Oil Exploration Affirmative - CDL 2014

5/19/2018 Oil Exploration Affirmative - CDL 2014

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CDL Core Files 2014/2015 IndexOil Exploration Case AFF

Oil Exploration Affirmative

Oil Exploration Affirmative 1

Oil Exploration 1AC [1/11]........................................................................................................2Oil Exploration 1AC [2/11].......................................................................................................3

Oil Exploration 1AC [3/11].......................................................................................................4






Oil Exploration 1AC [9/11].....................................................................................................10

Oil Exploration 1AC [10/11]....................................................................................................11

Oil Exploration 1AC [11/11].....................................................................................................12

2AC Inheren!" A/# $1 %&ot Inherent' [1/1].........................................................................13

2AC (ar)* + Oil ,epen-ene" A/# $1 + %OEC e*ilient' [1/1]..........................................14

2AC (ar)* + Oil ,epen-ene" A/# $2 + %Ener! &ot e!' [1/1].........................................15

2AC (ar)* + Oil ,epen-ene" A/# $3 + %(ee)on! ,oe*nt ole ar' [1/1]..................16

2AC (ar)* + Eono)!" A/# $1 + %Eono)! roin &o' [1/1].......................................17

2AC (ar)* + Eono)!" A/# $2 + %,oe*nt ole roth' [1/1]..........................................18

2AC (ar)* + Eono)!" A/# $3 + %&o I)pat' [1/1]............................................................19

2AC olen!" A/# $1 + %#ehnoloial (r-le*' [1/1]........................................................20

2AC olen!" A/# $2 + %&o ar:et A-aption' [1/1]............................................................21

2AC olen!" A/# $3 + %Cant e;ine' [1/1].........................................................................22


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CDL Core Files 2014/2015 1ACOil Exploration Case AFF

AFF

Oil Exploration 1AC [1/11]

Contention One is Inherency:

1. Despite recent advances !" oil exploration and development capa#ilities lag

behind$lo#al competitors

%erry &'1([ar:. ro;e**or o; Eono)i* at the


3/22


AFF

Oil Exploration 1AC [&/11]

&. Despite coastal discoveries in the stat)s *)o $overnment re$)lations stillprohi#it exploration and development.

+ines &'1,[ihael@ A)erian Kornali*t@ China ?rea hie; ;or #he &e Mor: #i)e* %a*e*enario* an- inore )ea*re* ?! h)an* an- the )a))al* the)*ele* to aoi- har). an! )arine*ienti*t* *a! the e*ti)ate* o; -eath an- inKr! are at ?e*t *erio*l! in;late-. %#here* no ar)ent that*o)e o; the*e *on-* an har) ani)al*@ ?t it* ?lon ot o; proportion@' Arthr &. opper@ ho hea-*the


4/22


AFF

Oil Exploration 1AC [(/11]

Contention -o is arms: ")#point A is "cenario One: Oil Dependence.

1. In the stat)s *)o the Or$ani0ation of the %etrole)m Exportin$ Co)ntries retainsthe a#ility to ri$ the maret in ays that )ndermine !" interests. -he planreverses this and ca)ses !" ener$y leadership.

2lacill and O3")llivan &'1,[o?ert + i**iner enior =ello in


5/22


AFF

Oil Exploration 1AC [,/11]

&. -he alternative to ener$y leadership is ener$y dependence hich )ndermineshe$emony. -he plan achieves independence #)t does notca)se isolationism.

2lacill and O3")llivan &'1,[o?ert + i**iner enior =ello in


6/22


AFF


(. e$emony is the primary ca)se of lastin$ $lo#al peace 5 its decline riss $reatpoer ar

6ie#er &'1,[o?ert G. Hie?er i* ro;e**or o; oern)ent an- International A;;air* at eoreton


7/22


AFF


"cenario -o is ")#point 2: Economic 8roth.

1. -he economy is stallingin the stat)s *)o. -he plan creates a ne sector ofeconomic $roth hich solves str)ct)ral economic #arriers.

