
•because of their shape (l/d > 3)
also because they are persistent in
the lung
Information sources...
Personnel records
Other company records
Subject
Relatives or friends
Co-workers
Community records
Environmental monitoring records
Strategies for assessment...
Industry
Job title
Job-Exposure matrices
Individual “expert” evaluation
Exposure measurements
Biological monitoring
Historic monitoring data...
Benefits…
quantitative data
Drawbacks…
may be unbalanced or incomplete
changes in sampling or analytical methods
variations in sampling strategy
changes in process or control measures
Coke works…
Work area determines exposure level…
Structured assessment based on theory…
Where...
ei = intrinsic emission
h = handling
hlv = local controls
etc.
Validity...
R² = 0.96
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0
Esti
mate
d B
[a]P
(mg
/m
3)
Measured B[a]P (mg/m3)
Estimates made using a spreadsheet…
Exposure estimation...
Change in
technology
Ventilation
introduced
Estimates…
Job B[a]P Inhalable dust
Yard Foreman 3 2
Oven top - Airstream 3 2
Wharf Man 5 5
Quench Car Operator 7 6
Foreman - HMAG 7 4
Suprintendent - all areas 9 13
Superintendent - Briquetting 9 14
Foreman - Briquetting 11 14
Oven Foreman 12 5
Process Foreman 12 5
Sampler 15 18
Backend man 16 21
Press Operator 16 13
Pug man 17 22
Screen Man 20 15
Oven Top 30 15
Oven tops - Pre 1970 31 16
Cleaning Bussettes 32 9
Cleaning tar tanks 42 42
Assistant Fitter 44 15
Pump Man 45 3
Shuttle 46 33
Plater - Rigger - Briquetting 47 36
Plater - Rigger - liquid pitch 55 34
Shift Fitter 64 23
Plater - Rigger 77 33
Pitch Man 101 7
Rough Brush Painter 204 157
Job No Start End Job Duration (yr)
Average % of job
B[a]PExposure (μg/m3)
Cumulative (μg/m3.yr)
1a J-52 J-54Pug 2.00 33% 13 10
1b J-52 J-54Press 2.00 33% 13 9
1c J-52 J-54Backend 2.00 33% 10 8
2 J-54 J-56Fitter 2.00 100% 66 149
3 J-56 J-61Shift Foreman 5.00 100% 32 178
4 J-61 J-71Shift Superintendant -Whole plant
10.00 100% 18 203
5 J-71 J-80Shift Superintendant -Briquetting plant
8.59 100% 17 160
Total J-52 J-80 31.58 23 716
Problems with estimates...
Watt M, Godden D, Cherrie J, Seaton A. (1995). Individual exposure to particulate air pollution and
its relevance to thresholds for health effects: a study of traffic wardens. Occupational and Environmental Medicine; 52: 790-792.
Occupational Exposure Limits (OELs)
Concentrations (e.g. mg/m3) averaged over either
8-hr or 15-min
Personal exposure
Each country sets
its own limits,
There can be up
to two orders of
magnitude difference
Health-based
OEL
OEL based
on socioeconomic
factors
Setting limits on exposure…
In Europe The Scientific Committee on Occupational
Exposure Limit Values (SCOEL) advises the EC on OELs
assemble all relevant data on the hazards of the substance
determine whether it is adequate for the setting of an OEL
identify the most important adverse effects that may arise
review the quality of key studies.
establish whether there is a non-threshold mechanism
establish a ‘no observed adverse effect levels’ (NO(A)ELs) or
‘lowest observed adverse effect levels’ (LO(A)Els)
establish a value for an 8-hr OEL, plus Uncertainty Factor
can the OEL be measured
Bolt, H.M. & Huici-Montagud, A., 2008. Strategy of the scientific committee on occupational
exposure limits (SCOEL) in the derivation of occupational exposure limits for carcinogens and
mutagens. Archives of Toxicology, 82(1), pp.61–64.
Asbestos in the city...
Asbestos roofing dumped
near a school
Children have broken into
the bags and were playing
with the asbestos
How do you advise the
parents?
Asbestos
a group of six naturally occurring
fibrous silicate minerals which
have been used commercially…
chrysotile (white)
crocidolite (blue)
amosite (brown)
can cause asbestosis, lung
cancer and mesothelioma
aWARNING
CONTAINS
ASBESTOS
Breathing asbestos
dust is dangerous
to health
Follow safety
instructions
A serious public health risk...
The risks...
for lung cancer
risk is proportional to cumulative exposure
1% increase in risk for each year at 1 fibre/ml
for mesothelioma
risk is related to cumulative exposure and age at first
exposure
where n = 3.2 and KM = 3.10-8
Mesothelioma risk for a child...
Age 10, exposed to 1fibre/ml for one day
So what should we do?
Some useful information...
What are your conclusions?
Summary...
exposure estimation is central to
reliable risk assessment
quantitative exposure assessment is
more useful than categorical
evaluations
even short-term exposure to asbestos
may create important risks
Useful information…
Human Exposure Assessment (IPCS EHC214) available at
www.inchem.org/documents/ehc/ehc/ehc214.htm
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