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Digitalization and energy demand Panel 1 – Setting the scene Luis Neves, GeSI Chairman IEA Workshop Paris, 5 April 2017
Digitalization and energy demand Panel 1 – Setting the scene Luis Neves, GeSI Chairman
IEA Workshop Paris, 5 April 2017
The GeSI report SMART2020 (2008) estimated that the ICT sector’s emissions would reach 1.43Gt CO2e by 2020, or 2.7% of global emissions;
The SMARTer2020 report (2012) revised that forecast down to 1.27Gt, or 2.3% of global emissions;
The SMARTer2030 released in 2015 predicts a further decrease, with ICT’s own footprint expected to reach 1.25Gt CO2e in 2030, or 1.97% of global emissions
The decrease in the ICT sector’s footprint is due to a range of investments by companies in the sector to reduce their emissions, and to the expected improvements in the efficiency of ICT devices
Increasing the efficiency of ICT… …and through ICT At the same time, the SMARTer2030 shows that the 12Gt CO2e avoided through the use of ICT is nearly 10 times higher than ICT’s expected footprint in 2030
Buildings ICT-enabled savings
2.0
Manufacturing Energy Agriculture
2.0
3.6
1.8
2.7
12.1
Mobility
CO2e abatement potential by sector (Gt CO2e)
Source: WRI, IPCC, GeSI, SMARTer2020, Accenture analysis & CO2 models
ICT benefits factor trends (Gt CO2e)
ICT-enabled
ICT-footprint 1.43
1.25
1.27 7.2x
9.7x
ICT-footprint
ICT-enabled 9.10
ICT-footprint
ICT-enabled
12.08
7.80
5.5x
SMARTer2030
Source: WRI, IPCC, GeSI, SMARTer2020, Accenture analysis & CO2 models
SMARTer2020
SMART2020
ICT is a crucial component in the energy sector’s transition from a production-centric to a service-oriented approach, and in the development and roll-out of smart grids
A comprehensive smart grid roll-out could deliver:
6.3 billion MWh of energy savings, i.e. a 20% reduction, as a result of better demand management and integration of renewables
A 5% reduction of energy losses
700,000 km worth of saved grid
$810 billion of additional revenues for renewable energy companies
Universal access to energy
The enabling potential of ICT for the energy sector
2.0
2.0
1.8
2.7
Source: WRI, IPCC, GeSI, SMARTer2020,
Accenture analysis & CO2 models
Back-up slides
(See also GeSI contact details at the end)
About GeSI
Created in 2001, GeSI is a strategic partnership bringing together companies active in the ICT sector and international organisations committed to creating and promoting technologies and practices that foster economic, environmental and social sustainability, while driving economic growth and productivity
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Our vision
A sustainable world through responsible,
ICT-enabled transformation
Our mission
By 2017, GeSI is the recognised thought leader, partner of choice and proactive driver of the ICT
sustainability agenda as measured by development and use of its tools, broad member
base and contribution to relevant policies
GeSI groups almost 40 of the world’s leading ICT companies
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Members
Partners
GeSI activities at a glance
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Climate Change Raising awareness of the
enabling potential of ICT, and of the sector’s
approach to reducing its own footprint
Industry Responsibility
Supporting members in managing their supply chains and
improving the overall sustainability of their
portfolios
Human Rights Assessing the human rights-
related impact of ICT, and supporting companies in
managing specific HR-related dimensions of their
operations
Raising awareness of the ICT enabling potential (1/2)
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IR CC
HR
SMART series
• Quantifying the benefits of ICT-based solutions • Three studies released so far:
• SMART2020 (2008) • SMARTer2020 (2012) • SMARTer2030 (2015)
• Extended analysis to social and economic benefits of ICT
• Extended time horizon considered to 2030
• Included recommendations to policymakers, consumers, and business to speed up adoption of ICT technologies
Raising awareness of the ICT enabling potential (2/2)
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IR CC
HR
SMARTer2030 main findings
ENVIRONMENT
ICT has the potential to enable a 20% reduction of global CO2e emissions by 2030, holding them at 2015 levels
At the same time, ICT can reduce the consumption of scarce resources
BUSINESS
ICT is good for growth. An assessment of eight economic sectors* shows that it could generate:
Over 6 trillion USD in new revenues in 2030
Close to 5 trillion USD in cost savings in 2030, including 2.3 trillion USD from energy efficiency
* Energy, food, health, learning, buildings, mobility & logistics, work & business, manufacturing
PEOPLE
ICT could connect 2.5 billion previously unconnected people to ICT services by 2030, enabling a total of:
1.6 billion people connected to e-health
0.5 billion e-learning participants
ICT-enabled revenues and cost savings (USD trillion)
Source: WRI, IPCC, Gartner, FAO, GeSI, Accenture analysis & CO2 models
#SMARTer2030
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Stakeholders ICT sector
ICT could deliver over $6 trillion in revenues… …and close to $5 trillion in savings
Any questions? GeSI
c/o Scotland House – Rond-Point Schuman 6 1040 Brussels
+32 2 282 84 42