9ills &'1&[ar:. Poar- o; ,iretor* at the ar*hall In*titte at A-i*or! Conil to the Cor)i: hool o; Enineerin at&orthe*tern. %Col- the Export oerho*eL' Gl! 2012http"//.)anhattan>in*titte.or/p-;/pre**Nrelea*eNpiN01.p-;]

li)it* reion*o; the oter ontinental *hel; ol- ?rin oer B1 trillion o; net ?ene;it* to the eialent in natral a*@ an- *i)ilar rane ;or oalS@ there are a?ot B75 ?illion in ?roa- eono)i

?ene;it*. 37 A n)?er o; reent *t-ie* hae explore- the i)pliation* o; the ne h!-roar?on

traKetor!@ *hol- it ontine ni)pe-e-" o Citi* anal!*i* onl-e* that the oil an- a* extration *etorol- a-- a* )an! a* 3.6 )illion net ne Ko?* ?! 2020 R;or &orth A)eria@ ?oth -iret an- in-iretS an-*hrin: the -e;iit ?! 60 perent. 38 o oo- a:enJie 39 ;in-* in it* *enario report ;or the A)erianetrole) In*titte a )latie B800 ?illion in inrea*e- reene* to oern)ent* R;e-eral@ *tate@ loalSan- another 1.5 )illion


8/22


AFF

Oil Exploration 1AC [/11]

&. -he plan spills overto improve every facet of the economy

9ason &'11[Go*eph@ enior =ello@ #he harton hool@ Hoi*iana tate renone- eono)i*t@ %(o*e &atral e*ore* ?o))ittee on Ener! an- ineral e*ore* (earinT =i*herie*@il-li;e@ Oean* an- In*lar A;;air* Hei*latie (earin on (.. 306@ (.. 588@ . 266 an- (.. 285' 4/6/11http"//.po.o/;-*!*/p:/C(>112hhr65600/ht)l/C(>112hhr65600.ht)]

O;;*hore Oil ro-tion ti)late* On*hore Eono)ie*. O;;*hore oil an- a* pro-tion ha* a *ini;iante;;et on loal on*hore eono)ie* a* ell a* the national eono)!. #here are ?roa-l! three VVpha*e*o; -eelop)ent that ontri?te to *tate eono)i roth" R1S the initial exploration an- -eelop)ent o;o;;*hore ;ailitie*T R2S the extration o; oil an- a* re*ere*T an- R3S re;inin r-e oil into ;ini*he-petrole) pro-t*. In-*trie* *pportin tho*e pha*e* are )o*t ei-ent in the *etion* o; the l; o; exio that are rrentl! open to o;;*hore -rillin. =or exa)ple@ the >?a*e-larel! in the l; reion>>?ene;it* *ini;iantl! ;ro) initial o;;*hore oil exploration e;;ort*.Exploration an- -eelop)ent al*o reire* *peialiJe- exploration an- -rillin e**el*@ ;loatin -rillin

ri*@ an- )ile* an- )ile* o; *teel pipe@ a* ell a* hihl! e-ate- an- *peialiJe- la?or to *ta;; thee;;ort*. #he on*hore *pport -oe* not en- ith pro-tion. A reent report prepare- ;or the


9/22


AFF

Oil Exploration 1AC [;/11]

(. Economic decline riss $reat poer ars


10/22


AFF

Oil Exploration 1AC [=/11]

-h)s the %lan:-he !nited "tates federal $overnment sho)ld increase its oil exploration and

development of the O)ter Continental "helf.


11/22


AFF

Oil Exploration 1AC [1'/11]

Contention -hree is "olvency:

1. -he plan solves 5 it opens )p ;4 percent of America3s ener$y potential

astin$s &'1&[,o + Conre**ional epre*entatie ;ro) a*hinton tate. %Ealatin re*i-ent O?a)a* O;;*hore ,rillin lanan- I)pat* on or =tre' 2012@ http"//.po.o/;-*!*/p:/C(>112hhr74145/ht)l/C(>112hhr74145.ht)]

A)erian o;;*hore ener! pro-tion pla!* a ital role in or ontr!* eono)i *erit!. It *pport*oer a )illion A)erian Ko?*@ aont* ;or 30 perent o; or &ation* oil pro-tion@ re-e* or-epen-ene on ;orein oil@ an- enerate* ?illion* o; -ollar* in =e-eral reene. &o )ore than eer@ itha*oline prie* *till hoerin near B4 a allon@ an- ne)plo!)ent a?oe 8 perent@ the


