October 23, 2013October 23, 2013

Welcome & IntroductionsWelcome & Introductions

Edward LeBlanc, USCG, Sector SENE

Richard Packard, MassDEP

Buzzards Bay Risk Assessment

Study Origins & ProcessUSCG and MADEP agree to collaborate

Jointly fundedScope of work developed jointly

USCG managed contractingHired contractor (SEDI/MITRE)Established timeline

Study development and reviewRegular meetings and teleconferences

(MADEP, USCG, contractor)MADEP reviewed and commented on draftReport completed January 2013

Study Objectives

Evaluate the risk of an oil spill in Buzzards Bay as of January 2015 when all tank vessels will be double hulled• Will the use of pilots and escort tugs reduce the risk of an oil spill in Buzzards Bay • If yes, how much will the use of escorts and pilots reduce the risk• Compare the cost of pilots and escort tugs with the cost of an oil spill

Study Methods

Range of risk reduction options evaluated and relative risk reduction compared

Uses “change” analysis to evaluate how using a pilot or escort tug effects the frequency and/or severity of an incident

Uses “what if” scenarios to evaluate consequences with and w/o pilot and escort tug

Scores assigned to scenarios are authors judgment

Risk of an oil spill in Buzzards Bay is greater than national average

The estimated frequency of a major oil spill nationwide is 1 every 13 years.

The estimated frequency of a major oil spill in Buzzards Bay is 1 every 9 years.

Study Results

Ranking of actions that result in greatest reduction in risk of future oil spill

1.Require pilot (fed or state) on towing vessel for barges carrying > 5000 barrels oil or haz-mat

2.Change to use of double hull tank barge3.Escort tug (full time or condition based) 4.Upgrade to active VMRS5.Require Fi-Fi -1 firefighting capability6.Require sentinel or response tug in lieu of

escort tug

Cost of risk reduction measures vs.

Cost of oil spill clean up

Mitigation Option ROI based on B-120 Spill Payback in Years

Escorts for all Fifi 106% 9

Escort All (non Fifi) 153% 14

Sentinel Tug 57% 21

Pilot 312% 28

Active VMRS Monitoring 1653% 148

Escorts during inclement weather (with Fifi)

623% 43

Escorts during inclement weather (non Fifi)

901% 62

Risk of an oil spill in Buzzards Bay is greater than the national average

Requiring a pilot on the towing vessel for barges provides the greatest risk reduction benefit

A full time escort tug and a condition based escort tug provide the same level of risk reduction

The cost of risk reduction measures is less than the cost of a major oil spill

Conclusions

MassDEP comments that the analysis does not support the conclusion that pilots provide greater risk reduction that full time escort tugs.

MassDEP comments that the analysis does

not support the conclusion that a conditional based escort tug program provides the same level of risk reduction as full time escorts.

Issues

Peer Review of BBRA MOA between MassDEP & USCG provides for

option to have risk assessment peer reviewedMassDEP contracts with National Academy of

Science, Transportation Research Board TRB establishes an independent panel of

experts Vetted by TRB for conflicts of interestPeer review committee established July 2013Committee meets with project sponsors and

report authors on August 5, 2013.

Committee Membership Dr. Paul Fischbeck – Carnegie Mellon University – Chair

Dr. William L. Hurley, Jr. - The Glosten Associates, Inc. 

Dr. Thomas M. Leschine - University of Washington 

Mr. Milton Levenson - Independent Consultant 

Mr. R. Keith Michel - Webb Institute of Naval Architecture

Prof. Ali Mosleh - University of Maryland, College Park 

Dr. Malcolm L. Spaulding - University of Rhode Island 

http://www8.nationalacademies.org/cp/projectview.aspx?key=49559

BB Risk Study AuthorsHomeland Security Systems Engineering

and Development Institute

The MITRE Corporation

MassDEP contract with authors to appear before committee and answer questions

Considerations for Peer ReviewDoes the data, methodology and analysis

support the conclusions?Areas of specific interest to MA:

Inclusion of double hulls in analysisDistinction between full escorts and weather-

based escortsRanking of risk reduction measuresIndependent review of the BBRA’s conclusions

Results of Peer Review Peer review report due September 30, 2013

has been extended at request of NAS/TRBMassDEP and USCG will be briefed on

results of Peer review on October 24, 2013 Report will be released on October 25, 2013

by NAS/TRBReport will be posted on NAS & MassDEP

web pages

Buzzards Bay ANPRMBuzzards Bay ANPRM

New Bedford Chronic Oil SpillsNew Bedford Chronic Oil Spills

Program Implementation Program Implementation ActivitiesActivities

MOSPRA Trust FundOIL SPILL PREVENTION FUND BALANCE

10/1/2013                      

                       

                    YTD  

  FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10* FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14Totals from Inception

Beginning Balance $0 $1,410,369 $2,838,038 $4,127,537 $4,819,905 $5,267,536 $4,325,975 $3,703,964 $6,893,305 $9,743,387  

Revenue Collected $1,492,186 $1,817,058 $1,789,321 $1,632,832 $1,639,681 $1,820,054 $3,775,809 $3,842,442 $3,644,620 $571,213 $22,025,215

Expenditures ($81,817) ($389,389) ($499,822) ($940,464) ($1,192,050) ($2,761,615) ($4,397,820) ($653,101) ($794,537) ($147,688) ($11,858,303)

Available Balance $1,410,369 $2,838,038 $4,127,537 $4,819,905 $5,267,536 $4,325,975 $3,703,964 $6,893,305 $9,743,387 $10,166,912 $10,166,912

           

*Fee increased to $.05/bbl on 4/1/2010

       

MOSPRA Trust FundOil Spill Act Project Expenditures *

  FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 (1st Q)

Oil spill trailers $ 81,817.00 $ 355,211.00 $ 337,849.00 $ 416,689.00 $ 414,416.00 $ 921,008.00     $ 169,500.00  

Trailer maintenance/restocking       $ 18,919.00 $ 20,592.00 $ 21,414.00 $ 30,675.00 $ 50,672.00 $ 25,811.75 $ 4,651.00

Develop GRP’s (MHB)     $ 17,158.00 $ 93,275.00 $ 69,650.00 $ 24,620.00 $ 67,356.00 $ 40,711.00 $ 45,426.40 $ 2,467.50

GRP testing and first responder training       $ 10,788.00 $ 7,407.00 $ 34,403.00 $ 18,838.00 $ 53,804.96 $ 75,047.58 $ 12,129.79

Threat evaluation and response equipment inventory       $ 16,462.00 $ 43,637.00          

Marine pilots program         $ 224,305.00 $ 786,610.00 $ 896,848.00 $ 33,926.00    

State provided escort tug         $ 60,933.00 $ 580,971.00 $2,997,078.00 $ 109,720.00    

Program Support – OSAAC meetings, web page     $ 22,903.00 $ 42,921.00 $ 14,716.00 $ 8,813.00 $ 13,532.00 $ 7,130.02 $ 20,794.15 $ 546.24

Program salaries and support   $ 34,178.00 $ 121,912.00 $ 341,409.00 $ 336,394.00 $ 331,947.00 $ 344,251.00 $ 351,782.00 $ 384,740.41 $ 84,599.84

Snare and off shore boom           $ 51,829.00 $ 29,242.00      

Web VTS and AIS data               $ 5,355.00 $ 5,355.00  

Buzzards Bay Risk Assessment and Peer Review                 $ 67,862.00 $ 43,293.70

Total per Fiscal Year $ 81,817.00 $ 389,389.00 $ 499,822.00 $ 940,463.00 $1,192,050.00 $2,761,615.00 $4,397,820.00 $ 653,100.98 $ 794,537.29 $ 147,688.07

                     

* as of 10/1/2013                    

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