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Oil Wars
Iakovos Alhadeff
Copyright 2014 by
Iakovos Alhadeff
Published by Iakovos Alhadeff at Smashwords
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Introduction
China Russia Iran vs the U.S.A.
The Shanghai Cooperation
Agreement as a Challenge to NATO
The U.S.A. Russia Energy
War as a Simple Addition
The U.S.A. Russia Energy
War in 3 Paragraphs
The 3 Wars for the
Baku-Ceyhan Pipeline
The True Causes of the
Conflict Between Turkey and Israel
The Kirkuk-Ceyhan Pipeline
and the Creation of PKK
The War in Kosovo and
the Baku-Ceyhan Pipeline
Why Saudi Arabia Blamed
Hamas and Qatar Blamed Israel
in the July 2014 Gaza War
The New Cold War Between U.S.A. and Russia
The Ceyhan-Haifa Pipeline and the Israel-Lebanon War of 2006
Introduction
What follows are some very short essays I wrote about oil and natural gas wars. Each chapter is
an independent. They are independent in the sense that they were not written to form the parts of
a booklet, since all oil and natural gas wars are interrelated.
China Russia Iran vs the U.S.A.
China’s agreements with Kazakhstan and Russia, for the construction of pipelines that will
supply China with oil and natural gas from these two countries were of great geopolitical
importance, for both China and Russia as individual countries, but also as a coalition against the
U.S.A. It is not a secret that the Russian oligarchs, most of them ex KGB agents, have formed an
alliance with the Chinese communists against the Americans.
The Russians to begin with, sell most of their natural gas to the European markets. If the
Europeans were to boycott them, they would face severe financial difficulties. With the new
contract with the Chinese, the Russians will sell 400 billion dollars of natural gas to the Chinese
for the next 30 years and will have a second major buyer.
The Chinese on the other hand, in contrast to the oil and natural gas rich Russians, have to import
most of their oil and natural gas. Energy dependence on the Persian Gulf is a great handicap for
the Chinese, since the Gulf is dominated militarily by the Americans (area in the red circle).
Moreover, the ships carrying energy from the Gulf to China have to pass though the straits
between Malaysia and Indonesia (area with blue circle). However Malaysia has a close military
cooperation with the U.S.A. Basically the Americans can very easily cut off the Chinese energy
supplies in case of a military confrontation.
With energy flowing from Kazakhstan and Russia, the Chinese ensure that they will not run out
of fuels in case of a confrontation. For an article on the tensions between the U.S.A. and China
for the Persian Gulf oil see the following Wall Street Journal article.
http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424127887324755104579073283948517714
Moreover China has built with Turkmenistan a natural gas pipeline, following the route
Turkmenistan-Uzbekistan-Kazakhstan-China (orange line), see Wikipedia.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_Asia%E2%80%93China_gas_pipeline
China also wants to get hold of Iranian energy. This can be done through an extension of the
Iran-Pakistan pipeline (pink line), see Forbes.
http://oilprice.com/Energy/Natural-Gas/Iran-Pakistan-Natural-Gas-Pipeline-to-Extend-to-
China.html
This could also be done through an extension of the Turkmenistan line to Iran (green line). That
would strengthen both China and Iran. It would greatly increase China’s energy options and
security and it would protect Iran against sanctions from the West. We therefore see that there is
a very strong coalition of inferior civilizations against the Americans, consisting mainly of
Chinese Communists, Iranian Mullahs and Russian ex KGB agents and current oligarchs.
We could say that the Americans lost completely the energy battle of the Caspian Sea, since they
only control Azerbaijan, which is a NATO friendly country, and they only managed to transfer
some Caspian oil to the Mediterranean through the Azerbaijan-Georgia-Turkey route (the Baku-
Ceyhan pipeline)..
For the Americans and the Europeans it is very important that Europe is not heavily dependent
on Russia in terms of its energy supplies. Therefore the Americans were hoping, and still hope, to
transfer natural gas either from the Persian Gulf or from the Caspian Sea through Turkey to
Europe. That would reduce European (NATO) dependency on Gazprom.
We should therefore not assume that the Americans have the power to fight energy rich
aborigines for ever. If we take the American military power as given, we might wake up one day
to see the Chinese Communists being the number one military power in the world. And this is
very scary.
For the Russian Chinese deal see Forbes.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/chriswright/2014/05/22/400-billion-gas-deal-shows-russia-looking-
to-china-to-replace-western-money/
For the China Kazakhstan deal see Wikipedia.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kazakhstan%E2%80%93China_oil_pipeline
For the Turkmenistan China deal see Wikipedia.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_Asia%E2%80%93China_gas_pipeline
The Shanghai Cooperation
Agreement as a Challenge to NATO
The Shanghai Cooperation Organization is a political, economic and military cooperation. It
currently has 6 full member states, namely Russia, China, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzdtan
and Tajikistan. Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan and India are observing states, and Turkmenistan is a
guest state.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shanghai_Cooperation_Organisation
The Shanghai Cooperation Organization aims to become what the Warsaw Pact used to be i.e. a
challenge to NATO. I would like to say a few words about the member states’ regimes. China’s
political regime is a communist dictatorship. Kazakhstan is ruled by Nursultan Nazarbayev,
which has been the only president since Kazakhstan’s independence, and he is the former general
secretary of Kazakhstan’s Communist Pary. In the 2004 elections, his party gained 90% of the
parliament’s seats, and the Agrarian party, which was led by his daughter gained the remaining
seats, except one seat that was gained by the remaining parties.
Uzbekistan is ruled by Islam Karimov, who has been the only president since the country’s
independence in 1991. Islam Karimov is a former member of the Soviet Communist Party.
Tajikistan is ruled by Emomalli Rahmon, who is again the only president since the country’s
independence in 1994.
Iran is an Islamic country, where the Supreme Leader is the ultimate authority, and he is more
powerful than the elected Iranian president. The Supreme Leader is appointed by the Assembly
of Experts, which is a council of Islamic theologians. Turkmenistan, since its independence in
1991, is ruled by the president for life Saparmurat Niyazov.
Russia is the only country which has some elements of democracy, however also ruled by ex
KGB agents like Putin, and ex members of the Communist Party, which are today’s oligarchs.
Russian people never experienced freedom and democracy, since they were ruled by Tsars, and
then from 1917 to the early 90’s they were under a regime of communist dictatorship. Today’s
regime with the rule of the ex KGB and ex Communist oligarchs, is Russia’s highest democratic
achievement.
If Iran and Turkmenistan become full members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, the
Organization will control over 60% of the world’s natural gas reserves, and a very large part of
the world’s oil reserves. Moreover if Afghanistan, Pakistan, India and Mongolia that are
currently observing members become full members, the Organization will have fully encircled
the Persian Gulf and the American military bases in Qatar, as you can see on the map. The
Persian Gulf holds most of the oil and natural gas reserves that are outside the Organization’s
control today.
And what do we hear from both Communists and Nazis? We hear that NATO is a fascist
organization, and we can only hope on the strengthening of organizations like the Shanghai
Cooperation Agreement, because no matter where Communists and Nazis live, they always have
a third world mentality.
As you can see at the following link at the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit of
September 2014, the Organization will invite India, Pakistan, Mongolia and Iran to become full
members and not simply observing members as they currently are.
http://indian.ruvr.ru/2014_08_01/SCO--admit-new-members/
If they do become full members of the SCO, the only two members that are missing for the black
diagram of the map to close, and encircle the American military forces in the Persian Gulf, will
be Turkmenistan and Afghanistan.