12/22


AFF


&. -he plan is s)fficient to expand prod)ction hile providin$ a shot in the arm tothe economy

ille$eist et al &'1([al + re*i-ent an- roKet Exetie ;or We*t O;;*hore e*ore*. %#he Eono)i Pene;it* o; Inrea*in


13/22

CDL Core Files 2014/2015 2AC Topicality Frontline: Coral ee!sA"ir#ati$eTopicality AFF

AFF

&AC Inherency: A/- >1 ?@ot Inherent [1/1]

1. Oil prod)ction is not expandin$. -he !" may have more noled$e of reserves#)t prod)ction still la$s #ehind the rest of the $lo#al comm)nity forcin$ )s to

import )ns)staina#le *)antities of oil. -hat3s o)r 1AC %erry evidence.

&. -he stat)s *)o does not incl)de drillin$ of the outer continental shelf hich isthe only ay to achieve ener$y independence.

%erry &'1([ar:. ro;e**or o; Eono)i* at the


14/22


AFF

&AC arms 5 Oil Dependence: A/- >1 5 ?O%EC


15/22


AFF

&AC arms 5 Oil Dependence: A/- >& 5 ?Ener$y @ot Bey [1/1]

1. Ener$y is ey to !" leadership. i$h prices and volatile shocs mae the !nited

"tates dependent on the rest of the orld for its $eopolitical mo#ility and d)ra#lehe$emony re*)ires that the military still #e a#le to retain mo#ility if the $lo#als)pply ere to #e c)t off. -hat3s #oth pieces of 1AC 2lacill and O3")llivanevidence.

&. Ener$y dependence re*)ires reliance on )nsta#le re$imes that actively)ndermine American interests 5 this constit)tes the $reatest threat to nationalsec)rity

6efton and +eiss &'1'[e?ea He;ton an- ,aniel G. ei**@ He;ton i* enior oli! Anal!*t at A)erian rore**@ *peialiJin ininternational li)ate hane poli! an- **taina?le -eelop)entT ei** i* a enior =ello an- the ,iretor o;Cli)ate trate! at A)erian rore**@ here he lea-* the Center* lean ener! an- li)ate a-oa! a)pain@ %Oil

,epen-ene I* a ,anero* (a?it'@ Ganar! 13th@ 2010@http"//a)erianprore**.or/i**e*/reen/report/2010/01/13/7200/oil>-epen-ene>i*>a>-anero*>ha?it/]

#he A)erian;orein an- ener! poli!. eneJela i* one o; the top ;ie oil exporter* to the


16/22


AFF

&AC arms 5 Oil Dependence: A/- >( 5 ?e$emony Doesn3t"olve +ar [1/1]

1. e$emony prevents ar. !" leadership deters other re$ional actors frominitiatin$ conflict and hen conflict doesflare )p he$emony eeps it contained.-hat no conflict has escalated to a $reat poer ar since +orld +ar -o can #eprimarily attri#)ted to !" leadership. -hat3s o)r 1AC 6ie#er evidence.

&. Ener$y dependence ill )nravel !" leadership 5 that independentlyca)ses aviolent poer transition

"cheller &'11[an-!. ro; olitial iene at Ohio tate. %A;ter e !ear*@ there i* little -i*Kntre ?eteen atal poer an-pre*tie@ an- *o the international or-er re)ain* *ta?le an- leiti)ate. Oer ti)e@ hoeer@ the la o;

neen roth -i;;*e* poer throhot the *!*te). A* the hee)on* o)petitor* ro )orepoer;l@ their -i**ati*;ation ith the *tat* o@ a)?ition*@ an- -e)an-* ;or pre*tie an- inZenero a* ell. re*tie@ hoeer@ ten-* to ?e *ti:!" reptation* ;or poer@ -ii*ion* o; territor!@ an- thein*tittional arhitetre o; the international or-er -o not )oe in lo:*tep ith hane* in poer.

