Oil & Gas Fields , Refineries & RLNG Terminals in India: Tracking Opportunities and Outlook Till...

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O&G Fields, Refineries & RLNG Terminals in India:

Tracking Opportunities and Outlook Till 2022

(Segment Wise Outlook for various facets of Oil and Gas industry like

Exploration and Production, Refineries and RLNG Terminals up to 2022. This

Report also covers the Conventional as well as Unconventional opportunities

associated with these facets)

E-REP Outlook Series

October 2016

© enincon consulting llp 2016

Growing Economy coupled with Increased Petroleum Products consumption has

uplifted India one notch up to become the 3rd Largest Oil Consumer in the World. India

accounts about 4.5% of Worlds Crude Oil Consumption. But the domestic production

of crude oil and natural gas are not growing at a rate to cope up with the increasing

demand which makes the country heavily import dependent.

Exhibit 1: Crude Oil Imports in India - MMT

ILLUSTRATIVE

The growth of Indian upstream sector was plagued mainly by poorly explored sedimentary basin, declining private and foreign participation,

lack of proper technology and non- transparent policies. In order to reduce the import dependence of the country, the government has taken

many measures to ramp up domestic production like introduction of HELP, 100% FDI in upstream, auctioning of 67 Small Oil and Gas Fields

with newly introduced investor friendly terms, Pricing freedom of gas produced from difficult fields etc. In the case of Midstream many new

pipelines are coming up across different states to provide an unbiased access of hydrocarbons to meet their energy demand. For downstream,

the deregulation of Petrol and Diesel prices along with the increase of automobile population attracts private players who are existing as well

as new to the Indian Fuel retailing segment. The anticipated increase in fuel demand as well as government initiatives like increasing the

customer base of LPG Consumers, Upgradation of automobile fuel from BS-IV to BS-VI by 2020,etc. calls for many green and brown field

refinery projects. The expected futuristic growth of Indian Oil and Gas Sector holds immense conventional as well as novel opportunities for

the investors to explore.

Research Base

Source: MoPNG, ENINCON Research & Analysis

Exhibit 2: Natural Gas Imports in India - MMT

ILLUSTRATIVE

Source: MoPNG, ENINCON Research & Analysis

Research Base

Increase in

India’s Crude

Oil and Natural

Gas Imports

by 2015-16

compared

to

2014-15

5.17 %

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Tracking Opportunities and Outlook Till 2022 I 2

9.15 9.93

13.21 13.14 13.03 14.09

19.95

0

5

10

15

20

25

2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16

Demand - Supply Gap

159.259 163.595 171.729 184.795 189.238 189.432 199.222

0

50

100

150

200

250

2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16

Demand- Supply Gap

41.54 %

Crude

Oil

Natural

Gas

Research Case

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Business Case


Indian Oil and Gas Sector is about to witness a revolutionary change with the changing investment climate as

well as shifting of global demand centers to the country. The recent trend reveals the tendency of many foreign

as well as local private players to venture into Indian Oil and Gas Sector which may expose the industry to huge

investment opportunities in the near future.

Indian Upstream Segment has witnessed many new policies as well as administrative

initiatives from the current central government like introduction of HELP, Marketing as well as

pricing freedom for gas produced from difficult fields, Possible relaxation and extension in

PSC for early monetization of Hydrocarbon Discoveries. Along with these the Recent

Discovered Small Oil and Gas Fields Auction -2016 and government’s target to reduce the oil

imports by 10% holds enormous opportunities for the existing as well as new players in

Indian Oil and Gas Sector.

Upstream

Indian Midstream Segment was dormant in the recent past. But it is expected to

have a revival in the near future mainly with the realization of projects like natural

gas grid across the country, Smart Cities and CGD Projects. This hold huge

opportunities in creating as well as the utilization of the pipeline network.

Midstream

Indian is witnessing double digit growth in fuel sales. This is attracting

many foreign as well as domestic private players to venture into fuel

retailing business. The expected increased demand of fuel and the

regulatory mandates to curb pollution like switching over to Euro VI

calls for many brownfield as well as green field projects in refinery as

well as fuel retailing. The efforts of government to move to a gas

based economy is encouraging the usage of natural gas which entails

huge opportunities in setting up as well as de-bottlenecking of

existing LNG Import Terminals

Downstream

“India is set to contribute

more than any other

country to the projected

rise in global energy

demand, around one-

quarter of the total: even

so, energy demand per

capita in 2040 is still 40%

below the world average”

- IEA

Research Objective & Results

ENINCON

The anticipated

dynamics of

Indian Oil and

Gas Sector

taking into

account of

Factual Stats

and Insights.