Moreover, as you can see at the following link, Turkey is examining the possibility of becoming
a full member of the SCO. If Turkey becomes an SCO member, the transfer of oil and natural gas
from the Caspian Sea and the Persian Gulf to Europe, will not be controlled by NATO anymore,
but from the SCO instead.
http://thediplomat.com/2013/12/turkey-renews-plea-to-join-shanghai-cooperation-organization/
The U.S.A. Russia Energy
War as a Simple Addition
I keep saying that the Americans and the Europeans are desperately looking for an alternative to
Gazprom natural gas network, in order to diminish Russian influence over European countries,
since Gazprom provides almost 30% of Europe’s natural gas imports.
Russia’s main energy hub is Ukraine, and the West is hoping to use Turkey as its hub, in order to
transfer natural gas from the Persian Gulf or the Caspian Sea to Europe. It is a well known fact,
that the energy resources of the NATO friendly Azerbaijan are not sufficient to cover European
demand. The Americans will have to connect to the Azerbaijani network, natural gas from the
other countries of the region.
The countries at the other side of the Caspian i.e. Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, are tied
with long contracts and pipelines to China and Russia. China imports their gas in order to
consume it, and Russia in order to prevent it from falling to Western hands and resell it through
Gazprom.
You can see at the following Wikipedia link, and at the picture above, the richest countries in the
world in terms of natural gas reserves.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_natural_gas_proven_reserves
You can see that even if the Americans manage to bring Qatari natural gas to the Azerbaijani
network, if Iran is controlled by the Russians and the Chinese, most of the world natural gas
resources will be controlled by the Russians and the Chinese. The West will only control the
Qatari natural gas i.e. 25 billion cubic meters, and the Russians with the Chinese will be
controlling the natural gas of Russia, Iran and Turkmenistan i.e. 48.7+33.6+17.5= 100 billion
cubic meters. The West will only control ¼ of the East’s natural gas.
This would be a major power shift in the geopolitical field, and the U.S.A. would have to be
crazy to allow it to happen, when they are spending annually 600 billion in military spending,
while Russia and China together spend less than 200 billion. You can see the figures at the
following Wikipedia link.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_military_expenditures
If the West controls Iran, the West will control Qatar + Iran = 58 billion cubic meters, and the
East will control Russia + Turkmenistan = 65 billion cubic meters. I therefore believe that the
Iran will either have to cooperate with the West, or it will have to fall.
The U.S.A. Russia Energy
War in 3 Paragraphs
There are only 4 big players in the natural gas market, the ones you can see in the black circles,
namely Russia, Iran, Qatar, and Turkmenistan. There are only two energy hubs through which
they can transport their natural gas to Europe, the ones in the red circles, namely Turkey and
Ukraine.
Russia’s problem is that the West, U.S.A. and E.U., has blocked its energy hub, namely Ukraine.
The West’s problem is that even though Turkey, their energy hub, is free, they do not have
enough gas to send to Europe to diminish the Russian influence, since Turkmenistan is controlled
by Russia and China, Iran is a hostile to the West country, and Syria’s dictator Assad will not
allow Qatar to build a pipeline to Turkey through Syria, since he is a close ally of Russia.
The Russians partially got over their problem, by building the North Stream pipeline, which is a
natural gas pipeline from Russia to Northern Europe that bypasses Ukraine through the Baltic
Sea. They are currently trying to construct the South Stream pipeline, which will connect Russia
to Southern Europe through the Caspian Sea, bypassing Ukraine too. For the moment the U.S.A.
and the E.U. are successful in blocking this pipeline.
The 3 Wars for the
Baku-Ceyhan Pipeline
At section ‘History’, of the second paragraph of the following Wikipedia link, you can read that
the Baku-Ceyhan Pipeline, which was the only exit that the Americans managed to find through
the NATO-friendly Azerbaijan for the Caspian Sea oil, in a region controlled by the Russians,
was proposed to Georgia and Azerbaijan by the Turkish President Demirel in 1992. The pipeline
would follow the route Azerbaijan-Georgia-Turkey (Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan).
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baku%E2%80%93Tbilisi%E2%80%93Ceyhan_pipeline#History
The Russian revenge towards Georgia, was to provide plenty of support to the separatists in the
region of Abkhazia, and thus a war started between Georgia and the inhabitants of Abkhazia in
1992. See the first lines of the following wikipedia link.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_in_Abkhazia_(1992%E2%80%9393)
The Russian revenge towards Azerbaijan, was to provide plenty of support to the Armenian
separatists of the region of Karabach in Azerbaijan. As you can read at the third paragraph of the
following wikipedia link, Azerbaijan declared independence from the Soviet Union in 1991, and
the Armenians of the Karaback asked for their independence as they had done in the past, and the
Nagorno-Karabach War started in 1991 (there had been fights in the past too).
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Azerbaijan
The Americans revenge was to support the Chechen separatists, and the first Russia Chechen war
started in 1994. See first lines of the following wikipedia link.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_Chechen_War
You can therefore see how the big powers feed existing conflicts according to their own interests.
In all the above cases the conflicts were already there, they were not created by the Russians and
the Americans. The Russians and the Americans just used them for their own purposes.
The True Causes of the
Conflict Between Turkey and Israel
I always found the conflict between Turkey and Israel strange, since the two countries had a long
tradition of smooth commercial and military cooperation. And yet it seems now that Israel is
perceived by Recep Erdogan, the Turkish Prime Minister, as his country’s major enemy.
What happened? It was only in 2005, as you can see in paragraph “After AKP Ascendancy” of
the following Wikipedia link, that Recep Erdogan, during his visit in Israel, informed the
nationalist Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, that the Iranian nuclear program was not only a
threat for Israel, but instead a threat for the whole world. Is it possible for someone to say
something that will please the Israelis more than that?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israel%E2%80%93Turkey_relations#After_AKP_ascendancy
Moreover, as you can read in the same paragraph, during his staying in Israel, Recep Erdogan,
paid a visit to the Holocaust Museum, and said that for his party, anti-Semitism was a crime
against humanity, and also that the Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs said that the relations
between Israel and Turkey were perfect. So what changed so dramatically, and today Turkey is
with Iran and Qatar the major supporters of the terrorist organization Hamas, which is the
organization that launches rockets from Gaza to Israel? As always the explanation is oil and
natural gas.
The first reason is the vast resources of natural gas that exist in the sea area between Cyprus and
Israel, which you can see at the following Wikipedia map with green and orange. The vast area
above the green country (Cyprus) is Turkey.
Greece, Cyprus and Turkey, have long disputes about their Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZ),
since the latter determines who has what claims on the areas energy riches. And Turkey does not
recognize the EEZ of Greece and Cyprus, since doing that would allow the two countries to
exploit the region’s natural gas. Israel however, did recognize the Greek and Cypriot EEZ, as you
can see at the following Wikipedia link.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exclusive_economic_zone#Greece
Recognizing the Greek EEZ was a major blow in the Turkish-Israeli relations. Moreover, since
Turkey was threatening Greece and Cyprus that it would retaliate in case they unilaterally
declared their EEZ without Turkey’s approval, Greece, Cyprus and Israel formed a militarily
coalition against Turkey. At the following Wikipedia link, at section Military Cooperation, you
can read about the Greek-Israeli military cooperation.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greece%E2%80%93Israel_relations#Military_collaboration
In 2008 the first Greek-Israeli military exercise took place, under the code name Glorious
Spartan. The second military exercise between the two countries, with code name Minoas 2010,
was scheduled for the 26th of May 2010, and was supposed to last until the 3rd of June. The
exercise started on the 26th as scheduled. However on the 31st of May 2010, in order to take
revenge from Israel, Erdogan launched the Gaza Freedom Flotilla, a flotilla of 6 ships, with the
ship Mavi Marmara on the lead. Supposedly the aim of the flotilla was to break the embargo
imposed by the Israelis on Gaza’s port.