hen a lare enoh -i*Kntre ari*e*@ the *!*te) enter* a *tate o; -i*eili?ri).9 Eentall!@ *erio*international ri*e* en*e@ a* *petalar roth in the eono)i an- )ilitar! apa?ilitie* o; ri*inpoer* trier* %inten*e o)petition a)on ontrie* ;or re*ore* an- )ar:et*@ )ilitar! poer@politial in;lene@ an- pre*tie.'10 ,ra)ati *hi;t* in poer al*o enen-er *erit! -ile))a*. hateertheir tre intention*@ rapi-l! roin *tate* o;ten appear a* threat* to their neih?or*@ a* ell a* to thehee)on an- it* allie*.11rior to )ilitar! on;rontation or een the threat o; *h onZit@ e are thatthe ri*in hallener )*t -eleiti)iJe the hee)on* lo?al athorit! an- or-er.12 #hi* -eleiti)ationpha*e@ hih appear* !ear* ?e;ore the ritial inZetion point o; a poer tran*ition@ reate* the on-ition*;or the e)erene o; a rei*ioni*t onterhee)oni oalition. ,rin thi* pha*e@ the rei*ioni*t poer

oie* it* -i**ati*;ation ith the e*ta?li*he- or-er an- ;ore* the *oial prpo*e that ill ?eo)e the;on-ation o; it* -e)an- ;or a ne orl- or-er. #hi* pha*e or* ithin the larer !lial pattern o; R1Sa *ta?le or-er@ R2S the -eonentration an- -eleiti)ation o; the hee)on* poer@ R3S ar)* ?il-p*an- the ;or)ation o; alliane*@ R4S a re*oltion o; the international ri*i*@ o;ten throh hee)oni ar@an- R5S *!*te) reneal.13 I* onte)porar! international politi* ;olloin thi* onentional pattern an-@i; *o@ here are e in the !leL


17/22


AFF

&AC arms 5 Economy: A/- >1 5 ?Economy 8roin$ @o [1/1]

1. -he economy is not meaningfully expandingin the stat)s *)o. Any shortterm

$ains o#sc)re a str)ct)ral pro#lem in the economy related to ener$y dependence.-hat3s o)r 1AC 9ills evidence.

&. -he economy is falterin$ in the stat)s *)o.

E< 7&[\a:* Eit! e*earh + an Internationall!>re*pete- eit! re*earh ;ir). %,eline>eal>or>G*t>a>irae>o;>,erailin>Eono)!]

#he thir- an- ;inal -ata ;or real ro** -o)e*ti pro-t R,S i* ot an- reeal* that the thir- o; the


18/22


AFF

&AC arms 5 Economy: A/- >& 5 ?Doesn3t "olve 8roth [1/1]

1. -he plan solves economic $roth:

A. It initiates a shortterm stim)l)s related to increased o#s man)fact)rin$ andener$ysector spendin$.2. It solves a str)ct)ral pro#lem ith the economy related to O%EC3s a#ility to ri$the maret a$ainst the !nited "tates and manip)late prices. -hat3s o)r 1AC 9ills9ason and 2lacill and O3")llivan evidence.

&. Economic decline is inevita#le itho)t the plan as a res)lt of oil shocs andprice volatility. Only domestic s)pply increases can solve these factors.

Collina &''4[#o) \. Collina@ the Exetie ,iretor o; 20/20 i*ion. 20/20 i*ion i* a national@ non>parti*an oraniJationpro)otin inrea*e- itiJen partiipation on lo?al *erit! an- eniron)ental i**e*@ %Oil ,epen-ene an-


19/22


AFF

&AC arms 5 Economy: A/- >( 5 ?@o Impact [1/1]

1. Economic decline riss conflict. 6eaders lose their incentive for cooperation and

are tempted to lash o)t for reso)rce and diversionary reasons. %ast conflicts lie+orld +ar II prove that there is a stron$ relationship #eteen economiccontraction and $lo#al conflict 5 that3s o)r 1AC 4]

#he *eon- *enario@ alle- a!he) an- Chao*@ i* the oppo*ite o; the ;ir*t *enarioT eer!thin that ano ron -oe* o ron. #he orl- eono)i *itation ea:en* rather than *trenthen*@ an- In-ia@China@ an- Gapan *;;er a )aKor re-tion in their roth rate*@ ;rther ea:enin the lo?al eono)!.

