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OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management...

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OM&PM/Class 8b 1 Operations Strategy Process Analysis Lean Operations Supply Chain Management Capacity Management in Services Quality Management Class 7b: Quality & the Voice of the Customer Class 8a: Control Charts & Voice of the Process Class 8b: Paradigms for Continuous Improvement » Process Capability » Analog Devices & Continuous Improvement » Introduce National Printing Company Operations Management & Performance Modeling
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Page 1: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 1

Operations Strategy Process Analysis Lean Operations Supply Chain Management Capacity Management in Services

Quality Management– Class 7b: Quality & the Voice of the Customer

– Class 8a: Control Charts & Voice of the Process

– Class 8b: Paradigms for Continuous Improvement

» Process Capability

» Analog Devices & Continuous Improvement

» Introduce National Printing Company

Operations Management & Performance Modeling

Page 2: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 2

Class 8a: Key Learning Objectives

The role of variability in evaluating performance

A process – in control has only inherent (from common cause) variation

– out of control has variation from an assignable cause

Pareto analysis to identify key causes of error

SPC framework for process control and improvement

Page 3: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 3

Statistical Process Control:Attribute Measurements (p-Charts)

800 of samplein errors 56.14%82.136000

655

errors76.30047.0800

)0181.01(0181.0

Page 4: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 4

Control Chart of errors in Receiving Process

0

5

10

15

20

25

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45

Day

Daily Errors

UCL 25.92

LCL 3.28

m 14.56

Page 5: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 5

Errors by Type & Module(Pareto Analysis)

80 % of the errors may be attributed to 20 % of the

causes.

Error Type Number of Errors Percentage

Other 242 36.9Slotter 230 35.1

Letdown 78 11.9Putaway 69 10.5Keying 28 4.3ITR ADJ 8 1.2

Number of Errors by Type

0

50

100

150

200

250

Other Slotter Letdown Putaway Keying ITR ADJ

Module Number of Errors Percent ErrorsModule 1 486 74.2Module 3 169 25.8

0

50

100150

200

250

300

350400

450

500

Module 1 Module 3

Number of Errors by Module

Page 6: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 6

Control Chart Module 1 ErrorsDay Errors

1 22 173 184 215 76 27 108 219 810 911 1112 2413 1614 415 516 417 318 1019 920 1521 2322 1223 1324 1125 926 627 928 1129 1130 631 1832 1533 1034 835 436 437 2038 739 840 641 1842 1843 944 1145 3

0

5

10

15

20

25

1 4 7 10

13

16

19

22

25

28

31

34

37

40

43

Day

Daily Errors in Module 1

UCL 20.5

LCL 1.1

m 10.8

Page 7: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 7

Module 1 of Receiving Process

1. Calculate average proportion of errors per sample:

2. Calculate the standard deviation of proportion defects per sample of 400:

3. Calculate control limits:

4. Plot control chart with control limits 400*(UCL, LCL) = (20.52, 1.08)

UCL p z

LCL p zp

p

= + = 0.027 + 3

= = 0.027 - 3

0 0081 0 0513

0 0081 0 0027

. .

. .

Module 1 is out of control

= ( - )

=. ( -. )

=. p

p p

n

1 027 1 027

4000081

Page 8: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 8

Module 1 Errors by Type

Error Type Number of Errors PercentageSlotter 164 33.7Other 158 32.5

Letdown 77 15.8Putaway 57 11.7Keying 23 4.7

ITR ADJ 7 1.4

Number of Errors by type in Module 1

020406080

100120140160180

Slotter Other Letdown Putaway Keying ITR ADJ

Error Types

Page 9: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 9

Process Capability

Voice of the Customer Voice of the Process

Process Capability

= How well is process capable of meeting customer specifications?

For the Receiving process, customer specifications require no more than 2% errors on any given day.

Proportion of days where errors are beyond customer specifications =

Page 10: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 10

Process Capability: Sigma or ‘z’ Capability

Sigma capability is the number of standard deviations from the mean to the closest specification limit.

Sigma capability of Receiving process =

What if Receiving is to become a 3-Sigma process?

