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Ottawa Product Management Association Leaders in commercialization
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•OPMA WelcomeAndrew Faulkner, OPMA President
•All About YOU! Opportunities & elevator pitches
•Keynote: AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES AND THE DISRUPTIONS IN TRANSPORTATION PRODUCTS AND SERVICES
Introduction: Mindy Sichel, OPMA VP SpeakersSpeaker: Barrie Kirk, Executive Director, Canadian Automated Vehicles Centre of Excellence (CAVCOE)
•Networking
Tonight’s Agenda
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•OPMA is a Not-For-Profit organizationCreated as a LinkedIn Group in 2009Established as a Live Networking Group January 2013
•OPMA runs monthly networking events and an annual ProductCamp•Funds raised through Sponsorship and event fees (new for 2017/2018)
No salaries or bursaries are paidAll Sponsorship funds are used for effective running of the organization and to enhance the profession of Product Management in Ottawa-Gatineau
•OPMA is led by an executive team with guidance and governance provided by a Board of Directors
OTTAWA PRODUCT MANAGEMENT ASSOCIATION (OPMA)
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OPMA Mission
•Cultivate and promote Ottawa as a centre for Commercialization and Product Management excellence
Knowledge, skills, leadership and professionalism
ProductCamp
Monthly
EventsMentorship
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•Growing Membership ~1,000 •All OPMA members have a shared enthusiasm for shaping Ottawa as a
North American Center of Excellence for commercialization•Membership includes hundreds of product managers, marketing
professionals and executives from many leading companies and institutions in the Ottawa- Gatineau region
From start-ups to fortune 500 multi-nationals
OPMA Membership…we’re well connected
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OPMA Leadership Team
Hala HawaPCO 2017 PROJECT
MANAGER
NicoleMarketing Manager
Andrew FaulknerPresident
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66th Year
LinkedIn Members
Registrations
Attendees (52%)
OPMA…the growth continues
940
2,271
4,358
47 Events
July2017
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Part of Global Entrepreneur Week
4th ProductCamp
150 registrations
90 attendees
2 keynotes & 12 Sessions
Ottawa ProductCamp by numbers…breaks all records!
Scaling-Up Your Business
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OPMA Sponsorship
• Promote Product/Service via OPMA’s mailing list and Social Media
• Network with Ottawa’s leading companies & key decision makers
• Be a key contributor to the growth, development and prosperity of products/services developed in the Ottawa & Gatineau region
• Leadership positioning within Ottawa’s Product Management Community
• Have access to top local Product Management talent
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GETTING YOUR MESSAGE OUT
• 1,212 Opt-in Subscribers • Regular mailings with Sponsor Logos • Over 45 e-blasts sent since June 2013 • LinkedIn
~1000 group members Regular announcement and discussions
• Twitter: @OttawaPMA428 Followers, >1,591 tweets
• Website: WWW.OttawaPMA.org• Event Promotions• Post Meeting Survey • Networking Meetings • ProductCamp Ottawa • Mentorship Program
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All About YOU! Provide your info to Jonathon or Mindy to have it distributed to our membership
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ProductCamp Ottawa 2017• ProductCamp Ottawa is...…the ultimate unconference for product managers and product marketers in the Ottawa-Gatineau areaFind out the latest developments, discover new ideas, and network with community leaders and peers
• To Submit a Session and Register…..visit our events page at www.ottawaPMA.org
18Nov
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Sunny Fall Day in Kanata!
