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Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations and Financing Alternatives OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop December 5| 2013
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Page 1: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations and Financing Alternatives

OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop

December 5| 2013

Page 2: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

The Big Picture

• Majority of WW flow in the US goes to plants with digesters, but significant digester gas is not utilized to recover either heat or power

• 1238 US water resource recovery facilities have digesters

2

* EPA CHPP January 2011

Draft Report

http://www.biogasdata.org/

401

837

Without Recovery

With Heat or Energy Recovery

292

545

Digesters with Gas Used to produce Electricity

Digesters with Gas Used for Heat

Cogeneration is key to

approaching net-zero status

Page 3: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Screw Blowers

Stevens Point, Wisconsin

• 3 mgd

• Process efficiency upgrades• New blowers• New plant air compressor• LED lighting• DO 0.7 mg/L• Optimized thickening to reduce digester

heat• Low energy digester mixing

• Operational awareness

• Codigestion • Brewery waste• FOG

• 180 kW engine – Net Zero

Brown and Caldwell 3

Page 4: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

• 7 mgd

• Codigestion

• Ten 70 kW Microturbines

• Two 200 kW Microturbines

• 90% energy self-sufficient

Sheboygan, Wisconsin

Brown and Caldwell 4

Page 5: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

• 13.8 mgd

• Incremental process improvements• Aeration

• Belt Filter Presses

• Codigestion –• Whey

• Dewatering issues

• Two 350 kW engines

• Net Zero

Gloversville-Johnstown, New York

Brown and Caldwell 5

Page 6: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

• Economic Feasibility Analysis• Capital Costs

• Electrical Savings

• O&M Costs

• Communicating Financial and Sustainability Benefits to Stakeholders

• Financing Alternatives

Presentation Outline

Brown and Caldwell 6

Page 7: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Financial Feasibility Analysis

Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations and Financing Alternatives

Brown and Caldwell 7

Page 8: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Gas Pretreatment

Containerized CHP

Capital Cost Considerations

• Cogeneration system size (kW):• Codigestion and biogas growth

projections

• Redundant capacity often not cost effective

• Gas treatment

• Containerized systems minimize costs

Brown and Caldwell 8

Page 9: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Engine Selection vs. Historic Gas Production Rates

Brown and Caldwell 9

Page 10: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Equipment Costs: $500-1700/kW

Brown and Caldwell 10

WERF/Wiser:

Evaluation of

CHP

Technologies,

2010

Prime mover

package

purchase only

Lean Burn

IC Engines

Page 11: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Recent Project Costs

Brown and Caldwell11

All projects

include gas

treatment

ReWa, Bucklin

Pt, and

Midway are

containerized

Page 12: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

• Ohio Industrial Average: $0.0623 per kWh (Sept 2013, US Energy Information Administration)

• National Average $0.0712

• Consumption Charges

• Demand Charges

• Peak/Off-Peak

Electrical Savings: Rates

Brown and Caldwell 12

Page 13: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Consumption Savings ($/kWh)

• 90% utilization for IC Engines (7884 hrs/yr)

• 95% utilization for combustion turbines

• Gas Availability • Digester load variations

• Future conditions – sludge growth or codigestion

• Natural gas supplementation

• Specific engine electrical efficiencies

Electrical Savings

Brown and Caldwell 13

Page 14: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

37.50%37.10%

36.70%

33.20%

100% Load 80% Load 60% Load 40% Load

Engine Part Load Efficiency Reduces at Partial Engine Loadings

Brown and Caldwell 14

Page 15: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Demand Savings (monthly $/kW)

• Typically based on 15-minute rolling average peak utility kW

• Oil changes every 1000 hours

• Gas treatment and other maintenance outages• Stand-by generators can mitigate demand impacts

• Schedule maintenance for off-peak hours

• Multiple prime movers also increase demand savings

Electrical Savings Assumptions

Brown and Caldwell 15

Page 16: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Check utility for hidden fees

• WLSSD Example

• Rate schedules for distributed generation

• Possibly negotiable –Coordinate with electrical utility

Electrical Savings Assumptions

Brown and Caldwell 16

Table 4-2. Energy Cost Assumptions.

