Date post: | 03-Feb-2018 |
Category: |
Documents |
Upload: | nguyentram |
View: | 217 times |
Download: | 1 times |
INTERNAL USE ONLY – DO NOT DISTRIBUTE PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL. This document is not a public record. Ohio Revised Code 149.43(A)(1)(bb) and 187.04(C)(1) and (2).
Ohio Energy Markets & Shale Energy/Petrochemicals Sector Strategy Matt Cybulski
Director, Shale Energy & Petrochemicals
July 24, 2017
2 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
JobsOhio Overview
Mission Statement
Client Focus
Key Partners
Private-Public
Results Oriented
JobsOhio is a private, non-profit corporation committed to driving job creation and new capital investment in Ohio through business attraction, retention and expansion efforts
3 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
Targeted Industry Sectors
4 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
Select Executives Board of Directors
John Minor President & CIO Previously MD at Evercore
James Boland Chairman Ret. Vice Chair, E&Y
John Minor President & CIO
Thomas L. Williams President & CEO, North American Properties
John Bishop Chairman, Motorists Insurance
William G. Batchelder Frm. Speaker, Ohio House of Representatives
Gary Heminger President & CEO, Marathon Petroleum
Barbara Snyder President, Case Western Reserve University
Lawrence Kidd Principal & CEO, Reliable Staffing Services
Stephen E. Markovich Sr. Vice President OhioHealth
JobsOhio Leadership
David Mustine Senior Advisor Previously Secretary ODNR SVP – AEP Regulated
Aaron Pitts Senior Managing Director Previously Strategy Executive, Cardinal Health
Kristi Tanner Senior Managing Director Previously COO – ODOD
Dana Saucier Managing Director Previously Founded Accent Energy
Ted Griffith Managing Director Previously H-P Executive
Glenn Richardson Managing Director Previously VP, Rolls-Royce Energy and Dana Holding
Valentina Isakina Managing Director Previously Vice President, Nationwide
5 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
JobsOhio Overview
Mission Statement
Client Focus
Key Partners
Private-Public
Results Oriented
JobsOhio’s model is centered around serving our clients – companies creating jobs in Ohio – and developing long-term relationships
6 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
JobsOhio Overview
Mission Statement
Client Focus
Key Partners
Private-Public
Results Oriented
JobsOhio brings together organizations and stakeholders from across the state – including our six regional network partners (JON), consultants, site selectors, local development offices, industry associations, government officials and others – to drive economic development activity in Ohio
7 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
JobsOhio Overview
Mission Statement
Client Focus
Key Partners
Private-Public
Results Oriented
JobsOhio’s acquisition of a 25-year franchise on the state’s liquor business provides private funding that we utilize to fulfill a public purpose of creating jobs and improving the economic well-being for Ohio’s citizens
8 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
JobsOhio Overview
Mission Statement
Client Focus
Key Partners
Private-Public
Results Oriented JobsOhio’s model is working. Since Q1 2011 – December 31, 2016, we have won over 1,450 projects and companies have committed to create over 104,000 new jobs, create nearly $4.7 billion in new payroll, and invest over $27 billion of new capital in Ohio.
9 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
Then and Now – Electricity and Natural Gas in Ohio
Then (Pre-2005) Now (2005-Present)
Ohio was a regulated utility state Deregulated for electricity and gas
Regulated power plant ownership Merchant power plant ownership
Coal-fired generation dominated Coal, Natural Gas, and Renewable Generation
Unstable natural gas costs Abundant shale gas – cheapest in the world
Importing of natural gas from Gulf/Rockies $50 billion invested related to shale in upstream, midstream, and downstream*
*Source: Cleveland State University: June 2017
10 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
• July 1999 – Senate Bill 3 passed to move Ohio to a deregulated market • January 2001 – Senate Bill 3 took effect, beginning the transition to deregulation • Ohio power markets have been fully deregulated for 12 years • Ohio natural gas markets have been deregulated for over 20 years • Large industrials to residential customers are shopping energy needs • Over 50 full service natural energy marketing firms targeting industrials in Ohio • Large Ohio industrial consumers command highly customized supply structures that
meet their business needs and profitability targets
Deregulation in Ohio Timeline
11 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
Power Deregulation in Ohio
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, World Bank
12 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
Deregulation in Ohio – Portion of Ohio Electricity Sold to Shoppers 2008 - 2016
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16AEP Duke DPL First Energy
13 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
What’s Next in Energy – Grid Modernization and Beyond the Meter
Opportunities to develop controls, valves, microelectronics, software, services…
14 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
• It can take time to explain deregulation/the ability to shop • Over 50 full service natural energy marketing firms targeting industrials in Ohio
• Knowing where to begin can be overwhelming • Regulated states can offer long-term, fixed pricing – this provides clarity to clients
• Companies and especially site selection consultants like to see the definitive, long-term pricing
• Ohio’s deregulated market can often offer competitive or cheaper pricing and flexibility, but getting those rates is not straightforward
• Responding to RFI’s doesn’t allow for clear answers – we provide average costs and other scenarios but try to discuss shopping and its advantages
• As coal-fired power plants are shuttered, local communities are negatively impacted by loss of jobs and tax revenue
Economic Development Challenges Related to Deregulation
15 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
Shale Energy/Petrochemical Strategy
16 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
Ohio’s Skyrocketing Shale Production and Competitive Price
• The Utica and Marcellus shale plays in eastern Ohio, western Pennsylvania, and West Virginia represent 85 percent of the growth in U.S. shale gas production since 2012.
