October 24 th , 2018 MEMORANDUM TO: INTERESTED PARTIES FR: DAVID FLAHERTY, COURTNEY SIEVERS, MAGELLAN STRATEGIES RE: OKLAHOMA VOTER OPINION SURVEY SUMMARY This memo is a summary of a telephone survey of 500 likely 2018 general election voters in Oklahoma. The interviews were conducted on October 22 nd and 23 rd , 2018. The overall results have a margin of error of +/- 4.38% at the 95 percent confidence interval. The survey data were slightly weighted to reflect past voter turnout demographics in Oklahoma for a non-Presidential election. Key Findings: Ø Kevin Stitt is currently leading former Attorney General and Democratic candidate Drew Edmondson by 7-points, 51% to 44% respectively. Among voters that are extremely likely to vote, Kevin Stitt leads by 8 points. Ø Kevin Stitt currently has a net-positive image rating among all voters, with 49% having a favorable opinion of him and 35% having an unfavorable opinion of him. Among voters that are extremely likely to vote, his image rating numbers are slightly better with 52% having a favorable opinion of him. Drew Edmondson’s image ratio is 1 to 1, with 42% having a favorable opinion of him and 41% having an unfavorable opinion of him. Ø Measuring voter intensity, the voter subgroups that are the most interested in the November election are suburban women, single women, Democratic women, suburban voters, and seniors aged 65 or older. When combining the respondents who were a “9” or “10” as rating their interest in the election, female voters show a 10-point margin over male voters, 76% to 66% respectively. Ø The survey included a generic Congressional ballot test question. Among all respondents, 53% intend to vote for the Republican candidate and 42% the Democrat candidate. Ø Among all respondents, 54% approve of the job the President Trump is doing, 43% disapprove and 3% are undecided. Among Republican voters, 81% strongly approve of the job Donald Trump is doing. Among Democrat voters, 69% strongly disapprove of the job the he is doing and 16% somewhat disapprove.
Transcript
October 24th, 2018 MEMORANDUM TO: INTERESTED PARTIES FR: DAVID FLAHERTY, COURTNEY SIEVERS, MAGELLAN STRATEGIES RE: OKLAHOMA VOTER OPINION SURVEY SUMMARY This memo is a summary of a telephone survey of 500 likely 2018 general election voters in Oklahoma. The interviews were conducted on October 22nd and 23rd, 2018. The overall results have a margin of error of +/- 4.38% at the 95 percent confidence interval. The survey data were slightly weighted to reflect past voter turnout demographics in Oklahoma for a non-Presidential election. Key Findings:
Ø Kevin Stitt is currently leading former Attorney General and Democratic candidate Drew Edmondson by 7-points, 51% to 44% respectively. Among voters that are extremely likely to vote, Kevin Stitt leads by 8 points.
Ø Kevin Stitt currently has a net-positive image rating among all voters, with 49%
having a favorable opinion of him and 35% having an unfavorable opinion of him. Among voters that are extremely likely to vote, his image rating numbers are slightly better with 52% having a favorable opinion of him. Drew Edmondson’s image ratio is 1 to 1, with 42% having a favorable opinion of him and 41% having an unfavorable opinion of him.
Ø Measuring voter intensity, the voter subgroups that are the most interested in the
November election are suburban women, single women, Democratic women, suburban voters, and seniors aged 65 or older. When combining the respondents who were a “9” or “10” as rating their interest in the election, female voters show a 10-point margin over male voters, 76% to 66% respectively.
Ø The survey included a generic Congressional ballot test question. Among all respondents, 53% intend to vote for the Republican candidate and 42% the Democrat candidate.
Ø Among all respondents, 54% approve of the job the President Trump is doing,
43% disapprove and 3% are undecided. Among Republican voters, 81% strongly approve of the job Donald Trump is doing. Among Democrat voters, 69% strongly disapprove of the job the he is doing and 16% somewhat disapprove.
Oklahoma Survey Summary of Likely 2018 Voters Field Dates: 10/22/18 - 10/23/18, 500n, MoE +/- 4.38%, 50% landline/50% cell phone
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
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Measuring 2018 Oklahoma Voter Intensity and Turnout Is a Democratic “blue wave” in the making in Oklahoma? This survey attempted to answer that question by asking voters to rate their interest in the November election using a scale of 1 to 10, with a 10 meaning the respondent is very interested in the November election, and 1 meaning they were not interested at all. The voter subgroups that were the most interested and responded with a 10 were suburban women (69%), single women (66%), Democratic women (67%), all suburban voters (64%), and seniors aged 65 or older (63%). When combining the respondents who were a 9 or 10, we find female voters have a higher interest in the election by a 10-point margin over male voters, 76% to 66% respectively. The following table shows responses by voter subgroup. “How interested would you say you are in the upcoming November elections? Using a scale from 1 to 10, with 10 meaning you are very interested in the November elections, and 1 meaning that you are not interested at all, please choose a number that best describes your interest.”* Response
Voter subgroup margins of error +/-: Extremely likely to vote 4.95, men 6.4%, women 5.9%, Republicans 6.1%, Democrats 6.7%, 18 to 44 8.2%, 45 to 64 6.7%, 65+ 8.4%, big city 7.5%, suburbs 8.1%, small town 9.9%.
Congressional Generic Ballot Test The survey included a generic Congressional ballot test question. Among all respondents, 53% intend to vote for the Republican candidate and 42% the Democrat candidate. Overall, it appears the results of the Congressional ballot test closely reflects voter registration by party and the past party turnout demographics for the state. Among senior voters aged 65 or older, the survey did measure a 16-point preference for the Democrat candidate (56%) over the Republican candidate (40%). However, we caution observers to take that reading with a grain of salt because the survey sample among seniors leans more Democratic than what is typical for an Oklahoma election. It is also possible that older Democratic voters are more energized than older Republican voters.
Oklahoma Survey Summary of Likely 2018 Voters Field Dates: 10/22/18 - 10/23/18, 500n, MoE +/- 4.38%, 50% landline/50% cell phone
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
3
“If the election for Congress were being held today, would you vote for the Democrat candidate or the Republican candidate?”* Response
Voter subgroup margins of error +/-: Extremely likely to vote 4.95, men 6.4%, women 5.9%, Republicans 6.1%, Democrats 6.7%, 18 to 44 8.2%, 45 to 64 6.7%, 65+ 8.4%, big city 7.5%, suburbs 8.1%, small town 9.9%.
Oklahoma Governor Ballot Test The survey finds Republican businessman Kevin Stitt currently leading former Attorney General and Democrat candidate Drew Edmondson by 7-points, 51% to 44% respectively. Among voters that are extremely likely to vote, Kevin Stitt leads by 8 points. There are very few defections among Democrat and Republican voters toward candidates of the opposite party, with only 5% of Democrats supporting Kevin Stitt and 4% of Republicans supporting Drew Edmondson. The contest is more competitive among voters aged 45 to 64, with Kevin Stitt leading by a slim 3-point margin. Among seniors aged 65 or older, we do find Drew Edmondson leading Kevin Stitt by 10-points. However, we again point out to observers that our senior sample leans more Democratic that what is reflective of voter registration. “If the election for Governor were being held today, would you vote for Drew Edmondson the Democratic candidate, Kevin Stitt the Republican candidate or Chris Powell, the Libertarian candidate?”* Response
Voter subgroup margins of error +/-: Extremely likely to vote 4.95, men 6.4%, women 5.9%, Republicans 6.1%, Democrats 6.7%, 18 to 44 8.2%, 45 to 64 6.7%, 65+ 8.4%, big city 7.5%, suburbs 8.1%, small town 9.9%.
Governor Candidate Image Ratings Kevin Stitt currently has a net-positive image rating among all voters, with 49% having a favorable opinion of him and 35% having an unfavorable opinion of him. Among voters that are extremely likely to vote, his image rating numbers are slightly better with 52% having a favorable opinion of him. Drew Edmondson’s image ratio is 1 to 1, with 42% having a favorable opinion of him and 41% having an unfavorable opinion of him.
Oklahoma Survey Summary of Likely 2018 Voters Field Dates: 10/22/18 - 10/23/18, 500n, MoE +/- 4.38%, 50% landline/50% cell phone
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
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“I am now going to read to you the names of people active in politics. After hearing each name, I would like you to tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or a very unfavorable opinion of that person. Let’s get started…” Kevin Stitt Image Rating by Voter Subgroup* Response
Voter subgroup margins of error +/-: Extremely likely to vote 4.95, men 6.4%, women 5.9%, Republicans 6.1%, Democrats 6.7%, 18 to 44 8.2%, 45 to 64 6.7%, 65+ 8.4%, big city 7.5%, suburbs 8.1%, small town 9.9%.
Drew Edmondson Image Rating by Voter Subgroup* Response
Voter subgroup margins of error +/-: Extremely likely to vote 4.95, men 6.4%, women 5.9%, Republicans 6.1%, Democrats 6.7%, 18 to 44 8.2%, 45 to 64 6.7%, 65+ 8.4%, big city 7.5%, suburbs 8.1%, small town 9.9%.
Donald Trump Job Approval Among all respondents, 54% approve of the job the President Trump is doing, 43% disapprove and 3% are undecided. Among Republican voters, 81% strongly approve of the job Donald Trump is doing. Among Democrat voters, 69% strongly disapprove of the job the he is doing and 16% somewhat disapprove. Donald Trump Job Approval by Voter Subgroup* Response
Voter subgroup margins of error +/-: Extremely likely to vote 4.95, men 6.4%, women 5.9%, Republicans 6.1%, Democrats 6.7%, 18 to 44 8.2%, 45 to 64 6.7%, 65+ 8.4%, big city 7.5%, suburbs 8.1%, small town 9.9%.
Conclusion With less than two weeks before Election Day, this survey finds Kevin Stitt currently leading Drew Edmondson by 7 points, 51% to 44% respectively. However, there is clear
Oklahoma Survey Summary of Likely 2018 Voters Field Dates: 10/22/18 - 10/23/18, 500n, MoE +/- 4.38%, 50% landline/50% cell phone
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
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evidence in the survey that Democratic-leaning voters are more interested in the election and perhaps more energized to vote than Republican-leaning voters. While there is belief that a Democratic-leaning turnout will be the highest in years, it is more likely the Republican advantage in voter registration over Democrats will be too much for Drew Edmondson to overcome. We will see what happens on November 6th. Survey Toplines, Crosstabs and Power Point Presentation of Findings Following are the survey toplines and crosstabs. The survey presentation can be downloaded from our website at http://MagellanStrategies.com/blog. Survey Commissioned By This survey was fielded and paid for by Magellan Strategies. We are not working for or with any candidates for governor or independent expenditure committees with an interest in the Oklahoma election for governor. Any questions regarding the survey findings or methodology, please contact David Flaherty by calling our office at 303-861-8585 or email at [email protected]. Survey Sample The survey sample was randomly drawn from an Oklahoma voter file among households containing at least one registered voter. About Magellan Strategies Magellan Strategies is a national, full-service voter opinion polling and survey research firm. We have provided polling services to candidates, ballot issue campaigns, government relation firms, trade associations, and local governments since 2006. We also offer voter data mining, voter data analysis and campaign consulting services. Our office is located in Louisville, Colorado. To learn more about our company please visit http://www.MagellanStrategies.com or call 303-861-8585.
