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Paradigm shifts for 21st century food & farming
Geoff Tansey
Oxford Real Farming Conference6 January 2014
www.tansey.org.uk
1910s – 2010s – 2050s?
• Declining powers
• New powers emerging
• Legal frameworks
• Technologies
Key trends• Economic Concentration
• Global markets
• Control
• Geo-political shifts
Revised, Food Policy, OECD, 1981
• Seed industry structure graphic
• Picture of Atlantic centred world map showing hunger map
• Picture of pacific centre world map, upside down
Today’s context- the real threats to our world
• Climate destabilisation• Competition over resources• Marginalisation of the majority world
– Inequality increased in most countries• Global militarisation
– BTWC, dual use & bio-weapons
Sources: Abbott, Rogers and Sloboda, Oxford Research Group; Richard Jolly; Malcolm Dando
Differing narratives for sustainability
• Productivity– techno-fix, economic growth, demand
exogenous, [corporate feudalism?]
• Sufficiency– ecological balance / diversity / equity– small farmers
Thinking about systems
and how to change them
See: Donella H. Meadows, Thinking in Systems - A Primer, Earthscan, 2009
Leverage points• Rules, incentives, punishments, constraints
– Who has power over them
• Self organisation - power to add, change, evolve system structure– Diversity, variability, experimentation
• Losing control
• Goals - purpose or function of system– Core issue, who can change
• Paradigm - mind set– Shifting changes rest
Changing paradigms & practices
• A new ecological economics• To agro-ecological farming from
industrial, fossil fuel based model• Changing consumption
4 dimensions for action• Who acts
– Individuals, Indiv in Community, Corporate
• To what end– Revolution, reform, renaissance, resistance
• Using what levers– Paradigm, rules, goals ….
• Addressing power and control
DDS/CMT India
Home
Many peoplesMuch diversityGlobal is localLocal is global
200 year perspective
Thank You
www.tansey.org.uk
Web page image