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Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

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Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning possibilities for wheat improvement 2013 BGRI Technical Workshop, Session 10; August 21, 2013 Moderator: Kathy Kahn, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Panelists: Iago Hale, University of New Hampshire, USA Jemanesh Haile, Ethiopian Institute of Agricultural Research, Ethiopia Jessica Rutkoski, Cornell University, USA
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Page 1: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning possibilities for wheat improvement

2013 BGRI Technical Workshop, Session 10; August 21, 2013

Moderator: Kathy Kahn, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Panelists: Iago Hale, University of New Hampshire, USA

Jemanesh Haile, Ethiopian Institute of Agricultural Research, Ethiopia Jessica Rutkoski, Cornell University, USA

Page 2: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

The participants

K. Muleta WSU

I. Hale UNH

R.E. Amil LARI

J.K. Haile EIAR

P. Juliana Cornell

K. Kahn BMGF

D.G.O. Saunders Sainsbury Lab

E. Heffner DuPont Pioneer

M. Rouse USDA

L. Derevina UC Davis

S. Berraies U Tunis

E. Alwaan WSU

M. Acevedo NDSU

T.L. Dugo Sinana ARC

C. Lan CIMMYT

J. Rutkoski Cornell

S.D. Evanega DRRW

T. Cavalieri BMGF

M. Smith BMGF

V. Mwaja BMGF

15 early-career wheat scientists 9 countries

14 institutions (public and private)

Page 3: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

What will it take to achieve global wheat security? What does the wheat world need globally?

How can we strengthen/improve wheat productivity?

The challenges

9 billion people by 2050 Resource limitations

Extreme weather events Urbanizing population

Growing demand for wheat

The opportunity

Page 4: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

Future headlines Wheat success stories in 2025

Page 5: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

Anti-problems What could prevent progress in wheat improvement and delivery to farmers?

Centralized decision-making and research Restrictions on data sharing and germplasm exchange

Exclusive focus on genetics as a solution Uncoordinated activities across sectors and stakeholders

Lack of investment in extension and farmer training Disconnect between researchers and farmers

Gluten intolerance becomes a communicable disease

Page 6: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

Researcher empowerment Support training and deployment 9

Facilities 7 New tool development 5 Shared data management platforms 4

The Farmer Link Integrate farmer input into research

objectives and priorities Align research activities with farmer

needs Effective systems of demonstration Empower farmers to engage in

research and dissemination Genetic improvement Integrate molecular breeding

approaches 9 Strengthen phenotyping 9 Strategies for multi-disease durable

resistance 8 Breeding for widely-adapted wheat 3 Strengthen genotyping 1

Cultural practices Integrated cropping systems 11

Soil fertility management 8

Small-scale mechanization 7

Management of problematic soils 3

Irrigation and water management 1

Page 7: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

A  Global  Wheat  Improvement  Network  to  Empower  Breeders  and  

Scien<sts  

Page 8: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

Wheat  breeders/scien<sts  share  common  challenges  

Organize  and  store  data  

Phenotyping     Analyze  data  

……with  limited  <me  and  resources    

Genotyping    

MASwheat  

Crossa  et  al  2013  

Page 9: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

Common  facili<es  à  improved  efficiency  

Ø Doubled  haploid  facili/es  Ø Genotyping  centers      

Ø Disease  screening  nurseries  Ø Biosafety  Level  3  facili/es  Ø Managed  stress  nurseries  

Germplasm  Evalua<on:   Accelerated  breeding  cycles:  

Michael  Gore   www.tecan.com  

Page 10: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

Community  database  and  analysis  tools  à  improved  breeding  decisions      

Database  for:  Ø Genotypes  Ø Pedigrees  Ø Phenotypes  Ø Clima/c  data    

Tools  for:  Ø Trial  design  Ø Phenotypic  data  analysis  Ø Marker  assisted  selec/on  Ø Genomic  selec/on  Ø Germplasm  characteriza/on  

Page 11: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

Training  and  within-­‐community  consulta<on  à  researcher/breeder  empowerment  

