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Optimizing Jack-Up Vessel Chartering Strategies for Offshore Wind … · Optimizing Jack-Up Vessel...

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology Optimizing Jack-Up Vessel Chartering Strategies for Offshore Wind Farms Andreas Jebsen Mikkelsen Odin Kirkeby Marielle Christiansen Magnus Stålhane
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Page 1: Optimizing Jack-Up Vessel Chartering Strategies for Offshore Wind … · Optimizing Jack-Up Vessel Chartering Strategies for Offshore Wind Farms Andreas Jebsen Mikkelsen Odin Kirkeby

Norwegian University of Science and Technology

Optimizing Jack-Up Vessel Chartering

Strategies for Offshore Wind Farms

Andreas Jebsen Mikkelsen

Odin Kirkeby

Marielle Christiansen

Magnus Stålhane

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 2

Outline

• Motivation

• Problem description

• Mathematical model

• Preliminary results

• Further research

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 3

Jack-up vessel

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 4

Motivation

*from Dinwoodie et al (2015)

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 5

Motivation

*from Dinwoodie et al (2015)

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 6

Jack-up vessel charter rates

*Based on data from Dalgic et al (2013)

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 7

Page 8: Optimizing Jack-Up Vessel Chartering Strategies for Offshore Wind … · Optimizing Jack-Up Vessel Chartering Strategies for Offshore Wind Farms Andreas Jebsen Mikkelsen Odin Kirkeby

Norwegian University of Science and Technology

Current Jack-Up Charter Practices

• Options:

• Annual charter

• Fix-on-fail

• Batch-repair

• Difficult to determine best option

• Obstacles:

• Inflexibility

• Expensive

• Determining optimal batch

• Uncertainty

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 9

Optimal jack-up strategy depends on:

• Size of the wind farm

• Weather conditions at the wind farm site

• Failure rate of the components

• Charter rate for jack-up vessels

• Capabilities of the jack-up vessels

• Goal: To determine when, and for how long, to charter in

a jack-up vessel in order to minimize expected total O&M

cost.

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 12

Mathematical model

• Uncertain parameters:

– When failures that require jack-up vessels occur

– The weather conditions at the wind farm site each day of the

planning horizon

• Two-stage stochastic optimization model

– First stage: Decide when, and for how long, to charter a jack-up

vessel

– Second stage: Given first stage decision, how to deploy the jack-

up vessel in order to minimize the downtime cost

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 13

First stage model

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 14

First stage modelDaily charter rate

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 15

First stage modelMobilisation rate

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 16

First stage modelExpected total downtime cost

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 17

First stage model

Must mobilize vessel to have it available

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 18

First stage model

Must keep vessel for a minimum number of

days, if mobilised

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 19

Second stage model

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 20

Second stage modelDowntime cost of fixinga failure on a given day

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 21

Second stage modelPenalty cost applied if a

failure is not fixed

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 22

Second stage model

Faliures can only be fixed in time periods the vessel is chartered. Repair time is weather dependent

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 23

Second stage model

All failures must be fixed, otherwise a penalty is added

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 24

Solution method

• The two-stage stochastic programming model is solved

using scenario generation and then solving the

deterministic equivalent

• Each scenario represents one realisation of one year

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 26

Scenario

time

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 27

Scenario

time

Wave height

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 28

Scenario

time

Wave height Wind speed

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 29

Scenario

time

Wave height Wind speed

Failure oftype 1

Failure oftype 2

Failure oftype 1

Failure oftype 3

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 30

Scenarios

Scenario 1

Scenario 2

Scenario n

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 31

Scenarios

Scenario 1

Scenario 2

Scenario n

All scenarios represent different possiblerealisations of the weather and failureparameters based on sampling

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 32

Scenarios

Scenario 1

Scenario 2

Scenario n

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 33

First stage decisions – must be the same

in all scenarios

Scenario 1

Scenario 2

Scenario n

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 34

First stage decisions – must be the same

in all scenarios

Scenario 1

Scenario 2

Scenario n

The decision of when to charter a vessel must be the same in all

scenarios

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 35

Second stage decisions – different for

each scenario

Scenario 1

Scenario 2

Scenario n

What a vessel does once it is chartered, depends on the scenario

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 36

Second stage decision – when to fix a

given failure

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 37

Second stage decision – when to fix a

given failure

Why wait?

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 38

Second stage decision – when to fix a

given failure

Why wait?

weather conditions not good enough to perform

maintenance

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 39

Second stage decision – when to fix a

given failure

Why wait?

Or vessel not charteredin these periods

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 40

Downtime costs – depends on wind

speed

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 46

Preliminary Results

• The model is able to solve one-year problems

with 100 scenarios

• Weather conditions at site and vessel

capabilities greatly affect results

• Anything from 50 to 200 days of charter for a

80-100 turbine wind farm

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology 47

Future reasearch

• Ensure realistic data

– Huge differences in values used in different research

• Verify model results in a cost of energy simulation model

• Compare strategy with batch-repair strategy

• Add possibility of sub-leasing

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Norwegian University of Science and Technology

Optimizing Jack-Up Vessel Chartering

Strategies for Offshore Wind Farms

Andreas Jebsen Mikkelsen

Odin Kirkeby

Marielle Christiansen

Magnus Stålhane

Page 41: Optimizing Jack-Up Vessel Chartering Strategies for Offshore Wind … · Optimizing Jack-Up Vessel Chartering Strategies for Offshore Wind Farms Andreas Jebsen Mikkelsen Odin Kirkeby

Norwegian University of Science and Technology

Optimizing Jack-Up Vessel Chartering

Strategies for Offshore Wind Farms

Andreas Jebsen Mikkelsen

Odin Kirkeby

Marielle Christiansen

Magnus Stålhane

Page 42: Optimizing Jack-Up Vessel Chartering Strategies for Offshore Wind … · Optimizing Jack-Up Vessel Chartering Strategies for Offshore Wind Farms Andreas Jebsen Mikkelsen Odin Kirkeby

Norwegian University of Science and Technology

Optimizing Jack-Up Vessel Chartering

Strategies for Offshore Wind Farms

Andreas Jebsen Mikkelsen

Odin Kirkeby

Marielle Christiansen

Magnus Stålhane

Page 43: Optimizing Jack-Up Vessel Chartering Strategies for Offshore Wind … · Optimizing Jack-Up Vessel Chartering Strategies for Offshore Wind Farms Andreas Jebsen Mikkelsen Odin Kirkeby

Norwegian University of Science and Technology

Optimizing Jack-Up Vessel Chartering

Strategies for Offshore Wind Farms

Andreas Jebsen Mikkelsen

Odin Kirkeby

Marielle Christiansen

Magnus Stålhane


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