However Erdogan was fully aware that there was no chance that the Israelis would allow that. If
the Israelis were to do so, Hamas would not have to struggle in order to smuggle Iranian and
Qatari rockets and weapons from Egypt to Gaza. They could simply use harbor cranes to unload
them from big ships. Therefore there was not even the slightest chance of success, and Erdogan
knew that very well. What Erdogan was hoping for, was that the Israelis would respond with
violence to the attacks of the terrorists against its soldiers, when the latter would attempt to seize
the ships, and use this blood to isolate Israel diplomatically. And that’s exactly what happened.
Following the Mavi Marmara incident, the Greek government had to withdraw its military forces
from the common exercise with the Israelis, ending the exercise on the 31st of May instead of the
3rd of June as scheduled. However this incident only temporarily terminated the Greek Israeli
military cooperation. I must mention that Greek journalists were very pro Erdogan and anti Israel
during the Mavi Marmara crisis, since most of them work for Greek businessmen who have very
close ties with the Arabs, and therefore their interests are not always in tandem with national
strategy.
I mean that at a time when the Greek Army was conducting a military exercise with the Israelis,
and the Israelis had recognized the Greek Exclusive Economic Zone, and while Greece had
joined a common defense doctrine with Israel against Turkey, Erdogan was attacking Israel to
retaliate, and the Greek reporters were supporting Erdogan. You can read about what I say in the
following link of the Research Institute of European and American Studies.
http://www.rieas.gr/research-areas/greek-israel-studies/2077-greek-israeli-cyprus-military-and-
security-relations-a-preview-.html
The second cause of the Turkish Israeli conflict is the natural gas and oil of the Persian Gulf. As I
was explaining in great detail in my essay “The Energy War Between U.S.A. and Russia”, there
is a great fight in the Middle East between the Shiites regimes of Iran, Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon,
and the Sunni regimes of Qatar, Saudi Arabia, U.A.E. and Turkey. The cause of the conflict is
that both the Shiites and the Sunnis want to send Persian Gulf energy to Europe and East Asia
with their own pipeline networks.
Before the ISIS or ISIL attacks (Islamic State of Iraq and Syria or Islamic State of Iraq and
Levant or simply Islamic State), Iraq, Iran, Syria, and Lebanon were controlled by Shiites(or
Shia). These regimes wanted to send energy to Europe, following the route Iran-Iraq-Syria-
Lebanon-Europe. You can read about the Iran-Iraq-Syria or the Shiite pipeline at the following
Wikipedia link.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran-Iraq-Syria_pipeline
You can see at the following Wikipedia map the route they would follow.
Please not that Syria is controlled by Assad, who is an Alawite. Alawites are a branch of Shiite
Islam, as you can read in the first few sentences of the following Wikipedia link.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alawites
On the other hand, Sunni regimes i.e. Qatar, Saudi Arabia, U.A.E., Kuwait, and Turkey, want to
build their own pipeline network, in order to send their energy to Europe, following the route
Qatar-Saudi Arabia-Iraq-Syria-Turkey-Europe. You can read for the Qatar-Turkey pipeline at the
following Wikipedia link.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qatar-Turkey_pipeline
As you can see at the map, if Iraq and Syria are controlled by the Shiites, the Sunni pipeline is
blocked. That’s the cause of the war in the region. Therefore Turkey’s interests are closely linked
to Qatar’s interests, since the Qatar-Turkey pipeline will increase dramatically Turkey’s
geopolitical significance as an international energy hub, and it will generate lot’s of revenues in
hard currencies. But Qatar is one of Israel’s lethal enemies, and the major supporter of the
terrorist organization Hamas, which launches rockets to Israel.
Therefore the Sunni pipelines in the Middle East bring Turkey and Qatar much closer, and the
energy triangle between Greece-Cyprus and Israel, move Israel and Turkey further apart. As it is
most of the time the case, energy is the reason that Israel and Turkey, once a strong alliance, are
now standing so far away.
You can read more about the Pipeline war between the Sunnis and the Shiites at the following
link. “The Energy War Between U.S.A. and Russia”.
http://iakal.wordpress.com/2014/08/05/the-energy-war-between-u-s-a-and-russia-and-the-threat-
for-israels-survival/
The Kirkuk-Ceyhan Pipeline
and the Creation of PKK
The oil pipeline of Kirkuk-Ceyhan (or Kirkuk-Yumurtalik) connects the oil rich Northern Iraq
with the Turkish port of Ceyhan (white line).
As you can read on page 90 of the following link of the International Transport Forum, an
international think tank with 54 member countries, the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline was constructed
in 1977 and its capacity was further increased in 1984.
http://internationaltransportforum.org/Pub/pdf/09Turkey.pdf
As you can read in the first paragraph of the following Wikipedia link, Abdullah Ocalan
established the Kurdish Workers’ Party (PKK) in 1978, and he launched his first attack against
Turkey in 1984.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kurdistan_Workers'_Party
You can see that the dates of the pipeline and the PKK are almost the same. When the pipeline
was constructed the PKK was established, and when the capacity of the pipeline was increased
the PKK launched its first attack. Is this a coincidence?
Iran and Iraq are the 4th and 5th richest countries in the world in terms of proven oil reserves. At
that time the Iranian-Iraqi relations were very hostile, and they finally went into a very long war,
the Iran-Iraq war of 1980-1988. The main conflict was the Shatt al Arab (Arvand Rud) river,
which is formed by the Tiger and Euphrates confluence (red circle in the Iran-Iraq borders), and
which ends in the Persian Gulf.
This river was, and still is, very important for transfer oil from the rich fields of the region to the
Persian Gulf, in order to export it, since the Persian Gulf is the largest oil exporting region in the
world. You can read about the river conflict in section ‘Territorial Disputes’ of the following
Wikipedia link.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shatt_al-Arab#Territorial_disputes
According to the above link, the river of Shatt al Arab was always a source of conflict between
the Ottoman Empire and Persia, and they actually had to sign an agreement in 1639 about it.
Keep in mind that Tiger and Euphrates are a constant source of conflict between Turkey and
Syria too.
Therefore the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline which was of great help to Iraq as a source of extra
revenue was a great problem for its foe. It is a common policy in the Middle East to fund various
groups, either religious or sectarians or else, in order to attack their competitors’ pipeline
infrastructure.
As you can see on the map, Kirkuk is located in Northern Iraq, in the Iraqi Kurdistan. Kurdistan
is the region in the red diagram, and it also has a Syrian, an Iraqi, an Iranian and a Turkish part.