A* a re*lt@ ener! -e)an- ;all* an- the prie o; ;o**il ;el* pl))et*@ lea-in to a ;inanial ri*i* ;or theener!>pro-in *tate*@ hih are ;ore- to t ?a: -ra)atiall! on expan*ion prora)* an- *oial

el;are. #hat in trn lea-* to politial nre*t" an- nrtre* -i;;erent ra-ial rop*@ inl-in@ ?t notli)ite- to@ I*la)i extre)i*t*. #he internal *ta?ilit! o; *o)e ontrie* i* hallene-@ an- there are )ore%;aile- *tate*.' o*t *erio* i* the ollap*e o; the -e)orati oern)ent in a:i*tan an- it* ta:eoer ?!*li) extre)i*t*@ ho then ta:e po**e**ion o; a lare n)?er o; nlear eapon*. #he -aner o; ar

?eteen In-ia an- a:i*tan inrea*e* *ini;iantl!. Iran@ ala!* orrie- a?ot an extre)i*t a:i*tan@expan-* an- eaponiJe* it* nlear prora). #hat ;rther enhane* nlear proli;eration in the i--leEa*t@ ith a-i Ara?ia@ #r:e!@ an- E!pt Koinin I*rael an- Iran a* nlear *tate*. pro-in *tate* )a! lea- to a ;rther -ea*tatin ollap*e

o; the orl- eono)i )ar:et@ ith a t*na)i>li:e i)pat on *ta?ilit!. In thi* *enario@ )aKor -i*rption*an ?e expete-@ ith -ire on*eene* ;or to>thir-* o; the planet* poplation.


20/22


AFF

&AC "olvency: A/- >1 5 ?-echnolo$ical )rdles [1/1]

1. %rod)ction h)rdle concerns are overstated. Fes the process is complicated #)t

there3s afinancial incentivefor oil prod)cers to mae the process as safe andeffective as possi#le. -hat3s o)r 1AC ille$eist evidence.

&. -he plan overcomes technical h)rdles and res)lts in a massive #oost inprod)ction.

Alario &'1([,i:@ Chair)an o; e! Ener! erie* In@ 7>16>13@ %#i)e to re)oe roa-?lo:* to o;;*hore ener! pro-tion@'Chron@ http"//.hron.o)/opinion/otloo:/artile/#i)e>to>re)oe>roa-?lo:*>to>o;;*hore>ener!>4668833.php]

A -ea-e ao@ it *ee)e- ;ar>;ethe- that A)eria ol- ?e poi*e- to ?eo)e the orl-* ener! re*orelea-er. Met@ that* the a*e to-a!. A)eria i* on the path to oerta:e **ia a* the top natral a* pro-er

in 2015@ aor-in to the International Ener! Aen!. o)e expert* een pre-it that e ill ?eo)e theorl-* lare*t oil pro-er a?ot ;ie !ear* later@ *rpa**in a-i Ara?ia. #han:* to tehnolo!@ ener!o)panie* an no *a;el! an- o*t>e;;etiel! reoer -o)e*ti oil an- natral a* ;ro) *hale on*horean- ;ro) -eep re*eroir* o;;*hore. #he in-*tr! ha* ?eo)e a Ko?* )ahine" It* one o; a han-;l o;*etor* that *a -o?le>-iit perent Ko? roth ?eteen 2010 an- 2012@ aor-in to an anal!*i* ?!CareerPil-er. A-- the in-iret Ko?* ;ro) the ;ro) oil@ a* an- in- > in the Oter Continental hel;. !ear oter *hel; oil an- a* lea*in plan an- expan- lea*e *ale* inntappe- o;;*hore area* e*ti)ate- to hol- at lea*t 2.5 ?illion ?arrel* o; oil an- 7.5 trillion ?i ;eet o;natral a*. R&ote that the*e e*ti)ate* are ?a*e- on -ea-e*>ol- *ei*)i -ata@ an- are there;ore li:el!n-ere*ti)ate*.S #he at ol- reire lea*e *ale* in ne area*@ inl-in o;;*hore irinia@ othCarolina@ *othern Cali;ornia an- in Ala*:a* &orth Aletian Pa*in. #h*@ *tate* li:e oth Carolina an-

