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Overview of Public Acceptance of CCS David M. Reiner David M. Reiner Judge Business School, University of Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge Research Associate, Electricity Policy Research Group & Research Associate, Electricity Policy Research Group & MIT Carbon Sequestration Initiative MIT Carbon Sequestration Initiative Presented at CSLF Workshop Presented at CSLF Workshop Paris Paris 27 March 2007 27 March 2007
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Page 1: Overview of Public Acceptance of CCS · 2015-08-25 · Overview of Public Acceptance of CCS David M. Reiner Judge Business School, ... Nuclear energy Hydrogen cars Bioenergy/biomass

Overview of Public Acceptance of CCS

David M. ReinerDavid M. Reiner

Judge Business School, University of Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge Research Associate, Electricity Policy Research Group & Research Associate, Electricity Policy Research Group &

MIT Carbon Sequestration InitiativeMIT Carbon Sequestration Initiative

Presented at CSLF WorkshopPresented at CSLF Workshop

ParisParis

27 March 200727 March 2007

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Studies to DateStudies to Date

•• Public Attitudes and AwarenessPublic Attitudes and Awareness

�� Studies in the UK, Sweden, US, Japan, the Netherlands, Studies in the UK, Sweden, US, Japan, the Netherlands, Canada, Spain, France, and AustraliaCanada, Spain, France, and Australia

•• Stakeholder Attitudes and AwarenessStakeholder Attitudes and Awareness

�� AGSAGS

�� CCP2 (DTI/IEA WPFF)CCP2 (DTI/IEA WPFF)

�� ACCSEPTACCSEPT

•• Media CoverageMedia Coverage

�� IEA GHG (Tyndall, CATO, etc)IEA GHG (Tyndall, CATO, etc)

•• Focus GroupsFocus Groups

�� Tyndall, CSIRO, CATO, SFUTyndall, CSIRO, CATO, SFU

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AGS Project on Social and AGS Project on Social and

Political Implications of CCSPolitical Implications of CCS

•• MIT (Herzog, de Figueiredo)MIT (Herzog, de Figueiredo)

•• Cambridge (Reiner)Cambridge (Reiner)

•• Chalmers University of Technology (Johnsson)Chalmers University of Technology (Johnsson)

•• Mizuho Research & Information Institute (Itaoka)Mizuho Research & Information Institute (Itaoka)

•• Public Surveys conducted in US (2003), Japan (2004), Public Surveys conducted in US (2003), Japan (2004),

UK (2004), Sweden (2004), US (2006)UK (2004), Sweden (2004), US (2006)

•• Stakeholder Survey conducted in Japanese, Swedish Stakeholder Survey conducted in Japanese, Swedish

and English in Spring 2006and English in Spring 2006

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Public Awareness Public Awareness (heard/read of the following in the past year)(heard/read of the following in the past year)

US UK

Sweden Japan

* know to

some extent

*

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Wind energy

More efficient

appliances

Nuclear energy

Hydrogen cars

Bioenergy/biomass

Carbon capture and

storage

Carbon

sequestration

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Wind energy

More efficient

appliances

Nuclear energy

Hydrogen cars

Bioenergy/biomass

Carbon capture and

storage

Carbon

sequestration

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Wind energy

More efficient

appliances

Nuclear energy

Hydrogen cars

Bioenergy/biomass

Carbon capture and

storage

Carbon

sequestration

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Wind energy

More efficient

appliances

Nuclear energy

Hydrogen cars

Bioenergy/biomass

Carbon capture and

storage

Carbon

sequestration

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Shifts over Time? US 2003Shifts over Time? US 2003--20062006

Technologies to Address Global Warming

(Percentage Who Have Heard Of Technology)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Mor

e ef

ficie

nt c

ars

Hyb

rid c

ars

Sol

ar e

nerg

y

Win

d en

ergy

Nuc

lear

ene

rgy

Mor

e ef

ficie

nt a

pplia

nces

Hyd

roge

n ca

rsB

ioen

ergy

/bio

mas

s

Car

bon

capt

ure

and

stor

age

Car

bon

sequ

estr

atio

n

Iron

fert

iliza

tion

Non

e of

thes

e

2003 2006

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0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Resource depletion*

Toxic waste

Water pollution

Acid rain

Smog

Ozone depletion

Global warming

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Resource depletion

Toxic waste

Water pollution

Acid rain

Smog

Ozone depletion

Global warming

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Resource depletion

Toxic waste

Water pollution

Acid rain

Smog

Ozone depletion

Global warming

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Resource depletion*

Toxic waste

Water pollution

Acid rain

Smog

Ozone depletion

Global warming

Can reduce Does not reduceNot sure

US UKCan CCS Reduce These Environmental Concerns?Can CCS Reduce These Environmental Concerns?