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The Main Event“AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES AND THE DISRUPTIONS IN
TRANSPORTATION PRODUCTS AND SERVICES”
V0.2
Barrie Kirk, Executive Director, Canadian Automated Vehicles Centre of Excellence
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Autonomous Vehicles and the Disruptions in Transportation Products and Services
Barrie Kirk, P.Eng.Executive Director, Canadian Automated Vehicles Centre of Excellence
Ottawa Product Management AssociationOctober 23, 2017
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© John Deering, Strange Brew
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CAVCOE Partners
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Agenda
•Status and deployment•Trends and impacts•Product / service management•Conclusions
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1898: The Vision
•Nikola Tesla proposed an automated car which, “left to itself, would perform a great variety of operations involving something akin to judgement”
Tesla – Man Out of Time; Margaret Cheney
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New York City 1900
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New York City 1913
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Deployment Timing
1st gen: now • Commercial, semi-autonomous cars• Commercial, fully-automated vehicles for
applications in controlled environments2nd gen: 2020 ± 1 yr • First street-legal, fully-autonomous cars
• Focus on driverless taxis• Limited capability, limited rollout
2020s • Ramp-up in capability and deployment• AVs increasing part of total Vehicle
Kilometres Travelled (VKTs)3rd gen:2030s
• Advanced fully-automated vehicles: no steering wheel, pedals, etc.
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Navya
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Navya in Montreal
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Trial of RDM’s fully-automated taxis, Milton
Keynes, UK
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Komatsu: Fully-Automated Heavy
Hauler
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Mercedes-Benz Concept Car
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Fewer Collisions
•AVs have the potentialto be much safer than human drivers
•93% of collisions involve driver error
•Hopefully, we can reduce collisions by 80%
Ottawa Citizen
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Video processing, LiDARs, Radars
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•Great goal but unachievable !!!•All hardware, software fails occasionally•7% of collisions have nothing to do with the driver
Will happen whether a human or computer is driving
•There will be collisions, fatalities, injuries - but far fewer
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Agenda
•Status and deployment•Trends and impacts•Product / service management•Conclusions
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Automated Vehicles
Connected Vehicles
Electric Vehicles
ACE Vehicles
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Automated Vehicles
Connected Vehicles
Electric Vehicles
ACES / Driverless
Taxis
SharingEconomy
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Transportation-as-a-Service (TaaS)
•Aka “Mobility-as-a-service”, “Personalized mass transit” or “Micro-transit”
•Trend away from personal car ownershipTo use of fully-automated taxis
•Merging of regular taxi, Uber, car rental and transit business models
•Call one via smartphone•Slightly more expensive than premium transit ticket
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Deployment Challenges
•Cyber-security•Extreme weather•Work zones, detours•Traffic signals ANDpolice officer
•Pedestrian prediction•Hand gestures•Reversing
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Hacked Jeep Cherokee July 2015
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Deployment: Big Risk Factor
•Regulatory frameworks:Vehicle standards (Federal)Vehicle operation (Provincial / State)Canada last among G7
•Government regulationSlow paceCannot keep up with speed of development of disruptive technologiesInnovation vs safetyNeed a government-wide approach
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Other Deployment Challenges
•Municipal planning for AVs•Insurance•Legal•Ethics
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Impact on Auto Sector
•The auto sector will change more in the next 5-10 years than it has in the last 50
Mary Barra, CEO, General Motors
•ACES will be highly disruptive•Substantial growth in the transportation servicesector
$10 Trillion market (Morgan Stanley)•Market for personally-owned cars will decrease substantially in 2020s
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Impact on Auto Sector (2)
•By 2030, most – maybe all – new cars will be electricFar fewer moving parts
•Trend towards micro factoriesAdditive printing, i.e. 3D printing of many car parts
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CNN
•U.S. auto boom that fueled record sales and profits is winding down
•Radical transformation that could threaten the survival of some automakers.