There is no evidence to support that it was Iran that financed the Kurds, but it would be
something very reasonable to assume. At the following Wikipedia link you can see that the
equivalent to PKK Kurdish organization in Iran, the PJAK, launched its first attack in Iran in
2004. The PKK launched its first attack in 1984 and the PJAK in 2004.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PJAK#Armed_conflict_and_arrests
The War in Kosovo and
the Baku-Ceyhan Pipeline
The war in Yugoslavia (Serbia) was another energy war. The population of Kosovo, in the
southern part of Serbia, is 90% Muslims of Albanian origin as you can see at the following
Wikipedia link. These people wanted to be independent from Serbia after the end of the
communist period
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kosovo_Albanians
These separatists were embraced by the Americans and the Europeans. Before the creation of the
Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia (brown region) and the creation of Kosovo (green
region), were both former parts of Yugoslavia. Yugoslavia together with Greece, both close
Russian allies, could block oil or natural gas pipelines that could transfer Caspian oil or natural
gas from the Black Sea to the Adriatic Sea, since these American and European pipelines would
antagonize the Russian oil and natural gas industry.
As you can see at the following link, the AMBP pipeline, is an oil pipeline transferring Caspian
oil to the Adriatic Sea, following the route Ajerbaijan-Turkey-Bulgaria-FYROM-Albania-
Adriatic Sea-Europe (black line on the map), which has been already agreed, but which has not
been developed yet, as you can read at the following Wikipedia link.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AMBO_pipeline
Hence, the Kosovars of Albanian origin started protesting requiring their independence, the Serbs
used violence against them, and on February of 1998, a NATO operation under the code name
Operation Allied Force attacked Serbia. The attacks were carried out by 13 countries, namely
U.S.A., Canada, Great Britain, France, Germany, Belgium, Netherlands, Spain, Portugal, Italy,
Norway, Denmark and Turkey.
These countries attacked Serbia and forced Serbia to accept an autonomous Kosovo. A large
NATO base was established in Kosovo, namely the Kosovo Force, which would see that
Albanian Kosovars were not threatened by the Serbs, and that any future pipelines crossing the
region would be secure too. You can read about Kosovo Force in the following Wikipedia link.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kosovo_Force
The following link is a good chronological summary of the NATO attack in Serbia.
http://www.jfcnaples.nato.int/page7196179.aspx
Why Saudi Arabia Blamed
Hamas and Qatar Blamed Israel
in the July 2014 Gaza War
It is a well know fact that Saudi Arabia is extremely rich in oil, Qatar is extremely rich in natural
gas, and Turkey is not very rich in none of them. Israel has some natural gas riches, nothing in
comparison to Qatar, but very poor in oil. It is a well known fact, that Saudi Arabia, Qatar and
Turkey, all supported the rebels against Assad. However everybody agrees that they funded
different rebel groups, since the Saudis are against the Muslim Brotherhood unlike the other two.
Even though they all three were united against Assad, in the Gaza crisis of July 2014, Saudi
Arabia blamed Hamas for the crisis, while Turkey and Qatar supported Hamas and blamed Israel.
Why unlike the case with Assad they were divided?
The reason is that Assad agreed with Iran, which is rich in both oil and natural gas, to an Iran-
Iraq-Syria pipeline(red line), that would bring Iranian oil and natural gas to the Mediterranean
Sea, thus hurting both oil rich Saudis, natural gas rich Qataris, and bypassing the poor in both
Turkey, which wishes however to be the only energy hub in Southern Europe.
Therefore all three were united. In the case of Israel however, the Saudis did not want to support
Hamas, the Muslim Brotherhood’ s offspring, since they are afraid that they are dangerous for
their regime too. Since Israel does not have oil to export and hurt the Saudi sales, they supported
Israel, because they thought it would be convenient for them to form a short term alliance with
Israel, in order for Israel to finish the Muslim Brotherhood’s offspring i.e. Hamas. However the
natural gas rich Qatar, and the bypassed as an energy hub by Israel’s exports’ (blue line) Turkey,
did not afford to support Israel. Actually it is these two, with some support from Iran that
required Hamas to fire the rockets.
The Qataris are hoping to sell their natural gas to Europe through Turkey (black line).
The New Cold War Between U.S.A. and Russia
The conflict in Ukraine is only a part of the energy war between Russia and United States.
Europe is very poor in terms of energy resources, but very rich in all other aspects. Both U.S.A.
and Russia want to dominate the European energy market, since this does not only involve
economic gains, but aslo increased diplomatic power. Energy is very important for all developed
economies, and energy providers normally have political power over energy recipients.
Russia is the richest country in natural gas reserves and the number one oil producer. It is not
however the richest country in oil reserves. Please note that the richest countries in energy
reserves are not necessarily the largest energy producers too. At the following Wikipedia link you
can see Gazprom’s European market shares. Gazprom is the Russian state owned natural gas
giant, and on average it holds 30% of the European natural gas market.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russia_in_the_European_energy_sector
Moreover Russia supplies a large part of the oil consumed by European countries. This energy
dominance is a big pain for United States, since it gives Russia political power over NATO
members. Therefore the Americans wish to provide Europe with alternative sources of energy,
and more specifically with alternative sources of natural gas, since natural gas is most of the time
delivered through pipelines, and it creates a greater dependency on the part of the energy
recipient than oil, which is normally transferred with ships.
Most of Gazprom’s natural gas, approximately 80% of it, is distributed to Europe through
Ukraine. At the following link you can read about the disputes between Russia and Ukraine over
natural gas distribution.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russia%E2%80%93Ukraine_gas_disputes
That’s the reason the Americans are so keen to help anti-Russian and NATO friendly Ukrainians.
The Russians on the other hand do not like this dependency on Ukraine, and have developed the
Nord Stream pipeline which delivers Gazprom’s natural gas directly to Germany, through the
Baltic Sea, thus bypassing Ukraine. You can see at the following BBC map the Nord Stream
pipeline with Green color.
Map 1
Source BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-14803065)
Russia wants to also develop another pipeline, the South Stream, which you can see with the blue
color on the map, which will again bypass Ukraine and will deliver Gazprom’s natural gas to
Southern Europe. When both these pipelines will be ready, the Russians will not depend anymore
on Ukraine to supply the whole Europe with Russian natural gas. As you can see the South
Stream will cross the Black Sea, and from Bulgaria will distribute natural gas to Southern
Europe.
To develop the South Stream pipeline, Russia needs the help of Bulgaria, and also the help of
Turkey, since the Exclusive Economic Zones of both Bulgaria and Turkey are involved. One but
not the only reason there was so much noise about Crimea was because of Crimea’s effect on the
Ukraine and Russian Exclusive Economic Zones. Crimea is the piece of land under Ukraine on
map 2
Map 2
As you can see, if Ukraine controls Crimea, Ukraine would have a saying on the South Stream
crossing the Black Sea, since it would fall inside Ukraine’s exclusive economic zone. But if
Crimea belongs to Russia, Ukraine does not have a saying on the construction of the pipeline.
And Russia annexed Crimea as we all know. And as you can see on map 3, from
whowhatwhy.com, which is accurate, the Russians designed the pipeline nearer Turkey to totally
avoid Ukraine.
Map 3
The Europeans are divided on the issue of the South Stream. As you can see at the following
Reuters’ link,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/04/17/us-ukraine-crisis-gas-southstream-analys-
idUSBREA3G1KP20140417
some countries perceive it as a positive development i.e. Germany, Italy, Bulgaria. The important
point to note is that once the South Stream is ready, together with the Nord Stream, will allow
Gazprom to supply with natural gas the whole European Continent without relying on the
Ukrainian pipeline network. Moreover, as you can see on the following Wikipedia link, Ukraine
is the 26th richest country in the world in terms of natural gas reserves, which further enhances
its geostrategic importance.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_gas_in_Ukraine
As I already said, the Americans and the Europeans want to have many sources of natural gas, in
order to limit the economic but mainly the diplomatic influence that Russia enjoys over NATO
members, and which arises by the 30% of Gazprom’s share in the European market. It also has to
do with competition issues. The more energy options a country has the cheaper it buys its energy.