• Ohio’s natural gas production reached 1.37 trillion cubic feet in 2016, up 43% from 2015 production.
• The abundance of reliable natural gas in Ohio has resulted in access to low-cost natural gas.
17 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
Marcellus & Utica Leading the US in Natural Gas Growth
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, World Bank
Source: Marathon Petroleum J.P. Morgan 2017 Energy Equity Investor Conference: June 26, 2017
18 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
Attraction opportunity for Ohio
Methanol plants
Ethane Steam Crackers On-purpose propylene
plants
Ammonia plants
Upstream extractors
Gas Pipelines
Fractionators/processors Power generators
Raw fossil fuels
Complex chemicals
Refineries
Industrial chemicals, coatings, and polymers companies/ JO Wins
Liquids Pipelines
Alkylation plants
Liquids Storage
Pre-2011 Energy/Petchem Presence in Ohio
*Not Exhaustive
19 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
Methanol plants
Steam crackers
On-purpose propylene
plants
Ammonia plants
Upstream extractors
Gas Pipelines
Fractionators/processors Power generators
Raw fossil fuels
Complex chemicals
Refineries Liquids Storage
Industrial chemicals, coatings, and polymers companies
Alkylation plants
Lordstown
Energy
Liquids Pipelines
Renewables
Pre-2011 Energy/Petchem Presence in Ohio
~$50 Billion
Invested*
Attraction opportunity for Ohio
Not Exhaustive
*Source: Cleveland State University Report: June 2017
20 Confidential – Internal Use Only | 20
20
Natural Gas Liquids Value Chain & Job Creation Multiplier
Job Growth Increases As Value Is Added To The Commodity
Source: Dept of Energy, Cleveland State
21 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
Upstream Extraction
• Massive growth in natural gas, butane, ethane, propane, condensate – low price market
Strategy:
• Assist connecting industry with large end-users, Drilling investment tracking underway
Midstream (Fractionation/Pipelines)
• Over $12 billion in processing investments, Over 40 pipelines under development in region
• M&A activity – MPLX/MarkWest, TransCanada/Columbia Pipeline, Enbridge/Spectra
Strategy:
• Expand and attract demand for feedstock
• Maximize follow-on asset build-out opportunities
• Maximize pipeline offtake points
• Proactive site development around new infrastructure
Downstream - Power Generation
• $3.8bn 4 new natural gas power plants under construction
• Power costs trending down to a 10 year low - Use local low cost natural gas
Strategy:
• 4 additional plants under development approx. $4.1bn additional investment
• New infrastructure creating site synergies
Downstream - Power Generation - Renewables
• Three new utility grade wind farms $400mn
• Of high interest to industries particularly high tech
Strategy:
• Opportunity to develop 4 additional wind farms $400mn investment
• Cross sector involvement with high tech industry seeking renewables
Continue Building On Ohio’s Global Energy and Chemical Lead Position
22 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
Downstream – Ethane to Ethylene, HDPE, etc..
• Utica wet gas leading to significant regional ethane feed-stocks
• Limited large river sites inventory in shale region for large scale projects
Strategy:
• Working with PTT Global Chemical to land a world scale cracker
Downstream – Butane, Propane, Natural Gas
• Significant cost advantaged regional butane, propane, and natural gas feed-stocks
• Liquids processing and transportation build-out allow for additional development
Strategy:
• Efforts underway to develop uses for butane
• Efforts underway to develop natural gas feed-stocks to methanol for use in plastics, pains, resins, adhesives,
solvents etc.
• Working to develop interest in Propane (PDH) to propylene
Downstream – Chemicals, Adhesives, Coatings, Polymers, Plastics, etc.
• Build on Ohio’s #1 position in polymer output, polyolefin demand, plastics output
• 6th largest chemical producing state
Strategy:
• Leverage Ohio’s shale advantage and established chemical market to develop/attract additional market and
additional supply chain
• Outreach to specialty chemical players abroad
Continue Building On Ohio’s Global Energy and Chemical Lead Position
INTERNAL USE ONLY – DO NOT DISTRIBUTE PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL. This document is not a public record. Ohio Revised Code 149.43(A)(1)(bb) and 187.04(C)(1) and (2).
23 23
Cumulative Announced Chemical Industry Investment From Shale Gas
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
0255075
100125150175200225250275300
Total Investment Number of Announced Projects
$Bil # of Projects
Source: ACC analysis, December 2010 – December 2016
24 Confidential – Internal Use Only | 24
Announced Plastic Processor Projects By State
Announced
Projects
40+
30-39
20-29
10-19
5-9
1-4
0
Ohio is
third in
projects
Announcements since June 2012
Source: Plastics News, ACC analysis
Updated –8/1/16
25 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
Key Takeaways
• JobsOhio values relationships with our utility partners
• Most expansion and attraction projects are very energy intensive – electricity, natural gas, or both – across most industry sectors
• Ohio’s electricity prices are at a 10-year low
• Communicating to clients on how deregulation works and the benefits of shopping is critical
• Utica and Marcellus Shale exploration and production has resulted in Ohio having access to the world’s lowest natural gas prices
• With the ongoing retirement of coal fired power generation, new natural gas combined cycle plants are coming online with more under development
• Shuttered coal plants are targets for redevelopment
• Sites with existing infrastructure or within very close proximity are critical to our success
26 Confidential – Internal Use Only |
Thank You