– Target mean =

– Target standard deviation =

Page 11: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 11

Improving Process Capability

100 130 160

LSL USL

= 10

100 143 160

LSL USL

= 10

LSL USL

= 5

100 130 160

LSL USL

= 5

100 143 160

99.9 % 99.9 %

Page 12: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 12

Magnitude of Difference Between Sigma Levels

# sigma’s # nines Area Spelling Time Distance

1 0 Floor space ofSoldier Field

170 misspelledwords per page ina book

31.75 years percentury

Here to the moon

2 1 Floor space oflarge supermarket

25 misspelledwords per page ina book

0.45 years percentury

1.5 times aroundthe world

3 2 Floor space ofsmall hardwarestore

1.5 misspelledwords per page ina book

3.5 months percentury

London to NewYork

4 4 Your living room 1 misspelled wordper 30 pages

2.5 days percentury

Basel to Zurich

5 6 The button ofyour telephone

1 misspelled wordin a set ofencyclopedias

30 minutes percentury

Leverone toNorris

6 8 diamond 1 misspelled wordin a library

6 seconds percentury

Four steps fromyour chair

Page 13: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 13

99.9% Suppliers

At least 20,000 wrong prescriptions per year

More than 15,000 newborns dropped by doctors or

nurses

No electricity, water or heat for 8.6 hours each year

No telephone service or TV transmission for nearly 10

minutes each week

Two short (or long) landings at O’Hare each week

Page 14: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 14

Why 6-Sigma?

Impact of # of parts/stages in a process

Impact of mean shift

Probability that process/product meets specs3 -sigma 4 - sigma 5 - sigma 6 - sigma

# of steps/parts1 93.3% 99.4% 100.0% 100.0%

10 50.1% 94.0% 99.8% 100.0%50 3.2% 73.2% 98.8% 100.0%

100 0.1% 53.6% 97.7% 100.0%144 0.00% 40.8% 96.7% 100.0%369 10.0% 91.8% 99.9%740 1.0% 84.2% 99.7%

1044 0.1% 78.4% 99.6%1590 0.00% 69.1% 99.5%

19581 1.0% 93.6%42559 0.00% 86.5%

100000 71.2%1000000 3.3%

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

1.0%

10.0%

100.0%

1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000

# steps/components

Probability that process/productmeets specs

3 -sigma

4 - sigma

5 - sigma

6 - sigma

Page 15: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 15

Relationship Between Sigma Capability, Proportion Defects, and Cpk

LSL m USL

z z

z Sigma Process Probability of meeting specs Defects per million Cpk

z 2 F (z ) - 1 2 - 2 F (z ) z / 31 0.682689480482 317310.519518 0.332 0.954499875928 45500.124072 0.673 0.997300065554 2699.934446 1.004 0.999936627931 63.372069 1.335 0.999999425790 0.574210 1.676 0.999999998020 0.001980 2.007 0.999999999997 0.000003 2.33

Cm m

pk = minLSL

3 ,

USL -

3

Page 16: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 16

Page 17: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 17

ADI Stock Price Performance

Page 18: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 18

Key learning objectives: Analog Devices

Methods to drive improvement– visibility: expose the rocks (“mgt. by sight”)

– exploratory stress: crisis (“mgt. by stress”)

– set standards: half live (“mgt. by stretch”)

Short term performance evaluation of complex organizations requires a balanced scorecard

Operational improvement needs to be converted into financial improvement

Page 19: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 19

Class 8b: Key Learning Objectives: SPC

Specification limits: Voice of the customer Control limits used to verify if process is in control

(internal), i.e., is maintaining capability: Voice of the process

Process capability is a measure of the quality delivered (external): links VoP with VoC

Improving capability may require variability reduction and/or mean shift

Reducing number of stages/parts improves capability

Page 20: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 20

Continuous Improvement:PDCA Cycle (Deming Wheel)

Institutionalize the change or abandon or do it again.

Execute the change.Study the results; did it work?

1. Plan

2. Do3. Check

4. Act

Plan a change aimed at improvement.

Page 21: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 21

Process Improvements at Analog

July 1, 1987 July 1, 1990

Average Yields

July 1, 1987 July 1, 1990

July 1, 1987 July 1, 1990 July 1, 1987 July 1, 1990

Manufacturing Cycle Time

Defects

51%

20%

15 weeks

7 weeks

500 ppm

50 ppm

18.75

6.25

Page 22: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 22

Target Half-Lives

ProjectType

Examples Model HalfLife

ExpectedRange

Singledepartment

Operator ErrorsWork in process

3 months 0-6 months

Crossfunctional

New ProductOutgoing PPM

9 months 6-12 months

Multi Entity Vendor QualityWarranty Costs

18 months 12-24 months

Page 23: OM&PM/Class 8b1 ¬Operations Strategy Process Analysis ®Lean Operations ¯Supply Chain Management °Capacity Management in Services ±Quality Management –Class.

OM&PM/Class 8b 23

Continuous Improvement: Benchmarking

1. Identify those processes needing improvement.

2. Identify a firm that is the world leader in performing the process.

3. Contact the managers of that company and make a personal visit to interview managers and workers.

4. Analyze data


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