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Paramount Resources Pitch - FINAL

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    Paramount Resources Pitch (POU.TO)

    Jonathan J. ChangBComm, 2017

    Ait!a Pate" BA, #conomics, 201$

    %i!i Jin BA, #conomics, 201&

    'atas riui*+is BA, #conomics, 2017

    Jan 2, 201$

    This presentation is for informational purposes only, and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation to buyor sell any securities, investment products or other financial product or service, an official confirmation of

    any transaction, or an official statement of Queens Economics Investment Council (QEIC). Any vies oropinions presented are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of QEIC.

    E!E"#$ % &'E" E*ploration % &roduction

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    Industry+readon

    Company'vervie

    -anaementTeam

    InvestmentThesis &oint /0

    InvestmentThesis &oint /1

    Company2aluation

    &ro3ectedCatalysts

    Associated"iss

    &rice Taret4ummary

    Our Agena

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    56

    57

    86

    87

    76

    77

    ector O-er-ie an Out"oo+

    /Sources: Capital IQ

    P "oa" #nerg! ne3 (ihares)

    4hen i"" there e a

    ounce ac+ i56ossi"e

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    56.66

    86.66

    76.66

    96.66

    :6.66

    ;6.66

    iht (!$-E?) Auture Contracts

    1.66

    1.76

    5.66

    5.76

    8.66

    8.76

    7.66 !atural #as = @enry @ub (!$-E?) @istorical &ricin !atural #as = @enry @ub (!$-E?) Auture Contracts

    8istorica" Commoit! Pricing an 201$# Pro9ections

    :Sources: Capital IQ

    ;atura" as 8P

    Crue Oi" 8P

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    Com6an! O-er-ie

    $Sources: Capital IQ

    Paramount Resources Business o"ume Per5ormance

    ?inancia" 'etrics (Ca"ue 8,6;0.9 T#>#BT

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    Com6an! O-er-ie

    &Sources: Capital IQ

    Prouction 6"it Paramounts n-estments

    @eavy 'il (4 F bbl)D 8G>ihtF-edium 'il (4 F bbl)D 6G

    !#> (4 F bbl)D 01G

    !atural #as (4 F mcf)D ;8G

    'ar+et >a"ue o5 D/:E '' or D/./2 shareas o5 Januar! 201$

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    #3ecuti-e Team

    7Sources: Paramount Resources Company Website

    Joine in 17E

    4as Presient6rior to 2002

    #36erience in-arious areas o5O

    ince June 2002

    Been ith com6an!since 11

    C#O o5 Tri"og!#nerg! an irectoro5 trategic Oi" as Ft.

    C"a!ton Rie"", C#O James Rie"", Presient COO

    Phi" Tahma@ian, >P 'istream

    O-er 2$ !ears o5e36erincein Oinustr!

    er-e as >P'istream at#ncana 6re-ious"!

    ince 'a! 200/

    nstrumenta" ins6inGo55 o5 Tri"og!#nerg! Cor6

    Pre-ious"! he"senior 6osition ithA"erta #nerg!Com6an! Ft.

    Bernar Fee, C?O

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    n-estment Thesis Out"ine

    ESources: Capital IQ, Equity Research Reports

    Thouh costly to build a ne plant (176-) it entonline in the sprin of 1608

    Increasin output throuh 160: to 096,666 +oeFd 07,666 +blFd condenser comin online in April

    H ncrease Prouction H Attracti-e ross 'argins

    Competin in unstable oil maret, &aramount hasdone e*ceptional ell to maintain solid rossmarins

    Currently sits at 77G Indicates ability to compete in lo oil prices and is

    positioned to outperform competition

    1607 1609 160: 160; 160< 1616 1610 1611 1615 1618

    ;.06

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    Argument H ncreasing Prouction

    Sources: Paramount Investor Presentation

    Pro9ecte Prouction Ca6acit! ncreases

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    Argument H ncrease Prouction

    Condensate stabiliHation isa process of utiliHin hatas once considered

    aste of the productionprocess and filters it somore can be used

    !e facility oin online inApril of 1607 ill increasethe companies condensatestabiliHation capacity to15,766 bblFd from ;,766

    bblFd

    All plants improvements and ne constructionpro3ects are fully funded

    @ih level of debt but once the plants are at full

    capacity they ill be producin :6,666 +oeFd hicheven at 76+blFd there ill be increasin cashflos