Magellan Strategies Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely Voters Topline Results Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results of a 500n live survey of likely 2018 general election voters in the state of Oklahoma. The interviews were conducted October 22nd – 23rd, 2018. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.38% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. T1. Are you registered to vote in Oklahoma as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent voter, are you registered with some other party, or are you not registered to vote? Republican ............................................................. 51% Democrat ............................................................... 43% Independent ............................................................. 5% Other ....................................................................... 1%
T2. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming November elections for Congress, Governor and any state questions that may be on the ballot? Would you say you are… Extremely Likely ..................................................... 78% Very Likely ............................................................. 20% Somewhat Likely ...................................................... 2%
Magellan ID#: OKGEN-102218 Oklahoma General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 10/22/18 – 10/23/18, MoE +/- 4.38%, 500n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
T3. How interested would you say you are in the upcoming November elections? Using a scale from 1 to 10, with 10 meaning you are very interested in the November elections, and 1 meaning that you are not interested at all, please choose a number that best describes your interest. 10 .......................................................................... 58% 9 ............................................................................ 14% 8 ............................................................................ 17% 7 .............................................................................. 6% 6 .............................................................................. 2% 5 .............................................................................. 1% 4 .............................................................................. 0% 3 .............................................................................. 1% 2 .............................................................................. 0% 1 .............................................................................. 0% Refused .................................................................... 1% Mean ...................................................................... 9.09
T4. If the election for Congress were being held today, would you vote the Democrat candidate or the Republican candidate? Republican Candidate ............................................ 53% Democrat Candidate .............................................. 42% Other Candidate ....................................................... 0% Undecided ............................................................... 4% Refused .................................................................... 1%
Magellan ID#: OKGEN-102218 Oklahoma General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 10/22/18 – 10/23/18, MoE +/- 4.38%, 500n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
I am now going to read to you the names of people involved in politics. After hearing each name, I would like you to tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have never of the person there is an option for that as well. Let’s get started. The first name is… T5. DREW EDMONDSON Total Favorable....................................................... 42% Total Unfavorable................................................... 41% Very Favorable ....................................................... 32% Somewhat Favorable .............................................. 10% Very Unfavorable ................................................... 31% Somewhat Unfavorable .......................................... 10% Heard of, No Opinion ............................................ 12% Never Heard Of........................................................ 5% Refused .................................................................... 0%
T6. KEVIN STITT Total Favorable....................................................... 49% Total Unfavorable................................................... 35% Very Favorable ....................................................... 38% Somewhat Favorable .............................................. 11% Very Unfavorable ................................................... 23% Somewhat Unfavorable .......................................... 12% Heard of, No Opinion ............................................ 13% Never Heard Of........................................................ 3% Refused .................................................................... 0%
Magellan ID#: OKGEN-102218 Oklahoma General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 10/22/18 – 10/23/18, MoE +/- 4.38%, 500n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
T7. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Total Approve ........................................................ 54% Total Disapprove .................................................... 43% Strongly Approve .................................................... 45% Somewhat Approve .................................................. 9% Strongly Disapprove ............................................... 34% Somewhat Disapprove .............................................. 9% Unsure or No Opinion ............................................. 3% Refused .................................................................... 0%
T8. If the election for Governor were being held today, would you vote for Drew Edmondson, the Democrat candidate, Kevin Stitt, the Republican candidate or Chris Powell, the Libertarian candidate? Total Stitt ................................................................ 51% Total Edmondson.................................................... 44% Powell ...................................................................... 1% Definitely Stitt ........................................................ 46% Probably Stitt ............................................................ 5% Definitely Edmondson ............................................ 39% Probably Edmondson ................................................ 5% Undecided ............................................................... 4% Refused .................................................................... 0%
And now I have a few questions for statistical purposes only… T9. Do you consider yourself to be conservative, moderate or liberal when it comes to your political beliefs? Conservative .......................................................... 47% Moderate ................................................................ 30% Liberal .................................................................... 21% Refused .................................................................... 2%
Magellan ID#: OKGEN-102218 Oklahoma General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 10/22/18 – 10/23/18, MoE +/- 4.38%, 500n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
T10. How would you describe the area where you currently live? Would you say you live in… A Big City ............................................................... 34% A Suburban Area .................................................... 29% A Small Town ......................................................... 19% A Rural Area ............................................................. 8% Don’t Know or Refused .......................................... 10%
T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you? 18-34 ..................................................................... 14% 35-44 ..................................................................... 14% 45-54 ..................................................................... 21% 55-64 ..................................................................... 22% 65+ ........................................................................ 27% Unsure or No Opinion ............................................. 2%
T12. To ensure that we have a representative sample what is your race or ethnicity? Are you white, Hispanic or Latino, black or African American, or do you consider yourself to be part of another racial or ethnic group? White ..................................................................... 83% Hispanic or Latino .................................................... 6% Black or African American ........................................ 4% Other ....................................................................... 6% Refused .................................................................... 1%
T13. Are you married, separated or divorced, widowed, single and never been married, or unmarried and living with a partner? Married .................................................................. 71% Single, Never Been Married ...................................... 8% Separated or Divorced .............................................. 5% Widowed ................................................................. 4% Unmarried, Living with Partner ................................. 3% Refused .................................................................... 9%
T14. Are you male or female? Woman .................................................................. 54% Man ....................................................................... 46%
Magellan ID#: OKGEN-102218 Oklahoma General Election Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 10/22/18 – 10/23/18, MoE +/- 4.38%, 500n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
Survey Methodology This survey was conducted by live dialing landline and cell phone sample. The sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a state of Oklahoma voter file. The survey response data was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. The interviews were conducted on October 22nd – 23rd, 2018. Three attempts were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.38% at the 95 percent confidence interval.
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 1-1 T1. Are you registered to vote in Oklahoma as a Republican, a Democrat, an Indpendent voter, are you registered with some other party, or are you not registered to vote? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
----------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
----------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
REP
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
----------
DEM
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND
---------
