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The Real Open Source Opportunity
Tim O’Reilly
March 17, 2010
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Open Source in the Age of the Cloud
Tim O’Reilly
March 17, 2010
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“Major Strasser has been shot...Round up the usual suspects”
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Open Source
“You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.”
Web 2.0 Cloud Computing
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You may think of me as a book publisher
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What We Really Do At O'Reilly
Change the world by spreading the knowledge of innovators
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O’Reilly Radar Methodology
“The future is here. It’s just not evenly distributed yet.” - William Gibson
We “watch the alpha geeks” and think about the futures they are living in
We then look for trend data that tells us that a particular future is becoming mainstream
I’m going to tell you some seemingly unconnected technology stories from the front lines of innovation. Then we’re going to connect the dots.
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“I’m an inventor. I became interested in long term trends because an invention has to make sense in the world in which it is finished, not the world in which it is started.”
-Ray Kurzweil
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<1>
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What we see here
Peer-to-peer credit card payments Social networks used for risk evaluation
The PC is out of the loop The phone is a sensor platform
– Hardware add-on innovation– Location based sensing– Touch screen UI
Processing is done in real time in the cloud– Allowing processing that can’t be done on the device– Big data analysis– Building new networks on the back of existing ones
Reinventing a major industry
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<2>
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The cloud future includes...
Devices acting as sensors for intelligent data collection
Devices whose UI is on the web rather than the device
Feeding data into multiple online services that will turn into a full-on sensor web
Setting the stage for robotics, augmented reality, and the next generation of personal electronics
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Some of the open source hardware talks at OSCON
Arduino: Open Source Hardware Hacking from the Software Nerd Perspective http://www.arduino.cc/
Plumbing: Parallel Programming for Artists and Makers http://www.concurrency.cc/
Face detection on the iPhone with OpenCV Environmental Monitoring with Arduino and
compatibles Open Source Data Visualization on Open Source
Hardware Software Control of Home Automation Systems New Open Source Tools for Creating Embedded
Linux Devices
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<3>
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The smart phone plus local search. Today pizza,
Pizelle Pizza, 50 Post StreetCalifornia Pizza Kitchen, 53 3rd StreetEscape from NY Pizza, 333 Bush Street
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An application running on a mobile device whose user interface is driven by sensors:
- Touch screen- Motion and proximity sensors- Microphone- GPS or cell tower triangulation
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An application that depends on cooperating cloud data services: - Speech recognition- Search- Location data
In real time.
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<4>
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•Search in plain English•Search by voice•Traffic view•Search along route•Satellite view•Street view
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An application that depends on cooperating cloud data services: - Location- Search- Speech recognition- Live Traffic- Imagery
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Open Source
“You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.”
Web 2.0 Cloud Computing
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The Internet Operating System is A Data Operating System
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The Internet Operating System is a Data Operating System
It helps applications find out about– People– Places– Things– Prices– Documents– Images– Sounds– Relationships– ...
and helps people interact with them through services– Search– Payment– Matching and Recognition– ...
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In Real Time
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“Augmented Reality”
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The Yelp Monocle
Find cafes nearby.
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But how do you decide what data to show?
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“We don’t have better algorithms than anyone else. We just have more data.”
--Peter Norvig, Chief Scientist, Google
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The underdog is the ally of open source
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Potential open source supporters
Search: Microsoft Maps: Microsoft, Yelp, Foursquare Speech: Nuance, Microsoft Social Graph: Google Payment: ?? Cloud infrastructure: VMware Smartphones: Google Device Operating Systems: Google
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Interoperable web services, open data, and standard protocols are at least as important as open source
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Switching tracks (a bit)...
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Open Source and Scientific Data“With the very pressing issue of climate change, releasing raw data is vital.
There can be no excuse not to. Releasing source code is optional, trulygreat for open source review - but very dangerous if everyone just re-runsthe same code with the same baked-in implicit and explicit assumptions anderrors.
In discussion with our Chief Scientist, we have agreed it's much better topublish the following:
- the raw data and the circumstances of its collection - the method and assumptions used to process the data (in words and equations) - the results of the processing - the known limitations on the method and significance of the assumptions
The computer code should be written from scratch as many times as possibleto reduce the chance that it affected the results in any way.”
--Gavin Starks, CEO, AMEE
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AMEE - the world’s energy meter
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For more information
The Open Source Paradigm Shift (2003) http://bit.ly/cKLSUP
What is Web 2.0? (2005) http://oreil.ly/a0zT65
Web Squared: Web 2.0 Five Years On (2009) http://bit.ly/kEKgs
Government as a Platform (2010) http://opengovernment.labs.oreilly.com/
Ongoing commentaryhttp://radar.oreilly.comhttp://twitter.com/timoreillyhttp://buzz.google.com/timoreilly
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