Sweden Japan

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Can CCS Reduce These Environmental Concerns?Can CCS Reduce These Environmental Concerns?

2003 Results for US2003 Results for US

US Responses

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Resource depletion*

Toxic waste

Water pollution

Acid rain

Smog

Ozone depletion

Global warming

Can reduce Does not reduce Not sure

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Can CCS Reduce These Environmental Concerns? Can CCS Reduce These Environmental Concerns?

2006 Results for US2006 Results for US

US Responses

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Resource depletion*

Toxic waste

Water pollution

Acid rain

Smog

Ozone depletion

Global warming

Can reduce Does not reduce Not sure

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US Responses (heard of CCS)

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Resource depletion*

Toxic waste

Water pollution

Acid rain

Smog

Ozone depletion

Global warming

Can reduce Does not reduce Not sure

For respondentsFor respondents who have heard of CCS: who have heard of CCS:

Can CCS Reduce These Environmental Concerns?Can CCS Reduce These Environmental Concerns?

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UK Responses

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Resource depletion

Toxic waste

Water pollution

Acid rain

Smog

Ozone depletion

Global warming

Can reduce Does not reduce Not sure

* Resource Depletion not

included in the US Survey

Can CCS Reduce These Environmental Concerns?Can CCS Reduce These Environmental Concerns?

UK ResultsUK Results

Page 11: Overview of Public Acceptance of CCS · 2015-08-25 · Overview of Public Acceptance of CCS David M. Reiner Judge Business School, ... Nuclear energy Hydrogen cars Bioenergy/biomass

For respondentsFor respondents who have heard of CCS: who have heard of CCS:

Can CCS Reduce These Environmental Concerns?Can CCS Reduce These Environmental Concerns?

UK Responses (heard of CCS)

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Resource Depletion

Toxic waste

Water pollution

Acid rain

Smog

Ozone depletion

Global warming

Can reduce Does not reduce Not sure

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0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Solar energy

Energy efficient cars

Wind energy

Carbon sequestration

Bioenergy/biomass

Nuclear energy

Carbon capture and

storage

US

JapanSweden

UK

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Solar energy

Energy efficient cars

Wind energy

Carbon sequestration

Bioenergy/biomass

Nuclear energy

Carbon capture and

storage

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Solar energy

Energy efficient cars

Wind energy

Carbon sequestration

Bioenergy/biomass

Nuclear energy

Carbon capture and

storage

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Solar energy

Energy efficient cars

Wind energy

Carbon sequestration

Bioenergy/biomass

Nuclear energy

Carbon capture and storage

Preferred Energy Technology to Address Global WarmingPreferred Energy Technology to Address Global Warming

Definitely use Probably use Not sure Probably not use Definitely not use

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Any recent shifts over time? US 2003Any recent shifts over time? US 2003

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Solar energy

Energy efficient cars

Wind energy

Carbon sequestration

Bioenergy/biomass

Nuclear energy

Carbon capture and

storage

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0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Solar energy

Energy efficient cars

Wind energy

Carbon sequestration

Bioenergy/biomass

Nuclear energy

Carbon capture and

storage

Any recent shifts over time? US 2006Any recent shifts over time? US 2006

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Any recent shifts over time? UK 2004Any recent shifts over time? UK 2004

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Solar energy

Energy efficient cars

Wind energy

Carbon sequestration

Bioenergy/biomass

Nuclear energy

Carbon capture and

storage

Page 16: Overview of Public Acceptance of CCS · 2015-08-25 · Overview of Public Acceptance of CCS David M. Reiner Judge Business School, ... Nuclear energy Hydrogen cars Bioenergy/biomass

Any recent shifts over time? UK 2006Any recent shifts over time? UK 2006

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Solar energy

Energy efficient cars

Wind energy

Carbon sequestration

Bioenergy/biomass

Nuclear energy

Carbon capture and

storage

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What has changed?: What Should Be What has changed?: What Should Be

Done to Address Global WarmingDone to Address Global Warming

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

No opinion

Concern about global

warming is unwarranted.

We don’t know enough

about global warming and

more research is necessary

before we take any actions.

There is enough evidence

that global warming is taking

place and some action

should be taken.

Global warming has been

established as a serious

problem and immediate

action is necessary.