IND MEN
----------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
230 100.0
158 100.0
72 100.0
270 100.0
195 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
70 100.0
105 100.0
110 100.0
135 100.0
255 100.0
113 100.0
142 100.0
215 100.0
99 100.0
116 100.0
27 100.0
16 100.0
12 100.0
REPUBLICAN
255 51.0
113 49.1
89 56.4
24 33.1
142 52.6
101 52.1
41 54.0
42 59.5
41 58.2
58 55.1
54 49.5
54 40.2
255 100.0
113 100.0
142 100.0
DEMOCRAT
215 43.0
99 43.0
59 37.0
40 56.3
116 43.0
86 44.1
30 40.2
22 30.9
24 34.0
43 40.9
48 43.5
75 55.6
215 100.0
99 100.0
116 100.0
INDEPENDENT
27 5.5
16 6.8
8 5.0
8 10.6
12 4.4
8 3.9
4 5.9
7 9.6
3 4.2
4 3.9
8 7.0
6 4.2
27 100.0
16 100.0
12 100.0
OTHER
3 0.5
3 1.1
3 1.6
3 3.6
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 1-2 T1. Are you registered to vote in Oklahoma as a Republican, a Democrat, an Indpendent voter, are you registered with some other party, or are you not registered to vote? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE LIKELY TO VOTE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
CONS ERVE
---------
MODE RATE
---------
LIB ERAL
----------
WHI TE
---------
HISP LAT
---------
AA BLCK
---------
BIG CITY
---------
CITY MEN
----------
CITY WOM
---------
SUB RBAN
---------
SUB MEN
---------
SUB WOM
---------
SMAL TOWN
---------
RURL AREA
----------
44 LESS
---------
45-64
---------
65+
---------
EXT LIKE
---------
VERY LIKE
----------
SOME LIKE
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
235 100.0
153 100.0
104 100.0
415 100.0
30 100.0
20 100.0
170 100.0
88 100.0
82 100.0
145 100.0
68 100.0
77 100.0
97 100.0
40 100.0
140 100.0
215 100.0
135 100.0
391 100.0
100 100.0
9 100.0
REPUBLICAN
255 51.0
221 94.0
32 20.9
1 1.0
230 55.3
3 11.2
5 27.4
96 56.6
50 56.4
47 56.8
64 44.3
27 39.3
38 48.8
50 51.2
27 67.2
82 58.8
112 52.2
54 40.2
208 53.3
44 43.8
3 32.2
DEMOCRAT
215 43.0
12 5.3
97 63.4
98 94.9
161 38.7
25 83.1
13 66.5
59 34.8
29 32.7
30 37.0
75 51.6
38 55.8
37 47.8
42 43.0
10 24.9
45 32.5
91 42.2
75 55.6
168 43.0
42 42.2
5 53.6
INDEPENDENT
27 5.5
2 0.7
22 14.1
4 4.1
22 5.3
2 5.7
1 6.1
15 8.7
10 10.9
5 6.2
6 4.1
3 4.9
3 3.4
3 3.2
3 7.9
10 6.9
12 5.5
6 4.2
15 3.8
11 11.5
1 14.1
OTHER
3 0.5
3 1.6
3 0.6
3 2.6
3 1.8
3 2.5
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 1-3 T1. Are you registered to vote in Oklahoma as a Republican, a Democrat, an Indpendent voter, are you registered with some other party, or are you not registered to vote? INTENSITY TRUMP APPROVAL GOV BALLOT TEST --------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
10
---------
9-10
---------
7-10
----------
TOT APRV
---------
STRG APRV
---------
TOT DIS
---------
STRG DIS
---------
TOT EDMS
----------
DEF EDMS
---------
TOT STIT
---------
DEF STIT
---------
POWL
---------
UND
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
290 100.0
359 100.0
473 100.0
270 100.0
223 100.0
212 100.0
167 100.0
221 100.0
194 100.0
253 100.0
231 100.0
3 100.0
20 100.0
REPUBLICAN
255 51.0
148 51.2
180 50.2
242 51.2
240 89.2
206 92.2
13 6.0
10 5.8
11 5.0
6 2.9
231 91.1
215 93.1
2 70.0
10 49.6
DEMOCRAT
215 43.0
132 45.5
165 45.9
206 43.6
17 6.4
11 4.9
184 86.9
149 89.3
199 90.1
184 94.8
11 4.3
11 4.7
1 30.0
3 14.2
INDEPENDENT
27 5.5
10 3.4
14 3.9
22 4.6
9 3.5
7 3.0
15 7.1
8 4.9
11 4.9
4 2.3
9 3.6
5 2.2
7 36.3
OTHER
3 0.5
3 0.5
3 0.9
3 1.0
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 2-1 T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2018 November elections for Governor, the State Legislature, Congress and state ballot measures ? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
----------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
----------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
REP
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
----------
DEM
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND
---------
IND MEN
----------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
230 100.0
158 100.0
72 100.0
270 100.0
195 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
70 100.0
105 100.0
110 100.0
135 100.0
255 100.0
113 100.0
142 100.0
215 100.0
99 100.0
116 100.0
27 100.0
16 100.0
12 100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY
391 78.3
176 76.7
125 79.0
51 71.5
215 79.6
153 78.6
62 82.2
56 79.8
55 79.0
85 80.7
88 80.2
98 72.3
208 81.7
94 82.8
115 80.9
168 78.2
75 76.0
93 80.1
15 53.7
8 49.2
7 59.6
VERY LIKELY
100 19.9
52 22.7
32 20.2
20 28.5
47 17.5
40 20.7
7 9.5
14 20.2
14 19.9
20 19.1
17 15.8
34 24.9
44 17.1
19 17.2
24 17.1
42 19.6
24 24.0
18 15.8
11 41.6
7 42.6
5 40.4
SOMEWHAT LIKELY
9 1.8
1 0.6
1 0.8
8 2.9
1 0.7
6 8.4
1 1.1
0.1
4 4.0
4 2.8
3 1.1
3 2.0
5 2.2
5 4.2
1 4.6
1 8.2
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 2-2 T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2018 November elections for Governor, the State Legislature, Congress and state ballot measures ? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE LIKELY TO VOTE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
CONS ERVE
---------
MODE RATE
---------
LIB ERAL
----------
WHI TE
---------
HISP LAT
---------
AA BLCK
---------
BIG CITY
---------
CITY MEN
----------
CITY WOM
---------
SUB RBAN
---------
SUB MEN
---------
SUB WOM
---------
SMAL TOWN
---------
RURL AREA
----------
44 LESS
---------
45-64
---------
65+
---------
EXT LIKE
---------
VERY LIKE
----------
SOME LIKE
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
235 100.0
153 100.0
104 100.0
415 100.0
30 100.0
20 100.0
170 100.0
88 100.0
82 100.0
145 100.0
68 100.0
77 100.0
97 100.0
40 100.0
140 100.0
215 100.0
135 100.0
391 100.0
100 100.0
9 100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY
391 78.3
192 81.7
113 74.0
81 78.6
327 78.8
21 70.5
15 72.8
136 79.5
69 78.6
66 80.5
112 77.2
48 71.1
64 82.5
71 73.3
32 81.9
111 79.4
173 80.5
98 72.3
391 100.0
VERY LIKELY
100 19.9
40 17.1
38 24.7
21 20.4
83 20.0
6 19.3
4 22.5
33 19.3
18 20.8
15 17.7
33 22.8
20 28.9
14 17.5
23 23.4
7 18.1
28 20.0
38 17.5
34 24.9
100 100.0
SOMEWHAT LIKELY
9 1.8
3 1.2
2 1.3
1 1.0
5 1.2
3 10.2
1 4.7
2 1.1
0.5
1 1.8
3 3.3
1 0.6
4 2.1
4 2.8
9 100.0
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 2-3 T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2018 November elections for Governor, the State Legislature, Congress and state ballot measures ? INTENSITY TRUMP APPROVAL GOV BALLOT TEST --------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
10
---------
9-10
---------
7-10
----------
TOT APRV
---------
STRG APRV
---------
TOT DIS
---------
STRG DIS
---------
TOT EDMS
----------
DEF EDMS
---------
TOT STIT
---------
DEF STIT
---------
POWL
---------
UND
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
290 100.0
359 100.0
473 100.0
270 100.0
223 100.0
212 100.0
167 100.0
221 100.0
194 100.0
253 100.0
231 100.0
3 100.0
20 100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY
391 78.3
271 93.3
318 88.4
380 80.5
217 80.4
192 85.7
167 78.9
131 78.1
171 77.6
155 80.2
203 80.2
194 84.0
2 78.3
13 62.6
VERY LIKELY
100 19.9
19 6.7
40 11.2
88 18.7
50 18.5
30 13.3
42 20.0
35 21.0
44 20.0
37 18.9
48 19.0
36 15.4
1 21.7
7 33.5
SOMEWHAT LIKELY
9 1.8
1 0.4
4 0.8
3 1.1
2 0.9
2 1.1
2 0.9
5 2.4
2 0.9
2 0.8
1 0.6
1 3.9
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 3-1 T3. How interested would you say you are in the upcoming November elections? Using a scale from 1 to 10, with 10 meaning you are very interested in the November elecitons, and 1 meaning that you are not interested at all, please choose a number that best describes your interest. GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
----------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
----------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
REP
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
----------
DEM
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND
---------
IND MEN
----------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
230 100.0
158 100.0
72 100.0
270 100.0
195 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
70 100.0
105 100.0
110 100.0
135 100.0
255 100.0
113 100.0
142 100.0
215 100.0
99 100.0
116 100.0
27 100.0
16 100.0
12 100.0
10
290 58.0
127 55.3
95 60.0
32 45.1
163 60.3
113 58.0
50 66.2
41 58.7
32 46.4
68 65.0
56 51.2
84 62.6
148 58.2
69 61.1
79 55.9
132 61.4
54 54.8
78 67.0
10 35.6
4 25.5
6 48.6
9
69 13.9
26 11.4
16 10.3
10 14.0
43 15.9
34 17.6
9 11.5
6 8.9
16 22.6
13 12.6
15 13.9
18 13.4
32 12.5
10 8.8
22 15.5
33 15.4
13 13.4
20 17.1
4 15.5
3 20.3
1 9.3
8
84 16.8
49 21.2
34 21.5
15 20.4
35 13.1
32 16.3
4 4.8
9 13.1
18 25.3
17 16.2
27 24.6
12 8.9
46 17.9
25 22.0
21 14.6
30 14.1
19 19.6
11 9.4
6 20.4
2 12.8
4 30.3
7
29 5.9
18 8.0
8 5.4
10 13.7
11 4.1
4 2.3
7 8.9
9 13.3
1 1.7
3 2.4
5 4.4
11 8.2
16 6.3
8 7.0
8 5.8
11 5.1
8 8.2
3 2.5
2 8.5
2 15.0
6
10 1.9
2 0.8
2 2.5
8 2.9
5 2.6
3 3.5
1 1.5
2 2.8
1 1.4
2 1.9
3 2.1
6 2.2
6 4.0
1 0.3
1 0.6
3 11.6
2 11.4
1 11.8
5
9 1.9
4 2.0
3 2.2
1 1.5
5 1.8
5 2.5
3 4.5
1 1.2
1 1.1
4 2.8
5 2.0
1 1.1
4 2.8
3 1.2
2 1.7
1 0.8
2 5.7
2 10.0
4
2 0.4
1 0.3
1 0.5
1 0.5
1 0.7
1 1.1
1 1.2
1 0.5
1 0.9
1 2.9
1 5.1
3
3 0.6
3 1.1
3 4.1
3 2.8
3 1.4
3 2.6
2
1
REFUSED
3 0.6
2 1.0
0.2
2 2.8
1 0.3
1 1.1
3 2.1
1 0.3
1 0.6
2 1.1
2 2.3
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 3-2 T3. How interested would you say you are in the upcoming November elections? Using a scale from 1 to 10, with 10 meaning you are very interested in the November elecitons, and 1 meaning that you are not interested at all, please choose a number that best describes your interest. IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE LIKELY TO VOTE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
CONS ERVE
---------
MODE RATE
---------
LIB ERAL
----------
WHI TE
---------
HISP LAT
---------
AA BLCK
---------
BIG CITY
---------
CITY MEN
----------
CITY WOM
---------
SUB RBAN
---------
SUB MEN
---------
SUB WOM
---------
SMAL TOWN
---------
RURL AREA
----------
44 LESS
---------
45-64
---------
65+
---------
EXT LIKE
---------
VERY LIKE
----------
SOME LIKE
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
235 100.0
153 100.0
104 100.0
415 100.0
30 100.0
20 100.0
170 100.0
88 100.0
82 100.0
145 100.0
68 100.0
77 100.0
97 100.0
40 100.0
140 100.0
215 100.0
135 100.0
391 100.0
100 100.0
9 100.0
10
290 58.0
144 61.3
82 53.3
61 58.5
241 58.1
18 60.4
13 63.4
93 54.5
47 53.3
46 55.7
93 63.9
39 57.8
54 69.4
52 53.4
27 69.1
74 52.6
125 57.9
84 62.6
271 69.2
19 19.4
9
69 13.9
30 12.6
19 12.4
21 20.0
55 13.2
3 11.4
1 6.1
19 11.4
7 7.5
13 15.6
16 11.0
9 13.1
7 9.1
19 19.3
9 23.9
22 15.8
29 13.3
18 13.4
47 12.0
21 21.0
1 14.4
8
84 16.8
35 15.1
31 20.3
17 16.3
73 17.7
3 11.2
3 15.5
39 23.0
23 26.1
16 19.6
23 15.8
13 19.0
10 13.1
14 14.2
0.9
27 19.2
44 20.5
12 8.9
53 13.5
31 30.6
1 8.8
7
29 5.9
15 6.4
10 6.5
4 4.2
25 6.0
2 10.7
13 7.7
8 8.9
5 6.3
5 3.4
4 5.7
1 1.5
6 5.8
1 2.9
11 7.5
7 3.4
11 8.2
10 2.5
18 17.7
2 21.0
6
10 1.9
5 2.0
5 3.2
10 2.3
0.3
0.6
4 3.1
1 1.6
3 4.4
3 2.9
1 1.3
3 2.2
4 1.7
3 2.1
2 0.5
7 6.9
1 7.7
5
9 1.9
4 1.6
4 2.4
1 0.8
8 2.0
1 4.3
2 1.3
2 1.8
