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Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Missouri Senior Report 2006Missouri Senior Report 2006
Missouri “Show Me” Summit on Aging and HealthCharting our Journey
March 28, 2006
Dr. Bill ElderDirector, Office of Social & Economic Data Analysis
University of Missouri-Columbia
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
“Charting our Journey”• We are on the edge of demographic
changes that will require social and economic adjustments in our communities.
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
“Charting our Journey”• We are on the edge of demographic
changes that will require social and economic adjustments in our communities.
• If we are to “Chart our Journey” we’ll need some sound navigational indicators.
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
“Charting our Journey”• We are on the edge of demographic
changes that will require social and economic adjustments in our communities.
• If we are to “Chart our Journey” we’ll need some sound navigational indicators.
• This June, Missouri Senior Report will start reporting county level measures of where we are and where we are heading.
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Senior Indicators to Measure
• Household Types• Housing Arrangements• Workforce & Income• Wealth & Poverty• Transportation
• Health & Mental Health • Health Care Access• Insurance Coverage• Security – Crime• Social Engagement
“Constant bearing decreasing range”
Senior issues that are close to us
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Purpose of Senior Report• Provide annual indicators of the status of
Seniors for each Missouri county
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Purpose of Senior Report• Provide annual indicators of the status of
Seniors for each Missouri county
• Promote discussions in Missouri communities about how best to adjust to the aging of our population
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Purpose of Senior Report• Provide annual indicators of the status of
Seniors for each Missouri county
• Promote discussions in Missouri communities about how best to adjust to the aging of our population
• Promote local planning and assessment
…….“Charting our Journey”
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Navigation Requires Information
Navigation is a form of planning
Choosing a Destination(Where we’re going)
Plotting a Course (Making a plan)
Estimating Position(Where we might be)
To set a course we first must choose a destination…
“Dead Reckoning”
0800 0900
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Navigation Requires Information
Navigation is a form of planning
Choosing a Destination(Where we’re going)
Plotting a Course (Making a plan)
Estimating Position(Where we might be)
Taking a “FIX”(where we really are) “Set and Drift”
Adjusting Course
Result
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Senior Indicators to Measure
• Household Types• Housing Arrangements• Workforce & Income• Wealth & Poverty• Transportation
• Health & Mental Health • Health Care Access• Insurance Coverage• Security – Crime• Social Engagement
“Navigational Markers” partners think are most important
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Planning Senior Report (Partners)
• Thanks—DHSS & AAAs
• Advisory Committee
• Regional Meetings– 47 meetings– 462 participants
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Planning Senior Report (Format)• Only a few indicators (under 10)
• Produce a one page summary
• Report results by county and rank
• Include a few brief articles– Mental Health – Transportation– Disparities
• Use the WEB but also make print version
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Senior Indicators to Measure
• Household Types• Housing Arrangements• Workforce & Income• Wealth & Poverty• Transportation
• Health & Mental Health • Health Care Access• Insurance Coverage• Security – Crime• Social Engagement
“Navigational Markers” partners think are most important
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Why these indicators?
• Review some trends
• Reflect Missouri diversity
• Advice about what’s important
“Constant bearing decreasing range”
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
0
5
10
15
20
Per
cen
t
1990 2000 2010 2020
Year
Percent Missouri Population Age 65+: 1990-2020
SOURCE: Census Bureau/NCHS. Projection algorithm, programming by OSEDA Chart Prepared by: University of Missouri Extension, Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis24March2006
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Employment of Missouri Workers 65+Quarterly 2001-2004
74,000
76,000
78,000
80,000
82,000
84,000
86,000
88,000
90,000
92,000
2001 Q1 2001 Q2 2001 Q3 2001 Q4 2002 Q1 2002 Q2 2002 Q3 2002 Q4 2003 Q1 2003 Q2 2003 Q3 2003 Q4 2004 Q1 2004 Q2 2004 Q3 2004 Q4 2005 Q1
SOURCE: “Local Employment Dynamics”, MO Dept. of Economic Development, MERIC
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Monthly Earnings of Missouri Workers 65+Quarterly 2001-2004
$1,500
$1,600
$1,700
$1,800
$1,900
$2,000
$2,100
$2,200
$2,300
2001 Q1 2001 Q2 2001 Q3 2001 Q4 2002 Q1 2002 Q2 2002 Q3 2002 Q4 2003 Q1 2003 Q2 2003 Q3 2003 Q4 2004 Q1 2004 Q2 2004 Q3 2004 Q4
SOURCE: “Local Employment Dynamics”, MO Dept. of Economic Development, MERIC
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
“Charting our Journey”• Major demographic changes are coming
• They will have regionally diverse impacts
• Different communities will want to chart their own course
• So, we’re looking forward to Senior Report to provide county level information
• Area Agencies on Aging will host regional presentations of the report this summer
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Senior Indicators to Measure
• Household Types• Housing Arrangements• Workforce & Income• Wealth & Poverty• Transportation
• Health & Mental Health • Health Care Access• Insurance Coverage• Security – Crime• Social Engagement
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
“Charting our Journey”• In some regions we may need information
for areas smaller than a county
• Examples– St. Louis County Senior Count– Boone County Senior Report– CareConnection
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Senior Indicators to Measure
• Household Types• Housing Arrangements• Workforce & Income• Wealth & Poverty• Transportation
• Health & Mental Health • Health Care Access• Insurance Coverage• Security – Crime• Social Engagement
See you in June!
Office of Social and Economic Data AnalysisOffice of Social and Economic Data Analysis
Missouri Senior Report 2006Missouri Senior Report 2006
Missouri “Show Me” Summit on Aging and HealthCharting our Journey
www.oseda.missouri.edu