•Challenge posed by electric and self-driving cars is far more fundamental than 2008 crisis
•Automakers investing billions to develop new vehicles
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Ford
•“Our plan is to quickly become part of the growing transportation servicesmarket, which already accounts for $5.4 trillion in annual revenue”
“Nearly twice as much as the global auto industry brings in each year”
•Ford invested $1B in ArgoAI
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GM
•"A ride sharing network is the logical first place to deploy driverless technology"
•“Pieces in place to develop ride sharing, autonomous cars”
Invested $500 million in ride-hailing service LyftAcquired self-driving vehicle technology start-up Cruise AutomationContinue to equip new vehicles with high-speed mobile internet connections
Reuters
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Related Trends
•Driverless taxis will be a competitive option for commuting
•Convergence between automotive, taxi, car-sharing, transit business models
•Technology companies moving into the auto sectorApple, Google, Uber, QNX, RDM
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Direct Employment Displacement
•Auto-body repair•Auto insurance•Bus drivers•Courier service drivers
•Driving instructors•Health staff: health and tissue donation
•Lawyers & staff: car collision litigation
•Taxi / Uber drivers•Tow-truck drivers•Traffic police•Transport truck drivers
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Impacts on Government
•All levels / most departmentsFinance, economy and GDPHealth-careHydroNational securityPolicies on technology, industry, R&DPolicingTransit including transit infrastructureTransportation policies and regulationsUrban planning, housing
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©The New Yorker
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First Commandment of AVs
•Thou shalt have no special infrastructureFar too expensivePut all the AI into the vehicles
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Second Commandment of AVs
•When AVs have reached a significant level of penetration, thou shalt optimize the infrastructureRoad designParkingIntersectionsUrban planningCharging stations
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Anthony FoxxFormer US Transportation Secretary
•“A fully-automated fleet for the US could provide for a five-fold increase in highway capacity”
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Advice to Governments, Banks, Etc.
• All requests for financing for new transportation and transit infrastructure should include an analysis of the impact of AVs on the design and business case
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Autonomous Friendly Corridors (AFCs)• Central North America Trade
Corridor Association (CNATCA)• Roadway designed for autonomous
trucks• Air corridor - drones• Mexico to Canada• Opportunities for East Coast and
Trans-Canada AFCs
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Mercedes Benz Future Truck 2025
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Starship
Dispatch’s ‘Carry’
Sidewalk Friendly AVs
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Domino’s pizza delivery robot.
Sidewalk Friendly AVs
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Delivery Robots
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Delivery Robots
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Delivery Drones
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Delivery Robots
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Personal Airborne Transportation (PAT)
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Airbus’ Vahana Project(Personal Airborne Transportation)
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Agenda
•Status and deployment•Trends and impacts•Product / service management•Conclusions
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Transit / Transportation: 2020+
•Next 10-20 years will be unlike last years of 20th Century and early years of 21st
•Business planning based on history fundamentally flawed
•Lot of uncertainty about years aheadBest estimate of future better than historical data
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Winners
•Technology sector: large global market•Mobility service industry: $10T global mkt.•Non-passenger AVs: service, delivery•Electricity generation, distribution•Health-care•Long-haul trucking; local delivery
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Winners
•Technology sector: large global market•Mobility service industry: $10T global mkt.•Non-passenger AVs: service, delivery•Electricity generation, distribution•Health-care•Long-haul trucking; local delivery
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Biggest Winner
•Data is the new oil•Each AV:
Terabytes of data to be harvestedProcessed with big data, analyticsMonetized
•One estimate: data from each AV is worth 3x value of car
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Losers
•Significant human cost = social unrest•Auto manufacturing: OEMs, Tier 1 and 2s•Auto insurance•Car dealers, service operations•Oil / pipeline industry; gas stations•Parking•Taxis, rental cars
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Looking Further Ahead….
•When data shows that computers are safer drivers:Human drivers banned Very controversial!
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Agenda
•Status and deployment•Trends and impacts•Product / service management•Conclusions
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Conclusions
•AVs will lead to huge, disruptive changes to our personal lives and societyKey benefit: computers will be much better drivers than humansMajor global business opportunities
•Changes to our world will start in 2020By 2030, our lives, cities will be very different
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Follow-up
•Barrie [email protected]
•www.cavcoe.comLatest issue of AV Update, a free monthly newsletter with news on AVs from around the worldSubscription link
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Call to action: •Fill out our survey; your feedback really matters!•Register for ProductCamp and our December event (Monday Dec 11th)
•Networking in the lobby until 9 pm
Thanks for coming tonight!