2003 2006

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Compared with CCSCompared with CCS……

Natural Gas is:Natural Gas is:

2

1

0

0

1

4

5

4

5

5

3

22

8

6

5

11

2

32

18

3

12

13

7

53

3

2

1

3

6

15

2

1

1

4

2

10

0% 50% 100%

Electricity

NGO

Oil & Gas

Other manufacturing

Other

All

Much Better

Better

Similar

Worse

Much Worse

Unsure

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Compared with CCSCompared with CCS……

Nuclear Power is:Nuclear Power is:

13

0

1

8

1

23

11

0

5

12

4

32

6

0

7

7

4

24

3

5

5

7

6

26

3

11

4

1

5

24

4

1

2

2

3

12

0% 50% 100%

Electricity

NGO

Oil & Gas

Other manufacturing

Other

All

Much Better

Better

Similar

Worse

Much Worse

Unsure

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ACCSEPT ProjectACCSEPT Project

•• PanPan--EU stakeholder surveyEU stakeholder survey

�� 512 responses: 512 responses: industry (28%), research (34%) industry (28%), research (34%) government (13%), NGOs (5%) and government (13%), NGOs (5%) and national and national and European European parliamentarians (4%)parliamentarians (4%) in EUin EU--2525

�� UK (20%), Germany (11%), Netherlands (9%), UK (20%), Germany (11%), Netherlands (9%), France (6%), Italy (6%), Denmark (5%), Spain (5%) France (6%), Italy (6%), Denmark (5%), Spain (5%) and Norwayand Norway ((5%)5%)

�� Translated into 17 languages (funding from Shell)Translated into 17 languages (funding from Shell)

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Organizational position on CCSOrganizational position on CCS

unsure

discussions underway

no position on CCS

very negative toward CCS

slightly negative towards CCS

neutral towards CCS

slightly positive towards CCS

very positive towards CCS

org position on CCS

Page 22: Overview of Public Acceptance of CCS · 2015-08-25 · Overview of Public Acceptance of CCS David M. Reiner Judge Business School, ... Nuclear energy Hydrogen cars Bioenergy/biomass

Perceived need for CCS in:Perceived need for CCS in:

(1) own country, (2) EU and (3) globally(1) own country, (2) EU and (3) globally

321

Case Number

500

400

300

200

100

0

Val

ue

unsure

definitelynotnecessary

probablynotnecessary

onlynecessaryif

probablynecessary

definitelynecessary

Definitely necessary

Probably not necessary

Definitely not necessary

Probably not necessary

Unsure

Only necessary if…

Page 23: Overview of Public Acceptance of CCS · 2015-08-25 · Overview of Public Acceptance of CCS David M. Reiner Judge Business School, ... Nuclear energy Hydrogen cars Bioenergy/biomass

Perceived need for CCS by NGOs and parliamentarians Perceived need for CCS by NGOs and parliamentarians

in: (1) own country, (2) EU and (3) globallyin: (1) own country, (2) EU and (3) globally

321

Case Number

50

40

30

20

10

0

Val

ue

unsure

definitelynotnecessary

probablynotnecessary

onlynecessaryif

probablynecessary

definitelynecessary

Definitely necessary

Probably not necessary

Definitely not necessary

Probably not necessary

Unsure

Only necessary if…

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Risks associated with global impacts of leakage:Risks associated with global impacts of leakage:

NGOs (left), energy industry (right)NGOs (left), energy industry (right)

stakeholder level one: NGOs

no risk

minimal risk

moderate risk

very serious risk

global CC leakage impact

stakeholder level one: energy

unsure

no risk

minimal risk

moderate risk

very serious risk

global CC leakage impact

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Impact of CCS on investment in other Impact of CCS on investment in other LZCTsLZCTs in in

own country: NGOs (left), energy industry (right)own country: NGOs (left), energy industry (right)

stakeholder level one: NGOs

minor positive impact

no effect

minor negative impact

significant negative impact

CCS deter investment?

stakeholder level one: energy

unsure

signif positive impact

minor positive impact

no effect

minor negative impact

significant negative impact

CCS deter investment?