1 0.7
4 2.6
2 2.5
2 2.6
3 3.5
3 2.2
2 1.2
4 2.8
4 1.1
4 4.4
5.3
4
2 0.4
1 0.6
1 0.5
2 0.5
1 0.8
1 1.6
1 0.8
1 0.6
1 0.6
1 0.3
1 8.8
3
3 0.6
3 10.2
3 1.4
3 33.9
2
1
REFUSED
3 0.6
1 0.3
2 1.3
0.2
1 0.3
2 6.8
2 1.2
2 2.3
0.2
0.4
1 2.0
3 2.1
3 0.8
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 3-3 T3. How interested would you say you are in the upcoming November elections? Using a scale from 1 to 10, with 10 meaning you are very interested in the November elecitons, and 1 meaning that you are not interested at all, please choose a number that best describes your interest. INTENSITY TRUMP APPROVAL GOV BALLOT TEST --------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
10
---------
9-10
---------
7-10
----------
TOT APRV
---------
STRG APRV
---------
TOT DIS
---------
STRG DIS
---------
TOT EDMS
----------
DEF EDMS
---------
TOT STIT
---------
DEF STIT
---------
POWL
---------
UND
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
290 100.0
359 100.0
473 100.0
270 100.0
223 100.0
212 100.0
167 100.0
221 100.0
194 100.0
253 100.0
231 100.0
3 100.0
20 100.0
10
290 58.0
290 100.0
290 80.7
290 61.3
157 58.4
134 60.1
128 60.5
103 61.4
130 59.0
120 62.1
146 57.7
140 60.7
2 70.0
11 52.2
9
69 13.9
69 19.3
69 14.7
37 13.6
34 15.2
33 15.4
28 16.7
32 14.7
27 13.8
35 13.9
32 13.9
1 30.0
1 3.2
8
84 16.8
84 17.8
47 17.5
38 17.1
33 15.5
26 15.3
33 15.1
31 16.2
48 19.1
42 18.3
2 7.5
7
29 5.9
29 6.2
16 6.0
11 4.9
11 5.4
6 3.7
13 6.0
10 5.3
16 6.4
14 6.2
6
10 1.9
5 1.8
3 1.3
2 1.1
1 0.7
1 0.5
1 0.4
6 2.3
1 0.6
2 12.0
5
9 1.9
5 1.9
1 0.5
1 0.6
1 0.8
3 1.6
1 0.4
1 0.2
4 21.3
4
2 0.4
1 0.5
1 0.6
1 0.4
1 0.6
1 0.7
1 3.9
3
3 0.6
3 1.4
2
1
REFUSED
3 0.6
1 0.3
1 0.4
2 1.1
2 1.4
2 1.0
2 1.2
1 0.3
1 0.3
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-1 T4. If the election for Congress were being held today, would you vote for the Democrat candidate or the Republican candidate? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
----------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
----------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
REP
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
----------
DEM
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND
---------
IND MEN
----------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
230 100.0
158 100.0
72 100.0
270 100.0
195 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
70 100.0
105 100.0
110 100.0
135 100.0
255 100.0
113 100.0
142 100.0
215 100.0
99 100.0
116 100.0
27 100.0
16 100.0
12 100.0
REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE
264 52.8
121 52.4
94 59.2
27 37.5
143 53.1
100 51.5
43 57.0
44 63.3
44 62.5
53 50.7
59 54.1
57 42.4
240 94.2
106 94.0
134 94.3
11 4.9
4 4.3
6 5.4
11 38.8
8 49.2
3 25.1
DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE
211 42.2
98 42.5
59 37.2
39 54.1
113 42.0
84 42.9
30 39.7
21 30.2
23 32.3
43 41.1
51 45.9
70 52.0
4 1.7
1 1.2
3 2.1
197 91.7
92 92.7
105 90.8
10 35.2
5 29.3
5 42.8
OTHER CANDIDATE
1 0.3
1 0.5
1 1.7
1 1.0
1 0.3
1 0.6
1 1.8
1 4.2
UNDECIDED
21 4.3
12 5.1
6 3.6
6 8.4
10 3.6
8 4.3
1 1.6
5 6.6
4 5.2
7 6.7
5 4.0
8 3.2
5 4.8
3 2.0
7 3.0
3 3.0
4 3.1
7 24.2
3 21.5
3 27.8
REFUSED
2 0.5
2 0.9
2 1.2
1 1.4
1 0.7
1 0.6
1 1.0
1 0.4
1 0.8
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-2 T4. If the election for Congress were being held today, would you vote for the Democrat candidate or the Republican candidate? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE LIKELY TO VOTE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
CONS ERVE
---------
MODE RATE
---------
LIB ERAL
----------
WHI TE
---------
HISP LAT
---------
AA BLCK
---------
BIG CITY
---------
CITY MEN
----------
CITY WOM
---------
SUB RBAN
---------
SUB MEN
---------
SUB WOM
---------
SMAL TOWN
---------
RURL AREA
----------
44 LESS
---------
45-64
---------
65+
---------
EXT LIKE
---------
VERY LIKE
----------
SOME LIKE
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
235 100.0
153 100.0
104 100.0
415 100.0
30 100.0
20 100.0
170 100.0
88 100.0
82 100.0
145 100.0
68 100.0
77 100.0
97 100.0
40 100.0
140 100.0
215 100.0
135 100.0
391 100.0
100 100.0
9 100.0
REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE
264 52.8
221 94.1
41 26.7
234 56.5
5 16.9
7 34.2
98 57.7
51 57.3
48 58.1
67 45.8
29 43.2
37 48.1
54 55.9
28 69.9
88 62.9
113 52.4
57 42.4
213 54.3
48 48.5
3 32.2
DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE
211 42.2
3 1.4
103 67.6
100 96.4
159 38.4
25 83.1
13 64.9
64 37.5
33 37.6
31 37.4
74 50.7
37 53.8
37 48.0
37 38.2
7 16.9
44 31.2
94 43.6
70 52.0
162 41.5
43 43.5
5 59.0
OTHER CANDIDATE
1 0.3
1 0.8
1 0.3
1 0.5
1 1.0
1 1.3
1 1.0
1 0.3
UNDECIDED
21 4.3
9 4.0
8 4.9
4 3.6
17 4.2
0.9
7 4.3
5 5.1
3 3.5
5 3.5
2 3.0
3 4.0
3 3.4
5 12.0
8 5.9
7 3.3
5 4.0
13 3.2
8 8.0
1 8.8
REFUSED
2 0.5
1 0.6
2 0.6
2 2.4
1 0.7
1 0.7
2 0.6
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-3 T4. If the election for Congress were being held today, would you vote for the Democrat candidate or the Republican candidate? INTENSITY TRUMP APPROVAL GOV BALLOT TEST --------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
10
---------
9-10
---------
7-10
----------
TOT APRV
---------
STRG APRV
---------
TOT DIS
---------
STRG DIS
---------
TOT EDMS
----------
DEF EDMS
---------
TOT STIT
---------
DEF STIT
---------
POWL
---------
UND
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
290 100.0
359 100.0
473 100.0
270 100.0
223 100.0
212 100.0
167 100.0
221 100.0
194 100.0
253 100.0
231 100.0
3 100.0
20 100.0
REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE
264 52.8
155 53.4
188 52.4
254 53.6
252 93.5
217 97.1
8 3.9
5 3.3
9 4.1
6 3.1
246 96.9
227 98.3
1 38.8
7 34.7
DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE
211 42.2
124 42.6
156 43.3
201 42.5
8 3.0
1 0.5
191 90.1
155 92.7
206 93.5
185 95.6
3 1.1
3 1.2
1 6.8
OTHER CANDIDATE
1 0.3
1 0.3
1 0.2
1 0.2
1 0.3
1 0.4
1 25.5
1 2.5
UNDECIDED
21 4.3
11 3.7
14 4.0
17 3.7
7 2.6
3 1.3
13 6.0
7 4.1
5 2.4
3 1.4
4 1.4
1 0.5
1 35.7
11 56.0
REFUSED
2 0.5
1 0.5
1 0.7
1 0.6
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-1 I am now going to read to you the names of people involved in politics. After hearing each name, I would like you to tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have never of the person there is an option for that as well. Let's get started. The first name is... T5. DREW EDMONDSON GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
----------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
----------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
REP
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
----------
DEM
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND
---------
IND MEN
----------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
230 100.0
158 100.0
72 100.0
270 100.0
195 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
70 100.0
105 100.0
110 100.0
135 100.0
255 100.0
113 100.0
142 100.0
215 100.0
99 100.0
116 100.0
27 100.0
16 100.0
12 100.0
TOTAL FAVORABLE
209 41.8
96 41.7
61 38.3
35 49.1
113 42.0
90 46.1
24 31.4
20 28.6
24 34.0
46 44.1
46 42.0
69 51.1
14 5.6
5 4.6
9 6.4
189 88.0
88 88.7
101 87.4
6 20.6
3 18.1
3 23.9
TOTAL UNFAVORABLE
206 41.3
95 41.4
75 47.4
20 28.0
111 41.2
77 39.7
34 45.2
32 45.2
32 46.1
44 41.8
49 44.3
44 32.8
190 74.3
86 76.6
103 72.6
11 4.9
4 4.3
6 5.4
6 23.0
4 28.0
2 16.6
VERY FAVORABLE
162 32.3
70 30.3
45 28.7
24 33.9
92 34.0
71 36.4
21 27.9
14 19.9
19 26.6
37 35.0
36 33.0
52 38.7
6 2.5
1 1.1
5 3.6
152 70.8
67 67.5
85 73.5
3 10.9
2 10.0
1 12.1
SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE
48 9.5
26 11.4
15 9.6
11 15.2
22 8.0
19 9.7
3 3.5
6 8.8
5 7.4
10 9.1
10 9.0
17 12.4
8 3.1
4 3.5
4 2.8
37 17.3
21 21.2
16 13.9
3 9.7
1 8.0
1 11.8
VERY UNFAVORABLE
154 30.7
73 31.9
61 38.3
13 17.9
80 29.7
55 28.1
25 33.7
24 34.7
22 32.1
33 31.5
41 37.5
29 21.4
141 55.3
65 57.3
76 53.6
7 3.5
4 4.3
3 2.7
5 18.5
4 28.0
1 6.2
SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE
53 10.6
22 9.4
14 9.1
7 10.2
31 11.6
23 11.6
9 11.5
7 10.5
10 14.0
11 10.3
8 6.8
15 11.5
49 19.1
22 19.2
27 18.9
3 1.4
3 2.7
1 4.5
1 10.4
HEARD OF NO OPINION
58 11.7
24 10.4
13 8.1
11 15.3
35 12.8
19 10.0
15 20.2
9 13.0
8 11.4
14 12.9
12 10.5
16 11.6
34 13.2
11 9.8
23 16.0
14 6.5
6 6.3
8 6.6
8 30.1
4 26.4
4 35.0
NEVER HEARD OF
26 5.2
15 6.6
10 6.2
5 7.6
11 4.0
8 4.3
2 3.2
9 13.1
6 8.5
1 1.2
4 3.2
6 4.5
17 6.8
10 9.1
7 5.0
1 0.6
1 0.6
1 0.6
7 26.2
4 27.5
3 24.5
REFUSED
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-2 I am now going to read to you the names of people involved in politics. After hearing each name, I would like you to tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have never of the person there is an option for that as well. Let's get started. The first name is... T5. DREW EDMONDSON IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE LIKELY TO VOTE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
CONS ERVE
---------
MODE RATE
---------
LIB ERAL
----------
WHI TE
---------
HISP LAT
---------
AA BLCK
---------
BIG CITY
---------
CITY MEN
----------
CITY WOM
---------
SUB RBAN
---------
SUB MEN
---------
SUB WOM
---------
SMAL TOWN
---------
RURL AREA
----------
44 LESS
---------
45-64
---------
65+
---------
EXT LIKE
---------
VERY LIKE
----------
SOME LIKE
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
235 100.0
153 100.0
104 100.0
415 100.0
30 100.0
20 100.0
170 100.0
88 100.0
82 100.0
145 100.0
68 100.0
77 100.0
97 100.0
40 100.0
140 100.0
215 100.0
135 100.0
391 100.0
100 100.0
9 100.0
TOTAL FAVORABLE
209 41.8
11 4.7
103 67.0
93 89.7
160 38.6
22 72.9
10 48.4
64 37.6
33 37.3
31 37.8
72 49.2
34 49.5
38 49.0
39 39.9
8 20.8
44 31.3
92 43.0
69 51.1
165 42.3
42 42.4
2 17.3
TOTAL UNFAVORABLE
206 41.3
185 79.0
19 12.3
2 2.1
183 44.1
3 11.2
6 29.8
80 47.1
43 49.0
37 45.2
50 34.1
22 32.9
27 35.1
44 45.1
17 43.6
64 45.6
93 43.1
44 32.8
179 45.6
25 25.1
3 32.2
VERY FAVORABLE
162 32.3
1 0.6
86 56.0
72 69.3
123 29.7
20 66.6
8 39.4
53 31.1
25 28.1
28 34.3
62 42.8
29 42.4
33 43.1
23 24.2
5 11.4
33 23.2
73 34.0
52 38.7
136 34.6
26 25.9
1.6
SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE
48 9.5
10 4.1
17 11.1
21 20.4
37 8.9
2 6.4
2 9.0
11 6.5
8 9.3
3 3.6
9 6.5
5 7.2
5 5.8
15 15.7
4 9.4
11 8.1
19 9.0
17 12.4
30 7.6
16 16.4
1 15.8
VERY UNFAVORABLE
154 30.7
140 59.6
12 7.7
2 1.6
136 32.7
3 9.5
3 17.3
65 38.1
36 41.1
29 34.9
36 25.0
19 27.9
17 22.4
29 30.0
14 35.9
47 33.4
74 34.6
29 21.4
136 34.6
15 15.1
3 32.2
SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE
53 10.6
45 19.4
7 4.6
1 0.5
47 11.4
1.6
2 12.5
15 9.1
7 7.9
8 10.3
13 9.1
3 5.0
10 12.7
15 15.1
3 7.7
17 12.2
18 8.5
15 11.5
43 11.0
10 10.0
HEARD OF NO OPINION
58 11.7
27 11.4
19 12.3
7 6.4
49 11.9
5 15.9
4 21.8
20 12.0
8 9.5
12 14.6
15 10.5
8 11.5
7 9.6
10 10.4
9 22.5
17 12.2
25 11.7
16 11.6
33 8.5
21 21.4
4 41.6
NEVER HEARD OF
26 5.2
11 4.8
13 8.3
2 1.7
23 5.5
6 3.3
4 4.1
2 2.4
9 6.2
4 6.0
5 6.4
5 4.7
5 13.1
15 10.8
5 2.2
6 4.5
14 3.6
11 11.1
1 8.8
REFUSED