irinia@ here ?roa- ?iparti*an *pport exi*t* ;or o;;*hore ener! exploration an- pro-tion@ ol-;inall! ?e alloe- to partiipate in A)eria* ener! reoltion. #he at ol- allo *tate* ith ener!pro-tion o;;*hore to *hare in 37.5 perent o; the re*ltin reene@ *i)ilar to rrent la that applie* tol; Coa*t *tate*. It ol- al*o reate a health an- *a;et! aa-e)! to train oern)ent in*petor* an-*pport an Oter Continental hel; Ener! a;et! A-i*or! Poar- that ill proi-e in-epen-ent a-ie tothe o;;*hore ener! in-*tr!. Al*o la*t )onth@ the (o*e pa**e- the Oter Continental hel;#ran*?on-ar! (!-roar?on Aree)ent* AthoriJation At@ *pon*ore- ?! ep. Ge;; ,nan@ >.C. #hi*at ol- al*o help expan- A)eria* o;;*hore ener! pro-tion an- i)proe relation* ith orneih?or* to the *oth ?! ;or)all! athoriJin an aree)ent *ine- ?eteen the e-e -o)e*ti o;;*hore ener! exploration an- pro-tion *o that the


21/22


AFF

&AC "olvency: A/- >& 5 ?@o 9aret Adaption [1/1]

1. -he maret o)ld respond to the plan. 9ost of the O)ter Continental "helf is

offlimits for oil exploration and development hich has st)nted overallprod)ction even tho)$h it3s an extremely profita#le sector of the economy. -hat3so)r 1AC %erry evidence.

&. -he maret wantsthe plan and o)ld aggressively competefor drillin$ ri$hts

+ilson &'1,[Y. ta;; riter ;or the ,ail! Co)et. %Co)panie* Co)pete ;or O;;*hore Hea*e*' The Daily Comet@ 3/20/14http"//.-ail!o)et.o)/artile/20140320/A#ICHE/140329984]

Oil an- a* o)panie* pt p )ore than B800 )illion in innin ?i-* ;or a?ot 1.7 )illion are* in thel; o; exio@ *inalin intere*t in the ;tre o; loal o;;*hore oil a* on*hore pla!* ontine to ?oo)el*ehere. In all@ riht* ;or )ore than 40 )illion are* ere p ;or ra?* ith 50 oil an- a* ;ir)*

*?)ittin ?i-* at the ation hel- in &e Orlean* e-ne*-a!. %e -o pla! lo*e attention to the*e@' *ai-ort =orhon ,iretor Chett Chia**on@ ho*e port* rapi- roth i* proKete- to ontine ;or !ear*. hlea*e *ale* ie loal o;;iial* a *en*e o; hat :in- o; intere*t exi*t* ;or -rillin in the o;;*hore oil path*erie- larel! ;ro) Ha;orhe an- #erre?onne pari*he*@ Chia**on *ai-. %hile -o)e*ti ener!pro-tion i* roin rapi-l! in the


22/22


AFF

&AC "olvency: A/- >( 5 ?Can3t )a:in

apait! at their ain plant* ithot the o*t o; ?il-in entirel! ne re;inerie* to ta:e a-antae o; theinrea*e in liht *eet r-e ;loin ;ro) )a:in eialent o; on*trtin a ne@ lare>*ale re;iner!. On top o; that@ plan* are in the or:*;or *eeral plant* apa?le o; proe**in the ltraliht oil extrate- ;ro) the Eale =or- *hale ;or)ation inoth #exa*. #ho*e ;ailitie*@ hih are relatiel! inexpen*ie to ?il-@ arent tehniall! on*i-ere-re;inerie* ?ea*e the! ant han-le a o)plex arra! o; r-e t!pe* or pro-e a i-e )ix o; ;el*. #he*eplant*@ alle- *plitter* or topper*@ ta:e the er! liht oil one *tep lo*er to ?eo)in a*oline an--ie*el. #hen the hal;>proe**e- ;el an ?e *hippe- to Hatin A)eria@ Erope an- A*ia@ here re;iner*there ;ini*h the Ko?.

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Oil Exploration Affirmative - CDL 2014

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