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Stakeholder views on provision of financial Stakeholder views on provision of financial

incentives for CCS: NGOs (left), overall (right)incentives for CCS: NGOs (left), overall (right)

stakeholder level one: NGOs

are not needed

are needed, higher level than renews

are needed, lower level than renews

are needed comparable level to renews

incentives for CCS

unsure

are not needed

are needed, higher level than renews

are needed, lower level than renews

are needed comparable level to renews

incentives for CCS

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CO2 Capture Project

IEA WPFF CCS Communications StrategyIEA WPFF CCS Communications Strategy

ObjectivesObjectives

�� Establish a stakeholder contact databaseEstablish a stakeholder contact database

�� Develop a prioritised assessment of public Develop a prioritised assessment of public

perceptions and potential concernsperceptions and potential concerns

�� Conclusions and recommendations on strategies Conclusions and recommendations on strategies

to address the above concerns based on the most to address the above concerns based on the most

appropriate and effective approaches to dialogue appropriate and effective approaches to dialogue

and educationand education

CO2 Capture Project

European

UnionU.S. Department

Of EnergyNorges forskningsrad

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Project StructureProject Structure

Project ManagementProject Management -- IainIain Wright Wright

Australia and New ZealandAustralia and New Zealand –– PetaPeta AshworthAshworth

ChinaChina ––Sun Xin, Li Di, Zhu Yizhong and Xi LiangSun Xin, Li Di, Zhu Yizhong and Xi Liang

EuropeEurope –– Jason AndersonJason Anderson

IndiaIndia –– Simon Shackley/TERISimon Shackley/TERI

JapanJapan –– Kenshi ItaokaKenshi Itaoka

North AmericaNorth America –– Sarah WadeSarah Wade

South AfricaSouth Africa –– Joe Joe AsamoahAsamoah

Regional CoordinationRegional Coordination –– David ReinerDavid Reiner

Funded by: UK Department of Trade and IndustryFunded by: UK Department of Trade and Industry

European

UnionU.S. Department

Of EnergyNorges forskningsrad

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StakeholdersStakeholders

•• R, D & D communityR, D & D community

•• IndustryIndustry

•• Policy makers and regulatorsPolicy makers and regulators

•• ENGOENGO’’ss

•• General Public General Public

European

UnionU.S. Department

Of EnergyNorges forskningsrad

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Prioritised CCS IssuesPrioritised CCS Issues

1. Cost of deployment

2. Scale of deployment

3. Perceived risks (to local health and safety)

4. Lack of accessible information

5. Supporting policies

6. Adequacy of regulatory frameworks to address the

perceived risks

European

UnionU.S. Department

Of EnergyNorges forskningsrad

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Prioritisation by IssuePrioritisation by Issue

•• Presents a snapshot of the concerns for each regionPresents a snapshot of the concerns for each region

Strong difference of opinion w/in stakeholder groupStrong difference of opinion w/in stakeholder group**

Negative driver of opinionNegative driver of opinion

Has potential to be a negative driver of opinionHas potential to be a negative driver of opinion

Positive driver of opinionPositive driver of opinion

Not currently driving opinionNot currently driving opinion

EuropeanUnion

U.S. DepartmentOf Energy

Norges forskningsrad

Traffic LightsTraffic Lights

European

UnionU.S. Department

Of EnergyNorges forskningsrad

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NA ANZ EUR China SA Japan India

1. Cost of Deployment *

2. Scale of Deployment *

3. Information / Communication

Importance of broader energy context

Access to information

Information fit for purpose/useful to stakeholders

Are efforts to communicate adequate

EuropeanUnion

U.S. DepartmentOf Energy

Norges forskningsrad

CrossCross--National Comparison: NGOsNational Comparison: NGOs

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Common FindingsCommon Findings

•• Different issues in regions depending on stage of Different issues in regions depending on stage of development of CCS development of CCS

•• Not enough information in developing countriesNot enough information in developing countries

•• Quality of information needs to be improved and made Quality of information needs to be improved and made ““fit for purposefit for purpose””

•• Need to ramp up efforts for communicating CCSNeed to ramp up efforts for communicating CCS

•• More effective to discuss CCS in broader context of More effective to discuss CCS in broader context of climate changeclimate change

•• Concerns about leakage across all regions Concerns about leakage across all regions

•• Social risk to Social risk to notnot communicating about the technologycommunicating about the technology

European

UnionU.S. Department

Of EnergyNorges forskningsrad

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Overall ConclusionsOverall Conclusions

•• Early indications show little change in Early indications show little change in publicpublic

awareness or attitudes towards CCS in last 2awareness or attitudes towards CCS in last 2--3 3

years years

•• Several efforts to document stakeholder concerns Several efforts to document stakeholder concerns

find notable differences in views of NGOs from find notable differences in views of NGOs from

other stakeholdersother stakeholders

•• To date, To date, ad hocad hoc and haphazard approach to and haphazard approach to

assessment with little focus on the role of assessment with little focus on the role of

information and underlying concernsinformation and underlying concerns

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Qualitative Responses of Qualitative Responses of