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-3 I am now going to read to you the names of people involved in politics. After hearing each name, I would like you to tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have never of the person there is an option for that as well. Let's get started. The first name is... T5. DREW EDMONDSON INTENSITY TRUMP APPROVAL GOV BALLOT TEST --------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
10
---------
9-10
---------
7-10
----------
TOT APRV
---------
STRG APRV
---------
TOT DIS
---------
STRG DIS
---------
TOT EDMS
----------
DEF EDMS
---------
TOT STIT
---------
DEF STIT
---------
POWL
---------
UND
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
290 100.0
359 100.0
473 100.0
270 100.0
223 100.0
212 100.0
167 100.0
221 100.0
194 100.0
253 100.0
231 100.0
3 100.0
20 100.0
TOTAL FAVORABLE
209 41.8
129 44.5
160 44.4
202 42.8
9 3.5
3 1.4
191 89.8
155 92.5
198 89.9
184 94.7
4 1.4
1 0.5
1 33.8
5 25.8
TOTAL UNFAVORABLE
206 41.3
131 45.3
157 43.8
203 42.9
201 74.7
183 81.9
5 2.4
2 1.2
3 1.3
2 1.0
201 79.3
193 83.4
1 38.8
1 3.2
VERY FAVORABLE
162 32.3
106 36.5
128 35.5
157 33.2
4 1.3
1 0.5
151 71.2
124 74.0
159 72.3
154 79.7
0.1
0.1
8.3
1 3.4
SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE
48 9.5
23 8.0
32 8.9
45 9.6
6 2.2
2 0.9
39 18.6
31 18.5
39 17.7
29 15.0
3 1.3
1 0.4
1 25.5
5 22.5
VERY UNFAVORABLE
154 30.7
100 34.5
118 32.9
152 32.1
151 56.0
141 63.0
3 1.2
1 0.5
1 0.4
1 0.4
151 59.7
147 63.7
1 3.2
SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE
53 10.6
31 10.8
39 10.9
51 10.8
50 18.7
42 18.9
3 1.2
1 0.7
2 0.9
1 0.6
50 19.6
46 19.7
1 38.8
HEARD OF NO OPINION
58 11.7
24 8.3
30 8.3
47 10.0
38 14.0
24 10.8
12 5.4
9 5.6
17 7.6
8 4.3
31 12.1
22 9.5
1 27.4
9 45.7
NEVER HEARD OF
26 5.2
6 1.9
13 3.6
20 4.3
21 7.7
13 6.0
5 2.4
1 0.7
2 1.1
18 7.2
15 6.6
5 25.3
REFUSED
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-1 T6. KEVIN STITT GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
----------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
----------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
REP
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
----------
DEM
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND
---------
IND MEN
----------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
230 100.0
158 100.0
72 100.0
270 100.0
195 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
70 100.0
105 100.0
110 100.0
135 100.0
255 100.0
113 100.0
142 100.0
215 100.0
99 100.0
116 100.0
27 100.0
16 100.0
12 100.0
TOTAL FAVORABLE
246 49.2
111 48.5
87 54.9
25 34.2
134 49.7
93 47.8
41 54.8
41 59.0
35 50.1
51 48.1
57 51.6
56 41.8
222 86.9
96 85.4
125 88.1
15 6.7
7 7.4
7 6.2
10 35.3
8 49.7
2 16.6
TOTAL UNFAVORABLE
177 35.4
77 33.6
55 35.0
22 30.7
100 36.9
75 38.4
25 33.0
18 26.3
20 28.7
45 42.4
37 33.7
53 39.3
13 5.2
5 4.3
8 5.9
157 72.9
70 70.3
87 75.2
7 25.3
3 18.9
4 33.7
VERY FAVORABLE
191 38.2
81 35.4
68 42.9
14 19.0
110 40.6
75 38.5
35 46.1
32 46.3
27 38.1
37 34.9
45 40.9
45 33.2
176 69.2
74 65.4
103 72.3
10 4.7
4 3.9
6 5.4
5 16.5
4 24.3
1 6.2
SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE
55 10.9
30 13.1
19 12.1
11 15.3
25 9.1
18 9.3
7 8.7
9 12.7
8 12.0
14 13.2
12 10.7
12 8.6
45 17.7
23 20.0
23 15.9
4 2.1
4 3.5
1 0.8
5 18.9
4 25.4
1 10.4
VERY UNFAVORABLE
118 23.5
55 24.0
41 25.9
14 19.7
62 23.1
46 23.7
16 21.5
16 23.0
12 16.6
32 30.4
23 21.0
32 24.1
6 2.3
1 0.9
5 3.4
108 50.2
53 53.3
55 47.5
4 14.0
1 8.8
2 20.7
SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE
59 11.9
22 9.7
14 9.0
8 11.0
37 13.8
29 14.7
9 11.4
2 3.3
8 12.1
13 12.1
14 12.6
21 15.2
7 2.9
4 3.3
4 2.5
49 22.7
17 17.0
32 27.6
3 11.4
2 10.1
2 13.1
HEARD OF NO OPINION
62 12.3
34 15.0
9 5.9
25 35.1
27 10.0
19 9.6
8 11.0
10 14.6
10 13.9
7 6.5
13 11.7
21 15.8
16 6.1
8 7.5
7 5.1
34 15.8
19 19.6
15 12.6
9 33.8
4 26.3
5 43.6
NEVER HEARD OF
16 3.1
7 2.9
7 4.2
9 3.3
8 4.2
1 1.2
5 7.4
3 2.9
3 3.1
4 3.1
5 1.8
3 2.9
1 0.9
10 4.5
3 2.7
7 6.0
2 5.5
1 5.1
1 6.0
REFUSED
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-2 T6. KEVIN STITT IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE LIKELY TO VOTE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
CONS ERVE
---------
MODE RATE
---------
LIB ERAL
----------
WHI TE
---------
HISP LAT
---------
AA BLCK
---------
BIG CITY
---------
CITY MEN
----------
CITY WOM
---------
SUB RBAN
---------
SUB MEN
---------
SUB WOM
---------
SMAL TOWN
---------
RURL AREA
----------
44 LESS
---------
45-64
---------
65+
---------
EXT LIKE
---------
VERY LIKE
----------
SOME LIKE
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
235 100.0
153 100.0
104 100.0
415 100.0
30 100.0
20 100.0
170 100.0
88 100.0
82 100.0
145 100.0
68 100.0
77 100.0
97 100.0
40 100.0
140 100.0
215 100.0
135 100.0
391 100.0
100 100.0
9 100.0
TOTAL FAVORABLE
246 49.2
209 89.0
30 19.6
5 5.3
219 52.8
3 11.2
9 44.4
96 56.1
51 58.1
44 53.9
63 43.1
28 41.1
35 44.9
49 50.5
22 54.5
76 54.5
107 49.9
56 41.8
202 51.5
41 41.2
3 33.9
TOTAL UNFAVORABLE
177 35.4
8 3.6
91 59.5
76 73.1
138 33.3
20 66.6
7 34.1
58 34.1
28 31.8
30 36.6
63 43.5
29 43.3
34 43.6
28 29.3
7 17.9
39 27.5
82 37.9
53 39.3
146 37.3
29 29.5
1 15.7
VERY FAVORABLE
191 38.2
172 73.4
14 9.4
3 3.0
172 41.4
3 11.2
5 26.5
77 45.2
39 44.2
38 46.3
46 31.5
19 27.6
27 34.9
39 40.3
15 37.6
59 42.2
82 38.0
45 33.2
164 41.9
26 25.9
1 14.4
SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE
55 10.9
37 15.6
16 10.3
2 2.3
47 11.4
4 17.9
19 10.9
12 13.9
6 7.6
17 11.6
9 13.5
8 10.0
10 10.2
7 16.8
17 12.4
26 11.9
12 8.6
38 9.6
15 15.3
2 19.5
VERY UNFAVORABLE
118 23.5
2 1.0
60 39.1
54 51.7
101 24.3
9 28.7
4 22.0
34 19.9
18 20.8
16 19.0
47 32.1
22 32.8
24 31.5
20 20.7
5 12.8
28 19.8
55 25.6
32 24.1
99 25.2
18 18.3
1 8.8
SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE
59 11.9
6 2.6
31 20.4
22 21.3
37 9.0
11 37.8
2 12.1
24 14.2
10 11.0
14 17.6
17 11.4
7 10.6
9 12.0
8 8.7
2 5.1
11 7.7
27 12.4
21 15.2
48 12.2
11 11.2
1 6.9
HEARD OF NO OPINION
62 12.3
15 6.5
23 15.0
18 17.3
47 11.3
5 15.9
4 21.5
15 8.6
8 8.6
7 8.7
16 10.7
11 15.5
5 6.5
17 17.7
7 16.6
20 14.3
20 9.2
21 15.8
32 8.1
26 26.0
4 41.6
NEVER HEARD OF
16 3.1
2 0.9
9 5.9
5 4.4
11 2.5
2 6.4
2 1.2
1 1.5
1 0.9
4 2.7
4 5.1
2 2.4
4 11.0
5 3.7
6 3.0
4 3.1
12 3.0
3 3.3
1 8.8
REFUSED
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-3 T6. KEVIN STITT INTENSITY TRUMP APPROVAL GOV BALLOT TEST --------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
10
---------
9-10
---------
7-10
----------
TOT APRV
---------
STRG APRV
---------
TOT DIS
---------
STRG DIS
---------
TOT EDMS
----------
DEF EDMS
---------
TOT STIT
---------
DEF STIT
---------
POWL
---------
UND
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
290 100.0
359 100.0
473 100.0
270 100.0
223 100.0
212 100.0
167 100.0
221 100.0
194 100.0
253 100.0
231 100.0
3 100.0
20 100.0
TOTAL FAVORABLE
246 49.2
146 50.2
179 49.8
237 50.1
235 87.1
206 92.0
9 4.3
5 2.7
9 3.9
6 3.3
235 92.9
219 94.9
1 38.8
1 3.2
TOTAL UNFAVORABLE
177 35.4
117 40.4
141 39.2
171 36.1
6 2.4
4 1.7
167 78.7
140 83.6
167 75.8
153 79.0
2 0.6
0.1
1 39.5
6 30.0
VERY FAVORABLE
191 38.2
122 42.2
146 40.6
188 39.7
187 69.4
171 76.6
4 1.8
3 1.6
5 2.2
4 2.1
186 73.4
181 78.2
SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE
55 10.9
23 8.0
33 9.2
49 10.5
47 17.6
34 15.4
5 2.4
2 1.1
4 1.6
2 1.2
49 19.4
39 16.7
1 38.8
1 3.2
VERY UNFAVORABLE
118 23.5
84 28.9
99 27.5
116 24.5
3 1.1
3 1.2
112 52.9
99 59.0
114 51.7
110 57.0
1 33.8
2 8.1
SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE
59 11.9
33 11.5
42 11.7
55 11.7
3 1.3
1 0.6
55 25.8
41 24.6
53 24.1
43 22.1
2 0.6
0.1
5.7
4 21.9
HEARD OF NO OPINION
62 12.3
22 7.5
30 8.2
50 10.6
22 8.2
11 4.8
27 12.7
16 9.4
36 16.3
26 13.5
12 4.9
8 3.2
1 21.7
11 53.0
NEVER HEARD OF
16 3.1
5 1.9
10 2.7
15 3.2
6 2.4
3 1.5
9 4.4
7 4.2
9 4.0
8 4.2
4 1.6
4 1.8
3 13.8
REFUSED
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-1 T7. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
----------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
----------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
REP
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
----------
DEM
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND
---------
IND MEN
----------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
230 100.0
158 100.0
72 100.0
270 100.0
195 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
70 100.0
105 100.0
110 100.0
135 100.0
255 100.0
113 100.0
142 100.0
215 100.0
99 100.0
116 100.0
27 100.0
16 100.0
12 100.0
TOTAL APPROVE
270 53.9
120 52.0
92 57.9
28 39.0
150 55.5
105 53.9
45 59.6
46 65.2
44 62.8
50 47.7
61 55.4
63 46.8
240 94.3
106 93.6
135 94.8
17 8.0
6 5.9
11 9.7
9 34.5
6 35.8
4 32.8
TOTAL DISAPPROVE
212 42.5
102 44.2
63 39.7
39 54.3
111 40.9
86 44.0
25 33.0
22 31.9
26 37.2
53 50.1
44 39.9
63 46.8
13 5.0
6 5.7
6 4.4
184 85.8
87 88.2
97 83.7
15 54.9
8 51.3
7 59.7
STRONGLY APPROVE
223 44.7
102 44.2
82 51.7
20 27.7
122 45.1
85 43.5
37 49.3
34 48.5
37 53.2
44 41.6
52 47.7
51 37.5
206 80.8
93 82.3
113 79.5
11 5.1
5 4.6
6 5.5
7 24.0
4 26.6
2 20.6
SOMEWHAT APPROVE
46 9.2
18 7.9
10 6.2
8 11.4
28 10.4
20 10.4
8 10.3
12 16.7
7 9.7
6 6.1
9 7.7
13 9.3
34 13.5
13 11.3
22 15.3
6 2.9
1 1.4
5 4.2
3 10.5
1 9.2
1 12.2
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE
167 33.4
85 36.8
58 36.4
27 37.6
83 30.6
66 34.1
16 21.5
19 26.8
20 28.4
44 42.3
35 31.9
46 33.8
10 3.8
6 5.5
3 2.4
149 69.4
74 74.5
75 65.1
8 29.9
5 29.3
4 30.7
SOMEWHAT DIAPPROVE
45 9.0
17 7.5
5 3.3
12 16.7
28 10.4
19 9.9
9 11.5
4 5.1
6 8.8
8 7.8
9 8.0
18 13.0
3 1.2
0.2
3 2.0
35 16.3
14 13.7
22 18.6
7 25.1
3 22.0
3 29.0
UNSURE NO OPINION
17 3.5
9 3.7
4 2.4
5 6.6
9 3.2
3 1.6
6 7.5
2 2.9
2 2.2
5 4.7
8 5.8
2 0.7
1 0.7
1 0.8
13 5.8
6 5.8
7 5.8
3 10.6
2 12.9
1 7.5
REFUSED
1 0.2
1 0.3
1 0.5
1 0.7
1 0.4
1 0.8
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-2 T7. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE LIKELY TO VOTE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
CONS ERVE
---------
MODE RATE
---------
LIB ERAL
----------
WHI TE
---------
HISP LAT
---------
AA BLCK
---------
BIG CITY
---------
CITY MEN
----------
CITY WOM
---------
SUB RBAN
---------
SUB MEN
---------
SUB WOM
---------
SMAL TOWN
---------
RURL AREA
----------
44 LESS
---------
45-64
---------
65+
---------
EXT LIKE
---------
VERY LIKE
----------
SOME LIKE
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
235 100.0
153 100.0
104 100.0
415 100.0
30 100.0
20 100.0
170 100.0
88 100.0
82 100.0
145 100.0
68 100.0
77 100.0
97 100.0
40 100.0
140 100.0
215 100.0
135 100.0
391 100.0
100 100.0
9 100.0
TOTAL APPROVE
270 53.9
223 94.8
39 25.5
6 5.6
237 57.2
7 23.3
8 37.7
98 57.7
50 56.2
49 59.3
67 45.9
28 41.1
39 50.2
59 61.0
29 72.1
90 64.0
111 51.6
63 46.8
217 55.4
50 50.0
3 32.2
TOTAL DISAPPROVE
212 42.5
9 4.0
107 70.0
95 91.5
164 39.6
20 66.6
11 53.8
68 40.0
35 40.2
33 39.9
74 51.2
37 55.1
37 47.8
34 35.4
9 22.4
48 34.5
96 44.9
63 46.8
167 42.8
42 42.6
2 26.1
STRONGLY APPROVE
223 44.7
198 84.2
21 13.8
3 2.5
195 46.9
5 16.9
6 30.7
84 49.4
42 47.6
42 51.3
57 39.1
25 37.4
31 40.7
44 45.5
23 58.0