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Exhibit 3: ENINCON Research Objective & Results

ILLUSTRATIVE

Re

sear

ch O

bje

ctiv

e

Re

sear

ch R

esu

lts

1. Study the possible futuristic scenario of Indian Oil and Gas Sector.

2. Study the possible key trends that can shape up the Indian Oil and Gas sector

3. Study the recent happenings in the upstream, midstream and downstream.

4. Create reliable datasets of the Key trends in Oil and Gas Sector.

5. Study the new policies and well as administrative initiatives in Indian Oil and Gas Sector.

1. Presents the anticipated dynamics of both Conventional and Unconventional Hydrocarbons.

2. Assesses the business opportunities across Oil and Gas Value Chain

3. Presents the possible key risks and challenges faced by the Indian Oil and Gas Sector.

4. Provides excellent insights about the various trends that shape up Indian Oil and Gas Sector.

5. Analyzes the possible impact of the new policies as well as administrative initiatives in Indian Oil and Gas Sector.


Tracking Opportunities and Outlook Till 2022 analyzes anticipated dynamics of the Indian Oil and Gas Sector and unveils the possible

future opportunities in the sector. This report attempts to provide the expected business

potential in Indian Oil and Gas Sector and it also includes a detailed track of opportunities for

various players across the value chain players.

ENINCON Outlook series reports

delivers vital domain

knowledge, resolve key

queries and projects

the possible future

market outlook

ENINCON Research &

Services Framework

Research Reports

ENINCON Research

Desk

Business Stakeholders/Partic

ipants

Experts Insights/ Market view

Validated data & analysis

Opportunity mapping

& Market sizing

First hand sector

knowledge & inputs

Gist of the report in .pdf format for

ready use

Free Author

support on report & Competitive

cost

Customized Research Solution

Primary research

inputs from F2F

interviews

ENINCON’S Research Difference

Germinates from minds that think fresh to evolve path finding guide for all stake holders through quality information & analyses

Emanates from seamless integration of domain expertise with first hand industry knowledge and customized research solutions at a very competitive cost

ENINCON’S Service Difference

ENINCON’s DIFFERENCE

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Exhibit 5: Key Queries Resolved

ILLUSTRATIVE

• Details of the upcoming

LNG Terminals and

profitable ways to utilize

LNG Terminals

• What are the GA’s allotted

and proposed GA’s for

upcoming CGD bidding

rounds?

• What are the recent trends

and possible future outlook

in fuel retailing business?

• Statistics of various

activities in Indian Oil

and Gas Sector.

• What would be the future

outlook in Indian Oil and

Gas sector?

• What would be the

possible opportunities

associated with the

recent trends on Indian

O&G Sector?

• What are the key risks and

challenges faced by

Indian Oil and Gas Sector?

• What are the recent

policies introduced in

Indian Oil and Gas

Industry?

• What could be the possible

impacts of recent policies

on various stake holder of

OG industry? • Recent Policies and Regulations

• Current Status of Oil and Gas Sector in India

• Analysis of the recent Discovered Small Oil and Gas Fields Auction

• Details of the upcoming Green Field and Brown Field Projects

Research

agencies, FI

institutions

Associated

Industries

Govt. &

Regulatory

Bodies

Key Queries Resolved

ENINCON

Oil and Gas

Outlook series

analyses the

impact of recent

happenings,

possible trends

and associated

business

opportunities

across the

value

chain.

• What would be the possible

scenario of Oil and Gas

Sector in India by 2022?

• Which are the most

prospective areas of

investment in India n Oil and

Gas Sector?

• How the recent trend would

change the investment

Pattern in Indian Oil

and Gas Sector?

Oil and Gas

Companies, Oil

Filed Service

Providers,

Engineering Firms

Petroleum

Consumers, LNG

Traders, Fuel

Retailers

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Copyright© 2013 ENINCON, All rights reserved