Stakeholders on Selected TopicsStakeholders on Selected Topics

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RecommendationsRecommendations

•• Implement appropriate commercial incentives for Implement appropriate commercial incentives for industrial deploymentindustrial deployment

•• Demonstrate comprehensive regulatory frameworksDemonstrate comprehensive regulatory frameworks

•• Implement industrialImplement industrial--scale demonstration projectsscale demonstration projects

•• Resolve longResolve long--term liability issues for geologically term liability issues for geologically stored stored CO2CO2

•• Clarify the role of CCS within a portfolio of solutions Clarify the role of CCS within a portfolio of solutions to climate changeto climate change

•• Increase education efforts (media, policymakers)Increase education efforts (media, policymakers)

•• Exploit opportunities for international collaborationExploit opportunities for international collaboration

European

UnionU.S. Department

Of EnergyNorges forskningsrad

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Public OutreachPublic Outreach

• Public doesn’t know anything about it – have an enormous public education challenge. If done right then can allay concerns, but must be done sensitively

• If environmentalists line up behind it, would get media and public support -- In coal states like Pennsylvania people love them [clean coal plants]. Demonstrating the future for coal mining [is] viewed favorably by [both the] public and elected officials.

• Doing homework for a public debate which hasn’t started yet

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Credible Sources?Credible Sources?

• Academic community needs to be more involved in

public outreach on both climate change and CCS –

difficult for firms to address public acceptability –

depends on government and scientists willingness to

convey the gravity of the problem

• Cynical and skeptical [about social acceptability]– only

people you hear talking about it are utilities and the

[Bush] Administration […] Don’t trust electric utilities

and if they are the spokesman, I am not optimistic.

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Government supportGovernment support

•• [The problem with CCS is that] lots of utilities are [The problem with CCS is that] lots of utilities are

looking for subsidies and if CCS remains as cost looking for subsidies and if CCS remains as cost

intensive it encourages government subsidiesintensive it encourages government subsidies

•• need confidence in reliability and that [should be the role need confidence in reliability and that [should be the role

of] private investment (BP, Statoil, etc) of] private investment (BP, Statoil, etc) –– the big fear is the big fear is

that government will divert significant resources to CCSthat government will divert significant resources to CCS

•• Major concern is public funding. At moment, [CCS is] Major concern is public funding. At moment, [CCS is]

connected with impacts on other mitigation options. connected with impacts on other mitigation options.

Funds should come primarily from private actorsFunds should come primarily from private actors

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Competition with RenewablesCompetition with Renewables

•• Answered that increased use of CCS will encourage Answered that increased use of CCS will encourage renewables and discourage nuclear energy, but those are renewables and discourage nuclear energy, but those are ““hopeful answershopeful answers””

•• One criticism of CCS is that it withdraws funds from One criticism of CCS is that it withdraws funds from R&D on renewables so negative, but what might be R&D on renewables so negative, but what might be positive is a possible double dividend of combining positive is a possible double dividend of combining CCS with biomass, which would have a negative COCCS with biomass, which would have a negative CO

22

balance. balance.

•• Quite apart from COQuite apart from CO22 emissions prefer renewables emissions prefer renewables

because of structural issues of control because of structural issues of control –– renewables renewables promise more decentralized access over longer termpromise more decentralized access over longer term

Page 42: Overview of Public Acceptance of CCS · 2015-08-25 · Overview of Public Acceptance of CCS David M. Reiner Judge Business School, ... Nuclear energy Hydrogen cars Bioenergy/biomass

Effect of CCS onEffect of CCS on…… RenewablesRenewables

11

8

10

13

8

50

18

1

10

9

4

42

5

6

1

6

6

24

4

2

3

9

7

25

0% 50% 100%

Electricity

NGO

Oil & Gas

Other

manufacturing

Other

All

Increased adoption of CCS willencourage

Introduction of CCS will notinfluence the role of

Increased adoption of CCS willdiscourage

Unsure

Page 43: Overview of Public Acceptance of CCS · 2015-08-25 · Overview of Public Acceptance of CCS David M. Reiner Judge Business School, ... Nuclear energy Hydrogen cars Bioenergy/biomass

Effect of CCS onEffect of CCS on…… NuclearNuclear

9

0

4

10

5

28

18

7

11

14

9

59

7

5

5

6

4

27

4

5

3

6

7

25

0% 50% 100%

Electricity

NGO

Oil & Gas

Other

manufacturing

Other

All

Increased adoption of CCS willencourage

Introduction of CCS will notinfluence the role of

Increased adoption of CCS willdiscourage

Unsure


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