The Americans and the Europeans want to bring natural gas from the energy rich Caspian Sea to
Europe. The Nabucco Pipeline and the Pans Adriatic Pipeline are two of the possible routes. The
Nabucco pipeline which you can see with red color on map 1 will bring Caspian natural gas to
Europe through Turkey. The other possible pipeline, the Trans Adriatic Pipeline TAP, which you
can see on map 4 below, will again bring natural gas from Caspian Sea to Europe through
Turkey.
Map 4
It is clear how important Turkey is for the Americans and Europeans, since both the Nabucco and
the TAP pipelines will have to pass through its territories to deliver Caspian natural gas to
European markets. And I am not talking for the obvious economic benefits. I am talking about
Turkey’s increased geopolitical power. It is very important for the Americans and Europeans to
have Turkey on their side, so if they decide to take sanctions against Russia and there is a
disturbance in natural gas supply, Turkey will not cut off supplies from the Caspian Sea too to
support Russia. Currently it is very painful for the Americans and the Europeans to take
sanctions against Russia, since Gazprom provides a large share of the natural gas consumed in
the European markets
Iran’s is also very important for the Americans and the Europeans. Iran is situated on the Caspian
Sea and it will be very difficult for the Americans to ensure stable natural gas supply to Europe if
they face a hostile Iran. Moreover Iran is a very energy rich country, one of the richest ones in
fact, and its natural gas could be transferred to Europe too. The Nabucco and TAP pipelines are
supposed to transfer natural gas from NATO friendly Azerbaijan, but other countries can be
connected on the pipeline network too. Therefore both Iran and Turkey are extremely important
for the American and European efforts to provide Europe with abundant non Russian natural gas.
The increase in Turkey’s and Iran’s geopolitical power poses a lethal threat to Israel. You have to
keep in mind that Turkey and Iran are two of Israel’s lethal enemies. Iran’s goal is to eliminate
Israel, and Turkey, an ex Israel ally, does not seem to be further away from this view, under the
leadership of Recep Erdogan. Actually everybody knows that it is mainly Iran, Turkey and Qatar
that support and provide funding to Hamas, which is recognized by U.S.A., the E.E., Japan and
other countries as a terrorist organization. Hamas runs the Gaza Strip, and came to power with
elections in Gaza. It is Hamas that fires all these rockets that you hear about from Gaza to Israel.
At the following article you can read about the funding of Hamas.
http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/para/hamas-funds.htm
In this changing geopolitical map, Israel does not seem to be able to count on United States for
its survival, as it has for so many years done. This has already caused a deterioration in the
American-Israeli relations, and an improvement in the Russian-Israeli relations. You have to
keep in mind that rich natural gas fields were also found in the Mediterranean See, in the region
between Greece, Cyprus,Turkey and Israel. This could be also an energy alternative for Europe
as you can see on map 6
Map 6
The problem is that it is very difficult and very costly to build a pipeline network through the
Mediterranean See if Turkey is involved in the project. But with the current political situation
between Turkey and Israel this does not seem to be feasible, at least not for Israel’s part of
energy.
The natural gas found in the Israeli sea, might be the only chip for survival that Israel has in this
energy hungry world. It seems that Israel is giving Russia a role in its energy wealth. At the
following Bloomberg link you can see the cooperation between Gazprom and the Israelis.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-02-26/gazprom-holds-talks-to-export-all-lng-from-
israeli-tamar-project.html
It seems that in a world where Israelis cannot count on the protection of the Americans, they are
moving towards Russia. They are not connected to Russia in the same way they were connected
to the U.S.A., but it seems they are somewhere between these two countries. At the following
Financial Times link, you can see that Israel did not vote against Russia in the U.N. resolution
about Ukraine. It rather preferred to abstain.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/a51509b2-c665-11e3-ba0e-00144feabdc0.html#axzz39QhkKtrJ
The FT examines the causes for this behavior and at the end of the article say:
“But the strongest motivation for Israel to stay out of the Ukraine fracas lies in the present day
and closer to home: Russia is a strong and growing power in the Middle East.
Israel needs to engage Moscow on several vital issues: Iran’s nuclear programme and the
dismantlement of Syria’s chemical weapons stockpile. Moscow is the biggest foreign patron of
Bashar al-Assad’s Syria and a major supplier of arms to the Middle East in general.
Behind closed doors, Israel has prevailed on Russia to refrain from supplying game-changing
weapons to Syria that could land in the hands of Hizbollah, its best-armed regional enemy.”
Moreover as you can see at the following Wikipedia link, Avigdor Lieberman, the Israeli Foreign
Affairs Minister, is a Russian Jew. He was born in Russia, served in the Russian Army, and later
immigrated to Israel with his family. It is “strange” that the Israelis chose a Russian soldier as
their Minister of Foreign Affairs.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Avigdor_Lieberman
Some people are confused because the U.S. is still giving Israel some financial aid. For example
they recently offered Israel 200 million dollars in terms of financial aid. But Israel was receiving
approximately 3 billion dollars a year in American aid some years ago. This 200 million dollars,
is some of the last money Israel is receiving from United States as you can read at the following
article
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/steven-strauss/us-aid-israel_b_4251742.html
For Israel there is another big problem, namely the pipelines that will transfer natural gas from
the Persian Gulf to European markets, and more specifically the pipelines that will transfer
natural gas from the Persian Gulf’s South Pars/North Dome field. South Pars/North Dome is the
richest natural gas filed in the world and it lies between Qatar and Iran. It is jointly owned by
Qatar and Iran. You can see it on map 7.
Map 7
These pipelines are the real cause of the current war in Iraq and Syria. Muslims are divided in
Sunis and Shias. And the Shias want to transfer the natural gas through the route Iran-Iraq-Syria-
Lebanon-Mediterranean Sea- Europe and the Sunis through the route Qatar-Saudi Arabia-Jordan-
Syria-Turkey-Europe. You can see both the Suni (purple color) and Shia (red color) pipelines at
the following map
Map 8
Sunis and Shias are currently fighting in Syria and Iraq. As you can see on map 9, if Sunis win
Syria and Iraq, Shias cannot go ahead with their pipeline. The only other route to reach Europe
would be through Turkey. But Turkey is on the Suni side. The problem for Israel is that
Americans are supporting the Sunis in this conflict. Americans are very good friends with Qatar,
one of the owners of South Pars/ North Dome. The Russians support the Shia pipeline i.e. Iran.
It is known that Qatar is one of the countries that heavily fund Hamas, which is the terrorist
organization that throws rockets from Gaza to Israel, and it is officially recognized by U.S.A. and
Europe as a terrorist organization. Therefore Israel cannot count on the Americans at least for as
long as they back their lethal enemies. On the other hand, Iran is with Russia on this fight, and
together they support Assad in Syria. But Iran is also funding Hamas. But it is in direct
competition with Qatar on this pipeline fight.