71 50.8
96 44.7
51 37.5
192 49.0
30 29.9
2 23.2
SOMEWHAT APPROVE
46 9.2
25 10.7
18 11.7
3 3.1
43 10.3
2 6.4
1 6.9
14 8.3
8 8.6
7 8.0
10 6.8
2 3.7
7 9.5
15 15.6
6 14.1
18 13.2
15 6.9
13 9.3
25 6.4
20 20.2
1 9.0
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE
167 33.4
8 3.2
84 54.9
75 72.0
127 30.7
20 66.6
7 36.2
59 34.5
33 37.8
25 30.9
61 42.1
32 46.4
30 38.3
27 28.4
7 18.3
39 27.6
79 37.0
46 33.8
131 33.4
35 35.1
2 17.3
SOMEWHAT DIAPPROVE
45 9.0
2 0.8
23 15.1
20 19.4
37 8.9
4 17.5
9 5.5
2 2.3
7 8.9
13 9.2
6 8.7
7 9.6
7 7.0
2 4.2
10 6.9
17 7.9
18 13.0
37 9.4
7 7.4
1 8.8
UNSURE NO OPINION
17 3.5
3 1.2
7 4.5
3 2.9
13 3.0
3 10.2
2 8.6
4 2.3
3 3.6
1 0.8
4 2.9
3 3.9
2 2.0
3 2.6
2 5.5
2 1.4
8 3.5
8 5.8
6 1.6
7 7.4
4 41.6
REFUSED
1 0.2
1 0.2
1 0.9
1 0.7
1 0.2
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-3 T7. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? INTENSITY TRUMP APPROVAL GOV BALLOT TEST --------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
10
---------
9-10
---------
7-10
----------
TOT APRV
---------
STRG APRV
---------
TOT DIS
---------
STRG DIS
---------
TOT EDMS
----------
DEF EDMS
---------
TOT STIT
---------
DEF STIT
---------
POWL
---------
UND
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
290 100.0
359 100.0
473 100.0
270 100.0
223 100.0
212 100.0
167 100.0
221 100.0
194 100.0
253 100.0
231 100.0
3 100.0
20 100.0
TOTAL APPROVE
270 53.9
157 54.3
194 54.0
257 54.4
270 100.0
223 100.0
11 5.1
7 3.4
245 96.7
227 98.3
3 86.0
10 48.5
TOTAL DISAPPROVE
212 42.5
128 44.3
161 44.8
205 43.4
212 100.0
167 100.0
198 89.6
179 92.6
5 2.1
4 1.7
14.0
9 43.7
STRONGLY APPROVE
223 44.7
134 46.3
168 46.8
217 46.0
223 82.9
223 100.0
5 2.0
2 1.2
213 83.9
205 88.6
2 64.3
4 17.6
SOMEWHAT APPROVE
46 9.2
23 8.0
26 7.2
40 8.5
46 17.1
7 3.1
4 2.2
32 12.8
23 9.7
1 21.7
6 30.9
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE
167 33.4
103 35.4
131 36.3
162 34.3
167 78.7
167 100.0
159 72.0
150 77.3
2 0.9
2 1.0
14.0
5 26.7
SOMEWHAT DIAPPROVE
45 9.0
26 8.9
31 8.5
43 9.1
45 21.3
39 17.6
30 15.3
3 1.2
1 0.6
3 17.1
UNSURE NO OPINION
17 3.5
4 1.4
4 1.2
10 2.1
12 5.3
8 4.0
3 1.3
2 7.8
REFUSED
1 0.2
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-1 T8. If the election for Governor were being held today, would you vote for Drew Edmondson, the Democrat candidate, Kevin Stitt, the Republican candidate or Chris Powell, the Libertarian candidate? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
----------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
----------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
REP
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
----------
DEM
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND
---------
IND MEN
----------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
230 100.0
158 100.0
72 100.0
270 100.0
195 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
70 100.0
105 100.0
110 100.0
135 100.0
255 100.0
113 100.0
142 100.0
215 100.0
99 100.0
116 100.0
27 100.0
16 100.0
12 100.0
TOTAL STITT
253 50.7
117 50.9
90 57.0
27 37.2
136 50.6
96 49.2
41 54.1
43 61.7
42 60.4
48 45.9
58 52.6
56 41.6
231 90.6
104 92.0
127 89.4
11 5.0
4 3.7
7 6.2
9 33.5
7 44.0
2 19.9
TOTAL EDMONDSON
221 44.1
102 44.3
61 38.6
41 57.1
119 43.9
90 46.3
28 37.9
22 31.9
25 35.8
50 47.3
49 45.0
70 52.0
11 4.3
3 2.5
8 5.8
199 92.4
93 93.9
106 91.1
11 39.6
6 39.5
5 39.8
POWELL
3 0.6
1 0.5
1 0.8
2 0.7
1 0.5
1 1.3
1 1.7
1 1.1
2 0.9
1 1.1
1 0.7
1 0.4
1 0.8
DEFINITELY STITT
231 46.2
106 46.2
85 53.8
21 29.4
125 46.3
89 45.5
36 48.2
39 56.2
37 53.1
45 42.5
54 49.0
51 37.5
215 84.5
99 87.5
116 82.0
11 5.0
4 3.7
7 6.2
5 18.3
4 24.3
1 10.5
PROBABLY STITT
22 4.4
11 4.6
5 3.2
6 7.8
12 4.3
7 3.7
4 5.8
4 5.6
5 7.3
4 3.3
4 3.6
6 4.1
16 6.1
5 4.5
10 7.4
4 15.2
3 19.7
1 9.4
DEFINITELY EDMONDSON
194 38.8
92 40.0
55 35.0
37 51.1
102 37.7
78 40.2
23 31.1
17 24.5
21 30.2
44 42.1
44 39.7
64 47.8
6 2.2
1 1.1
4 3.0
184 85.4
88 89.3
95 82.2
4 16.3
2 15.7
2 17.1
PROBABLY EDMONDSON
27 5.4
10 4.3
6 3.5
4 6.0
17 6.3
12 6.1
5 6.7
5 7.5
4 5.6
5 5.2
6 5.3
6 4.2
5 2.1
2 1.4
4 2.7
15 6.9
5 4.7
10 8.9
6 23.3
4 23.8
3 22.7
UNDECIDED
20 4.1
9 3.9
6 3.7
3 4.6
11 4.2
7 3.6
4 5.7
4 6.3
1 2.1
7 6.8
3 2.4
5 3.4
10 4.0
5 4.4
5 3.6
3 1.3
1 1.5
1 1.2
7 26.8
3 16.5
5 40.3
REFUSED
3 0.5
1 0.4
1 1.2
2 0.6
1 0.5
1 1.1
3 1.9
1 0.3
1 0.6
2 0.8
1 0.9
1 0.8
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-2 T8. If the election for Governor were being held today, would you vote for Drew Edmondson, the Democrat candidate, Kevin Stitt, the Republican candidate or Chris Powell, the Libertarian candidate? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE LIKELY TO VOTE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
CONS ERVE
---------
MODE RATE
---------
LIB ERAL
----------
WHI TE
---------
HISP LAT
---------
AA BLCK
---------
BIG CITY
---------
CITY MEN
----------
CITY WOM
---------
SUB RBAN
---------
SUB MEN
---------
SUB WOM
---------
SMAL TOWN
---------
RURL AREA
----------
44 LESS
---------
45-64
---------
65+
---------
EXT LIKE
---------
VERY LIKE
----------
SOME LIKE
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
235 100.0
153 100.0
104 100.0
415 100.0
30 100.0
20 100.0
170 100.0
88 100.0
82 100.0
145 100.0
68 100.0
77 100.0
97 100.0
40 100.0
140 100.0
215 100.0
135 100.0
391 100.0
100 100.0
9 100.0
TOTAL STITT
253 50.7
217 92.6
33 21.4
2 2.0
226 54.5
3 11.2
7 32.6
95 55.8
51 57.8
44 53.7
64 43.7
28 41.9
35 45.3
53 54.9
25 62.1
85 61.1
106 49.3
56 41.6
203 51.9
48 48.3
2 23.4
TOTAL EDMONDSON
221 44.1
6 2.7
111 72.5
98 95.1
170 41.0
25 83.1
12 58.9
67 39.6
32 36.7
35 42.7
75 51.8
39 57.2
36 47.1
38 38.9
10 25.8
47 33.9
99 46.1
70 52.0
171 43.8
44 44.2
5 59.0
POWELL
3 0.6
0.1
3 1.7
0.2
3 0.7
0.9
1 0.5
1 1.0
0.1
0.2
2 5.4
1 0.9
1 1.1
2 0.6
1 0.7
DEFINITELY STITT
231 46.2
206 87.6
23 15.0
2 2.0
205 49.3
3 11.2
6 29.1
91 53.4
49 56.0
42 50.6
60 41.3
27 40.3
33 42.1
45 46.3
21 52.5
77 54.7
99 45.8
51 37.5
194 49.7
36 35.7
1 14.4
PROBABLY STITT
22 4.4
12 4.9
10 6.4
21 5.2
1 3.5
4 2.5
2 1.8
3 3.1
4 2.5
1 1.6
2 3.2
8 8.7
4 9.6
9 6.4
7 3.5
6 4.1
9 2.3
13 12.6
1 9.0
DEFINITELY EDMONDSON
194 38.8
4 1.9
96 62.7
92 88.6
147 35.5
22 72.9
11 54.6
64 37.3
31 34.6
33 40.2
68 46.9
34 50.3
34 43.8
31 32.3
7 18.5
38 27.3
88 40.9
64 47.8
155 39.7
37 36.7
2 19.7
PROBABLY EDMONDSON
27 5.4
2 0.9
15 9.8
7 6.4
23 5.4
3 10.2
1 4.3
4 2.2
2 2.1
2 2.4
7 4.9
5 6.9
3 3.2
6 6.5
3 7.3
9 6.5
11 5.3
6 4.2
16 4.0
7 7.5
4 39.2
UNDECIDED
20 4.1
10 4.3
7 4.3
3 2.7
14 3.4
2 5.7
1 3.4
7 4.1
5 5.5
2 2.6
6 4.4
1 0.9
6 7.3
4 4.5
3 6.7
6 4.2
10 4.6
5 3.4
13 3.3
7 6.8
1 8.8
REFUSED
3 0.5
1 0.3
2 0.4
1 4.2
2 1.7
3 1.9
2 0.4
1 8.8
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-3 T8. If the election for Governor were being held today, would you vote for Drew Edmondson, the Democrat candidate, Kevin Stitt, the Republican candidate or Chris Powell, the Libertarian candidate? INTENSITY TRUMP APPROVAL GOV BALLOT TEST --------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
10
---------
9-10
---------
7-10
----------
TOT APRV
---------
STRG APRV
---------
TOT DIS
---------
STRG DIS
---------
TOT EDMS
----------
DEF EDMS
---------
TOT STIT
---------
DEF STIT
---------
POWL
---------
UND
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
290 100.0
359 100.0
473 100.0
270 100.0
223 100.0
212 100.0
167 100.0
221 100.0
194 100.0
253 100.0
231 100.0
3 100.0
20 100.0
TOTAL STITT
253 50.7
146 50.4
181 50.5
246 52.0
245 90.9
213 95.1
5 2.5
2 1.4
253 100.0
231 100.0
TOTAL EDMONDSON
221 44.1
130 44.9
163 45.3
209 44.3
11 4.2
5 2.0
198 93.1
159 95.1
221 100.0
194 100.0
POWELL
3 0.6
2 0.8
3 0.9
3 0.7
3 1.0
2 0.9
0.2
0.3
3 100.0
DEFINITELY STITT
231 46.2
140 48.4
172 48.0
229 48.4
227 84.3
205 91.7
4 1.8
2 1.4
231 91.2
231 100.0
PROBABLY STITT
22 4.4
6 2.0
9 2.5
17 3.6
18 6.5
8 3.5
1 0.7
22 8.8
DEFINITELY EDMONDSON
194 38.8
120 41.4
147 40.9
189 39.9
7 2.5
2 1.0
179 84.5
150 89.6
194 87.9
194 100.0
PROBABLY EDMONDSON
27 5.4
10 3.4
16 4.4
21 4.4
5 1.7
2 1.0
18 8.6
9 5.4
27 12.1
UNDECIDED
20 4.1
11 3.7
11 3.1
13 2.7
10 3.7
4 1.6
9 4.2
5 3.2
20 100.0
REFUSED
3 0.5
1 0.3
1 0.2
2 0.3
1 0.3
1 0.4
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-1 And now I have a few questions for statistical purposes only... T9. Do you consider yourself to be conservative, moderate or liberal when it comes to your political beliefs? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
----------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
----------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
REP
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
----------
DEM
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND
---------
IND MEN
----------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
230 100.0
158 100.0
72 100.0
270 100.0
195 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
70 100.0
105 100.0
110 100.0
135 100.0
255 100.0
113 100.0
142 100.0
215 100.0
99 100.0
116 100.0
27 100.0
16 100.0
12 100.0
CONSERVATIVE
235 47.0
102 44.5
79 50.0
23 32.2
132 49.1
95 48.7
38 50.1
43 61.8
32 45.6
51 49.0
52 47.6
50 37.2
221 86.6
98 86.5
123 86.6
12 5.8
4 3.7
9 7.5
2 6.0
1 5.8
1 6.2
MODERATE
153 30.6
72 31.3
47 29.4
25 35.5
81 30.0
60 30.6
21 28.4
19 27.6
27 39.1
28 27.0
26 23.7
50 36.7
32 12.5
14 12.1
18 12.9
97 45.1
42 42.8
55 47.1
22 78.5
13 86.8
8 67.7
LIBERAL
104 20.7
53 22.9
31 19.7
21 29.9
51 18.9
39 19.8
12 16.4
7 10.6
11 15.3
25 24.0
28 25.9
30 22.0
1 0.4
1 0.9
98 45.7
50 51.0
48 41.2
4 15.5
1 7.4
3 26.0
DON'T KNOW REFUSED
9 1.8
3 1.3
1 0.9
2 2.4
6 2.1
2 0.9
4 5.1
3 2.8
5 4.1
1 0.5
1 0.5
1 0.6
7 3.5
3 2.6
5 4.2
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-2 And now I have a few questions for statistical purposes only... T9. Do you consider yourself to be conservative, moderate or liberal when it comes to your political beliefs? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE LIKELY TO VOTE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
CONS ERVE
---------
MODE RATE
---------
LIB ERAL
----------
WHI TE
---------
HISP LAT
---------
AA BLCK
---------
BIG CITY
---------
CITY MEN
----------
CITY WOM
---------
SUB RBAN
---------
SUB MEN
---------
SUB WOM
---------
SMAL TOWN
---------
RURL AREA
----------
44 LESS
---------
45-64
---------
65+
---------
EXT LIKE
---------
VERY LIKE
----------
SOME LIKE
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
235 100.0
153 100.0
104 100.0
415 100.0
30 100.0
20 100.0
170 100.0
88 100.0
82 100.0
145 100.0
68 100.0
77 100.0
97 100.0
40 100.0
140 100.0
215 100.0
135 100.0
391 100.0
100 100.0
9 100.0
CONSERVATIVE
235 47.0
235 100.0
213 51.2
3 11.2
5 25.9
85 49.9
45 51.1
40 48.5
62 42.7
25 37.0
37 47.7
52 53.8
21 52.1
75 53.7
104 48.3
50 37.2
192 49.0
40 40.2
3 32.2
MODERATE
153 30.6
153 100.0
113 27.3
18 60.5
7 35.3
56 33.1
25 28.0
32 38.6
45 31.0
22 32.7
23 29.5
27 28.3
12 29.2
47 33.3
54 25.3
50 36.7
113 28.9
38 37.9
2 21.9
LIBERAL
104 20.7
104 100.0
85 20.6
5 18.1
6 27.6
28 16.6
18 20.9
10 12.1
38 26.1
21 30.3
17 22.4
16 16.9
4 11.0
18 13.0
54 25.0
30 22.0
81 20.8
21 21.1
1 12.0
