11
Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences 48 (2012) 2190 – 2200 1877-0428 © 2012 Published by Elsevier Ltd. Selection and/or peer review under responsibility of the Programme Committee of the Transport Research Arena 2012 doi:10.1016/j.sbspro.2012.06.1192 7UDQVSRUW 5HVHDUFK $UHQD± (XURSH 2SWLPL]LQJ WKH +LJKZD\ /LIHWLPH E\ ,PSURYLQJ WKH 6HOI +HDOLQJ &DSDFLW\ RI $VSKDOW $OL $]KDU %XWW %M|UQ %LUJLVVRQ 1LNL .ULQJRV +LJKZD\ DQG 5DLOZD\ (QJLQHHULQJ .7+ 5R\DO ,QVWLWXWH RI 7HFKQRORJ\ %ULQHOOYl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¶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µKHDOLQJ SRWHQWLDO¶ FRXOG WKHUHE\ VHUYH DV DQ H[FHOOHQW FKDUDFWHULVWLF WKDW FRXOG EH FDSLWDOL]HG XSRQ 7R GDWH KRZHYHU WKHUH LV VWLOO YHU\ OLWWOH IXQGDPHQWDO LQVLJKW LQWR ZKDW FDXVHV VRPH ELWXPHQ WR EH EHWWHU µKHDOHUV¶ WKDQ RWKHUV (YHQ OHVV LV NQRZQ DERXW WKH UHVXOWLQJ LPSDFW RI WKLV KHDOLQJ SRWHQWLDO RQ WKH RYHUDOO OLIHWLPH RI WKH SDYHPHQW DQG LWV HIIHFW RQ WKH RYHUDOO HPLVVLRQ DQG HQHUJ\ XVDJH +HDOLQJ SRWHQWLDO LV WKHUHIRUH YHU\ UDUHO\ LQFOXGHG LQWR SDYHPHQW OLIHWLPH SUHGLFWLRQV RU EURXJKW LQWR WKH SODQQLQJ RI PDLQWHQDQFH RSHUDWLRQV ZKLFK LV D PLVVHG RSSRUWXQLW\ 7KLV ZLOO QRW FKDQJH XQWLO D EHWWHU XQGHUVWDQGLQJ LV FUHDWHG 1LNL .ULQJRV 7HO ± (PDLO DGGUHVV NULQJRV#NWKVH Available online at www.sciencedirect.com © 2012 Published by Elsevier Ltd. Selection and/or peer review under responsibility of the Programme Committee of the Transport Research Arena 2012