But it is Iran’s nuclear program that is the lethal threat to Israelis. And it is the Russians that
control the nuclear program of the Iranians. And the Americans do not seem very interested in
preventing Iran from developing its nuclear arsenal. As you can see on the fourth paragraph of
the following Wikipedia link, it is the Russians that developed the first nuclear factory in Iran.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_program_of_Iran
And as you can see on the following Reuters link, the Russians will develop another 8 nuclear
reactors in Iran.
http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/05/22/iran-nuclear-russia-idUKL6N0O83KX20140522
And it is the Russians that provide weapons to Syrians one of Israel’s oldest foe. If you also take
into account that Obama is a president who seems to have strong ties with the Muslim world but
also with the Muslim Brotherhood, it should not be a big surprise that the Israelis have a Russian
soldier as their Minister of Foreign Affairs. You should also have a look at this video about how
U.S.A. indirectly helps Hamas.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WN_i0UKB3ZU&index=4&list=PL2bOp7h44zv65ap-
PbglPHKSLSdHAAjQM
You should also do some research on the relations of the U.S.A. and Qatar, and on the relation of
Qatar, Iran and Turkey with Hamas. It will help you understand the current geopolitical situation.
Map 9
It seems that the 21st century will a tough one for Israel.
I have written a lot in my previous essays about the Baku-Ceyhan and the Baku-Supsa pipelines (white lines on the map), as the only American success in the Caspian Sea region, a region which is controlled by the Russians and the Iranians. With the help of the only NATO friendly country of the Caspian Sea, Azerbaijan, the Americans managed to construct a pipeline that bypassed both Iran and Russia, using the energy corridor Azerbaijan-Georgia-Turkey, transferring Caspian energy to the Mediterranean Sea (Ceyhan) and to the Black Sea (Supsa).
They did so, in order to provide the European markets with an alternative to the Russian energy, thus decreasing the Russian influence over Europe, hoping that eventually they would manage to influence some of the other corrupted dictators of the Caspian countries too, who are currently under Russian influence, since Azerbaijan’s energy reserves are clearly inadequate to compete with the Russian ones.
At the following tables you can see the Caspian region reserves by country.
As you can see at the above table, the Americans and the Europeans need the oil rich Kazakhstan in order to fill their oil pipelines, and they need the natural gas rich Turkmenistan in order to fill their future natural gas pipelines, if they finally develop a natural gas pipeline network. Alternatively they can take Iran on their side, since Iran is twice as rich as Russia in terms of oil, and its natural gas reserves amount to 2/3 of the Russian ones, and therefore Iran can clearly compete with Russia.
The Ceyhan-Haifa Pipeline
Moreover they planned to construct a new underwater four leg pipeline from Ceyhan to Haifa, which would carry crude oil, natural gas, electricity and water from Turkey to Israel, which would distribute it in the whole region, but also to the port of Eilat and then to South Asia, again bypassing Iran (red line on the map). You can read about the Ceyhan-Haifa pipeline at the above European Commission link, pages 10 and 11, tables 3.2.3 and 3.2.7, or you can see it visually at the following map.
http://ec.europa.eu/energy/observatory/doc/country/2009_12_turkey.pdf
Source:http://geopoliticsrst.blogspot.gr/2012/04/complexity-of-eastern-med-energy-games.html
Also note that the rich in oil Kirkuk in North Iraq (Iraqi Kurdistan), is also connected to the Turkish port of Ceyhan, with the pipeline Kirkuk-Ceyhan (yellow line on the map). Therefore the underwater Ceyhan-Haifa connection would actually be a connection of Baku and Kirkuk with the Israeli port of Eilat in the Red Sea, and finally to South Asia (Pakistan, India, China) bypassing Iran. After describing the Ceyhan pipelines and before turning to the Israel-Lebanon War of 2006, I must also say a few words about the economic and geopolitical implications of these pipelines.
An obvious consequence of the Baku-Ceyhan, Baku-Supsa pipelines was that the Russians were very angry, since the Americans and the Europeans could compete with them in Europe if they finally manage to reach countries rich in oil and natural gas. Another consequence was that Iran was even angrier than Russia, since the Baku-Eilat pipeline would transfer Caspian energy to South East Asia bypassing Iran. As you can see on the map, the shortest way to provide Caspian Energy to South Asia is through Iran.
However with the Baku-Ceyhan and the Ceyhan-Haifa-Eilat pipelines, another financially viable route was created, in order to provide Caspian energy to South Asia bypassing Iran, since for most of the distance (Baku-Eilat) only pipelines would be used, which is a very efficient way of transferring energy, and tankers would only be used from the port of Eilat. This was of course very bad for Iran’s exports, but also for its geopolitical significance.
I have said many times in the past how important it is for Iran to construct a pipeline network that would connect it to Pakistan, India and finally China (black line on the map), since it would make Iran much more competitive than Saudi Arabia, its main competitor in oil markets, and Qatar, its main competitor in natural gas markets, since as you can see on the map, Saudi Arabia and Qatar cannot be connected to South Asia with a pipeline network. Geographically it is only possible for Iran to do so. For a detailed description on the war against Iran, in order to prevent it from connecting itself through pipelines to Pakistan, India and China, see my previous essays.
Therefore the Saudis and the Qataris do not want a pipeline connection between Iran, Pakistan, India and China, since it would make Iran more competitive in these markets which are currently dominated by the Saudis in oil sales and by the Qataris in natural gas sales. Moreover the Americans do not want this to happens, since it would connect China to the Persian Gulf, and it would enable China to obtain Persian Gulf energy bypassing the Indian Ocean which is dominated by the American Navy, which makes it possible for the Americans to ‘unplug’ China very easily in the case of a war. China partially fixed this weakness with the 400 billion dollar mammoth deal with Russia, according to which Russia will supply China with natural gas for the next 30 years.
The Indians, who are a key connection between Iran and China, do not want to be so heavily dependent for their energy imports on the politically unstable Persian Gulf, since there is always the possibility of a ‘hot’ war, which would prevent access to the Persian Gulf and to energy supplies. They have therefore been constantly looking for the past years for a competitive alternative to the Persian Gulf energy supply. Moreover having access to many energy sources is not only good in terms of energy security, but it also ensures better energy prices.
For Indians the Iran-Pakistan-India-China pipeline was one of the Persian Gulf alternatives, since even if access to the Persian Gulf by sea was prevented due to a war, supply could continue through the pipelines, and they have therefore many times in the past tried to promote this project, without however so far being successful. On the other hand this pipeline would pass through Pakistan, India’s main enemy, and it had its own weakness in terms of energy security.
Therefore the Baku-Eilat connection would offer India an alternative to the Persian Gulf, which would have nothing to do with Pakistan. The following Asia Times article calls the Ceyhan-Eilat pipeline a ‘lifeline’ for India, since it is an alternative to the Persian Gulf and at the same time it is a source of energy independent from Pakistan.
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/South_Asia/JB27Df03.html
You can also read about how important the Ceyhan-Eilat pipeline would be for India in the following Times of India article.
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Turkey-offers-alternative-to-Iran-pipeline/articleshow/2770237.cms
This is one more article on the subject from Pakistan Defence, but you can find many other articles if you simply google ‘Ceyhan-Haifa Pipeline and India’ or something similar.
http://defence.pk/threads/turkey-offers-alternative-to-iran-pipeline.9754/
Therefore the Baku-Eilat pipeline would not only bypass Iran, but it would reduce the pressure on the part of the South Asian countries for promoting the badly needed for Iran project of the Iran-Pakistan-India-China pipeline. Could it be worse for Iran? That’s why Saudi Arabia and
Qatar did not object to the Ceyhan-Eilat connection, because they realize that if the South Asian countries do not have an alternative to the Persian Gulf, they will press harder for a land connection with Iran.