Group  training  courses      

Individual  consulta<on    

Ø Phenotyping  Ø Data  management  Ø Data  analysis  Ø Marker  assisted  and  genomic  selec/on  

Exchange  of  experts  across  breeding  programs  to:  

Ø Understand  specific  needs        Ø Provide  expert  advice  Ø Learn  from  exposure  to  different  programs  

h9p://blog.cimmyt.org  

Page 12: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

Improving Wheat Productivity Through Integrated Crop Management Research

and Extension for Local Conditions (Ethiopia as a Case Study)

Page 13: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

Ø  60% of the national income

Ø  80% of the work force

Ø  60% of the total export income

Agriculture in Ethiopia

v  Mainstay of Ethiopian economy

Page 14: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

Ø  15% of the arable land is currently utilized

Ø  1% of the irrigable land is currently utilized

Ø  Low productivity

e.g. wheat ≤ 2 tons/ha

v  Characterized by low production and productivity

Agriculture in Ethiopia

Page 15: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

v  Soil Fertility degradation

Ø  Extremely low fertilizer use

Ø  High price of fertilizer Ø  Lack of capacity for frequent soil analysis (Blanket recommendation)

ü  Proposed Solutions

Ø  Identify/disseminate site-specific fertilizer rate and type

Ø  Establish means for fertilizer affordability & access

Ø  Identify locally available alternative sources

Ø  Upgrade the capacity of soil fertility analysis (human resources, mobile labs, equipments, reagents, etc.)

Major Agronomic Constraints to Wheat Production in Ethiopia

Page 16: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

v  Lack of agricultural implements Ø  Difficulty implementing row planting

Ø  Non-optimal management practices

Ø  High labor intensity

Ø  Avoidable losses during harvest and postharvest

ü  Proposed Solutions

Ø  Build local capacity (partnerships between small scale industry/ manufacturing and research centers)

Ø  Design, produce, and disseminate small farm implements that are easily available and affordable to farmers

Major Agronomic Constraints to Wheat Production in Ethiopia

Page 17: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

v  Problematic soils (vertisol, acidic and saline soils) Ø  Large proportion of the arable land

Ø  Central highlands, Northern & South-Eastern parts of the country

Ø  Large acreage of wheat production in these areas

ü  Proposed solutions Ø  Targeted agronomic and soil management practices

Ø  Drainage improvement

Ø  Proper farm implements

v  Other constraints

Ø  Lack of irrigation (immense water resources)

Ø  Expansion of wheat into marginal (drought prone) areas

Ø  Climate change

Major Agronomic Constraints to Wheat Production in Ethiopia

Page 18: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

v  Surveys (farmers & researchers) – EIAR / Stakeholders Ø  Assessments of local wheat production constraints

Ø  Technology/capacity/vision/challenge inventories

v  Workshops

v  Project implementation (pilot) areas Ø  Central Highlands

Ø  South-Eastern (Awash basin)

Ø  Northern parts of Ethiopia

v  Objective: To improve wheat productivity in Ethiopia through Integrated Crop Management

The Approach: ICM for local conditions

Page 19: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

Wheat, comparative yield data (kg/ha)

Evans School of Public Affairs, Brief No. 98, 2010

Smallholder wheat yield gap in sub-Saharan Africa: 2,120 kg/ha

Page 20: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

What should the future of wheat improvement look like?

Page 21: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement
Page 22: Outcomes of the Wheat Futures Convening: Envisioning Possibilities for Wheat Improvement

Timeframe for the overall activities of the proposed project

Time frame  

Phase   Activity   1 2 3 4 5

I  

Engaging Central, Northern & South-Eastern parts in developing and carrying out surveys  

 

Soil samples collected and analyzed from pilot areas (existing facilities)    

Expanding soil analysis capacity and expertise (Mobile labs)      

Building and upgrading of weather stations in selected pilot areas    

Prioritization of production constraints    

Identification of model farmers    

Workshop (s) to determine future experiments and demonstrations

(Extension agents, researchers, model farmers, other stakeholders - \wheat

industry)  

II  Design and conduct experiments & demonstrations

Results/Training/Communication/Evaluation of adoption      

Outreach: initiation of field days - short videos!        


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