DON'T KNOW REFUSED
9 1.8
3 0.8
3 10.2
2 11.2
1 0.4
1 0.8
0.2
0.3
1 0.9
3 7.7
3 1.4
5 4.1
5 1.3
1 0.7
3 33.9
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-3 And now I have a few questions for statistical purposes only... T9. Do you consider yourself to be conservative, moderate or liberal when it comes to your political beliefs? INTENSITY TRUMP APPROVAL GOV BALLOT TEST --------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
10
---------
9-10
---------
7-10
----------
TOT APRV
---------
STRG APRV
---------
TOT DIS
---------
STRG DIS
---------
TOT EDMS
----------
DEF EDMS
---------
TOT STIT
---------
DEF STIT
---------
POWL
---------
UND
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
290 100.0
359 100.0
473 100.0
270 100.0
223 100.0
212 100.0
167 100.0
221 100.0
194 100.0
253 100.0
231 100.0
3 100.0
20 100.0
CONSERVATIVE
235 47.0
144 49.6
174 48.3
224 47.4
223 82.6
198 88.4
9 4.4
8 4.5
6 2.9
4 2.3
217 85.7
206 89.0
5.7
10 49.6
MODERATE
153 30.6
82 28.1
101 28.0
142 29.9
39 14.5
21 9.5
107 50.4
84 50.2
111 50.3
96 49.5
33 12.9
23 9.9
3 86.0
7 32.5
LIBERAL
104 20.7
61 20.9
81 22.6
102 21.7
6 2.2
3 1.2
95 44.6
75 44.6
98 44.6
92 47.4
2 0.8
2 0.9
8.3
3 13.7
DON'T KNOW REFUSED
9 1.8
4 1.4
4 1.1
5 1.0
2 0.8
2 1.0
1 0.5
1 0.6
5 2.2
2 0.9
1 0.5
1 0.2
1 4.2
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-1 T10. How would you describe the area where you currently live? Would you say you live in... GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
----------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
----------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
REP
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
----------
DEM
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND
---------
IND MEN
----------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
230 100.0
158 100.0
72 100.0
270 100.0
195 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
70 100.0
105 100.0
110 100.0
135 100.0
255 100.0
113 100.0
142 100.0
215 100.0
99 100.0
116 100.0
27 100.0
16 100.0
12 100.0
A BIG CITY
170 34.1
88 38.4
67 42.5
21 29.3
82 30.4
69 35.2
14 18.1
25 35.8
29 40.9
45 43.3
43 39.5
26 19.3
96 37.8
50 44.0
47 32.9
59 27.6
29 29.2
30 26.2
15 53.7
10 62.2
5 42.6
A SUBURBAN AREA
145 29.1
68 29.6
48 30.3
20 28.0
77 28.7
60 30.7
17 23.3
26 36.5
12 17.4
32 30.9
36 32.9
35 25.9
64 25.3
27 23.6
38 26.6
75 34.8
38 38.3
37 31.9
6 21.7
3 21.5
3 21.9
A SMALL TOWN
97 19.4
41 17.8
25 15.7
16 22.5
56 20.7
32 16.6
24 31.3
11 15.2
12 17.1
11 10.8
18 16.7
43 31.5
50 19.4
18 16.0
31 22.2
42 19.4
18 18.4
23 20.1
3 11.4
2 14.0
1 8.0
A RURAL AREA
40 7.9
14 6.3
12 7.6
2 3.3
25 9.3
17 8.7
8 11.0
5 7.0
9 13.1
6 5.8
5 4.8
13 9.7
27 10.4
11 9.4
16 11.3
10 4.6
3 3.5
6 5.6
3 11.4
2.3
3 23.3
DON'T KNOW REFUSED
48 9.6
18 8.0
6 3.9
12 17.0
29 10.9
17 8.8
12 16.3
4 5.5
8 11.6
10 9.2
7 6.2
18 13.6
18 7.0
8 7.0
10 7.1
29 13.6
11 10.6
19 16.2
1 1.8
1 4.2
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-2 T10. How would you describe the area where you currently live? Would you say you live in... IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE LIKELY TO VOTE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
CONS ERVE
---------
MODE RATE
---------
LIB ERAL
----------
WHI TE
---------
HISP LAT
---------
AA BLCK
---------
BIG CITY
---------
CITY MEN
----------
CITY WOM
---------
SUB RBAN
---------
SUB MEN
---------
SUB WOM
---------
SMAL TOWN
---------
RURL AREA
----------
44 LESS
---------
45-64
---------
65+
---------
EXT LIKE
---------
VERY LIKE
----------
SOME LIKE
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
235 100.0
153 100.0
104 100.0
415 100.0
30 100.0
20 100.0
170 100.0
88 100.0
82 100.0
145 100.0
68 100.0
77 100.0
97 100.0
40 100.0
140 100.0
215 100.0
135 100.0
391 100.0
100 100.0
9 100.0
A BIG CITY
170 34.1
85 36.2
56 36.9
28 27.4
141 33.9
11 35.1
8 42.5
170 100.0
88 100.0
82 100.0
54 38.3
89 41.3
26 19.3
136 34.6
33 33.1
2 21.3
A SUBURBAN AREA
145 29.1
62 26.4
45 29.5
38 36.7
123 29.7
16 54.7
5 24.4
145 100.0
68 100.0
77 100.0
38 26.9
69 31.9
35 25.9
112 28.7
33 33.3
A SMALL TOWN
97 19.4
52 22.2
27 17.9
16 15.8
82 19.9
3 15.9
97 100.0
23 16.1
30 13.8
43 31.5
71 18.1
23 22.7
3 35.7
A RURAL AREA
40 7.9
21 8.8
12 7.6
4 4.2
30 7.3
3 13.0
40 100.0
14 10.1
11 5.3
13 9.7
32 8.3
7 7.2
DON'T KNOW REFUSED
48 9.6
15 6.4
12 8.1
16 15.9
39 9.3
3 10.2
1 4.2
12 8.5
16 7.7
18 13.6
40 10.3
4 3.7
4 42.9
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-3 T10. How would you describe the area where you currently live? Would you say you live in... INTENSITY TRUMP APPROVAL GOV BALLOT TEST --------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
10
---------
9-10
---------
7-10
----------
TOT APRV
---------
STRG APRV
---------
TOT DIS
---------
STRG DIS
---------
TOT EDMS
----------
DEF EDMS
---------
TOT STIT
---------
DEF STIT
---------
POWL
---------
UND
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
290 100.0
359 100.0
473 100.0
270 100.0
223 100.0
212 100.0
167 100.0
221 100.0
194 100.0
253 100.0
231 100.0
3 100.0
20 100.0
A BIG CITY
170 34.1
93 32.0
112 31.2
164 34.8
98 36.5
84 37.7
68 32.1
59 35.2
67 30.6
64 32.8
95 37.6
91 39.4
1 25.5
7 34.5
A SUBURBAN AREA
145 29.1
93 32.0
109 30.3
137 28.9
67 24.8
57 25.5
74 35.1
61 36.6
75 34.1
68 35.1
64 25.1
60 25.9
5.7
6 31.1
A SMALL TOWN
97 19.4
52 17.8
70 19.6
90 19.0
59 21.9
44 19.7
34 16.1
27 16.4
38 17.0
31 16.1
53 21.0
45 19.4
4 21.2
A RURAL AREA
40 7.9
27 9.4
37 10.2
38 8.1
29 10.6
23 10.3
9 4.2
7 4.3
10 4.6
7 3.8
25 9.7
21 9.0
2 68.8
3 13.1
DON'T KNOW REFUSED
48 9.6
25 8.7
31 8.6
43 9.2
17 6.2
15 6.9
26 12.5
12 7.5
30 13.6
23 12.1
17 6.7
15 6.3
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 11-1 T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
----------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
----------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
REP
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
----------
DEM
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND
---------
IND MEN
----------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
230 100.0
158 100.0
72 100.0
270 100.0
195 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
70 100.0
105 100.0
110 100.0
135 100.0
255 100.0
113 100.0
142 100.0
215 100.0
99 100.0
116 100.0
27 100.0
16 100.0
12 100.0
18 to 34
70 14.0
41 17.8
17 10.7
24 33.4
29 10.8
17 8.5
13 16.8
70 100.0
42 16.3
18 16.3
23 16.3
22 10.1
17 17.2
5 4.0
7 24.4
5 34.8
1 10.9
35 to 44
70 14.0
33 14.4
22 14.1
11 15.1
37 13.7
35 17.9
2 2.8
70 100.0
41 16.0
21 18.2
20 14.2
24 11.1
8 7.9
16 13.8
3 10.6
2 14.0
1 6.2
45 to 54
105 21.0
51 22.2
44 27.7
7 10.2
54 19.9
46 23.7
8 10.3
105 100.0
58 22.7
29 25.9
29 20.1
43 20.0
21 21.2
22 19.0
4 15.0
1 5.7
3 27.0
55 to 64
110 22.0
44 19.0
35 22.1
9 12.4
66 24.5
49 25.2
17 22.7
110 100.0
54 21.3
21 18.6
33 23.5
48 22.3
18 18.5
30 25.4
8 28.2
4 28.9
3 27.2
65 plus
135 27.0
56 24.5
37 23.2
19 27.2
79 29.2
45 23.4
33 44.2
135 100.0
54 21.3
21 18.2
34 23.7
75 34.9
33 33.6
42 36.0
6 20.8
2 15.6
3 27.4
DON'T KNOW REFUSED
10 2.0
5 2.1
4 2.3
1 1.7
5 1.9
3 1.4
2 3.1
6 2.4
3 2.7
3 2.1
4 1.7
2 1.7
2 1.8
1.0
0.9
1.2
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 11-2 T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE LIKELY TO VOTE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
CONS ERVE
---------
MODE RATE
---------
LIB ERAL
----------
WHI TE
---------
HISP LAT
---------
AA BLCK
---------
BIG CITY
---------
CITY MEN
----------
CITY WOM
---------
SUB RBAN
---------
SUB MEN
---------
SUB WOM
---------
SMAL TOWN
---------
RURL AREA
----------
44 LESS
---------
45-64
---------
65+
---------
EXT LIKE
---------
VERY LIKE
----------
SOME LIKE
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
235 100.0
153 100.0
104 100.0
415 100.0
30 100.0
20 100.0
170 100.0
88 100.0
82 100.0
145 100.0
68 100.0
77 100.0
97 100.0
40 100.0
140 100.0
215 100.0
135 100.0
391 100.0
100 100.0
9 100.0
18 to 34
70 14.0
43 18.4
19 12.6
7 7.2
64 15.4
5 15.2
2 8.5
25 14.7
18 20.2
7 8.8
26 17.6
15 22.7
10 13.0
11 11.0
5 12.4
70 50.0
56 14.3
14 14.2
35 to 44
70 14.0
32 13.6
27 17.9
11 10.4
59 14.1
3 17.4
29 16.8
10 11.6
18 22.3
12 8.4
5 6.8
8 9.8
12 12.3
9 23.2
70 50.0
55 14.1
14 13.9
1 8.8
45 to 54
105 21.0
51 21.9
28 18.6
25 24.3
93 22.4
3 11.4
4 20.4
45 26.7
24 26.7
22 26.6
32 22.3
17 24.5
16 20.4
11 11.7
6 15.5
105 48.8
85 21.7
20 20.2
1.6
55 to 64
110 22.0
52 22.3
26 17.0
28 27.5
88 21.1
15 50.7
1 5.3
43 25.5
25 28.8
18 21.9
36 24.9
11 16.6
25 32.1
18 18.9
5 13.3
110 51.2
88 22.5
17 17.5
4 48.3
65 plus
135 27.0
50 21.4
50 32.4
30 28.7
104 25.1
6 21.0
9 47.4
26 15.3
11 12.1
15 18.7
35 24.0
18 26.2
17 22.1
43 43.9
13 33.1
135 100.0
98 24.9
34 33.8
4 41.3
DON'T KNOW REFUSED
10 2.0
5 2.3
2 1.5
2 1.9
8 2.0
1.6
0.9
2 1.1
0.5
1 1.7
4 2.8
2 3.2
2 2.5
2 2.1
1 2.4
10 2.4
0.4
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 11-3 T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you? INTENSITY TRUMP APPROVAL GOV BALLOT TEST --------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
10
---------
9-10
---------
7-10
----------
TOT APRV
---------
STRG APRV
---------
TOT DIS
---------
STRG DIS
---------
TOT EDMS
----------
DEF EDMS
---------
TOT STIT
---------
DEF STIT
---------
POWL
---------
UND
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
290 100.0
359 100.0
473 100.0
270 100.0
223 100.0
212 100.0
167 100.0
221 100.0
194 100.0
253 100.0
231 100.0
3 100.0
20 100.0
18 to 34
70 14.0
41 14.2
47 13.2
66 13.9
46 16.9
34 15.2
22 10.5
19 11.2
22 10.1
17 8.8
43 17.0
39 17.0
4 21.8
35 to 44
70 14.0
32 11.2
48 13.4
67 14.2
44 16.3
37 16.6
26 12.3
20 11.9
25 11.4
21 10.9
42 16.7
37 16.1
1 38.8
1 7.3
45 to 54
105 21.0
68 23.5
81 22.7
101 21.4
50 18.6
44 19.6
53 24.8
44 26.6
50 22.5
44 22.8
48 19.0
45 19.3
7 35.1
55 to 64
110 22.0
56 19.4
72 19.9
104 21.9
61 22.6
52 23.5
44 20.7
35 21.0
49 22.4
44 22.5
58 22.8
54 23.3
3 13.1
65 plus
135 27.0
84 29.1
103 28.5
126 26.5
63 23.4
51 22.6
63 29.8
46 27.3
70 31.8
64 33.3
56 22.2
51 21.9
1 47.2
5 22.8
DON'T KNOW REFUSED
10 2.0
7 2.6
8 2.3
10 2.1
6 2.1
6 2.5
4 2.0
3 2.0
4 1.7
3 1.6
6 2.3
6 2.4
14.0
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 12-1 T12. To ensure that we have a representative sample what is your race or ethnicity? Are you white, Hispanic or Latino, black or African American, or do you consider yourself to be part of another racial or ethnic group? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
----------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
----------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
REP
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
----------
DEM
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND
---------
IND MEN
----------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
230 100.0
158 100.0
72 100.0
270 100.0
195 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
70 100.0
105 100.0
110 100.0
135 100.0
255 100.0
113 100.0
142 100.0
215 100.0
99 100.0
116 100.0
27 100.0
16 100.0
12 100.0
WHITE
415 83.0
187 81.5
131 82.8
56 78.5
228 84.3
168 86.0