The Saudis and the Qataris can compete with oil and natural gas flowing from Eilat to South Asia, but they cannot compete with oil and natural gas flowing from Iran to South Asia through pipelines. After this large introduction I can finally turn to the Israel-Lebanon War of 2006.
The Israel-Lebanon War of 2006
As you can read at section ‘Inauguration’ of the following Wikipedia link, the Baku-Ceyhan pipeline, it was inaugurated at its Ceyhan terminal on 13.7.2006.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baku%E2%80%93Tbilisi%E2%80%93Ceyhan_pipeline#Inauguration
As you can read at the following Wikipedia link on 12.7.2006, one day before the Ceyhan inauguration, Hezbollah terrorists attacked the Israelis starting the 2006 Israel-Lebanon War.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2006_Lebanon_War
More specifically, the second paragraph of the above link says:
‘The conflict was precipitated by the Zar'it-Shtula incident. On 12 July 2006, militants from the group Hezbollah fired rockets at Israeli border towns as a diversion for an anti-tank missile attack on two armored Humveespatrolling the Israeli side of the border fence. The ambush left three soldiers dead. Two Israeli soldiers were abducted and taken by Hezbollah to Lebanon. Five more were killed in Lebanon, in a failed rescue attempt. Hezbollah demanded the release of Lebanese prisoners held by Israel in exchange for the release of the abducted soldiers. Israel refused and responded with airstrikes and artillery fire on targets in Lebanon. Israel attacked both Hezbollah military targets and Lebanese civilian infrastructure, including Beirut's Rafic Hariri International Airport. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) launched a ground invasion of southern Lebanon. Israel also imposed an air and naval blockade. Hezbollah then launched more rockets into northern Israel and engaged the IDF in guerrilla warfare from hardened position’
Moreover at the end of the first paragraph of the above link you can read the following:
‘Due to unprecedented Iranian military support to Hezbollah before and during the war, some consider it the first round of the Iran–Israel proxy conflict, rather than a continuation of the Arab-Israeli conflict.’
In section ‘Contacts with Hezbollah’ of the following Wikipedia link, you can read the following:
‘Russian intelligence agencies have a history of contacts with Lebanese Shia organizations, such as Amal Movement and Hezbollah Russian-made anti-tank weapons played significant role in Hezbollah operations against Israel Defense Forces during 2006 Israel-Lebanon conflict. It was claimed that "Russian Fajr-1 and Fajr-3 rockets, Russian AT-5 Spandrel antitank missiles and Kornet antitank rockets"have been supplied to Hezbollah through Syria and Iran Muslim
GRUdetachments from Chechnya were transferred to Lebanon independently of the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon to guard the Russian military engineers (sent to Lebanon to restore the damaged roads) and "to improve Moscow’s image in the Arab and Muslim world.’
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russia_and_the_Iran%E2%80%93Israel_proxy_conflict#Contacts_with_Hezbollah
In section ‘Arab League’ of the following Wikipedia link you can read:
‘The Arab League has called Hezbollah's attacks on Israel "unexpected, inappropriate, and irresponsible acts," in the words of Saudi Arabia's foreign minister, PrinceSaud Al-Faisal. The Arab League says they have “fears of widening of tension and possible Israeli strike against Syria,“ “It’s up to the resistance — both the Lebanese and the Palestinian — to decide what they are doing and why are they fighting.
Following a meeting of Arab League foreign ministers in Cairo on 16 July, Secretary-General Amr Moussa declared that "The Middle East process is dead" and that "The only way to revive the peace process is to take it back to the Security Council’.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_reactions_to_the_2006_Lebanon_War#.C2.A0Arab_League
At section United States of the following Wikipedial link you can read:
‘Following the Zar'it-Shtula incident, the United States government condemned what it called Hezbollah's "unprovoked act of terrorism", and called for the "immediate and unconditional release" of the soldiers.
The United States rushed a delivery of satellite and laser-guided bombs to Israel, at Israel's request. The shipment was not publicly announced.
In addition, the United States has thus far rejected what it considers to be meaningless calls for a cease-fire . "The Bush administration has openly rejected calls for a ceasefire. The New York Times reports that U.S. and Israeli officials have agreed the bombings will continue for another week. "On Tuesday [18 July 2006] Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice rejected an immediate ceasefire and said one could only occur once certain conditions are met.’
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_reactions_to_the_2006_Lebanon_War#.C2.A0United_States
At section Iran of the following Wikipedia link you can read:
‘Foreign ministry spokesman Hamid-Reza Asefi condemned Israel's response stating, "The Zionist regime is desperate because of the resistance put up by regional Muslim nations and is now resorting to blind tactics against the innocent people of Lebanon with full US backing."[27] Iran also adds that an Israeli attack against Syriawould be considered an attack against the entire Muslim world and it would bring about a "fierce response."[28] Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, quoted by the Iranian News Agency, said "The Zionists think that they are victims of Hitler, but they act like Hitler and behave worse than Genghis Khan.’
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_reactions_to_the_2006_Lebanon_War#.C2.A0Iran
At section Iraq of the following Wikipedia link you will read that Iraq condemned the Israelis.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_reactions_to_the_2006_Lebanon_War#.C2.A0Iraq
Even though the pipelines were good for Iraq, since Iraq could export its oil to South Asia bypassing Iran, Iraq condemned Israel. The reason is that after the fall of Saddam Hussein in 2003, an Iraq had a Shiite governemnt, and even though it was pro-American, it was very closely cooperating with the Shiites of Iran, and Iraq did not feel that there was any need to bypass its ally.
At section Russia of the following Wikipedia link you will read that Russia condemned the Israelis.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_reactions_to_the_2006_Lebanon_War#.C2.A0Russia
However for the Russians things were more complicated than the Iranians, because the Russians were of course against the Baku-Ceyhan pipeline, but I do not think that they were against the Ceyhan-Haifa four leg pipeline, since Russia and Turkey are very well connect with pipeline networks, because Russia is the main natural gas supplier of Turkey, and Russia could use the Ceyhan-Haifa pipeline to sell its own natural gas.
There is already the Blue Stream natural gas pipeline that connects Russia and Turkey under the Black Sea, and they are planning the construction of the Blue Stream 2 pipeline, that would connect Samsun to Ceyhan as you can see on the following 2 maps.
Source:http://www.sfgate.com/news/article/Turkey-Israel-to-build-Mediterranean-pipeline-2498862.php
Source:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blue_Stream
Therefore the Russians could sell to the whole region their natural gas through the route Samsun-Ceyhan and Ceyhan-Haifa. However this is back in 2006, and the problems in the American-Israeli relations are not present yet nor is the Israel-Russia rapprochement, and therefore the Russians have to support their traditional allies i.e. Syria, Iran and Lebanon.
It is therefore quite simple to explain the Middle East wars if you look at the oil and natural gas that is always hidden in the background of these wars. However the Israelis have some problems of their own with Lebanon, since their natural gas supplies are near the Israeli-Lebanese borders, and the Lebanese claim that a part of these natural gas reserves belong to them as you can see at the following two maps.