Value Units

Electricity

Consumption1 0.0434 $/kWh

Demand1 6.50 $/kWh

Taxes and Franchise Fees2 7.5 percent

Blended Rate3 0.058 $/kWh

Standby Reservation Fee4 3.08 $/kW

Standby Energy Usage Fee4 0.0157 $/kWh

Natural Gas

Purchase5 6.50 $/MMBtu

Sale (Diesel Equivalent)5 2.00 $/gallon

1. Minnesota Power 2009 Proposed Rates

2. From WLSSD April 2009 Minnesota Power bill

3. Calculated rate. Assumes plant demand levels are unchanged from current

4. Standard Minnesota Power electric service agreement for distributed generation service

5. Engineer’s estimate. Refer to natural gas and diesel sections below.

Page 17: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

• Engine Maintenance ≈$0.015/kWh

• Natural Gas Costs• Heating

• Natural gas blending to maximize output

• Parasitic electrical loads• Gas treatment, boosters

• Gas Pretreatment Media Changes ≈$0.01-0.02/kWh

• Codigestion • Tipping revenue (future ??)

• Management costs

Electrical Savings Partially Offset by O&M

Brown and Caldwell 17

Page 18: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Natural Gas Costs – Plant Heating

Brown and Caldwell 18

-

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

He

at

De

ma

nd

, MM

Btu

/h

r

Total Heat MMBtu/hr

Digester Heat

Building Heat

Biogas Boiler

NG Purchase with

Biogas Boiler,

$110,000/year

Flare

Biogas Boiler

Page 19: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Natural Gas Costs – Plant Heating

Brown and Caldwell 19

-

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

He

at D

em

an

d, M

MB

tu/h

r

Total Heat MMBtu/hr

Digester Heat

Building Heat

Biogas Boiler

CHP Engine Heat

Additional NG

Purchase with Biogas

Engine

+$70,000/year

Engine

Boiler Heat

Page 20: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

• Gas flow uncertainty• Loss of plant industrial loading

• Metering issues

• FOG, Codigestion uncertainty

• Energy Prices• Electrical

• Natural Gas

Risks

Brown and Caldwell 20

Page 21: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Communicating Financial and Sustainability Benefits to Stakeholders

Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations and Financing Alternatives

Brown and Caldwell 21

Page 22: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Overview of Economic Analysis Approaches

• Primary approaches include:

• Net Present Value (NPV)

• Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

• Simple Payback

• Limitations to some Approaches

22

No one standard approach to determine a suitable Business Case

12/11/2013

Page 23: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Suggestions for Developing your Evaluations

• Fully Evaluate the “Do Nothing”

• Include planned/needed CIP elements

• Current costs should be known – but consider whether they’re “right” and warrant “adjustment”

• Boiler replacement example

23

12/11/2013

Page 24: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Fictitious Case Study Simplifies Assumptions

Do Nothing Upgrade

Capital Costs: $0 $1,000,000

Base Annual Cost: $500,000 $500,000

Added Annual Cost: $0 $100,000

Total Annual Cost: $500,000 $600,000

Annual Savings: $0 -$175,000

Net Annual Cost: $500,000 $425,000

Life Cycle Term: 20 Years

Net Discount Rate: 2.0%

Page 25: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Assumptions and Unknowns are rolled into this Simplified Case

• Capital costs are summarized

• Operational costs and savings are summarized

• Assumes no varied escalation or growth

• Uses 20-year life cycle at 2% net discount rate

25

Do Nothing Upgrade

Capital Costs: $0 $1,000,000

Base Annual Cost: $500,000 $500,000

Added Annual Cost: $0 $100,000

Total Annual Cost: $500,000 $600,000

Annual Savings: $0 -$175,000

Net Annual Cost: $500,000 $425,000

Life Cycle Term: 20 Years

Net Discount Rate: 2.0%

Page 26: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Internal Rate of Return (IRR) finds Rate at which PW of Savings equal Costs

26

• 4.22% is the rate that, discounted over 20 years, makes the annual savings equal the capital investment

• Criterion: If the IRR > net discount rate, then “go”

4.22% > 2.0%; “GO”

Do Nothing Upgrade

Capital Costs: $0 $1,000,000

Base Annual Cost: $500,000 $500,000

Added Annual Cost: $0 $100,000

Total Annual Cost: $500,000 $600,000

Annual Savings: $0 -$175,000

Net Annual Cost: $500,000 $425,000

Life Cycle Term: 20 Years

Net Discount Rate: 2.0%

Capital Costs: $1,000,000

Net Annual Savings: $75,000

IRR: 4.22%

PW of Annual Cost at IRR: $1,000,000

NPW of Upgrades at IRR: $0

Page 27: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Reviewing the results…

27

MethodologySummary of Results for

Upgrade CaseResult

Simple Payback: 13.3 Years Uncertain

NPW: $226,357 Savings “Go”

IRR: 4.22% > 2.0% “Go”

?