60 79.8
64 91.0
59 83.6
93 88.4
88 79.6
104 77.1
230 90.1
96 84.9
134 94.2
161 74.7
77 77.3
84 72.5
22 80.6
12 80.1
10 81.3
HISPANIC LATINO
30 6.0
12 5.1
5 3.3
7 9.2
18 6.7
9 4.8
9 11.7
5 6.5
3 3.3
15 13.8
6 4.7
3 1.3
3 2.5
0.3
25 11.6
9 9.0
16 13.8
2 6.2
2 14.4
AFRICAN AMERICAN BLACK
20 4.0
12 5.1
9 5.6
3 3.8
8 3.1
5 2.4
4 4.9
2 2.4
3 5.0
4 3.9
1 1.0
9 7.0
5 2.1
3 2.9
2 1.5
13 6.2
8 7.7
6 4.9
1 4.4
1 4.5
1 4.3
OTHER
33 6.5
18 7.8
13 7.9
5 7.5
15 5.4
12 6.4
2 2.8
7 10.5
4 3.6
6 5.3
15 11.0
16 6.1
10 9.0
6 3.9
14 6.7
5 5.4
9 7.8
2 8.7
2 15.4
DON'T KNOW REFUSED
3 0.5
1 0.5
1 0.4
1 0.9
1 0.5
1 0.4
1 0.7
1 0.9
1 0.8
0.4
0.2
1 0.3
1 0.7
0.1
2 0.8
0.5
1 1.0
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 12-2 T12. To ensure that we have a representative sample what is your race or ethnicity? Are you white, Hispanic or Latino, black or African American, or do you consider yourself to be part of another racial or ethnic group? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE LIKELY TO VOTE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
CONS ERVE
---------
MODE RATE
---------
LIB ERAL
----------
WHI TE
---------
HISP LAT
---------
AA BLCK
---------
BIG CITY
---------
CITY MEN
----------
CITY WOM
---------
SUB RBAN
---------
SUB MEN
---------
SUB WOM
---------
SMAL TOWN
---------
RURL AREA
----------
44 LESS
---------
45-64
---------
65+
---------
EXT LIKE
---------
VERY LIKE
----------
SOME LIKE
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
235 100.0
153 100.0
104 100.0
415 100.0
30 100.0
20 100.0
170 100.0
88 100.0
82 100.0
145 100.0
68 100.0
77 100.0
97 100.0
40 100.0
140 100.0
215 100.0
135 100.0
391 100.0
100 100.0
9 100.0
WHITE
415 83.0
213 90.6
113 74.1
85 82.6
415 100.0
141 82.4
72 81.6
68 83.3
123 84.8
57 83.7
66 85.7
82 85.2
30 76.6
122 87.3
180 83.9
104 77.1
327 83.5
83 83.5
5 54.1
HISPANIC LATINO
30 6.0
3 1.4
18 11.9
5 5.3
30 100.0
11 6.2
5 5.6
6 6.9
16 11.3
7 10.2
9 12.3
5 3.3
19 8.7
6 4.7
21 5.4
6 5.8
3 33.9
AFRICAN AMERICAN BLACK
20 4.0
5 2.2
7 4.6
6 5.3
20 100.0
8 5.0
5 5.9
3 4.0
5 3.4
3 4.9
2 2.0
3 3.3
3 6.6
5 3.7
5 2.4
9 7.0
15 3.7
4 4.5
1 10.4
OTHER
33 6.5
13 5.4
14 9.3
6 5.4
10 6.0
6 7.0
4 5.0
1 0.5
1 1.1
10 10.3
7 16.8
7 5.3
10 4.5
15 11.0
27 6.9
6 5.5
DON'T KNOW REFUSED
3 0.5
1 0.4
0.1
2 1.5
1 0.4
1 0.7
0.1
0.1
0.1
1 1.2
0.1
1 0.4
1 0.6
0.2
2 0.4
1 0.7
1.6
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 12-3 T12. To ensure that we have a representative sample what is your race or ethnicity? Are you white, Hispanic or Latino, black or African American, or do you consider yourself to be part of another racial or ethnic group? INTENSITY TRUMP APPROVAL GOV BALLOT TEST --------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
10
---------
9-10
---------
7-10
----------
TOT APRV
---------
STRG APRV
---------
TOT DIS
---------
STRG DIS
---------
TOT EDMS
----------
DEF EDMS
---------
TOT STIT
---------
DEF STIT
---------
POWL
---------
UND
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
290 100.0
359 100.0
473 100.0
270 100.0
223 100.0
212 100.0
167 100.0
221 100.0
194 100.0
253 100.0
231 100.0
3 100.0
20 100.0
WHITE
415 83.0
241 83.1
296 82.3
394 83.3
237 88.0
195 87.1
164 77.4
127 76.3
170 77.1
147 76.1
226 89.2
205 88.5
3 94.3
14 69.6
HISPANIC LATINO
30 6.0
18 6.2
22 6.0
25 5.3
7 2.6
5 2.3
20 9.4
20 11.9
25 11.3
22 11.3
3 1.3
3 1.4
2 8.4
AFRICAN AMERICAN BLACK
20 4.0
13 4.4
14 3.9
19 4.0
8 2.8
6 2.7
11 5.1
7 4.3
12 5.3
11 5.6
7 2.6
6 2.5
5.7
1 3.4
OTHER
33 6.5
17 6.0
26 7.3
33 6.9
17 6.2
17 7.5
16 7.4
11 6.6
12 5.5
12 6.2
17 6.6
17 7.2
4 18.6
DON'T KNOW REFUSED
3 0.5
1 0.3
2 0.6
2 0.5
1 0.4
1 0.4
1 0.7
1 0.9
2 0.8
1 0.8
1 0.3
1 0.3
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 13-1 T13. Are you married, separated or divorced, widowed, single and never been married, or unmarried and living with a partner? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
----------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
----------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
REP
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
----------
DEM
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND
---------
IND MEN
----------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
230 100.0
158 100.0
72 100.0
270 100.0
195 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
70 100.0
105 100.0
110 100.0
135 100.0
255 100.0
113 100.0
142 100.0
215 100.0
99 100.0
116 100.0
27 100.0
16 100.0
12 100.0
MARRIED
353 70.6
158 68.8
158 100.0
195 72.1
195 100.0
33 47.7
57 81.5
90 85.6
84 76.4
82 60.9
191 74.8
89 79.0
101 71.4
144 67.2
59 59.2
86 74.0
15 56.2
8 50.9
8 63.0
SINGLE NEVER BEEN MARRIED
40 8.0
25 10.9
25 34.9
15 5.5
15 19.6
27 38.8
5 7.0
3 2.4
4 3.2
1 1.1
22 8.8
11 10.1
11 7.7
15 6.9
11 11.1
4 3.3
3 9.9
3 17.4
SEPARATED DIVORCED
27 5.3
11 4.8
11 15.4
16 5.7
16 20.6
1 2.0
3 4.7
4 3.7
11 9.6
7 5.1
10 4.1
4 3.4
7 4.7
15 7.0
6 6.2
9 7.7
1 3.8
1 6.7
WIDOWED
21 4.1
2 0.9
2 3.0
18 6.8
18 24.5
20 14.9
11 4.3
1 0.6
10 7.2
9 4.3
1 1.5
8 6.7
1 1.9
1 4.3
UNMARRIED LIVING WITH A PARTNER
17 3.3
7 3.1
7 9.9
9 3.5
9 12.5
6 9.2
4 3.6
3 2.8
3 2.4
5 1.8
1 0.7
4 2.6
7 3.4
2 2.5
5 4.2
5 16.7
4 25.0
1 6.1
NO OPINION
43 8.7
26 11.5
26 36.7
17 6.3
17 22.7
2 2.3
5 6.7
5 4.6
9 8.0
21 15.6
16 6.3
7 6.3
9 6.4
24 11.2
19 19.4
5 4.2
3 11.6
3 26.6
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 13-2 T13. Are you married, separated or divorced, widowed, single and never been married, or unmarried and living with a partner? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE LIKELY TO VOTE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
CONS ERVE
---------
MODE RATE
---------
LIB ERAL
----------
WHI TE
---------
HISP LAT
---------
AA BLCK
---------
BIG CITY
---------
CITY MEN
----------
CITY WOM
---------
SUB RBAN
---------
SUB MEN
---------
SUB WOM
---------
SMAL TOWN
---------
RURL AREA
----------
44 LESS
---------
45-64
---------
65+
---------
EXT LIKE
---------
VERY LIKE
----------
SOME LIKE
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
235 100.0
153 100.0
104 100.0
415 100.0
30 100.0
20 100.0
170 100.0
88 100.0
82 100.0
145 100.0
68 100.0
77 100.0
97 100.0
40 100.0
140 100.0
215 100.0
135 100.0
391 100.0
100 100.0
9 100.0
MARRIED
353 70.6
174 74.1
106 69.4
70 67.3
299 72.0
15 48.7
14 67.7
136 79.7
67 76.2
69 83.4
108 74.2
48 70.5
60 77.4
57 59.0
29 73.1
90 64.6
174 80.9
82 60.9
278 71.1
72 72.4
3 30.1
SINGLE NEVER BEEN MARRIED
40 8.0
21 9.1
12 8.0
6 6.1
34 8.2
5 15.2
1 4.4
12 7.2
9 9.8
4 4.3
14 9.3
9 13.0
5 6.1
6 6.6
5 13.5
32 22.9
6 2.8
1 1.1
33 8.4
7 6.8
SEPARATED DIVORCED
27 5.3
12 5.1
7 4.6
7 7.2
21 5.0
4 13.4
2 8.2
6 3.8
5 5.2
2 2.2
8 5.5
1 1.8
7 8.7
9 9.7
1 3.0
5 3.4
14 6.7
7 5.1
19 4.8
6 6.2
2 18.1
WIDOWED
21 4.1
9 3.7
9 5.9
2 2.0
17 4.2
1 6.0
2 1.0
2 2.1
4 2.7
1 2.1
3 3.3
13 13.2
1 3.3
20 14.9
16 4.0
3 3.3
2 17.8
UNMARRIED LIVING WITH A PARTNER
17 3.3
5 1.9
6 4.2
3 2.4
12 2.9
3 10.2
1 6.0
5 2.9
3 3.1
2 2.7
5 3.7
4 5.5
2 2.2
2 2.5
6 4.6
7 3.2
3 2.4
9 2.3
4 4.3
3 33.9
NO OPINION
43 8.7
14 6.0
12 7.9
15 14.9
32 7.7
4 12.5
2 7.6
9 5.4
5 5.6
4 5.2
7 4.6
5 7.2
2 2.3
9 9.0
3 7.0
6 4.5
14 6.4
21 15.6
36 9.3
7 7.1
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 13-3 T13. Are you married, separated or divorced, widowed, single and never been married, or unmarried and living with a partner? INTENSITY TRUMP APPROVAL GOV BALLOT TEST --------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
10
---------
9-10
---------
7-10
----------
TOT APRV
---------
STRG APRV
---------
TOT DIS
---------
STRG DIS
---------
TOT EDMS
----------
DEF EDMS
---------
TOT STIT
---------
DEF STIT
---------
POWL
---------
UND
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
290 100.0
359 100.0
473 100.0
270 100.0
223 100.0
212 100.0
167 100.0
221 100.0
194 100.0
253 100.0
231 100.0
3 100.0
20 100.0
MARRIED
353 70.6
208 71.7
259 72.0
337 71.3
197 73.0
167 74.5
149 70.0
124 74.2
151 68.5
134 69.0
186 73.4
174 75.2
2 68.8
13 62.8
SINGLE NEVER BEEN MARRIED
40 8.0
21 7.3
26 7.3
39 8.3
22 8.3
16 7.4
17 7.8
12 7.2
16 7.2
13 6.9
24 9.4
19 8.4
5.7
SEPARATED DIVORCED
27 5.3
17 5.9
19 5.2
25 5.3
14 5.2
11 4.8
10 4.7
9 5.5
14 6.4
12 6.3
12 4.7
11 4.7
1 3.4
WIDOWED
21 4.1
17 5.8
18 4.9
21 4.3
12 4.5
10 4.4
7 3.3
5 2.9
7 3.2
7 3.6
11 4.5
10 4.2
1 25.5
1 3.4
UNMARRIED LIVING WITH A PARTNER
17 3.3
5 1.6
7 2.1
11 2.4
7 2.5
5 2.2
6 2.7
2 1.3
9 4.3
4 2.3
5 2.1
4 1.9
2 8.5
NO OPINION
43 8.7
22 7.7
31 8.6
39 8.3
17 6.5
15 6.7
25 11.6
15 9.0
23 10.5
23 11.9
15 5.9
13 5.7
4 22.0
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 14-1 T14. Are you male or female? GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT -------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
MEN
---------
MEN MARR
---------
MEN SING
----------
WOM
---------
WOM MARR
---------
WOM SING
---------
18-34
---------
35-44
----------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
REP
---------
REP MEN
---------
REP WOM
----------
DEM
---------
DEM MEN
---------
DEM WOM
---------
IND
---------
IND MEN
----------
IND WOM
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
230 100.0
158 100.0
72 100.0
270 100.0
195 100.0
75 100.0
70 100.0
70 100.0
105 100.0
110 100.0
135 100.0
255 100.0
113 100.0
142 100.0
215 100.0
99 100.0
116 100.0
27 100.0
16 100.0
12 100.0
FEMALE
270 54.0
270 100.0
195 100.0
75 100.0
29 41.6
37 52.7
54 51.3
66 60.2
79 58.3
142 55.7
142 100.0
116 54.0
116 100.0
12 43.5
12 100.0
MALE
230 46.0
230 100.0
158 100.0
72 100.0
41 58.4
33 47.3
51 48.7
44 39.8
56 41.7
113 44.3
113 100.0
99 46.0
99 100.0
16 56.5
16 100.0
REFUSED
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 14-2 T14. Are you male or female? IDEOLOGY ETHNICITY RESIDENT AREA~GENDER COMPACT AGE LIKELY TO VOTE --------------------------------- -------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------------------------
TOTAL ---------
CONS ERVE
---------
MODE RATE
---------
LIB ERAL
----------
WHI TE
---------
HISP LAT
---------
AA BLCK
---------
BIG CITY
---------
CITY MEN
----------
CITY WOM
---------
SUB RBAN
---------
SUB MEN
---------
SUB WOM
---------
SMAL TOWN
---------
RURL AREA
----------
44 LESS
---------
45-64
---------
65+
---------
EXT LIKE
---------
VERY LIKE
----------
SOME LIKE
---------
TOTAL
500 100.0
235 100.0
153 100.0
104 100.0
415 100.0
30 100.0
20 100.0
170 100.0
88 100.0
82 100.0
145 100.0
68 100.0
77 100.0
97 100.0
40 100.0
140 100.0
215 100.0
135 100.0
391 100.0
100 100.0
9 100.0
FEMALE
270 54.0
132 56.4
81 52.9
51 49.2
228 54.8
18 60.6
8 41.8
82 48.2
82 100.0
77 53.2
77 100.0
56 57.7
25 63.7
66 47.2
120 55.8
79 58.3
215 54.9
47 47.5
8 85.9
MALE
230 46.0
102 43.6
72 47.1
53 50.8
187 45.2
12 39.4
12 58.2
88 51.8
88 100.0
68 46.8
68 100.0
41 42.3
14 36.3
74 52.8
95 44.2
56 41.7
176 45.1
52 52.5
1 14.1
REFUSED
Oklahoma General Election Survey of Likely 2018 Voters, October 22nd - 23rd, 2018, 500N, 4.38% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 14-3 T14. Are you male or female? INTENSITY TRUMP APPROVAL GOV BALLOT TEST --------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------