Source:http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/energy/2012/07/120703-israel-new-natural-gas/
Source:http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/139069/yuri-m-zhukov/trouble-in-the-eastern-mediterranean-sea
Therefore the Israelis and the Lebanese, besides all the disputes I have mentioned so far, have the natural gas disputes too. However it is mainly Iran that owns Hezbollah, since it is Iran that provides for Hezbollah funding and weapons, and it is on Iran’s orders that Hezbollah acts. Iran has done with Hezbollah, what Qatar has done in Gaza with Hamas. Qatar owns Hamas. It provides its funding and weapons and through this funding Hamas managed to provide financial support to the people of Gaza and won the elections in 2006, and did not conduct other elections since that time.
Therefore in the same way that Iran bought Hezbollah at the northern border of Israel, Qatar bought Hamas at the Southern borders of Israel (Gaza). For the relationship between Qatar and Hamas and Iran and Hezbollah you can simply google ‘Qatar Hamas’ and ‘Iran Hezbollah’ to find hundreds of articles.
The main dispute between Israel, Hamas and Hezbollah is natural gas. Israel is trying to provide an alternative source of natural gas to Europe, either through Cyprus and Greece or by liquefying its natural gas and exporting it with ships. Iran and Qatar are the 2nd and 3rd richest countries in the world in terms of natural gas reserves, and Israel is closer to Europe and would provide a
cheaper alternative even though it has far less reserves, and why not in Africa too. Recently I wrote an essay about the 15 billion dollar natural gas agreement between Israel and Jordan.
Therefore even though the Shiite Muslims of Iran and the Sunni Muslims of Qatar are the 2nd and 3rd richest countries in the world in natural gas reserves, and therefore hate each other as we can see with the war in Syria and Iraq now, they both do not want Israel to provide an alternative to the natural gas markets of Europe and Africa, with the help of other Mediterranean countries too, like Egypt, Greece and Cyprus. This is the reason Qatar is pushing so hard for the Muslim Brotherhood to come back to power in Egypt, since the Brotherhood is under its influence. With the Muslim Brotherhood in power Qatar could ensure that Egypt would not undercut its prices.
Therefore in the same way that Iran bought Hezbollah at the Israeli-Lebanese borders (black circle in the following map), Qatar bought Hams in Gaza (blue circle), and in the same way the Sunni Muslim terrorists of Hamas take orders from Qatar and Turkey, the Shiite Muslim terrorists of Hezbollah take orders from Iran. Therefore Qatar and Iran can use Hamas and Hezbollah to launce energy wars on Israel whenever they want.
As you can read at the following article, Hamas and Hezbollah had very good relations, until the great war between the Sunni Muslims of Saudi Arabia and Qatar and the Shiite Muslims of Iran and Iran broke out, as I was saying in my essay ‘The Energy War Between U.S.A. and Russia’.
http://www.wilsoncenter.org/islamists/article/the-marriage-and-divorce-hamas-and-hezbollah
Source:http://www.nektarinanonprofit.com/2012/03/israel.html
Therefore it can be seen that the Israel-Lebanon War of 2006 was another hot energy war, in the sequence of the hot and cold energy wars taking place in the Middle East for the last one hundred years. Any analysis about the wars in the Middle East that is not based on oil and natural gas is always totally inadequate.
The following Financial Times article of 21st Mai 2014, reported that Israel was very close to signing agreements with Egypt and Jordan for exporting Israeli natural gas to these countries, from Leviathan, Israel's largest natural gas field.
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/02ea38aa-e0e2-11e3-a934-00144feabdc0.html?siteedition=intl
At the following article of Haaretz, which is as you can see at the following Wikipedia link, Israel’s oldest newspaper, and its English version is published with the New York Times,
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Haaretz
it was reported on 30 June 2014 that Israel did finally sign an agreement to export to Egypt 30 billion dollars of natural gas in the next 15 years. That is 2 billion dollars of natural gas each year, and it amounts to 20% of Leviathan’s capacity.
http://www.haaretz.com/business/.premium-1.601980
At the following article of the Times of Israel, an electronic newspaper that is published in 3 languages, it was reported on 3 September 2014, that Israel did finally sign an agreement to export to Jordan 15 billion dollars of natural gas in the next 15 years.
http://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-signs-15-billion-gas-deal-with-jordan/
What happened in the time between the Financial Times article on 21 Mai 2014, which reported that Israel was close to signing the agreements and the Haaretz article on 30 June, which reported the actual 30 billion dollar agreement between Egypt and Israel?
Well what happened is that the 3 Israeli teenagers were abducted by Hamas on 12 June 2014, as you can read at the first line of the following Wikipedia link, in section “Immediate Events”.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Israel%E2%80%93Gaza_conflict#Immediate_events
At the first paragraph of the following Wikipedia link, you can read that on 7 July 2014, one week after the agreement between Israel and Egypt, Hamas took responsibility for the teenagers’ abductions and at the same time it launched 40 rockets to Israel. One day later, on the 8 July 2014, the Israeli army entered Gaza.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Israel%E2%80%93Gaza_conflict
It is well known that Hamas is funded by Qatar. Hamas won the elections in 2006 by providing financial help to the people of Gaza. In a sense Qatar bought a military camp at the Israeli borders. Qatar is the 3rd richest country in the world in terms of proven natural gas reserves, after Russia and Iran, and could have easlily provided the natural gas to Egypt and Jordan instead.
One of the main reasons that Qatar funded and wholeheartedly supported the Muslim Brootherhood candidate in Egypt, Muhammad Morsi, is that if Morsi was in power he would have never made a deal with Israel, since the Muslim Brotherhood is supported by Qatar.
At the following Wikipedia link, section ‘Aftermath’, 2-3 lines before the end of the section, where the consequences of the Arab Spring on the Egypt-Israel 1978 Peace Agreement are examined, you can read that the deputy chief of the Muslim Brotherhood said that the Brotherhood does not recognize Israel’s right to exist.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Egypt%E2%80%93Israel_Peace_Treaty#Aftermath
At the following BBC article you can read how much Qatar supported the Muslim Brotherhood and its candidate Morsi. In the 6th and 7th paragraph you can read that Qatar did not give all that money for nothing, but instead to make sure that Egypt would buy natural gas from Qatar. I copy these two paragraphs.
“....But this was not a charitable giveaway. It was in the nature of an investment. A Qatari economist told the BBC: "We couldn't stand by and let Egypt collapse", but the billions came with an expectation - "I'll give you the money, show me the outcome," he said.
The Qataris had already secured a lucrative deal to sell their gas to the Egyptians and they were proposing to heavily invest in the redevelopment of the Suez Canal...”.
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-23185441
Many socialists that are financed by Qatar say that the Brotherhood was democratically elected. As you can read in the 3rd paragraph of the following Wikipedia link, as soon as he was elected, Morsi started changing the law to rule as a dictator. I copy from the link.
“…As president, Morsi granted himself unlimited powers and the power to legislate without judicial oversight or review of his acts….”
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mohamed_Morsi
Moreover you can read at the following Haaretz article that the Israelis have agreed to sell to the Palestinian Authority in West Bank 1.2 billion dollar in natural gas. But this is a small amount compared to the 45 billion dollar deals with Egypt and Jordan, and Qatar would have not probably minded. As you can see the deal was singed in January 2014 and there was no war in Gaza. It was before the agreements with Egypt and Jordan that the war broke out. Nobody starts a war for 1.2 billion dollars.
http://www.haaretz.com/business/1.567216