Must Buy For

Exhibit 6: Must Buy For

ILLUSTRATIVE

ENINCON Research reports

delivering domain

knowledge, market

insights & future

outlook

Mu

st B

uy

For

Mu

st B

uy

For

Oil and Gas Companies

E&P agencies

Petroleum Consumers

Policy Makers

Environment Bodies

Fuel Retailers

Oil Field Service Providers

Energy Trading Companies

Equipment Manufacturers

LNG Traders

Government bodies

FII’s/Banks

Educational Institutions

NGOs

IT Service Providers

Consultants

Research firms

Research Bodies/Institutes

Industry associations

Engineering Firms

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Executive Summary xx

Segment I: O&G Fields in India: Tracking Opportunities and Outlook Till 2022

1. A Background of Spirit from NELP to HELP xx

2. Understanding Small O&G Fields in India xx

3. Unblocking the potential of 46 Small O&G Fields ready for bid in India

xx

3.1. For Investors Category Wise Potential xx

a. Eccentric Investors ( Investors from other than Energy Sector)

xx

b. Established Players in the Sector xx

c. Private Equity Players xx

d. Foreign Players xx

3.2. Region wise Potential Distribution xx

3.3. Onshore and Offshore Potential Distribution xx

3.4. Assessing Potential of Reduction in Indian Imports from current 78% to what levels by 2022.

xx

4. Gas Pipeline Infra and Upcoming O&G Fields xx

4.1. Blocks near existing or upcoming pipeline ( in proximity of 100 Km or less)

xx

4.2. Blocks beyond 100 Km’s of existing or upcoming pipeline infra

xx

4.3. Reserve wise positioning of O&G Fields xx

4.4. Mapping High Investment Potential Blocks as per location and reserve

xx

5. Case analysis of an existing O&G Fields on identified parameters

xx

6. Crucial nature of Small O&G Fields and New Policy Regime

xx

6.1. Key Highlights of New Policy and What has Changed

xx

a. Upfront Signature Bonus xx

b. Pricing Freedom Levels xx

c. Oil Cess xx

d. Customs Duty xx

e. Graded Royalty Rate xx


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6.2. Determining Impact of Small O&G Fields on India’s Domestic E&P Segment

xx

7. Domestic Supply Climate and Small Oil and Gas Fields Contribution : Scenario Analysis

xx

7.1. Long Term xx

7.2. Medium Term xx

8. Opportunities for Value Chain Stakeholders xx

8.1. Investment Opportunity xx

8.2. Business Potential

8.3. Macro Risks

a. E&P Players xx

b. E&P Contractors xx

c. OEM’s: Drilling / Rigs / Meters / Valves / Cranes etc.

xx

d. O&G Supply and Pipeline Players xx

9. SWOT Analysis of Category Wise Investors in O&G Fields

xx

9.1. Eccentric xx

9.2. Established xx

9.3. PE xx

8.4. Foreign Players xx

10. Market Outlook till 2022 xx

10.1. Domestic E&P Capacity xx

10.2. Imports Capacity xx

10.3. Pipeline Supply Capacity xx

Segment II: Refineries in India – Tracking Opportunity and Outlook Till 2022

1. Background of Refineries in India: Dynamics between capacity expansions

xx

2. Recent Market Trends xx

2.1. Regional Market Fundamentals xx

2.2. Product Demand xx


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2.3. Refinery Capacity xx

2.4. Refinery Utilization xx

2.5. Product Balances xx

2.6. Trade Flows xx

3. Player Wise Opportunity Track xx

3.1. Established Players xx

3.2. New Players xx

3.3. Price Setting Mechanism xx

3.4. Margins Involved xx

3.5. SWOT Analysis xx

4. Market Outlook till 2022 xx

4.1. Refining Utilization from 2016-2022 xx

4.2. Refining Capacity Addition by Unit and Region by 2022

xx

4.3. Refining Margin Outlook xx

4.4. Light / Heavy Product Differential Outlook xx

5. Pricing Outlook

xx

5.1. Product Pricing Outlook till 2022 xx

Segment III: RLNG Terminals in India: Tracking Opportunity and Outlook Till 2022

1. Background of RLNG Terminals in India xx

2. Market Trend of Gas Supply in India xx

3. LNG Import Trend in India

3.1. By Volume xx

3.2. By Price xx

3.3. By Term

a. Long Term xx

b. Medium Term xx

4. Demand Outlook of LNG by 2022 xx

5. Investment Opportunity in LNG Capacity Creation

xx

5.1. Established xx

5.2. New xx


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5.3. SWOT Analysis xx

6. Challenges & Risks Involved xx

7. EPC Opportunities in RLNG Terminals xx

7.1. Equipment Demand xx

7.2. Procurement Process xx

8. New RLNG Projects to come online by 2022 xx

9. Expected Import flows and Price Development Outlook by 2022 in India for LNG

xx


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Oil & Gas Fields , Refineries & RLNG Terminals in India: Tracking Opportunities and Outlook Till...

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