Page 28: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Sustainability Benefits

• Plant Energy Consumption Reductions

• Greenhouse Gas Reductions

• Example CHP Project• 10 mgd

• 500 kW engine in lieu of boiler

• 1/3 of plant energy production

• Carbon reduction equal to 450 cars

28

Page 29: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Example Sustainability Scorecard

29

Alternative 1Alternative 1 Alternative 2

Page 30: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Consider Identification and Inclusion of “Monetized Social or Environmental Value”

• Is there value to the public relations benefit of beneficial reuse of gas?• $$$/year benefit

• $$$ initial capital benefit at start-up

• Does increased truck traffic or noise represent a social cost?• $$$/year cost

30

Page 31: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Project Funding

Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations and Financing Alternatives

Brown and Caldwell 31

Page 32: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Ideally…

Brown and Caldwell 32

Page 33: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

• State

• Federal

• Renewable Energy Credits - Electrical and Bio-CNG

• Utilities

• Equipment Manufacturers

• Design Build Own Operate

Overview of Funding Sources

Brown and Caldwell 33

Page 34: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

• Sales tax exemption (digestion,CHP)

• Energy Loan Fund• Advanced Energy Fund, USDOE State Energy Program

• 1-percent interest rate

• $1 million standard maximum

• Minimum 15% energy reduction

• Up to 90% of project cost

• Advanced Energy Job Stimulus Fund loans• $50,000-$2,000,000

State of Ohio Energy Financing Programs

Brown and Caldwell 34

Page 35: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

• Alternative Energy Portfolio Standard• 25% by 2025 – Waste-to-Energy counts toward goal

• Solar carve-out 0.5% by 2024

• Driver for Renewable Energy Credits (RECs)

• SB 315 Energy Efficiency Resource Standard• Save 22.5% by 2025 – CHP counts toward goal

• Driver for utility rebate programs

Ohio Energy Legislation

Brown and Caldwell 35

Page 36: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Renewable Energy Credits (RECs)

Brown and Caldwell 36

Page 37: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Solar Renewable Energy Credits (SRECs)

Brown and Caldwell 37

Ohio

Solar

Page 38: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Bio-CNG Incentives

Brown and Caldwell 38

Time-fill fueling posts from Gas Equipment Systems Inc. (GESI)

$2.60/gallon “sale”

Plus $1.20/gallon for RINs

Page 39: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

• Custom or Renewable Rebates

• Current programs focused on efficiency• CHP Included in 2012 state energy efficiency legislation

• PUCO rules not final

• Must pursue reasonable arrangement with at PUCO with utility

• Example: DPL has reserved $250,000 in pilot program for CHP

Utility Programs

Brown and Caldwell 39

Page 40: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

Jenbacher

Cummins

Manufacturer Financing

• Typical Finance Period: 5-7 Years

• Minimum project size: 300 kW

• “Strong Economic Opportunity”• Electric prices > $0.08-0.09/kWh

• Other incentives could reduce this threshold

• 4 to 8% interest – tax exempt financing

Brown and Caldwell 40

Page 41: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

• DesMoines Biogas CNG Station

• Miami-Dade Digester/Landfill gas cogeneration

• El Paso, TX 3 Plants

Design-Build or DBOO

Brown and Caldwell 41

Page 42: OWEA Biosolids Specialty Workshop Renewable Energy ...Presentation Outline Brown and Caldwell 6. Financial Feasibility Analysis Renewable Energy Projects: Appropriate Financial Evaluations

• Accurately consider consumption and demand savings

• Implement operating strategies to maximize CHP savings

• Use long-range financial and sustainability metrics to communicate with stakeholders

• Monitor state and utility incentive programs

Conclusions

Brown and Caldwell 42


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