    !early doublin production

    ecreasin to under

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    P"ants an ?aci"ities

    &lant Capacity&otential 4ales

    2olume

    -usreau eepCut 166 --cfFd 76,666 +oeFd

    -usreasu"efride 87 --cFfd ;,766 +oeFd

    4moy eep Cut 166 --cfFd 06,666 +oeFd

    Jarr 86 --cfFd 06,666 +oeFd

    'ther :6 --cfFd 8,766 +oeFd

    4ubtotal 777 --cfFd ;5,666 +oeFd

    nderConstruction Capacity

    &otential 4ales2olume

    Condensate4tabiliHerE*pansion !FA 07,666 +oeFd

    Jarr E*pansion 86 --cfFd 06,666 +oeFd

    9 = 0; 066 --cfFd 17,666 +oeFd

    5 = 07 066 --cfFd 17,666 +oeFd

    4ubtotal 186 --cfFd :7,666 +oeFd

    &ro3ected Total :

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    Argument H ustantia" ross 'argins

    12Sources: Capital IQ, Equity Research Report

    'il prices are seein a bit of sure after hittin thelo point durin last ee

    "ecovery form I4I4 In midst of this recovery, e are bullish oin

    forard at the taret of 97Fbbl by Q8, in line ithmost analysts

    &aramounts hih ross marins allos them to

    compete in rouh periods of lo prices @ave better ability to absorb the lo price shoc Allos &aramount the fle*ibility to maintain profits

    and continue investments

    trong Pricing Poer

    Oi" 'ar+et

    Comination o5 'argins Prouction

    &aramount has done e*cellent 3ob in maintainin

    the hih marins but also aims to increaseproduction Increase in production paired ith their marins ill

    be lead to a stron 1607 for &aramount

    ross 'argins G ncrease

    166< 1606 1600 1601 1605 16086

    76

    066

    076

    166

    176

    566

    576

    6G

    06G

    16G

    56G

    86G

    76G

    96G

    "evenue (-) #ross &rofit (-) #ross -arins

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    Argument H ustantia" ross 'argins

    1/Sources: Capital IQ, Equity Research Report

    Paramounts A-erage Prouction Cost

    166; 166< 1606 1600 1601 1605

    08.50

    01.:1

    06.:6 06.86

    ;.11

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    >a"uation = ;et Asset >a"ue (O6erating 'oe")

    1:Sources: Capital IQ, Equity Research Reports

    ;A> moe" ase on 201/ A?. ;o 6re-ious o6erations in terms o5 6rouction5or oi" san itumen so conser-ati-e 6ro9ection as mae.

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    >a"uation = ;et Asset >a"ue (;etac+ Ca"cu"ations)

    1$Sources: Capital IQ, Equity Research Reports

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    Cata"!sts

    1&

    Sources: Capital IQ, Equity Research Reports

    &aramount hascompleted their ne4moy and -usreaudeep cut plant

    . Thans to the ne

    e*pansion, their output atthis plant alone can triplefrom ;,766 barrels per

    day to 15,766.

    E*pandin -ontneydrillin proram in theJaybob area ith toplants, one scheduled tobe online in the secondhalf of 1609 and thesecond one si* monthslater.

    irst sales of ne plantcompleted in Q5 of 1608,enables &aramount tobein ramp=up productionfrom their ells to beprocessed at ne plant

    The Company has drilled and completed its firstell in the illesden #reen area of estern

    Alberta. The Company has also entered into a 3ointventure areement that ill increase its illesden#reen uvernay land position to ;9 ells.

    'usreau an ?uture P"ants 4estern #36ansion

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    Ris+s

    17

    Sources: Equity Research Reports

    Any mechanical issues ould

    impact the rate of forecastedroth

    -arins concentrated on-usreau plant e*pansion at acost of 57 million.

    ue to its e*ploratory nature,lare scale technoloicalimprovements in E%&

    competition ould destroy anycompetitive position and futuremarins

    Condensate stabiliHer has beendelayed a couple of times anyfurther delays could bedetrimental

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    ummar! G Price Target

    1ES C it l IQ E it R h R t

    ;A> ensiti-it!

    Ana"!st Price Targets m6"ie Return

    Kan. 1< 4hare &rice 19.


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